national grid’s new york energywise and residential ......prepared by kema, inc. february 2015 ....
TRANSCRIPT
National Grid’s New York EnergyWise and
Residential Products Programs
Final Impact Evaluation Activities Report National Grid
Prepared by KEMA, Inc.
February 2015
Table of Contents
National Grid February 2015 i
1. Executive Summary ................................................................................................................1
1.1 2010-2011 Program Activity Summary ............................................................................1
1.2 Key Study Methods .......................................................................................................3
1.3 Results .........................................................................................................................4
1.4 Conclusions and Recommendations .................................................................................9
2. Program Overview................................................................................................................14
2.1 Study Objectives and Summary.....................................................................................17
3. Evaluation Methodology .......................................................................................................19
3.1 On-site Sample Design Methodology.............................................................................19
3.1.1 Lighting (Electric) ...........................................................................................21
3.1.2 Thermostats (Gas)............................................................................................23
3.1.3 DHW Flow Limit Measures (Gas and Electric)....................................................24
3.1.4 DHW Pipe and Tank Insulation (Gas and Electric)...............................................24
4. Evaluation Results ................................................................................................................25
4.1 Lighting .....................................................................................................................25
4.1.1 Lighting Technical Manual Savings Assumptions ................................................25
4.1.2 Lighting On-Site Results...................................................................................26
4.2 Thermostats ................................................................................................................31
4.2.1 Thermostat Technical Manual Savings Assumptions ............................................31
4.2.2 Thermostat On-Site Results...............................................................................32
4.3 DHW - Showerheads ...................................................................................................38
4.3.1 Showerhead Technical Manual Savings Assumptions...........................................38
4.3.2 DHW - Showerhead On-Site Results ..................................................................39
4.4 DHW - Faucet Aerators................................................................................................41
4.4.1 Faucet Aerator TRM Savings Assumptions .........................................................41
4.4.2 DHW – Faucet Aerator On-Site Results..............................................................42
4.5 DHW – Pipe and Tank Insulation ..................................................................................43
5. Findings and Recommendations .............................................................................................44
A. On-Site Instrument ............................................................................................................. A-1
B. Energy Star Program Thermostat Phone Survey ..................................................................... B-1
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National Grid February 2015 ii
List of Exhibits
Table 1: Niagara Mohawk EnergyWise and Energy Star Products Savings, 2010-2011 ............................ 2
Table 2: Gas Savings in Downstate Territories......................................................................................... 3
Table 3: Lighting Savings Input Results Comparison ............................................................................... 5
Table 4: CFL Per Unit Net Program Impacts............................................................................................ 5
Table 5: Lighting Saturation Before and After Program Participation....................................................... 6
Table 6: Average Number of Sockets per Home by Room and Bulb Type................................................ 7
Table 7: DHW – Flow Limit Measure Savings Input Results Comparison................................................ 9
Table 8: Pipe and Tank Insulation Installation Rate Comparison .............................................................. 9
Table 9: EnergyWise and Energy Star Products Savings Goals versus Achievement (2010-2011)........... 15
Table 10: Niagara Mohawk EnergyWise and Energy Star Products Savings, 2010-2011......................... 16
Table 11: Gas Savings in Downstate Territories..................................................................................... 17
Table 12: Comparison of Sample Frame and Final Sample .................................................................... 20
Table 13: Final Sample by Sampling Group and Region ........................................................................ 20
Table 14: Final On-site Recruitment Disposition.................................................................................... 21
Table 15: Logger Placement by Room Type .......................................................................................... 22
Table 16: Final Phone Survey Disposition ............................................................................................. 24
Table 17: Lighting Short-Term Persistence Rate Results........................................................................ 27
Table 18: Lighting Delta Watts Results.................................................................................................. 27
Table 19: Lighting Hours of Use Results ............................................................................................... 28
Table 20: CFL Per Unit Net Program Impacts........................................................................................ 29
Table 21: Lighting Saturation Before and After Program Participation................................................... 30
Table 22: Average Number of Lighting Sockets per Home by Room and Bulb Type.............................. 31
Table 23: Thermostat Use by Fuel ......................................................................................................... 33
Table 24: Thermostat Use by Data Collection Method ........................................................................... 34
Table 25: Comparison of Secondary Thermostat Study Results to Technical Manual Assumptions ........ 38
Table 26: Showerhead Persistence Rate ................................................................................................. 40
Table 27: Showerhead Flow Rates and Usage........................................................................................ 41
Table 28: Faucet Aerator Persistence Rate ............................................................................................. 42
Table 29: Faucet Aerator Flow Rates ..................................................................................................... 43
List of Figures
Figure 1: Logger Installation Profile ...................................................................................................... 22
Table of Contents
National Grid February 2015 iii
Figure 2: Thermostat Set-points of All Customers.................................................................................. 34
Figure 3: Thermostat Set-points of Customers with Reported Setback.................................................... 36
DNV KEMA Energy & Sustainability
National Grid 1 February 2015
1. Executive Summary
National Grid commissioned a study to evaluate their EnergyWise Electric and Gas programs, the
Residential ENERGY STAR®
Electric Products and Recycling program (Electric Products), and the
Residential ENERGY STAR®
Gas Products programs (Gas Products). The main objectives of this
evaluation included: a) quantifying and/or providing further documentation to support the savings claims
associated with the measures that generated the most savings, b) provide recommendations on those
measures for forward looking adjustments to the Technical Manual to the extent possible, and c) to
estimate hours of lighting use by room type as part of the concurrent regional hours of use (HOU)1 study
performed in New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Massachusetts.
1.1 2010-2011 Program Activity Summary
Table 1 summarizes the electric and gas savings acquired by the EnergyWise and Residential Products
programs in the Niagara Mohawk territory. These summaries were developed from the 2010 and 2011
annual reports, which provide energy savings based on the formulas and assumptions in the Technical
Manual. These savings have not been verified through an independent evaluation. The
refrigerator/freezer bounty portion of the Electric Products program had an evaluation finalized in early
2013 and therefore was not examined in this study. The EnergyWise gas savings are comprised of
programmable thermostats and domestic hot water flow limiting devices (faucet aerators and low flow
showerheads) while EnergyWise electric savings are dominated by CFLs and DHW flow limiting devices.
1 The main objective of the HOU study is to estimate hours of use by room type, not lighting type (technology) as many studies have done in the
past. The focus on room types assumes that people are likely to use their lights in a given room the same way regardless of the type of bulbs in
the room. This study is ongoing at this time and is expected to be completed by the end of 2013. The addition of New York brings the number of
states involved in this study to four (also including Rhode Island, Connecticut and Massachusetts).
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Table 1: Niagara Mohawk EnergyWise and Energy Star Products Savings, 2010-2011
Niagara Mohawk Savings EnergyWise & Residential Energy Star® Products 2010 - 2011
Electric Gas
kWh % of Savings Therms % of Savings Measure Category
Electric Products Gas Products
Thermostat 15,647 0.1% 40,832 80.9%
Shell measures (Windows) 46,377 0.2% 9,621 19.1%
Refrigerator/Freezer Bounty 23,375,638 99.7% 0 N/A
Total 23,437,662 100.0% 50,453 100.0%
EnergyWise
CFL 4,108,799 43.2% - N/A
Lighting-Other 1,225,201 12.9% - N/A
DHW - Flow Limit 4,022,642 42.3% 236,659 55.8%
DHW - Pipe Insulation 160,763 1.7% 7,503 1.8%
Thermostat - N/A 180,197 42.5%
Total 9,517,405 100.0% 424,359 100.0%
Total
CFL 4,108,799 12.5% - N/A
Lighting-Other 1,225,201 3.7% - N/A %
DHW - Flow Limit 4,022,642 12.2% 236,659 49.8%
DHW - Pipe Insulation 160,763 0.5% 7,503 1.6%
Thermostat 15,647 0.05% 221,029 46.6%
Shell measures (Windows) 46,377 0.1% 9,621 2.0%
Refrigerator/Freezer Bounty 23,375,638 70.9% 0 N/A
Total 32,955,067 100.0% 474,812 100.0%
Table 2 summarizes the Gas Products savings in the KEDNY (Brooklyn Union Gas) and KEDLI
(KeySpan East - Long Island) territories. While there are some shell measure savings, the majority of gas
savings occurs from thermostats.
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Table 2: Gas Savings in Downstate Territories
End Use Measure Brooklyn Union
(Therms) KeySpan East
(Therms) Total
Therms % of
Savings
Shell Measures (Windows) 715 1,998 2,713 8%
Thermostats 14,175 18,632 32,807 92%
Program Total 14,890 20,630 35,520 100%
1.2 Key Study Methods
There were three primary activities undertaken as part of this study.
• On-site assessments at the homes of 60 EnergyWise program participants, including the
installation of 320 lighting loggers, to estimate hours of lighting use by room type as part of the
regional hours of use HOU study2 and to provide forward looking adjustments to the Technical
Manual to the extent possible.
• A review of secondary research on programmable thermostats to assist National Grid in ensuring
that the assumptions and savings that flow from the Technical Manual are consistent with the
findings from other studies.
• Phone surveys of 25 Electric and Gas Products participants who received thermostats through the
program to confirm installation and assess thermostat set-points both prior to and after the
installation of the new unit.
National Grid and DNV KEMA discussed the inclusion of net factors (free ridership and spillover) as part
of this study. We decided not explore net-to-gross (NTG) factors as part of this study for the following
reasons:
• We believe that NTG factors for multifamily direct install CFLs, aerators and showerheads are
being examined by ERS as part of their contract with Consolidated Edison and Orange and
Rockland. While this study may not be definitive, it will provide alternative NTG factors for
possible inclusion in the NY TM.
• The largest producer of electric savings in the EnergyWise and Energy Star programs is CFL
lighting. Recent CFL lighting evaluation efforts have identified many challenges to studying and
quantifying NTG that have been difficult to overcome despite extensive examination and funding.
Challenges include the nature and constantly changing dynamics of the CFL market (especially
with the burgeoning LED market), the lack of comparison areas as CFLs have become increasing
2 The HOU study included the installation of 4,642 loggers in 848 homes in Connecticut, Massachusetts, New York (excluding Nassau and
Suffolk counties), and Rhode Island.
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ubiquitous and the difficulty participants have in providing reliable self-reports around CFL
purchasing decisions and behaviors.
• The largest producers of natural gas savings in the EnergyWise and Energy Star programs are
from aerators, showerheads and thermostats. However, the combined savings from these
measures represent 10% of the total natural gas savings that are being evaluated in other work
scopes that KEMA and National Grid have submitted to the DPS.
We also believe that a statewide study of spillover is being considered at this time. Particularly for non-
participant spillover, we believe a statewide study makes a great deal of sense since it is typically assessed
at the market level. Such an approach would likely be more cost effective due to cost sharing for a study
that could provide market level results.
1.3 Results
This section presents the overall results of the evaluation followed by a summary of recommendations.
The results and recommendations rest upon the findings of this study and DNV KEMA’s vast experience
performing on-site visits and lighting logger studies, secondary research reviews, and telephone surveys.
Lighting Results
Table 3 provides the current Technical Manual lighting inputs and compares them to the evaluation
results based on the performance of 60 on-site visits to EnergyWise participant homes. Although the
evaluation persistence rate was 86.7%, it is important to remember the on-site visits occurred two years
after installation. The pre to post wattage ratio used in the delta watts calculation in the Technical Manual
decreased by 0.19 (or 7.5%) due to program CFLs replacing lower wattage incandescent bulbs than
assumed; based on customer-reported baseline wattages. A contributor to this decrease in delta watts may
be the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (EISA). On January 1, 2012, EISA legislation
began phasing out 100-watt incandescent bulbs and on January 1, 2013, 75-watt incandescents were
phased out. While the existing inventory of these bulbs could still be sold in stores, no new shipments
could be made as of these dates. On January 1, 2014, 60-watt incandescents will also be phased out.
The hours of use and coincidence factor results are based on the HOU study findings3, which reported 2.3
hours per day with ±3.7% precision at the 90% confidence interval. The summer coincidence factor was
calculated to be 14% with ±7.1% precision at the 90% confidence interval, while the winter coincidence
factor is 18% with ±5.6% precision at the 90% confidence interval.
3 Northeast Residential Lighting Hours-of-Use Study FINAL, NMR Group, Inc. and DNV GL, May 5, 2014, Hours of use results can be found in
Table ES-1 on page IX and coincidence factor results can be found in Table 4-3 on page 65.
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Table 3: Lighting Savings Input Results Comparison
Input Technical Manual/Tracking
System Evaluation Precision at 90%
Confidence Interval
In-Service Rate
Not provided although believed to assume a 100% in-service rate because EnergyWise is a direct-install program.
Short Term Persistence Rate: 86.7% (n=518)
±2.8%
Delta Watts (Pre to Post Wattage Factor)
2.53 2.34 (n=449) ±2.3%
Hours of Use 3.2 hours per day 2.3 hours/day (n=4,642) ±3.7%
Summer Coincidence Factor
0.08 0.14 ±7.1%
Winter Coincidence Factor
0.30 0.18 ±5.6%
We are able to calculate a gross realization rate at the CFL unit level based on the hours of use, installed
average CFL wattage (16.8 watts), and a delta watt factor. In Table 4 we calculate an ex post tracked per
CFL unit annual kWh savings estimate of 33.0 kWh4 with an associated gross realization rate of 66.5%.
We did not address net to gross in this study and as such have reflected the current assumption in the
Technical Manual in this table (0.90). The kW realization rate is calculated using the installed average
CFL wattage and hours of use and the delta watt factor.
Table 4: CFL Per Unit Net Program Impacts
Parameter Electric Energy (kWh/yr/unit)
Electric Demand (W/unit)
Ex Ante Tracked Savings 49.6* 42.5*
Ex Post Tracked Savings 33.0 39.3
Evaluation Realization Rate (RR) 66.5% 92.5%
Evaluation Net-to-Gross Ratio (NTG) 0.90 0.90
Ex Post Net Impact Realization Rate (RR) 59.9% 83.2%
*Weighted average calculated based upon the watts of program installed CFLs from the on-site sample, the current TM CFL to baseline
factor (2.53) and the current TM CFL Hours of Use estimate (3.2 hours/day). Weighted average kW calculated based upon the watts of program installed CFLs from the on-site sample and the current TM CFL to baseline factor (2.53).
Although CFL saturation is not a savings input, it was calculated through the use of the HOU study on-
site protocol. Table 5 shows the lighting saturation in the 60 participating homes before and after they
4 Calculated from the product of the delta watts factor (2.34), annual hours of use (2.3 x 365 = 839.5), and CFL wattage (16.8) and dividing it by
1,000 to convert from kilowatts to watts.
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participated in the program based on customer self-reported baseline bulb types. As the table shows, the
EnergyWise Program increased the CFL saturation in the sampled homes from 20.7% to 59.9%.
Before program participation, approximately 70% of the sockets in the sampled homes contained an
incandescent bulb, while only 21% contained a CFL. After participating in the program, almost 60%
contained CFLs, while only 31% contained incandescents. Of the remaining 9% of sockets, 7.6% contain
fluorescent bulbs, 1.0% contains halogen bulbs, 0.3% were empty and 0.2% contained LEDs.
Table 5: Lighting Saturation Before and After Program Participation
Before Program After Program Bulb Type
Quantity % of Total
Quantity % of Total
CFL 234 20.7% 679 59.9%
Incandescent 797 70.3% 352 31.1%
Tube Fluorescent 86 7.6% 86 7.6%
Halogen 11 1.0% 11 1.0%
Empty 3 0.3% 3 0.3%
LED 2 0.2% 2 0.2%
Total 1,133 100.0% 1,133 100.0%
Table 6 presents the average number of bulbs by room and bulb type. The average home visited in the
sample was found to have 18.9 sockets; 18.8 on the interior and 0.1 on the exterior. By bulb type, the
average home in the sample had 11.3 CFLs (7.5 program CFLs and 3.8 non-program CFLs), 5.9
incandescent bulbs, 1.4 fluorescents, 0.2 halogens, and 0.03 LEDs.
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Table 6: Average Number of Sockets per Home by Room and Bulb Type
Mean % Program
CFLs % Non-Program
CFLs Location/Type
18.9 39.6% 20.3%
By Area
Interior 18.8 39.7% 20.2%
Exterior 0.1 25.0% 50.0%
By Room
Bathrooms 4.8 71.9% 13.5%
Bedrooms 3.9 14.5% 31.6%
Kitchen 3.1 36.6% 12.6%
Living Room 2.4 13.4% 40.8%
Dining Room 2.0 47.1% 11.6%
Hallway/Foyer 1.8 42.2% 15.6%
Closets 0.4 42.3% 11.5%
Office/Den 0.4 21.7% 0.0%
Other 0.1 66.7% 0.0%
By Bulb Type
Program CFLs 7.5
Incandescent 5.9
Non-Program CFLs 3.8
Tube Fluorescent 1.4
Halogen 0.2
Empty Sockets 0.05
LEDs 0.03
Thermostat Results
Although it is not provided, the Technical Manual likely assumes that the thermostat in-service rate is
100% because EnergyWise is a direct-install program. According to the tracking system, the on-site
sample received 32 program thermostats. All 32 units were found installed and operating at the time of
the on-site visits.
Due to the fact that other studies have often found lower than anticipated savings from programmable
thermostats, this study focused on understanding how people are using their programmable thermostats
and how their behavior has varied from how they used their old thermostats. The following bullets
provide the evaluation results related to customer use of the thermostats that they received through the
program.
• In the phone and on-sites, we were able to gather operating schedules and use of 63 thermostats
(58 controlling gas heat and five controlling electric heat) received through the program. Of these
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units, 33 (30 gas and 3 electric) were programmed with a winter schedule and 21 of these (19 gas
and 2 electric) were programmed with a winter schedule that is different from the schedule used
with customers’ previous thermostats.
• Thirty eight programmable thermostats were assessed in the on-site and phone survey samples.
Thirteen of these (34.2%) were programmed with a summer schedule. Eight of the 38 units
(21.1%) were programmed with a summer schedule that is different from the schedule used with
customers’ previous thermostats.
• Secondary Research: “Few households use programmable thermostats in a manner that might be
associated with energy savings.” This study also found that “17.2% (of customers) did not have
their programmable thermostat programmed, 12.4% had a programmable thermostat before the
new one was installed, and 69.1% either overrode their programmable thermostat settings two or
more times per week or had turned their programmable thermostat off. Only nine respondents, or
1.3%, gave responses that might result in savings as a result of the thermostat installation.”5
• Secondary Research: The Massachusetts Wi-Fi study concluded that very few electric-heated
homes use the set-point functionality, which likely accounted for the low savings estimates.6
DHW –Flow Limit Measure Results
Table 7 provides the current Technical Manual showerhead and faucet aerator inputs and compares them
to the evaluation results. To better understand baseline flow rate in this evaluation, the flow rate of
showerheads and faucet aerators not replaced through the program were gathered. The table presents the
averages of these results.
5http://www.calmac.org/publications/1118-04_MultiFamily_Rebate_evaluaton_-_Volume_I.pdf. 6http://www.ma-eeac.org/Docs/8.1_EMV%20Page/2012/2012%20Residential%20Studies/MA%20RRLI%20-
%202011%20NGRID%202011%20Wi-Fi%20Thermostat%20Pilot%20Evaluation_Final_04SEP2012.pdf.
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Table 7: DHW – Flow Limit Measure Savings Input Results Comparison
Input Technical Manual/Tracking System Evaluation Precision at 90%
Confidence Interval
Low Flow Showerheads Only
Installation Rate Not provided although believed to
assume a 100% in-service rate because EnergyWise is a direct-install program.
Short Term Persistence: 80.4%
(n=51) ±11.5%
Baseline Flow Rate (gpm)
3.25 gpm Untreated units
observed on-site: 2.51 gpm (n=22)
±0.7%
Installed Flow Rate (gpm)
Follows program tracking data on rebated showerhead flow rate.
1.75 gpm (n=41) ±0.0%
Showers Taken/Day
2.0 1.7 (n=60) ±12.0%
Low Flow Faucet Aerators Only
In-Service Rate Not provided although believed to
assume a 100% in-service rate because EnergyWise is a direct-install program.
Short Term Persistence: 90.4%
(n=114) ±7.1%
Baseline Flow Rate (gpm)
2.2 gpm Untreated units
observed on-site: 2.00 gpm (n=29)
±0.0%
Installed Flow Rate (gpm)
Follows program tracking data on rebated showerhead flow rate.
1.50 gpm (n=103) ±0.0%
Low Flow Showerheads and Low Flow Faucet Aerators
Electric Water Heater Efficiency
0.97 0.98 (n=19) ±0.0%
Gas Water Heater Efficiency
0.75 0.77 (n=5) ±1.6%
DHW – Pipe and Tank Insulation Results
Table 8 compares the assumed Technical Manual pipe and tank insulation installations rates and
compares them to the evaluation results.
Table 8: Pipe and Tank Insulation Installation Rate Comparison
Input Technical Manual/Tracking System Evaluation Precision at 90%
Confidence Interval
Pipe Insulation In-Service Rate
Not provided although believed to assume a 100% in-service rate because EnergyWise is a direct-install program.
Short Term Persistence: 100.0% (n=18)
±0.0%
Tank Insulation In-Service Rate
Not provided although believed to assume a 100% in-service rate because EnergyWise is a direct-install program.
Short Term Persistence: 100.0% (n=5)
±0.0%
1.4 Conclusions and Recommendations
The EnergyWise and Residential Products study was largely designed to focus on assessing Technical
Manual inputs as a piggyback effort to the ongoing regional HOU study. In this manner, while we can
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compare and contrast our findings with the current Technical Manual, we are not able to provide a revised
or adjusted impact estimate of gross savings. At this time, we are not sure of the process in which the
DPS and other stakeholders will consider and undertake revisions to the Technical Manual. While we
suggest consideration of Technical Manual input adjustments based upon this study, it is important to
note that we do not recommend any changes to the formulas that National Grid using to calculate their
claimed savings.
In this section, we present some recommendations for consideration with the understanding that there
may be studies from other NY energy program implementers that might or might not support the findings
here and that a possible outcome of this study is that the results are deemed appropriate for a narrow
application as opposed to a general one. In this case, this might mean application to direct install
programs for specific findings with one possibility being application exclusively to the National Grid
EnergyWise and/or Residential Product program savings.
Technical Manual savings input items that are consistent with the findings from this study that do not
warrant consideration for Technical Manual changes include:
• Our findings on lighting measures suggest that the implied EnergyWise Technical Manual in-
service rate of 100% remains appropriate. The EnergyWise Program is a direct-install program,
for which our study observed an 86.7% short term lighting persistence rate upon two years of
installation. The program currently performs QA/QC to ensure measures are installed at the time
of program participation and our findings seem to suggest a natural failure rate, so we believe
100% in-service rate remains appropriate for use in the Technical Manual.
• Water heater efficiencies assumed for DHW Flow Limit Measures in the Technical Manual
appear reasonable. Despite the small sample size, the current assumed DHW system efficiencies
of 0.97 for electric and 0.75 for gas are nearly the same as those observed in this study (0.98 for
electric and 0.77 for gas).
• Pipe and tank insulation installation rates were observed to be 100% in this study, as assumed in
the Technical Manual.
• The installed flow rate for both showerheads and faucet aerators should continue to follow
program tracking data on rebated units, as every program installed showerhead found during the
on-sites had a flow rate of 1.75 gpm and every program installed aerator found during the on-sites
had a flow rate of 1.5 gpm.
• The assumed number of showers taken per day in our study was reported to be 1.7, which
suggests the current assumption of 2.0 remains reasonable.
• All thermostats purchased through the Residential Products channel or received through the
EnergyWise Program were reported or otherwise found to be installed. We suggest that the
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currently assumed 100% installation rate in the Technical Manual for this measure continue to be
used.
• The heating ESF7 in the Technical Manual as derived from the Gas Networks study appears
reasonable to continue utilizing in the savings calculations. We do suspect that it is at the high
end of what might be expected as our assessment of this input is based upon self -reported
temperature changes that might be prone to recall issues, overstatement and not reflect override
tendencies.
Technical Manual savings input items that might be considered for adjustment based on the findings from
this study include:
Lighting
• This study calculated a pre to post wattage factor of 2.34 (±2.3% at 90% confidence interval) with
a lower bound of 2.29 and an upper bound of 2.40. Our findings suggest that the 2.53 factor used
in the delta watts calculation in the Technical Manual should be considered for revision as this
study result is statistically different. The study ratio is estimated from the on-sites which were
performed at homes that participated in a direct install program, which may differ from more
general CFL lighting installation applications. Therefore, we suggest assessing this result against
inputs gathered as part of future studies and making adjustments based on collective results that
utilize this studies observation as a part of that assessment. Alternatively, the Technical Manual
might be revised to accommodate pre to post wattage ratios for direct install versus other program
channels.
• Based on the HOU study results and the room distribution of installed EnergyWise Program
CFLs, a weighted daily HOU average of 2.3 (840 hours annually) was calculated (±3.7% at 90%
confidence interval) with a lower bound of 2.2 and an upper bound of 2.4. These results suggest
that the current assumption of 3.2 hours per day (1,168 hours annually) in the Technical Manual
be considered for revision.
Showerheads
• In our site work, we noted that roughly 14% of the showerheads received by the sample were
removed because customers were not happy with their flow rate. While this might be regarded as
a persistence issue, we believe that given the nature of the cause of removal, this result warrants
consideration of an adjustment to the assumed in-service rate from 100.0% to 86%.
7 The ratio of energy savings resulting from the installation of a programmable setback thermostat to the annual heating (or cooling)
energy.
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• In our site work, we noted that untreated showerheads in participating homes had an average flow
rate of 2.51 gpm. The Technical Manual assumes a baseline of 3.25 gpm. We are unable to
refute the current TM assumed baseline of 3.25 based on information from this study. However,
there is evidence that the TM assumption may be overstated as it is based upon an outdated study
and recommend that National Grid exercise opportunities to gather residential baseline
showerhead flow rates as part of any future studies to help further the determination of an
appropriate TM baseline rate. In the interim, we recommend that National Grid utilize the actual
flow rates of removed units to calculate showerhead savings. The current federal regulation
mandates that that new showerhead flow rates cannot exceed 2.5 gpm, which is consistent with
our observed untreated showerhead findings. Additional evidence that the marketplace baseline
is evolving in a manner that is consistent with this mandate may warrant a future TM adjustment.
Thermostats
• Our data collection and secondary research suggests that the 3 degree assumption driving the
cooling ESF in the Technical Manual may be overstated. Our findings suggest that the use of a
more moderate 2 degree setback in the modeling performed to support the cooling ESF would be
more reasonable.
Broad Conclusions and Recommendations
In the section above, we provide specific results and recommendations. If we were to interpret the
impacts of the study results in energy savings, our findings suggest some uneven performance among
measures of interest as supported through comparisons of study findings to assumptions and inputs
contained the Technical Manual. Based upon the evidence built up from these study efforts, the
EnergyWise lighting savings flowing from the Technical Manual are likely overstated along with the
cooling savings from programmable thermostats. There is also evidence to suggest that showerhead
savings may be overstated. To alleviate this concern, we recommend that National Grid use site specific
flow rates of removed units in the savings calculation. The measures that we believe are returning
accurate impacts based on the Technical Manual include faucet aerators and heating savings impacts from
thermostats, as the findings from our study are generally aligned with those from the Technical Manual
from which National Grid is currently calculating savings estimates.
This study is different from a traditional impact study in that we have not developed specific realization
rates for the all of measures examined8, but rather applied varying levels of rigor to assessing the inputs
used in the savings calculations. We believe studies of this nature can be valuable in environments with
technical manuals that are collectively derived, exercised and updated in states and regions where similar
8 This study was only able to calculate a realization rate for lighting.
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evaluation activities can occur concurrently. This study was built upon a larger regional HOU study
designed to rigorously assess one of the most uncertain inputs to one of the most important residential
measures installed (lighting). As such, this study was able to gather information on other measures of
interest as part of the larger study as well as perform more narrow independent efforts designed to cover
remaining measure gaps. This effort allowed us to efficiently gather data to compare and contrast with
the inputs and assumptions from the Technical Manual. The final result is the ability to maximize
evaluation dollars and build evidence around key inputs that might be considered as part of refining the
Technical Manual and associated prospective savings. We recommend that any future studies in New
York that occur in the residential sector continue the spirit of gathering information available on baseline
or installed conditions for use in building evidence and support for confirmation or disconfirmation of the
Technical Manual inputs and assumptions.
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2. Program Overview
The EnergyWise Electric and Gas programs operate in the Niagara Mohawk service territory. This
program targets multifamily buildings with five to fifty dwellings and is delivered by two primary
vendors that work in partnership. Program participants are provided comprehensive energy use
assessments and financial incentives for actions that will improve the electric energy efficiency of
multifamily buildings. The Residential Energy Star® Electric and Recycling program targeted customers
who heat or centrally cool their homes with electricity, and offers financial incentives for the installation
of Energy Star® labeled replacement windows and 7-day programmable thermostats. The program also
offered the removal and proper recycling of functioning secondary refrigerators. The Residential Energy
Star® Gas Products program target customers who heat their homes with natural gas, and offers financial
incentives for the installation of Energy Star® labeled replacement windows and 7-day programmable
thermostats.
These programs have been implemented since 2009 and most of them have been authorized to continue
operating it through 2015 by the PSC9. Only the Energy Star® Electric Products and Recycling Program
was not approved past calendar year 2012. These programs are overseen by National Grid and
implemented by vendors selected through a competitive bidding process. These programs can largely be
considered as resource acquisition programs; hence a focus on evaluating direct energy savings as a result
of program installations. Table 9 summarizes each program’s combined goals and achievements as
captured in the 2010 and 2011 annual reports, which provide energy savings based on the formulas and
assumptions in the Technical Manual. These savings have not been verified through an independent
evaluation.
Across 2010 and 2011, the EnergyWise program overachieved on its gas and electric savings goals with
lower cost than budgeted. The Niagara Mohawk Residential Energy Star® Electric Products and
Recycling Program largely met its electric savings goal. The Niagara Mohawk Residential Energy Star®
Gas Products program fell short on the gas goal. Downstate, the combined territories of Brooklyn Union
(BUG) and KeySpan East fell short of the savings and participant goals.
9 Order Authorizing Efficiency Programs, Revising Incentive Mechanism, and Establishing a Surcharge Schedule, Issued and Effective October
25, 2011.
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Table 9: EnergyWise and Energy Star Products Savings Goals versus Achievement (2010-2011)
Achieved Goal Parameter
Elec Gas Elec Gas
EnergyWise (Niagara Mohawk)
Participants (n) 5,432 1,189 5,600 3,600
Net first-year annual (MWh/therms) 8,565 381,923 2,606 317,520
Cost w/o shareholder incentive ($) 2,024,681 1,144,764 2,030,692 2,163,848
Residential Energy Star® Electric Products and Recycling and Gas Products
(Niagara Mohawk)
Participants (n) 17,001 1,099 40,451 1,315
Net first-year annual (MWh/therms) 21,097 45,408 22,767 83,588
Cost w/o shareholder incentive ($) 3,039,656 154,450 9,502,500 215,837
Residential Energy Star® Gas Products (BUG, KeySpan East)
Participants (n) N/A 809 N/A 1,788
Net first-year annual (MWh/therms) N/A 31,968 N/A 83,720
Cost w/o shareholder incentive ($) N/A 535,672 N/A 156,500
National Grid’s gas service territory overlaps with approximately one-third of their electric territory in
upstate New York. Table 10 summarizes the electric and gas savings acquired by the EnergyWise,
Residential Energy Star ® Electric Products and Recycling and Residential Energy Star ® Gas Products
programs in the Niagara Mohawk territory. Measures provided through the EnergyWise programs are
contractor installed, while measures provided through the Residential Energy Star Products programs are
customer installed. The refrigerator/freezer bounty program had a recently finalized evaluation and
therefore was not examined in this study. EnergyWise gas savings are comprised of programmable
thermostats and domestic hot water flow limiting devices (faucet aerators and low flow showerheads)
while EnergyWise electric savings are dominated by CFLs and DHW flow limiting devices.
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Table 10: Niagara Mohawk EnergyWise and Energy Star Products Savings, 2010-2011
Niagara Mohawk Savings EnergyWise & Residential Energy Star® Products 2010 - 2011
Electric Gas
kWh % of Savings Therms % of Savings Measure Category
Electric Products Gas Products
Thermostat 15,647 0.1% 40,832 80.9%
Shell measures (Windows) 46,377 0.2% 9,621 19.1%
Refrigerator/Freezer Bounty 23,375,638 99.7% - N/A
Total 23,437,662 100.0% 50,453 100.0%
EnergyWise
CFL 4,108,799 43.2% - N/A
Lighting-Other 1,225,201 12.9% - N/A
DHW - Flow Limit 4,022,642 42.3% 236,659 55.8%
DHW - Pipe Insulation 160,763 1.7% 7,503 1.8%
Thermostat - N/A 180,197 42.5%
Total 9,517,405 100.0% 424,359 100.0%
Total
CFL 4,108,799 12.5% - N/A
Lighting-Other 1,225,201 3.7% - N/A
DHW - Flow Limit 4,022,642 12.2% 225,506 48.4%
DHW - Pipe Insulation 160,763 0.5% 4,908 1.1%
Thermostat 15,647 0.05% 221,029 47.4%
Shell measures (Windows) 46,377 0.1% 9,621 2.1%
Refrigerator/Freezer Bounty 23,375,638 70.9% - N/A
Total 32,955,067 100.0% 474,812 100.0%
Table 11 summarizes the Residential Energy Star gas savings in the KEDNY (Brooklyn Union Gas) and
KEDLI (KeySpan East - Long Island) territories. While there is some shell measure savings, the majority
of gas savings occurs from thermostats.
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Table 11: Gas Savings in Downstate Territories
End Use Measure Brooklyn Union
(Therms) KeySpan East
(Therms) Total
Therms % of
Savings
Shell Measures (Windows) 715 1,998 2,713 8%
Thermostats 14,175 18,632 32,807 92%
Program Total 14,890 20,630 35,520 100%
2.1 Study Objectives and Summary
In scoping this study, we considered the primary objective to be quantifying and/or providing further
documentation to support the savings claims associated with the measures that generated the most savings
and to provide recommendations on those measures for forward looking adjustments to the Technical
Manual to the extent possible.
As indicated earlier, the three primary measure types that are producing the vast majority of program
savings in these programs are thermostats for gas, lighting for electric, and DHW flow limit measures
(aerators and showerheads) for both fuel types. Therefore, it was decided that the evaluation focus on
these measure types.
During the course of considering possible evaluation approaches, the NY DPS became aware of a
regional hours of use study that DNV KEMA was involved in with the NMR Group. The main objective
of the HOU study was to estimate hours of use by room type, not lighting type (technology) as many
studies have done in the past. The focus on room types assumes that people are likely to use their lights
in a given room the same way regardless of the type of bulbs in the room.
In light of this, National Grid and DNV KEMA revised the work scope to piggyback it upon the Regional
HOU study. The HOU study multifamily sample design was laid out to achieve 90/10 precision by room
type within the non-high rise multifamily sector. This included bedrooms, bathrooms, kitchens, living
rooms, and other rooms. However, given the nature of how multifamily is defined for the study (any
multi-family building with two or more units/apartments - no wall separating units from basement to
roof), we believed it was worthwhile to ensure that sufficient multifamily facilities of interest to Niagara
Mohawk were available for the final analysis (five to fifty dwelling units). In addition, a larger
multifamily sample size provided the Regional HOU Study with increased ability to draw conclusions at
the 90/10 level for additional rooms and/or specific specifically fixtures (dimmable, flood/spot, etc.) as
well as provided added analysis support should the actual coefficients of variation (CVs) prove to be
higher (poorer) than those assumed in the sample design.
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National Grid and DNV KEMA discussed the inclusion of net factors (free ridership and spillover) as part
of this study. We decided not explore net-to-gross (NTG) factors as part of this study for the following
reasons:
• We believe that NTG factors for multifamily direct install CFLs, aerators and showerheads are
being examined by ERS as part of their contract with Consolidated Edison and Orange and
Rockland. While this study may not be definitive, it will provide alternative NTG factors for
possible inclusion in the NY TM.
• The largest producer of electric savings in the EnergyWise and Energy Star programs is CFL
lighting. Recent CFL lighting evaluation efforts have identified many challenges to studying and
quantifying NTG that have been difficult to overcome despite extensive examination and funding.
Challenges include the nature and constantly changing dynamics of the CFL market (especially
with the burgeoning LED market), the lack of comparison areas as CFLs have become increasing
ubiquitous and the difficulty participants have in providing reliable self reports around CFL
purchasing decisions and behaviors.
• The largest producers of natural gas savings in the EnergyWise and Energy Star programs are
from aerators, showerheads and thermostats. However, the combined savings from these
measures represent 10% of the total natural gas savings that are being evaluated in other work
scopes that KEMA and National Grid have submitted to the DPS.
We also believe that a statewide study of spillover is being considered at this time. Particularly for non-
participant spillover, we believe a statewide study makes a great deal of sense since it is typically assessed
at the market level. Such an approach would likely be more cost effective due to cost sharing for a study
that could provide market level results.
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3. Evaluation Methodology
The evaluation methodology was built around assessing three primary measure types, each with its own
unique attributes, opportunities and challenges. Lighting, DHW, and thermostats all had attributes
assessed as part of the HOU on-site work. This included loggers and baseline data gathering for lighting,
program installed and baseline gpm and water heater efficiencies at both DHW treated and untreated
homes, thermostat set-points and pre-existing occupant thermostat behaviors. Thermostats also had a
supplemental survey performed to assess customer set-points and use. The methods for these study
activities are discussed further below.
3.1 On-site Sample Design Methodology
The HOU on-site sample was selected from EnergyWise participants and was designed to accomplish two
goals. The first was to identify 60 program participants at which the regional HOU logger protocol would
be performed. This protocol was utilized in a total of 848 homes in the regional HOU study. The second
was to gather information on the other key savings measures for purposes of assessing the Technical
Manual assumptions regarding them. These measures include lighting, programmable thermostats, low
flow faucet aerators and low flow showerheads.
Given what we were seeking to accomplish, the most desirable and efficient sample design would have
been one that provided the greatest number of unique measure types of interest to be assessed on-site.
However, targeting only sites that received all four of the measures of interest (lighting, low flow
aerators, low flow showerheads and programmable thermostats) would have greatly narrowed the sample
frame and could have biased the results.
To mitigate this potential bias, we decided to divide the sample of 60 sites so that half (30) of the sample
had all four targeted measures and the other half (30) had lighting and at least one of the other targeted
measures. This approach provided a balance between maximizing exposure to those measure types of
interest while acknowledging and making an accommodation for the possibility of differences among
participants with fewer and/or different measure installation profiles.
Table 12 compares the sample frame and the sample design of 60 homes based on this methodology. As
the table shows, the sample was designed to represent the populations within each of the two sampling
groups.
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Table 12: Comparison of Sample Frame and Final Sample
Region
Quantity With All Four Targeted
Measures % of All
Four
Quantity With Two or Three Targeted
Measures
% of Two or Three
Total Sample Frame
% of Total
Program Population (N=2,588)
Capital 347 83.6% 1,238 57.0% 1,585 61.2%
Central 46 11.1% 358 16.5% 404 15.6%
Mohawk Valley 8 1.9% 108 5.0% 116 4.5%
Northeast 13 3.1% 184 8.5% 197 7.6%
Northern 1 0.2% 172 7.9% 173 6.7%
Western 0 0.0% 113 5.2% 113 4.4%
Population Total 415 100.0% 2,173 100.0% 2,588 100.0%
Sample Design (n=60) Capital 25 83.3% 17 56.7% 42 70.0%
Central 3 10.0% 5 16.7% 8 13.3%
Mohawk Valley 1 3.3% 1 3.3% 2 3.3%
Northeast 1 3.3% 3 10.0% 4 6.7%
Northern 0 0.0% 2 6.7% 2 3.3%
Western 0 0.0% 2 6.7% 2 3.3%
Sample Total 30 100.0% 30 100.0% 60 100.0%
Table 13 presents the final achieved sample and shows that it does not differ from the sample design by
more than one site in any of the measure/region groups.
Table 13: Final Sample by Sampling Group and Region
Region
Quantity With All Four Targeted
Measures % of All
Four
Quantity With Two or Three Targeted
Measures
% of Two or Three
Total Sample Frame
% of Total
Final Sample (n=60)
Capital 26 86.7% 18 60.0% 44 73.3%
Central 2 6.7% 4 13.3% 6 10.0%
Mohawk Valley 1 3.3% 2 6.7% 3 5.0%
Northeast 1 3.3% 2 6.7% 3 5.0%
Northern 0 0.0% 2 6.7% 2 3.3%
Western 0 0.0% 2 6.7% 2 3.3%
Sample Total 30 100.0% 30 100.0% 60 100.0%
Table 14 presents the final disposition of the recruitment calls made for the 60 on-site visits based on the
disposition codes provided in The American Association for Public Opinion Research’s (AAPOR)
Standard Definitions.10
Based on the algorithms provided in this document we calculate a 12.9% response
rate and a 37.8% refusal rate. These are both less than desirable. However, it is important to keep in
mind that EnergyWise targets multi-family customers; who are typically renters and are more transient
10http://www.aapor.org/AM/Template.cfm?Section=Standard_Definitions2&Template=/CM/ContentDisplay.cfm&ContentID=3156
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than a typical homeowner. This population may also be more difficult to contact as they are more likely
to have less vested interest in the program and subsequent efforts to improve or gather further information
on it.
Table 14: Final On-site Recruitment Disposition
Disposition Code Disposition Description
All Four
Two or Three Total
1.1 Completion 30 30 60
2.11 Household-Level Refusal 75 101 176
2.21 Respondent Never Available 73 66 139
2.331 Household-Level Language Problem 1 1 2
4.32 Disconnected Number 6 8 14
4.41 Number Changed 33 43 76
4.54 Person Not Household Resident 25 24 49
Total Customers Called 243 273 516
3.1.1 Lighting (Electric)
The NY Technical Manual has CFL savings being calculated from an assumed incandescent to CFL ratio
of 3.53 (delta watts being a factor of 2.53), based upon the 2008 California Database for Energy Efficient
Resources (DEER) update. In reviewing the DEER report, we understand that value rests upon a standard
incandescent baseline. The Technical Manual lighting savings approach also uses an assumed operating
hours of 3.2 hours a day, a value based upon a 2003 extended logger study of coupon and catalog sales in
Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Vermont as well as a 2005-2006 study on coupon lighting from Maine.
The current coincident factors in the Technical Manual are 0.08 for average summer on-peak (1p-5p) and
0.30 for average winter peak (5p-7p).
To assess lighting in this study, we utilized the logger placement protocols developed for the regional
HOU study to install 320 lighting loggers in EnergyWise participant homes, as part of the 4,642 loggers
installed for the HOU study. Table 15 below shows the distribution of the loggers installed in the homes
of EnergyWise participants by room type, while
Figure 1 presents the number of loggers that were installed by month and week for the duration of this
study.
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Table 15: Logger Placement by Room Type
Room Type Loggers Installed
Bedroom 76
Kitchen 62
Bathroom 58
Living/Family Room 57
Dining Room 33
Hallway 11
Foyer 11
Closet 6
Other 3
Office/Den 3
Total 320
Figure 1: Logger Installation Profile
The time of use results from the loggers were examined and placed into the regional study to ensure
representation of the 5 to 50 unit multifamily complex type in addition to adding greater statistical power
to levels of result disaggregation. As part of these visits, we gathered the location and pre-wattage of the
EnergyWise installed lighting, as well as other information to support the exploration of DHW and
thermostat savings.
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3.1.2 Thermostats (Gas)
Thermostats have been installed through both the Residential Energy Star® Products and EnergyWise
programs in upstate and through the Residential Energy Star® Products programs down state
applications. Thermostats are the only measure currently offered through the Residential Energy Star®
Products program. Thermostats comprise an estimated 50% of total gas savings from the Residential
Energy Star® Products and EnergyWise Gas Programs for upstate New York, New York City, and Long
Island. This made thermostats a particularly important measure type to examine.
In preliminary scoping efforts, DNV KEMA suggested that a billing analysis be performed to quantify the
savings from this measure. A key parameter of the thermostat savings in the New York Technical
Manual comes from a previously performed billing analysis (Massachusetts, 2007) that provided an
energy savings factor of 6.8% for heating (effectively, meaning that the savings calculated by that study
were estimated to be 6.8% of a home’s annual heating energy consumption.) However, we noted that
there have been many billing analyses performed in other jurisdictions on this technology that have
resulted in indeterminate levels of savings. While the cause of the difficulty in acquiring gas thermostat
savings results from billing analyses are largely speculative, two oft surmised causes are the improper use
of the thermostat’s features and/or the possibility that the user has historically manually adjusted the
thermostat which renders the automated setbacks no more efficient than their previous behavior.
Therefore, we decided to approach this study as a two pronged exercise. The first was to review
secondary research to assist National Grid in ensuring that the assumptions and savings flowing from the
Technical Manual are consistent with findings from other studies. The second was to examine two of the
primary reasons speculated to diminish expected savings in other studies. Specifically, we sought to
confirm installation and gather information on how the thermostat was being used from two independent
efforts. The first was at all on-sites with thermostats installed while the second was for a sample of 25
phone surveys directed at Energy Star® Gas Products and Energy Star
® Electric Products and Recycling
program participants who purchased thermostats. In each case, we assessed thermostat set-points both
prior to and after the installation of the new unit. As part of the on-site visits we were able to assess 32
EnergyWise thermostat installations to supplement the information gathered through the 25 phone
surveys.
Table 16 presents the final disposition of the phone surveys based on the AAPOR document mentioned
above. Using the algorithms provided in this document, we calculated a very reasonable response rate of
43.1% and refusal rate of 6.9%.
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Table 16: Final Phone Survey Disposition
Disposition Code Disposition Description Total
1.1 Completion 25
2.11 Household-Level Refusal 4
2.21 Respondent Never Available 16
2.331 Household-Level Language Problem 1
4.32 Disconnected Number 2
4.41 Number Changed 11
Total Customers Called 59
The combination of these two items (secondary review and primary data collection), provided a high level
check on the thermostat savings flowing from the Technical Manual.
3.1.3 DHW Flow Limit Measures (Gas and Electric)
In our examination of the Technical Manual, the aerator and showerhead savings have algorithms that are
well established and rely upon multiple inputs to produce both gas and electric savings. We noted that
several inputs in the Technical Manual would be difficult to quantify with greater accuracy than the
assumptions currently in place11
. These assumptions are primarily based on three studies, the oldest
dating back to 1992 and the newest, and least empirical, dating to 2006. However, there were several
savings factors that we sought to update (or verify) as part of this study, including water heater efficiency
and program treated and untreated showerhead and aerator flow rates (in gallons per minute or gpm).
Number of showers per day was asked of customers.
At the 60 sites visited, we were able to assess 51 low-flow showerheads and 114 faucet aerators that were
installed through the program. Using the information gathered on-site we performed a re-engineering
analysis consistent with the Technical Manual approach to estimate overall impacts from these
technologies followed by recommendations on how the Technical Manual might be adjusted to reflect our
findings.
3.1.4 DHW Pipe and Tank Insulation (Gas and Electric)
For homes that met the sample design criteria and also had hot water pipe wrap and/or tank wrap
installed, we sought only to verify installation of these measures.
11 This includes the assumed minutes per shower, shower water temperature and throttle factor for showerheads and duration of use, number of
uses and faucet temperature for aerators.
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4. Evaluation Results
This section describes the results of the 60 sites and 25 telephone surveys performed in support of this
evaluation. We present these results by technology below, each starting with a discussion of how the
savings are calculated according to the Technical Manual followed by our study findings. The regional
designation needed to apply the proper interactive factors associated with lighting, the full load equivalent
hours associated with thermostats, and the water temperature associated with DHW flow limit measures
were not present in the tracking system. However, even without these factors, we were able to use the
Technical Manual formulas to calculate savings that are close enough to those provided in the tracking
system that we are confident that the Technical Manual formulas are being properly applied.
The on-site survey instrument used for this study is provided in Appendix A. The phone survey
instrument used is provided in Appendix B.
4.1 Lighting
4.1.1 Lighting Technical Manual Savings Assumptions
The NY Technical Manual calculates CFL bulb energy and demand savings using the following formulas:
Annual Energy Savings (kWh)= units x leakage x ∆Watts x Hours x Days-per-Year/1000 x (1 + HVACc)
Demand Savings (kW)= units x leakage x ∆Watts x coincidence factor x (1 + HVACd)
Where,
units = the number of CFLs in service.
leakage = accounts for CFLs installed outside of the service territory which primarily occurs in upstream
programs. Leakage is set to 1 because EnergyWise is a direct install program.
∆Watts = the difference between the bulb that is installed (replacement bulb) and the higher efficiency
CFL bulb. The Technical Manual assumes this to be 2.53 x CFL wattage, which assumes an
“incandescent to CFL” wattage ratio of 3.53 to 1; based on the 2008 DEER update study12
.
12From the 2008 Database for Energy Efficiency Resources (DEER) update. See www.deeresources.com for more information.
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Hours = the Technical Manual assumes 3.2 hours per day for CFL bulbs based on the 2003
extended metering study performed in Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and Vermont13
.
Coincidence Factor = the Technical Manual assumes a summer coincidence factor of 0.08 and a
winter coincidence factor of 0.30 based on the New England State Program Working Group (SPWG)
Coincidence Factor Study14
.
HVACc = the vintage and HVAC type weighted average by city.
HVACd = the vintage and HVAC type weighted average by city.
4.1.2 Lighting On-Site Results
Persistence Rate
Although it is not used when calculating per unit savings as shown in the formulas above, persistence rate
is often a primary consideration when estimating the impacts of a program. The short term persistence
rates and relative precision at the 90% confidence interval are provided in Table 17 below. Almost 87%
(±2.8% at the 90% confidence interval) of the products that were received through the program and
included in the sample, were still installed at the time of the on-site visits. The remaining 13% were not
found installed, not observed in storage or unable to be recalled by the customer as having been installed.
National Grid currently performs QA/QC on 10% of all projects and reports finding little to no evidence
of products that were not installed when they were reported to have been in the tracking system. We
believe the 12-24 month lag time between installation and our evaluation, the relatively high turnover
associated with multi-family residents and the possibility that building managers may have allowed the
installation contractors into the home without the tenant’s knowledge are contributing to the results we
observed. On balance, it seems reasonable to assume 100% installation rates at the time of program
participation, and that 87% represents a short-term persistence estimate.
13http://s3.amazonaws.com/zanran_storage/publicservice.vermont.gov/ContentPages/10803351.pdf. 14http://webapps.cee1.org/sites/default/files/library/8843/CEE_Eval_NEnglandLightsCoincidenceFactorsxBuildingType_1Jun2007.pdf.
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Table 17: Lighting Short-Term Persistence Rate Results
Tracking CFL Description
Tracking Quantity
On-Site Quantity
In-Service Rate
20W Spiral CFL 204 188 92.2%
15W Globe CFL 118 110 93.2%
15W Spiral CFL 106 80 75.5%
15W A-shaped CFL 58 48 82.8%
9W Candelabra CFL 30 23 76.7%
26W R40 Flood CFL 2 0 0.0%
Total 518 449 86.7%
Delta Watts
Table 18 presents the on-site observed delta watts (based on customer-reported baseline wattages) as
compared to the delta watts assumed in the Technical Manual. The on-site delta watts are 3.2 watts lower
than the Technical Manual assumption, which results in a 0.19 (or 7.5%) reduction in the delta watts
assumption factor (from 2.53 to 2.34). The evaluation result of 2.34 (±2.3% at 90% confidence interval)
has a lower bound of 2.29 and an upper bound of 2.40, which suggests that the current Technical Manual
assumption be considered for revision for this particular program application as it does not fall within the
error bound of the study result.
Table 18: Lighting Delta Watts Results
Tracking CFL Description
Tracking Delta Watts (CFL W * 2.53)
On-Site Quantity
On-Site Delta Watts
On-Site Inc to CFL Ratio
On-Site Inc to CFL Factor
20W Spiral CFL 50.6 188 39.5 2.98 1.98
15W Globe CFL 38.0 110 37.7 3.52 2.52
15W Spiral CFL 38.0 80 40.4 3.69 2.69
15W A-shaped CFL 38.0 48 36.1 3.41 2.41
9W Candelabra 22.8 23 28.5 4.17 3.17
Weighted Total 42.5 449 39.3 3.34 2.34
In our recent experience with lighting impact evaluations, on-site delta watts have often been found to be
lower than tracking assumptions. This decrease has typically been due to the fact that program bulbs are
no longer exclusively replacing as many incandescent bulbs as many tracking systems had been
assuming.
However, this is not the case with the EnergyWise Program, likely due to the fact that it is a direct install
program. Only four program CFLs were reported by customers to have replaced non-incandescent bulbs
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(all four replaced other CFLs). The decrease in delta watts was simply due to program bulbs replacing
lower wattage incandescent bulbs than assumed in the Technical Manual.
A contributor to this decrease in delta watts may be the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007
(EISA), wherein on January 1, 2012, EISA legislation began phasing out 100-watt incandescent bulbs.
Although less likely to be a driver of these results due to timing, the phasing out of 100-watt
incandescents was followed by a phasing out of 75-watt on January 1, 2013. On January 1, 2014, 60-watt
units will also be phased out.
Hours of Use
As mentioned above, the hours of use portion of this evaluation is based on the results of the regional
HOU study. Table 19 presents the hours of use results by room type from the HOU study. The room
level proportions of all program installations found during the on-site visits were used to calculate a
weighted average of 840 annual hours (2.3 hours per day with ±3.7% Precision at 90% Confidence
Interval).
Table 19: Lighting Hours of Use Results
Room
Number of Program CFLs Found Installed
During On-Sites
Logged Annual Hours of Use from
the HOU Study
Logged Daily Hours of Use from
the HOU Study
Precision at 90%
Confidence Interval
Bathroom 207 621 1.7 ±11.8%
Kitchen 67 1,497 4.1 ±4.9%
Dining Room 57 1,022 2.8 ±10.7%
Hallway 35 621 1.7 ±8.9%
Bedroom 34 767 2.1 ±9.5%
Living Space 19 1,205 3.3 ±7.6%
Foyer 11 621 1.7 ±8.9%
Closet 11 621 1.7 ±8.9%
Office 5 621 1.7 ±8.9%
Other 2 621 1.7 ±8.9%
Exterior 1 2,044 5.6 ±5.4%
Total 449 -- -- --
Weighted Average Daily Hours of Use 840 2.3 ±3.7%
Per Unit Savings and Realization Rates
We are able to calculate a gross realization rate at the CFL unit level based on the hours of use, installed
average CFL wattage (16.8 watts), and a delta watt factor. In Table 20 we calculate an ex post tracked
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per CFL unit annual kWh savings estimate of 33.0 kWh15 with an associated gross realization rate of
66.5%. We did not address net to gross in this study and as such have reflected the current assumption in
the Technical Manual in this table (0.90). The kW realization rate is calculated using the installed average
CFL wattage and hours of use and the delta watt factor.
Table 20: CFL Per Unit Net Program Impacts
Parameter Electric Energy (kWh/yr/unit)
Electric Demand (W/unit)
Ex Ante Tracked Savings 49.6* 42.5*
Ex Post Tracked Savings 33.0 39.3
Evaluation Realization Rate (RR) 66.5% 92.5%
Evaluation Net-to-Gross Ratio (NTG) 0.90 0.90
Ex Post Net Impact Realization Rate (RR) 59.9% 83.2%
*Weighted average calculated based upon the watts of program installed CFLs from the on-site sample, the current TM CFL to baseline
factor (2.53) and the current TM CFL Hours of Use estimate (3.2 hours/day). Weighted average kW calculated based upon the watts of program installed CFLs from the on-site sample and the current TM CFL to baseline factor (2.53).
Lighting Saturation Results
Although CFL saturation is not a savings input, it was calculated through the use of the HOU study on-
site protocol. In the 60 multi-family homes visited from the sample, a total of 1,133 sockets were counted
for a simple average of approximately 18.9 sockets per home. Table 21 shows the lighting saturation in
the 60 participating homes before and after they participated in the program. The bulb types replaced by
program CFLs are based on customer self-reports collected during the on-site visits. As the table shows,
the EnergyWise Program increased the CFL saturation in the sampled homes from 20.7% to 59.9%.
Before program participation, approximately 70% of the sockets in the sampled homes contained an
incandescent bulb, while only 21% contained a CFL. After participating in the program, almost 60%
contained CFLs, while only 31% contained incandescents. Of the remaining 9% of sockets, 7.6%
contained fluorescent bulbs, 1.0% contained halogen bulbs, 0.3% were empty and 0.2% contained LEDs.
These results suggest that lighting opportunities among EnergyWise customers remain plentiful despite
the growing popularity and maturity of the CFL marketplace, and the program has a significant impact on
the profile of lighting installed among those participating homes.
15 Calculated from the product of the delta watts factor (2.34), annual hours of use (2.3 x 365 = 839.5), and CFL wattage (16.8) and dividing it by
1,000 to convert from kilowatts to watts.
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Table 21: Lighting Saturation Before and After Program Participation
Before Program After Program Bulb Type
Quantity % of Total
Quantity % of Total
CFL 234 20.7% 679 59.9%
Incandescent 797 70.3% 352 31.1%
Fluorescent 86 7.6% 86 7.6%
Halogen 11 1.0% 11 1.0%
Empty 3 0.3% 3 0.3%
LED 2 0.2% 2 0.2%
Total 1,133 100.0% 1,133 100.0%
Table 22 presents the average number of bulbs by room and bulb type. The average home visited in the
sample was found to have 18.9 sockets; 18.8 on the interior and 0.1 on the exterior. By room type,
bathrooms had the most sockets with an average of 4.8; followed by bedrooms, kitchens, and living
rooms, which averaged 3.9, 3.1, and 2.4, respectively. By bulb type, the average home in the sample had
11.3 CFLs (7.5 program CFLs and 3.8 non-program CFLs), 5.9 incandescent bulbs, 1.4 fluorescents, 0.2
halogens, and 0.03 LEDs. The sample also had an average of 0.3 CFLs and 0.3 incandescents in storage.
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Table 22: Average Number of Lighting Sockets per Home by Room and Bulb Type
Mean % Program
CFLs % Non-Program
CFLs Location/Type
18.9 39.6% 20.3%
By Area
Interior 18.8 39.7% 20.2%
Exterior 0.1 25.0% 50.0%
By Room
Bathrooms 4.8 71.9% 13.5%
Bedrooms 3.9 14.5% 31.6%
Kitchen 3.1 36.6% 12.6%
Living Room 2.4 13.4% 40.8%
Dining Room 2.0 47.1% 11.6%
Hallway/Foyer 1.8 42.2% 15.6%
Closets 0.4 42.3% 11.5%
Office/Den 0.4 21.7% 0.0%
Other 0.1 66.7% 0.0%
By Bulb Type
Program CFLs 7.5
Incandescent 5.9
Non-Program CFLs
3.8
Fluorescent 1.4
Halogen 0.2
Empty Sockets 0.05
LEDs 0.03
4.2 Thermostats
4.2.1 Thermostat Technical Manual Savings Assumptions
The Technical Manual calculates electric and gas thermostat savings using the following formulas:
Gross Annual Elec Savings (kWh)
=
Gross Annual Gas Savings (therms) =
Where,
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units = the number of air conditioning units controlled under the program.
tons/unit = tons of air conditioning per unit, based on nameplate data
SEER = seasonal average energy efficiency ratio (Btu/watt-hour); assumed to be 10 in the Technical
Manual.
12 = conversion factor (kBtuh/ton)
ESF = energy savings factor (6.8% for heating and 9% for cooling)
kBtuhout
/unit = the nominal rating of the heating output capacity of the heat pump in
kBtu/hr (including supplemental heaters); assumed to be 70 kBtuh.
kBtuhin
/unit = the nominal rating of the heating input capacity of the heat pump in
kBtu/hr (including supplemental heaters); assumed to be 90 kBtuh for a furnace, 110 kBtuh for a boiler,
and 12 kBtuh (3.5 kW) for electric resistance.
HSPF = heating seasonal performance factor (Btu/watt-hr), a measure of the
seasonal average efficiency of the heat pump in the heating mode; assumed to be 3.413 in the Technical
Manual.
EFLHheat
= heating equivalent full-load hours
EFLHcool
= cooling equivalent full-load hours
4.2.2 Thermostat On-Site Results
In-Service and Persistence Rate
According to the tracking system, thirty-two of the homes in the on-site sample received thermostats
through the program. All 32 of these homes were found to have the program thermostats still installed
and operating at the time of the on-site visits. Similarly, the 25 phone survey respondents reported that all
31 of the thermostats that they received through the program were still installed.
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Thermostat Operation and Set-points
Table 23 presents the results by fuel type from both the on-site visits and phone surveys with regards to
how the program supported programmable thermostats are being used. In both cases and overall,
somewhat more than half of the thermostats installed through the program were programmed with a
schedule in the winter. These rates of schedule use include those who might have retained the default
program, as it remained appropriate for them. However, only one-third of program thermostats overall
were reported to be programmed with a winter schedule that was different from those of the previous
thermostats. It is important to note that some programmable thermostats in these results might not be
used to their full potential due to its interaction with heating systems that might operate more efficiently
with less setback magnitude (e.g., condensing units).
Based on our combined on-site and phone survey data collection, we also note that approximately 34% of
programmable thermostats were programmed with a summer schedule on their air conditioning system
that would produce electric savings. Just over one-fifth of the thermostats received through the program
were programmed with a summer schedule that was different from those of the thermostats that were
replaced.
Table 23: Thermostat Use by Fuel
Fuel Total Units
No. Programmed
% Programmed
No. Programmed With A Schedule Different
From Baseline
% Programmed With A Schedule Different From
Baseline
Winter
Gas 58 30 51.7% 19 32.8%
Electric 5 3 60.0% 2 40.0%
Total 63 33 52.4% 21 33.3%
Summer
Electric 38 13 34.2% 8 21.1%
Table 24 presents the same results split by data collection method (on-site versus phone). Although the
on-site set points were gathered at the unit and phone set points are self-reported, the identification of
behavior change was self-reported by both groups. The phone sample more often reported that their
thermostats were programmed with a schedule that was different from their baseline schedule.
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Table 24: Thermostat Use by Data Collection Method
Data Collection
Method Total Units
No. Programmed
% Programmed
No. Programmed With A Schedule Different
From Baseline
% Programmed With A Schedule Different From
Baseline
Winter
On-Site 32 9 28.1% 6 18.8%
Phone 31 24 77.4% 15 48.4%
Total 63 33 52.4% 21 33.3%
Summer
On-Site 26 5 19.2% 5 19.2%
Phone 12 8 66.7% 3 25.0%
Total 38 13 34.2% 8 21.1%
Figure 2 shows the baseline and program thermostat set-point profiles in winter and summer for the on-
site and phone survey samples combined. It includes all thermostats installed regardless of the occupants’
use of the setback features (the figure following this one shows set points for only those who reported a
setback). In the winter, programmable thermostats were used to raise set-points by an average of 0.9
degrees. The aggregated heating results presented make sense as it reflects primary setbacks during the
day hours, more marginal setbacks in the night hours and similar pre and post settings during the morning
and evening hours. In the summer, the average increase was 1.2 degrees.
Figure 2: Thermostat Set-points of All Customers
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
De
gre
es
Fe
hre
nh
eit
Hour Ending
Winter Baseline (n=72) Winter Program (n=55)
Summer Program (n=35) Summer Baseline (n=38)
1.5 oF
1.7 oF
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The Energy Savings Factors (ESF) present in the Technical Manual for programmable thermostats (6.8%
for heating and 9% for cooling) represent the ratio of energy savings resulting from installation of a
programmable setback thermostat to the annual heating (or cooling) energy. The heating ESF of 6.8% is
derived from a GasNetworks Study that had an approximate one degree difference in set-points noted
between participants and a control group. The Technical Manual notes that the cooling ESF of 9% is
based on the assumption of 3 degrees of setback.
Examining the figure above, the 1 degree heating setback implied in the assumed heating ESF of 6.8%
appears to be consistent with that self-reported (0.9 degree) among all thermostat participants contacted
for this study, although we note that the 0.9 degree setback is self-reported and may have recall error
associated with it. The 1.2 degree cooling setback is less consistent with assumed setback of 3 degrees in
the Technical Manual, but is slightly more consistent with the approximate 2.3 degree average difference
noted between participants and control group behaviors reported in the GasNetworks study. This
suggests that the current 3 degree assumption may be a little high.
The figure below is synonymous with that presented above, with the only difference being that it is
exclusively of those respondents who reported a setback schedule different from their previous thermostat
schedule. This sample size is small for the summer reported changes, but more reasonable for winter.
This figure might be interpreted as the likely setback behavior if all participants were using the
programmable feature differently from their pre-existing thermostat behaviors. Under these conditions,
the average summer is not significantly different from that above, with an average change of 1.3 degrees
among the group, although again we note this is only based on 10 respondents. The winter average
change of 2.8 degrees among this group is more significant and is based on a larger sample (23).
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Figure 3: Thermostat Set-points of Customers with Reported Setback
65
67
69
71
73
75
77
79
Deg
rees
Fe
hre
nh
eit
Hour Ending
Winter Baseline (n=23) Winter Program (n=23)
Summer Program (n=10) Summer Baseline (n=10)
1.9 oF
4.0 oF
Secondary Research on Programmable Thermostats
As mentioned earlier, we researched the results of other programmable thermostat (P-stat) reports and
white papers to assist National Grid in assessing the assumptions and savings which flow from the
Technical Manual.
The following studies were identified as part of this process:
• GasNetworks, “Validating the Impact of Programmable Thermostats”, prepared by RLW
Analytics, January, 200716
.
• California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC), “Evaluation of the 2004-2005 Statewide
Multifamily Rebate Program, Volume I”, prepared by KEMA, March 16, 200717
.
• Lawrence Berkley National Laboratory (LBNL), “Measuring the Usability of Programmable
Thermostats”, March, 201118
.
16http://www.efi.org/docs/cee_thermostats.pdf. 17http://www.calmac.org/publications/1118-04_MultiFamily_Rebate_evaluaton_-_Volume_I.pdf. 18http://eetd.lbl.gov/news/article/11200/measuring-the-usability-of-programmable-thermostats.
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• The Electric and Gas Program Administrators of Massachusetts, “Wi-Fi Programmable
Controllable Thermostat Pilot Program Evaluation”, prepared by The Cadmus Group, September,
201219
.
Although few studies were identified for this exercise, Table 25 compares the results from these studies to
the estimates calculated by using the assumptions from the Technical Manual. As the table shows, and as
might be expected, the realization of programmable thermostat savings is dependent on the use of the
setback feature relative to the schedule used with the previous thermostat.
The CPUC multi-family study, which reported extremely low gas and electric savings compared to the
other sources, reported that “few households use programmable thermostats in a manner that might be
associated with energy savings.” This study performed 696 on-site surveys with customers who installed
a programmable thermostat and found that “17.2% did not have their programmable thermostat
programmed, 12.4% had a programmable thermostat before the new one was installed, and 69.1% either
overrode their programmable thermostat settings two or more times per week or had turned their
programmable thermostat off. Only nine respondents, or 1.3%, gave responses that might result in
savings as a result of the thermostat installation.” As these results suggest, many multifamily customers
in the CPUC study sample who purchased programmable thermostats are either not programming them or
typically override the programming; perhaps due to inconsistent daily schedules/lifestyles or difficulty in
understanding how to operate them properly.
The wi-fi study was an evaluation of a pilot program with a sample of 66 gas-heated homes and 12
electric-heated homes. Like the CPUC multi-family study, it concluded that very few electric-heated
homes use the set-point functionality, which likely accounted for the low savings estimates. This finding
is despite the increased convenience to change set-points remotely.
19http://www.ma-eeac.org/Docs/8.1_EMV%20Page/2012/2012%20Residential%20Studies/MA%20RRLI%20-
%202011%20NGRID%202011%20Wi-Fi%20Thermostat%20Pilot%20Evaluation_Final_04SEP2012.pdf.
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Table 25: Comparison of Secondary Thermostat Study Results to Technical Manual Assumptions
Source Methods Used Electric Savings/Unit
(kWh) Gas Savings/Unit
(therms)
GasNetworks
Study Billing Analysis N/A 76.8
CPUC MF Study On-Site surveys 8.8 0.1
WiFi Study Billing analysis
& on-sites 104 82
Technical Manual
SF Savings* Algorithm
1,963
(1,849 heat, 114 cool) 90.1
Technical Manual
MF Savings* Algorithm
1,618
(1,513 heat, 105 cool) 73.8
* Technical Manual savings assume state-wide average Estimate Full Load Hours for
heating and cooling and average input capacity for furnaces and boilers.
The review of these studies confirms that aside from installation of the unit, two events must occur for
programmable thermostats to generate energy savings. These are the proper use of the setback functions
as well as a change in setback schedule and set-points as compared to their previous use. The results from
this study suggest that one in three participants is programming their thermostat with a schedule that is
different from their previous thermostat in the heating season. This proportion drops to one in five in the
cooling season. These results are still greater than that found in the CPUC multifamily study cited above.
Despite this low incidence in programmable thermostat use as intended, the pre and post temperature
differentials observed in this study remain consistent for the heating season, which accounts for most of
the current Technical Manual thermostat impacts. This suggests that the current Technical Manual heating
ESF is reasonable. The pre and post temperature differentials in the cooling season are significantly lower
than that assumed in the Technical Manual, suggesting that the resulting cooling ESF may be slightly
overstated.
4.3 DHW - Showerheads
4.3.1 Showerhead Technical Manual Savings Assumptions
The Technical Manual calculates electric and gas showerhead savings using the following formulas:
H2O Savings (gallons) = ((GPMbase – GPMee) x (throttle factor) x (min./shower) x (showers/day) x 365 (days/yr.))
Where,
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GPMbase = flow rate of baseline showerhead in gallons per minute (assumed to be 3.2520
)
GPMee = flow rate of low-flow showerhead in gallons per minute
Throttle Factor = 0.75 (LBNL study)
Min./Shower = 8 minutes (LBNL study)
Showers/Day = 2 (LBNL study)
Elec. Savings (kWh) =((H2O savings x (Tshower-Tmains) x (8.3Btu/gal.) / (3,414 Btu/kWh)) /water heater efficiencyelec
Gas Savings (therms)=((H2O savings x (Tshower-Tmains) x (8.3Btu/gal.) / (100,000 Btu/therm)) /water heater efficiencygas
Where,
Tshower = Shower water temperature (in o
F). Assumed to be 105 o
F.
Tmains = Inlet water temperature (in o
F). Assumed to be 53.3 o
F upstate and 62.5 o
F in NYC21
water heater
efficiencyelec/gas = 0.97 electric, 0.75 gas (standard assumptions according to Technical Manual)
4.3.2 DHW - Showerhead On-Site Results
Persistence Rate
Table 26 shows the observed showerhead persistence rates based on our on-site sample. Over 80%
(±11.5% relative precision at the 90% confidence interval) of the low-flow showerheads received by the
sample were still installed at the time of the on-site visits. Almost 14% were removed by customers who
were unhappy with the weak flow produced by the program showerhead. The remaining six percent were
not found on-site and the customers could not recall if they had ever been installed. There are many
20Lutz, James D., Liu, Xiaomin, McMahon, James E., Dunham, Camilla, Shown, Leslie J.McCure, Quandra T; “Modeling patterns of hot water use in households;” LBL-37805 Rev. Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory, 1996.
21Burch, Jay and Craig Christensen; “Towards Development of an Algorithm for Mains Water Temperature.”National Renewable Energy Laboratory.
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possible explanations for this result including the 12-24 month lag time between installation and
evaluation and the relatively high turnover associated with multi-family residents. It is also possible that
building managers may have allowed the installation contractors into the home without the tenant’s
knowledge.
Table 26: Showerhead Persistence Rate
Disposition Quantity % of total
Installed 41 80.4%
Removed due to weak flow 7 13.7%
Customer didn't recall receiving it 3 5.9%
Total 51 100.0%
Flow Rate (in Gallons per minute) and Shower Use
At all 60 sites in the sample, the visiting technicians recorded the flow rates of all installed showerheads
regardless if they were received through the program. This information was gathered to assess the gpm of
units not replaced when gathered on an untreated unit and to verify the gpm for treated units. We also
asked customers to estimate how many showers were taken per day.
Table 27 shows that nearly two-thirds of the showerheads found in the sampled homes were received
through the program. Observed untreated Sshowerheads had an average flow rate of 2.51 gpm. The
current baseline assumption of 3.25 in the Technical Manual is based on an 1996 LBL study. When we
spoke with program implementers, it was reported that the majority of showerheads replaced had 3.25
gpm. Since 1992, “federal regulations mandate that new showerhead flow rates can’t exceed 2.5 gpm.”22
We suspect the LBL study had an average above the federal standard likely because it occurred only 4
years after the standard change. At this time (17 years after the LBL study and 21 after the federal
standard change), only one untreated showerhead in the sample exceeded the federal standard at 2.75
gpm. Program showerheads averaged 1.75 gpm for a savings of 0.76 gpm. Customers reported taking an
average of 1.7 showers per day, which is slightly lower than the Technical Manual assumption of 2.0
showers per day.
22
http://energy.gov/energysaver/articles/reduce-hot-water-use-energy-savings
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Table 27: Showerhead Flow Rates and Usage
Showerhead Type
Showerhead Quantity
Average Flow Rate (gpm)
Average No. of Showers/Day
Precision at 90% Confidence Interval
Untreated 22 2.51 1.4 ±0.7%
Program 41 1.75 1.9 ±0.0%
Total 63 N/A 1.7 -
Water Heater Efficiency
Hot water efficiency assumptions are used as inputs to estimate savings for DHW measures, including
showerheads and aerators. We sought to gather nameplate hot water efficiencies as part of our site work,
and acquired this information for 24 homes in which they were also able to be found on the Air-
Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI) online Directory of Certified Product
Performance23
. Nineteen of these homes had electric water heaters which were all 98% efficient
according to the AHRI database. The five gas water heaters averaged 77% efficiency according to AHRI.
4.4 DHW - Faucet Aerators
4.4.1 Faucet Aerator TRM Savings Assumptions
The Technical Manual calculates electric and gas showerhead savings using the following formulas:
H2O Savings (gallons)24
= ((Standard GPM – Low Flow GPM) x (duration/use) x (uses/day) x 365 (days/yr.))
Where,
Standard GPM = flow rate of baseline aerator in gallons per minute (assumed to be 2.2)25
GPMee = flow rate of low-flow aerator in gallons per minute (assumed to be 1.5)
Duration/Use = 0.5 minutes
Uses/Day = 30
23
http://www.ahridirectory.org/AHRIDirectory/pages/rwh/defaultSearch.aspx. 24
The aerator methodology is derived from CL&P and UI Program Savings Documentation for 2008 Program Year, pp. 157-158. 25
All aerator assumptions are based on the Federal Energy Management Program’s “Domestic Water Conservation Technologies”
which can be found at:http://www1.eere.energy.gov/femp/pdfs/22799.pdf.
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Elec. Savings (kWh) = ((H2O savings x (Tfaucet-Tmains) x (8.3Btu/gal.) / (3,414 Btu/kWh)) / water heater efficiencyelec
Gas Savings (therms) = ((H2O savings x (Tfaucet-Tmains) x (8.3Btu/gal.) / (100,000 Btu/therm)) / water heater efficiencygas
Where,
Tfaucet = Faucet water temperature (in o
F). Assumed to be 80o
F.
Tmains = Inlet water temperature (in o
F). Assumed to be 53.3 o
F upstate and 62.5 o
F in NYC26
water heater
efficiencyelec/gas = 0.97 electric, 0.75 gas (standard assumptions according to Technical Manual)
4.4.2 DHW – Faucet Aerator On-Site Results
Persistence Rate
Table 28 shows that more than 90% (±7.1% relative precision at the 90% confidence interval) of the low-
flow faucet aerators installed through the program were still installed at the time of the on-site visits.
Seven percent were not found on-site and the customers could not recall if they had been installed. The
remaining three percent were removed due to weak flow. Like the showerhead results discussed above,
the results in this table reflect changes that occurred over up to two years after initial installation among a
transient population that might not have been home at the time of installation.
Table 28: Faucet Aerator Persistence Rate
Disposition Quantity % of total
Installed 103 90.4%
Customer didn't recall receiving it 8 7.0%
Removed due to weak flow 3 2.6%
Total 114 100.0%
Flow Rate (in Gallons per minute)
The technicians also recorded the flow rates of all of the faucet aerators that were installed at the time of
the site visit. Table 29 shows that 78% of the faucet aerators found in the sampled homes were received
26
Burch, Jay and Craig Christensen; “Towards Development of an Algorithm for Mains Water Temperature.”National Renewable Energy Laboratory.
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through the program. Non-program (untreated) aerators had an average flow rate of 2.0 gpm, which is
slightly lower than the baseline assumption in the Technical Manual (2.2 gpm). Program aerators
averaged 1.5 gpm for an average savings of 0.5 gpm.
Table 29: Faucet Aerator Flow Rates
Faucet Aerator Type
Faucet Aerator Quantity
Average Flow Rate (gpm)
Precision at 90% Confidence Interval
Untreated 29 2.00 ±0.0%
Program 103 1.50 ±0.0%
Total 132 - -
4.5 DHW – Pipe and Tank Insulation
According to the tracking system, 31 customers in the sample received a total of 89 linear feet and hot
water pipe insulation. The hot water pipes were inaccessible at only 13 homes so the technicians were
unable to verify the installation of 42 feet (47.2%) of this insulation. The remaining 47 feet (52.8%) were
all found installed in the homes of 18 of the customers in the sample.
Only five customers in the sample received hot water tank insulation according to the tracking system.
The technicians were able to verify that the tank wrap was properly installed on the hot water tanks at all
five of these homes.
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5. Findings and Recommendations
The EnergyWise and Energy Star Residential Products study was largely designed to focus on assessing
Technical Manual inputs as a piggyback effort to the ongoing regional HOU study. In this manner, while
we can compare and contrast our findings with the current Technical Manual, we are not able to provide a
revised or adjusted impact estimates of gross savings. At this time, we are not sure of the process in
which the DPS and other stakeholders will consider and undertake revisions to the Technical Manual.
While we suggest consideration of Technical Manual input adjustments based upon this study, it is
important to note that we do not recommend any changes to the formulas that National Grid is using to
calculate their claimed savings.
In this section, we present some recommendations for consideration with the understanding that there
may be studies from other NY energy program implementers that might or might not support the findings
here and that a possible outcome of this study is that the results are deemed appropriate for a narrow
application as opposed to a general one. In this case, this might mean application to direct install
programs for specific findings with one possibility being application exclusively to the National Grid
EnergyWise and/or Residential Product Program savings.
Technical Manual savings input items that are consistent with the findings from this study that do not
warrant consideration for Technical Manual changes include:
• Our findings on lighting measures suggest that the implied EnergyWise Technical Manual in-
service rate of 100% remains appropriate. The EnergyWise Program is a direct-install program,
for which our study observed an 86.7% short term lighting persistence rate after two years of
installation. The program currently performs QA/QC to ensure measures are installed at the time
of program participation and our findings seem to suggest a natural failure rate, so we believe
100% in-service rate remains appropriate for use in the Technical Manual.
• Water heater efficiencies assumed for DHW Flow Limit Measures in the Technical Manual
appear reasonable. Despite the small sample size, the current assumed DHW system efficiencies
of 0.97 for electric and 0.75 for gas are nearly the same as those observed in this study (0.98 for
electric and 0.77 for gas).
• Pipe and tank insulation installation rates were observed to be 100% in this study, as assumed in
the Technical Manual.
• The installed flow rate for both showerheads and faucet aerators should continue to follow
program tracking data on units installed, as every program installed showerhead found during the
on-sites had a flow rate of 1.75 gpm and every program installed aerator found during the on-sites
had a flow rate of 1.5 gpm.
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• The assumed number of showers taken per day in our study was reported to be 1.7, which
suggests the current assumption of 2.0 remains reasonable.
• All thermostats purchased through the Residential Products channels or received through the
EnergyWise Programs were reported or otherwise found to be installed. We suggest that the
currently assumed 100% installation rate in the Technical Manual for this measure continue to be
used.
• The heating ESF in the Technical Manual as derived from the Gas Networks study appears
reasonable to continue utilizing in the savings calculations. We do suspect that it is at the high
end of what might be expected as our assessment of this input is based upon self-reported
temperature changes that might be prone to recall issues, overstatement and not reflect override
tendencies.
Technical Manual savings input items that might be considered for adjustment based on the findings from
this study include:
Lighting
• This study calculated a pre to post wattage factor of 2.34 (±2.3% at 90% confidence interval) with
a lower bound of 2.29 and an upper bound of 2.40. Our findings suggest that the 2.53 factor used
in the delta watts calculation in the Technical Manual should be considered for revision as this
study result is statistically different. The study factor is estimated from the on-sites which were
performed at homes that participated in a direct install program, which may differ from more
general CFL lighting installation applications. Therefore, we suggest assessing this result against
inputs gathered as part of future studies and making adjustments based on collective results that
utilize this studies observation as a part of that assessment. Alternatively, the Technical Manual
might be revised to accommodate pre to post wattage ratios for direct install versus other program
channels.
• Based on the HOU study results and the room distribution of installed EnergyWise Program
CFLs, a weighted daily HOU average of 2.3 (840 hours annually) was calculated (±3.7% at 90%
confidence interval) with a lower bound of 2.2 and an upper bound of 2.4. These results suggest
that the current assumption of 3.2 hours per day (837 hours annually) in the Technical Manual be
considered for revision.
Showerheads
• In our site work, we noted that roughly 14% of the showerheads received by the sample were
removed because customers were not happy with their flow rate. While this might be regarded as
DNV KEMA Energy & Sustainability
DNV KEMA February 2015
46
a persistence issue, we believe that given the nature of the cause of removal, this result warrants
consideration of an adjustment to the assumed in-service rate from 100.0% to 86%.
• In our site work, we noted that untreated showerheads in participating homes had an average flow
rate of 2.51 gpm. The Technical Manual assumes a baseline of 3.25 gpm. We are unable to
refute the current TM assumed baseline of 3.25 based on information from this study. However,
there is evidence that the TM assumption may be overstated as it is based upon an outdated study
and recommend that National Grid exercise opportunities to gather residential baseline
showerhead flow rates as part of any future studies to help further the determination of an
appropriate TM baseline rate. In the interim, we recommend that National Grid utilize the actual
flow rates of removed units to calculate showerhead savings. The current federal regulation
mandates that that new showerhead flow rates cannot exceed 2.5 gpm, which is consistent with
our observed untreated showerhead findings. Additional evidence that the marketplace baseline
is evolving in a manner that is consistent with this mandate may warrant a future TM adjustment.
Thermostats
• Our data collection and secondary research suggests that the 3 degree assumption driving the
cooling ESF in the Technical Manual may be overstated. Our findings suggest that the use of a
more moderate 2 degree setback in the modeling performed to support the cooling ESF would be
more reasonable.
Broad Conclusions and Recommendations
In the section above, we provide specific results and recommendations. If we were to interpret the
impacts of the study results in energy savings, our findings suggest some uneven performance among
measures of interest as supported through comparisons of study findings to assumptions and inputs
contained the Technical Manual. Based upon the evidence built up from these study efforts, the
EnergyWise lighting savings flowing from the Technical Manual are likely overstated along with the
cooling savings from programmable thermostats. There is also evidence to suggest that showerhead
savings may be overstated. To alleviate this concern, we recommend that National Grid use site specific
flow rates of removed units in the savings calculation. The measures that we believe are returning
accurate impacts based on the Technical Manual include faucet aerators and heating savings impacts from
thermostats, as the findings from our study are generally aligned with those from the Technical Manual
from which National Grid is currently calculating savings estimates.
DNV KEMA Energy & Sustainability
DNV KEMA February 2015
47
This study is different from a traditional impact study in that we have not developed specific realization
rates for all of the measures examined27, but rather applied varying levels of rigor to assessing the inputs
used in the savings calculations. We believe studies of this nature can be valuable in environments with
technical manuals that are collectively derived, exercised and updated in states and regions where similar
evaluation activities can occur concurrently. This study was built upon a larger regional HOU study
designed to rigorously assess one of the most uncertain inputs to one of the most important residential
measures installed (lighting). As such, this study was able to gather information on other measures of
interest as part of the larger study as well as perform more narrow independent efforts designed to cover
remaining measure gaps. This effort allowed us to efficiently gather data to compare and contrast with
the inputs and assumptions from the Technical Manual. The final result is the ability to maximize
evaluation dollars and build evidence around key inputs that might be considered as part of refining the
Technical Manual and associated prospective savings. We recommend that any future studies in New
York that occur in the residential sector continue the spirit of gathering information available on baseline
or installed conditions for use in building evidence and support for confirmation or disconfirmation of the
Technical Manual inputs and assumptions.
27
This study was only able to calculate a realization rate for lighting.
DNV KEMA February 2015
A-1
A. On-Site Instrument
EnergyWise Program Evaluation and Regional Hours of Use Study
Onsite Data Collection Form – New York
Customer Name: Customer ID:
Customer Address:
Date: Time: Technician:
Introduction
“Hello, my name is ________, and I am working with DNV KEMA. DNV KEMA is working under
contract with National Grid to evaluate the EnergyWise Program that you participated in.I’m here to
meet with _________ to walk through your home and record the types of lighting fixtures and bulbs
installed in each socket. [Customer should be expecting inspector]. During my visit I’ll also be
installing a few lighting loggers to capture hours of use [show customer a logger]. In six months
another technician will return to collect the loggers that I install. The loggers can only tell when a light
is turned on and off, they do not record anything else. In appreciation for your time, on behalf of
National Grid, we are offering you a $100 gift card today and $50 gift card when we return in six
months to remove the loggers. Do you have any questions regarding my visit?”
Homeowner Verification of Receipt of Gift Card
My signature below is provided only to verify that I did receive a $100gift card from the visiting inspector, as
previously agreed upon, on the date indicated.
Customer Name:
Signature:
Date:
Page _____ of ______ Customer ID: ________
DNV KEMA February 2015
A-2
Data Collection
1. Installed bulbs - Exterior:
→ Walk around the outside of the home in a clockwise direction.
→ Record information on all exterior lighting sockets.
2. Installed bulb - Interior:
→ Next, proceed through the inside of the home in a clockwise direction.
→ Begin with foyer (entry way).
→ Go through each room and part of the home systematically, in a clockwise direction (or as clockwise
as is possible).
3. Stored Bulbs:
→ Ask:“Now, I would like to see all light bulbs and fixtures that are not currently installed. This would
include those you have bought and not yet installed as well as those that were installed and then
removed.”
→ Record information on all bulbs in storage.
4. Logger Installation:
→ Consult logger installation instructions.
→ Install loggers on selected fixtures (with customer’s approval of placement).
5. After Data Collection:
→ Thank the customer for his/her time
→ Give him/her the $100 gift card.
→ Remind the customer that when we return in six months to retrieve the loggers we will provide them
with a gift card for $50.
→ Have the customer sign off on your data collection form to indicate that you visited their home and
provided him/her with a $100 gift card.
→ Leave with the customer the “Logger Participant Frequently Asked Questions” one-page sheet.
Page _____ of ______ Customer ID: ________
DNV KEMA February 2015
A-3
Home Schematic
- Sketch a simple dimensionless diagram of home layout. Circle the floor drawn on this page:
- Label rooms. 1st Floor 2nd Floor 3rd Floor
- Clearly indicate the locations of the fixtures with a logger. Basement Attic Other:
Page _____ of ______ Customer ID: ________
DNV KEMA February 2015
A-4
List of Program Lighting Products
Manufacturer Model # Wattage Bulb Style Base Type
Earthmate E1552AK 15 Spiral Screw
Earthmate E2052AK 20 Spiral Screw
GE FLE15/2/R30XL827 15 Flood Screw
GE FLE15/2/DV/R30 15 Flood Screw
GE FLE26/2/R40XL827 26 Flood Screw
GE FLE26/2/DV/R40 26 Flood Screw
Maxlite SKB7EAWW 7 A-Bulb Screw
Maxlite SKB9EAWW 9 A-Bulb Screw
Maxlite SKB11EAWW 11 A-Bulb Screw
Maxlite SKB13EAWW 14 A-Bulb Screw
Maxlite SKB13EAPWW 13 A-Bulb Screw
Maxlite SKB13EAPCW 13 A-Bulb Screw
Maxlite SKB13EAPDL 13 A-Bulb Screw
Maxlite SKB13EACW 14 A-Bulb Screw
Maxlite SKB20EAWW 20 A-Bulb Screw
TCP 8TF03CL 3 Candelabra Screw or Candelabra
TCP 8TF03F 3 Candelabra Screw or Candelabra
TCP 8TF03LV 3 Candelabra Screw or Candelabra
TCP 8TF03WH 3 Candelabra Screw or Candelabra
TCP 8TF05CL 5 Candelabra Screw or Candelabra
TCP 8TF05F 5 Candelabra Screw or Candelabra
TCP 8TF05LV 5 Candelabra Screw or Candelabra
TCP 8TF05WH 5 Candelabra Screw or Candelabra
TCP 8TF08CL 8 Candelabra Screw or Candelabra
TCP 8TF08F 8 Candelabra Screw or Candelabra
TCP 8TF08LV 8 Candelabra Screw or Candelabra
TCP 8TF08WH 8 Candelabra Screw or Candelabra
TCP 1R2004 4 Flood Screw
TCP 1R2009 9 Flood Screw
TCP 1R2014 14 Flood Screw
TCP 2R3014 14 Flood Screw
TCP 2R3016 16 Flood Screw
TCP 1R4016 16 Flood Screw
TCP 1R4019 19 Flood Screw
TCP 1R4023 23 Flood Screw
TCP 1P3016 16 Flood Screw
TCP 1P3816 16 Flood Screw
TCP 2P3819 19 Flood Screw
TCP 1P3823 23 Flood Screw
TCP 1G2504 4 Globe Screw TCP 1G2509 9 Globe Screw TCP 1G2509C 9 Globe Candelabra TCP 2G2514 14 Globe Screw TCP 1G3009 9 Globe Screw TCP 1G3014 14 Globe Screw TCP 1G3019 19 Globe Screw TCP 1G3023 23 Globe Screw TCP 1G4014 14 Globe Screw TCP 1G4019 19 Globe Screw TCP 1G4023 23 Globe Screw
Page _____ of ______ Customer ID: ________
DNV KEMA February 2015
A-5
Onsite Saturation Form – First Page
CFL & LEDs ONLY
Primary
Room?
Fixture
Group Control Type
Wall-Mounted
Control?
Fixture
# Fixture Type Bulb Type Bulb Shape Socket Type Wattage Manufacturer Model #
When
Purchased
What
Replaced
Where
Purchased
Room Y/N #
OF=On-Off
Dim-Dimmable
3W=3-way
MS=Motion sensor
None=None
B=Breaker
O=Other[Specify] Y/N #
R=Recessed
P=Pendant
FM=Flush mount
T=Track
CF=Ceiling Fan
W=Wall mount
N=Night light
PT=Table
PF=Floor
EP=Porch
EPM=Post mount
EW=Walkway
U=Under cabinet
I = In cabinet
O=Other
[Specify]
I=Incandescent
CFL=CFL
F=Fluorescent
LED=LED
H=Halogen
E=Empty Socket
O=Other [Specify]
T=Twist/Spiral
G=Globe
A=A-lamp
B=Bullet/Torpedo
Bug=Bug light
S=Spot/Reflector/Flood
C=Circline
Tub=Tube
Can=Candle
O=Other [Specify]
S=Screw
P=Pin
G=GU
Can=Candelabra
O=Other [Specify] # Name Name/#
1=2013
2=Jul to Dec 2012
3=Jan to Jun 2012
4=Before 2012
(If purchased in
past year)
1=Incandescent
2=Halogen
3=CFL
4=LED
Store Name/
Type
Note if CFL
was received
through the
program.
Page _____ of ______ Customer ID: ________
DNV KEMA February 2015
A-6
Onsite Stored Bulbs Form CFL & LEDs ONLY 100w & 75w ONLY CUSTOMER SURVEY
Package
Group Bulb Type Bulb Shape Base Type Wattage Manufacturer Model # When Purchased
Where
Purchased Why Purchased/ Stored Type of bulb it will replace
# or NA
I=Incandescent
CFL=CFL
F=Fluorescent
LED=LED
H=Halogen
O=Other [Specify]
T=Twist/Spiral
G=Globe
A=A-lamp
B=Bullet/Torpedo
Bug=Bug light
S=Spot/Reflector/Flood
C=Circline
Tub=Tube
Can=Candle
O=Other [Specify]
S=Screw
P=Pin
G=GU
Can=Candelabra
O=Other [Specify] #
Name/#
1=2013
2=Jul to Dec 2012
3=Jan to Jun 2012
4=Before 2012 Store Name/ Type
1= As a back-up/to replace
100w bulbs
2= As a back-up/to replace
75w bulbs
3= To have extras
4= DK/no Reason
5=Other [Specify]
1= CFL
2= Incandescent
3= Both/whichever needs
replacing first
4=Replace same type of bulb as
stored bulb
5= NA
6= Other [Specify]
Note if CFL
was received
through the
program.
Page _____ of ______ Customer ID: ________
DNV KEMA February 2015
A-7
Logger Information and Location Form – MULTI FAMILY HOMES
Fixture
Group Control Type
Wall-
Mounted
Control?
Fixture
# Fixture Type Bulb Type Bulb Shape Socket Type
Logger
Serial # Room #
OF=On-Off
Dim-Dimmable
3W=3-way
MS=Motion Sensor
None=None
B=Breaker
O=Other[Specify] Y/N #
R=Recessed
P=Pendant
FM=Flush mount
T=Track
CF=Ceiling Fan
W=Wall mount
N=Night light
PT=Table
PF=Floor
EP=Porch
EPM=Post mount
EW=Walkway
U=Under cabinet
I = In cabinet
O=Other [Specify]
I=Incandescent
CFL=CFL
F=Fluorescent
LED=LED
H=Halogen
E=Empty Socket
O=Other [Specify]
T=Twist/Spiral
G=Globe
A=A-lamp
B=Bullet/Torpedo
Bug=Bug light
S=Spot/Reflector/Flood
C=Circline
Tub=Tube
Can=Candle
O=Other [Specify]
S=Screw
P=Pin
G=GU
Can=Candelabra
O=Other [Specify]
Note if logger is installed
on a CFL received
through the program.
Logger #1
____________
Living Space
Logger #2
____________
Dining Room (or
Other Room #1):
__________________
Logger #3
____________
Other Room #2:
__________________
Logger #4
____________
Bedroom
Logger #5
____________
Bathroom
Logger #6
____________
Kitchen
Page _____ of ______ Customer ID: ________
DNV KEMA February 2015
A-8
EnergyWiseProgram Products
Compact Fluorescent Bulbs (CFL)
CFL
ID
Trk CFL
Quantity Trk CFL Description
CFL
ID
Trk CFL
Quantity Trk CFL Description
1 4
2 5
3 6
CFL
ID
Installed
Quantity
Pre-
Watts
Pre-
Bulb
Type
CFL
ID
Installed
Quantity
Pre-
Watts
Pre-
Bulb
Type
CFL
ID
Installed
Quantity
Pre-
Watts
Pre-
Bulb
Type
Page _____ of ______ Customer ID: ________
DNV KEMA February 2015
A-9
Setback Thermostats (T-stat)
Trk T-
stat
Quantity Trk T-Stat Description
Program T-
Stats
Installed Notes
Auditor Note: Collect the information below for all thermostats whether or not they were received
through the program. If a thermostat was also received through the program, collect information on
how the old thermostat was used as well.
(P)rogram
or
(B)aseline
T-
Stat
ID
Use
Setback?
Winter or
Summer
Schedule
Sch 1
Days
Sch 1
Start
Sch
1
End
Sch 1
Temp
Sch 2
Days
Sch 2
Start
Sch
2
End
Sch 2
Temp
Sch 3
Days
Sch 3
Start
Sch
3
End
Sch 3
Temp
Low Flow Showerheads (SH)
Trk SH
Quantity Trk SH Description
Program SH
Installed Notes
Page _____ of ______ Customer ID: ________
DNV KEMA February 2015
A-10
Auditor Note: Collect the information below for all showerheads whether or not they were received
through the program. If GPM is not indicated on the showerhead, perform a bucket test to calculate
the GPM.
(P)rogram
or
(B)aseline
SH
ID
Gallons per
Minute
(GPM)
Showers
per day DHW Manufacturer DHW Model # DHW Fuel
Faucet Aerators (FA)
Trk FA
Quantity Trk FA Description
Program FA
Installed Notes
Page _____ of ______ Customer ID: ________
DNV KEMA February 2015
A-11
Auditor Note: Collect the information below for all faucet aerators whether or not they were received
through the program. If GPM is not indicated on the aerator, perform a bucket test to calculate the
GPM.
(P)rogram
or
(B)aseline
FA
ID
Gallons per
Minute
(GPM) DHW Manufacturer DHW Model # DHW Fuel
DHW Pipe Insulation (PI)
Trk PI
Linear
Ft. Trk PI Description
Program PI
Installed
Linear Ft. Notes
DHW Tank Wrap (TW)
Trk TW
Quantity Trk TW Description
Program TW
Installed Notes
Page _____ of ______ Customer ID: ________
DNV KEMA February 2015
A-12
Demographics
1. Indicate unit type: Studio, 1-bedroom, 2-bedroom, etc. ____________________
2. Approximately how many square feet of space of living space are in your apartment?
_____________ sf
3. Counting yourself, how many people live in your home for most of the year? _____
4. Depending on how many people live in the home for most of the year, ask customer to describe
their total household income in 2011 before taxes; counting everyone that lives in the home.
a. If One � Less than $31,300 or $31,300 or more
b. If Two � Less than $40,100 or $40,100 or more
c. If Three � Less than $50,600 or $50,600 or more
d. If Four � Less than $60,200 or $60,200 or more
e. If Five � Less than $69,800 or $69,800 or more
f. If Six � Less than $79,400 or $79,400 or more
g. If Seven � Less than $81,200 or $81,200 or more
h. If Eight or more � Less than $83,000 or $83,000 or more
5. (Ask only if customer refuses to answer question 1) Does anyone in your household receive any
of the following?
a. Yes b. No
• Cash assistance from the State Department of Housing and Community Development
• Food stamps
• Medicaid or Medicare
• State Energy bill or weatherization assistance
• State child care assistance
• State food assistance
• Free or reduced school lunches
6. What is the highest level of education that the head of household has completed so far? (Read
choices if necessary)
a. Grade school e. Associates degree
b. High school, No diploma f. Bachelor’s degree
c. High school diploma or GED g. Graduate or Professional degree
d. Some college, No degree h. Don’t know/Refused
7. According to the tracking system this home uses _________ for heat. Is this correct? ________
If not, what type of fuel is used to heat the home? _________
8. Does this home use central air conditioning, room air conditioning, or neither during the
summer? _______
Page _____ of ______ Customer ID: ________
DNV KEMA February 2015
B-1
B. Energy Star Program Thermostat Phone Survey
National Grid ENERGY STAR Program Thermostat Phone Survey
Interviewer note: If any customer wants to speak with someone from National Grid to verify the
legitimacy of this effort, please ask them to call:
Steve Bonanno, National Grid, (781) 907-1561
Hi, my name is __________________ and I’m calling on behalf of National Grid. This call is not
to sell anything. My company, DNV KEMA, has been hired by National Grid to independently
evaluate National Grid’s ENERGY STAR program. We are conducting a short four or five-
minute survey with customers who participated in the ENERGY STAR Program in 2012. Would
you be able to answer eight questions about each of the thermostats that you received through
the program?
According to our records, you received a rebate for programmable thermostat(s) through the
ENERGY STAR Program on <<Pay Date>> for <<Amount>>. I am calling today to ask you a
few questions about the thermostats that you received.
1. According to our records, you received or purchased <<Quantity>> programmable
thermostat(s) through the ENERGY STAR Program. Is that correct?
a) Yes
b) No� Ask to speak with someone else in the home that may be familiar with the
thermostat(s). If there is no such person, thank and terminate call.
Page _____ of ______ Customer ID: ________
DNV KEMA February 2015
B-2
For each thermostat that the customer received according to the tracking system, ask the
following questions:
Q. Thermostat ID 1 2 3 4
2. Did you install the rebated thermostat and
is it still installed?
3. (If removed) When and Why was it
removed?
4. What room is it installed in?
**Note to the respondent that we would like to gather information on their current thermostat set points. If they have the ability, it might be easier for them to provide these straight off the thermostat if they can get to it and access it.*** 5. (For each program thermostat that is still installed) how is the thermostat is used in
the winter?
(Gather days, start and stop times, and temperature settings so that you end up with 24
hours of set points for an entire week.)
Q. 5a. 5b. 5c. 5d. 5e. 5f. 5g. 5h. 5i. 5j. 5k. 5l. 5m. 5n. 5o. 5p.
T-
Stat
ID
Sch
1
Days
Sch
1
Start
Sch
1
End
Sch 1
Temp
Sch
2
Days
Sch
2
Start
Sch
2
End
Sch 2
Temp
Sch
3
Days
Sch
3
Start
Sch
3
End
Sch 3
Temp
Sch
4
Days
Sch
4
Start
Sch
4
End
Sch 4
Temp
1
2
3 Win
ter
Sch
ed
ule
In
sta
lled
Th
erm
osta
t
4
6. How does this differ from how you used your old thermostat in the winter?
(Gather days, start and stop times, and temperature settings so that you end up with 24
hours of set points for an entire week.)
Q. 6a. 6b. 6c. 6d. 6e. 6f. 6g. 6h. 6i. 6j. 6k. 6l. 6m. 6n. 6o. 6p.
T-
Stat
ID
Sch
1
Days
Sch
1
Start
Sch
1
End
Sch 1
Temp
Sch
2
Days
Sch
2
Start
Sch
2
End
Sch 2
Temp
Sch
3
Days
Sch
3
Start
Sch
3
End
Sch 3
Temp
Sch
4
Days
Sch
4
Start
Sch
4
End
Sch 4
Temp
1
2
3 Win
ter
Sch
ed
ule
B
aselin
e T
herm
osta
t
4
Page _____ of ______ Customer ID: ________
DNV KEMA February 2015
B-3
7. (For each program thermostat that is still installed) how is the thermostat is used in
the summer?
(Gather days, start and stop times, and temperature settings so that you end up with 24
hours of set points for an entire week.)
Q. 7a. 7b. 7c. 7d. 7e. 7f. 7g. 7h. 7i. 7j. 7k. 7l. 7m. 7n. 7o. 7p.
T-
Stat
ID
Sch
1
Days
Sch
1
Start
Sch
1
End
Sch 1
Temp
Sch
2
Days
Sch
2
Start
Sch
2
End
Sch 2
Temp
Sch
3
Days
Sch
3
Start
Sch
3
End
Sch 3
Temp
Sch
4
Days
Sch
4
Start
Sch
4
End
Sch 4
Temp
1
2
3 Su
mm
er
Sch
ed
ule
In
sta
lled
Th
erm
osta
t
4
8. How does this differ from how you used your old thermostat in the summer?
(Gather days, start and stop times, and temperature settings so that you end up with 24 hours of
set points for an entire week.)
Q. 8a. 8b. 8c. 8d. 8e. 8f. 8g. 8h. 8i. 8j. 8k. 8l. 8m. 8n. 8o. 8p.
T-
Stat
ID
Sch
1
Days
Sch
1
Start
Sch
1
End
Sch 1
Temp
Sch
2
Days
Sch
2
Start
Sch
2
End
Sch 2
Temp
Sch
3
Days
Sch
3
Start
Sch
3
End
Sch 3
Temp
Sch
4
Days
Sch
4
Start
Sch
4
End
Sch 4
Temp
1
2
3 Su
mm
er
Sch
ed
ule
B
aselin
e T
herm
osta
t
4