multiscale modeling and its application to catalyst design...

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1 Dion Vlachos Department of Chemical Engineering and Center for Catalytic Science and Technology University of Delaware Newark, DE 19716 www.che.udel.edu/vlachos, [email protected] Multiscale Modeling and its Application to Catalyst Design and Portable Power Generation Outline Decentralized, future energy production Miniaturization differs from scaling up Multiscale modeling Application of multiscale modeling to Development of detailed reaction mechanisms Microreactor design Process optimization Catalyst design Experiment design

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  • 1

    Dion Vlachos

    Department of Chemical Engineering and Center for Catalytic Science and Technology

    University of DelawareNewark, DE 19716

    www.che.udel.edu/vlachos, [email protected]

    Multiscale Modeling and its Application to Catalyst

    Design and Portable Power Generation

    Outline

    Decentralized, future energy productionMiniaturization differs from scaling upMultiscale modelingApplication of multiscale modeling to

    Development of detailed reaction mechanismsMicroreactor designProcess optimizationCatalyst designExperiment design

  • 2

    Outline

    Decentralized, future energy productionMiniaturization differs from scaling upMultiscale modelingApplication of multiscale modeling to

    Development of detailed reaction mechanismsMicroreactor designProcess optimizationCatalyst designExperiment design

    Down-scaling for future energy needs

    • Distributed energy– On-board H2 production– Electric reliability– Local solutions, e.g., farms

    based on biomass

    • Portable energy (electronics)

    Smart CarCourtesy: Ballard Power Systems

  • 3

    Outline

    Decentralized, future energy productionMiniaturization differs from scaling upMultiscale modelingApplication of multiscale modeling to

    Development of detailed reaction mechanismsMicroreactor designProcess optimizationCatalyst designExperiment design

    Large scale H2 production is industrially mature• Steady state operation• Reforming:

    endothermic, heat transfer controlled

    - Fixed bed catalytic reactors with Ni catalyst for syngas

    ReformingWGS, PurificationFuel

    + Air

    Hydrocarbon

    Steam

    Pure H2

    • Large scale flames supply the heat- Half of NG is burned to CO2 and

    H2O• Complex downstream processing WGS

    and PROX or membrane separation/PSA• Slow (τ~1s); bulky SR: CH4 + H2O = CO + 3H2 + 206 kJ/mol

    WGS: CO + H2O = CO2 + H2 - 41 kJ/mol

  • 4

    Steam reforming is a bulky process

    Sehested, Cat. Today 111 (2006) 103

    First example of on-board reforming

    • GM unveiled the world's first gasoline fuel processor for fuel cell propulsion at the annual automotive management conference in Traverse City, Mich.

    • The Gen III processor, packaged in a Chevrolet S-10 pickup, reforms 'clean' gasoline onboard, extracting a stream of hydrogen to send to the fuel cell stack.

  • 5

    Microsystems for transportation and portable applications

    • Advantages– Process intensification

    • High heat and mass transfer coefficients

    • Multifunctionality

    – Compactness– Inherently safe

    • Scale out is feasible for portable (small scale) devices

    10 0

    10 1

    10 2

    10 3

    10 4

    10 -2 10 -1 10 0 10 1

    Reactor diameter [mm]

    .01 atm

    1 atm

    u=1 m/s

    Mas

    s tra

    nsfe

    r coe

    ffici

    ent,

    k

    Reactor diameter [mm]

    101

    102

    103

    104

    10010-1 10110-2

    1 atm

    0.01 atm

    v = 1 m/s

    100

    Smart CarCourtesy: Ballard Power Systems

    Microscales impose challenges and offer opportunities1

    Laminar flows - mixing?Small systems - enough catalyst?Reactors shake - no moveable partsNeed small pressure dropsTransient operation very common

    Fast startup and shutdown require active catalyst and fast heat transferCatalyst deactivation can become a major issue

    Fast chemistryDifferent systems’ engineering2

    ?Monolithic type reactors

    Dynamics

    New chemistry and catalysts

    1 Norton et al., "Downsizing chemical processes for portable hydrogen production", in Microreactor Techn. Process Intensification, ACS Symp. Series 914, 179 (2005)

    2 Mitsos et al., IECR 43, 74 (2004)

    Flowsheets/Optimization

  • 6

    Outline

    Decentralized, future energy productionMiniaturization differs from scaling upMultiscale modelingApplication of multiscale modeling to

    Development of detailed reaction mechanismsMicroreactor designProcess optimizationCatalyst designExperiment design

    The multiscale simulation paradigm: A bottom-up ladder

    CFDMesoscopic Theory/CGMC

    KMC, DSMCLB, DPD, BD

    MD, extended trajectory calc.

    10-2

    LengthScale (m)

    Time Scale (s)

    Quantum Mechanics

    TST

    Lab Scale

    10-10

    10-9

    10-7

    10-6

    10-12 10-9 10-3 103

    Downscaling or Top-down info traffic

    Upscaling or Bottom-up info traffic

    Reviews: Raimondeau and Vlachos, Chem. Eng. J. 90, 3 (2002);Chatterjee et al., Chem. Eng. Sci., ISCRE Issue (2004);Vlachos, Adv. Chem. Eng. . 30, 1 (2005)

    • Previous work focused usually on a single scale and one way of information passingdeveloped structure-properties relations (molecular descriptors) without attention to processing

  • 7

    The Multiscale Simulation Paradigm: Predict macroscopic performance from first principles

    CFDMesoscopic Theory

    KM, DSMC, LB, DPD, BD

    MD, atomistic MC

    10-2

    LengthScale (m)

    Time Scale (s)

    Quantum Mechanics

    TST

    Lab Scale

    10-10

    10-9

    10-7

    10-6

    10-12 10-9 10-3 103

    Downscaling or Top-down info traffic

    Upscaling or Bottom-up info traffic

    • Challenges- Phenomena and models are

    strongly coupled- Develop bridges between

    models of various scales to enable accurate, robust, efficient, seamless coupling*

    Reviews: Raimondeau and Vlachos, Chem. Eng. J. 90, 3 (2002);Chatterjee et al., Chem. Eng. Sci. 59, 5559 (2004);Vlachos, Adv. Chem. Eng. 30, 1 (2005)

    DFT/MD Coupling

    Ludwig and Vlachos, Mol. Simul. (2004)* For noise control in hybrid siml, see work by

    groups of Braatz, Christofides, Vlachos

    The multiscale simulation paradigm: A bottom-up ladder

    CFDMesoscopic Theory/CGMC

    KMC, DSMCLB, DPD,

    MD, extended trajectory calc.

    10-2

    LengthScale (m)

    Time Scale (s)

    Quantum Mechanics

    TST

    Lab Scale

    10-10

    10-9

    10-7

    10-6

    10-12 10-9 10-3 103

    Downscaling or Top-down info traffic

    Upscaling or Bottom-up info traffic

    Reviews: Raimondeau and Vlachos, Chem. Eng. J. 90, 3 (2002);Chatterjee et al., Chem. Eng. Sci., ISCRE Issue (2004);Vlachos, Adv. Chem. Eng. . 30, 1 (2005)

    • Direct multiscale simulation (hybrid, coarse graining) is possible for systems of moderate complexity

    • It is plagued by computational cost for complex systems, such as chemical reactors

    • Are all scales and phenomena important?

  • 8

    Hierarchical, multiscale model development

    Aghalayam et al., AIChE J. 46, 2017 (2000)

    Deshmukh et al., Int. J. Multiscale Comp. Eng. 2, 221-238 (2004)

    Lower Level TheoryMicrokinetic model chemistry parameters

    Semi-empirical techniques (BOC), TSTDensity functional theory, DFT-MD

    Catalyst modelMean field approximationKinetic Monte Carlo

    Fluid flow/TransportSimple reactor models (PFR, CSTR, transp. correlations)Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD)

    Hierarchical, multiscale model development

    Aghalayam et al., AIChE J. 46, 2017 (2000)

    Deshmukh et al., Int. J. Multiscale Comp. Eng. 2, 221-238 (2004)

    Higher Level TheoryMicrokinetic model chemistry parameters

    Semi-empirical techniques (BOC), TSTDensity functional theory, DFT-MD

    Catalyst modelMean field approximationKinetic Monte Carlo

    Fluid flow/TransportSimple reactor models (PFR, CSTR, transp. correlations)Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD)

    Feature identification toolbox enables hierarchical model development and reduction

    Last theoretical level: Engineering models are needed for reactor optimization and control and for model-based catalyst design

  • 9

    Hierarchy enables rapid screening of chemistry, fuels, and catalysts

    • Hierarchy adds a new dimension to multiscaling: at each scale, more than one model can be run

    Semiempirical: UBI-QEP, TST

    ab initio:DFT, TST, DFT-MD

    Continuum/Mean-field: ODEs

    Theor. parameter estimation

    Catalyst & adsorbed phase description

    Discrete: Kinetic Monte Carlo

    Ideal: Fixed bed, CSTR, etc.

    Reactor scaleComputational Fluid Dynamics

    (CFD)

    Hierarchy, accuracy, cost

    Scale

    Length

    Time

    Hierarchy

    Outline

    Decentralized, future energy productionMiniaturization differs from scaling upMultiscale modelingApplication of multiscale modeling to

    Development of detailed reaction mechanismsMicroreactor designProcess optimizationCatalyst designExperiment design

  • 10

    • Good hydrogen carrierHigh energy density Stored as a liquid (at 25 oC, 8 atm)One of the most widely produced chemicals (>100 metric tones/yr)- Haber-Bosch Process- Infrastructure is already set up

    NH3 cracking for H2 production

    3 2 22 NH N +3 H 46 /→ + kJ mol1 Deshmukh et al., Ind. Eng. Chem. Res. (2004)2 Ganley et al., AIChE J. (2004)

    Meth

    anol

    Etha

    nol

    Meth

    ane

    Prop

    ane

    • Catalytic decomposition of pure NH3 on Ru1,2

    – Slightly endothermic– Minimal downstream processing

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    % w

    t

    17.6%

    Amm

    onia

    Octan

    e

    NH3 decomposition on Ru: 2NH3 =N2+3H2

    • NH3 as a storage medium• ‘Pure’ H2 – No COx• A microkinetic model is

    build using BOC and TST• Our microkinetic model

    captures the trend• High N* coverages

    196 µm x 84 µm x 1078 µm

    Mhadeshwar et al., Cat. Letters 96, 13-22 (2004)

    0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1

    650 850 1050 1250T [K]

    N*

    Empty sites (*)

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    Expts. [Ganley et al.]

    PFR model

    Ganley et al., AIChE J.2003

    *NH*NH 33 ⇔+*H*NH**NH 23 +⇔+

    *H*NH**NH 2 +⇔+*H*N**NH +⇔+*2N*2N 2 +⇔*2H*2H 2 +⇔

  • 11

    DFT is used to estimate lateral interactions

    Deshmukh et al., Int. J. Multiscale Comp. Eng. 2, 221-238 (2004)

    • DACAPO (solid-state electronic structure package by Hammer and coworkers*)

    • 3-Layer slab of Ru(0001)

    • 2 × 2 unit cell

    • All layers are relaxed

    • Plane wave cutoff = 350eV

    • 18 k-points for surface Brillouin zone

    • Generalized gradient approximation (PW-91)

    * Hammer et al., DACAPO version 2.7 (CAMP, Technical University, Denmark)

    90

    100

    110

    120

    130

    0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1(N*+H*) coverage [ML]

    DFT Calculations (this work)Linear fit Q

    N (at H*=0)=128.2-33.3N*

    N on Ru(0001) 3 layer slab

    Linear fit QN (at N*=0.25)=120.1-6.2H*

    N-N interactions

    N-H interactions

    Exps: Ganley et al., AIChE J. (2004)

    DFT-retrained microkinetic model describes the experimental data well

    • H-H and N-H interactions are small

    • N-N interactions completely change the chemistry

    • Extensive validation against UHV and high P data has been done

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    650 850 1050 1250

    Expts. [Ganley et al.]

    PFR modelwithout interactions

    T [K]

    PFR modelwith interactions

    0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1

    650 850 1050 1250T [K]

    *

    N* without interactions* without interactions

    H*

    N*

    NH3*

    Deshmukh et al., Int. J. Multiscale Comp. Eng. 2, 221-238 (2004)

  • 12

    The multiscale simulation paradigm: A bottom-up ladder

    CFDMesoscopic Theory/CGMC

    KMC, DSMCLB, DPD,

    MD, extended trajectory calc.

    10-2

    LengthScale (m)

    Time Scale (s)

    Quantum Mechanics

    TST

    Lab Scale

    10-10

    10-9

    10-7

    10-6

    10-12 10-9 10-3 103

    Downscaling or Top-down info traffic

    Upscaling or Bottom-up info traffic

    Reviews: Raimondeau and Vlachos, Chem. Eng. J. 90, 3 (2002);Chatterjee et al., Chem. Eng. Sci., ISCRE Issue (2004);Vlachos, Adv. Chem. Eng. . 30, 1 (2005)

    • Typical objective- Mechanistic understanding- Reconcile large differences

    in published data- Process optimization:

    Process engineering

    Outline

    Decentralized, future energy productionMiniaturization differs from scaling upMultiscale modelingApplication of multiscale modeling to

    Development of detailed reaction mechanismsMicroreactor designProcess optimizationCatalyst designExperiment design

  • 13

    Computer-aided chemistry reduction• Sensitivity and Principal

    Component Analyses – No a priori assumptions– Identification of important

    reactions and species

    • Small parameter asymptotics on species balances and site conservation– Simple algebra to derive a

    rate expression2*N3

    2N4N θPkθk 2*2 −=σ

    2322 NNHNH -2 and 3 σ=σσ=σ0.5

    HNH12104

    1197

    1

    2N

    4

    3H

    2

    1NH

    12

    11

    *

    23223PP

    kk2kkkk

    kk

    Pkk

    Pkk

    Pkk

    1

    1θ−++++

    =ReducedModel

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    650 700 750 800 850 900 950

    % N

    H3 c

    onve

    rsio

    n

    Temperature [K]

    ReducedModel

    FullModel

    FlowDirection

    Mhadeshwar et al., Cat. Letters 96, 13 (2004)

    µReactor is close to axial dispersion modelDeff vs. Geometric characteristics

    • The method of homogenization is used that is based on separation of length scales

    ξ1

    ξ2

    Ωf Ω1-Ωf

    Γ

    X0.50

    0.25

    0.00

    Y

    Post

    PostUnit Cell

    ~ ( , )i ii o

    u u xε ξ∞

    =∑

    , 1

    ( )m

    iji j i j

    u uDt x x=

    ∂ ∂ ∂=

    ∂ ∂ ∂∑ , 10

    m

    i iji j j

    un Dx=∂

    =∂∑

    , 11

    1 ( )[ ]f

    meff k

    ij is skk s s

    D D dχξ δ ξξΩ=

    ∂= ∫ +Ω ∂∑

    ( ), 1 1

    ( ) ( ),m m

    kij jk f

    i j ji j j

    D Dχξ ξ ξξ ξ ξ= =

    ⎛ ⎞∂ ∂ ∂= − ∈Ω⎜ ⎟⎜ ⎟∂ ∂ ∂⎝ ⎠

    ∑ ∑

    , 1 1

    m mk

    i ij j jki j jj

    n D n Dχξ= =∂

    =∂∑ ∑

    1L

    ε =

  • 14

    Design and fab of microchemical systemsvia multiscale modeling

    Contours of Velocity Magnitude

    Norton et al., IECR 43, 4833 (2004)

    catalyst

    posts

    Micromixer/reactor Hydrodynamically driven mixing

    Top ViewCross Sectional View

    Top ViewCross Sectional ViewCatalyst design

    Microrxtr design

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6

    0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

    Pow

    er o

    utle

    t (W

    )

    Inlet fuel velocity (m/s)

    Fuel flow rate (SLPM)

    Max. poweroutput

    Materials limit

    Breakthroughlimit

    Attainable regions in multifunctional microdevices

    • Multifunctional devices provide millisecond operation• Adjustment of flow rates can provide variable power• Scaling out can supply transportation power levels

    NH3 flow rate increases

    3 8 2 2 2C H +5O 3CO +4H O→

    3 2 22 N H N + 3 H→Wall

    50 W

    H2 maker:

    18 kW

    Kaisare et al., IECR (submitted)

  • 15

    Outline

    Decentralized, future energy productionMiniaturization differs from scaling upMultiscale modelingApplication of multiscale modeling to

    Development of detailed reaction mechanismsMicroreactor designProcess optimizationCatalyst designExperiment design

    Water-gas shift reaction on Pt: CO+H2O=CO2+H2

    Thermodynamics1 is important but not sufficient:kinetics ‘corrects’ the WGS speed

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    473 573 673 773 873

    CO

    con

    vers

    ion

    [%]

    Full mech.

    Equil.Experiments(Xue et al.)

    A/V=150 cm-1

    No coupling and literature mechs

    Temperature [K]

    1Mhadeshwar et al., J. Phys. Chem. B (2003)

  • 16

    Reactor Superstructure Optimization

    • Modeled as n PFRs in series• Side feed and side draw from each reactor• Each PFR: same length and different temperature

    • Gradient-based optimizer

    Yk,f, mf

    ms1

    Side Feed (steam)

    Feedl1, T1 l2, T2 ln, Tn

    ms2 msnYk,s

    md1 md2 mdn

    Side Draw Output

    Process optimization: Optimum temperature profile in the WGS reaction

    • Total length:

    • Inlet: 40 sccm feed (dry basis), with 18% CO

    • Steam:

    • Temperature constraints:

    • All cases:– No split feed or side draw– All steam utilized– T constraints were inactive

    2cmii

    l =∑

    , 40sccms ii

    m ≤∑

    373K 873KiT≤ ≤

    450

    500

    550

    600

    650

    700

    750

    2 4 6 8 10

    Tem

    pera

    ture

    , T

    (K)

    # of PFR

    218 ppm

    356 ppm

    COout

    = 1174 ppm

    Vlachos et al., Compt. Chem. Eng. (2006)

  • 17

    Outline

    Decentralized, future energy productionMiniaturization differs from scaling upMultiscale modelingApplication of multiscale modeling to

    Development of detailed reaction mechanismsMicroreactor designProcess optimizationCatalyst designExperiment design

    The multiscale simulation paradigm: A bottom-up ladder

    CFDMesoscopic Theory/CGMC

    KMC, DSMCLB, DPD,

    MD, extended trajectory calc.

    10-2

    LengthScale (m)

    Time Scale (s)

    Quantum Mechanics

    TST

    Lab Scale

    10-10

    10-9

    10-7

    10-6

    10-12 10-9 10-3 103

    Downscaling or Top-down info traffic

    Upscaling or Bottom-up info traffic

    Reviews: Raimondeau and Vlachos, Chem. Eng. J. 90, 3 (2002);Chatterjee et al., Chem. Eng. Sci., ISCRE Issue (2004);Vlachos, Adv. Chem. Eng. . 30, 1 (2005)

    • Typical objective- Mechanistic understanding- Reconcile large differences

    in published data- Process optimization:

    Process engineering

    The multiscale simulation paradigm: A bottom up and top-down ladder

    • Opportunity- Given a macroscopic

    behavior, design materials and/or control nanoscale

    - Product engineering

  • 18

    An example of catalyst optimization: NH3 decomposition

    • Search is done on atomic descriptors while running the full chemistry model

    • Libraries of computational information are created via DFT

    • Models are built• Potential catalyst

    candidates are identifiedHydrogen binding energy

    Nitr

    ogen

    bin

    ding

    ene

    rgy

    Ammonia conversion (%) at 380 oC

    Ulissi et al.

    Outline

    Decentralized, future energy productionMiniaturization differs from scaling upMultiscale modelingApplication of multiscale modeling to

    Development of detailed reaction mechanismsMicroreactor designProcess optimizationCatalyst designExperiment design

  • 19

    Maximizing information content of a model

    • Parameters are uncertain• Often refined using statistically based experiments• We need to bridge first-principles modeling with systems

    approaches in designing experiments

    SA

    NoYes

    Guidelinesfor reactor design

    Sort

    Initial model

    Refine hierarchically

    the model

    Identify exptal

    conditions

    ExptInformatics database (model based)

    Model globally valid?

    Models database

    No Mod

    el

    Global search

    Vlachos et al., Comp. Chem. Eng. 30, 1712 (2006)

    Model-based design of experiments: Ensuring global accuracy of models

    • Global Monte Carlo search in exptl parameter space (τ, P, T, compos., A/V)

    • Local sensitivity analysis– Only a few model parameters are important

    and can be extracted, but change in manipulated parameter space

    • Sort by max NSC, RDS, MARI,…

    (c)

    (a)

    (b)

    -8 -4 0 4 8

    Rea

    ctio

    n

    NH2*+* NH*+H*

    N2+2* 2N*

    NSC

    NH3*+* NH

    2*+H*

    H2+2* 2H*

    2H* H2+2*

    2N* N2+2*

    NH*+* N*+H*N*+H* NH*+*

    NH*+H* NH2*+*

    NH2*+H* NH

    3*+*

    NH3* NH

    3+*

    NH3+* NH

    3*

    -15 -10 -5 0 10 15

    Rea

    ctio

    n

    NH2*+* NH*+H*

    N2+2* 2N*

    NSC

    NH3*+* NH 2*+H*

    H2+2* 2H*2H* H 2+2*

    2N* N 2+2*NH*+* N*+H*

    N*+H* NH*+*

    NH*+H* NH 2*+*

    NH2*+H* NH 3*+*

    NH3* NH 3+*NH3+* NH 3*

    -0.5

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    0 20 40 60 80 100Ammonia conversion [%]

    NH3*+*=NH2

    *+H*

    |NSC

    |

    731 0.3 2.0 1541 0.02 0.50 0.48

    Vlachos et al., Comp. Chem. Eng., 30, 1712 (2006)

  • 20

    Normalized parameter sensitivity vs. conversion (CSTR)

    NH2*+*=NH*+H* is the most sensitive reaction

    H2

    NH3

    N2

    RDS R2RDS R3 RDS R4

    D Optimal

    E Optimal

    A OptimalRDS R1

    RDS R5 RDS R6

    500600

    700800

    900

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    50

    5000

    10000

    15000

    Sur

    face

    are

    a / v

    olum

    e (1

    /cm

    )

    Residence time (s) T (K)

    RDS R5RDS R3

    RDS R4E Optimal

    A Optimal

    RDS R1RDS R6D Optimal

    RDS R2

    Optimal statistical and physics-aided designsCompared D, A, E and physics-aided designs

    Inlet composition space – no clear pattern

    Optimum at relatively low temperature, intermediate cat. surface area/reactor volume

    Prasad and Vlachos, Ind. Eng. Chem. Res. (submitted)

  • 21

    D optimal metric

    Kinetic relevance –D Optimality and partial equilibrium (PE)

    High values of the det. of the Fisher info matrix correlate with fewer reactions in PE and farther from equil.

    Non PE

    PE|PEI|: NH2 *+*=NH*+H* |PE

    I|: N2+2

    *=2N*

    Prasad and Vlachos, Ind. Eng. Chem. Res. (submitted)

    Partial equil. index:PEI=rf/(rf+rb)

    0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1

    3 4 5 6

    Highest det(FIM)Mid-value det(FIM)Lowest det(FIM)

    Prob

    abili

    ty

    No. of reactions in partial equilibrium

    Approach to overall equilibrium

    Kinetic relevance –D Optimality and sensitivity coefficients

    D optimal metric

    High values of the Fisher information matrix correlate with larger normalized sensitivity coefficients of the sensitive reactions

    Opt.

    Equil.

    |NSC|: NH2 *+*=NH*+H* |NS

    C|: N 2+

    2*=2N

    *

    Prasad and Vlachos, Ind. Eng. Chem. Res. (submitted)

  • 22

    Is a Single Optimal Point Good Enough?The D optimal response surface is highly nonlinear

    You must be very close to the optimal point to ensure optimality

    Experimental constraints may make this unachievable

    Representative cross-section of D optimal response surface

    D optimal metric vs. distance from optimal point

    Prasad and Vlachos, Ind. Eng. Chem. Res. (submitted)

    0

    0.05

    0.1

    0.15

    0.2

    0.25

    0.3

    -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5

    1%10%20%

    Dis

    tribu

    tion

    log(det(FIM))

    Identifying regions (clusters) of D-optimal data using informatics tools

    Clusters are identified using ‘partitioning among medoids’

    Prasad and Vlachos, Ind. Eng. Chem. Res. (submitted)

  • 23

    Assessment of Informatics Approach

    Sample anywhere within clusters (experimental flexibility)

    Substantial improvement over single optimal points

    Distribution of D optimal metric within optimal region and in entire parameter space

    Prasad and Vlachos

    0

    0.05

    0.1

    0.15

    0.2

    0.25

    -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5

    Full ensembleWithin first D optimal region

    Dis

    tribu

    tion

    log(det(FIM))

    Proof of concept via experiments

    • 44 new experiments conducted in optimal region

    • Varied– Temperature– Catalyst amount– Inlet composition

    • Good agreement of model prediction and data

    Karim, Prasad, and Vlachos (in preparation)

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    Con

    vers

    ion

    % (e

    xper

    imen

    t)

    Conversion, % (model)

  • 24

    Summary and future directionsFuture energy generation will happen at much smaller scalesDownscaling is different even at the