news release 15 billion by 2100

Upload: stephen-bareham

Post on 05-Apr-2018

215 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 7/31/2019 News Release 15 Billion by 2100

    1/2

    NEWS RELEASESumma Publishing: 2166A Hwy 3A, Nelson, B.C., Canada, V1L 6K5

    Tel. 1-250-825-4266 Contact: Steve BarehamWebsite:www.summapublishing.net E-mail:[email protected]

    IMMEDIATE RELEASE: June 15, 2012

    World Population May Hit 15+ Billion by 2100 Warns B.C. Author

    Projections from the United Nations suggest that humans may number 10 billion by 2050 and 15 billion by the year2100. Both of these statistics guarantee horrendous problems for a world having difficulty meeting the food and waterneeds of its current seven billion inhabitants, according to B.C. academic and author Steve Bareham.

    People having children today should be concerned -- 2050 is just 38 years away, he said. While 15 billion isunfathomable, 10 billion by 2050 is still the equivalent of another China and another India. In addition to food and

    water disparities, its likely that people will face worsening pollution, more dramatic climate change, socio-economicstrife, growing inequities between developed and developing nations, and the extinction of thousands more animalspecies.

    Until recently, said Bareham, an instructor at Selkirk College, Nelson, B.C, the UN cited about nine billion by 2050(see footnote*), then a levelling off and gradual decline, as global prosperity spread and as developing nationsfollowed the lead of the developed countries toward fewer children per family. Evidence now, however, indicatesfertility rates are not declining as expected in the developing countries, so the revision to the higher ranges has a lotmore credence. If those come to pass, its difficult to imagine a better world for todays young people by 2050, letalone 2100.

    Bareham discovered the little-known UN statistics while researching courses in cross cultural communication andconflict management. The research led to the release of two eBooks that draw attention to an issue that could beabsolutely catastrophic within four decades. The books are titled PROGENETER (acronym for progeneticenhancement & entropy termination).

    In addition to food and water disparities, its likely that people will face worsening pollution, more dramatic climatechange, socio-economic strife, growing inequities between developed and developing nations, and the extinction ofthousands more animal species. While 15 billion is unfathomable, even the 10 billion number by 2050 is theequivalent of another China and anotherIndia, he said.

    The epicentre of growth will be Africa; its population now stands at about one billion but is projected to reach 3.6billion by 2100, and that continent already has problems supporting its peoples. Conversely, he notes, the Italiansand several other European nationalities, are theoretically on their way to extinction because their birth rates havedropped below the 2.1 replacement ratio.

    Many statisticians believe the higher population projections are likely to transpire, given the exponential growth ofhumans over time. Consider, said Bareham, that it took from the beginning of time until the year 1804 for onebillion people to inhabit the earth. Then, human numbers exploded:

    2 billion people by 1927 (123 years to double)

    3 billion people by 1959 (32 years)

    4 billion people by 1974 (15 years)

    http://www.summapublishing.net/http://www.summapublishing.net/http://www.summapublishing.net/mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.summapublishing.net/
  • 7/31/2019 News Release 15 Billion by 2100

    2/2

    5 billion people by 1986 (12 years)

    7 billion people by 2012 (26 years)

    Bareham said about 131 million babies are born each year and 57 million people die. This means the globalpopulation grows annually by 74 million people. At that rate, it takes just 13.5 years to add another billion people. Intothis mix, consider that people live longer, while infant mortality rates continue to decline. More older people and more

    younger peoplethe population juggernaut is not slowing.

    Ethnocentrism and xenophobia are also likely to come into play, he said. The potential for armed conflict is greatas food and water scarcity become chronic in many developing nations. People who are starving and/or dying ofthirst will have nothing to lose by demanding access to the resources of the richer nations. And if history is a guide,the haves will not share willing with the have-nots if sharing threatens their own survival.

    Bareham said he wrote the book to draw attention to an issue about which many people are totally unaware. Youngpeople contemplating families should know what may face them by 2050 and what may confront their children by2100. I took a radically different approach in the book by wrapping a lot of facts within a fictional plot. Its educationalfiction. The fact-based content is woven into a plot about an ancient order of Mayan monks attempting to stopintroduction of a new longevity drug by a modern-day conglomerate.

    I hope that interweaving fact and fiction will make the book more accessible and more enjoyable than a dry researchpaper. It also includes a number of solutions that world governments could work toward.

    *UNITED NATIONS SOURCE DOCUMENT: *the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, inits World Population Prospects: (May 2011) foresees a global population of 9.3 billion people at 2050, an increaseover earlier estimates, and more than 10 billion by the end of this centuryand that scenario assumes lower fertilityrates over time. With only a small variation in fertility, particularly in the more populous countries, the total could behigher: 10.6 billion people could be living on Earth by 2050 and more than 15 billion in 2100, the Population Divisionestimates. Much of this increase is expected to come from the high-fertility countries, which comprise 39 in Africa,nine in Asia, six in Oceania and four in Latin America.

    Page 4 of UN report:http://foweb.unfpa.org/SWP2011/reports/EN-SWOP2011-FINAL.pdf

    -30-

    eBOOK REVIEW COPY AVAILABLE : PROGENETER is a work of fiction, so there should be no confusion that it isan academic text. However, much of the information about population growth, death rates, birth rates, potentialproblems billions more people will cause, and the genetic predisposition of the human species to engage in conflictare factual. Book reviewers or reporters who wish to explore the issues can obtain a review copy of: PROGENETERMayans, the Skull and the Chimera of Immortality and Immortality Endgame by replying to this email.

    Journalists desiring immediate information about overpopulation, go to:http://progeneter.wordpress.com/

    THE AUTHOR: Steve Bareham teaches management courses at Selkirk College, Nelson, B.C. Before entering theclassroom, he worked for 26 years as an editor/reporter at five Canadian dailies, and in public relations at TransAlta,Simon Fraser University, and the B.C. School Trustees Association. He has written ten books through publisherssuch as HarperCollins and McGraw-Hill Ryerson. The new books are available through all major online eBooksellers.

    http://foweb.unfpa.org/SWP2011/reports/EN-SWOP2011-FINAL.pdfhttp://foweb.unfpa.org/SWP2011/reports/EN-SWOP2011-FINAL.pdfhttp://foweb.unfpa.org/SWP2011/reports/EN-SWOP2011-FINAL.pdfhttp://progeneter.wordpress.com/http://progeneter.wordpress.com/http://progeneter.wordpress.com/http://progeneter.wordpress.com/http://foweb.unfpa.org/SWP2011/reports/EN-SWOP2011-FINAL.pdf