needs ass essment repor t - hydro one › abouthydroone...ent/sarnia/l the follow d transmitt em...
TRANSCRIPT
Needs A
Prepar
ssessment Rep
red by: Cha
port - Chatham-
atham-Kent/
NE
Region
-Kent/Lambton
/Lambton/S
EEDS ASS
n: Chatham
Date
n/Sarnia Regio
Sarnia Stud
SESSMENT
m-Kent/L
: June 12, 2
on
dy Team
T REPOR
Lambton/S
2016
Hydro One Netw483 Bay Street Toronto, OntarioM5G 2P5
RT
Sarnia
June 1
works Inc.
2, 2016
Needs A
This restudy te
ssessment Rep
eport is prepeam with the
port – Chatham
pared on bee participatio
Hydro Inde
Bluew
Hyd
m-Kent/Lambto
ehalf of the on of represe
Org
One Networpendent Ele
water PowerEn
dro One Netw
n/Sarnia Regio
Chatham-Kentatives from
ganizations
rks Inc. (Leactricity Syst
r Distributionntegrus Inc.works Inc. (D
on
Kent/Sarnia/Lm the follow
ad Transmitttem Operaton Corporatio
Distribution)
Lambton regwing organiz
ter) r
on
)
June
Page
gional plannzations:
e 12, 2016
e | 2
ning
Needs A
Disclaim
This Nethe ChcoordinNeeds processand resassump
Study Networimpliedwithoutunder athe Neethird paany diredamagefrom orReport aforeme
ssessment Rep
mer
eeds Assessmhatham-Kentnated region
Assessmentses and may sults reporteptions provid
team partirks Inc. (cold, statutory ot limitation, any circumsteds Assessmarty reading ect, indirect es or any losr in any wa
or its conentioned per
port – Chatham
ment Reportt/Lambton/Sal planning.t Report mbe reevalua
ed in this Nded by study
icipants, thlectively, “t
or otherwise)the accurac
tances whatsment Report
or receivingor conseques of profit, loy related tontents by arsons and ent
m-Kent/Lambto
t was prepararnia and . The potentay be studited based on
Needs Assesteam partici
heir respectthe Authors”) as to the Ncy or complsoever, be liwas prepare
g the Needs Aential loss oross of contra the relianceany person tities.
n/Sarnia Regio
red for the puto assess wtial needs thied further n the findingssment Repoipants.
tive affiliat”) make no
Needs Assessleteness of iable to eached (“the IntAssessment r damages oact, loss of oe on, accept
or entity,
on
urpose of idwhether thohat have be through su
gs of furtherort are base
ted organizrepresentatisment Reporthe informa
h other, or totended ThirdReport (“th
or for any puopportunity otance or use
including,
dentifying poose needs
een identifieubsequent rer analysis. Thed on the in
zations, andons or warrrt or its contation thereino any third pd Parties”), he Other Thiunitive, incidor loss of goe of the Nee
but not l
June
Page
otential needrequire furd through
egional plannhe load forenformation
d Hydro Oranties (exprtents, includn and shall party for whor to any ord Parties”),
dental or speodwill resuleds Assessmlimited to,
e 12, 2016
e | 3
ds in rther this
ning cast and
One ress, ding,
not, hom ther , for ecial ting
ment the
Needs A
NAME
LEAD REGION START DAT
1. INThe purposKent/Lambtplanning. Wneeds will bparties as req
For needs th(IESO) will Resource Plsolution), or
2. RThe Needs AEnergy Boamanage the Regions are Assessment June 12, 201
3. SCThe scope oPlanning Pro The scope transformer System reliaNeeds Asses Needs emergpart of the IEdevelop a 20
4. INStudy teamprovided inactivities alrdistributed equipment a
5. AThe assessmstudy periodsingle contin
ssessment Rep
TE
NTRODUCse of this on/Sarnia Re
Where regionabe addressed quired.
hat require furinitiate the S
lanning (IRRr whether both
REGIONALAssessment ford’s (OEB) Rregional planbeing reviewfor Chatham
16. COPE OF Nf this Needs Aocess Workin
of the Needstation capac
ability, operassment.
ging over theESO-led Scop0-year strategNPUTS/DAT
m participantsnformation foready underwgeneration (
approaching eASSESSMENment’s primard (2015 – 202ngency analys
port – Chatham
NEEDS A
Cha
HyChaApr
TION Needs Asse
egion and deal coordinatiobetween rele
rther regionalScoping Asse
RP) process, oh are requiredISSUE/ TR
or the ChathaRegional Infranning processwed first. The-Kent/Lambto
NEEDS ASSAssessment wng Group Rep
ds Assessmencity, transmisational issues
next 10 yearping Assessm
gic direction foTA s, including ror the Chathaway, historical(DG) informend-of-life. NT METHOry objective w24). The assesis to identify
m-Kent/Lambto
ASSESSMEN
atham-Kent/L
dro One Netwatham-Kent/Lril 13, 2016
essment repoetermine if thon is not reqevant Local D
l planning andessment proceor the transmd.
RIGGERam-Kent/Lambastructure Plas, Ontario’s 2e Chatham-Keon/Sarnia Reg
SESSMENTwas limited toport to the OE
nt includes assion circuit t
and asset rep
rs and requirinment and/or IRfor the Region
representativeam-Kent/Laml load, load foation, system
ODOLOGYwas to identifessment reviey needs.
n/Sarnia Regio
NT EXECUT
Lambton/Sarn
works Inc. Lambton/Sarn
ort is to uhere are regi
quired, and a Distribution C
d coordinationess to determ
mitter-led Reg
bton/Sarnia Ranning proces21 regions weent/Lambton/gion was trig
To the next 10 yEB.
a review of tthermal capacplacement pl
ng coordinateRRP, or in then
es from LDCmbton/Sarniaforecast, consem reliability
Y
fy the electricewed availabl
on
TIVE SUMM
nia Study Tea
nia
END DAT
undertake anional needs t“localized”
Companies (L
n, the Indepemine whether gional Infrastr
Region was trss approved iere assigned /Sarnia Regio
ggered on Apr
years as per th
transmission city, voltage plans were also
ed regional ple next plannin
Cs, the IESORegion. The
ervation and performance
cal infrastructle information
MARY
am
TE June 12
n assessmentthat require wires solutioLDCs) and H
endent Electrian IESO-led
ructure Plan
riggered in rein August 20to one of thr
on belongs to ril 13, 2016 a
he recommen
system capaperformance o briefly rev
lanning may bng cycle. If re
O, and Hydre informationdemand man
e, operationa
ture needs inn and load fo
June
Page
2, 2016
t of the Ccoordinated
on is necessarHydro One an
city System Od Integrated R(RIP) proces
sponse to the013. To prioriree groups - GGroup 3. Th
and was comp
ndations of the
ability whichand load restiewed as par
be further assequired, an IR
ro One transn included: pnagement (CDal issues and
n the Region orecasts and i
e 12, 2016
e | 4
Chatham-regional ry, such nd other
Operator Regional ss (wires
Ontario itize and Group 1
he Needs pleted on
e
h covers toration.
rt of this
sessed as RRP will
smission planning DM) and d major
over the included
Needs A
6. RTransmissio A. 230/115 k
BaseTS) auto
B. 230 kV T Base
adeq
C. 115 kV T Base
adeq
D. 230 kV a Loa
net l System Reli A. Load Se
Baseconf
B. Load Re Base
infra
C. Voltage Und
stati
D. Bulk Po Base
Regwith
Aging Infra During the splace. Furthe
7. RBased on threlevant LD
ssessment Rep
RESULTS on Capacity
kV Autotransed on the grosupplying th
otransformer i
Transmission ed on the groquate over the
Transmission ed on the groquate over the
and 115 kV Cdings at Kentload forecast.
iability, Ope
ecurity ed on thefiguration, loa
estoration ed on the gastructure, res
Performanceder gross regions in the reg
ower System Ped on the ass
gion. The IESh different sys
astructure / R
study period, er details of t
RECOMMEe findings of Cs to develop
port – Chatham
Needs
sformer Capacoss regional-che Region isin the Region
Lines oss regional-ce study period
Lines oss regional-ce study period
onnection Fat TS exceed t.
ration and R
gross regad security cr
gross regionstoration crite
e ional-coincidgion meet Ma
Performance sumed systemO might undstem conditio
Replacement
plans to replahese investm
NDATIONSf the Needs Ap a local plan
m-Kent/Lambto
city oincident loa
s adequate ovn.
coincident lod for the loss
coincident lod for the loss
cilities their transform
Restoration N
gional-coincidriteria can be
nal-coincidenteria can be me
dent peak loaarket Rule req
in the Regionm study conddertake plannions.
t Plan
ace aged equients can be fo
S ssessment, thto address th
n/Sarnia Regio
d forecast, thver the study
oad forecast, of a single 23
oad forecast, of a single 11
mer 10-Day L
Needs
dent load met over the
t load forecaet over the stu
ad conditionsquirements.
n ditions, no buing study to a
ipment at statound in Sectio
he study teamhermal overloa
on
he 230/115 kVy period for
the 230 kV c30 kV circuit
the 115 kV c15 kV circuit
Long Term R
forecast anstudy period.
asts with thudy period.
, post-contin
ulk power syaccess the ade
tions and seveon 6.3 of this
m recommendsad of transfor
V autotransforthe loss of a
circuits suppin the Region
circuits suppin the Region
Rating (LTR)
nd the exi.
he use of e
ngency voltag
ystem issue wequacy of the
eral transmiss report.
s Hydro One rmer T3 at Ke
June
Page
rmers capacita single 230/
lying the Regn.
lying the Regn.
in 2016 base
isting transm
existing trans
ge at a l l tran
was identifiede bulk power
sion circuits w
transmissionent TS.
e 12, 2016
e | 5
ty (Scott /115 kV
gion are
gion are
d on the
mission
smission
nsformer
d in the system
will take
n and the
Needs
TABNeed
List o1
2 R
3
3.1....
4
4.1
5 A
6 R
6.1
6.2
6.3
7 R
8 R
Appe
Appe
Appe
s Assessment R
BLE OF Cds Assessmen
of Figures anIntroduction
Regional Iss
Scope of Ne
1 Chatham-K...................
Inputs and D
1 Load Forec
Assessment
Results .......
1 Transm
6.1.1 230
6.1.2 230 k
6.1.3 115 k
6.1.4 230 k
2 System
6.2.1 Load
6.2.2 Load
6.2.3 Volt
6.2.4 Bulk
3 Aging I
Recommend
References .
endix A: Loa
endix B: Key
endix C: Acr
Report - Chatha
ONTENTSnt Executive
nd Tables …n ..................
sue / Trigger
eeds Assessm
Kent/Lambto...................
Data ............
cast .............
Methodolog
...................
mission Syste
kV and 115
kV Transmi
kV Transmi
kV and 115
m Reliability,
d Security ...
d Restoration
age Perform
k Power Syst
Infrastructur
dations ........
...................
ad Forecasts
y Terms and
ronyms .......
am-Kent/Lamb
S e Summary ..
………………....................
r ...................
ment.............
on/Sarnia Re....................
....................
....................
gy ................
....................
em Capacity
5 kV Autotra
ssion Lines .
ssion Lines .
kV Connect
, Operation a
....................
n ..................
mance ...........
tem Perform
re and Repla
....................
....................
...................
Definitions
....................
bton/Sarnia Reg
....................
………………....................
....................
....................
egion Descrip....................
....................
....................
....................
....................
y Needs ........
ansformers ...
....................
....................
tion Facilitie
and Restorat
....................
....................
....................
mance in the R
acement Plan
....................
....................
....................
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gion
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ption and Co....................
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es .................
tion Review
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n of Major E
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Equipment ...
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Jun
Page |
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Configuration...................
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e 12, 2016
6
4
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8
9
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2
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
6
6
6
7
7
8
21
23
Needs
LIST FigurFigur
LIST TableTableTableTableTableTable
s Assessment R
T OF FIGU
re 1: Map ofre 2: Single-
T OF TAB
e 1: Study tee 2: Hydro Oe 3 : Gas-firee 4 : CDM foe 5: Chathame 6 : Chatham
Report – Chatha
URES
f Chatham-KLine diagram
BLES
eam participaOne and custed generationorecast for th
m-Kent/Lambm-Kent/Lam
am-Kent/Lamb
Kent/Lambtonm – Chatham
ants for Chattomer assets n output levhe Chatham-bton/Sarnia
mbton/Sarnia
bton/Sarnia Re
n/Sarnia Regm-Kent/Lam
tham-Kent/Lin Chathamels assumed- Kent/Lambregional coi
a regional no
egion
gion ............mbton/Sarnia
Lambton/Sarm-Kent/Lambd for Needs Abton/Sarnia Rincidental loon-coinciden
....................Region .......
rnia Region .bton/Sarnia RAssessment .Region ........ad forecast ..
ntal load fore
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...................
................. 1
...................Region ...... 1................. 1................. 1................. 1ecast ......... 2
une 12, 2016
7
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8 0 2 8 9
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Needs
1 I
This may yearsregioSysteProce The plannKent/determand/onecescustorecomthe IAssesPlannproce This Kent/captuIESO Table
No.
1.
2.
3.
4.
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2 R
The Nrespoappro
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ures the resuO.
e 1: Study tea
Hydro On
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REGIONA
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CTION
ssment reporg in the Cha
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this Needsies already arnia Regionse needs reqated regionaress the needl further ution(s). For n
Electricitycess to deter) process, o
olution), or b
prepared by Harnia Regionults of the as
am participa
Organ
ne Networks
ent Electricit
r Power Dist
Power Lines
ne Networks
AL ISSUE /
ssment for tOntario Energust 2013.
am-Kent/Lamb
rt provides aatham-Kent/
f the Needs set out in thtribution SysWG) Report
s Assessmenunderway;
n to identify quire a “local planning ads, Hydro Onundertake plneeds that re System Ormine whethor the trans
both are requ
Hydro One (n Needs Assssessment b
ants for Chat
nizations
Inc. (Lead T
ty System Op
tribution Cor
s Inc.
Inc. (Distrib
/ TRIGGE
the Chathamrgy Board’s To prioritiz
bton/Sarnia Re
a description/Lambton/Sa Assessmenhe Ontario Estem Code (to the OEB
nt report is undertake near term an
calized” wireassessment. ne, as transmlanning ass
equire furtheOperator (the
her an IESOsmitter-led
uired.
(Lead Transmsessment stuased on info
tham-Kent/L
Transmitter)
perator
rporation
bution)
ER
m-Kent/Lamb(OEB) Regi
ze and man
egion
n of the analyarnia (the R
nt report is Energy Boar(DSC) requir.
to: conside
an assessnd/or emergies only soluWhere a loc
mitter, with Lsessments ter regional ple IESO) wO-led IntegrRegional In
mitter) with udy team listormation pro
Lambton/Sar
bton/Sarnia ional Infrast
nage the reg
ysis to identRegion) over
in accordanrd’s (OEB) rements and
er the inforsment of thing needs inution(s) in tcal wires onLDCs or otho develop lanning and
will initiate rated Regionfrastructure
input from tted in Table ovided by L
rnia Region
Region wastructure Plangional plann
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tify needs thar the next tence with thTransmissio
d the Plannin
rmation fromhe Chatham
n the area; anthe near-term
nly solution er connectinoptions ancoordinationthe Scopin
nal Resource Plan (RIP
the Chatham1. The repo
LDCs and th
s triggered inning procesning proces
une 12, 2016
8
at en he on ng
m m-nd m is
ng nd n,
ng ce P)
m-ort he
in ss s,
Needs
OntarbeingRegio
3 S
This assesinclutransfand lwere
3.1 CC
The rthe tEnnisis borFigur
s Assessment R
rio’s 21 regig reviewed on began on
SCOPE OF
Needs Asssment periodes a reviewformer statioload restoratalso briefly
Chatham-KeConfiguratio
region includtownships oskillen, St. Crdered by there 1 illustrate
Fig
Report – Chatha
ions were asfirst. The RApril 13, 20
F NEEDS A
sessment cod of 10 yearw of transmon capacity,tion. Systemreviewed as
ent/Lambtoon
des the munof Petrolia, Clair, Warwie London ares the approx
gure 1: Map
am-Kent/Lamb
ssigned to oRegion falls 016 and was
ASSESSM
overs the Crs, from 201
mission syste, transmissio
m reliability,s part of this
n/Sarnia Re
nicipalities ofPlympton-W
ick, and Villrea to the easximate study
p of Chatha
bton/Sarnia Re
one of three into Group
s completed o
MENT
Chatham-Ken15 to 2024. em connection circuit th operationalNeeds Asse
egion Descr
f Lambton SWyoming, Blages of Oil st and Windsy area.
am-Kent/La
egion
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nt/Lambton/The scope o
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sor-Essex to
ambton/Sarn
ere Group 1eeds Assessm2016.
/Sarnia Regof the Needcapability w
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1 Regions arment for th
gion over as Assessmenwhich cover performanc
acement plan
n
ent, as well awn-Euphemiaward. The are
est.
une 12, 2016
9
re is
an nt rs ce ns
as a, ea
Needs
ElecttransmcircuRegio(B3N Listeconne
Table
N1SS2N
s Assessment R
tricity supplymission lineits (N21W, on also con
N, L4D and L
d in Table 2ected custom
e 2: Hydro O
115 kV Circ
, N4S, N6C, N, N5K, K2Z
Report – Chatha
y for the Rees. The bulkN22W, L24
ntains a numL51D)
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am-Kent/Lamb
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4L, L26L, Wmber of inte
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230 kV Circu
N7S, VN, L23N, LV, L37G, LC, L29C, LC, W4
C, L24L, LW, N22W
bton/Sarnia Re
vided througectrical sup
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in Chatham-K
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gh a networkpply is transW45LS) towns with neig
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Kent/Lambt
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Stations TS, LambtonTS, Duart
land tead TS, ew ceburg TS
k of 230 kVsmitted throwards Buchaghboring M
mission and nia Region.
ton/Sarnia R
CTr
n TS, TS, TS, St.
TS,
Forest CustomCustomCustomCustomCustomCustomCustomCustom
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Page | 1
V and 115 kVough 230 kVanan TS. Thichigan Stat
transmission
Region
Customer ransformer Stations Jura HVDS,
mer CTSmer CTSmer CTSmer CTSmer CTSmer CTSmer CTSmer CTS #8
une 12, 2016
10
V V is te
n-
#1, #2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #7,
Nee
Intercto Mi
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S
connections ichigan U.S.
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connection to gan U.S. B3N
To Lauzon TS
GEn
port - Chatham-Ken
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CTS #5
CTS #1
CTS #2
CTS #3
nsAlta Sarnia CGS
CTS #8
Kent TS
East Lake St. Clair Wind Farm
Greenfield ergy Centre
GSPC CGS
South Kent Wind Farm
To Lauzon
TS
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Fig
nt/Lambton/Sarnia
Scott TS
N21W
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V41N
V43N
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C
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N
Chatham SS
C21J
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a SS
gure 2: Single-L
a Region
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W
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N7C
ndrew TS
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SS
ndfarm
W45LS
ngoing Project
– Chatham-Ke
June 12, 201
S
N
ood TS
To Bruce
B56
2L
B5
63L
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nt/Lambton/Sa
16
Wond
CTS #6
W42L
W43L
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ToN582L
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LandCG
N.O.
Leg
arnia Region
derland TS
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3L
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o Nanticoke
Buchanan DESN
don GS
gend
500 kV circuit 230 kV cir115 kV circuit AutotransfNormally Open point Study AreN.O.
Page | 11
hanan TS
rcuitformer
ea
Needs
4 In orfollow
Lfo
IEa.bc.d
H
H
Ain
Table
Gree
Tran
St. C
Gree
Basedsummpeak assesa comconneexisticurre(CAAconveconve
s Assessment R
INPUTS
rder to conwing inform
LDCs providorecast (2015
ESO provide. Historic. List of e. Gas gen. Conserv
(DG) da
Hydro One (T
Hydro One (T
Any relevantnvestments a
e 3 : Gas-fire
Gas GeneKent/La
enfield Energy
sAlta Sarnia
lair Power CG
enfield South
d on the histmer peaking
load and stsment, Wanmplete statiected to the ing Wansteantly being
A ID 2015-5erted to a 2ersion projec
Report - Chatha
S AND DA
nduct this Nmation to Hyd
ded historic5 – 2024)
ed: cal regional cexisting relianeration assuvation and Data
Transmission
Transmission
t planning inare provided
ed generation
erators in Chambton/Sarni
y Centre
GS
Power Corpo
torical informregion. As s
tudies condinstead TS haion rebuild. existing Wa
ad TS from tassessed by545). As su
230 kV statict.
am-Kent/Lamb
ATA
Needs Assedro One:
cal summer
coincident pability and oumptions (SeDemand M
n) provided
n) provided
nformation, by Hydro O
n output leve
atham‐a area
oration (GSPC
mation provsuch, the Neeitions. Furths been identPrior to la
anstead TS athe current
y the IESO uch, the Neeion. Please r
bton/Sarnia Reg
essment, stu
(2012 – 20
peak load andoperational isee Table 3) anagement
transformer,
existing reli
including pOne (Transm
els assumed f
Maximusumm
C)
ided, Chathaeds Assessm
her, as part otified as reacaunch of thand Hydro O115 kV suppas part its eds Assessmrefer to Sec
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Jun
Page | 1
provided th
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se refer to Ap
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Accounting forecast are cenario to id
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A gross analysis fA gross the analys
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with the statioactor for staower factor,ransformer s
Time Rating
Report – Chatha
ast
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4.
ppendix A fo
ENT MET
ethodology a
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dentify needsG, is analyze
and net nonfor sections 6and net reg
sis for sectioact of any oudy period. assess impa
he end of thecity adequacon’s normal
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or the load f
THODOLO
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ds Assessmenndustrial cuss at Hydro O
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ut low-voltais more con
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team, the sue rate of appf CDM and n average r
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critical/majoe such as traned by comp
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egion
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s Needs Asse
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historical 2
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was used to
ast was use2.4
nt projects in
planned/idecables, and stnon–coincide
ming a 90% lathe historicanning supplyummer 10 –
Ju
Page | 1
nt load in thlly from 201oincident loa.2% annuall
essment.
ment:
2015 summe
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nd a net loaa worst cas
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entified to btations. ent peak loaagging powel low voltag
y capacity foDay Limite
une 12, 2016
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A sta
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Transmission
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RESULTS
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Transmis
230 kV a
230/115 kV y period for t
230 kV T
230 kV circit in the Reg
115 kV T
115 kV lineits have adeq
230 kV a
ation capacity
Report – Chatha
n adequacy a
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element outwith circuit l
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em to meet ent out of sero elements oation. em is capab
summarizes /Sarnia Regi
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and 115 kV
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Transmission
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es supplyingquate capaci
nd 115 kV C
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am-Kent/Lamb
assessment is
o the forecasservice, the
ment loading
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mission Assesload securitrvice, no moout of servi
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he study peri
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peak load. ble of supplings and vo
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ranges as peC). RTAC, specd is lost by cMW of loa
n timeframe
ment in the
ion are adeqin the Regio
e loss of a s
cuit lines. T
iod for the 23
Ju
Page | 1
riteria:
lying forecaoltages withi
lying forecaE) ratings an
er the Ontari
cifically, witconfigurationad is lost b
es as per th
e Chatham–
quate over thon.
ingle 230 kV
These 115 kV
30 kV and
une 12, 2016
14
st in
st nd
io
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by
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–
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Needs
115 kload f Kent forec All thwithi 6.2 6.2.1 Basedin–seare wGreen Basedresultcurtawithi
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s Assessment R
kV transformforecasts.
TS T3/T4 iast (approxi
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Load Sec
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d on the grot in load inilment or byin their appli
efore, load s
Load Res
d on the gderland TS, MW for the be sectionaliof existing scan be reducs. The remaitransfers an
former stati
Report – Chatha
mer stations i
is forecastedmately 119%
s in the Chamal supply ca
Reliability, O
curity
oss regional coincident witcable ratingsgy Centre un
oss regionalnterruption gy load rejecicable rating
oss regional nterruption gy load rejecicable rating
ecurity crite
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am-Kent/Lamb
in the Regio
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atham-Kent/apacity durin
Operation a
coincident pth an outages. The largeit on the 230
l-coincident greater thanction. In ads.
coincident greater thanction. In ads.
eria for the R
ident load of study perble-circuit 2
ad can be reN21W. Wit
e peak level an be resupphing alternao One will
bton/Sarnia Re
on using the
its 10 – Day10 – Day LT
/Lambton/Sang the study
and Restorat
peak load fore of the largeest local gen0 kV.
load forecan 150 MW dition, unde
load forecasn 600 MW dition, unde
Region are m
forecast at riod, the load230 kV line Nstored from th the switcof over 240
plied within tate feeder su
continue to
egion
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arnia Regionperiod.
tion Review
recast, with est local genneration unit
ast, the loss by configu
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st, the loss oby configu
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met.
Modeland d interruptedN21W and Neither Scott
hing capabi0 MW to lesthe 4-8 hourupplies to no monitor
tion non- co
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n is forecast
w
all transmiseration unitst is a 230 k
of one elemuration, by pnditions, all
of two elemuration, by pnditions, all
TS, Wanstd is expectedN22W. Prest TS or Bucilities, magnss than 150 Mrs timeframeneighbouringload growth
Ju
Page | 1
oincident pea
n the net loa
ted to remai
sion facilities, all facilitiekV–connecte
ment will noplanned loafacilities ar
ments will noplanned loafacilities ar
tead TS and to approacsently, N21Wchanan TS bnitude of loaMW within e by means og, unaffecteh at station
une 12, 2016
15
ak
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of ed ns
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s Assessment R
ected to N2opriate.
d on the asected to N6le-circuit 23
espond as quration critergency suppl
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Voltage P
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d on the stuer system in bined-cycle gd vary depenince or availon 3.1, the
ugh interconnnterties havegeneration
m performabulk system y, Hydro On
transmissio
Aging Inf
ro One revined for the ge cables. Abished, with
018. Prior tohad discuss
Report – Chatha
21W/N22W
sumed load 6S and N7S,30kV line N6uickly as pria. It is they for essenti
estoration cr
Performanc
ional coincions in the reg
wer System
udy assumptthe Region.gas plants in
nding on brolability of otChatham-Kenections in S
e a significanoutput and nce for this adequacy une will work n connected
frastructure
ewed the sureplacemen
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am-Kent/Lamb
and update
levels for t, the load in6S and N7S.
possible to re customer’ial load or ar
riteria for the
ce
dent peak logion meet M
Performanc
tions listed It is notedn the Sarnia
oader systemther generatient/LambtonSarnia and Lnt impact on import/expoRegion, the
nder differenwith the IES
d industrial cu
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ustainment nt of any auned in earlie0/66/83 MVAthis study, th
mmitted to c
bton/Sarnia Re
e the restor
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rrange for ba
e Region are
oad conditioMarket Rule r
ce in the Re
in Section that, howeve
a-Lambton am conditions
ion resourcen/Sarnia RegLambton. Im
the bulk traort levels aree IESO mignt system coSO and solicustomers as
acement Pla
and developutotransformer section, A transformehe LDCs conconverting t
egion
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ssion-connecwill exceed e crews locad to meet thbility to ensackup supply
e met.
ons, post-corequirement
egion
4, no issueer, there arearea and gassuch as exp
es. Moreovergion is conn
mport and expansmission se important
ght undertakeonditions. Acit inputs frorequired.
an of Major
pment initiamers, power
the existingers and is scnnecting to Wthe station f
on an ongo
cted industri150 MW fo
ated in Sarniahe 4 hours sure that thy from other
ontingency vs.
was identife a number os-fired generpected load gr, as previounected to theport generatystem. Recoparameters
e further stuAt the launchom other ent
r Equipmen
atives that atransformer
g Wanstead cheduled to bWanstead Tfrom 115 kV
Ju
Page | 1
oing basis a
ial customeror the loss oa will be abland 8 hour
here is onsitr sources.
voltage at a
fied for bulkof large scalration outpugrowth in thusly noted ine US markeion levels on
ognizing gasfor the bulk
udy to assesh of the saidtities such a
t
are currentlyrs and high
TS will bebe completedS and Hydro
V to 230 kV
une 12, 2016
16
as
rs of le rs te
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k e
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Needs
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s Assessment R
ecting to 23ded this com
following suy, but are inc
The existingtransformers
The existingfor-like with
RECOMM
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r thermal ogional supplyommendatiom recommenal plan (“Ke
REFEREN
lanning ProcRegional InfrESO Ontario
Report – Chatha
30 kV circummitted proje
ustainment cluded for co
g St Andrews and is sche
g Scott TS wh a 250MVA
MENDATIO
findings of tnot required
verload of y capacity toon that no funds Hydro O
ent TS – T3 C
NCES
cess Workinrastructure Po Resource a
am-Kent/Lamb
uits N21W aect in the are
plans do noompleteness:
ws TS will duled to be c
will be refurbA unit and is
ONS
the Needs Aat this time.
transformer o accommodurther regionOne transmiCapacity Lim
ng Group (PPlanning in O
and Transmis
bton/Sarnia Re
and N22W. ea network s
ot affect the:
be refurbiscompleted in
bished, autotscheduled to
Assessment, t.
T3 at Kentdate expectednal coordinassion and thmitation”) fo
PWG) ReporOntario – Massion Assess
egion
The Needssetup.
e results of
shed with sn 2023.
transformer To be complet
the study te
t TS, considd load growtation is requhe relevant dor this need.
rt to the Boaay 17, 2013sment Criter
s Assessmen
this Needs
standard 50/
T5 will be rted in 2022.
eam agrees t
dering there th, it is the suired. Furthedistributors t
ard: The Proc
ria (ORTAC)
Ju
Page | 1
nt study had
Assessmen
/66/83 MVA
replaced like
that Scoping
is adequatestudy team’ser, the studyto develop a
cess for
) – Issue 5.0
une 12, 2016
17
d
nt
A
e-
g
e s y a
0
Needs
APP
As ngenerdetermKent/reduc
Table
The Dthe IFurthpeak
CDM
s Assessment R
PENDIX A
noted in Secration (DG)mine the ne/ Lambton/Sction applied
e 4 : CDM fo
DG informatESO in the
her, the DG idemand.
2015
M 0.96%
Report - Chatha
A: LOAD F
ction 5, cons) projects foet load foreSarnia area d to gross pe
orecast for th
tion shown iChatham –
information
2016 201
2.04% 2.74
am-Kent/Lamb
FORECAS
servation anforecast infocast. The fois summarizak demand a
he Chatham-
in Table 5 a– Kent/Lambrepresents th
17 2018
4% 3.84%
bton/Sarnia Reg
STS
nd demand mormation proorecasted CDzed in Tableat each statio
Kent/Lambt
and Table 6bton/Sarnia he cumulativ
2019 20
4.86% 5.6
gion
managementovided by tDM achievee 4 and it ron.
ton/Sarnia R
reflects all area: FIT,
ve, effective
020 2021
68% 6.25%
t (CDM) anthe IESO wement in threpresents th
Region
generation cmicroFIT a
e capacity to
2022 2
6.83% 7.
Jun
Page | 1
nd distributewere used t
he Chatham he percentag
contracts witand CHPSOPo meeting are
2023 2024
.22% 7.72%
e 12, 2016
18
ed to –
ge
th P. ea
Nee
Tab
ds Assessment Rep
ble 5: Chatham-K
Station
Duart TS
Duart TS
Duart TS
Duart TS
Forest Jura DS
Forest Jura DS
Forest Jura DS
Forest Jura DS
Kent TS T1/T2
Kent TS T1/T2
Kent TS T1/T2
Kent TS T1/T2
Kent TS T3/T4
Kent TS T3/T4
Kent TS T3/T4
Kent TS T3/T4
Lambton TS
Lambton TS
Lambton TS
Lambton TS
Modeland TS
Modeland TS
Modeland TS
Modeland TS
St. Andrews TS
St. Andrews TS
St. Andrews TS
St. Andrews TS
Wallaceburg TS
Wallaceburg TS
Wallaceburg TS
Wallaceburg TS
Wanstead TS
Wanstead TS
Wanstead TS
Wanstead TS
CTS #1
CTS #2
CTS #3
CTS #4
CTS #5
CTS #6
CTS #7
CTS #8
port - Chatham-Ken
Kent/Lambton/S
Data
Coincidental Gro
Coincidental C
DG
Coincidental Ne
Coincidental Gro
Coincidental C
DG
Coincidental Ne
Coincidental Gro
Coincidental C
DG
Coincidental Ne
Coincidental Gro
Coincidental C
DG
Coincidental Ne
Coincidental Gro
Coincidental C
DG
Coincidental Ne
Coincidental Gro
Coincidental C
DG
Coincidental Ne
Coincidental Gro
Coincidental C
DG
Coincidental Ne
Coincidental Gro
Coincidental C
DG
Coincidental Ne
Coincidental Gro
Coincidental C
DG
Coincidental Ne
Transmission Connected Ind
Transmission Connected Ind
Transmission Connected Ind
Transmission Connected Ind
Transmission Connected Ind
Transmission Connected Ind
Transmission Connected Ind
Transmission Connected Ind
nt/Lambton/Sarnia
Sarnia regional cHistorical
2014
ss Load
CDM
et Load 14.46
ss Load
CDM
et Load 19.36
ss Load
CDM
et Load 69.45
ss Load
CDM
et Load 39.95
ss Load
CDM
et Load 61.64
ss Load
CDM
et Load 82.59
ss Load
CDM
et Load 63.59
ss Load
CDM
et Load 27.05
ss Load
CDM
et Load 28.24
ustrial Customer 7.94
ustrial Customer 20.82
ustrial Customer 29.00
ustrial Customer 112.95
ustrial Customer 30.89
ustrial Customer 2.47
ustrial Customer 53.89
ustrial Customer 46.71
a Region
coincidental loadl
2015 2016 2
14.66 14.87 1
0.14 0.30
0.07 0.07
14.45 14.50 1
19.69 20.03 2
0.19 0.41
0.02 0.02
19.49 19.60 1
71.05 72.70 7
0.68 1.48
0.53 1.20
69.84 70.01 7
40.82 41.72 4
0.39 0.85
0.16 0.16
40.27 40.71 4
62.25 62.87 6
0.60 1.28
0.00 0.00
61.66 61.59 6
82.93 83.27 8
0.80 1.70
0.02 0.16
82.11 81.41 8
63.59 63.59 6
0.61 1.30
0.01 0.01
62.98 62.29 6
27.67 28.32 2
0.27 0.58
0.43 0.94
26.98 26.80 2
28.70 29.17 2
0.28 0.60
0.38 0.38
28.05 28.20 2
7.94 7.94
20.82 20.82 2
29.00 29.00 2
112.95 112.95 1
30.89 30.89 3
2.47 2.47
53.89 53.89 5
46.71 46.71 4
d forecast 2017 2018 2019
15.09 15.30 15.52
0.41 0.59 0.75
0.25 0.25 0.25
14.42 14.46 14.52
20.37 20.72 21.07
0.56 0.80 1.02
0.02 0.02 0.02
19.80 19.91 20.03
74.38 76.11 77.88
2.04 2.92 3.78
1.20 1.20 1.20
71.14 71.98 72.90
42.64 43.58 44.55
1.17 1.67 2.16
0.16 0.16 0.16
41.31 41.75 42.23
63.49 64.12 64.76
1.74 2.46 3.14
0.00 0.00 0.00
61.75 61.66 61.61
83.61 83.96 84.30
2.29 3.22 4.09
0.16 0.16 0.16
81.16 80.57 80.05
63.59 63.59 63.59
1.74 2.44 3.09
0.01 0.01 0.01
61.84 61.14 60.50
28.97 29.65 30.34
0.79 1.14 1.47
0.94 0.94 0.94
27.24 27.57 27.93
29.65 30.14 30.63
0.81 1.16 1.49
0.38 0.38 0.38
28.46 28.60 28.76
7.94 7.94 7.94
20.82 20.82 20.82
29.00 29.00 29.00
12.95 112.95 112.95
30.89 30.89 30.89
2.47 2.47 2.47
53.89 53.89 53.89
46.71 46.71 46.71
F
June 12, 201
9 2020 2021
2 15.74 15.97
0.89 1.00
0.25 0.25
2 14.60 14.72
7 21.43 21.80
1.22 1.36
0.02 0.02
3 20.20 20.42
8 79.70 81.56
4.53 5.10
1.20 1.20
0 73.96 75.25
5 45.54 46.56
2.59 2.91
0.16 0.16
3 42.79 43.49
6 65.40 66.05
3.72 4.13
0.00 0.00
1 61.68 61.92
0 84.65 84.99
4.81 5.32
0.16 0.16
5 79.67 79.52
9 63.59 63.59
3.61 3.98
0.01 0.01
0 59.97 59.61
4 31.04 31.76
1.76 1.99
6.09 6.09
3 23.18 23.68
3 31.13 31.64
1.77 1.98
0.38 0.38
6 28.98 29.28
7.94 7.94
2 20.82 20.82
0 29.00 29.00
5 112.95 112.95
9 30.89 30.89
2.47 2.47
9 53.89 53.89
1 46.71 46.71
orecast
16
2022 2023 20
16.20 16.43 16.
1.11 1.19 1.2
0.25 0.25 0.2
14.84 14.99 15.
22.17 22.55 22.
1.51 1.63 1.7
0.02 0.02 0.0
20.64 20.90 21.
83.46 85.42 87.
5.70 6.16 6.7
1.20 1.20 1.2
76.56 78.05 79.
47.60 48.67 49.
3.25 3.51 3.8
0.16 0.16 0.1
44.19 45.00 45.
66.70 67.36 68.
4.55 4.86 5.2
0.00 0.00 0.0
62.15 62.50 62.
85.34 85.69 86.
5.82 6.18 6.6
0.16 0.16 0.1
79.36 79.35 79.
63.59 63.59 63.
4.34 4.59 4.9
0.01 0.01 0.0
59.25 59.00 58.
32.50 33.25 34.
2.22 2.40 2.6
6.09 6.09 6.0
24.19 24.76 25.
32.16 32.69 33.
2.20 2.36 2.5
0.38 0.38 0.3
29.59 29.95 30.
7.94 7.94 7.9
20.82 20.82 20.
29.00 29.00 29.
112.95 112.95 112
30.89 30.89 30.
2.47 2.47 2.4
53.89 53.89 53.
46.71 46.71 46.
024
.66
29
25
.12
.93
77
02
.14
.42
75
20
.47
.76
84
16
.76
.03
25
00
.78
.04
64
16
.24
.59
91
01
.68
.03
63
09
.31
.22
56
38
.28
94
.82
.00
2.95
.89
47
.89
.71
Page | 19
Nee
Tab
ds Assessment Rep
ble 6 : Chatham-
Station
Duart TS
Duart TS
Duart TS
Duart TS
Forest Jura DS
Forest Jura DS
Forest Jura DS
Forest Jura DS
Kent TS T1/T2
Kent TS T1/T2
Kent TS T1/T2
Kent TS T1/T2
Kent TS T3/T4
Kent TS T3/T4
Kent TS T3/T4
Kent TS T3/T4
Lambton TS
Lambton TS
Lambton TS
Lambton TS
Modeland TS
Modeland TS
Modeland TS
Modeland TS
St. Andrews TS
St. Andrews TS
St. Andrews TS
St. Andrews TS
Wallaceburg TS
Wallaceburg TS
Wallaceburg TS
Wallaceburg TS
Wanstead TS
Wanstead TS
Wanstead TS
Wanstead TS
CTS #1
CTS #2
CTS #3
CTS #4
CTS #5
CTS #6
CTS #7
CTS #8
port – Chatham-Ke
-Kent/Lambton/
Data
Non‐coincidental G
Non‐coincidenta
DG
Non‐coincidental
Non‐coincidental G
Non‐coincidenta
DG
Non‐coincidental
Non‐coincidental G
Non‐coincidenta
DG
Non‐coincidental
Non‐coincidental G
Non‐coincidenta
DG
Non‐coincidental
Non‐coincidental G
Non‐coincidenta
DG
Non‐coincidental
Non‐coincidental G
Non‐coincidenta
DG
Non‐coincidental
Non‐coincidental G
Non‐coincidenta
DG
Non‐coincidental
Non‐coincidental G
Non‐coincidenta
DG
Non‐coincidental
Non‐coincidental G
Non‐coincidenta
DG
Non‐coincidental
Transmission Connected Ind
Transmission Connected Ind
Transmission Connected Ind
Transmission Connected Ind
Transmission Connected Ind
Transmission Connected Ind
Transmission Connected Ind
Transmission Connected Ind
ent/Lambton/Sarnia
/Sarnia regional
Historica
2014
Gross Load
al CDM
Net Load 14.46
Gross Load
al CDM
Net Load 19.36
Gross Load
al CDM
Net Load 69.45
Gross Load
al CDM
Net Load 39.95
Gross Load
al CDM
Net Load 61.64
Gross Load
al CDM
Net Load 82.59
Gross Load
al CDM
Net Load 63.59
Gross Load
al CDM
Net Load 27.05
Gross Load
al CDM
Net Load 28.24
dustrial Customer 7.94
dustrial Customer 20.82
dustrial Customer 29.00
dustrial Customer 112.95
dustrial Customer 30.89
dustrial Customer 2.47
dustrial Customer 53.89
dustrial Customer 46.71
a Region
non-coincidenta
al
2015 2016
18.26 18.55
0.18 0.38
0.07 0.07
18.01 18.10
22.58 23.05
0.22 0.47
0.02 0.02
22.35 22.56
107.57 114.81 1
1.03 2.34
0.53 1.20
106.00 111.26 1
61.87 65.59
0.59 1.34
0.16 0.16
61.11 64.08
71.39 72.21
0.69 1.47
0.00 0.00
70.71 70.73
100.71 101.71 1
0.97 2.08
0.02 0.16
99.72 99.48
62.74 62.74
0.60 1.28
0.01 0.01
62.13 61.46
41.86 42.84
0.40 0.87
0.43 0.94
41.04 41.03
34.10 34.68
0.33 0.71
0.38 0.38
33.40 33.59
7.94 7.94
20.82 20.82
29.00 29.00
112.95 112.95 1
30.89 30.89
2.47 2.47
53.89 53.89
46.71 46.71
al load forecast
2017 2018 201
18.72 18.97 19.3
0.51 0.73 0.94
0.25 0.25 0.25
17.96 17.99 18.1
23.29 23.70 24.1
0.64 0.91 1.17
0.02 0.02 0.02
22.63 22.77 23.0
117.04 119.46 122.1
3.21 4.59 5.93
1.20 1.20 1.20
112.63 113.66 115.0
66.79 68.11 69.6
1.83 2.62 3.38
0.16 0.16 0.16
64.80 65.33 66.0
72.55 73.18 74.2
1.99 2.81 3.61
0.00 0.00 0.00
70.56 70.37 70.6
102.71 103.71 104.7
2.81 3.98 5.08
0.16 0.16 0.16
99.74 99.57 99.4
62.74 62.74 62.7
1.72 2.41 3.05
0.01 0.01 0.01
61.02 60.33 59.6
43.86 44.80 45.8
1.20 1.72 2.23
0.94 0.94 0.94
41.72 42.15 42.6
35.29 35.68 36.2
0.97 1.37 1.76
0.38 0.38 0.38
33.95 33.94 34.0
7.94 7.94 7.94
20.82 20.82 20.8
29.00 29.00 29.0
112.95 112.95 112.9
30.89 30.89 30.8
2.47 2.47 2.47
53.89 53.89 53.8
46.71 46.71 46.7
June 12, 2
9 2020 2021
33 19.69 19.94
4 1.12 1.25
5 0.25 0.25
14 18.32 18.44
19 24.75 25.09
7 1.41 1.57
2 0.02 0.02
00 23.33 23.51
16 124.89 127.48
3 7.10 7.97
0 1.20 1.20
02 116.58 118.30
62 71.14 72.55
8 4.04 4.54
6 0.16 0.16
08 66.93 67.85
29 75.37 76.00
1 4.28 4.75
0 0.00 0.00
68 71.09 71.25
71 104.71 104.71
8 5.95 6.55
6 0.16 0.16
47 98.60 98.00
74 62.74 62.74
5 3.57 3.92
1 0.01 0.01
69 59.17 58.81
82 46.95 48.10
3 2.67 3.01
4 6.09 6.09
66 38.19 39.00
22 36.99 37.75
6 2.10 2.36
8 0.38 0.38
08 34.51 35.01
4 7.94 7.94
82 20.82 20.82
00 29.00 29.00
95 112.95 112.95
89 30.89 30.89
7 2.47 2.47
89 53.89 53.89
71 46.71 46.71
Forecast
2016
2022 2023 2
20.19 20.43 2
1.38 1.47 1
0.25 0.25 0
18.56 18.71 1
25.50 25.82 2
1.74 1.86 2
0.02 0.02 0
23.75 23.94 24
130.10 132.77 13
8.88 9.58 1
1.20 1.20 1
120.02 121.98 12
73.98 75.42 7
5.05 5.44 5
0.16 0.16 0
68.76 69.82 7
76.60 77.15 7
5.23 5.57 6
0.00 0.00 0
71.37 71.59 7
104.71 104.71 10
7.15 7.56 8
0.16 0.16 0
97.40 97.00 9
62.74 62.74 6
4.28 4.53 4
0.01 0.01 0
58.45 58.21 5
49.19 50.28 5
3.36 3.63 3
6.09 6.09 6
39.74 40.56 4
38.30 38.83 3
2.61 2.80 3
0.38 0.38 0
35.31 35.65 3
7.94 7.94 7
20.82 20.82 2
29.00 29.00 2
112.95 112.95 11
30.89 30.89 3
2.47 2.47 2
53.89 53.89 5
46.71 46.71 4
2024
0.68
1.60
0.25
8.83
6.22
2.02
0.02
4.18
35.49
0.46
1.20
23.83
6.90
5.93
0.16
0.81
7.72
6.00
0.00
1.72
04.71
8.08
0.16
6.47
2.74
4.84
0.01
7.90
1.40
3.97
6.09
1.34
9.34
3.04
0.38
5.93
7.94
0.82
9.00
12.95
0.89
2.47
3.89
6.71
Page | 20
Needs
APP Key t NormThe munderwoul CoinThe etotal ContThe pnot av ConsProgruse ocusto DistrElectgener GrosAmoudelivusual LimiA hig LoadPredi
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PENDIX B
terms and de
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Page | 2
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une 12, 2016
22
k,
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Needs
APP BES BPS CDMCIA CGS CTS DESNDG DSC GTAIESOIRRPkV LDC LTR LV MW MVANA NERNGS NPCCOEB ORTAPF PPWRIP SIA SS TS TSC ULTC
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PENDIX C
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C: ACRON
ulk Electric ulk Power Syonservation ustomer Impustomer Genustomer Tranual Element istributed Geistribution Sreater Toron
ndependent Entegrated Regilovolt ocal Distribuimited Time ow-voltage
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Page | 2
une 12, 2016
23