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  • 8/9/2019 NewsLinkV5N3

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    NEWSLINKIDEASAN DUPDATESON PUBLICPOLICY

    NEWSLINK

    FWhy do we have water bans?Price system means real water conservation

    continued on pa

    continued on pag

    BHI enters New H ampshire tax forayGovernors sales tax plan would have killed jobs

    Vol. 5, No. 3 Spring 20

    I

    n a state know n for its tax re-

    sistance, imposing a sales tax

    is no small challenge. New

    Hampshire Governor Jeanne

    Shaheen learned this when she backed a plan

    to establish a 2.5% sales tax as part of her EX-

    CEL NH progr am to fund state public schools.

    Governor Shaheens plan, announ ced

    in February as a long-term fund ing and im-

    provement solution for public schools, was

    expected, according to the governor, to yield

    $365 million in net revenu e in FY 2003. She

    based h er projections on estimates by the New

    Hamp shire Department of Revenue Ad minis-

    tration and by her blue ribbon tax commission

    show ing that her tax package, wh ich includ ed

    the 2.5% sales tax, wou ld cover the states ed

    tion costs.

    She ha d t he suppor t o f e duc a

    and m anufac tur ing groups , who saw a s

    tax as the least object ionable m ethod of r

    ing the fund s .

    Retai lers, however, disagreed w

    her. They fel t the plan wou ld resul t in a

    o f s a l e s f rom ou t -o f - s t a t e r e s i de n t s w

    shop in N ew H amp shire to avoid sales ta

    This would lead to grea te r revenue loss

    the s ta te than ant icipa ted.

    In March, the Beacon Hill Insti

    joined the deba te. ABHI FaxSheet, Sales

    Facts: Revenue Gains and Job Losses in N ew

    IN THIS ISSUEFrom t he Executive DirectorThe 'Living Wage': Harvard 's

    dilemma...................................2

    News AnalysisOpting in, tun ing out:Voluntary checkoffs................3

    Shifting capital gains taxes....6

    BookMarkBasic Economics,

    by Thomas Sowell, reviewed.....7

    or ap proximately 55 Mas-

    sa c huse t t s c i t i e s a nd

    town s, the arrival of sum-

    m e r h a s f o r y e a r s b e e n

    marked n ot only by Memorial Day but

    a l so by the advent of outdoor water

    bans. This year wil l be no different .Towns like Gloucester, Chelmsford and

    Rockpor t in the East, Lanesborough in

    the West, and Attleboro, Dartmou th an d

    Falmouth in the South may face the

    prospect of browned lawns.

    If you live in one of these com-

    munit ies and think that the deluge in

    March and the rains in late May wil l

    avert the prospect of browned lawns and

    dirty cars, think again. Massachusetts

    h a s e x p e r i e n c i e d o n e o f t h e d r i e s t

    springs in recent mem ory, thus guaran -

    teeing that, once again, the w ater police

    will be on patrol.

    For tuna te ly , most c i t i es and

    towns in th e Bay State do n ot impose wa-

    ter bans. Not one city or town in the Mas-

    sachusetts Water Resources Author ity dis-

    trict, long plagued by

    high rates and Boston

    Har bor clean-up costs,

    wil l impose a water

    ban. And , according to

    the state Department of

    Environmental Protec-

    tion, many of the towns

    that deploy water bans

    rely on the good will of

    their residents for en-

    forcement. Last year,

    app roximately 20 town s

    with restrictions made

    them volun tary.

    But resid ents of other tow ns face the

    sum mer ritual of leafing throug h local news-

    pap ers for information on wh en and how they

    may w ater their lawns.Why does i t have to be this way?

    Fuels like gas and oil are not now rationed, and

    food and other hou sehold necessities are easy

    to find. Why this asymmetry?

    The solution: A market system.

    The answer is that, as with oth er sho

    ages, water shortages result from provid

    keep ing p rices artificially low. Because the p r

    is kept low, people consume more water

    bathing, cooking and watering their lawns th

    is available for those purposes.

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    New sLink is published quarterlby the Beacon Hill Institu te for Pub

    lic Policy Research at Suffolk Un

    versity. The Beacon H ill Institu te fo

    cuses on federal, state and local eco

    nom ic policies as they affect citizen

    and businesses, particularly in Ma

    sachusetts. The institute uses state

    of-the-art statistical, m athem atic

    and econometric methods to pro

    vide timely and readable analysethat help voters, policy makers an

    opinion leaders understand today

    leading p ub lic policy issues.

    PUBLISHERD AVID G. TUERCKEXECUTIVEDIRECTOR

    PRODUCTIONELLEN F. FOLEYDIRECTOROFCOMMUNICATIONS

    EDITORFRANK CONTEPUBLICATIONSEDITOR

    (ISSN 1094-0707)

    2001 Beacon Hill Institu te forPublic Policy Research, Suffolk

    University, 8 Ashbu rton Place,

    Boston, MA 02108-2770. Voice,

    (617) 573-8750; fax, (617) 720-4272;

    e-mail, [email protected]; web

    site, http:/ / ww w.beaconhill.org.

    PAGE 2 / SPRING 2001

    BEACON HILL INSTITUTE

    From the Execut ive Director

    H

    The "liv ing w age"

    threatens t o t urn un-skilled w orkers w ho

    w ork for $6/hr. into

    unemployed w orkers

    w ho w ork for nothing

    at all .

    David G. Tuerc

    arvard Square i s qu ie te r

    now th a t the s tudent s i t -

    in a t Massachuse t t s H al l

    is over. For three weeks

    in Apri l and May, s tud ents deman ding

    a l iving w age for Harvard

    Univers i tys lowest p a id w orkers

    staged a high p rofi le , celebri ty en-

    dorsed p rotes t tha t drew sup port f rom

    elected officials and org anized labor

    and drew coverage f rom papers across

    the country.

    The camp aign for a l iving

    wage h ad been cente red

    thu s far on U.S. cit ies

    and count ies (inc lud ing

    Boston and Cambridge) ,

    the aim being to forcef irms d oing bus iness

    wi th loca l governments

    to pay work ers a t some

    leve l deemed to repre-

    se n t t he min i mum wa ge

    ne e de d t o suppor t a

    fam ily. The Boston

    ordinance def ined th e

    wa ge as one su fficient

    for a family of four to

    l ive a t or above the federa l pover ty

    level and set th e wage ini t ial ly at

    $8.23/ hr .Now t he ca mpa i gn wa s

    extend ed to the count ry s most

    prest igiou s un iversi ty. The 30 stud ent

    protes tors wanted a comm itment f rom

    Harvard to pay work ers the $10.25/ hr .

    se t by the Ci ty of Cambridge .

    Harvard respond ed ini t ia l ly

    by defending i t s employment p rac-

    t ices, saying th at non e of i ts ful l -t ime

    employees makes less than $10.25/ hr .

    in tota l comp ensa t ion and tha t , of a ll

    i ts 13,500 regu lar emp loyees, only

    seven m ake as l i t t le as $8.05/ hr.

    Harvard app eared to concede tha t

    some of i ts contract wor kers mak e less

    than thi s but pointed out tha t many of

    these w orkers are covered by col lec-

    t ive barga ining agreements .

    In the end , the protestors 21

    days of behind-the-barricades act ion

    brought some resul t s . The un ivers ity

    agreed to es tabli sh a pane l to s tud y

    the i ssue and p ledged not to subcon-

    t rac t fur ther w ork.

    The problem with living wages.

    Although H arvard might have

    shown su rprising fortitude in stand ing up to

    the p rotestors, it would have been justified in

    showing far less symp athy than it did. The

    reason is that the living wage campaign h as

    nothing to d o w ith assuring families a living

    wage and everything to do w ith benefiting

    workers w ho already live well above the

    poverty line.

    First and m ost obviou sly, a

    univers i ty, even a r i chly end owed un iver-

    si ty, has an ob l igat ion to use i ts resou rces

    wisely. Stu-

    de n t s do no t

    pay tui t ion and

    a l umni do no t

    dona t e fund sto conduct a

    social pol icy of

    income

    redis t r ibut ion.

    Rather, they

    pay or a t

    least so we

    hop e for

    instruct ion,

    research and

    the other th ings un iversi t ies are created

    t o do .

    And th en there a re the workersthemselves. Suppose an employer can

    hi re a worker to do a job for $6/ hr . Whi le

    the employer might be content to hi re a

    low-ski l led wor ker to fi l l that job at that

    wage ra te , i t might very w el l dec ide to

    hire a d ifferent , more high ly ski l led

    worker i f i t is compel led to p ay $10/ hr .

    ins tead.

    While a city contractor or gr oup

    of protes tors might force an emp loyer to

    p ay some workers to d o a job for $10/ hr .,

    no one can guaran tee tha t the worker

    actual ly hired to d o that job wil l be the

    $6/ hr . worker for whom the l iving

    wa ge wa s i n t e nde d .

    The l iving w age threa tens to turn

    unsk i ll ed worke r s who w ork fo r $6 / h r .

    i n t o une mpl oyed worke r s who w ork fo r

    nothing a t a l l.

    By d riving u p th e cost of labor, a

    l iving-wage ord inance or p ol icy di scour-

    ages an emp loyer f rom cont ract ing wi th a

    nonuni on ve ndor a nd we a ke ns empl oye r

    res is tance to un ion dem ands for

    higher wages . Thus the living

    wage benef it s union workers wh o

    have protec ted jobs and w ho mak

    far more than the un ski ll ed workewh o might lose hi s job because th

    l iving wage i s mand ated.

    Wages u l t imate ly d epend

    on w orker prod uct ivity, as en-

    hanced by technica l progress and

    the w i ll ingness of ent repreneur s t

    save and take r i sks, not on

    someones good intent ions .

  • 8/9/2019 NewsLinkV5N3

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    NEWSLINK

    PAGE 3 / SPRING 2001

    Media Ment ions

    D

    Voluntary taxes: Who checks off in Mass.

    axpayer check-of f pro-

    p o s a l s s e e m t o b e t h e

    Spring f l ing on Beacon

    Hill . As NewsLinkgoes

    to press, several check-off propos-

    als have mad e their way through the

    Hou se, includ ing a controversial tax

    f o r m check - o f f f o r t he so - ca l l ed

    Clean Elect ions Fund, a campaign

    f inance re form measure approved

    by the voters in 1998. In add i t ion,

    the Massachuse t t s Hou se recent ly

    passed a bi l l that w ould en able tax-

    p a y e r s t o v o l u n t e e r t o p a y t h e i r

    taxes at a high er rate. The legisla-

    ture also approved yet another check-off that would earmark dollars for a

    Commu nity Preservation Fund .

    If signed into law, the vol-

    un tary in come tax rate bill initially

    f i l e d b y H o u s e M i n o r i t y L e a d e r

    Francis Marini , would al low indi-

    vidu al taxpayers to opt for a higher

    5.95% tax rate. Last Novem ber, vot-

    e r s d e c id e d o v e r w h e l m i n g l y t o

    Ellen Foley an d Frank Con tes op in

    editorial, The Space Race, app eared

    th e Boston S unday Heraldon May 20

    David Tuerck d iscussed the energy

    sis on WRKO radio on M ay 17.

    Th e Boston Phoenix story, Beacon H

    Institute celebrates 10 years, appea

    in the May 410 edition.

    Th e Boston Globe cited BHI on May

    Congress to weigh fa te of di spu

    dairy comp act.

    Our ana lys i s of the New Hampsh

    sales tax proposal received coverageMarch 29 in the following New Ham

    shire newsp apers:Berlin Daily S un , C

    cord Monitor Online, Keene Sentinel, Po

    mouth Herald, The Union Leaderan d T

    graph Online. Vermont newspap ers

    cluded Brattleboro Reformeran d Va

    News. The Caledonian-Record,Daily N

    ( N e w b u r y p o r t , M A ), Eagle Trib

    (Lawrence, MA), Fosters Daily Democ

    (NH), Portsmouth Heraldan d The Un

    Leaderprovid ed coverage on March

    Citizen (NH), Concord Monitor, Fost

    Daily Democrat, Su n (Lowell, MA), Tgraph an d The Union Leadercovered

    story on March 27. Keene Sentinel S

    day (NH) and Sunday Telegraph cove

    the story on March 25. On March

    David Tuerck discussed the propo

    sales tax on WSNW rad io (Nashua).

    WPTT-AM radio (Pi t t sburgh) int

    viewed Frank Conte on bu sinesses s

    ing money using high-speed Inter

    access (April 24). Yahoo! News cove

    our high-speed Intern et access analy

    on February 19 and 20. Eastern Penns

    vania Business Journal (Allentown, P

    cited th e analysis on February 12.

    Our ed ucation study received cover

    in theEnterprise (Brockton, MA ) on F

    ruary 16. Also covering the stud y:No

    Andover Cit izen ( F e b r u a r y 1 4 ) a

    Milford Daily N ews (February 10).

    0.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    94 95 96 97 98 99*

    Source: Mass. Depar tmen t of Revenu e

    Organ Transp lant

    Natural H eritage

    AIDS

    Olympic

    * Preliminary

    Percentage of

    taxpayers

    wh o check off

    scale back the income t ax rate to 5% by

    the year 2003. Tax-cut prop onen ts say

    this voluntary arran gement w il l a l low

    peop le w ho voted against the tax rol l-

    back the opt ion of sending more dol-

    lars to fund pu bl ic services.

    But if the p ast is any gu ide, few

    taxpayers m ay opt for this form of al-

    locat ing funds a la carte. Tod ay, tax-

    payers have four choices for increas-

    ing the amou nt of taxes they pay or re-

    du cing the am ount of the i r annual re -

    fund s: the Organ Transp lant Fund ; the

    AIDS Fund ; the N at ional Heri tage and

    E n d a n g e r e d S p e c i e s F u n d ; a n d t h e

    Olymp ic Fund . But the rate of par t ici -pat ion is dismally small. For examp le,

    last year less tha n 1% of the n early 3.2

    mil l ion tax f i lers opted to make con-

    t r ibut ions to each of the four funds .

    Overall, contributions appear to fall as the

    number of income tax returns increase.

    T

    Checking off in Mass: Opting in or tuning out?

  • 8/9/2019 NewsLinkV5N3

    4/8PAGE 4 / SPRING 2001

    BEACON HILL INSTITUTE

    Hampshire, showed that the retailers

    were correct. BHI found that the losses

    would be broader than expected.

    This is because when peoplecome to New Hampshire to

    shop, they generally spend

    mon ey on taxable items like

    gasoline, tobacco, alcohol

    and meals. Removing this

    tax revenue would make

    the collateral revenu e

    losses to the state much

    higher.

    According to

    BHI, New Hampshire

    could expect to add no

    more than $288 million

    to its FY 2003 revenu e

    collections by impos-

    ing the tax. If the econo m y w ere to

    slow below its expected normal rate of

    growth, the state would add no m ore than

    $283 million to its revenue collections in FY

    2003.

    This would result in the loss

    of almost 33,000 jobs, of w hich m ore

    than 22,000 wo uld be in retail, wh ole-

    sale and transportation.

    On March 28, at a standing-room-only legislative hearing in Con-

    cord, Governor Shaheen made an imp as-

    sioned case in favor of the sales tax. Her

    pron oun cements followed a vigorous ad-

    vertising campaign aimed at winning

    public support for the tax. Putting off

    F O R M O R E I N F O R M A T I O N

    C A L L 6 1 7 - 5 7 3 - 8 3 0 2

    In addit ion to cost ing

    NH jobs, the sales tax

    w ould generat e $80

    million less in revenue

    than expected.

    Contributions of all sizes from individuals,

    foundations and corporations support

    the Beacon Hill Inst itut e.

    Yes , I want to su pp ort the Beacon H ill Institute.

    I enclose m y check for $_________

    Name (p lease print): _____________________

    Add ress ________________________________

    City, State, Zip ____________________ _____

    Phone _____________________

    Fax ______________________

    Please make checks payable toBeacon Hill Inst itut e

    at Suffolk Univ ersity .

    A ll contributions are tax deductible under

    section 501(c)(3) of the IRS code,

    as gifts to Suffolk University.

    Beacon Hill Institute, Suffolk University,8 Ashburton Place, Boston, MA 02108-2770.

    Make them listen! New Hampshirecontinued from page 1

    the hard choices until another year w ill not

    make [funding education] go away, she

    said.

    BHI Executive Director Dav id G.

    Tuerck strongly op posed the sales tax in

    his testimony. In add ition to costing N H

    jobs, he pointed out that the sales tax

    wou ld generate $80 million less in revenu e

    than expected. We cant find evidence

    that impo sing a sales tax will do wh at the

    Governor says it will do. Indeed , it ap-pears that in terms of fund ing edu cation,

    this plan is clearly not the w ay to go.

    The New Hampshire legisla-

    ture app arently agreed. In an April 18

    vote, it troun ced the sales tax proposal

    235 to 148.

    In a related development, the

    New H ampshire Sup reme Court upheld

    the cons t i tut iona l i ty of a s ta tewide

    pro per ty tax that collected $800 million

    over the last two years to specifically

    fund educat ion.

    Though the threat of a sales tax

    has gone away, funding education re-

    mains. Said Tuerck, There are other w ays

    to do this. Spending cuts remain an op-

    tion, as do small increases in selective

    taxes. Also being considered as a possi-

    bility: an income tax. New H amp shire is

    one of eight states with no income tax.

    New Hampshire residents may be faced

    with the p ossibility of a chan ge dow n the

    road.

  • 8/9/2019 NewsLinkV5N3

    5/8PAGE 5 / SPRING 2001

    NEWSLINK

    Water banscontinued from page 1

    The same thing would happen an d

    indeed has happened in the past with gaso-

    line, when price restrictions led to rationing.

    Then it was lines at gas stations and filling gas

    tanks on alternate days.

    As it happens, the price of gasoline

    has gone up , so consumers are naturally buy-

    ing less of it or going w ithout other th ings. Ac-

    cording to on e recent poll, three in ten Amer i-

    cans are planning to change vacation plans this

    year because of high er gasoline costs.

    When i t comes to w ater conserva-

    tion, the best solution is to establish a pric-

    ing sys tem of the kind th a t opera tes wi th

    a lmost every other produ ct . This wou ld

    a l low consumers to regu la te consum pt ion

    and m ake the ir own choices . Is a greenlawn more important than a long shower?

    Is green grass more d es irable than land -

    scaping that requires less wa tering? Is a

    pr iva te wel l the answer? A pr icing sys-

    t e m t h a t r e f l e c t s s u p p l y a n d d e m a n d

    wou ld enable consum ers to regula te con-

    sumpt ion of water jus t as they regula te

    consump t ion of gasol ine .

    There a re ways to br ing ra t iona l

    pr ic ing to the provis ion of water . Natu ra l

    gas and electric services are metered for

    tenants whi le water i s metered only for

    landlord s. Metering water also for tenantswou ld di scourage use .

    What about supp ly? With higher

    pr ices, town s could exp and cap acity. In some

    situations, they might truck in w ater supp lies

    from outside the water district to meet de-

    ma nd . For e xa mpl e , hom e owne rs i n

    Provincetown rely upon trucked w ater to fill

    their pools. Oth er towns encourage the use of

    private wells for irrigation to lessen the de-

    mand on the pu blic water sup ply.

    Trading water rations?

    Nobel laureate Milton Friedman once

    offered a solution.

    In 1979, Marin Cou nty, California ra -

    tioned water to 37 gallons per d ay per p erson

    in a household. Any hou sehold that exceeded

    that amou nt was su bject to a steep fine. The

    scheme was not unlike a pricing system. How -

    ever, noted Friedman, the scheme d idn t pro-

    vide an incentive for persons wh o use less than

    the daily quota. If a family of four consum ed

    less than 148 gallons per day, couldn t it sell

    its daily surp lus to a willing bu yer?

    Fr i e dma n propose d t ha t Ma r i n

    County authori t ies

    set a supplemental

    price per gallon of

    wa t e r a bove t he

    quota. If a house-hold u sed less than

    the quota, the au-

    t hor i t i e s woul d

    pay th is price to the

    fa mi l y fo r us i ng

    less.

    W r o t e

    Friedman: If the

    price is set so that the am ount some families

    save is equal to the excess amou nt other fami-

    lies use, total water u se wou ld remain the sam e;

    the revenues to water auth orities would be the

    same; and every separate family w ould be bet-

    ter off those saving water, because their ac-

    As w ith other short -

    ages, w at er shortages

    result from providers

    keeping prices art ifi-

    cially low.

    tions reveal that they p refer the mon ey

    to t he water; those using extra water, be

    cause their actions reveal the reverse.

    So aga in

    this summer, folk

    i n be a u t i fu l Ne w

    England town s like

    F a l m o u t hF o x b o r o u g h

    Ma ns f i e l d a nd

    Sudbu ry w ill sit on

    their porches won

    d e r i n g w h y t h e y

    can pu t all the wa

    ter they want into

    their mixed drink

    but dare not offer a drop to thei

    parched lawns. Such is the enlighten

    me nt wi t h whi c h we ma na ge re

    sources in the n ame ofconservation.

    Needless to say, water ban s are

    good for private well drillers.

    Angelo Ciano, owner of

    Avellino Well and Pump Co.

    of Reading, MA, drills more than 200 pri-

    vate wells a year. Ciano s business is ex-

    pected to grow as more hom eowners recog-

    nize the value of a p rivate well.

    Ciano started h is comp any in 1990

    wh en ratepayers were alarmed at the higher

    costs imposed by the MWRA. Today he

    d rills most of his pr ivate wells south o f Bos-

    ton in towns that impose water bans. Abou t

    80% of his wor k pro vides w ells for the i r-

    r iga t ion of l awns , gardens and other out -

    door u se s.

    While the $7,500 cost for keeping

    the lawn g reen and the car clean may seem

    high , Ciano maintain s that private wells can

    increase a hom es resale valu e. Moreov er,

    homeowners w ho d raw from private wells

    enjoy greater convenience. Since they aren t

    covered by mu nicipal water ban s, they can

    water w henever they like.

    Some question the environmental

    imp act of dr illing pr ivate wells because they

    may tap the same overtaxed public reser-

    voirs. Private wells don t solve the prob-

    lem, one stat e official told th eBoston Globe

    last year. It s l ike having many smal l

    straws sucking ou t of the same ground w a-

    ter as on e large pu blic well.

    But som e think those straw

    d on t amount to much. All in all,

    d on t think the use of water by pri

    va t e we l l s i n We s t boro r e a l l y

    amou nts to a hill of beans in regard

    t o o u r t o w n w a t e r s u p p l i e s ,

    W e s t b o r o H e a l t h D i r e c t o r P a u

    McNulty told the Worcester Telegram

    and Gazett e in 1999.Some water an d sewer of

    ficials welcome private well dri l l

    ing. We encourage private well

    to take the demand off our system,

    Chu ck Mitchel l , the Water Sup erin

    tendent for the town of Orleans told

    BHI recent ly.

    Ciano thinks the issue goes be

    yond economics. We live in a free coun

    try, he says. We shou ld have the free

    dom to water when w e want to.

    For some, stay ing green goes deep

  • 8/9/2019 NewsLinkV5N3

    6/8PAGE 6 / SPRING 2001

    BEACON HILL INSTITUTE

    ACapital gains taxes: Not just for the rich

    June 1999 BHI FaxSheet

    dealt what we though t was

    a fatal blow to the myth

    tha t increases in capi ta l

    gains taxes hu rt high-income taxpayersthe most. BHI show ed that a state law

    raising long-term capital gains taxes

    wou ld have raised tax rates most for tax-

    payers making less than $20,000 per

    year. The legislature sustained Gover-

    nor Celluccis veto of this law.

    Like an android in the Termi-

    nator m ovies, how ever, the capital gains

    myth keep s coming back to life. Und er

    current law, the state tax rate on long -

    term capital gains falls in increments

    from 5% (for assets held one to two

    years) to zero (for assets held six years

    or more). The latest attempt to mod ify

    t h i s l a w , s p o n s o r e d b y t h e T a x

    EquityAlliance of Massachusetts, took

    the form of a proposal to create a flat

    rate on all capital gains, rising to 5% by

    2003.

    This time the p roposal died in

    committee.

    H e r e a r e t h e f a c t s : O f t h e

    732,127 Massachu setts tax filers wh o re-

    ported capital gains or losses in 1998

    (the latest year for w hich data are av ail-able), the distribu tion of filers across in-

    come groups w as roughly even. Of these fil-

    ers, 19% had an ad justed gross income (AGI)

    less than $20,000. Forty-three percent had

    a n A G I l e s s t h a n

    $50,000. Only 26%had an AGI greater

    than $100,000.

    Hence, any

    p r o p o s a l t o r a i s e

    capital gains taxes

    h u r t s t a x p a y e r s

    across the income

    s p e c t r u m . M o r e

    impo rtantly, the lat-

    e s t p rop osa l , l ike

    the earlier one, harms rich and poor alike.

    The net effective tax rate increases as sociated

    with the prop osal follow a U-shape p attern,

    with th e highest rate increases at the bottom

    and the top of the income spectrum and the

    lowest rate increases in the middle. The

    chart below shows the 2001 rate increases

    that wou ld have resulted from the latest pro-

    posal.

    Low -income taxpay ers suffer the most .

    The rate increase is high est of all for

    the very lowest AGI grou p. The rate wou ld

    have r isen b y .8% for tax filers w ith an AGI

    less than $20,000, as compared to .7% for

    those w ith an AGI of $200,000 or mo re.

    Any proposal to raise

    capit al gains taxes

    hurts taxpayers across

    the income spectrum.

    While this result might seem

    counterintuitive, it is easily explained

    Low-income households often sell as

    sets in order to sup

    port them selves oveperiods of economic

    hardship (unemploy

    ment , for example)

    If a household see

    i ts income fal l , say

    f rom $40 , 000 pe r

    year to $20,000 per

    year, it is not likely to

    reduce its consump

    tion by half. Rathe r

    the hou sehold i s l ike ly to f inance par

    of its consu mp tion from capital gains

    Raising th e capi tal gains tax imp osea g re a t e r burde n on t h i s house ho l d

    than i t would on a midd le or high- in

    come household.

    Federal and state tax laws trea

    long-term capital gains more favorably

    than oth er kinds of income for this and

    other reasons . Most fund amenta l ly

    capital gains aren t income at all and

    argua bly, should not be taxed at all. Tax

    ing capi ta l ga ins amounts to double

    taxation. The taxpayer p ays once wh en

    he earns his wage and again when he

    sells assets paid for out of his wages

    This double tax can lead to h ardships on

    the lowest wage earners, as we have

    shown.

    But that is not the only bur den

    to bear. Increasing the capital gains tax

    would also have adverse economic ef

    fects on Massachusetts. A rise in the

    capital gains tax deters business from

    spend ing on capital factories, comp ut

    ers, office bu ildings, warehou se space

    and other equipment and s t ruc tures

    BHI estimates that the latest proposawould have caused the Massachusett

    stock business capital to fall by $5 bil

    lion.

    The c a p i t a l ga i ns myt h ha

    been laid to rest for another year. Bu

    stay tuned. As Nobel laureate Jame

    Buchanan was fond of saying, econom

    ics consists largely of impressin g alien

    ideas on reluctant minds. So long a

    that is true, the job of dispelling p opu

    lar economic myths remains u nfinished

    Net effective increase in capital gains ta x per d ollar of feder al taxable income for 2001

    Source: U.S. Intern al Revenu e Service, Statistics of Income Bulletin, Spring 2000.

    0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    0.8

    Under$20,000

    $20,000 -30,000

    $30,000 -50,000

    $50,000 -75,000

    $75,000 -100,000

    $100,000 -200,000

    $200,000or over

    Proposed capital gains tax would have hurt lower income taxpayers

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    PAGE 7 / SPRING 2001

    NEWSLINK

    Learning curves, Sowell-styleBasic Economics: A Citizen's Guide to the Economy

    Thomas Sowell, Basic Books, 2000, 366 pages. Reviewed by Frank Conte

    For years economic journalist s

    have promoted a v iew of entit le-

    ment t hat ov erlooks anyt hing as

    inconvenient as scarcity . To w it ,

    they have ignored the brilliance

    of the price sys tem.

    More than two years ago, the

    National Council on Eco-

    nomic Education, with the

    help of the noted pollster Lou

    Har ris, released the findings of a survey thatunderscored the deep-seated problem of eco-

    nom ic illiteracy in the United States. The

    council reported that half of all American

    adu lts and two-thirds of high school stud ents

    received a failing grade w hen it came to un-

    derstand ing basic economic concepts such as

    scarcity, money and inflation. N ev er h as

    t h e o u t l o o k f o r t h e d i s m a l s c i e n c e

    looked so bleak.

    Now comes an opportunity for

    genu ine learning. Thomas Sowell, the noted

    economist and sociologist, has w ritten a stel-

    lar new introduction to the dismal science.

    Basic Economics should be required reading

    in every high school. Many thoughtful prim-

    ers have withstood the test of time. Henry

    Hazli t ts Economics in One Lesson an d

    Leonard SilksEconomics in Plain English are

    just two. But Sowells work stands apart.

    Devoid of the technical jargon that

    afflicts most economic wr iters,Basic Econom-

    ics is an impassioned guidebook that lays

    bare the d isreputable bu t accepted little fal-

    lacies that stand in the w ay of true learn-

    ing. One can imagine Professor Sowellearnestly writing on a blackboard

    over and over again the classic defi-

    nition of economics as the study

    of the use of scarce resources

    wh ich have alternative uses.

    It is not surprising

    then, given these levels of il-

    literacy, that the American

    pu blic is often lead astray by poli-

    ticians, the media and even academe

    wh en it comes to economics. Econom ic is-

    sues are framed in patently non -economic

    terms obscuring the r eal issues facing con-sum ers and taxpayers. Special pleading for

    programs an d policies such as fair trade,

    affordable h ousing, and living wages

    dominate the headlines. Consumers and

    politicians are qu ick to blame greedy en-

    ergy compan ies and deregu lation for rolling

    blackouts in California, conveniently ignor-

    ing the most fundamental issue of supply

    and demand.

    But Sowell is no mere d isciplinarian

    but a great expositor of ideas. The fallacy of

    composition what is tr ue for a part is not true

    for the whole is just one examp le he uses. In

    a sports stadium,

    any fan can see

    better by stand-

    ing up , but if ev-

    eryone stands up

    not everyone

    will see better.

    Applied to the

    American steel

    i n d u s t r y , t h e

    bitter lesson is

    learned easily.

    W h e n

    the American steel ind ustry w on special imp ort

    restrictions, it succeeded in propping up the

    price of steel. But American ma nufacturers of

    refrigerators and automobiles paying mor e

    for American steel wer e forced to raise prices.

    This unintended consequence placed the manu-

    facturers at a d isadvantage w ith foreign manu -

    facturers of refrigerators and automobiles.

    Thereafter, some m anu facturers found it easier

    to shift their jobs abroad . In the final analysis,

    American indu stry as a whole was worse

    off because of the impor t restrictions.

    The costs of preserving the jobsin steel come at the expense

    of losing jobs in the manu-

    facturing of refrigerators.

    While some may say

    that Sowell, a political conserva-

    tive, is too much of a free market

    polemicist, he is mind ful of the long

    history of economic reasoning that

    moves beyond labels. Econom ics, long

    the stu rdiest of the social sciences, is more

    than mere opinion. Sowell remind s us that

    wh en it comes to the acceptance of basic prepo-

    sitions, a socialist economist such as OskarLange does not d iffer in an y fund amental way

    from Milton Friedman, the pre-eminent free

    market econom ist of our time.

    But the language of economics now

    serves other ends. For years economic journal-

    ists have promoted a view of entitlement that

    overlooks any thing as inconvenient as scarcity.

    To wit, they have ignored th e brilliance of the

    price system.

    Attemp ts to make prices, includ ing

    the prices of peoples labor and talents, be

    something other than signals to gu ide resources

    to their most valued uses, makes those prices

    less effective for their ba

    sic pu rpose, on which the

    prosperity of the whole so

    c ie ty d epends , writes

    Sowell.

    The role of government.

    It is t rue, as

    Sowell observes, that a

    market economy canno

    exist in a vacuum. Strong

    but limited government is

    necessary to enforce rulesand contracts and allow individuals to engag e

    freely in econom ic exchange. Moreover, no

    political freedom is secure w ithou t a system

    of prop erty righ ts. Economically, prop erty

    rights are needed because they create incen-

    tives for producers and consumers. For ex

    ample, while most Americans do not own

    farmland, thanks to prop erty rights, they have

    more and better food available at lower p rices

    than in countries without property rights. And

    as Sowell notes, prop erty rights tend to create

    a system of self-monitoring. Producers are no

    about to let resources deplete without regardEven a libertarian su ch as Sowell ac

    know ledges that governm ent, in the case of en

    vironm ental protection, can make better deci

    sions than the marketp lace. Still a market

    economy that generates externalities does

    not allow government to ignore the questions

    of costs and benefits of its actions.

    Basic Economics does have severa

    slight shortcomings. In the age of Greenspan

    any w ould-be economic enthusiast would mos

    definitely need an introdu ction to the n uance

    of central banking. But Sowell doesn t delve

    mu ch into monetary policy. Neither does hedelve mu ch into tax policy nor describe the hid

    den costs of taxation up on the supp ly and d e

    mand for capital and labor.

    Professional economists as of late

    have been asking themselves whether they

    should d o well or do good. Basic Economics i

    proof of wh at Sowell has been doing his wh ole

    career: writing broadly with verve and intel

    lect and doing it well.

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    Tax a moving Jeter!

    The tax code for todays pro ath-

    letes can be a nightmare. Among

    other things, they have to p ay

    tate, and in some cases city, income taxes

    everyw here they play. Derek Jeter, wh o is

    cheduled to p lay nine games in Boston this

    year, will pay Massachu setts taxes on abou tone-sixteenth of his $15 million salary. On

    op of that, professional athletes must ac-

    count for any app earance in w hich they re-

    ceive money or goods, and every endorse-

    ment nickel that makes its way into their

    bank account. Sell an autograp h? Gotta de-

    clare it. Take ho me a free television after an

    appearance at the latest electronic store to

    open? Write it down. Its all taxable income

    according to Un cle Sam.

    Matthew Futterman,New Jersey Star-Ledger,

    April 15, 2001.

    Lemon Meringue Risk Management.

    Circus clowns were told to take out custard

    pie insurance against the risk of being sued by

    pectators who fail to see the joke. With an in-

    creasingly litigation-crazy public ... the ethics and

    egal implications ofsplattingand sloshingare

    expected to be hotly debated u nder the Big Top,

    Clowns International said in a statement from its an-

    nual convention. Although no clown has yet been

    sued by the recipient of a face full of custard p ie, the

    organization fears it may be just a matter of time.

    Reuters by w ay of Yahoo, April 6, 2001.

    Snail Mailsnuffed out on Saturday?

    The large and still growing popularity of e-mail is

    one of the major reasons why the U.S. Postal Service

    is considering eliminating the delivery of mail on

    Saturday. The Postal Service is facing a loss of be-

    tween $2 billion and $3 billion this year. Currently,

    Internet users send over ten billion non-spam e-mails

    per day, an International Data Corp. (IDC) study

    claims. That will increase to 35 billion by 2005, IDC

    pred icts, and within five years there will be 1 billion

    e-mail accounts. The market research firm Cyber

    Dialogue reports that 73 million U.S. adu lts access e-

    mail at least once each month. That represents 94%

    of all U.S. Internet users. E-mail is also grow ing

    quickly in the bu siness sector. For example, the elec-

    tronic marketing firm 24/ 7 Media estimates it sent

    over six billion e-mails in 2000, a 300% increase from

    the year before.

    E-Commerce Times, April 4, 2001.

    Smells like teen spirit.

    A nationw ide survey of 546 students cond ucted

    by Junior Achievement reveals that 83% of

    young people think taxes are too high. The JA

    Interprise Poll on Personal Finance also

    asked teenagers if purchases made over the

    Internet shou ld always be tax-free. Seventy-

    nine percent said yes, while another 13.6% said

    purchases should be tax-free for a limited time.

    The results indicate that todays young people

    might have more of a reason to care about cur-

    rent tax rates than many adu lts may think.

    Business Wire, April 13, 2001.

    No option: Alternative Minimum Tax N ightmare.

    Like so many others in the high-tech w orld,

    Jeff Chou watched his millionaire dreams

    crumble along with the plunging stock mar-

    ket last year. But through it all, the 32-year-

    old hardware engineer never expected that he

    would have to endure a taxpayer nightmare

    for the rest of his life. Chou owes the IRS taxes

    on $6.5 million in paper profits he never saw

    after exercising Cisco Systems stock options

    last year. By tax deadline, Chou would have

    to come up with around $2.5 million to pay

    his state and federal income taxes. Even if he

    were to liquidate all his assets and hand them

    over to the IRS, he figures hed still fall $700,000

    short. Theres no chance I can pay the gov-

    ernment back in my lifetime, moaned Chou

    who now faces bankrup tcy.

    May Wong, Associated Press, April 12, 2001.