new georgia polling - realclearpolitics · 2020. 7. 12. · georgia polling executive summary ....

Georgia Polling

Executive Summary

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 513 registered, likely voters in Georgia. The poll was conducted on July 2nd and has a margin of error of 4.3%. The survey was collected from respondents using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phone users. The results are weighted by voting demographics. The poll was paid for by One America News Network.

1) If the election for President were held today, for whom would you vote?

Race Age group Gender

African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male

Q1: BIDENVSTRUMP Donald Trump 12.2% 21.6% 36.1% 37.8% 67.1% 17.7% 57.4% 44.4% 59.5% 42.0% 54.5%

Joe Biden 81.0% 20.6% 45.1% 60.0% 27.2% 54.1% 34.7% 54.3% 37.1% 49.4% 39.2%

Uncertain 6.8% 57.8% 18.9% 2.2% 5.7% 28.2% 8.0% 1.3% 3.3% 8.6% 6.3%

Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870

2) If the election for Senate were held today, for whom would you vote?


African-

American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male

Q2:

OSSOFFVSPERDUE

Ossoff 73.1% 45.4% 39.2% 55.5% 28.5% 53.7% 39.0% 45.7% 38.2% 47.2% 38.6%

Perdue 20.4% 25.9% 38.4% 42.7% 62.2% 18.9% 52.8% 48.1% 58.0% 43.2% 52.4%

Uncertain 6.6% 28.6% 22.3% 1.8% 9.4% 27.4% 8.2% 6.2% 3.8% 9.6% 8.9%

3) If the Special election for Senate were held today, for whom would you vote?


African-


Q3:

SPECIALELECTIONMAIN

Collins 3.9% 17.6% 12.0% 39.0% 37.4% 10.3% 23.5% 31.2% 31.7% 22.1% 30.4%

Lieberman 19.0% 0.0% 19.8% 1.3% 6.9% 19.9% 7.1% 13.3% 6.0% 10.6% 10.9%

Loeffler 19.7% 8.3% 23.7% 5.9% 27.2% 11.9% 34.0% 18.4% 26.5% 23.0% 25.2%

Tarver 16.4% 24.9% 9.3% 16.4% 5.1% 18.7% 5.0% 10.7% 7.2% 14.0% 4.1%

Uncertain 10.1% 28.6% 16.9% 2.4% 13.0% 25.2% 15.3% 7.1% 7.9% 13.2% 11.4%

Warnock 30.9% 20.6% 18.3% 35.1% 10.4% 14.0% 15.1% 19.4% 20.6% 17.2% 18.0%

4) If the Special election runoff for Senate were held today, for whom would you vote?


African-


Q4:

LOEFFLERVSWARNOCK

Loeffler 25.4% 21.6% 54.0% 31.4% 59.5% 32.0% 58.5% 42.9% 50.1% 42.1% 54.1%

Uncertain 8.4% 32.9% 14.2% 15.1% 18.4% 25.6% 13.3% 13.1% 15.7% 17.0% 13.6%

Warnock 66.2% 45.4% 31.8% 53.6% 22.1% 42.4% 28.2% 44.0% 34.2% 40.9% 32.3%



African-


Q5:

LIEBERMANVSLOEFFLER

Lieberman 69.4% 45.4% 37.7% 52.0% 23.6% 52.5% 30.3% 45.3% 32.2% 42.9% 34.4%

Loeffler 23.5% 25.9% 48.4% 37.2% 58.0% 20.1% 56.4% 43.3% 53.2% 40.9% 52.1%

Uncertain 7.2% 28.6% 13.8% 10.8% 18.4% 27.4% 13.3% 11.4% 14.6% 16.2% 13.5% 6) If the Special election runoff for Senate were held today, for whom would you vote?


African-


Q6:

LIEBERMANVSCOLLINS

Collins 15.7% 17.6% 46.8% 31.4% 62.8% 16.5% 51.8% 48.9% 54.6% 43.2% 50.2%

Lieberman 63.8% 49.5% 32.2% 55.9% 23.6% 44.8% 28.6% 44.8% 32.5% 38.7% 35.5%

Uncertain 20.5% 32.9% 21.0% 12.6% 13.6% 38.7% 19.5% 6.3% 12.9% 18.1% 14.3%



African-


Q7:

COLLINSVSWARNOCK

Collins 19.9% 25.9% 33.6% 33.8% 61.5% 18.1% 55.2% 44.2% 57.0% 40.9% 53.2%

Uncertain 11.3% 28.6% 23.7% 11.5% 16.7% 35.5% 13.6% 12.2% 10.2% 15.6% 15.3%

Warnock 68.8% 45.4% 42.7% 54.7% 21.8% 46.4% 31.2% 43.6% 32.8% 43.5% 31.5% 8) If the Special election runoff for Senate were held today, for whom would you vote?

Race Age group

African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64

Q8: LOEFFLERVSCOLLINS Collins 28.8% 21.9% 43.9% 23.9% 37.4% 24.8% 36.9% 31.9%

Loeffler 18.1% 28.9% 21.1% 34.2% 33.8% 27.6% 31.7% 29.5%

Uncertain 53.1% 49.2% 35.0% 41.9% 28.8% 47.5% 31.4% 38.6%

9) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of President Trump’s job performance?


African-

American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64

65 or

older Female Male

Q9:

TRUMPPERFORMANCE

Somewhat Approve 5.1% 33.2% 22.8% 3.6% 16.3% 13.1% 21.1% 6.9% 12.3% 11.1% 15.8%

Somewhat

Disapprove 15.0% 28.6% 19.8% 5.8% 1.8% 19.7% 3.0% 6.0% 6.5% 10.3% 3.5%

Strongly Approve 20.4% 17.6% 39.3% 26.7% 52.3% 21.7% 43.1% 41.7% 49.7% 38.0% 44.4%

Strongly Disapprove 52.5% 20.6% 17.1% 51.7% 26.8% 35.9% 28.8% 41.9% 30.1% 38.0% 30.6%

Uncertain 7.0% 0.0% 1.0% 12.3% 2.7% 9.7% 4.0% 3.4% 1.4% 2.6% 5.7%

10) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Governor Brian Kemp’s job performance?


African-


65 or

older Female Male

Q10:

KEMPPERFORMANCE


Somewhat

Disapprove 17.2% 28.6% 12.4% 19.5% 18.3% 20.1% 19.4% 19.1% 12.7% 16.3% 19.9%



Uncertain 7.5% 0.0% 6.9% 0.5% 3.2% 8.2% 4.9% 4.5% 1.4% 4.5% 4.5%

11) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator David Perdue’s job performance?


African-


65 or

older Female Male

Q11:

PERDUEPERFORMANCE


Somewhat

Disapprove 21.1% 0.0% 22.4% 9.8% 8.2% 16.8% 8.1% 17.1% 8.8% 14.8% 10.0%



Uncertain 18.1% 0.0% 0.0% 3.1% 6.2% 26.8% 4.9% 8.3% 5.8% 11.6% 6.7%

12) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Kelly Loeffler’s job performance?


African-


65 or

older Female Male

Q12:

LOEFFLERPERFORMANCE


Somewhat

Disapprove 15.8% 0.0% 28.9% 7.3% 13.8% 16.8% 9.9% 19.4% 12.5% 15.8% 13.3%



Uncertain 9.7% 28.6% 1.0% 10.2% 9.0% 23.8% 6.7% 6.3% 8.4% 12.6% 5.6%

13) Whom do you trust to better handle the economy?


African-


Q13:

ECONOMY

Donald Trump 15.0% 25.9% 41.5% 40.7% 69.2% 18.0% 60.8% 48.7% 59.4% 43.8% 57.8%

Joe Biden 81.5% 45.4% 52.6% 53.4% 25.7% 66.7% 34.9% 48.3% 37.4% 51.1% 36.9%

Uncertain 3.5% 28.6% 5.8% 5.9% 5.1% 15.3% 4.2% 3.0% 3.2% 5.0% 5.3%

14) Whom do you trust to prevent violent riots in American cities?


African-


Q14:

RIOTPREVENTION

Donald Trump 19.0% 4.3% 51.8% 38.7% 67.7% 16.2% 62.1% 49.7% 58.1% 43.5% 58.6%

Joe Biden 74.4% 74.1% 46.4% 59.5% 25.5% 63.2% 36.1% 44.5% 35.7% 48.5% 36.1%

Uncertain 6.6% 21.6% 1.7% 1.8% 6.8% 20.6% 1.8% 5.8% 6.2% 8.0% 5.3%

15) Is rioting an effective way to change policy?


African-


Q15:

RIOTEFFECTIVENESS

No 42.2% 49.7% 40.8% 53.0% 78.4% 21.7% 71.8% 68.4% 78.0% 58.6% 72.1%

Uncertain 13.3% 46.3% 10.7% 28.6% 6.8% 21.0% 2.2% 12.9% 10.1% 13.3% 6.5%

Yes 44.5% 4.0% 48.6% 18.5% 14.8% 57.3% 26.0% 18.7% 11.9% 28.0% 21.4%

16) Is activating the national guard an effective way to prevent further rioting?


African-


Q16:

NATIONALGUARD

No 49.5% 0.0% 31.9% 38.6% 24.9% 39.1% 32.8% 33.6% 24.9% 29.9% 35.0%

Uncertain 11.9% 28.6% 17.8% 23.6% 8.8% 30.8% 3.4% 9.7% 10.1% 13.1% 8.2%

Yes 38.7% 71.4% 50.3% 37.7% 66.3% 30.1% 63.8% 56.7% 65.0% 57.0% 56.8%

17) Do you support your local police department?


African-


Q17:

POLICESUPPORT

Do not support 33.4% 0.0% 36.8% 10.0% 7.1% 50.6% 15.4% 11.0% 2.5% 18.8% 13.2%

Support 53.2% 71.4% 52.9% 75.3% 81.0% 32.5% 68.8% 78.3% 89.2% 71.6% 70.8%

Uncertain 13.3% 28.6% 10.3% 14.8% 11.9% 16.9% 15.8% 10.7% 8.3% 9.6% 16.0%

18) Should police departments continue to be funded?


African-


Q18:

POLICEFUNDING

Defunded 31.5% 4.0% 37.2% 6.2% 6.6% 38.3% 16.6% 10.7% 5.1% 19.5% 10.5%

Funded 49.9% 67.4% 58.3% 69.1% 86.2% 42.3% 76.7% 73.5% 89.6% 66.3% 81.7%

Uncertain 18.6% 28.6% 4.5% 24.7% 7.2% 19.4% 6.8% 15.8% 5.3% 14.3% 7.9%

19) Who is more responsible for the riots across the country?


African-


Q19:

RIOTRESPONSIBILITY

Protestors 29.7% 4.0% 43.5% 41.8% 61.8% 20.5% 58.6% 46.8% 61.6% 48.2% 51.8%

The Police 51.0% 49.7% 45.0% 42.7% 19.1% 70.4% 24.2% 29.5% 16.3% 32.0% 29.5%

Uncertain 19.3% 46.3% 11.4% 15.5% 19.0% 9.1% 17.2% 23.7% 22.0% 19.8% 18.7%

20) President Trump has restricted travel from certain countries to help slow the spread of the coronavirus. Do you support these travel restrictions?


African-


Q20:

TRAVELRESTRICTION

Do not

support 24.0% 0.0% 32.8% 6.1% 9.0% 25.3% 14.1% 13.8% 7.8% 14.8% 13.6%

Support 66.6% 71.4% 62.2% 75.3% 80.8% 64.4% 79.1% 71.4% 84.2% 76.6% 74.3%

Uncertain 9.4% 28.6% 5.0% 18.6% 10.1% 10.3% 6.8% 14.8% 7.9% 8.6% 12.1%

21) If China had taken earlier steps to mitigate the coronavirus, do you think the United States would have been affected to a lesser extent?


African-


Q21:

CHINAMITIGATION

No 43.4% 0.0% 35.6% 23.0% 17.9% 40.6% 29.6% 21.3% 18.4% 29.7% 21.8%

Uncertain 15.8% 28.6% 3.3% 23.3% 10.9% 28.4% 10.0% 11.1% 8.5% 12.9% 12.4%

Yes 40.9% 71.4% 61.1% 53.6% 71.2% 30.9% 60.4% 67.6% 73.1% 57.5% 65.8%

22) In the 2016 Presidential election whom did you vote for?


African-


Q22:

2016ELECTIONVOTE

Didn't vote 8.0% 28.6% 7.8% 2.4% 5.9% 30.7% 5.4% 1.2% 3.1% 12.7% 0.6%

Donald Trump 11.2% 25.9% 31.7% 37.0% 64.5% 15.7% 42.9% 51.8% 60.9% 38.2% 54.6%

Gary Johnson 1.7% 0.0% 16.3% 20.3% 3.5% 11.3% 1.6% 4.2% 1.0% 4.0% 3.4%

Hillary Clinton 78.0% 45.4% 30.1% 39.9% 24.9% 40.4% 46.5% 42.2% 34.8% 43.7% 39.5%

Jill Stein 1.1% 0.0% 14.1% 0.5% 1.2% 2.0% 3.6% 0.6% 0.2% 1.5% 1.8%

The following questions are for demographic purposes:

23) Are you registered to vote in Georgia?

24) How likely are you to vote in the general election this November?

25) What is your party affiliation?

26) What is your political ideology?

27) Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?

28) What race do you identify yourself as?

29) Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

30) What is the highest level of education have you completed?

31) How old are you?

32) What is your gender?

new georgia polling - realclearpolitics · 2020. 7. 12. · georgia polling executive summary ....

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