mrchap12,13and14
TRANSCRIPT
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MARKETING RESEARCH
Chapter 12
Determining the Sample Plan
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Samples
To obtain information from
every individual within a marketis either impossible or
impractical or too costly;
therefore use a sample
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Sampling The population is the entire group
under study as specified by the
objectives of the research project
A census is the complete population
A sample is a subset of the population
that should represent the entire group
A sample unit is the basic level of
investigation
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Sampling Error
The difference between the sample
result and the result of a census Occurs whenever a sample of the
population is used
Caused by two factors:1. Method of sample selection
2. Size of sample
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Method of Sample Selection
Probability samples - members of
the population have a known chanceof being selected
Nonprobability samples - the chance
of members from the populationbeing selected is unknown
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Probability Sampling Methods
Four types:
1. Simple random sampling2. Systematic sampling
3. Cluster sampling4. Stratified sampling
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Simple Random Sampling
The probability of being selected
into the sample is equal for allmembers of the population
For example:
Blind Draw method
Table of random numbers
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Simple Random SamplingAdvantages:
As every member of the population has a
known and equal chance of being selected intothe sample, the sample will be a valid
representation of the population.
Disadvantages:
Requires a complete listing of the population
Unique designations must be provided for each
population member which is tedious
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Simple Random Sampling
Main uses:
Small and stable populationsRandom digit dialling
Computerised lists
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Systematic Sampling A skip interval is calculated and
names are selected based on this
Advantages: More efficient (faster and less expensive) than
simple random sampling
Disadvantages: Requires a complete listing of the population
Less representative than simple random
sampling
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Cluster Sampling The population is divided into groups
For example:
Area sampling1. One-step approach - Select just one area
randomly, perform a census of its members,
and then generalise results to the entirepopulation
2. Two-step approach - Randomly select a sample
of all areas, than apply a probability method to
sample individuals within the chosen areas
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Stratified Sampling Used when one expects different responses across
subgroups within a population
Identify the subgroups or strata contained within
the population and apply a probability method to
sample individuals within the subgroups
By allocating sample size based on variability in
the subgroups, a more efficient sample design isachieved
The diversity of the various subgroups are
preserved
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Non-probability Sampling Methods
Every member of the population does not
have a chance of being included in thesample
Four types:
1. Convenience sampling2. Judgement sampling
3. Referral sampling
4. Quota sampling
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Convenience Sampling The sampling procedure of obtaining the people or
units that are most conveniently available.
Also known as haphazard or accidental sampling
A high-traffic location is used to gather
potential respondents
Disadvantages:
Certain members of the population areautomatically eliminated from the sampling
process
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Judgement Sampling Members of the population are selected
according to the researchers judgement
about some appropriate characteristic
required of the sample member
Also known as purposive sampling
Subjectivity results in certain members of
the population having a smaller chance of
selection than others
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Referral (or Snowball) Sampling Respondents are asked to provide the
names of additional individuals who
might qualify for the sampleDisadvantage:
Members of the population who are
less known, disliked, or whose opinionsconflict with the respondent have a low
probability of being selected
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Quota Sampling A specific quota is given for the
inclusion of various types of
individuals with demographic orproduct usage characterisitcs in the
sample
Ensures that the various subgroups ina population are represented on
pertinent sample characteristics
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Developing a Sample Plan
Seven steps that the researcher
goes through in order to drawand arrive at the final sample
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Step 1: Define the Relevant
Population
The researcher needs to specify
the sample unit in the form of aprecise description of the type of
person to be surveyed
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Step 2: Obtain a Listing of the
Population
Obtain a suitable list to serve as a sampling
frame
Lists may be directories or databases
available in-house, to the public or for a
price by an external provider
Most lists suffer from sample frame error
Aim for lists with high incidence rates
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Step 3: Design the Sample Plan
(Size & Method)
Varies according to the
objectives of the survey and itsconstraints
Trade-off between the desire for
statistical precision and the needfor efficiency and economy
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Step 4: Access the Population
Establish guidelines as to how
much effort will be applied tocontact potential respondents
For example: Number of
telephone rings, the number ofcall-back attempts
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Step 5: Draw the SampleTwo phase process:1. Select sample unit
2. Gain information from that unit
Because some respondents refuse or dont have
the time to answer questions, it is necessary to
have a substitution provision in a sample plan
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Substitution Methods1. Drop-down substitution
Drop down to the next name on the list, and so on,
until successful. Then resume skip interval, using
the original name as your beginning point
2. Oversampling
Eg. Require a minimum of 100 respondents, feel
10% response rate, survey 1000 potentialrespondents
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Substitution Methods3. Resampling
Response rate may turn out to be much
lower than anticipated, and moreprospective respondents must be drawn
from the sample frame
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Step 6: Validate the Sample Ensure the sample is representative of
the population of interest
Compare the samples demographicprofile with the populations known
profile
Assures the decisions you may base onthe samples results will be relevant to
the population
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Step 7: Resample, if necessary
If the sample does not adequately
represent the population,resample
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MARKETING RESEARCH
Chapter 13
Determining the Size of a Sample
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Sample Size
Sample size does not affect sample
representativeness
Sample representativeness is dependent on
the sample plan (the way the sample is
selected)
Sample size affects the accuracy of results
(i.e., how accurate the samples findings
are relative to the true values in the
population)
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Methods of Determining Sample Size
1. Arbitrary Approach rule of thumb
Easy to remember and to apply
Not economical when the population under studyis large
2. Conventional Approach
Can result in a sample that may be too small ortoo large
Ignores the special circumstances of the survey at
hand
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Methods of Determining Sample Size
3. Cost Basis Approach (applicable to
nonprobability sampling)
4. Statistical Analysis Approach
5. Confidence Interval Approach
(applicable to probability samplingonly)
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MARKETING RESEARCH
Chapter 14
Data Collection in the Field,Nonresponse Error, and
Questionnaire Screening
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Nonsampling Errors
All errors in a survey except
those due to the sample plan andthe sample size
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Types of Nonsampling Errors
in Field Data Collection
Two sources:
1. Fieldworker errors
2. Respondent errors
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Fieldworker Errors
1. Intentional
Cheating (often related to compensation
system used)
Leading the respondent (through wording,
voice inflection or body language)
2. Unintentional
Interviewer characteristics (accent, gender,appearance)
Misunderstandings
Fatigue
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Respondent Errors
1. Intentional
Falsehoods
Nonresponse
2. Unintentional
Misunderstandings
Guessing
Attention loss
Distractions
Fatigue
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Control of Intentional
Fieldwork Error
1. Supervision
2. Validation
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Control of Unintentional
Fieldwork Error
1. Selection and training of
fieldworkers2. Orientation and role playing
sessions
3. Frequent breaks and/or
alternate surveys
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Control of Intentional
Respondent Error (Falsehoods)
1. Assuring anonymity and
confidentiality
2. Offering of incentives
3. Validation checks4. Third-person technique
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Control of Intentional
Respondent Error(Nonresponse)
1. Assuring anonymity andconfidentiality
2. Offering of incentives
3. Third-person technique
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Control of Unintentional
Respondent Error1. Well-drafted questionnaire
instructions and examples
2. Direct questions
3. Provide no opinion, do not
recall or unsure response options3. Reversal of scale endpoints
4. Use of prompters
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Nonresponse Error Occurs whenever a questionnaire is notcompleted by the respondent
Three types:1. Refusal to participate in the survey
2. Break-off during the interview
3. Item omission, refusal to answer a specific
question
Non-response error is calculated as 100
minus the response rate
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Response Rate
Defined as:
Response rate =Number of completed interviews
Number of eligible units in sample
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Reducing Nonresponse Error
1. Advance notification
2. Tangible incentives3. Follow-ups
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Adjusting Results Due to
Nonresponse Error
Weighted averagesOversampling
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Preliminary Questionnaire Screening
Unsystematic and systematic checks
of completed questionnaires
Types of response problems: Incomplete questionnaire
Nonresponse to specific questions
Yes or no response patterns Middle-of-the-road patterns
Unreliable responses