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Understanding Security Notifications At Scale Frank Li - University of California Berkeley Zakir Durumeric - University of Michigan Michael Bailey - University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign Vern Paxson - University of California Berkeley

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Page 1: Notifications At Scale Vern Paxson - University of ... · Scams Phishing Defacements 50. This Study: Analysis of ~1 Year of Google Webmaster Notifications 51. ... Quality (blackhat

Understanding Security Notifications At ScaleFrank Li - University of California BerkeleyZakir Durumeric - University of MichiganMichael Bailey - University of Illinois Urbana-ChampaignVern Paxson - University of California Berkeley

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Why study security notifications?

Lots of work in academia and industry on identifying security issues

2

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Why study security notifications?

Lots of work in academia and industry on identifying security issues

However, those who find security issues are often not the same party as those who need the information

3

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Why study security notifications?

Lots of work in academia and industry on identifying security issues

However, those who find security issues are often not the same party as those who need the information

Security notifications serve as a bridge

4

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Why study security notifications?

Lots of work in academia and industry on identifying security issues

However, those who find security issues are often not the same party as those who need the information.

Security notifications serve as a bridge

There has been little academic study of security notifications

5

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Our Research Agenda

Better understand the nature of these notifications and the most effective approach to conducting them

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Our Research Agenda

Better understand the nature of these notifications and the most effective approach to conducting them

Today:

- Share our experiences and analysis from conducting several notification efforts

- Hear from you about your experiences and lessons learned

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Experiences

We have measured and analyzed notification sent for:

● Heartbleed bug● Security misconfigurations and vulnerabilities● Compromised websites

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The Heartbleed Bug

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What is Heartbleed?

● Allows access to sensitive data in memory, such as passwords, secret keys, etc., on OpenSSL servers

● Fix: Update to patched version, or disable TLS “Heartbeats”

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ACM Internet Measurement Conference 201412

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Detecting Vulnerable Hosts

Used the ZMap scanner to scan HTTPS servers

Ethical consideration: probe packet does not exploit Heartbleed or read any data from memory

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Patch Rates

14

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Notification Effort

● April 24: Grabbed 4646 unique contact emails from WHOIS lookups for ~250k still-vulnerable IPs

● Randomly selected half to notify via email on April 28th, the other half notified on May 7th

● Scanned every 8 hours to track behavior

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Notification Groups Patching Rates

16

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Notification Groups Patching Rates

17

Nearly 50% Increase in Patching by

Notified Contacts

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First Round Responses

● Received 530 email responses● 11.1% human responses, 40.2% automated, and 48.7%

delivery failures

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First Round Responses

● Received 530 email responses● 11.1% human responses, 40.2% automated, and 48.7%

delivery failures● Of human contacts:

○ 92% positive○ 5% neutral ○ 3% negative

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First Round Responses

● Received 530 email responses● 11.1% human responses, 40.2% automated, and 48.7%

delivery failures● Automated messages

○ Confirmations○ Tickets○ Trackers (many incorrectly configured)

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Lessons Learned

● Notifications can be effective at promoting patching.

● Mass notifications are doable and can be well-received.

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New Questions...

● How effective are notifications in other scenarios?

● How do we find reliable contacts for more hosts?

● What are best practices for effective notifications?

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Security Misconfiguration Notifications

23

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Security Misconfiguration Notifications

24USENIX Security 2016

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Security Misconfiguration Notifications

Notifications for 3 classes of misconfigurations:

● Publicly Accessible Industrial Control Systems (ICS)● DDoS Amplifiers● Misconfigured IPv6 Firewall Policies

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Security Misconfiguration Notifications

Publicly Accessible Industrial Control Systems (ICS):

● Remotely control physical infrastructure, but lacks important security features

● Detection/tracking: Protocol-specific fingerprints with ZMap

● Fix: Firewall or remove from public Internet

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Security Misconfiguration Notifications

DDoS Amplifiers

● Protocols abused for DDoS attacks● Detection: Monitoring DDoS attacks against a network● Tracking: Custom protocol specific probing● Fix: Firewall or disable protocols or abused functions

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Security Misconfiguration Notifications

Misconfigured IPv6 Firewall Policies

● v6-only services may indicate firewall misconfiguration● Detection/tracking: Large-scale probing with CAIDA’s

Scamper tool● Fix: Correct firewall policies, or disabling applications

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Experiment Variables

● Who to contact?

WHOIS contact, our local US-CERT, host’s local CERT

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Experiment Variables

● Who to contact?

WHOIS contact, our local US-CERT, host’s local CERT

● What to say to server admins (WHOIS contacts)?

Terse message

Terse message with a link to detailed info site

Verbose message with details30

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Notification Methodology

● Found abuse contacts via WHOIS

● Grouped hosts by their abuse contacts

● Randomly assigned contacts to control vs CERT vs WHOIS groups

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Experiment Groups

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Results

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Results

Our notifications had no effect on DDoS Amplifiers…

● Prior notification efforts● Population bias

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Remediation Rates

IPv6 ICS

35

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Remediation Rates

IPv6 ICS

36

WHOIS Verbose messages performed

best

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Remediation Rates

IPv6 ICS

37

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Remediation Rates

IPv6 ICS

38

Majority of contacts did not

react

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Remediation Rates

IPv6 ICS

39

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Remediation Rates

IPv6 ICS

40

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Remediation Rates

IPv6 ICS

41

Notification’s effect is

short-lived

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Staying Power of Notification’s Effect

IPv6 ICS

42

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Notification Response

● Received 685 emails● 13.6% were human, 77.4% were automated responses,

and 9.1% were bounces

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Notification Response

● Received 685 emails● 13.6% were human, 77.4% were automated responses,

and 9.1% were bounces● Of human responses:

○ 77% were positive○ 19% neutral○ 4% negative

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Insights

● Verbose messages to WHOIS contacts can be relatively effective.

● However, overall effectiveness is limited.

● Notification’s effect is short-lived, partly due to lack of reliable points of contact.

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Another context: Hijacked Websites

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Another context: Hijacked Websites

World Wide Web Conference (WWW) 2016

47

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Websites are constantly hijacked...sanfranciscobaycoffee.com

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Websites are constantly hijacked...

Google Safe Browsing Transparency Report 49

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Compromised sites lead to...

● Drive-by downloads● Cloaked redirections● Scams● Phishing● Defacements

50

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This Study: Analysis of ~1 Year of Google Webmaster Notifications

51

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This Study: Analysis of ~1 Year of Google Webmaster Notifications What works effectively for notifying webmasters?

52

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This Study: Analysis of ~1 Year of Google Webmaster Notifications What works effectively for notifying webmasters?

What factors affect remediation behavior?

53

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This Study: Analysis of ~1 Year of Google Webmaster Notifications What works effectively for notifying webmasters?

What factors affect remediation behavior?

How well are webmasters able to comprehend the remediation process?

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Compromise Life Cycle

55

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Compromise Life Cycle

56

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Compromise Life Cycle

57

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Compromise Life Cycle

58

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Compromise Life Cycle

59

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Compromise Life Cycle

60

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Compromise Life Cycle

61

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Compromise Life Cycle

62

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Data Sources

1. Compromised incidents detected by Safe Browsing (drive-bys) and Search Quality (blackhat SEO)

2. Search Console + WHOIS alerts sent for hijacked sites3. Webmaster appeals (requests for re-check)

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Notification Effectiveness: Remediation Likelihood

64

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Notification Effectiveness: Remediation Likelihood

Search Warning Only (Search Quality sites):

43.4%65

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Notification Effectiveness: Remediation Likelihood

Browser Warning + WHOIS alert (Safe Browsing sites):

54.6%66

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Notification Effectiveness: Remediation Likelihood

Search Console Alert:

82.4% - Safe Browsing76.8% - Search Quality

67

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Notification Effectiveness: Remediation Speed

68

0 Days

Time for 50% of sites to remediate

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Notification Effectiveness: Remediation Speed

69

0 Days

Time for 50% of sites to remediate Search Warning Only(Search Quality sites)

18 Days

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Notification Effectiveness: Remediation Speed

70

0 Days

Time for 50% of sites to remediate Search Warning Only(Search Quality sites)

18 Days

8 Days

Browser Warning + WHOIS Alert

(Safe Browsing sites)

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Notification Effectiveness: Remediation Speed

71

0 Days

Time for 50% of sites to remediate Search Warning Only(Search Quality sites)

18 Days

8 Days

Browser Warning + WHOIS Alert

(Safe Browsing sites)

Search Console AlertsSafe Search

Browsing Quality

3 Days 7 Days

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Notification Effectiveness: Remediation Speed

72

0 Days

Time for 50% of sites to remediate Search Warning Only(Search Quality sites)

18 Days

8 Days

Browser Warning + WHOIS Alert

(Safe Browsing sites)

Search Console AlertsSafe Search

Browsing Quality

3 Days 7 Days

Direct notification increases remediation likelihood and speed

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Appeals Performance before Success

73

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Appeals Performance before Success

74

30.7% of Safe Browsing, 11.3% of Search Quality webmasters appeal

Number of Appeals Needed

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Appeals Performance before Success

75

30.7% of Safe Browsing, 11.3% of Search Quality webmasters appeal

Number of Appeals Needed

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Appeals Performance before Success

76

30.7% of Safe Browsing, 11.3% of Search Quality webmasters appeal

Number of Appeals Needed

Webmasters often do possess capability to address symptoms

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Reinfections

77

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Reinfections

12% of remediated sites are reinfected within 30 days

78

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Reinfections

12% of remediated sites are reinfected within 30 days

79

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Reinfections

12% of remediated sites are reinfected within 30 days

80

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Reinfections

12% of remediated sites are reinfected within 30 days

81

Often root cause of infection or vulnerability unaddressed

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Insights

● Direct notifications help improve remediation.

● Webmasters can remedy hijacking symptoms.

● However, root causes are often unaddressed.

82

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Next Steps:

● Increased direct communication coverage

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Next Steps:

● Increased direct communication coverage● Further investigation of notification factors

84

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Next Steps:

● Increased direct communication coverage● Further investigation of notification factors● Better community coordination and organization

85

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Next Steps:

● Increased direct communication coverage● Further investigation of notification factors● Better community coordination and organization● Outreach + education

86

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Next Steps:

● Increased direct communication coverage● Further investigation of notification factors● Better community coordination and organization● Outreach + education● Develop more automated or usable remediation tools

87

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Next Steps:

● Increased direct communication coverage● Further investigation of notification factors● Better community coordination and organization● Outreach + education● Develop more automated or usable remediation tools

88

Thanks! [email protected]

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Extra Slides

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Notification Responses + Reactions

90

% of Responses:2.6%8.5%77.7%11.2%

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Remediation Rates for CERTs

IPv6

ICS

91