nature view farm
TRANSCRIPT
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Case Study
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Lets start…
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About the company1989
• Founded and manufactured in Cabot, Vermont• First enter market 8-oz and 32-oz with plain and vanilla flavor• Use natural ingredient with longer average shelf-life of 50 days
1999• Company revenue growth from $ 100,000 to $13 million• Fruit on the bottom yogurt
2000• Expand to 12 yogurt flavors & multipack yogurt (for children)
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The 4P’S• Natural yogurt (organic)• 8 –oz. size with 12 flavors• 32-oz. size with 4 flavors
• Affordable according to it’s channel
Product Price
Place PromotionNatural food channelWholesale clubNational retailer channelConvenience and drug store
It’s natural flavor with high quality and great taste growth in the national distribution and natural food channelLow-cost guerilla marketing
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MARKET SHARE BY PACKAGING SEGMENT
74%9%
8%9%
8-oz. cup smaller Children's multipacks32-oz. cups Others
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MARKET SHARE BY REGION
26%
22%25%
27%
Northwest Midwest Southwest West
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Dannon33%
Yoplait24%
Others23%
Private Label15%
Columbo5% Natureview
Farm24%
Brown Cow15%
Horizon Organic
19%
White Wave7%
Others35%
MARKET SHARE BY BRAND
Supermarket Natural Market
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StrengthStrong brandNo artificial thickeners usedUnique, smooth and creamy texture of yogurt
Usage of natural ingredientsLonger shelf life and low cost
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Weakness
No alternative financing availableLacks potential of taking higher risks and costsDoubt on sales team’s ability
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Strong relationships with leading natural foods retailers
Opportunity
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Accumulation of cash by Horizon from IPO
Being dropped out of traditional channel
Threats
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Natural Food Channel
Supermarket Food Channel
Manufacturing Cost
8-oz. cup $ 0.88 $ 0.74 $0.31
32-oz. cup $ 3.19 $ 2.70 $0.99
4-oz. cup multipack
$ 3.35 $ 2.85 $1.15
Retail Prices By channel
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Which one to choose??
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OPTION 1: Expand 6 SKUs of the 8-oz into eastern and western supermarket regions
PROS:• 8-oz have highest
incremental demand• High potential to
increase revenue
• First mover as organic yogurt brand to enter supermarket channel
CONS:• 8-oz have highest
incremental demand• High potential to
increase revenue
• First mover as organic yogurt brand to enter supermarket channel
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Supermarket channel margin analysis
Channel Selling price
Margin Cost price
Retailer $0.74 27% $0.74 x 73% = $0.54
Distributor $0.54 15% $0.54 x 85% = $0.46
Natureview $0.46 ($0.46/$0.31)/$0.46 =33%
$0.31
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Projection income statement2000 2001
Unit Sales 35 000 000 35 000 000 x (1+20%) = 42 000 000
Revenue Growth $ 35 000 000 x $ 0.74 = $ 25 900 000
42 000 000 x 0.74 = $ 31 080 000
Projected Revenue $ 13 000 000 + 25 900 000 = $ 38, 900 000
$ 13 000 000 + 31 080 000 = $ 44, 080 000
Cost 35 000 000 x $ 0.31 = $ 10 850 000 42 000 000 x 0.31 = $ 13 020 000Gross Profit $ 28, 050 000 $ 31, 060 000ExpensesAdvertisement $ 1 200 000 x 2 region = $ 2,400
000$ 2,400 000
SG&A $ 320 000 $ 640 000Slotting Fee 6 x $ 10 000 x 20 retails = 1200
000Broker’s Fee $ 16 100 000 x 0.04 = $ 644 000 $ 19 320 000 x 0.04 = $ 772 800Net Profit $ 23, 486 000 $ 27, 247 200
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OPTION 2:Expand 4 SKUs of the 32-oz size nationally into supermarket regions
PROS:• Generate higher profit
margin than 8-oz size• Strong competitive
advantage: longer shelf life
• Lower promotion expenses
CONS:• Doubt on claim of new users
would readily “enter the brand” via a multi-use size
• Doubt on sales team’s ability to achieve full national distribution in 12 months
• The 32-oz. expansion option would increase SG&A expense by $160,000
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Channel Selling price
Margin Cost price
Retailer $2.70 27% $2.70 x 73% = $0.1.97
Distributor $1.97 15% $0.54 x 85% = $1.67
Natureview $1.67 ($1.67/$0..99)/$1.67 =41%
$0.99
Supermarket channel margin analysis
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2000 2001Unit sales 5,500,000 5,500,000Revenues growth 550000 x 2.70 = 14,850,000 14,850,000
Projected revenue 14850000 + 13000000 = 27,850,000
27,850,000
Cost 5500000 x 0.99 = 5445000 5445000Gross profit 9,405,000 22,405,000Expense:Slotting fee 4 x 10000 x 64 = 2,560,000 0
SG & A 160,000 160,000Marketing 120000 x 4 = 480000 480,000Broker's fee (4% revenues) 367,400 367,400
Net profit 18,837,600 21,397,600
Projection income statement
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OPTION 3:Introduce two SKUs of a children multipack into the natural foods channel
PROS:• The sales team was
confident that they could achieve distribution for the two SKUs.
• The financial potential was very attractive.
• The natural foods channel was growing almost seven times faster than the supermarket.
CONS:• There were many potential
conflicts and other uncertain factors that the manager could not determine
• Can not achieve the target objective of Natureview farm
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Nature Food Channel Margin Analysis
Channel Selling Price
Margin Cost Price
Retailer $3.35 35% $3.35 x 65% = $2.18
Distributor $2.18 9% $2.18 x 91% = $1.98
Nature foods wholesalers
$1.98 7% $1.98 x 93% = $1.84
Natureview $1.84 ($1.84 - $1.15) / $1.84=38%
$1.15
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Projection income statement2000 2001
Unit sales 1,800,000 1,800,000 x 1.15 = 2,070,000
Revenue growth 1,800,000 x 3.35 = 6,030,000 2,070,000 x 3.35 = 6,934,500
Revenue projection 6,030,000 + 13,000,000 = 19,030,000
6,934,500 + 13,000,000 = 19,934,500
Cost 1,800,000 x 1.15 = 2,070,000 2,070,000 x 1.15 = 2,380,500
Gross profit 16,960,000 17,554,000Expense:Marketing 250,000 250,000Complementary cases 6,030,000 x 2.5% = 150,750 6,934,500 x 2.5% = 173,363Net profit 16,559,250 17,130,637
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Comparison Of Options for year 2001
Option Option 1 Option 2 Option 3Gross Margin 33% 41% 38%Unit sales 42, 000 000 5,500,000 2,070,000Revenue projection 44, 080 000 27,850,000 19,934,500Cost $ 13 020 000 $ 5 445 000 $ 2,380,500Gross profit $ 31, 060 000 22,405,000 17,554,000Expense:SG & A $ 640, 000 160,000 0Marketing $ 2, 400, 000 480,000 250,000Broker's fee (4% revenues) $ 772, 800 367,400 0
Complementary cases 0 0 173,363Net profit $ 27, 247, 200 $ 21,397,600 $ 17,130,637
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Decision Matrix
Option 1 Option 2 Option 3
Exceeds Exceeds Falls Short
No No Gain
High High Low
Highly Alienating Alienating Enhancing
Very Risky Risky Low
High Very High Low
Possible Possible No
Low Low High
Decision Parameter
Revenue Objective
Short Term Profits
Long Term Profits
Channel Partners
Competitive Response
Cost to Induce Trial
Brand Equity Dilution
Organizational capabilities
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FINAL DECISION
Reach beyond the target objective of 20 million revenue by end of 2001 with projected of $31,060,000
8 oz yogurt is the highest demand
In supermarket, can expose to more range of customers
Will have the first mover advantages of natural product to enter supermarket
A bit risky but in a long term will generate revenues of 200%
OPTION 1!!!
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CreditsWebsites• www.google.com• www.hbr.org• www.youtube.com
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DisclaimerThis presentation was made by Pranjal Dixit IIT Kanpur during a marketing intern under
Prof. Sameer Mathur IIM Lucknow.(See www.IIMInternship.com)