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    The “Most Significant Change”Technique 

    Nur Hidayati & Maaike Esselink

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    “Most Significant Change” 

    2

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    What will we learn?

    • Introductions

    • Expectations, ground rules

    •MSC and M&E

    • MSC steps and practical exercises

    • Significant change stories analysis

    • How to use MSC in M&E system

    • Training Evaluation

    3

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    Assignment 1 - Monitoring and Evaluation – 

    what is it and how do we do it?

     Individual

    1.1. What is Monitoring?

    1.2. What is Evaluation?1.3. What do you monitor and evaluate in a programme you

    are working on?

    1.4. Do you experience any challenges in monitoring and/or

    evaluating your program using your indicators so far?

    Write your answers down and discuss in the class in the plenary

    4

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    Qualitative vs quantitative monitoring

    Quantitative

    • Focus on measurement

    • Closed questions• About ‘proving’ 

    (accountability)

    • Easy to aggregate

    • Deductive• Static

    • Goal displacement can be aproblem

    Qualitative

    • Focus on questioning

    • Open questions• About learning

    • Hard to aggregate

    • Inductive

    • Dynamic

    • Goal displacement is not anissue

    5

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    Most Significant Change Technique

    • Form of qualitative, participatory M&E

    • Based on ‘stories’ of significant change 

    •‘Monitoring without indicators’ 

    • Developed by Davies 1996 - Bangladesh

    • Now used in numerous development programs and in thepublic sector

    • NOT  a stand-alone approach to M&E

    6

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    Why use MSC?

    • Monitor and evaluate complex project

    • Identify changes

    • Improve staff’s skills in observation and analysis 

    • Identify strategic direction

    • Understand project better and improve ownership

    • Provide learning process

    •Improve accountability

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    Purpose of MSC in M&E

    • Facilitate improvement by focusing direction of work (what toachieve and how)

    • Contributes to summative evaluation: – Information about unexpected outcomes

     – Performance information on very best success stories

     – Can inform criteria used to judge projects

    8

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    Impact MSC

    • Staff gained more fully shared vision

    • Process boosted their morale – ownerships of project

    •Beneficiaries, staff, collaborators sitting together andinterpreting qualitative data & casting evaluative

     judgements

    • Project committees became better at conceptualising

    impact

    9

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    Why stories?

    • People tell stories naturally

    • Stories can deal with complexity and context

    • People remember stories• Stories can carry hard messages /un-discussabled

    • But  stories not known for accuracy/truth

    10

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    What is Significant?

    • Relative

    • Important to story tellers

    • A central part of MSC to surface individual values

    •NOT necessarily about HUGE or BIGGEST changes

    • Can be positive or negative

    • Difficult to get

    How to get? (probing, local language, list of changes)

    11

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    Steps of MSC

    1. How to start and raise interest?

    2. Establishing ‘domains of change’ 

    3. Defining the reporting period

    4. Collecting and writing stories of change

    5. Selecting stories of change

    6. Feeding back the results of the selection process

    7. Verification of stories

    8. Quantification

    9. Secondary analysis and meta-monitoring

    10. Revising the system

    12

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    Basics of what MSC involves

    1. Determine sorts of change to monitor (domain of

    changes)

    2. Collect of significant change stories

    3. Systematic selection of the most significant changes by

    beneficiaries, stakeholders and/or staff

    4. ‘Search’ for project impact (regular and in-depth

    discussion) – part of content analysis

    5. Communication results of selection process (feedback)

    6. Monitor and review the process

    13

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    Establish Domains of Change

    • ‘Newspaper’ look 

    • Categories of SC stories:

    a. Changes in quality of liveb. Changes in participation in development activities

    c. Changes in sustainability of organizations

    d. Any other changes

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    Hand-out 1: SSQ project

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    16

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    Planning the use of domains

    1. Will they be used at all?

     – or just a general “most significant change” 

    2. Who will select the domains to be used?

    3. What will the domains be?

     – Must use simple and clear words, that fit within theMSC question

    4. Will you ask for negative changes?

     – or “changes”  – regardless whether positive or  negative?5. Must the MS changes be caused  by the developmentinitiative?

     – or significant changes regardless of cause?

    17

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    Assignment 2 – 

    Developing Domains of Change

     In groups of 5

    Work with the case of the SSQ program

    2.1. List as many as possible domains of change

    2.2. Choose domain(s) of change to be used in the story

    collection process

    2.3. Why do you select these domains of change?2.4. If you will implement MSC, whom will you involve in

    selecting domains of change?

    Write your answers down and discuss in the plenary18

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    Collecting SC stories

    1. Whose stories will be collected?

    2. Who will collect these stories?

     –The same people who are in the MSC stories?

     – Or others outside the story? Who and why?

    3. How will they be recorded?

     – Note book, audio tape, video, or…? 

     – How much time will this take?

     – And how and where will they be stored? Why?

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    Stories Collection: the who and how?

    Who are the story tellers?- Program participants/beneficiaries- Project staff- Project partners

    - Stakeholders

    How to collect stories?

    - Individual interview- Focus group discussion (FGD)- Staff project writes stories they know about (activity journal)- Individual writes their own story (beneficiaries journal)

    - Video (recorded story) 20

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    The core of MSC

    • A question: – “In your opinion what was the most significant change that

    took place in ….over the last … months?” 

    • [describe the change and explain why you think it issignificant]

    • Re-iteration of the same kind of question – “Which of these SC stories do you think is the most

    significant of all?” • [describe the change and explain why you think it is

    significant]

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    Whose stories to collect?

    • Depends on the Domains of Change• Stories from those directly involved can be the most

    powerful, but they can be more difficult to collect

    • May be best to start with fieldworkers who are in contactwith them• Also depends on whose perspective you want to make more

    visible and open to discussion: staff or clients?

    22

    Funder meeting

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    Funder meeting

    State meetings 

    Region 1 Region 2 Region 3 Region 4

    Story tellers

    feedbackflow of

    stories

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    The voice of the story-teller 

    • Important to get the story……. 

    • You may need to re-phrase the question

    (“examples of....” “a time when…..”) who?

    where?

    when?

    what happened?

    why significant?

    24

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    What to document in a story? (1)

    • Information on who is the story teller, who collect the storyand when Description of the story – changes that happened

    • Significance (to the story teller) of the events described in thestory

    • The process how  changes happened

    • Use a story collection form

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    What to document in a story? (2)

    1. Beginning: Things were bad2. Middle: Then the project came

    3. Ending: Then things got better

    To understand the significance of the change from ‘bad’ to ‘better’, the 

    two situations need to be described.

    For instance, if somebody tells you that they used to have to walk to

    school, but now it’s much easier because they can take a bus, what 

    does it actually mean?

    •How long did they have to walk?•What were the implications of this for their life?

    •How is the situation different now that they take the bus?•What difference has this made beyond the time saved?•What are they able to do with the extra time?•This extra detail helps the reader to understand the ‘significance’ of the change 

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    What to document in a story? (3)

    Beginning Middle EndWhat was the situation

    before the change

    happened?

    (background/

    context e.g. before

    they participated in xxx

    project or received

    Support)

    What happened?

    (the nature and type of

    support provided)

    The situation after .

    What difference did it

    make? 

    PLUS:

    WHY WAS

    THISSIGNIFICANT?

    (captures the

    perspective of

    the storyteller

    and why theyvalue the

    change)

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    The story contains three central parts and ends by explaining

    why the story teller believes it to be significant

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    Probing for a story

    • Initial question is basis:

    “Looking back over the 3 months, what do you think was the most

    significant change in the attitudes of health staff to young people?” 

    • In reality: ask additional probing questions to ‘capture’ thefull story

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    Ethics

    • Explain how the stories will be used, at the time of collection• Consider the time cost to unpaid participants• Consider the interests of 3rd parties mentioned in stories

    • Take special care if stories are to go in media• Allow anonymity but maintain verifiability!• Use consent tick boxes on MSC forms, verbal consent with

    witnesses

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    Example of Story of Change

    Hand-out 2

    30

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    Who writes SC stories

    •   ‘Beneficiaries’ write their own stories directly

    • Hired people to interview beneficiaries

    • Fieldworkers write down unsolicited stories they have

    heard from beneficiaries

     – Or they set up interviews/focus groups to elicit stories

    • Through group discussion

     – Of beneficiaries - self-organised or facilitated

     – Of field workers

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    How to write MSC stories (1)

    • At least:

    • Who documented the story (name, position location,

    date)

    • Description of what happened (who, what, where,

    when)

    • story form, describing the sequence of events

    • Explanation of why is it significant

    • bring out the meaning of the story

    • Use quotes to give the voice of the story teller

    • Give a title to the story32

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    How to write MSC stories (2)

    • Optional:

     – Headline

     –Recommendations (from storyteller)

     – Length: Long enough to be verifiable, short enough for a

    group to read many stories

    • Beware:

     – Over-specifying what is needed.• Fragmenting the story, losing the plot!

    33

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    Assignment 3 - Making a story collection

    guideline Work in pair

    3.1. Develop MSC core questions for the story collectionguideline using the domains of change as agreed upon in the

    plenary session

    3.2. Prepare a story collection guideline based on the

    questions made in 3.1.

    Please use the backside of this paper or a separate paper

    Discuss the guidelines in class to come up with a final story

    collection guideline 34

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    Assignment 4 - Significant Change story

    collection and story writing Trio with 2 or 3 training participants and 1 resource person from the

    SSQ project. Roles:

      1 training participant: interviewer

      1 training participant: note taker

      1 training participant: observer

      Resource person from SSQ: interviewee

    4.1. Conduct an interview with one resource person as assigned, using thestory collection form just developed

    4.2. Write a story of change using a laptop in couples after the interview

    4.3. Verify the content of the story with the resource person from SSQ

    after the story has been written

    Reflect on the interviewing process in the plenary35

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    Reflection on interview process

    What was challenging What was rewarding

    Interviewer

    Interviewee/story teller

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    Reflection on story writing process

    What was

    challenging

    What was rewarding

    Preparation

    During the writing Process

    Finalizing the story

    37

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    Assignment 5 -

    Tips and Tricks for collecting and writingstories

     Groups of 2/3 (same group during story collection)

    5.1. Reflect on the process of collecting a story  from the SSQ

    resource person using the MSC story collection guideline?

    5.2. Reflect on the process of writing the story of the SSQ

    resource person using the MSC story collection guideline?

    Write your answers separately on coloured paper and report

    back in the plenary  

    38

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    Story Selection

    • Why selection

    • Selection process

    •Reason for choice

    • Selection committee roles and structure

    • Mini workshop

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    Why selection?

    • The heart of MSC

    • Encourage discussion

    •Part of analysis

    • Reduces volume of stories in systematic way

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    How to do story selection?

    • Focus group discussion (facilitated discussion)• Questions: which one is the most significant change and why?

    • Transparent – always document reasons and process in eachlevel of selection

    • Various way to arrive to a final decision:

    (a)Negotiation

    (b)Score/ranking

    (c)Using criteria of selection

    (d)Voting

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    Stories Selection process

    1. Use a diagram to show flow of stories and feedback

     – Who will be involved?

     – Who will send selected stories to who?

     –How many levels of story selection?

     – How many stories go to and from each level?

     – Who participates in each level?

     – And explain these choices

    2. How many person-days will the process take?

     – Each selection round, on average?

     – From start to finish - reporting, selection, feedback cycle?

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    SC Stories Selection Process 

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    Using a layers of elected representatives, or

    layers of existing authorities?

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    Or parallel processes of selection?

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    Selection committee roles

    Two roles:

    1. Reporting

    2. Monitoring/reflection

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    Selection committee and structure

    Issues:

    • Composition of selection committee (representativeness,gender, etc)

    • Consider practicalities of involving partners/beneficiaries

    • Staff have difficulties to be neutral from stories they collected

    • Structure and timing of the collection/selection

    Discussion:How to deal the above issues?

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    Group Exercise: Mini Workshop

     Class into 3 groups

    Setting: Story Selection Committee of program staff

    Divide roles for: one facilitator to lead the selection process, one note taker,

    one time keeper and discussion participants

    • Read all stories: make sure all participants know the content of thestories

    • Clarify unclear information in the stories together

    • Select the story reflecting the Most Significant Change by discussion

    using the story selection form provided

    • NOTE: Make sure notes of the process of selection are made

    Reflect on the selection process and outcome in the plenary  

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    Providing Feedback

    • Why important

    • Who provide feedback to and what sort of feedback

    •How to provide feedback

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    Why Feedback?

    • Often overlooked but essential  

    • To ensure findings from MSC is shared as part of M&E

    •Facilitates learning and for improvement

    • Improving accountability

    • Opportunity to give acknowledgement

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    What sort of feedback?

    • Results of selection

    • Comments on stories

    •Recommendations for action

    • How we have used the stories

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    To whom feedback is provided?

    • Community (beneficiaries/target groups)

    • Story tellers

    •Story collectors and selection committee

    • Partners

    • Stakeholders

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    How to provide feedback?

    • Verbal or written

    • Various ways:

    a. via meetings

    b. Emailc. Newsletters/printed materials

    d. Reports

    e. Exhibitions (photos, movies/film, etc)

    f. Arts (drama, mimes, etc)

     Just be creative!

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    Stories Verification

    • Which stories will be verified? Any?• By who?• And why?

     – Check and correct facts?

     – Check participants’ interpretations of the event?

     – Develop into a detailed case study for organisationallearning?

    Recommended only for selected stories

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    Assignment 6 - Using the results of MSC

     Groups per table

    Discuss on the following questions:

    6.1. How will the MSC stories be used in yourorganization/program:

    Internally?

    By beneficiaries/partners?

    By donors?

    By others?

    6.2. Which of these uses is most important for yourorganisation/program? Why?

    Report on your discussion and answers in the plenary

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    Analysing SC Stories

    • How and where will records be kept of all SCs that arecollected?

    • What questions are important to ask about the whole set ofstories?

    • How SC stories should be analysed and who will do the

    analysis?

    • Who will use the results of the analysis?

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    • Primary analysis:

     – What participants do when they select MSc stories. This is

    the core of MSC

    • Secondary analysis

     – Further analysis of MSC stories by other means

     – May or may not involve original participants

    MSC Analysis: What is the difference

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    Primary Analysis

    • What are the type of changes?

    • Select the MOST significant change story

    •  Always document reasons for choices in selection process

    • Analysis positive and negative changes (if any)

    • In what level changes happen? (individual, community,organization, etc)

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    • Meta-monitoring:

     – Tracking who provides the stories, and who does not

     – Whose stories get selected, or not

    •Content analysis

     – Looking into the content of the stories

    • Selected and/or unselected stories

    • Basic Quantification, what can be quantified?

    • Against logic model (or Theory of Change)• Is the changes ‘one-off’ or often happen? 

    • How the changes happen and how we observe them?

    E.g. the use of Progress Marker (see hand outs)

    Two types of secondary analysis

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     Groups per table

    • The group sorts stories into 2 piles based on the mostimportant difference and document the reasons why they do so

    • Each of these piles are sorted into another 2 piles and again thereasons for the sorting process is documented.

    • Continue this process of sorting to end up with story(ies) whichcannot be sorted anymore. Document the reason why sorting is

    not possible anymore (Question: Is it necessary?)

    Make notes of all reasons for sorting and of the process

    Assignment 7 – Hierarchical Card Sorting

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    A definition of content analysis… 

    “Content analysis has been defined as a systematic,

    replicable technique for compressing many words of text

    into fewer content categories based on explicit rules ofcoding”

    http://pareonline.net/getvn.asp?v=7&n=17 

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    http://pareonline.net/getvn.asp?v=7&n=17http://pareonline.net/getvn.asp?v=7&n=17

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    • Meta Monitoring:

     – Find out how to improve coverage of stories.

    • Diversity of sources matters

    • Content Analysis:

     – Track specific issues of concern without changing the

    ongoing MSC process

     – Identify wider trends that may not emerge through MSC

    selection process

    Why do it?

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    Resources 

    www.mostsignificiantchange.com

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    • Record

     – Who collects each story, from whom

     – Who was involved in each selection process

    • Even their “votes” for specific stories? 

     – Types of MSC stories of interest e.g neg

    Meta-Monitoring: key tasks

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    Introducing MSC in an Organization

    • Key resources to learn from

     – Build on prior experience

    • Finding champions and drivers

    • Pre-testing

    • Training

    • Considering duration and sustainability

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    Champions and Drivers

    • Who will ‘authorise’ the use of MSC

     – and who will enthuse others?

    • Who will push and pull to make it work?

     – answer questions about the method

     – help design the proposed use of MSC

     – help plan or run training – monitor and guide the MSC process

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    Pre-testing MSC

    • Advisable in large organisations or projects or ‘new’ alliances

    • Enables early identification and resolution of problems

    • Creates enthusiasm/support

    • Helps customise MSC process

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    Duration and Sustainability

    • MSC does not have to be used for ever!

     – E.g.

    • When used as part of an evaluation or planning

    process• When a project or action research process ends

    • If you do want to sustain its use then… 

     – Refresher training

     – System for on-going adaptation in order to meet currentneeds

     – Dedicated resources and people

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    Think about your context

    • Who might be a good champion in your organisation, or evenoutside it?

    • Who could drive the use of MSC

    • What sort of training would be needed?• What sort of a pre-test would be useful?• How long will you need to use MSC?

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    Assignment 8 - Using MSC in your project

     Groups of 5 participants

    You are interested in using MSC in your programme/organisation

    8.1. What issues need to be considered for implementation of MSC in your

    programme/organization?

    8.2. How you will implement MSC in your programme/organisation? List

    all steps

    8.3. Discuss the use of domains

    Make notes of your discussions. Share observations and queries in plenary

    Make notes of all reasons for sorting and of the process

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    MSC steps (full version)

    1. How to start and raise interest?

    2. Establishing ‘domains of change’ 

    3. Defining the reporting period

    4. Collecting and writing stories of change5. Selecting stories of change

    6. Feeding back the results of the selection process

    7. Verification of stories

    8. Quantification

    9. Secondary analysis and meta-monitoring

    10. Revising the system

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    What will be

    measured

    M&E

    Outputs - Quantitative and qualitative data

    - Monthly reporting- Output indicators

    - Information traceability

    Outcomes - Quantitative and qualitative data

    - Design monitoring technique and tools

    - Semi-annual or annual reporting

    - Sampling method

    - Outcome indicators

    - Information traceability

    Impact Evaluation; Triangulation among M&E data (output,

    outcome and MSC data) to identify evidence forchanges happened and possible impacts on the

    long run

    Mostsignificant

    changeQualitative analysis

    Learning

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    Assignment 9 - MSC in the M&E of yourorganisation

     Groups of 5

    9.1. Discuss how timing and integration of MSC in your

    organisation’s/program’s M&E framework might work

    9.2. Where do you expect there will be most need for adjustment of yourM&E framework? Why?

    9.3. Where have you already made changes to the design? Why?

    9.4. Draft your plan of action on integrating MSC in your

    organisation’s/program’s M&E framework 

    Use a flipchart to draw and/or explain the integration

    Make notes of your discussions.

    Share observations and queries in plenary and present your plan of action

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    More info for Assignment 9

    Timing and Integration

    1. How often will SC stories be collected?

     – Weekly, monthly, quarterly, yearly… 

     – Pros and cons for most choices

    2. How will MSC related to existing systems?

     – How will it build  on existing P,M&E system?

     – What extra requirements will there be?

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    Tuning the system

    • Possible features to modify

     – Domains

     – Frequency of collection

     – Structure of selection processes

     – Who participates

     – What happens to the SC stories

     –Other?

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    Key resources to learn from

    • MSC Guide (2005) athttp://www.mande.co.uk/docs/MSCGuide.htm  

    • http://www.mande.co.uk/docs/MSCGuide.pdf  

    • MSC Mailing list is at http://groups.yahoo.com/group/mostsignificantchanges  

    Including Files section

    Google “Most Significant Change” 

    http://www.mande.co.uk/docs/MSCGuide.htmhttp://www.mande.co.uk/docs/MSCGuide.htmhttp://www.mande.co.uk/docs/MSCGuide.pdfhttp://groups.yahoo.com/group/mostsignificantchangeshttp://groups.yahoo.com/group/mostsignificantchangeshttp://www.mande.co.uk/docs/MSCGuide.pdfhttp://www.mande.co.uk/docs/MSCGuide.htm