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    MARKETING RESEARCH

    Chapter 12

    Determining the Sample Plan

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    Samples

    To obtain information from

    every individual within a marketis either impossible or

    impractical or too costly;

    therefore use a sample

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    Sampling The population is the entire group

    under study as specified by the

    objectives of the research project

    A census is the complete population

    A sample is a subset of the population

    that should represent the entire group

    A sample unit is the basic level of

    investigation

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    Sampling Error

    The difference between the sample

    result and the result of a census Occurs whenever a sample of the

    population is used

    Caused by two factors:1. Method of sample selection

    2. Size of sample

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    Method of Sample Selection

    Probability samples - members of

    the population have a known chanceof being selected

    Nonprobability samples - the chance

    of members from the populationbeing selected is unknown

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    Probability Sampling Methods

    Four types:

    1. Simple random sampling2. Systematic sampling

    3. Cluster sampling4. Stratified sampling

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    Simple Random Sampling

    The probability of being selected

    into the sample is equal for allmembers of the population

    For example:

    Blind Draw method

    Table of random numbers

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    Simple Random SamplingAdvantages:

    As every member of the population has a

    known and equal chance of being selected intothe sample, the sample will be a valid

    representation of the population.

    Disadvantages:

    Requires a complete listing of the population

    Unique designations must be provided for each

    population member which is tedious

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    Simple Random Sampling

    Main uses:

    Small and stable populationsRandom digit dialling

    Computerised lists

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    Systematic Sampling A skip interval is calculated and

    names are selected based on this

    Advantages: More efficient (faster and less expensive) than

    simple random sampling

    Disadvantages: Requires a complete listing of the population

    Less representative than simple random

    sampling

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    Cluster Sampling The population is divided into groups

    For example:

    Area sampling1. One-step approach - Select just one area

    randomly, perform a census of its members,

    and then generalise results to the entirepopulation

    2. Two-step approach - Randomly select a sample

    of all areas, than apply a probability method to

    sample individuals within the chosen areas

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    Stratified Sampling Used when one expects different responses across

    subgroups within a population

    Identify the subgroups or strata contained within

    the population and apply a probability method to

    sample individuals within the subgroups

    By allocating sample size based on variability in

    the subgroups, a more efficient sample design isachieved

    The diversity of the various subgroups are

    preserved

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    Non-probability Sampling Methods

    Every member of the population does not

    have a chance of being included in thesample

    Four types:

    1. Convenience sampling2. Judgement sampling

    3. Referral sampling

    4. Quota sampling

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    Convenience Sampling The sampling procedure of obtaining the people or

    units that are most conveniently available.

    Also known as haphazard or accidental sampling

    A high-traffic location is used to gather

    potential respondents

    Disadvantages:

    Certain members of the population areautomatically eliminated from the sampling

    process

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    Judgement Sampling Members of the population are selected

    according to the researchers judgement

    about some appropriate characteristic

    required of the sample member

    Also known as purposive sampling

    Subjectivity results in certain members of

    the population having a smaller chance of

    selection than others

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    Referral (or Snowball) Sampling Respondents are asked to provide the

    names of additional individuals who

    might qualify for the sampleDisadvantage:

    Members of the population who are

    less known, disliked, or whose opinionsconflict with the respondent have a low

    probability of being selected

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    Quota Sampling A specific quota is given for the

    inclusion of various types of

    individuals with demographic orproduct usage characterisitcs in the

    sample

    Ensures that the various subgroups ina population are represented on

    pertinent sample characteristics

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    Developing a Sample Plan

    Seven steps that the researcher

    goes through in order to drawand arrive at the final sample

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    Step 1: Define the Relevant

    Population

    The researcher needs to specify

    the sample unit in the form of aprecise description of the type of

    person to be surveyed

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    Step 2: Obtain a Listing of the

    Population

    Obtain a suitable list to serve as a sampling

    frame

    Lists may be directories or databases

    available in-house, to the public or for a

    price by an external provider

    Most lists suffer from sample frame error

    Aim for lists with high incidence rates

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    Step 3: Design the Sample Plan

    (Size & Method)

    Varies according to the

    objectives of the survey and itsconstraints

    Trade-off between the desire for

    statistical precision and the needfor efficiency and economy

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    Step 4: Access the Population

    Establish guidelines as to how

    much effort will be applied tocontact potential respondents

    For example: Number of

    telephone rings, the number ofcall-back attempts

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    Step 5: Draw the SampleTwo phase process:1. Select sample unit

    2. Gain information from that unit

    Because some respondents refuse or dont have

    the time to answer questions, it is necessary to

    have a substitution provision in a sample plan

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    Substitution Methods1. Drop-down substitution

    Drop down to the next name on the list, and so on,

    until successful. Then resume skip interval, using

    the original name as your beginning point

    2. Oversampling

    Eg. Require a minimum of 100 respondents, feel

    10% response rate, survey 1000 potentialrespondents

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    Substitution Methods3. Resampling

    Response rate may turn out to be much

    lower than anticipated, and moreprospective respondents must be drawn

    from the sample frame

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    Step 6: Validate the Sample Ensure the sample is representative of

    the population of interest

    Compare the samples demographicprofile with the populations known

    profile

    Assures the decisions you may base onthe samples results will be relevant to

    the population

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    Step 7: Resample, if necessary

    If the sample does not adequately

    represent the population,resample

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    MARKETING RESEARCH

    Chapter 13

    Determining the Size of a Sample

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    Sample Size

    Sample size does not affect sample

    representativeness

    Sample representativeness is dependent on

    the sample plan (the way the sample is

    selected)

    Sample size affects the accuracy of results

    (i.e., how accurate the samples findings

    are relative to the true values in the

    population)

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    Methods of Determining Sample Size

    1. Arbitrary Approach rule of thumb

    Easy to remember and to apply

    Not economical when the population under studyis large

    2. Conventional Approach

    Can result in a sample that may be too small ortoo large

    Ignores the special circumstances of the survey at

    hand

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    Methods of Determining Sample Size

    3. Cost Basis Approach (applicable to

    nonprobability sampling)

    4. Statistical Analysis Approach

    5. Confidence Interval Approach

    (applicable to probability samplingonly)

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    MARKETING RESEARCH

    Chapter 14

    Data Collection in the Field,Nonresponse Error, and

    Questionnaire Screening

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    Nonsampling Errors

    All errors in a survey except

    those due to the sample plan andthe sample size

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    Types of Nonsampling Errors

    in Field Data Collection

    Two sources:

    1. Fieldworker errors

    2. Respondent errors

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    Fieldworker Errors

    1. Intentional

    Cheating (often related to compensation

    system used)

    Leading the respondent (through wording,

    voice inflection or body language)

    2. Unintentional

    Interviewer characteristics (accent, gender,appearance)

    Misunderstandings

    Fatigue

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    Respondent Errors

    1. Intentional

    Falsehoods

    Nonresponse

    2. Unintentional

    Misunderstandings

    Guessing

    Attention loss

    Distractions

    Fatigue

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    Control of Intentional

    Fieldwork Error

    1. Supervision

    2. Validation

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    Control of Unintentional

    Fieldwork Error

    1. Selection and training of

    fieldworkers2. Orientation and role playing

    sessions

    3. Frequent breaks and/or

    alternate surveys

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    Control of Intentional

    Respondent Error (Falsehoods)

    1. Assuring anonymity and

    confidentiality

    2. Offering of incentives

    3. Validation checks4. Third-person technique

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    Control of Intentional

    Respondent Error(Nonresponse)

    1. Assuring anonymity andconfidentiality

    2. Offering of incentives

    3. Third-person technique

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    Control of Unintentional

    Respondent Error1. Well-drafted questionnaire

    instructions and examples

    2. Direct questions

    3. Provide no opinion, do not

    recall or unsure response options3. Reversal of scale endpoints

    4. Use of prompters

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    Nonresponse Error Occurs whenever a questionnaire is notcompleted by the respondent

    Three types:1. Refusal to participate in the survey

    2. Break-off during the interview

    3. Item omission, refusal to answer a specific

    question

    Non-response error is calculated as 100

    minus the response rate

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    Response Rate

    Defined as:

    Response rate =Number of completed interviews

    Number of eligible units in sample

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    Reducing Nonresponse Error

    1. Advance notification

    2. Tangible incentives3. Follow-ups

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    Adjusting Results Due to

    Nonresponse Error

    Weighted averagesOversampling

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    Preliminary Questionnaire Screening

    Unsystematic and systematic checks

    of completed questionnaires

    Types of response problems: Incomplete questionnaire

    Nonresponse to specific questions

    Yes or no response patterns Middle-of-the-road patterns

    Unreliable responses