murders and non-fatal shootings trends · 2020. 4. 2. · q2-2016 murder and non-fatal shootings...

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C ITY OF N EW O RLEANS Office of Criminal Justice Coordination Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends 2016 2 nd Quarter Report

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Page 1: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

CITY OF NEW ORLEANS

Office of Criminal Justice Coordination

Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends

2016 2nd Quarter Report

Page 2: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review• There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month)

• Murders were down -21% (-11) under 2nd Qtr. 2015

• The 7th District had the most murders (10)

• Seventh Ward, Little Woods and Plum Orchard equally had the most murders of any

neighborhood (4)

• 30% (11) of murders were cleared by the end of the 2nd Qtr.

• There were 11 murder victims within the NOLA FOR LIFE target group (African-

American male age 16-24) (30%)

• There were 90 non-fatal shooting victims in the 2nd Qtr. 2016 (avg. 30 per month)

• Non-fatal shootings were down 10% (-10) under 2nd Qtr. 2015

• The 5th District had the most non-fatal shootings (22)

• Central City, in the 6th District, had the most non-fatal shootings of any neighborhood (9)

• 34% (31) of non-fatal shootings were cleared by the end of the 2nd Qtr.

• There were 33 non-fatal shooting victims within the NOLA FOR LIFE target group

(African-American male age 16-24) (37%)

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman, Central City, Little Woods, St. Roch Area, and Treme.

2

Page 3: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Q2-2016 Review Continued

Summary of Murders

● Majority of murder victims were African-American males (89%)

● The average age of a murder victim was 31 years old

● Murder victims were more likely to be killed in a public space (51%)

● A handgun was the most commonly used weapon in a murder (68%)

● The majority of arrested murder suspects were African-American males (85%)

● The average age of an arrested murder suspect was 25 years old

Summary of Non-fatal Shootings

● Majority of non-fatal shooting victims were African-American males (89%)

● The average age of a non-fatal shooting victim was 28 years old

● Non-fatal shooting victims were more likely to be shot in a public space (59%)

● A handgun was the most commonly used firearm in a non-fatal shooting (75%)

● All arrested non-fatal shooting suspects were African-American males (100%)

● The average age of an arrested non-fatal shooting suspect was 31 years old

3

Page 4: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

• In 2015, New Orleans’

murder rate (42.7)

continued to trend lower

than its average since

2010 (46.9)

• The New Orleans

murder rate was almost

15 points lower in 2015

(42.7) than it was in

2004 (57.2), the year

before Hurricane

Katrina a decade ago

• The average New

Orleans murder rate

since 2010 (46.9) was

more than 36% lower

than it was two decades

ago during the same 6

year span (1990-1995:

70.6)

Historical Murder Trend

Average Murder Rate by Decade: 1980s – 37.9; 1990s – 63; 2000s – 56.2; 2010s – 46.9 Note: This slide is updated annually.

46

42.7

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80s 90s 00s 10s

Mu

rder

Rate

New Orleans Murder Rate: Historical Comparison

2010-15 Avg. 2015

4

Page 5: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

• In 2015, the number of

murders (164) in New

Orleans continued to

trend lower than the

average (173) since 2010

• The number of murders

in New Orleans was

38% lower in 2015 (164)

than it was in 2004

(264), the year before

Hurricane Katrina a

decade ago

• Since 2010, the average

number of murders in

New Orleans (173) was

more than 50% lower

than it was two decades

ago during the same 6

year span (1990-1995:

352)

173

164

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mb

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rders

Murders in New Orleans: Historical Comparison

2010-15 Avg. 2015

Historical Murder Trend

Average Murder Count by Decade: 1980s – 212.5; 1990s – 311.6; 2000s – 214.6; 2010s – 172.6 Note: This slide is updated annually.

5

Page 6: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings – Q2 2016

46

64

110

50

78

128

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Incidents Victims

Note on murders: Totals do not include justifiable/negligent homicides or

police shootings

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman, Central City, Little

Woods, St. Roch Area, and Treme.

Page 7: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Incidents by Type

1517

32

04 4

31

43

74

0

10

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30

40

50

60

70

80

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Murders Murder Incidents with Non-Fatal Shooting Victim(s) Non-Fatal Shootings

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman, Central City, Little Woods, St. Roch Area, and Treme.

7

Page 8: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Incident Mortality2nd Quarter 2016 Mortality Rate was 29%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

April May June

Mo

rtal

ity

Rat

e

Num

ber

of

Sh

oo

tin

gs

2016 Monthly Shooting Mortality Rate

Total # Shootings Mortality Rate

0%

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50%

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April May June

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rtal

ity

Rat

e

Num

ber

of

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oo

tin

gs

2015 Monthly Shooting Mortality Rate

Total # Shootings Mortality Rate

8

Page 9: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Wound Location Mortality

GSW – Gun shot wound; Extremity – Graze wounds, arms and area of the body including and below the groin and buttocks; Head – Area of the body including

and above the neck; Torso – Area of the body including the abdomen, chest, back, “side,” and shoulders.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Mo

rtal

ity

Rat

e

GSW Location and Mortality

2015 2016

Single

Extremity

Multiple

Extremities

Single Head

Wound

Single Torso

Wound

Head and

Extremity

Torso &

Extremity

Head &

Torso

Unknown

Location

9

Page 10: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Murder Trends

0

30

60

90

120

150

180

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Murders Citywide (67)2010-15 Avg. 2015 2016

0

15

30

45

60

75

90

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Murders in Hot Spots (25)2010-15 Avg. 2015 2016

0

5

10

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25

30

1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th

Murders by District2010-15 Avg. 2015 2016

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2012 '13 '14 '15 '16

Six Month Rolling Average (11.2)

10

Page 11: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Murders by District

Target Neighborhoods are located in the 1st, 4th, 5th, 6th,

and 7th Districts, but are not coterminous with the district.

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th

Murders by NOPD District

2015 2016

• The 7th District saw the

largest reduction in

murders in the 2nd Qtr.

2016 compared to the

2nd Qtr. 2015(-41%)

• The 2nd District saw the

largest increase in

murders in the 2nd Qtr.

2016 compared to the

2nd Qtr. 2015

• The 6th District recorded

the fewest murders (1)

11

Page 12: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Murders by Target Neighborhood

• Central City had no

murders recorded for the

2nd Qtr. 2016,

compared to 6 in the 2nd

Qtr. 2015

• Treme had the highest

increase (+200%) over

2nd Qtr. 2015

• Compared to the 2nd

Qtr. 2015, the Behrman

and St. Roch

neighborhoods did not

see a change in the

number of murder (1

and 3, respectively)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Behrman Central City Little Woods St. Roch Area Treme

Murders by Target Neighborhood

2015 2016

12

Page 13: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Murder Trends

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Murders by Type of Location, 2016

Residential Commercial Public Space

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Murder by Type of Location, 2015

Residential Commercial Public Space

• Murders most frequently

occurred in a public

space, such as the street

or vehicle, with a

residence as the second

most common location

• There was a 12

percentage point

increase in murders that

occurred in commercial

locations compared to

2nd Qtr. 2015

Murders that occur in vehicles are coded as public as the vehicle itself is in a

public space.

13

Page 14: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Murder TrendsBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2nd Quarter 2016

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Murder Trends by Location

Residential Commercial Public Space

• Murder victims were

more likely to be killed

in public spaces in both

Target and Non-Target

Neighborhoods

• In 2nd Qtr. 2016, no

murder occurred in a

commercial location

within the Target

Neighborhoods

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman, Central City, Little Woods, St. Roch Area, and Treme.

14

Page 15: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Murder TrendsBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2nd Quarter 2016

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Murder Trends by Death Site

Died at the Scene Died at the Hospital

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman, Central City, Little Woods, St. Roch Area, and Treme.

• Citywide, more murder

victims died on the

scene than in the

hospital (78%)

• A higher percent of

murder victims in Target

Neighborhoods died at

the hospital (29%)

compared to 22%

citywide

15

Page 16: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Murder Trends2nd Quarter 2016

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Percent of All Murder Victims that Died at the Scene

2015 2016

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Percent of Murder Victims that Died at the Scene with a GSW to the Head

2015 2016

GSW = Gunshot wound

• 3 out of 4 murder

victims died at the scene

(rather than after

transport) in 2nd Qtr.

2016, which is higher

than most Qtrs

• Although a greater

percentage of victims

died on the scene in 2nd

Qtr. 2016, the

percentage that died on

the scene with a GSW to

the head continued to

decline

16

Page 17: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Murder TrendsVictims Killed in the Same Neighborhood They Lived

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Percent of All Murder Victims that Lived in the Incident Neighborhood, 2016

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

17

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Percent of All Murder Victims that Lived in the Incident Neighborhood, 2015

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

• Citywide, the percentage

of murder victims that

were killed in the

neighborhood in which

they lived has been flat

(about 40%)

• 50% of the murder

victims in Target

Neighborhoods live in

the incident

neighborhood

Page 18: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Murder Trends2nd Quarter 2016

• 22% (8) of murders

occurred in zip code

70126

• Four zip codes

(70116, 70117, 70125,

and 70126) accounted

for 60% of the murders

in 2nd Qtr. 2016

• Murder was most

common on Mondays

(24%) followed by

Fridays (20%) in 2nd Qtr.

2016

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

70116 70117 70125 70126 Other Zip Codes

Murders by Zip Code with 5 or More Victims

2015 2016

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday

Murder Trends by Day of the Week

2015 2016

18

Page 19: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Murder Trends

• 40% of murders in both

1st and 2nd Qtrs. 2016

occurred within time

category 6PM -12AM

• In the 2nd Qtr. 2016, 8%

of murders occurred

within time category

12PM-6PM compared to

30% in the 1st Qtr. 2016

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

12AM - 6AM 6AM - 12PM 12PM - 6PM 6PM - 12AM

Murders by Time Category, 2016

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

12AM - 6AM 6AM - 12PM 12PM - 6PM 6PM - 12AM

Murders by Time Category, 2015

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

19

Page 20: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Murder Trends2nd Quarter 2016

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Murder Victims by Race by Neighborhood

African-American Caucasian Other

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman, Central City, Little Woods, St. Roch Area, and Treme.

• In all neighborhoods

murder victims were

predominantly African-

American

• The proportion of

female murder victims

increased by 7

percentage points over

1st Qtr. 2016 (+2)

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Murder Victims, by Gender

2015 Male 2015 Female 2016 Male 2016 Female

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

20

Page 21: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Murder Victims’ Demographics2nd Quarter 2016

• There were no murder

victims younger than 10

years old in the 2nd Qtr.

2016

• The plurality of murder

victims was 25-34 years

old (16)

• The number of murder

victims aged 17 and

younger decreased in the

2nd Qtr. 2016 from 3 to

1 compared to 2nd Qtr.

2015

0

5

10

15

20

0-9 10-17 18-24 25-34 35-44 45+ Missing

Murder Victims by Age Category

2015 2016

0

1

2

3

4

5

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Murder Victims Aged 17 and Younger

2015 2016

21

Page 22: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Murder Clearance Rate By NOPD District, 2nd Quarter 2016

• The 2nd Qtr. 2016

murder clearance rate

was 30% (11)

• The 6th and 8th Districts

accounted for the lowest

number of murders

recorded in the 2nd Qtr.

2016 (1 and 2

respectively)

• The 1st and 6th Districts

had 100% murder

clearance rates

Note: Murder clearance rate is calculated by dividing the number of

murders cleared by arrest, warrant, and exception by the total number of

murders within the same quarter the incident occurred

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th

Percent of Murders by NOPD District Showing Cleared and Open Cases

Cleared Murders Open Murders

Target Neighborhoods are located in the 1st, 4th, 5th, 6th,

and 7th Districts, but are not coterminous with the district.

22

Page 23: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Arrested Murder Suspects’ Demographics2nd Quarter 2016

• 18% of murder suspects

were female in the 2nd

Qtr. 2016 (2)

• The majority of suspects

arrested for murder were

18-24 for both 2nd Qtr.

of 2015 and 2016

• There were zero arrested

murder suspects younger

than 18 in the 2nd Qtr.

2016 compared to 1 in

2nd Qtr. 2015

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

0-9 10-17 18-24 25-34 35-44 45+

Arrested Murder Suspects by Age Category

2015 2016

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Arrested Murder Suspects, by Gender

2015 Male 2015 Female 2016 Male 2016 Female

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

23

Page 24: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Arrested Murder Suspects’ DemographicsBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2nd Quarter 2016

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Arrested Murder Suspects by Race

African-American Caucasian Other

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman, Central City, Little Woods, St. Roch Area, and Treme.

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Arrested Murder Suspects by Gender

Male Female

• 82% of arrested murder

suspects citywide were

African-American (9)

• The Target and the Non

–Target Neighborhoods

each had 1 female

suspect for 2nd Qtr. 2016

24

Page 25: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Arrested Murder Suspects’ DemographicsBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2nd Quarter 2016

• There were no murder

arrests within the NOLA

FOR LIFE target group

(African-American male

age 16-24) in the Target

Neighborhoods

• Arrested murder

suspects in Non-Target

Neighborhoods were

more likely to be inside

the NOLA FOR LIFE

target group (African-

American male age 16-

24)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Arrested Murder SuspectsWithin or Outside NOLA FOR LIFE Target Group

NOLA FOR LIFE Target Group Outside NOLA FOR LIFE Target Group

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman, Central City, Little Woods, St. Roch Area, and Treme.

25

Page 26: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Identified Murder Motives

• 18 murders had an

identified motive in the

2nd Qtr. 2016 (49%)

• Murders due to

retaliation-feud increased

the most over 2nd Qtr.

2015 (+39 percentage

points)

• The proportion of

murders that were drug-

related and domestic-

related declined under 1st

Qtr. 2015 (-27 and -26

percentage points

respectively)

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Argument Drug-Related Retaliation-Feud Robbery Domestic Related

Identified Murder Motives

2015 (19) 2016 (18)

26

Page 27: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Identified Murder MotivesBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2nd Quarter 2016

• The plurality (38%) of

identified murders in

Target Neighborhoods

were related to

retaliations or feuds

• All drug and domestic-

related murders

happened in the Target

Neighborhoods

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Identified Murder Motives, by Neighborhood (19)

Drug-Related Retaliation-Feud Argument Robbery Domestic Related

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman, Central City, Little Woods, St. Roch Area, Treme.

27

Page 28: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Murder Weapons2nd Quarter 2016

• More than 81% of all

weapons used in murder

incidents were some type

of firearm

• Handguns accounted for

more than 65% of

firearms used in murders

in 2nd Qtr. 2016

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Handgun Shotgun Assault Rifle Unknown Firearm

Type of Firearms Used

2015 2016

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Firearm Knife Beating/Trauma

Type of Murder Weapons

2015 2016

28

Page 29: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Shooting Trends

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Shooting Victims Citywide (249)

2010-15 Avg. 2015 2016

0

50

100

150

200

250

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Shooting Victims in Hot Spots (96)2010-15 Avg. 2015 2016

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th

Shooting Victims by District2010-15 Avg. 2015 2016

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

2012 '13 '14 '15 '16

Six Month Rolling Average (41.5)

29

Page 30: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims by District2nd Quarter 2016

30

0

5

10

15

20

25

1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims by NOPD District

2015 2016

• Compared to 2nd Qtr.

2015, only Districts 2 and

5 witnessed an increase in

non-fatal shooting victims

in the 2nd Qtr. 2016

• The 5th District had the

largest increase in non-

fatal shooting victims

(+11)

• The 8th District

experienced the fewest

non-fatal shooting victims

in both 2nd Qtr. 2015 and

2016

Target Neighborhoods are located in the 1st, 4th, 5th, 6th,

and 7th Districts, but are not coterminous with the district.

Page 31: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims by Target

Neighborhood• Treme and St. Roch

were the only Target

Neighborhoods to show

an increase in non-fatal

shooting victims

• There was no incidence

of non-fatal shootings in

the Behrman

neighborhood

• Central City experienced

the largest change under

2nd Quarter 2016 (-9; -

100%)

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman, Central City, Little Woods, St. Roch Area, St.claude,7th Ward and Treme.

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

Behrman Central City LittleWoods

St. RochArea

Treme 7 Ward St. Claude

2015 2016

31

Page 32: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Non-Fatal Shooting Trends

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Non-Fatal Shootings by Type of Location, 2016

Residential Commercial Public Space

• The proportion of non-

fatal victims located in

commercial spaces

decreased compared to

1st Qtr. 2016, closer to

the proportion seen in

2015

• The majority of non-

fatal shooting victims in

the 2nd Qtr. 2016 were

shot in a public space

(59%), consistent with

previous Qtrs

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Non-Fatal Shootings by Type of Location, 2015

Residential Commercial Public Space

32

Page 33: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Non-Fatal Shooting TrendsBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2nd Quarter 2016

• Residential areas

accounted for more than

60% of non-fatal

shootings in Target

Neighborhoods

• Citywide, and across all

neighborhoods

commercial spaces had

the fewest non fatal

shootings (11%)

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman, Central City, Little Woods, St. Roch Area, and Treme.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Non-Fatal Shooting Trends by Location

Commercial Residential Public Space

33

Page 34: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Non-Fatal Shooting Trends

0

5

10

15

20

Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday

Non-Fatal Shooting Trends by Day of the Week

2015 2016

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

70113 70117 70119 70126 Other Zip Codes

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims by Zip Code

2015 2016

• 58% of all non-fatal shooting

victims in the 2nd Qtr. 2016

were shot in 4 zip codes (39%

of the City’s population)

• The distribution of non-fatal

shooting victims across the

days of the week in 2nd Qtr.

2016 was less varied

compared to 2nd Qtr. 2015;

the peak day changed from

Monday in 2015 (19) to Friday

in 2016 (16)

34

Page 35: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Non-Fatal Shooting TrendsVictims Shot in the Same Neighborhood They Lived

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Percent of All Non-Fatal Shooting Victims that Lived in the Incident Neighborhood, 2016

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Percent of All Non-Fatal Shooting Victims that Lived in the Incident Neighborhood, 2015

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

• Non-fatal shooting

victims were more likely

to be shot in the

neighborhood in which

they lived in Target

Neighborhoods than in

Non-Target

Neighborhoods

• Citywide, the percentage

of non-fatal shooting

victims that were shot in

the neighborhood in

which they lived was flat

at 36% for both 1st and

2nd Qtrs. of 2016

35

Page 36: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Non-Fatal Shooting Trends• A higher proportion of

non-fatal shooting

victims were shot in the

evenings (6PM-12PM)

versus 1st Qtr. 2016

where the plurality were

shot in the afternoon

(12PM-6PM)

• Overall the majority of

the non-fatal shooting

victims were shot

between 6PM – 6AM

(76% for 2nd Qtr. 2016)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

12AM - 6AM 6AM - 12PM 12PM - 6PM 6PM - 12AM

Non-Fatal Shootings by Time Category, 2016

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

12AM - 6AM 6AM - 12PM 12PM - 6PM 6PM - 12AM

Non-Fatal Shootings by Time Category, 2015

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

36

Page 37: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims’ DemographicsBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2016

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims by Race and Neighborhood

African-American Caucasian Other

• The race of 1 non-fatal

shooting victim was not

identified in the 2nd Qtr.

2016

• 80% of non-fatal

shooting victims were

African-American,

irrespective of the

neighborhood

• The proportion of

female non-fatal

shooting victims was

nearly flat comparing

2nd Qtr. 2015 to 2nd Qtr.

2016

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims, by Gender

2015 Male 2015 Female 2016 Male 2016 Female

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman, Central City, Little Woods, St. Roch Area, Treme.

37

Page 38: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims’ Demographics• There were zero non-

fatal shooting victims

younger than 10 years

old

• Non-fatal shooting

victims age 10-17

decreased under 2nd Qtr.

2015 (-3)

• The age group 18-34

accounts for 71% of all

non-fatal shooting

victims 2nd Qtr. 2016

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

0-9 10-17 18-24 25-34 35-44 45+ Missing

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims by Age Category

2015 2016

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims Aged 17 and Younger

2015 2016

38

Page 39: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Non-Fatal Shooting Clearance Rate by

NOPD District• 35 non-fatal shootings

were cleared in the

quarter (35.8%)

• The plurality of non-fatal

shooting victims were

shot in the 5th District

(22); 26% of those

incidents have been

cleared (6)

• 75% of the non-fatal

shooting incidents in the

2nd District were cleared

within the Qtr

• None of the non-fatal

shootings in the 3rd

District were cleared

within the Qtr

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th

Non-Fatal Shooting by NOPD District Showing Cleared and Open Cases

Cleared Non-Fatal Shootings Open Non-Fatal Shootings

Note: Non-fatal shooting clearance rate is calculated by dividing the

number of non-fatal shooting incidents cleared by arrest, warrant, and

exception by the total number of non-fatal shootings incidents

Target Neighborhoods are located in the 1st, 4th, 5th, 6th,

and 7th Districts, but are not coterminous with the district.

39

Page 40: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Arrested Non-Fatal Shooting Suspects’ DemographicsBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2nd Quarter 2016

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Arrested Non-Fatal Shooting Suspects by Race

African-American Caucasian Other

• There were 28 suspects

arrested for a non-fatal

shooting in the 2nd Qtr.

2016

• All arrested non-fatal

shooting suspects were

African-American

• There were zero females

arrested for non-fatal

shootings in the 2nd Qtr.

2016

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Arrested Non-Fatal Shooting Suspects by Gender

Male Female

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman, Central City, Little Woods, St. Roch Area, Treme.

40

Page 41: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Arrested Non-Fatal Shooting Suspects’ Demographics

• Arrested non-fatal

shootings suspects for

1st and 2nd Qtrs. 2016

were exclusively male

• The average age of a

suspect arrested for a

non-fatal shooting was

31 years old

41

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

0-9 10-17 18-24 25-34 35-44 45+ Missing

Arrested Non-Fatal Shooting Suspects by Age Category

2015 2016

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1st Quarter 2ndQuarter

3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Arrested Non-Fatal Shooting Suspects by Gender

2015 Male 2015 Female 2016 Male 2016 Female

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Page 42: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Arrested Non-Fatal Shooting Suspects’ DemographicsBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2nd Quarter 2016

• NOLA FOR LIFE

target group criteria

(African-American male,

age 16-24) accounted for

20% of the non-fatal

shooting suspects in the

2nd Qtr. 2016

• The average age of an

arrested non-fatal

shooting suspect outside

the NOLA FOR LIFE

target group was 33

years old

42

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Arrested Non-Fatal Shooting SuspectsWithin or Outside NOLA FOR LIFE Target Group

NOLA FOR LIFE Target Group Outside NOLA FOR LIFE Target Group

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman, Central City, Little Woods, St. Roch Area, Treme.

Page 43: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Identified Non-Fatal Shooting Motives2nd Quarter 2016

• 25 of the non-fatal

shooting incidents have

an identified motive

(28%)

• The plurality of non-fatal

shootings were the result

of a robbery (36%)

• Domestic-related non-

fatal shootings decreased

more than 45 percentage

points under 2nd Qtr

2015

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Identified Non-Fatal Shooting Motives

2015 (14) 2016 (25)

43

Page 44: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Identified Non-Fatal Shooting MotivesBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2016

• Non-fatal shooting

victims were likely to be

shot in the event of a

robbery at about the

same rate (35%) across

all neighborhoods in the

city

• All retaliation-feud non-

fatal shootings occurred

in Target

Neighborhoods

• Arguments accounted

for 43% of the non-fatal

shootings in Non-Target

Neighborhoods

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman, Central City, Little Woods, St. Roch Area, Treme.

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Identified Non-Fatal Shooting Motives, by Neighborhood (25)

Argument Domestic Dispute Drug-Related Retaliation-Feud Robbery

44

Page 45: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Non-Fatal Shooting Weapons

• Similar to the 2nd Qtr. in

2015, the majority of

non-fatal shootings in

the 2nd Qtr. 2016 were

committed with some

type of handgun (76%)

• The use of assault rifles

increased by 2

percentage points over

2nd Qtr. 2015

45

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Handgun Assault Rifle Shotgun Unknown Firearm

Type of Firearms Used

2015 2016

Page 46: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

Contact InformationFor Additional Questions and Comments

For further information about future activities and reports, please contact:

Sarah Schirmer

Criminal Justice Policy Advisor

Office of Criminal Justice Coordination

Office of Mayor Mitch Landrieu

1300 Perdido St.

Suite 8W03

New Orleans, LA 70112

[email protected]

46

Page 47: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

APPENDIX

47

Page 48: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

NOPD Districts

48

D7

D4

D3

D5

D2

D6

D1

D8

Page 49: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

NOLA FOR LIFE Target Area:

Behrman

49

Page 50: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

NOLA FOR LIFE Target Area:

Central City

50

Page 51: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

NOLA FOR LIFE Target Area:

Little Woods

51

Page 52: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

NOLA FOR LIFE Target Area:

St. Roch Area

52

Page 53: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trends · 2020. 4. 2. · Q2-2016 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings Review • There were 37 murders in the 2nd Quarter 2016 (avg. 12 per month) • Murders

NOLA FOR LIFE Target Area:

Treme

53