national telephone survey of republican voters
DESCRIPTION
National Telephone Survey of Republican VotersTRANSCRIPT
National Telephone Survey of Republican Voters Conducted December 26-30, 2014
n=602 Republican voters and independents who lean Republican and voted Republican in 2014 ; Margin of Error: +/- 4.00 percentage points
Supervised by Caddell Associates Fielded by http://www.emcresearch.com/
Commissioned by the People’s Poll
All numbers in this document represent percentage (%) values, unless otherwise noted. Please note that due to rounding, percentages may not add up to exactly 100.
Hello, my name is ________, may I speak with (NAME ON LIST). Hello, my name is ________, and I’m conducting a survey for a national opinion research firm to find out how people feel about current issues. We are not trying to sell anything, we will not ask for a donation, and are collecting this information on a scientific and completely confidential basis.
X. Sex (Record from Observation)
Male 50
Female 50 X. Do you generally think of yourself as a Democrat, an Independent, a Republican or
something else? (IF DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN) Would you call yourself a strong (DEMOCRAT/ REPUBLICAN) or a not very strong (DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN)? (IF INDEPENDENT OR SOFT REFUSAL) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Democratic or Republican party?
Strong Democrat TERMINATE -
Not strong Democrat 1 → 1
Independent - Lean/Closer to Democrat 0
Independent 11
Independent - Lean/Closer to Republican 13 → 31
Not strong Republican 22
Strong Republican 46 → 68
Something else/ some other party 6
(Don’t Know/ Not sure) 0
(Refuse) 0
December 2014 National GOP Voter Phone Survey -2-
X. In the 2014 election for Congress in your district, did you vote for the Democratic Candidate for Congress, the Republican Candidate for Congress, someone from another party, did you not vote in that election, or were you not able to vote in that election?
The Democratic candidate 1
The Republican candidate 86
Someone else 1
Didn’t vote 6
Was not able to vote 4
(Don’t recall/Refuse) 2 X. Age Coded from Q5
18-29 7
30-39 9
40-49 19
50-64 36
65+ 26
Blank 2 X. Do you feel that things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do
you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track?
Right direction 9
Wrong track 87
(Don't know) 4
I’m going to read you a list of names of individuals. Please tell me if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or strongly unfavorable opinion of each one. If you’ve never heard of one, please say so. (If Don’t know: Would you say that you have heard of <ITEM> but cannot rate <ITEM>, or have you never heard of <ITEM>?) (Prompt if needed: Do you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or strongly unfavorable opinion of <ITEM>?) (RANDOMIZE)
December 2014 National GOP Voter Phone Survey -3-
SCALE: Strongly
favorable Somewhat favorable
Somewhat unfavorable
Strongly unfavorable
(Can’t rate)
(Never heard)
Total Fav.
Total Unfav.
X. John Boehner 9 34 23 11 12 11 43 34
(END RANDOMIZE) X. As you may know the new Congress will select its leaders in January. If it were up to
you, would you elect John Boehner to continue as Speaker of the House or would you elect someone new? (If Boehner/ someone else) Would you definitely elect Boehner /someone new or just probably?
John Boehner, definitely 11
Boehner, probably 15 25
Someone new, definitely 34
Someone new, probably 26 60
(Don’t Know/Undecided) 15
For each of the following statements, please tell me if you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree. (Prompt if needed) Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with that statement? (RANDOMIZE Q25-33)
SCALE: Strongly
agree Somewhat
agree Somewhat
disagree Strongly disagree
(Don’tknow)
Total Agr.
Total Dis.
X. I trust House Speaker John Boehner to fight for the issues that are important to most Republicans.
13 39 19 18 10 52 37
X. Speaker Boehner has been ineffective in opposing President Obama’s agenda. 29 35 15 9 12 64 24
X. House Speaker John Boehner has the best interests of the American public at heart, rather than special interests.
9 34 23 20 13 44 43
(END RANDOMIZE)
December 2014 National GOP Voter Phone Survey -4-
My last several questions are for statistical purposes only. X Which cable news networks do you primarily watch? (Read options 1-6. Allow multiple
responses.)
Fox News 60
Fox Business 8
CNN 20
CNN Headline News 9
MSNBC 12
CNBC 10
(Other network) 11
(None/ Don’t watch any cable news network) 16
(Don’t know / Refuse) 2
X Imagine a political attitude scale that runs from 1 to 7 where 1 means very conservative and 7 means very liberal. Where would you place yourself on that scale?
SCALE: Very conservative
Very liberal (Don’t
know) Total Con.
Total Lib. Mean 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
25 17 23 16 9 4 4 3 65 16 2.94 X Do you consider yourself to be a supporter or opponent of the Tea Party movement? (If
supporter/opponent ask) Are you a strong supporter/opponent, or not?
Strong supporter 22
Not strong supporter 35 57
Not strong opponent 14
Strong opponent 8 23
(Don’t know / Refuse) 20 X What is the last grade you completed in school?
Some grade school 1
Some high school 3
Graduated High School 20
Technical/Vocational 3
Some College 24
Graduated College (BA, BS, Bachelor) 30
Graduate/Professional (Master, MA, MS, MBA, MD, PhD, Doctorate)
16
(Don’t know/Refuse) 2
December 2014 National GOP Voter Phone Survey -5-
X Do you attend church or religious services? (IF Yes) Would you say you attend regularly, or not regularly?
Yes, attend regularly 54
Yes, attend but not regularly 23
Do not attend 21
(Don’t know / Refuse) 2 X I don’t need to know the exact amount, but please stop me when I read the category
that includes your total household income before taxes for 2014. (READ 1-7)
Less than $30,000 14
$30,000 – 49,000 17
$50,000 – 74,000 16
$75,000 – 99,000 15
$100,000 - 149,000 14
$150,000 - 199,000 5
$200,000 and over 6
(Don’t know / Refuse) 12 X Do you consider yourself to be Latino or Hispanic, White, Black or African-American,
Asian or Pacific Islander, bi-racial, multi-racial or something else?
Latino /Hispanic 3
White 92
Black/African-American 1
Asian/Pacific Islander 1
Bi-Racial 0
Multi-Racial 0
Something else/other 3
(Refused) 1 REGION FROM SAMPLE
Northeast 14
Midwest 29
West 19
South 38