nearshore fish community dynamics in the strait of georgia ...€¦ · .(non-bootstrap method) 2012...
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Jennifer L. Boldt, Thomas W. Therriault, Douglas E. Hay, Jacob Schweigert, & Matthew Thompson Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Science Branch, Pacific Biological Station,
Nanaimo, BC, Canada
Nearshore fish community dynamics in the Strait of Georgia: information from juvenile herring surveys
B.C. Seafood Landed Value
British Columbia Pacific Herring
DFO 2010
(HG)
(PRD)
(CC)
(WCVI)
(SOG)
5 major & 2 minor fishing stocks
Map courtesy of Kristen Daniel, DFO
• SOG herring are migratory
• Migrate between SOG and WCVI
• Spawning occurs in late Feb-early March
• Juveniles are found nearshore for about the first 1.5 years of life
• Mature and recruit at age-3
Background
• Recruitment in Pacific herring is highly variable
• Juvenile herring surveys were designed to forecast recruitment based on the density of juvenile herring in the SOG during their first year of life
• Thus, the forecast would be made 2½ years prior to the fishery and provide advanced “information” for fisheries management
Survey Justification
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11Strait of Georgia
89
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89
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11Strait of Georgia
• 10 “Core” Transects
•Both open water and channel type habitats
• Annual sampling between 1992 and 2011(except 1995)
•September-October
“Core” SOG Transects
Stations at Transects
5 stations per transect
Transects perpendicular to shore
Gabriola I.
Galiano I.
Valdes I.
Strait of Georgia
Fisheries Pêches and Oceans et Océans
1
2
“Open Water”
“Channel”
Generally one transect sampled per night 8
94
3 5 12
1011
6
Sampling
• “Blind” purse seine sets made after dusk• Fish sorted, identified and enumerated
Fisheries Pêches and Oceans et Océans
• Determine age classes of herring by length frequencies
• Include all successful purse seine sets (even zero catches)
• Transformed catch weights, ln(wt+1)
• Estimate annual average catch weight for age-0 herring
• Mean across samples
• Bootstrapped mean and variance (1000 times)
• Correlate survey catch with age-3 recruits (3 years later)
Herring Recruit Methods
Mean catch wt Bootstrap mean catch wt
Survey catch age-0 correlated with age 3 recruits
R2 = 0.74
0
2
4
6
8
10
0 2 4 6 8 10
ln(btstrp mean catch wt Age 0)
ln(A
ge 3
recr
uits
)
R2 = 0.76
0
2
4
6
8
10
0 2 4 6 8 10
ln(mean survey catch wt Age 0)
ln(A
ge 3
recr
uits
)
Recruit Predictions
Recruit year Predicted age 3 recruits *106 Recruit category .(non-bootstrap method)
2012 753 (698) Good (Average)
2013 679 (670) Average (Average)
Recruit categorybased on 33% & 66% of ranked recruitment time series (1952-2011):
Poor/Average cutoff = 414
Average/Good cutoff = 714
Additional Benefits?• Given the amount and type of data collected
and the cost of these surveys, are there any other benefits to be derived from this survey data?
• For example, can we detect community-level change?
Are there differences over time, between open water and channel sites, across depths?
Fisheries Pêches and Oceans et Océans
• Removed rare species not sampled well by gear (<10 occurrences in the 19 year time series). Chub Mackerel, Eelpout, Goby, Greenling, Invertebrate (non-squid), Kelp Perch, Lingcod, P. Cod, P. Lamprey, P. Sardine, P. Tomcod, Pile Perch, Poacher, Ratfish, Rockfish, Skate, Snailfish, Surfperch
• Species included = fish and squidP. Herring, N. Anchovy, Chinook Salmon, Chum Salmon, Coho Salmon, Sockeye Salmon, Pink Salmon, Dogfish, Flatfish, Gunnel, Midshipman, Pipefish, Sandlance, Sculpin, Shiner Perch, Smelt, Stickleback, P. Hake, W. Pollock, Snake Prickleback, Squid
• Include all successful purse seine sets (even zero catches)
• Estimate counts for species samples where weight, but not numbers were recorded (using avg. indiv. wt)
Multispecies Methods
Species Composition
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
Abu
ndan
ceW.PollockSticklebackSockeyeSalmonSnakePricklebackShinerperchSculpinSandlancePipefishPinkSalmonN.AnchovyMidshipmanGunnelFlatfishDogfishSmeltCohoSalmonChumSalmonChinookSalmonP.HakeSquidP.Herring
1992: due to 1 sample with a large catch of juvenile smelt1994: due to 2 samples with large catches of squid2002: due to 1 sample with a large catch of juvenile smelt
ANOSIMR=0.142p<0.1
Species Composition By Transect Type
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
Channel Open
Transect type
Abu
ndan
ce
W.PollockSticklebackSockeyeSalmonSnakePricklebackShinerperchSculpinSandlancePipefishPinkSalmonN.AnchovyMidshipmanGunnelFlatfishDogfishSmeltCohoSalmonChumSalmonChinookSalmonP.HakeSquidP.Herring
ANOSIMR=0.053p=<0.1
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
5 10 20 30 50 100 200 300 400
Depth interval (m)
Abu
ndan
ce
W.PollockSticklebackSockeyeSalmonSnakePricklebackShinerperchSculpinSandlancePipefishPinkSalmonN.AnchovyMidshipmanGunnelFlatfishDogfishSmeltCohoSalmonChumSalmonChinookSalmonP.HakeSquidP.Herring
Species Composition By Depth
ANOSIMR=0.102p<0.1
R2 = 0.33p = 0.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
Year
Ric
hnes
s
R2 = 0.45p = 0.002
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.019
92
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
Sha
nnon
-Wie
ner i
nde x
Species Richness and Diversity
Decreased since 1997
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
O C O C O C C O C O
1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 11
Transect
Ric
hnes
s
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
O C O C O C C O C O
1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 11
Transect
Sha
nnon
-Wie
ner I
ndex
0123456
Channel OpenTransect Type
Ric
hnes
s
0.00.20.40.60.81.0
Channel OpenTransect
Sha
nnon
-Wie
ner I
ndex
Species Richness and Diversity By Transect
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
5 10 20 30 50 100 200 300 400
Depth interval (m)
Ric
hnes
s
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
5 10 20 30 50 100 200 300 400
Depth interval (m)
Sha
nnon
-Wie
ner I
ndex
Species Richness and Diversity By Depth
0123
4567
13 14 15 16
Sea surface temperature (deg.C)
Ric
hnes
s
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
13 14 15 16
Sea surface temperature (deg.C)
Sha
nnon
-Wie
ner i
ndex
No Relationship with SST (Sept-Oct)
Richness Diversity
HerringEntrance Is. lighthouse
0123456789
13 14 15 16
Sea surface temperature (deg. C)
ln(m
ean
surv
ey c
atch
wt A
ge0
• Catch weight of age-0 herring is a good predictor of age-3 recruits• Species composition varies a little over time, location, and depth• Decreased richness & diversity over time• Higher diversity & richness in open areas than in channel areas• Higher diversity and richness at 10-20 m depth• Diversity, richness, age-0 herring abundance not related to SST
Summary
• Examine other indicators of this data set – e.g., mean trophic level of the community?, etc.
• Relate community indicators & herring abundance to– biological drivers (e.g., zooplankton prey, predators)– environmental drivers (e.g., more site-specific SST)
Next Steps