national telephone survey of republican voters

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National Telephone Survey of Republican Voters Conducted December 26-30, 2014 n=602 Republican voters and independents who lean Republican and voted Republican in 2014 ; Margin of Error: +/- 4.00 percentage points Supervised by Caddell Associates Fielded by http://www.emcresearch.com/ Commissioned by the People’s Poll All numbers in this document represent percentage (%) values, unless otherwise noted. Please note that due to rounding, percentages may not add up to exactly 100. Hello, my name is ________, may I speak with (NAME ON LIST). Hello, my name is ________, and I’m conducting a survey for a national opinion research firm to find out how people feel about current issues. We are not trying to sell anything, we will not ask for a donation, and are collecting this information on a scientific and completely confidential basis. X. Sex (Record from Observation) Male 50 Female 50 X. Do you generally think of yourself as a Democrat, an Independent, a Republican or something else? (IF DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN) Would you call yourself a strong (DEMOCRAT/ REPUBLICAN) or a not very strong (DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN)? (IF INDEPENDENT OR SOFT REFUSAL) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Democratic or Republican party? Strong Democrat TERMINATE - Not strong Democrat 1 → 1 Independent - Lean/Closer to Democrat 0 Independent 11 Independent - Lean/Closer to Republican 13 → 31 Not strong Republican 22 Strong Republican 46 → 68 Something else/ some other party 6 (Don’t Know/ Not sure) 0 (Refuse) 0

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National Telephone Survey of Republican Voters

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Page 1: National Telephone Survey of Republican Voters

National Telephone Survey of Republican Voters Conducted December 26-30, 2014

n=602 Republican voters and independents who lean Republican and voted Republican in 2014 ; Margin of Error: +/- 4.00 percentage points

Supervised by Caddell Associates Fielded by http://www.emcresearch.com/

Commissioned by the People’s Poll

All numbers in this document represent percentage (%) values, unless otherwise noted. Please note that due to rounding, percentages may not add up to exactly 100.

Hello, my name is ________, may I speak with (NAME ON LIST). Hello, my name is ________, and I’m conducting a survey for a national opinion research firm to find out how people feel about current issues. We are not trying to sell anything, we will not ask for a donation, and are collecting this information on a scientific and completely confidential basis.

X. Sex (Record from Observation)

Male 50

Female 50 X. Do you generally think of yourself as a Democrat, an Independent, a Republican or

something else? (IF DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN) Would you call yourself a strong (DEMOCRAT/ REPUBLICAN) or a not very strong (DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN)? (IF INDEPENDENT OR SOFT REFUSAL) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Democratic or Republican party?

Strong Democrat TERMINATE -

Not strong Democrat 1 → 1

Independent - Lean/Closer to Democrat 0

Independent 11

Independent - Lean/Closer to Republican 13 → 31

Not strong Republican 22

Strong Republican 46 → 68

Something else/ some other party 6

(Don’t Know/ Not sure) 0

(Refuse) 0

Page 2: National Telephone Survey of Republican Voters

December 2014 National GOP Voter Phone Survey -2-

X. In the 2014 election for Congress in your district, did you vote for the Democratic Candidate for Congress, the Republican Candidate for Congress, someone from another party, did you not vote in that election, or were you not able to vote in that election?

The Democratic candidate 1

The Republican candidate 86

Someone else 1

Didn’t vote 6

Was not able to vote 4

(Don’t recall/Refuse) 2 X. Age Coded from Q5

18-29 7

30-39 9

40-49 19

50-64 36

65+ 26

Blank 2 X. Do you feel that things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do

you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track?

Right direction 9

Wrong track 87

(Don't know) 4

I’m going to read you a list of names of individuals. Please tell me if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or strongly unfavorable opinion of each one. If you’ve never heard of one, please say so. (If Don’t know: Would you say that you have heard of <ITEM> but cannot rate <ITEM>, or have you never heard of <ITEM>?) (Prompt if needed: Do you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or strongly unfavorable opinion of <ITEM>?) (RANDOMIZE)

Page 3: National Telephone Survey of Republican Voters

December 2014 National GOP Voter Phone Survey -3-

SCALE: Strongly

favorable Somewhat favorable

Somewhat unfavorable

Strongly unfavorable

(Can’t rate)

(Never heard)

Total Fav.

Total Unfav.

X. John Boehner 9 34 23 11 12 11 43 34

(END RANDOMIZE) X. As you may know the new Congress will select its leaders in January. If it were up to

you, would you elect John Boehner to continue as Speaker of the House or would you elect someone new? (If Boehner/ someone else) Would you definitely elect Boehner /someone new or just probably?

John Boehner, definitely 11

Boehner, probably 15 25

Someone new, definitely 34

Someone new, probably 26 60

(Don’t Know/Undecided) 15

For each of the following statements, please tell me if you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree. (Prompt if needed) Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with that statement? (RANDOMIZE Q25-33)

SCALE: Strongly

agree Somewhat

agree Somewhat

disagree Strongly disagree

(Don’tknow)

Total Agr.

Total Dis.

X. I trust House Speaker John Boehner to fight for the issues that are important to most Republicans.

13 39 19 18 10 52 37

X. Speaker Boehner has been ineffective in opposing President Obama’s agenda. 29 35 15 9 12 64 24

X. House Speaker John Boehner has the best interests of the American public at heart, rather than special interests.

9 34 23 20 13 44 43

(END RANDOMIZE)

Page 4: National Telephone Survey of Republican Voters

December 2014 National GOP Voter Phone Survey -4-

My last several questions are for statistical purposes only. X Which cable news networks do you primarily watch? (Read options 1-6. Allow multiple

responses.)

Fox News 60

Fox Business 8

CNN 20

CNN Headline News 9

MSNBC 12

CNBC 10

(Other network) 11

(None/ Don’t watch any cable news network) 16

(Don’t know / Refuse) 2

X Imagine a political attitude scale that runs from 1 to 7 where 1 means very conservative and 7 means very liberal. Where would you place yourself on that scale?

SCALE: Very conservative

Very liberal (Don’t

know) Total Con.

Total Lib. Mean 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

25 17 23 16 9 4 4 3 65 16 2.94 X Do you consider yourself to be a supporter or opponent of the Tea Party movement? (If

supporter/opponent ask) Are you a strong supporter/opponent, or not?

Strong supporter 22

Not strong supporter 35 57

Not strong opponent 14

Strong opponent 8 23

(Don’t know / Refuse) 20 X What is the last grade you completed in school?

Some grade school 1

Some high school 3

Graduated High School 20

Technical/Vocational 3

Some College 24

Graduated College (BA, BS, Bachelor) 30

Graduate/Professional (Master, MA, MS, MBA, MD, PhD, Doctorate)

16

(Don’t know/Refuse) 2

Page 5: National Telephone Survey of Republican Voters

December 2014 National GOP Voter Phone Survey -5-

X Do you attend church or religious services? (IF Yes) Would you say you attend regularly, or not regularly?

Yes, attend regularly 54

Yes, attend but not regularly 23

Do not attend 21

(Don’t know / Refuse) 2 X I don’t need to know the exact amount, but please stop me when I read the category

that includes your total household income before taxes for 2014. (READ 1-7)

Less than $30,000 14

$30,000 – 49,000 17

$50,000 – 74,000 16

$75,000 – 99,000 15

$100,000 - 149,000 14

$150,000 - 199,000 5

$200,000 and over 6

(Don’t know / Refuse) 12 X Do you consider yourself to be Latino or Hispanic, White, Black or African-American,

Asian or Pacific Islander, bi-racial, multi-racial or something else?

Latino /Hispanic 3

White 92

Black/African-American 1

Asian/Pacific Islander 1

Bi-Racial 0

Multi-Racial 0

Something else/other 3

(Refused) 1 REGION FROM SAMPLE

Northeast 14

Midwest 29

West 19

South 38