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Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA Investor Presentation January 2020

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Page 1: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA

Investor Presentation January 2020

Page 2: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

Norwegian at a glance

2

4thLARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE*

150+GLOBAL

DESTINATIONS

500+ ROUTES

~36MPASSENGERS FLOWN160+

AIRCRAFT IN FLEET

~10,000HARD WORKING STAFF

* Based on passengers in 2019, based on company traffic reports.

Page 3: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

8 56 8 11 1320

22 2323 22

115 5

2

2 55 5

55 5

5

7 16 23

3135

4242

40 40

64 62 61

2

7 15 23

30 41 5164

53 52

40

46

14

14

2

55

9

14

22

26

1

23

3

7

10

11

6 811 13

22

32

4046

5762

68

85

9599

116

144

164

156

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Set to leverage on scale

3

787-8/9 Owned

737-800 Owned

737-800 Leased

787-8/9 Leased

737 MAX 8 Leased

737 MAX 8 Owned

M80 Leased

737-300 Leased

737-300 Owned

Number of Aircraft

Local short-haul focus Global growth phase, long-haul focus Focus on profitability

23019+822215+315642Aircraft orders

New markets and other

key milestones

Europe’s Best Low-Cost Airline

World’s Best Low-Cost Long Haul Airline

Leading position

on Nordic short

haul

Maturing long-

haul offering

with improving

margins

Solid platform

and sufficient

scale to achieve

profitability

Top ranked by

both short-haul

and long-haul

passengers

4

Page 4: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

Innovation Teamwork Simplicity

CORE

VALUES

Key pillars of our corporate strategy 2018-2022

“We shall be the leading long-haul low-cost airline

in Europe operating as the engine of global low-

cost alliance and dominating the Nordic short-

haul market”

Return to sustainable profitability

Be the preferred airline for customers seeking value

for money

Fortify position as the leading short-haul carrier in

the Nordics

Build global low-cost alliance with our long-haul

operation as the backbone

LO

NG

TE

RM

VIS

ION

ST

RA

TE

GIC

OB

JE

CT

IVE

S

2022

• Reduce cost base

• Sustainable unit cost position

• Cost control and automation

Competitive cost base

• Standardize and reduce complexity

• Strategic sourcing

• Agile development processes

Improve digital and

analytics capabilities

• Deliver on the basics

• One customer journey

• Personalization and Reward

Shared customer focus

• Commercially-driven fleet plan

• Fleet renewal program

• Maximize return on assets

Optimized asset

management

• Improve operational simplicity

• Develop resilient program

• Optimize technical & crew

Operational resilience

• Focus is to capitalize on long haul

• Fortify position in the Nordics

• Improve connectivity and feed

Profitable operations and

global alliance

KEY FOCUS AREAS

4

Page 5: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

Changing strategic focus from growth to profitability

5

2013 - 2018 2019 -

Focus on profitability and cash flow

Optimization of the base structure

and route network based on 12-month

profitability criteria

Continuous efforts to reduce costs

Focus on growth

Built up market position and scale

Captured slots at constrained airports

Onboarded new aircraft and

launched new routes

Divest aircraft not required for the

company’s commercial needs

Page 6: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

Changes to network and operations

Page 7: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

Stable demand at key airports

7

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Oslo Stockholm Copenhagen Gatwick Barcelona

TOTAL PASSENGERSIn million

2015 2016 2017 2018 LTM Q3 2019

Source: Avinor, Swedavia, Copenhagen Airports, Gatwick Airport and Aena.

Page 8: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

2016 2017 2018 2019

ASK (12m rolling) Unit revenue growth y/y

→ Profits in Q3 was the highest in the Company’s history

→ The planned capacity reduction supports higher unit revenue, better load

factor and increased punctuality

MONTHLY TRAFFIC DEVELOPMENT

New strategy starting to show results

8

Page 9: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

LGW

7 (-4)

NO

40 (+1)

IT

0 (-3)

ES

20 (-6)

DUB

2 (-5)

Exhaustive review of the short-haul operation

SUMMER 2020 AIRCRAFT ALLOCATION

9

DK

12 (0)

SE

14 (-3)

FI

7 (-2)

EDI

0 (-1)

TRD

OSLBGO

SVG

ARNHEL

CPH

LGW

EDIDUB

FCOBCN

PMIMAD

AGPALC

TFS

LPA

Existing base

Restructured base

Closed base

Versus same

season last year( )

Focus on Nordic core

Short-haul network connectivity and density

Support long-haul feed, where appropriate

Reduce complexity

Handle fleet deficit from MAX grounding

Closed down more than 70 routes, of which

more than 50 on short haul

Page 10: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

Our long-haul business in context

10

Geographic

focus

Connecting large catchment areas

Seek connectivity with the rest of the network where necessary

FleetA fleet of 37 Boeing 787 Dreamliners

Two-class configuration and high-density cabin

Product focusValue for money fares with quality inflight services, leveraging our

award-winning brand

Business

model

Long haul, low cost mainly focused on connecting primary airport / city

points

ProfitabilityFinetuning network to improve operational resilience

Focus on core EU and US markets

Page 11: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

Long haul developing according to strategy

SUMMER 2020 AIRCRAFT ALLOCATION TRAFFIC AND YIELD DEVELOPMENT

11

UK

787: 13

NO

787: 2

IT

787: 4ES

787: 5

FR

787: 7

US

787: 2

33 aircraft deployed on long-haul network

2017 2018LTM

Q3 2019

Passengers (million) 3.0 5.4 6.0

ASK (billion) 23.9 45.0 49.9

Legs 11,500 20,600 21,600

Load factor 90% 87% 87%

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

ASK, 12m rolling (million) Yield, 12m rolling (index; Q2 2013 = 100)

Page 12: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

12

Connecting networks

to feed long haul

Largest foreign carrier in New York and largest European carrier in Los Angeles

Page 13: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

Our young fleet is a key sustainability, commercial and financial advantage

13Source: Planespotter.net, January 2019.

The International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT) Working Paper 2019-16: CO2 emissions from commercial aviation, 2018.

~20% more fuel efficient than

world average for airline

Lower fuel costs

Significantly improved environmental

friendliness

Newer and more sustainable aircraft

are preferred by travellers globally

Page 14: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

Our low-cost business model is one of the most carbon efficient in the world

14

ONGOING INITIATIVES

Fleet renewal program

Advanced weather data from

Avtech

SkyBreathe app for pilots

Page 15: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

Disciplined low cost operating model

Cost development in 2018 and 2019 Cost level compares well to peers

Southwest

Ryanair

AirAsia X

Vueling

WizzAir

0.56easyJet

Finnair

JetBlue

SAS

0.27

0.32

0.35

0.43

0.59

0.56

0.59

0.62

0.76

Operating costs (EBIT level) per ASK (NOK)1

1 Based on 2018 annual reports or corresponding fiscal year.

• Foreign exchange rates used are equivalent to the daily average rates corresponding to the reporting periods and as stated by the Central Bank of Norway

• Other losses/(gains) are not included in the unit cost measure as it primarily contains hedge gains/losses offset under financial items, as well as other non-operational income

and/or cost items such as gains on the sale of spare part inventory and unrealized foreign currency effects on receivables/payables and (hedges of operational expenses).

Norwegian has the

youngest fleet

0.28

0.23

0.25 0.24 0.25

0.23 0.22

Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19

Operating costs excl. fuel and ownership costs per ASK (NOK)

15

Page 16: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

Cost area Completed cost initiativesActual Q3

(NOK m)

Actual

YTD Q3

(NOK m)

Airport, handling

and technical

costs

• High effect of airport- and handling-related cost initiatives during peak season

• Progressing on several items with key technical suppliers408 924

Operating

efficiency

• Lower personnel costs due to improved planning and efficiency measures

• Standardizing operational tools and consumables

• Improving disruption handling

• Processes to close operational bases announced

237 582

Procurement,

administration

and IT

• Stronger effects from renegotiated volume-driven agreements

• Consolidating office locations in Norway and Spain

• Implemented new flight planning system

68 177

Commercial,

marketing and

product offering

• Product offering optimization

• Working with partners to release synergies114 165

Total 827 1,848

#FOCUS2019: Raising full-year target to NOK 2.3 billion

16

Page 17: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

Continuing to deliver on strategic changes

Page 18: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

Fuel is the largest variable expense and accounted for 30 percent of costs in 2018

181) Numbers presented are annualised numbers on a December year-end basis due to the different reporting standards of the peer companies

2) 2019 full year estimated with a forward fuel cost at 626 USD/MT as per 12.12.2019

601 569

639

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Jet fuel price and effective fuel price including hedging1

JET1NECC INDEX SAS easyJet Ryanair Norwegian Brent Brent forward

Jet fuel

(USD/MT)

885

526

859

719

560

582

728

568

672580

514498

614

Hedging ratio 12m fwd at FY reporting

SAS 80 % 45 % 43 % 52 % 62 % n.a.

easyJet 83 % 81 % 75 % 65 % 68 % n.a.

Ryanair 90 % 95 % 90 % 90 % 90 % n.a.

Norwegian 50 % 52 % 25 % 35 % 00 % n.a.

2

Brent

(USD per BOE)

674

605

685

647

2021

Page 19: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

Impact of MAX grounding and engine issues

Status and impact from MAX grounding

18 aircraft grounded 12 March 2019

16 new deliveries deferred

Estimated negative impact on P&L of NOK 1 billion for 2019

Discussions on compensation and new delivery schedule

Engine issues Dreamliners

Estimated negative impact on P&L of NOK 300 million for 2019

Credit card acquirers

Onboarded two new acquirers in Q4 plus a new account-to-account solution

In discussions with existing acquirers

Page 20: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

Significant actions to increase financial headroom while transforming the business

20

Ongoing Sept Oct

#Focus2019

Target achieved through continuous cost focus and revised target to NOK 2.3 billion

Sale of NOFI

Completed sale of shares with final settlement in Q4 and cash release of NOK 0.9 billion

Partnership

Letter of intent for partnership with JetBlue

Deferring deliveries

Restructuring of aircraft orders reducing capex by NOK 22.0 billion for 2019 and 2020

Bond maturity

NOK 3.4 billion extended with approx. 2 years compared to original maturity dates

Sale of aircraft

Concluded 24 AC for 2019 and 2020 with net liquidity effect of NOK 2.2 billion

Aug

Joint Venture

Established joint venture with CCBLI reducing capex by NOK 13.7 billion

Based on exchange rate USD/NOK of 9.10.

Sale of Argentina

Sold Argentinian subsidiary to JetSMART

Capital raise

Private placement of NOK 1.1 billion and CB of USD 150 million. This comes on top of NOK 3 billion rights issue in Q1 2019

DecNov

Page 21: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

Sold a total 24 aircraft with net proceeds of NOK 2.2 billion in 2019 and 2020

NUMBER OF AIRCRAFT BASED ON ANNOUNCED SALES

21

Fleet (2020 vs. 2018) Aircraft sales* Aircraft re-deliveries Aircraft deliveries Net development

Short haul 22 9 16 -15

Long haul 0 0 9 9

Total 22 9 25 -6

* In addition, the company sold two Airbus A320neo in Q1 2019 that were on external lease.

787-8/9 Owned

737-800 Owned

737-800 Leased

787-8/9 Leased

737 MAX 8 Leased

737 MAX 8 Owned

62 61 61 61 61 57 55 54 53

52 51 47 45 40

30 30 30 30

4 44 4

4

4 4 4 4

14 1414 14

14

19 19 23 30

22 2425 26

26

26 26 2626

10 10 11 1111

14 15 1515

164 164 162 161156

150 149 152158

Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20

Page 22: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

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Page 23: Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA...Investor Presentation January 2020 Norwegian at a glance 2 4th LARGEST LOW-COST AIRLINE IN EUROPE* 150+ GLOBAL DESTINATIONS 500+ ROUTES ~36M 160 + PASSENGERS

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