monitoring and risk management · 2011-03-28 · 7-f monitoring and risk management monitoring:...
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Monitoring and Risk ManagementMonitoring and Risk Management
Maurice Dusseault
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Why Monitor?Why Monitor?
To increase efficiency of oil productionTo make intelligent workover decisionsProcess control enhancement (higher recovery)Well rate enhancement, field management
To improve our understanding of the physics To test model predictions To provide verification of scaling approaches
between lab, theory, and the field For safety& environmental purposes All of these reduce risk
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The Optimization LoopThe Optimization Loop
DESIGN
MONITOR PRODUCE
In situ state (p,s…Science studiesBehavioral laws
SimulationsExperience
OPTIMIZATION
Process Control
Better physicsBetter models
PredictionsOther applications
New processes
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Classification of ApproachesClassification of Approaches……
Proximal methods (in well, at the flow line…)
Remote methods (generally geophysics)
Passive methods (e.g. T, p, MS emissions)
Active methods (4D seismic, electrical surveys)
Snapshot methods (e.g. an InSAR image)
Continuous methods (e.g. electronic tiltmeters)
Offshore/onshore (e.g. seafloor pressure gauges offshore, vs. survey points onshore)
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““ Special WellSpecial Well”” MonitoringMonitoring
7” casing, cemented to surface
Optimization of pump based on production rate, downhole pressure, and pump torque
Rods to drive pump
PC Pump
Producing Stratum
Cable to surface
BHP transducer, in tubing, in annulus
Ports for vacuum sample bottles and bulk production samples
Densimeter, flow velocity
Annular oil level (acoustic device)
Foam?
Annular gas rates, pressures
Accelerometer
Behind-the-casingtransducers?
span span span
ref. ref.ref.
12.0 12.0 12.0
FrequencyAmplitude
5% of wells in a heavy oil field can be specially monitored
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Manual Volumetric AnalysisManual Volumetric Analysis
E.g.: Dean-Stark for oil and water content
Sand settling tubes for sand volume percent
To measure gas cut, the flow line is opened to a vacuum bomb, sealed, and sent for analysis
Clay % as well?
Requires hand work!
vacuum flask% gas,& type
% sand
+ Dean-Stark foroil content and water percent
BS&W
Risk management requires measurements, and some of
them are made by hand…
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Sand Granulometry for SandingSand Granulometry for Sanding
Establish a type gran-ulometry from cores
Precise granulometry: bulk average samples
+Frequency of large grain occurrence
+Clay % (<2 or 5 µm)
Correlate to type data
See where sand is coming from…
Other inferences…
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
-5 -3 -1 1 3
TypeCut
φφφφ units
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Monitoring: Logging Cased WellsMonitoring: Logging Cased Wells
γ−γ (ρ) log + casing collar locators (∆z)
CNL + phase analysis to estimate porosity changes behind casing
Multi-arm caliper log to track casing shape
Dipole sonic log to assess velocity and attenuation state farther from the wellbore
T logs and tracers behind the casing logs
Borehole gravimeter log (half-space effect)
Other useful logs? Saturation changes, acoustic logs for microannulus, and so on…
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Measuring Reservoir ChangesMeasuring Reservoir Changes
Before CHOPS φ ~ 30%
After: φ changes, k, … Top cavity or gas zone
Shaley streaks are gone
Thin cemented beds too
Yielded zone φ ~ 40%
Lower zones less so
We can use logs to help understand CHOPS
Various logs, used at different times
0 10 20 30 40 50
shaleyzone
cementedsiltstone
shale baserock
φ before φ after
unaffected
shale“gone”
cavity or gas zone
~30% 36-44%
porosity
Neutron porosity log
shale caprock
Influence radius
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Remote Monitoring Remote Monitoring -- GeophysicsGeophysics
2-D VSP
3-D (4-D) seismic velocity, Quality tomography
Cross-hole seismic tomography
Surface and deep deformation measurements
Microseismic monitoring of shearing events
Electrical monitoring of ∆Ω − tomography
Multipurpose monitor wells
Gravimetry, others, but we can’t do all of them…
…so let’s look at deformationmeasurements
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Temperature Changes & Temperature Changes & ∆∆VV……
shale
cs.-gr. ss
ss
fn.-gr. ss
shale
∆p = 0
∆T = 0
∆T = 100ºC
conduction convection
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Temperature ChangesTemperature Changes……
Conductive-convective heat transport
But, ∆T causes rock ∆V as well!
β = 3-D thermal expansion coefficient
The ∆V acts against the surrounding rock
This alters the effective stress…
So what?? What does this mean??
TVV ∆β=∆
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Reservoir Volume ChangeReservoir Volume Change
Expandingregion
from + ∆∆∆∆T
+∆T generates expansion of the zone. This means that it “pushes”against the world, and radial stresses rise, tangential stresses drop.
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A Pure Volume Change A Pure Volume Change -- ∆∆VV
Z
Surface deformation shapes
∆z]V
∆V∆V
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A Pure Shear Displacement A Pure Shear Displacement -- ∆∆SS
Z
Surface deformation shapes
∆S
∆z]S
∆S
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∆∆V + V + ∆∆S S DeformationsDeformations
Z
Surface deformation shapes
∆V ∆S
∆z]V + ∆z]S
∆V ∆S
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Consequences: Shear DilationConsequences: Shear Dilation
hot regionexpansion
σθ
σr
triaxial test analogy
∆T→∆V→∆σ′In weak rocks, shear
occurs. This is a process of dilation
+∆V
cool region
extensional σθ
compressional σr
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SoSo…… What Happens Now?What Happens Now?
+∆T causes +∆V (expansion)
+∆V pushes against the rock → +∆σ′ However, the radial stress rises, the tangential
stress drops, and shear occurs
This is a process of dilation. Dilation ∆V is ×5 to x10 times larger than ∆T effect
Some consequences:φ↑, k↑, all transport properties change
Stresses change, fracture pressures (PF),…
And so on…
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Dilation and RecompactionDilation and Recompaction……
time
Cycle 1 Cycle 2 Cycle 3 Cycle 4in
ject
ion
soak
prod
uctio
n
inje
ctio
nso
akpr
oduc
tion
Limited recovery of ∆z in first production cycles
1.00
0.75
0.50
0.25
inje
ctio
nso
akpr
oduc
tion
0
Ver
tical
hea
ve –
∆z -
m
Almost full ∆z recovery observed in later cycles
∆z
Cold Lake – 40 m thick zone
∆V from ∆Tinitial ground elevation
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Shear Dilation from Shear Dilation from ∆∆TT
Assume ∆T = +250ºC throughout zone…
For a 40 m thick reservoir, ∆z ≈ 6 - 9 cm
∆z of 15-30 cm observed in a single cycle
Also, after many cycles, a permanent ∆z of 50-80 cm has been observed!
Clearly, most of this is shear dilation…
How do you couple these processes?
How do you quantify and calibrate?
MONITORING AND ANALYSIS!!!
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ent Deformation Monitoring MethodsDeformation Monitoring Methods
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Deformation MonitoringDeformation Monitoring
Shear and ∆V generate a deformation field
This field can be sampled: ∆z, ∆θ (tilt)
With enough quality data, inversion possibleAn inversion is a calculation of what is happening
at depth, based on remote measurements
Inversions give the magnitude and location of shearing and volume change
These factors are linked to inj./prod. history
Reservoir management decisions, such as inj./prod. strategy, based on interpretations
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Deformation MeasurementsDeformation Measurements……
Some technologies… Satellites – INSAR
Surface surveys
Aerial photography
Laser ranging
Precision tiltmeters
Extensometers
Casing strain gauges
Fibre optics methods
Geophysical logging
…Time
6 hours
Pre
ssur
e or
sur
face
tilt
pressure
∆tilt at
one point
“event”
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Radioactive BulletsRadioactive Bullets
Zone of interest selected Before casing, radioactive
bullets are fired into the strata (not too deep!)
Casing is placed Baseline gamma log run Logging is repeated (∆T),
and the difference in gamma peaks is measured
Strain = ∆L/L, accuracy ~1-2 cm over a 10 m base
“stable” reference
L L-∆L
“baseline” log“repeat” log
∆L
com
pact
ing
zone
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Casing Collar LogsCasing Collar Logs
Casing moves with the cement and the rock
The casing collar makes a thicker steel zone
This can be detected accurately on a log sensitive to the effect of steel (magnetic)
Logs are run repeatedly, strain = ∆L/L
Similar to previous diagram
Short casing joints can be used for detail
If casing slips, results not reliable
If doglegged, can’t run the log
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Borehole ExtensometersBorehole Extensometers
Wires anchored to casing
Brought to surface, tensioned (max 1000 m?)
Attached to a transducer or to a mechanical measuring tool
Readings taken repeatedly
Resistant to doglegging
Logs can’t be run in the hole
Other instruments can be installed in the same hole
wire 1wire 3
wire 2
W
anchor 3
anchor 1
anchor 2
sheaves
casing
∆L
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Casing DeformationCasing Deformation
“Wedging” Shear
Courtesy Trent Kaiser, noetic Engineering
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Other Borehole MethodsOther Borehole Methods
Strong magnets outside fibreglass casing are used (fibreglass just over the interest zone) give a strong magnetic signal
Strain gauges bonded to the casing, inside or outside (best), wire leads to surface
Gravity logs (downhole gravimeter)
Other behind-the-casing logs which are sensitive to the lithology changes
Tiltmeters can be placed in boreholes
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RealReal--Time GPS Monitoring SystemTime GPS Monitoring System
antenna
site
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Site Monitoring ArraySite Monitoring Array
1.5 km2 site
25 inj/prod wells
Progressive CSS
Start at bottom, move up row by row, soak, then produce till H2O
186 benchmarks placed
Surveyed every 4-6 wk
Deformations in the elapsed time analyzed
wellsites
at depth
186 benchmark array
#8
#7
#6
#5
#4
#3
#2
#1
Wellrows
benchmarks
1 kilometre
limits of array
limits
of a
rray
Alberta example, steam injection pilot
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Measurement ParametersMeasurement Parameters
Precision must be acceptable (5% of ∆zmax)
No systematic errors if possible (random only)
The number of measurement stations must be chosen carefully, depending on goals
If inversion needed, array designed rigorously
Array must extend beyond reservoir limits to capture the subsidence bowl
Stable remote benchmark needed, etc.
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Deformation ArraysDeformation Arrays
∆z: Surface surveys, satellite imagery, aerial photography
shallow tiltmeters
deep tiltmeters
∆z, ∆θ at surface ∆θ: tiltmeters
∆V in reservoir
also, displacement measurements in holes can be used
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Fracture Monitoring as WellFracture Monitoring as Well
depth
Z
0.41Z
~1.0Z
-uplift linked to aperture-shape linked to geometry-skewness linked to asymmetry
fracture
surface deformation
tilt maxima
verthorz
Must use tiltmeters for fracturing because deformations are small
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More About Deformations and Coupling More About Deformations and Coupling Flow and GeomechanicsFlow and Geomechanics
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Example of Example of ““ The Coupling IssueThe Coupling Issue””
∆T changes stresses…
Stress changes lead to general shear
Shearing changes transport properties
Changed transport properties change the temperature distribution!
And so on…
We can make similar conclusions about ∆p
So… Everything is coupled…
How do we handle this?
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A Pure Volume Change A Pure Volume Change -- ∆∆VV
Z
Surface deformation shapes
∆z]V
∆V∆V
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A Pure Shear Displacement A Pure Shear Displacement -- ∆∆SS
Z
Surface deformation shapes
∆S
∆z]S
∆S
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∆∆V + V + ∆∆S S DeformationsDeformations
Z
Surface deformation shapes
∆V ∆S
∆z]V + ∆z]S
∆V ∆S
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Aerial PhotographyAerial Photography
Typically - 9-fold photogrammetric overlap, then, digital and statistical analysis to give 1-5 mm precisions
flight path
aircraft
special targets for precision
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Various Other MethodsVarious Other Methods
InSAR
surveys
tiltmeters borehole tilt
extensometers logging methods
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Earthquake Movements, Bam, IranEarthquake Movements, Bam, Iran
Differenced ground movements due to 2003 earthquake at Bam, Iran
Note the quadrupole configuration associated with the shear displacement event
InSAR Example
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InSAR InterferogramInSAR Interferogram
•ERS1/2 SAR data•18-frame time series
•eight-year period 1992-2000
ground-subsidence for Phoenix, AZ
time series of transects
40 cm
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mod. Stancliffe & van der Kooij, AAPG 2001
+285 mm
+200
-210
+260
+130 mm
-165
km
+100 Vertical displacements
(mm)over 86 days
subsidence
heave
Imperial Oil Imperial Oil –– Cold LakeCold Lake
mega-rowCSS
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Belridge FieldBelridge Field, CA, CA -- SubsidenceSubsidence30-40 cm per year
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BelridgeBelridgeSubsidenceSubsidenceRateRate
over 18 months
0.0 in./yr
12.5
25.0
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Shell Oil Canada Shell Oil Canada –– Peace RiverPeace River
ref. Nickle’s New Technology Magazine, Jan-Feb 2005
Surfaceuplift / tilt
data
reservoir inversion gridwith 50x50m grid cells
Multi-lateralCSS
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Phase A
Deflection (mm) Deflection (mm)-10 0 10 20 -20 -10 0 10
120
140
DEPTH (m) WELL AGI3WELL AGI1
Mudstone& Sand
Oil Sand
ref Collins (1994); insert ref. Ito & Suzuki (1996)
160
180
Limestone
Expansive Lateral StrainsExpansive Lateral Strains
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ent Microseismic MonitoringMicroseismic Monitoring
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Microseismic MonitoringMicroseismic Monitoring
Large σ′ redistributions during production
σ′v changes in some zones
σ′h as well, sometimes massively
The formation shear strength is locally exceeded, perhaps on a weak plane…
Shearing in geological materials is a stick-slip phenomenon, acoustic energy is emitted
This can be used to track fronts and processes to optimize in “real-time”
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Shearing Near a UCS FractureShearing Near a UCS Fracture
σ
σ
Shearing occurson the flanks ofthe fracture.
At the tip, parting occurs, little ∆energy
Shearing during HF of SWR has been detected microseismically in the field on the fracture flanks.
Shearing is the major energy release process in HF!!
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Waterfrac Vs Gel StimulationWaterfrac Vs Gel Stimulation
Observation Well
Observation WellFrac Well
Perf zones
Geophone array
Craig CipollaPinnacle
Barnett Shale Microseismic Monitoring While Fracturing
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Waterfrac Vs Gel StimulationWaterfrac Vs Gel Stimulation
X-Link Gel Frac
Waterfrac Craig CipollaPinnacle
Barnett Shale Microseismic Monitoring While Fracturing
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Waterfrac Vs Gel StimulationWaterfrac Vs Gel Stimulation
Craig CipollaPinnacle
Barnett Shale Microseismic Monitoring While Fracturing
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Waterfrac Vs Gel StimulationWaterfrac Vs Gel Stimulation
Craig CipollaPinnacle
Barnett Shale Microseismic Monitoring While Fracturing
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Arching of StressesArching of Stresses
“soft” region
Regions of high lateral
shear potential
Regions of high shear and dilation
Microseismic emissions from high shear regions
Compressive stress trajectories
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MS Activity in CompactionMS Activity in Compaction
slip along near-horizontal,weak bedding planes
region oflateral
unloadingslip on curved
bedding planes
compaction
region of increasedlateral stresses
Note, the reservoir curvature is greatly exaggerated, x10 vertically,and the relative compaction is also greatly exaggerated
reservoir
MS emissions will delineate slip planes and activation of high-angle slip
In Ekofisk, MS monitoring helped elucidate mechanisms
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MS Tracking of a Fireflood (1992)MS Tracking of a Fireflood (1992)
x
x
x
x
x x
x
x
xx x x
xx x
x x xx
x
x
x
x
xx
xx
x
x
xx
x
xx
xx
x
x
x
x
x
x
x x
x
xxx
x
x
x
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x
x
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x x xx
x x
x
x
x x
x
xxx
x x
xx
x
x
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x
x
xx
xx
A
B
C
D
?? ?
?
A: good oilproduction
B: heatedchannel
C&D: poorproduction
injector plus four producers
stable front
unstablefront
no discrete front
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MS & Integrated MonitoringMS & Integrated Monitoring……
Shell Oil, Peace River
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Parallel Processing in MS ArraysParallel Processing in MS Arrays
sensorszone ofinterest
fibre-optics or telemetryworkstation
localprocessors1 2 3 4 5
monitoring or future production wells
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Time Lapse Seismic Time Lapse Seismic –– 4D Seismic4D Seismic
The geomechanics coupled model is based on the mechanical earth model
The mechanical earth model comes from seismics, logs, cores, an correlations
Stress predictions are made from incorporating ∆T, ∆p over time –∆t
Time Lapse seismic gives us ∆(V, Q…)
We try to use this to calibrate and clarify the geomechanics model so it becomes predictive in nature.
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Integrated Monitor WellsIntegrated Monitor Wells
monitoring well
data acquisition Multiple functionsin a single well give
cost-effectivemonitoring capability
pressure sensors
temperature sensors
triaxial accelerometers
process well
Multiplexing and event detection algorithms make the collection and analysis of large data streams tractable
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CommentsComments
In conventional reservoir engineering, p and T measurements are needed
In coupled geomechanics, we need other types of measurementsDeformations
Changes in seismic attributes
Microseismic emissions mapping and analysis
Allow us to calibrate and perfect models
Which give us predictive capabilities
Which allows us to protect our value chain