netscape ipo excel
TRANSCRIPT
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Proforma Income Statement and Free Cash Flows FormActual
1995** 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Revenues 33,251 51,845 80,838 126,044 196,531 306,434 477,798 744,992
Costs 3,471 5,413 8,439 13,159 20,518 31,992 49,882 77,777
R&D 12,236 19,079 29,748 46,384 72,323 112,768 175,830 274,157
Other Operating Expenses 26,900 36,758 49,230 64,157 80,381 94,688 99,860 155,703
Operating Income (9,357) (9,405) (6,580) 2,344 23,309 66,987 152,226 237,354
Net Interest Income 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
EBT (9,357) (9,405) (6,580) 2,344 23,309 66,987 152,226 237,354
Tax Loss (12,779) (22,183) (28,764) (26,419) (3,111) 0 0 0
Taxable Income 0 0 0 0 0 63,876 152,226 237,354
Taxes 0 0 0 0 0 21,718 51,757 80,701
Net Income (9,357) (9,405) (6,580) 2,344 23,309 45,269 100,469 156,654
Capital Expenditures 15,229 20,721 27,593 35,671 44,154 50,970 51,602 80,459
Depreciation 1,829 2,851 4,446 6,932 10,809 16,854 26,279 40,975
Change in NWC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net Interest Income 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
FCFF (22,757) (27,274) (29,727) (26,394) (10,036) 11,152 75,146 117,169
TV of FCF
PV of Cash Flows 201,141PV of TV 2,012,403
Total PV 2,213,544
Total Shares 38,000.75
Price per share $58.25
** 1995 Not included in PV
Estimates
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Question 3: Growth %
Assumptions given 44.95%
Question 4:
Beta equals .5 39.79%
Beta equals .25 33.14%
Question 5:
Tax Rate is 40% 46.94%
Question 6:
COGS equals 8% 43.40%
Question 7:
R&D equal 30% 40.99%
Question 8:
Risk-free Rate 8% 49.01%
Question 9:
Closing Price $58.25* 55.92%
*Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Netscape
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Givens and Scenarios Table
Growth (1996-2004) 55.92%
Cost of Revenues 10.44%
R&D 36.80%
Other OE (after 2001) 20.90%
Capital Expenditures (after
2001) 10.80%
Depreciation 5.50%
LT FCF Growth Rate 4%
Risk-free Rate 6.50%
Netscape Beta 0.73
Market Risk-premium 7.50%
Tax Rate 34%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Other Operating Expenses 80.90% 80.90% 80.90% 80.90% 80.90% 80.90% 20.90%
Capital Expenditures 45.80% 45.80% 45.80% 45.80% 45.80% 45.80% 10.80%
Total Share Outstanding 38,000.751
Required Rate of Return 11.98%
Question 3: Growth %
Assumptions given 44.95%
Question 4:Beta equals .5 39.79%
Beta equals .25 33.14%
Question 5:
Tax Rate is 40% 46.94%
Question 6:
COGS equals 8% 43.40%
Question 7:
R&D equal 30% 40.99%
Question 8:
Risk-free Rate 8% 49.01%
Question 9:
Closing Price $58.25* 55.92%
*Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Netscape
Givens
Appendix
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Actual
1995** 1996 1997 1998 1999
Revenues 33,251 48,198 69,866 101,273 146,800
Costs 3,471 5,032 7,294 10,573 15,326
R&D 12,236 17,737 25,711 37,269 54,022
Other Operating Expenses 26,900 34,173 42,548 51,548 60,041
Operating Income (9,357) (8,743) (5,687) 1,884 17,411
Net Interest Income 0 0 0 0 0
EBT (9,357) (8,743) (5,687) 1,884 17,411
Tax Loss (12,778) (21,521) (27,208) (25,324) (7,914)
Taxable Income 0 0 0 0 0
Taxes 0 0 0 0 0
Net Income (9,357) (8,743) (5,687) 1,884 17,411
Capital Expenditures 15,229 19,263 23,848 28,660 32,981
Depreciation 1,829 2,651 3,843 5,570 8,074
Change in NWC 0 0 0 0 0
Net Interest Income 0 0 0 0 0
FCFF (22,757) (25,356) (25,692) (21,207) (7,497)
TV of FCF
PV of Cash Flows 93,605
PV of TV 970,412
Total PV 1,064,017
Total Shares 38,000.75
Price per share $28.00
** 1995 Not included in PV
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2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
212,793 308,453 447,116 648,114 939,470 1,361,802
22,216 32,203 46,679 67,663 98,081 142,172
78,308 113,511 164,539 238,506 345,725 501,143
65,753 64,467 93,447 135,456 196,349 284,617
46,517 98,273 142,451 206,489 299,315 433,870
0 0 0 0 0 0
46,517 98,273 142,451 206,489 299,315 433,870
0 0 0 0 0 0
38,603 98,273 142,451 206,489 299,315 433,870
13,125 33,413 48,433 70,206 101,767 147,516
33,392 64,860 94,018 136,283 197,548 286,354
35,395 33,313 48,289 69,996 101,463 147,075
11,704 16,965 24,591 35,646 51,671 74,899
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
9,701 48,512 70,321 101,933 147,756 214,179
2,685,627
Estimates
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Growth (1996-2004) 44.95%
Cost of Revenues 10.44%
R&D 36.80%
Other OE (after 2001) 20.90%Capital Expenditures (after
2001) 10.80%
Depreciation 5.50%
LT FCF Growth Rate 4%
Risk-free Rate 6.50%
Netscape Beta 0.73
Market Risk-premium 7.50%
Tax Rate 34%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
Other Operating Expenses 80.90% 70.900% 60.900% 50.900% 40.900%
Capital Expenditures 45.80% 39.967% 34.133% 28.300% 22.467%
Total Share Outstanding 38,000.751
Required Rate of Return 11.98%
Givens
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2000 2001
30.900% 20.90%
16.633% 10.80%