notes for econ 8453

Upload: zaheer-khan

Post on 02-Jun-2018

236 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    1/51

    Graduate Macroeconomic Theory

    Joe Haslag

    Department of Economics, University of Missouri

    E-mail address: [email protected]

    URL: http://www.

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    2/51

    The author thanks students for years of honing the topics covered in this

    text..

    Abstract. Replace this text with your own abstract.

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    3/51

    Contents

    Introduction v

    Chapter 1. A Static Decision Problem 1

    1. A One-Period Model 2

    2. Competitive equilibrium 73. Pareto optimum 9

    4. Comparative statics 11

    5. Government 14

    6. Problems 18

    Chapter 2. Intertemporal models 21

    1. Consumers 21

    2. Firm 25

    3. Competitive equilibrium 25

    4. Problems 28

    Chapter 3. Overlapping generations 31

    1. Problems 44

    iii

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    4/51

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    5/51

    Introduction

    \chapter*{Preface}The purpose of this book is to develop a one-semester

    course that covers the essential topics for a first-year graduate course in

    macroeconomic theory. The material is also suitable for an advanced under-

    graduate course.

    v

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    6/51

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    7/51

    CHAPTER 1

    A Static Decision Problem

    Because the questions are essentially ones about aggregate economic

    behavior, the analytical framework will deal with the simultaneous solution

    of activities in several markets. In short, a model economy in which two

    or more marketsquantities and pricesare determined simulataneously is

    a general equilibrium model. For our purposes, we begin with the simplest

    possible general equilibrium model; that is one with three markets and three

    prices. As we proceed, it will be convenient to normalize the price of one

    good and that Walrasian economies will have one market that is dependent

    on what is going on in the other markets. For our purposes, this means we

    will have two independent markets and two relative prices.

    The tools learned in this chapter will form the backbone of our anlaysis.

    Indeed, the reader will see that modifications to this basic structure permit

    us to study more complicated, and interesting, questions. But the same

    basic tools will be applied to these setups.

    Before specifying the model economy, it is important to present the key

    features common to most descriptions of general equilibrium models. The

    four features are:

    (1) Technologies and endowments

    (2) Preferences

    (3) Trades

    (4) Equilibrium concept

    The first three pieces define the structure of the model economy while

    the fourth piece governs how these three pieces fit together in our analysis.

    1

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    8/51

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    9/51

    1. A ONE-PERIOD MODEL 3

    Formally, we assume the utility function is strictly increasing in each argu-

    ment and strictly concave. This feature is captured as: uc(c, l) , ul(c, l)> 0

    with ucc(c, l) , ull(c, l)< 0 such that ucc(c, l) ull(c, l) [ucl(c, l)]2 >0.2 To

    ensure that we obtain an interior solution, we further assume that Inada

    conditions hold; specifically, limc0uc(c, l) = and limcuc(c, l) = 0.

    Likewise, for leisure, we have liml0 ul(c, l) = and liml1 ul(c, l) = 0.

    Because each consumer is identical, we can solve the problem for a rep-

    resentative consumer. Formally, the problem is represented as:

    (PC) maxc,l

    u (c, l)

    c w (1 l) +rks

    0 ks k0N

    0 l 1

    c 0

    where ks is the quantity of capital rented to a firm, w is the wage rate

    andr is the rental rate paid per unit of capital. Note thatw and r are both

    measured in units of the consumption good.3 In other words, consumption

    is picked as the numeraire so that its price is set to one. The prices of other

    goods, capital and labor, for instance, are measured relativethe price of the

    numeraire good.

    For a constrained optimization problem, we apply the Kuhn-Tucker The-

    orem. The Lagrangean is

    2Here, the notation is ui(c, l) = dudi

    for i = c, l and uij(c, l) = d2udidj

    for i, j = c, l.3More concretely, trade for one unit of labor will cost w units of the consumption

    good.

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    10/51

    4 1. A STATIC DECISION PROBLEM

    (1.1) =u (c, l) +

    w+r k0N wl c

    where is the Lagrange multiplier.

    Note that we have taken some shortcuts. If we applied the Kuhn-Tucker

    Theorem literally, there would be a multiplier for each constraint; that is,

    there should be four constraints. The inequality constraint on capital is

    solved by the following argument. Since capital is an endowment, as long as

    r >0, the consumer would rent thier entire endowment because idle capital

    means less income and therefore, less consumption. The Inada conditionsensure that the conditions on leisure and consumption will hold as strict

    inequalities.

    It is easy to show that the budget constraint will hold as a strict equal-

    ity. The intuition is straightforward. If consumption is less than income, it

    means that consumers are leaving goods on the table; in other words, units

    of the consumption good received as factor payments are not consumed.

    Free disposal is, therefore, an option. Because the marginal utility of con-

    sumption is positive for any finite level of consumption, the shadow price

    of consumption, , will be positive. In other words, the consumer will al-

    ways prefer to eat any units of consumption good provided as income to the

    alternative.4 The complementary slack condition implies that the budget

    4The first-order conditions for the general structure are given by:

    c =uc(c, l) = 0

    l =ul(c, l) w= 0

    w (1 l) +r

    k0

    N c

    = 0

    With uc >0, then > 0, which further implies that w (1 l) +rk0N c= 0.

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    11/51

    1. A ONE-PERIOD MODEL 5

    constraint holds as a strict equality. Formally, c = w+ r k0Nwl. If we sub-

    stitute for consumption, the problem can be rewritten as an unconstrained

    optimization problem; that is,

    maxl

    u

    w+r

    k0N wl,l

    At the maximum, the following condition is satisfied:

    (1.2) w uc

    w+r

    k0N wl,l

    +ul

    w+r

    k0N wl,l

    = 0

    1.2. Firms. Firms can be thought of as being endowed with a produc-

    tion technology. In other words, the firm is the only entity that knows how

    to combine labor and capital to produce units of the consumption good.

    Firms then pay the factors of production.

    The technology used to combine labor and capital to produce the con-

    sumption good is captured by the production function. Let the quan-

    tity of the consumption good produced by firms be denoted by y. Then

    y = zf(k, n), where k is the quantity of capital rented by firms and n is

    the quantity of labor time employed by firms. Here, z > 0 captures to-

    tal factor productivity. The production function yields more units of the

    consumption good as more inputs are added to the process. Formally,

    fk(k, n) , fn(k, n) > 0 and fkk(k, n) , fnn(k, n) < 0. To ensure that both

    inputs are used, we assume f(0, 0) =f(0, n) =f(k, 0) = 0. Some positive

    quantity of both inputs are necessary to obtain any output. Lastly, we as-

    sume the production technology exhibits constant returns to scale; formally,

    for any > 0,zf(k, n) =y.

    There are M firms in the economy. The constant returns to scale as-

    sumption greatly simplifies the analysis. To see this, consider the expression

    that defines a constant returns to scale function; that is, z f(k, n) =y.

    Next, differentiate this expression with respect to , obtaining

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    12/51

    6 1. A STATIC DECISION PROBLEM

    (1.3) y= zfk(k, n) k+zfn(k, n) n.

    We evaluate (1.3) at = 1, resulting in y = zfk(k, n) k+ zfn(k, n) n

    which implies that zf(k, n) = zfk(k, n) k+ zfn(k, n) n. To proceed, we

    need the conditions under which a profit-maximizing firm will operate. The

    consumption good is used as the numeraire so that its price is set equal to

    one. Thus, proifts are expressed as

    (1.4) maxk,n

    zf(k, n) rk wn

    where r is the rental rate on capital and w is the wage rate. Both

    the rental rate and wage are measured in units of the consumption good.

    Each firm takes the rental rate and wage rate as given. Profit maximum is

    identified by differentiating the profit function with respect to k andn and

    setting the derviatives equal to zero.

    (1.5) zfk(k, n) r= 0

    (1.6) zfn(k, n)w= 0

    It follows from (1.5) and (1.6) that zfk(k, n) k + zfn(k, n) n= rk + wn.

    In a competitive environment, no one firm will earn positive profits. If

    profits were positive, production could expand until zero profits are realized.

    Or, zf(k, n) rk wn = 0, which implies that zf(k, n) zfk(k, n) k

    zfn(k, n) n= 0. Letn= n andk= k for any. Insofar as represents

    the scale of the representative firm, and because the scale is indeterminate.

    Thus, without loss of generality M = 1. A representative firm is sufficient

    to characterize the firms behavior in our model economy.

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    13/51

    2. COMPETITIVE EQUILIBRIUM 7

    2. Competitive equilibrium

    We defi

    ne a competitive equilibrium as an allocation, {c,l,n,k}, andprices,{w, r}, such that

    (i) consumers choose the quantity of the consumption good and leisure

    to maximize 1.1, taking wages and rental rates as given;

    (ii) firms choose the quantity of labor and capital to employ to maximize

    1.4, taking wages and rental rates as given;

    (iii) markets clear: formally, k0= k, y = N c, N(1 l) =n;

    The necessary and sufficient condition for the consumers maximization

    problem are provided by equation (1.2). The necessary and sufficient con-dition for the firms maximization problem is given by equations (1.5) and

    (1.6). Combined with the market clearing conditions, we have six equations

    and six unknowns.

    We next illustrate how one would solve for the equilibrium values. Be-

    cause the consumer is a representative consumer, we can assume that N= 1

    without loss of generality. Thus, 1 l= n. We substitute for wages and the

    rental rate, applying market clearing conditions for the capital stock and for

    employment, obtaining

    (2.1) zfn(k0, 1 l) uc[zf(k0, 1 l) , l] +ul[zf(k0, 1 l) , l] = 0

    Note that we have rearranged the expression so that there is one un-

    known. For strictly concave utility, there is one value of leisure that satisifes

    equation (2.1), which is denoted as l. Plug l into equation (1.5) to ob-

    tain the equilibrium value of the rental rate; that is, zfk(k0, 1 l) =

    r. Similarly, the equilibrium wage rate is determined by the equation

    zfn(k0, 1 l) = w. The equilibrium quantity of labor is determined in

    the market clearing condition for labor; that is,1 l =n and the equilib-

    rium quantity of capital is determined by the endowment of capital; k = k0.

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    14/51

    8 1. A STATIC DECISION PROBLEM

    Finally, the equilibrium quantity of consumption determined by the con-

    sumers budget constraint; that is, w (1 l) +r k0N =c.

    The intuition is familiar. Consumers choose the quantity of labor to

    supply and firms choose the quantity of labor to employ and the wage rate

    is determined so that these quantities are equal. Likewise, the quantity

    of capital rented by firms is equal to the quantity of capital supplied by

    consumers and the rental rate ensures that these two quantities are equal.

    Consumers demand the consumption good and supply labor and capital,

    firms demand labor and capital and supply the consumption good, and

    prices adjust so that the quantites demanded equal the quantities supplied.

    Note that there are three market clearing conditions. Only two of these

    equations are linearly independent. To show this, we multiply the price

    of each good by the excess demand for each item. Formally, (c y) +

    w [n (1 l)] +r (k k0)

    Because the consumers budget constraint holds with equalityc= w (1 l)+

    rk0and because the firm has zero profitszf(k, n) =y = rk + wn, we com-

    bine the two, implying that

    (2.2) (c y) +w [n (1 l)] +r (k k0) = 0.

    This expression is Walras Law. In words, the sum of excess demands in

    an economy are always equal to zero.5 Thus, w [n (1 l)] + r (k k0) =

    (c y). The most important implication of this result is that there exists

    an interdependence among the excess-demand equations. More concretely,

    if we know that there is excess demand in the markets for the consumption

    good and the market for labor services (that is, c > y and n > (1 l)),

    equation (2.2) implies that there must be an excess supply in the market

    5To make this point explicit, c w(1 l) rk0 = y rk wn. After subtracting

    the terms on the right-hand-side of the equation from both sides of the expression and

    rearranging, we have (c y) +w [n (1 l)] +r(k k0) = 0.

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    15/51

    3. PARETO OPTIMUM 9

    for capital. Or, if the markets for consumption goods and capital clear

    c= y and n = (1 l) it follows that k= k0. We use this interdependence

    to ignore one equation in our model economy. Only two of the excess de-

    mands are independent. At the point at which we have six equations and

    six unknowns, the linear dependence implies that we drop one market clear-

    ing condition. For example, if drop c = y w [n (1 l)] , we have five

    equations and five unknowns.

    3. Pareto optimum

    We begin with the definition of an allocation as a production plan and

    a distribution of goods. An allocation is Pareto optimum if there exists no

    other allocation which is strictly preferred by some agents but does not make

    any other agent worse off.

    To illustrate this point, consider a fictious social planner that can costly

    acquire all the production and factors of production. In our simple static

    economy, the social planner then chooses the quantity of capital and labor

    that each agent will supply to the production process and the distribution

    of consumption good received by each agent. Since all our agents are iden-tical, the social planners problem reduces to solving the problem for one

    representative agent. Formally,

    maxc,l

    u (c, l)

    (SP) c= zf(k0, 1 l)

    Thus, the social planner is benevolent in the sense that the objective is

    to maximize the welfare of the representative agent subject to the boundary

    of the feasible set. One can think of the feasible set as being the bud-

    get constraint faced by the omniscient, benevolent social planner. We as-

    sume the social planner can freely dispose, but since the marginal utility

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    16/51

    10 1. A STATIC DECISION PROBLEM

    of the consumption good is positive, the planner will exhaust any produc-

    tion that is available. In other words, we are concentrating on cases that

    lie on the frontier of the production possibilities curve. The upshot is that

    we can substitute for consumption in the planners problem, rewriting it as

    maxl u [zf(k0, 1 l) , l].

    The necessary condition for solving this unconstrained maximization

    problem is

    (3.1) uc[zf(k0, 1 l) , l] [zfn(k0, 1 l)] +ul[zf(k0, 1 l) , l] = 0

    Upon rearranging, we obtain

    (3.2) zfn(k0, 1 l) = ul[zf(k0, 1 l) , l]

    uc[zf(k0, 1 l) , l].

    Note that the left-hand-side of equation (3.2) is the marginal rate of

    social transformation and the right-hand-side is the marginal rate of sub-

    stitution. In other words, the left-hand side is the rate at which foregone

    leisurelaboris transformed into units of the consumption good by the so-

    cial planner while the right-hand side is rate at which consumers marginally

    value leisure relative to their marginal value of the consumption good. In

    short, this is the condition that satisifes Pareto efficiency.

    The solution for the social planners problem is straightforward. Note

    that (3.2) is one equation in unknown so that the solution for the leisure

    allocation is obtained. With strictly concave utility and production, there

    is one, unique solution to this expression. If we denote the solution as lSP,

    then labor is represented by nSP = 1 lSP. Lastly,cSP =zfk0, 1 lSP

    .The condition for Pareto efficiency is identical the condition in equation

    (2.1). Since the latter was derived in our efforts to derive the competitive

    equilibrium and the former was the solution to the social planners prob-

    lem. With the planners allocation being Pareto optimal, this equivalence

    suggests a general result: namely: (i) A competitive equilirium in which

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    17/51

    4. COMPARATIVE STATICS 11

    there are no externalities, markets are complete and there are no distorting

    taxes is Pareto optimal; and (ii) Any Pareto optimum can be supported as

    a competitive equilibrium with an appropriate choice of endowments. Con-

    dition (i) is the First Welfare Theorem and Condition (ii) is the Second

    Welfare Theorem. A connection between the two Welfare Theorems and

    the Kuhn-Tucker Theorem is presented in the Apprendix.

    4. Comparative statics

    In this section, our aim is to find how changes in the exogenous vari-

    ables affect the equilibrium prices and quantities. To assess the effect on

    quantities, it is convenient to use the allocation determined by the social

    planner and rely on the Second Welfare Theorem is to ensure the effects we

    find from the solution to the social planners problem will be the same as

    the solution in the competitive equilibrium allocation.

    We begin by looking at the effect of change in technology on lesiure. We

    obtain this by totally differentiating (3.1), setting dk0= 0, yielding

    uc[zf(k0, 1 l) , l] fn(k0, 1 l) dz zfn(k0, 1 l) f(k0, 1 l) ucc[zf(k0, 1 l) , l

    +f(k0, 1 l) ulc[zf(k0, 1 l) , l] dz+zfnn(k0, 1 l) uc[zf(k0, 1 l) , l] dl

    +ucc[zf(k0, 1 l) , l] [zfn(k0, 1 l)]2 dl

    zfn(k0, 1 l) ucl

    [zf(k0, 1 l) , l] dl zfn(k0, 1 l) ucl[zf(k0, 1 l) , l] dl+ull[zf(k0, 1 l) , l] dl

    = 0

    After rearranging, we get,

    dl

    dz =

    ucfn+zfnf ucc f ucl

    zfnnuc+ (zfn)2 ucc 2zfnucl+ull

    The denominator is negative because we assume that the utility function

    is strictly concave. We assume that consumption and leisure are normal

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    18/51

    12 1. A STATIC DECISION PROBLEM

    goods. With uc, ucl > 0, ull < 0, however, the sign of the numerator is

    indeterminate.

    4.1. On income and substitution effects. The Slutzky equation

    tells us that we can decompose the total effect that a change in total factor

    productivity has on leisure into two components: the income effect and the

    substitution effect. The decomposition rests on the ability to assess the

    impact of the parameter, holding utility constant. To illustrate this point,

    start with the following expression:

    (4.1) u (c, l) =h

    combined with the equation (3.1), we can proceed with deriving the

    substitution effect. Totally differentiate (4.1) and (3.1), setting dh = 0.

    From (3.1), one obtains the following expression (note that terms inside

    parethenses are omitted)

    fnucdz zfnuccdc zfnucldl+ucldc+ulldl = 0

    Note that ucdc+uldl = 0 is what holds utility constant in this exer-

    cise. For constant utility, we substitute, usingdc=- uluc dl, to obtainfnucdz =

    zfnucculuc

    dlzfnucldzucluluc

    dl+ulldl. Since this expression is conditioned

    on welfare held constant, we adopt the notation dldz |subst to distinguish be-

    tween the substitution effect and the total effect. Next, we use the fact that

    -zfnuc+ ul = 0, which implies that zfn = uluc

    , which yields the following

    expression

    (4.2)

    dl

    dz |subst=

    fnuc

    zfnnuc+ (zfn)2 ucc 2zfnucl+ull 0.

    Therefore, a sufficient condition for dldz

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    19/51

    4. COMPARATIVE STATICS 13

    substitution effect is larger in absolute value (dominates) the income effect.

    Conversely, dldz >0 if the income effect dominates the substitution effect.

    Withn = 1 l, it follows that dndz = dldz . The change in the equilibrium

    quantity of labor depends on whether the income or the substitution effect

    dominates. If the substitution effect dominates, labor increases, for instance,

    when total factor productivity increases. The other equilibrium quantity is

    consumption and the budget constraint isc = zf(k0, n). Totally differenti-

    ating the budget constraint results in dc = f dz+ zfndn dcdz =f+ zfn

    dndz .

    From this expression, we can tell that equilibrium consumption increases,

    for instance, if the substitution effect dominates.

    To illustrate the underlying economic intuition, consider a case in which

    total factor productivity increases. Such a positive, unexpected increase

    in total factor productivity results in greater income and change in the

    marginal productthe relative returnthe leisure. Because of higher income,

    the consumer will elect to enjoy more leisure. However, the relative return to

    work induces the consumer to enjoy less leisure. The latter is the substitution

    effect. So, if the substitution effect dominates, lesiure will decline with an

    increase in total factor productivity.To see the effect on equilibrium prices, we begin with the impact on

    wages. By the firms first-order condition, w = zfn. Totally differentiating

    the expression for wages, yieldsdw = fndz +zfnndn dwdz =fn+zfnn

    dndz . If

    the substitition effect dominates, the second term is negative. In words, an

    increase in total factor productivity, for example, will result in two counter-

    vailing forces. The first term captures the direct effect on wages, reflecting

    the gain in marginal productivity. The second term captures the impact

    on the quantity of labor; if labor increases, it reduces the wage owing todiminsihing marginal product of labor.

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    20/51

    14 1. A STATIC DECISION PROBLEM

    5. Government

    In this section, we extend the model economy to consider a role forfi

    scalpolicy. The modification involves a government that collects goods from

    consumers by a lump-sum tax. These units of the consumption good are

    transformed into a government good at a one-for-one rate. We assume that

    the government goods provide some utility to the representative consumer.

    We further assume that any such utility is separable in the sense that the

    marginal utility of leisure and the consumption good is independent of the

    quantity of government goods that are consumed. The level of lump-sum

    taxes are set exogenously and consequently, the level of government goodsis exogenously determined. The upshot is that any utility derived from the

    government good is akin to a constant level added to the consumers welfare

    level.

    Formally,

    u (c, l) + (g)

    s.t. c= w (1 l)

    wheredenotes the quantity of goods collected in the form of lump-sum

    taxes. The government budget constraint is represented by the expression,

    g= .

    We proceed along the same lines as we did in the economy without

    government. Specifically, substitute for consumption and solve the following

    unconstrained maximization problem:

    maxl

    u [w (1 l) , l] + (g)

    The necessary condition for the maximum is

    wuc[w (1 l) , l] +ul[w (1 l) , l] = 0

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    21/51

    5. GOVERNMENT 15

    which is one equation in unknown.

    Meanwhile, for simplicity we consider an economy in which the repre-

    sentative firm has a production technology that is linear in labor and that

    capital is excluded from the production process. Lety = zn. Thus, the firm

    will maximize

    maxn

    zn wn

    wherez= w.6

    A competitive equilibrium is defined as an allocation {c,l,n, } and a

    price{w}which satisfies the following conditions:

    (i) the representative consumer choosesc and l to maximize utility, tak-

    ing w andas given;

    (ii) the representative firm chooses n to maximize profits, taking w as

    given;

    (iii) markets for the consumption good and labor clear;

    (iiia) the government budget constraint is satisfied.

    In the absence of any externality, the Second Welfare theorem will hold,

    implying that we can employ the solution to the planners problem to de-

    termine the quantities. Formally,

    u (c, l)

    s.t. c+g = z (1 l)

    where the constraint is intrepreted as the economys resource cosntraint.

    After substitution, the first-order condition for the planners maximization

    6This condition ensures that the firm will satisfy the zero-profit condition. Ifz > w,

    the firm would maximize profits by employing the full amount of labor. If z < w, the

    shutdown condition applies.

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    22/51

    16 1. A STATIC DECISION PROBLEM

    problem is

    (5.1a) zuc[z (1 l) g, l] +ul[z (1 l) g, l] = 0

    Following the methods we employed above, the unique solution to this

    problem with yield l, which is then plugged into the time constraint to

    obtainn = 1 l and into the representative agents budget constraint and

    takingg as given to obtain c =z (1 l) g.

    Consider the effect that a change in government purchases will have on

    the equilibrium values. Totally differentiating (5.1a) yields

    zuccdg ucldg+z2uccdl 2zucldl+ulldl = 0

    After rearranging, we get

    (5.2) dl

    dg =

    zucc+uclz2ucc 2zucl+ull

    If leisure is a normal good, the denominator is negative and the numer-

    ator is positive, implying that dldg < 0. In words, the equilibrium quantity

    of leisure will decrease, for instance, in response to an exogenous increasein government purchases. The intuition is straightforward. In this case,

    we have a simple income effect. In order to finance larger government pur-

    chases, there must be higher taxes. With higher taxes, the representative

    consumer sees a reduction in after-tax resources. The income contraction

    results in less leisure demanded by the representative consumer.

    The effect on equilibrium consumption is determined by totally differ-

    entiating the resource constraint. Thus, dc = z dl dg dcdg = z dldg 1.

    Upon substituting for dldg and rearranging terms, we get

    dc

    dg =

    zucl ullz2ucc 2zucl+ull

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    23/51

    5. GOVERNMENT 17

    output. Withy = z (1 l), the total derivative is dydg = z dldg . Substitute

    for dldg , expand terms and rearrange, leaving

    dy

    dg =

    z2ucc zuclz2ucc 2zucl+ull

    .

    Note that0 < dydg

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    24/51

    18 1. A STATIC DECISION PROBLEM

    6. Problems

    (1) Consider the following representative agent model. The represent-tive consumer has preferences given by

    u (c, l) =c+ l

    where c is consumption, l is leisure, and > 0. The consumer has an

    endowment of one unit of time and k0 units of capital. The representative

    firm has a technology for producing consumption goods, given by

    y= zkn1

    wherey is output, z is total factor productivity,k is the capital input, n

    is the labor input, and0 < < 1. The market real wage isw andr denotes

    the rental rate on capital.

    a. : solve for all prices and quantities in a competitive equilibrium

    (there are two cases to consider).

    b.: determine the effects that a change in z would have consumption,

    output, employment, the real wage, and the rental rate on capital.

    Explain your results.

    2. Consider an economy with a continuum of consumers, and nor-

    malize the total mass of consumers to one. Each consumer has

    preferences given by

    U(c,l, c) =u (c, l) +v (c)

    wherec and l are the individuals consumption and leisure, respectively,

    andc is the average consumption across the population (note that, because

    any individual is very small relative to the population, each consumer will

    treatcas given). Assume thatu (c, l)has standard properties and that v (c)

    is strictly increasing, strictly concave, and twice differentiable. There is an

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    25/51

    6. PROBLEMS 19

    externality in consumption in that any individual is better offwhen others

    consume more. The production technology is given by

    y = n

    wherey is output and n is the labor input.

    a.: Determine the Pareto optimum (confine attention to allocations

    where all consumers consume the same quantities).

    b.: Determine the competitive equilibrium, and show that is not

    Pareto optimal.

    c.: Now suppose that the government subsidizes each individualsconsumption. that is, for each unit he or she consumes, a con-

    sumers receives s units of consumption from the government. the

    government finances subsidies to consumers by imposing a lump-

    sum taxon each consumer. Show that, if the government sets the

    subsidiy appropriately, then the competitive equilibirum is Pareto

    optimal. Determine the optimal subsidy, and explain your results.

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    26/51

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    27/51

    CHAPTER 2

    Intertemporal models

    The purpose of this chapter is two fold. First, we extend the basic static

    model to include decisions that explicitly take decisions across time into

    account. Second, we develop a model that distinguishes between complete

    and incomplete markets. In doing so, we can see how incomplete markets

    invalidates the Second Welfare Theorem.

    1. Consumers

    The consumers problem changes in one important aspect. In this model

    economy, the consumer is infinitely lived. We continue with the assumption

    that all consumers are identical. Their preferences also depend on the quan-

    tity of the consumption good and quantity of leisure in a specific time period.

    Time is indexed by t = 0, 1, 2,... We further assume that the utility func-

    tion is separable across time periods. We formalize the consumers lifetime

    preferences as

    U=Xt=0

    tu (ct, lt)

    where xt denotes the quantity of the good consumers enjoy at date t,

    for x = c, l. Note that there are now an infinite quantity of goods the

    consumer can enjoy over this infinite horizon. To ensure that the problem is

    well defined, we need a construct that will guarantee that the infinite sum

    of utilities is not infinity. It is difficult to choose a utility maximum when

    the value of utility is infinity. Here, we introduce the notion of discounting.

    More specifically, 0 < < 1, is included in the consumers problem for a

    technical reason and it has an intuitive appeal. Technically, discounting is

    21

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    28/51

    22 2. INTERTEMPORAL MODELS

    a means to ensure that lifetime utility is finite. The intuitive appeal is that

    the future requires patience. Suppose c0= c1and l0 = l1. With discounting,

    we are saying that future quantities do not yield as much date- 0 utility as

    current quantities do, holding everything else constant. The time that one

    has to wait to enjoy the future quantities is captured by the discount factor,

    .

    At each date t, the consumer faces a budget constraint represented as

    (1.1) ct=wt(1 lt) t st+1+ (1 +rt) st f or t= 0, 1, 2,...

    where all terms have the same meaning as in the static model. Note

    that we have introduced s to stand for the stock of government bonds that

    consumers possess. To be more concrete, think of this as consisting of the

    quantity of the perishable good that traded to the government. At date t,

    st+1denotes the the quantity of the consumption good traded for one-period

    bonds, i.e., bonds that mature in one period. Here,ststands for the quantity

    of bonds that mature this period. We assume that bonds acquired at date

    t 1 (that is, st) will yield 1 +rt units of the consumption good at date

    t. Hence, the last term on the right-hand-side (hereafter, rhs) of equation

    (1.1), combined with wage income (the first term on the rhs) represents the

    resources available for consumption at datet after taxes and newly acquired

    government bonds are subtracted.

    For now, we will assume the production technology employs only labor.

    For simplicity, let the technology be a linear function of the quantity of labor

    employed. Formally,yt= ztnt.

    The government faces a budget constraint. We permit the government

    to issue one-period bonds. At any date, the quantity of government bonds

    can be either positive or negative. In each period, the governments budget

    constraint is represented as

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    29/51

    1. CONSUMERS 23

    (1.2) gt+ (1 +rt) bt = t+bt+1 for t= 0, 1, 2,...

    where bonds issued at date t 1 mature, paying 1 +rt units of the

    consumption good at datet. Here,bt+1stands the quantity of bonds issued

    by the government at date t. The government budget constraint says that

    at each date, the amount of resources spent by the government must be

    collected by the government in the form of taxes or bonds issued. Bonds

    and storage are perfect substitutes in this environment as indicated by the

    fact that both offer the same gross rate of return, 1+rt. For initial conditionsin the bond market, assume that b0= 0.

    There is a looming problem associated with a government that can bor-

    row. Namely, infinitely far out into the future, the government can nei-

    ther a borrower nor a lender be. So that the government cannot run a

    pyramid scheme by paying offcurrent consumers by borrowing from future

    versions of the same consumers, we impose a no Ponzi condition: that is,

    limTbT

    T1i=1 (1+ri)

    = 0. One can crudely translate this condition as saying

    that as the economy approaches a limit that is infinitely far into the future,

    the present value of outstanding government bonds will be equal to zero.

    The counterpart for consumers is that the present value of government

    bonds, as one looks out infinitely far into the future, will also equal zero

    because of the no-Ponzi condition. Formally, limTsT

    T1i=1 (1+ri)

    = 0. For

    the consumer, the intuition is borrowed from finite horizon problems. The

    idea is essentially as follows: if the economy ends at date T, a consumer

    would have no incentive to store goods at date T. Rather, the consumer

    would gain utility from eating the consumption good since the marginal

    utility of the consumption is positive for any finite quantity of the good.

    With the no-Ponzi condition, it is possible to restate the sequence of

    budget constraint into a single budget constraint. To do so, note that s1=

    c1+s21+r1

    w1(1l1)1

    1+r1. Repeat this process fors2 =

    c2+s3(1+r1)(1+r2)

    w2(1l2)2(1+r1)(1+r2)

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    30/51

    24 2. INTERTEMPORAL MODELS

    and so on. Because the limiting condition stipulates that the present value

    of saving will equal zero, we can substitute for government bonds in the

    consumers budget constraint, rewriting as

    (1.3) c0+Xt=1

    ctti=1(1 +ri)

    =w0(1 l0) 0+Xt=1

    wt(1 lt) tti=1(1 +ri)

    where the consumers budget constraint says that the present value of

    goods consumed equals the present value of after-tax resources paid to the

    consumer. This representation of the budget constraint establishes a subtle

    form of equivalence; that is, there is no difference between the sequence ofbudget constraints corresponding a markets meeting at each date t and the

    charaxterization of an economy in which all markets meet at the beginning

    of time and all goodspresent and futureare traded at that Arrow-Debreu

    spot market. I am not suggesting that these perishable goods are literally

    traded at date t = 0. Rather, it is equivalent to think of the date-0 market

    as trading claims against future work and consumption goods.

    The first-order conditions for the consumers constrained optimization

    problem is represented as

    (1.4) tuc(t)

    ti=1(1 +ri)= 0 for t= 1, 2, 3,...

    (1.5) tul(t)wt

    ti=1(1 +ri)= 0 for t= 1, 2, 3,...

    (1.6) uc(0) = 0

    (1.7) ul(0) w0= 0

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    31/51

    3. COMPETITIVE EQUILIBRIUM 25

    where I adopt the notation that ui(ct, lt) =ui(t)for i = c, l. Equations

    (1.4) and (1.6) say that the discounted marginal utility of consumption is

    equal to the present value of the shadow price in the date-0 spot market.

    Similarly, equations (1.5) and (1.7) say that the discounted marginal utility

    of leisure is equal to the present value of the shadow wage. In all cases, there

    is a price for all goods in this economy; the spot price that the consumer

    faces depends on the product of the gross real interest rates.

    We can rerrange the first-order conditions to obtain:

    ul(t)

    uc(t) =wt

    and

    uc(t+ 1)

    uc(t) =

    1

    1 +rt+1

    2. Firm

    The representative firm maximizes profits at each date t, where profits

    are represented as

    maxnt

    (zt wt) nt

    where nt denotes labor demand. Note that labor demand is perfectly

    elastic atzt = wt.

    3. Competitive equilibrium

    A competitive equilibrium consists of quantities,{ct, lt, nt, st+1, bt+1, t}

    t=0

    and prices, {wt, rt+1}

    t=0 that satisfy the following:

    (1) consumers choose {ct, lt, st+1}

    t=0 taht maximize lifetime utility,

    taking{t}

    t=0 and{wt, rt+1}

    t=0 as given;

    (2) firms choose {nt}

    t=0 to maximzie profits, taking {wt}

    t=0 as given;

    (3) given{gt}

    t=0,{bt+1, t}

    t=0satisfy the sequence of government bud-

    get constraints;

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    32/51

    26 2. INTERTEMPORAL MODELS

    (4) markets for the consumption good, for labor, and for government

    bonds clear.

    By Walras Law we can eliminate one market. We choose the market for

    the consumption good, leaving us with

    st+1= bt+1 for t= 0, 1, 2,...

    and

    1 lt=nt for t= 0, 1, 2,...

    So the basic intertemporal model can be written in either of two equiva-

    lent ways. The first way is to solve it as a sequence of markets each meeting

    at a different point of time. Alternatively, each date market is a date good;

    there is an infinite variety of goods available at one date. The trade can

    occur in a spot market just as Arrow and Debreu and MacKenzie devel-

    oped the model. The implication is that there is a complete set of Arrow-

    Debreu markets for an infinite dimensional variety of goods. Moreover, we

    have prices for these different goods; a date-t consumption good sells for

    1ti=1

    (1+ri) date-0 goods. Similarly, date-t labor sells for wt

    ti=1

    (1+ri) units of

    the date-0 consumption good.

    It is possible to construct an intertemporal government budget con-

    straint. Follow the same methodology that we did to constuct the consumers

    intertemporal budget constraint; that is, solve for bt+1and repeatedly sub-

    stitute. With b0 = 0, we get

    (3.1) g0+

    Xt=1

    gt

    ti=1(1 +ri) =0+

    Xt=1

    t

    ti=1(1 +ri)

    The present value of government purchases is exactly equal to the present

    value of taxes.

    Now suppose that the sequence of wages and rental rates are those ob-

    tained in a competitive equilibrium.Those equilibrium prices are invariant

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    33/51

    3. COMPETITIVE EQUILIBRIUM 27

    to any sequence of taxes that satisfies (3.1). In other words, taxes can rise

    today and fall in the future, or vice versa and the equilibrium prices will be

    the same. It further follows that consumers allocation and firms allocation

    are also invariant to the timing of taxes. To illustrate the consumers in-

    variance, substitute the government budget constraint into the consumers

    intertemporal budget constraint, yielding

    (3.2) c0+Xt=1

    ctti=1(1 +ri)

    =w0(1 l0) g0+Xt=1

    wt(1 lt) gtti=1(1 +ri)

    .

    Equation (3.2) indicates that the timing of taxes does not matter since

    taxes do not enter into the expression.

    This invariance is known as Ricardian Equivalence. For a given present

    value of government purchases and taxes, the timing of the governments

    actions do not affect the equilibrium allocations.

    Ricardo mentioned to something like this in his analysis. An increase

    in government spending today is offset by an increase in future taxes. If

    the present value of government purchases is constant, this pattern has no

    impact on consumption, labor supply, wages, or interest rates. The key

    feature of this model is that there exist a complete set of markets on which

    consumers trade. These complete set of markets rest on the notion that

    taxes are nondistortionary, consumers are infinitely lived, private firms and

    consumers can borrow or lend at the send interest rate (capital markets

    are perfect), consumers and firms are identical in the sense that there is no

    distributional effects associated with the government actions. In the next

    chapter, we examine an economy in which consumers are not infinitely lived.

    The upshot is that some consumers cannot trade with future consumers,

    rendering markets incomplete.

    Thus, one initial result is that if markets are complete, the timing of

    consumption is invariant to movements in the nondistortionary taxes. The

    consumer has access to markets that permit consumption smoothing. More

    concretely, borrowing and lending markets are perfect so that in periods in

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    34/51

    28 2. INTERTEMPORAL MODELS

    which disposable income is low, the consumer can borrow and repay the

    loan when disposable income is high.

    4. Problems

    (1) Consider the following representative agent model. There is a rep-

    resentative consumer with preferences given by the utility function

    u (c, l), wherec is the consumption good andl is leisure. Moreover,

    the utility function has the properties that we assumed in class.

    The representative consumer is endowed with one unit of time and

    k0 units of capital. Let the production technology be given by

    y =zf(k, n) where y is output, z is total factor productivity, k is

    the capital input, n is the labor input. Assume that f(k, n) has

    the properties we have assumed in class. Finally, the government

    purchases g units of the consumption and finances these purchases

    by imposing a lump-sum tax, denoted , on consumers.

    a.: Determine the equilibrium effects of a change in government pur-

    chases on consumption, employment, the real wage, and output.

    Assume that consumption and leisure are normal goods for the

    representative consumer. Explain your results.

    b.: Determine the equilibrium effects of a change in total factor pro-

    ductivity on consumption, employment, the real wage, and output.

    Show that your results depend on income and substitution effects

    and, where possible, determine the income and substitution effects.

    Explain your results

    2. Consider a representative agent model where the representative

    consumer has preferences given by:

    E0

    Xt=0

    t [ln(ct) + ln (lt)]

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    35/51

    4. PROBLEMS 29

    where0 < < 1 is the consumers subjective time rate of preference, ct

    is consumption, andlt is leisure. The consumer is endowed with one unit of

    time each period. The production technology is given by

    yt= ztktn

    1t

    wherey is output, z is a technology shock, kis the capital input, and n

    is the labor input. We assume0< < 1. The capital stock depreciates at

    a 100% rate each period. In periodt, one unit of the consumption good can

    be transformed into one unit of capital and this capital becomes productive

    in date t+ 1. Let zt+1 = z

    t t where ln t is an i.i.d. random variable withmean zero and 0< < 1.

    a.: Solve for the competitive equilibrium.

    b.: How does employment vary with the technology shock zt? Is this

    model capable of explaining observed fluctuations in employment?

    Explain.

    c.: How does persistence in the technology shock (> 0) affect con-

    sumption, investment, and output over time? Which of these prop-

    erties do you think are special to this example? Explain.

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    36/51

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    37/51

    CHAPTER 3

    Overlapping generations

    In this chapter, we develop an economic environment in which physi-

    cal restrictions keep some markets from being available. The overlapping

    generations economy is an environemtn in which agents are born and die.

    The overlapping part comes from the fact that at any particular date, mul-

    tiple generations coexist. For simplicity, we focus on an economy in which a

    consumer lives for two periods. Thus, two generations are alive at any one

    point in time. Here, market incompleteness owes to the physical inability

    for agents born at date t to be unable to enter into a market trade with

    consumers born at date t+ 2 or later. More concretely, Abraham Lincoln

    cannot trade with Michael Jordan. At least in the model economy populated

    with infinitely-lived households, the decendents of Abraham Lincoln could

    trade with Michael Jordan.

    There is an infinite sequence of dates, indexed by t = 0, 1, 2,... The

    physical environment initially focuses on the description of the factors of

    production. We assume that the initial aggregate stock of capital is K0

    and the economy is endowed with this quantity. The population follows a

    simple path over time, growing geometrically. Let Lt denote the number of

    consumers born at date t growth, then Lt =L0(1 +n)t, where L0 denotes

    the number of consumers at date t = 1 that live for only one period. We

    refer to this group as the initial old.Consumers born at date t 1 are endowed with one of productive

    time when young and nothing when old. Here, young refers to the first

    period of the consumers life and old refers to the second period of their life.

    Preferences are such that consumers want to eat in both periods of their

    31

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    38/51

    32 3. OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS

    life. Formally, U(c1t, c2t+1) where c1t is the quantity of goods consumed

    when young and c2t+1is the quantity of good consumed when old. Further,

    we assume that M RS1,2 = U(.,.)/c1U(.,.)/c2

    = as c1 0 and M RS1,2 = 0 as

    c1 . Note that since leisure is not valued, it is straightforward to show

    that consumers will work their entire endowment. The inelastic supply of

    labor can be thought of as a vertical labor supply curve.

    Aggregate production uses capital and labor to produce units of the

    consumption good. The technology exhibits constant returns to scale. For-

    mally, we write production as Yt= F(Kt, Lt). Note that capital consists of

    the aggregate quantity of goods accumulated as capital by date t 1.

    There are several things about this environment that are worth noting.

    First, there is limited, indeed, no communication across generations that do

    not coexist. In other words, a consumer born at date t cannot write a debt

    contract that any future generation. The contracts cannot be written when

    young because future generations are not born and therefore cannot enter

    into contracts. Nor will the datet old accept an iou from the young because

    the old will be gone before they get repaid. From the perspective of issuing

    debt, such contracts cannot be issued when old because by the time the debtmatures, usually one period later, the old person is gone from the market

    and there is no way for the curent young to get repaid.

    Second, note that all consumers have the same lifetime preferences. It

    will be convenient to start with the aggregate resource constraint. In this

    way, we can begin to analyze the planners problem. The resource constraint

    is

    (0.1) F(Kt, Lt) +Kt= Kt+1+Ltc1t+Lt1c2t.

    The left-hand-side of equation (0.1) represents the total value of re-

    sources that are available for this economy, while the right-hand-side talleys

    up the potential uses. In words, total output plus the value of the existing

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    39/51

    3. OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS 33

    (undepreciated) capital stock is used for (gross) investment, consumption

    by those born at date tand consumption by those born at date t 1.

    Since all consumers have identical preferences, we start with the sup-

    position that a social planner seeks to maximize the lifetime welfare of

    the representative two-period life consumer. Therefore, it simplifies out

    analysis to convert the resource constraint into quantities that are speci-

    fied in per-young-person terms. Divide (0.1) by Lt and using the fact that

    Lt= (1 +n) Lt1, we obtain

    (0.2) f(kt) +kt = (1 +n) kt+1+c1t+ c2t1 +n

    We turn now to some definitions presented in welfare economics; namely,

    we are interested in Pareto optimality.

    Definition 1. An allocation,

    c1t, c

    2t, k

    t+1

    t=1 is Pareto optimal if it

    is feasible and there exists no other allocationn

    c1t, c2t, kt+1

    o

    t=1such that

    c20 c

    20 and U(c1t, c2t+1) U

    c1t, c

    2t+1

    for all t 1 with at least one

    inequality that is strict.

    With this definition of inequality, we focus on steady states. Specifically,

    c1t = c1t+1 = c1, c2t = c2t+1 = c2 and kt = kt+1 = k for all t 1.

    After substituting for the steady state value in the resource constraint, the

    planners problem can be written as:

    maxc1,c2,k

    U(c1, c2)

    s.t. f(k) nk= c1+ c21 +n

    .

    It is possible to further simplify the planners problem, substituting the

    steady-state representation of the resource constraint for c2, obtaining the

    following unconstrained optimization problem:

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    40/51

    34 3. OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS

    (0.3) maxc1,k U{c1, (1 +n) [f(k) nk c1]} .

    The first-order necessary conditions for the optimum are:

    (0.4) U1 (1 +n) U2= 0

    (0.5) f0 (k) n= 0

    Equation (0.5) says that the marginal product of capital must equal

    the economys net propulation growth rate. Equation (0.4) says that the

    consumer is will substitute an infinitesmial amount of consumption when

    young provided the utility lost is offset by the marginal utility of the extra

    utility that can be gained by consuming when old. Because of the population

    growth, every unit of the consumption good that is foregone at date t will

    be transformed into 1 +n units of the date-t+ 1 consumption good.

    It is useful to make two points in order to ease intrepretation later. First,

    the two first-order conditions for the planners problem can be rearranged,

    yielding

    (0.6) U1

    U2= 1 +n= 1 +f0 (k)

    which says that the marginal rate of substitution for the two consump-

    tion goodsconsumption when young and consumption when old is equal for

    all consumers. This condition is one of two necessary conditions for Pareto

    optimality. Equation (0.6) further states that the marginal rate of substitu-

    tion is equal to the marginal rate of transformation. Second, the allocation

    that satisfies the first-order conditions is efficient in the sense that all re-

    sources are used in their most highly valued fashion, as consumption for

    young or old and for investment. There is free disposal in this economy, but

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    41/51

    3. OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS 35

    consumers would never choose to dispose of goods when either consumption

    or investment is an option.

    It is straigtforward to solve the for the planners allocation. Because

    the production technology is strictly concave, equation (0.5) indicates that

    there will be

    f0 (ksp) =n

    exactly one value ofk, denoted ksp, that satisfies this first-order condition.

    With the unique value ksp, we solve for the unique value ofcsp1 that satisfies

    U1{csp1 , (1 +n) [f(k

    sp) nksp csp1 ]}(1 +n) U2{csp1 , (1 +n) [f(k

    sp) nksp csp1 ]}=

    0. It follows that csp

    2 = (1 +n) [f(ksp

    ) nksp

    csp

    1 ]. Thus, we have the al-location for that solves the planners problem.

    0.1. Competitive equilibrium. In this section, we consider a decen-

    tralized economy. Our aim is to determine whether the competitive equilib-

    rium will yield the same allocation as the planner would choose.

    The consumer seeks to maximize lifetime utility. We assume that con-

    sumers supply saving, denoted st, when young. The consumers program is

    written as

    maxc1t,c2t+1,st

    U(c1t, c2t+1)

    (0.7) s.t. c1t= wt st

    (0.8) c2t+1= (1 +rt+1) st.

    Note that each unit saved at date t yields 1 +rt+1 goods at date t+ 1.

    The consumer receives wages,wtunits of the consumption good when young.

    In a competitive market, the consumer takes w and r as given.We substi-

    tute for consumption when young and consumption when old, rewriting the

    consumers program as an unconstrained maximization problem. Formally,

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    42/51

    36 3. OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS

    (0.9) maxst U[wt st, (1 +rt+1) st]

    The first-order necessary condition for the consumers program is

    (0.10) U1[wt st, (1 +rt+1) st]+(1 +rt+1) U2[wt st, (1 +rt+1) st] = 0.

    Thus, we have one equation in one unknown. We solve equation (0.10)

    for st as a function of wages and the real interest rate. Formally, st =

    s (wt, rt+1). Note that the marginal rate of substitution for the consumer is

    U1(.)U2(.)

    = 1 +rt+1.

    The firm seeks to maximize profits. Profits are written as the difference

    between sales of output produced and expenses, with the latter consisting

    of wages and rental rates; formally

    F(Kt, Lt) wtLt rtKt.

    With constant returns to scale, F(Kt, Lt) = Ltf(kt). We can rewrite

    the profit function, after dividing by Lt, as

    maxkt

    f

    KtLt

    wt rt

    KtLt

    implying that profit maximization is given by the following two condi-

    tions:

    (0.11) f0 (kt) rt = 0

    (0.12) f(kt) f0 (kt) kt wt= 0

    Together, there are two first-order conditions. The first implies that

    the marginal product of the capital-labor ratio equals the rental rate on

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    43/51

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    44/51

    38 3. OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS

    the rental rate is determined by (0.11) and the wage rate by (0.12). With

    the rental rate and wage rate, we compute the level of saving from (0.13).

    Consumption when young and when old are determined by equations (0.7)

    and (0.8), respectively. Thus, the equilibrium values are obtained.

    Next, we turn to a comparison of the optimal allocations under the social

    planners and the decentralized market ones. One comparison is with respect

    to the first-order conditions depicting the trade-off between consumption

    when young and consumption when old. Recall that the social planners

    problem yielded U1U2 = 1 + n; in contrast, the representative young person

    solves a problem in which U1

    U2= 1 + r. In the happy coincidence in which

    r = n, these conditions are identical and the First Welfare Theorem is

    satisfied.

    To show how a government can become involved to achieve the first-

    best allocationthe one chosen by the social plannerconsider a particular

    example of an overlapping generations economy in which r 6= n. Suppose

    preferences at log and the production function is Cobb-Douglas. Formally,

    the person born at date t 1, maximizes

    (0.14) maxst

    [ln(wt st)] + ln [(1 +rt+1) st]

    whereis a parameter that indicates the extent to which the consumer

    discounts future utility. We assume that0 < < 1. Solving this problem

    we find that

    (0.15) st= 1 wt.

    With production technology in intensive form given by

    kt

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    45/51

    3. OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS 39

    where > 0 denotes total factor productivity. This implies that rt =

    k1t and wt = (1 ) kt . The goods market clears when the demand

    for saving equals the supply:

    (0.16) (1 +n) kt+1=

    1 (1 ) kt.

    Focus on a steady state equilibrium, defined askt+1= kt = k. Equation

    (0.16), reduces to

    (1 +n) k =

    1 (1 )(k) .

    We solve for k

    , obtaining

    (0.17) k =

    1 +

    (1 )

    1 +n

    11

    By plugging in the value ofk into the equilibrium expressions for the

    rental rate and the wage rate, we obtain

    r =

    (1 + ) (1 +n)

    (1 )

    and

    w = (1 )

    (1 )

    (1 + ) (1 +n)

    1

    .

    Steady state consumption over the the representative consumers life is

    given by

    c1= w

    1 +

    and

    c2= (1 +r)

    1 +

    w.

    Our first comparison is between the rental rate and the population

    growth rate. In doing so, we are making a comparison between the allo-

    cations obtained in the decentralized economy and those obtained by the

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    46/51

    40 3. OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS

    social planner. With r = h(1+)(1+n)

    (1)

    i, it is only a happy coincidence

    that r = n. In general, this condition will not hold. Letksp denote the

    stationary value of the capital stock under the social planners program.

    For our setup, (ksp)1 =n, or ksp =n

    11 . In words, the long-run

    steady state value of the capital-labor ratio in the competitive equilibrium

    is not equal to the one chosen by the social planner.

    Thus, the results indicate that, in general, the competitive equilibrium

    is not socially optimal. Without picking parameter values, it is not possible

    to determine whether the capital-labor ratio in the competitive equilibrium

    is greater than or less than the social planners capital-labor ratio. Withk 6=ksp, we identify a case of dynamic inefficiency. If the capital-labor ra-

    tio in the competitive equilibrium is greater than the socially optimal value,

    then consumption when young could be greater. If the capital-labor ratio

    in the competitive equilibrium is less than the socially optimal value, then

    consumption when old could be greater. The bottom line is that lifetime

    welfare of the two-period lived consumers is lower in the competitive equi-

    librium than in the social planner setting.

    The source of the dynamic inefficiency in the overlapping generationseconomy is market incompleteness. The inability of the current generations

    to trade with unborn generations results in the wrong price for future

    goods in the overlapping generations economy. The price of old-age con-

    sumption, from the perspective of the young person, is 1/r. The rate at

    which society can trade one unit of consumption when young for one unit

    of consumption when old is 1/n. The price is not equal to the marginal

    rate of technical substitution. Based on this (inverse of the) rental rate,

    consumers will choose too little (too much) consumption when young when

    the rental rate is greater than (less than) the population growth rate. The

    wedge between these prices exists because of the restrictions on trades that

    is inherent to the overlapping generations model.

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    47/51

    3. OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS 41

    The purpose of the next extension is to describe a mechanism that per-

    mits transfers between the young and the old. In a lump-sum form, these

    intergenerational transfers can eliminate the wedge between the marginal

    rate of technical substitution and the rental rate determined in the compet-

    itive equilibrium. As such, the mechanism designed originally by Diamond

    (1965), demonstrates a more general characteristic; there exists a mecha-

    nism that guarantees that restores the equality between the competitive

    equilibrium allocations and those determined by the social planner.

    0.2. The Diamond economy. In this section, we include government

    debt as a means of executing intergenerational transfers. The government,

    who has a role in economies in which the First Welfare Theorem breaks

    down, will choose the size of the transfer so that the allocations in the com-

    petitive equilibrium is equal to those chosen by the social planner. Here, the

    governments chief activities is to issue debt to young consumers, execute

    a transfer to young consumers, and then tax future young consumers to

    pay the interest and principal on this debt. In short, our aim is to demon-

    strate that a mechanism designed to execute intergenerational transfers can

    fix the dynamic inefficiency present in the baseline overlapping generations

    economy.

    Let Bt+1 denote the aggregate quantity of government debt issued at

    datet. The subscript reflects the maturity structure of our government debt;

    specifically, all government debt matures one period after issue. For each

    one unit of the consumption good traded for government debt at date t, the

    bearer of the debt will receive1 +rt=1units of the consumption good at date

    t+1. Note that government debt and capital offer the same gross real return.

    The upshot is that government debt and capital are perfect substitutes. I

    further assume that the quantity of government debt is fixed in per capita

    terms; that is, Bt+1=bLt, where b is the quantity of government debt per

    young consumer.

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    48/51

    42 3. OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS

    In this setup, suppose the government issues bonds and collects taxes

    in order to meets its principal and interest expenses. Taxes are lump-sum

    payments made by young consumers. Formally, the government budget

    constraint is

    Bt+1+Tt= (1 +rt) Bt

    where Tt = tLt. To represent the government budget constraint in

    per-young-consumer terms, we divide by Lt to get

    (0.18) b+ t=1 +rt1 +n

    b

    After collecting terms and rearranging to solve for the tax, we get

    (0.19) t =

    rt n

    1 +n

    b.

    The two-period lived consumer solves the following maximization prob-

    lem

    maxst

    U[wt st t, (1 +rt+1) st]

    taking wages, the real interest rate and taxes as given. The first-order

    condition yields a saving function that is written as st = s (wt t, rt+1).

    Thus, the market clearing condition in the asset market is (in per-young-

    person terms): kt+1(1 +n) +b = s (wt t, rt+1), where the left hand side

    is interpreted as the supply of asset and the right hand side is the demand.

    Because government bonds and capital are perfect substitutes, we do not

    need to distinguish between the two on the demand side of the market-

    clearing expression.

    We can further substitute for equilibrium values of wages, the rental and

    lump-sum taxes, representing the market-clearing expression as

    (0.20) kt+1(1 +n) +b= s

    f(kt) f

    0 (kt) kt

    f0 (kt) n

    1 +n

    b, f0 (kt+1)

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    49/51

    3. OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS 43

    which represents the market-clearing condition as an equilibrium law of

    motion for the capital-labor ratio. Indeed, equation (0.20) is a nonlinear

    first-order difference equation in the capital-labor ratio. For our purposes,

    note that there exists a stationary, or steady state, value of the capital-labor

    ratio that satisfies k (b) =kt = kt+1. Thus, (0.20) becomes

    (0.21)

    k (b) (1 +n)+b= s

    f[k (b)] f0 [k (b)] k (b)

    f0 [k (b)] n

    1 +n

    b, f0 [k (b)]

    We return to the question that initiated this section; specifically, does

    there exists a value of the steady state capital stock such that the stationary

    allocation in the decentralized economy is identical to the planners alloca-

    tion. More precisely, is there a value of k (b) such that f0 [k (b)] = n?

    From the stationary representation of the equilibrium law of motion, (0.21)

    we know that

    b= k (b) (1 +n)+s

    f[k (b)] f0 [k (b)] k (b)

    f0 [k (b)] n

    1 +n

    b, f0 [k (b)]

    Note that b can be either positive or negative. A positive value would

    correspond to a case in which the government borrows from private citizens

    and a negative value would correspond to a government that loans resources

    to consumers. The function k (b) is continuous in the bond-per-young-

    consumer ratio. Thus, there exists a value ofb such thatf0 [k (b)] =n.

    Two additional results follow in our decentralized economy. First, note

    that t =f0[k(b)]n

    1+n

    b from equation (0.19). It follows immediately that

    lump-sum taxes will equal zero since the numerator of this expression van-

    ishes.

    Second, there is an intergenerational transfer operating. By assump-

    tion, b is a constant that is interpreted as the quantity of bonds issued per

    young consumer. Thus, the aggregate quantity of bonds must grow at the

    same rate as the population grows. If b > 0, there is a transfer of goods

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    50/51

    44 3. OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS

    from young consumers to old consumers. Remember that we do not know

    whether the decentralized economy chooses a capital-labor ratio that is too

    large or too small relative to the Pareto optimum; that is, k > kSP or

    k < kSP. Ifk > kSP, then young consumers are saving too much. Cor-

    resondingly, the market rental rate is too low relative to the marginal rate

    of technical substitution. In order to reduce the capital-labor ratio, the gov-

    ernment issues bonds that are purchased by young consumers. In practice,

    young consumers are giving up goods to the government that are then used

    to repay old bondholders. It is in this sense that there is an operational

    intergenerational transfer. The young consumers portfolio is thereby re-

    structured so that the dynamic inefficiency is eliminated, yieldingk =kSP

    and the rental rate is equal to one plus the population growth rate.

    Conversely, if k < kSP, the government sets b < 0. By lending to

    young consumers and receiving goods from old consumers, the government is

    executing a transfer between old consumers to young consumers. The notion

    of an intergenerational transfer that occurs when the government gives goods

    to young consumers, using the proceeds from principal and interest paid

    by old consumers. Thus, the Diamond model shows that there exists amarket economy, augmented by government paper, that will eliminate the

    dynamic inefficiency. The dynamic inefficiency owes to the existence of the

    market incompleteness. The First Welfare Theorem ensures that we could

    have eliminated the dynamic inefficiency by a series of lump-sum taxes and

    transfers. Diamond shows that the dynamic inefficiency can be undone by

    issuing government paper.

    1. Problems

    (1) Consider the Diamond economy.

    a. Verify that function k(b)is a continuous function in the bond-per-

    young-consumer ratio.

  • 8/10/2019 Notes for Econ 8453

    51/51

    1. PROBLEMS 45

    b. Derive the derviative of the functionk(b)with respect to the bond-

    per-young-consumer ratio. State sufficient conditions under which

    the derivative is increasing; that is, k0(b)> 0.