modelling urban snowmelt runoff
TRANSCRIPT
Modelling urban snowmelt runoff
C. Valeo*, C.L.I. Ho
Department of Geomatics Engineering, University of Calgary, 2500 University Drive NW, Calgary, Alta., Canada T2N 1N4
Abstract
Few investigations have been made into modelling snowmelt in urban areas; hence, current urban snowmelt routines have
adopted parameters and approaches intended for rural areas that are not appropriate in an urban environment. This paper
examines problems with current urban snowmelt models and proposes a model that uses parameters developed from field
studies focusing exclusively on urban snow. The Urban Snow Model (USM) uses an energy balance scheme at an hourly time
step, changes in urban snow albedo, and incorporates eight different types of redistributed snow cover. USM is tested against
observed flow data from a small residential community located in Calgary, Alberta. The degree-day method for snowmelt, the
SWMM model, and a modified version of USM that incorporates a partial energy budget scheme relying only on net radiation,
are also tested against the observed flow data. The full energy budget version of USM outperformed all other models in terms of
time to peak, peak flowrate and model efficiency; however, the modified version of USM fared quite well and is recommended
when a lack of data exists. The degree-day method and the SWMM models fared poorly and were unable to simulate peak
flowrates in most cases. The tests also demonstrated the need to distribute snow into appropriate snow covers in order to
simulate peak flowrates accurately and provide good model efficiency.
q 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Urban hydrology; Snowmelt; Distributed modelling; Energy balance
1. Introduction
Studies of urban hydrology have concentrated
mainly on the response of urban catchments to rainfall
events. Generally, high intensity rainfalls are assumed
to be the major flood-generating events in urban areas
(Buttle and Xu, 1988); however, in the northern
hemisphere, flooding is observed during snowmelt in
urban environments in Scandinavia, Canada and the
northern USA (Bengtsson and Westerstrom, 1992;
0022-1694/$ - see front matter q 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2004.08.007
* Corresponding author. Tel.: C1-403-220-4112; fax: C1-403-
284-1980.
E-mail address: [email protected] (C. Valeo).
Semadeni-Davies and Bengtsson, 1998; Thorolfsson
and Brandt, 1996; Farrell et al., 2001). A flooding
situation can be aggravated by high levels of receiving
waters or reduced outfall drainage capacity. In these
cases, it may be necessary to consider seasonal design
events in urban flood analysis for stormwater manage-
ment system design. Traditionally, waste and storm-
water systems have been constructed according
to standards set for rainfall dominated climates
(Marsalek, 1991; Matheussen and Thorolfsson,
1999; Semadeni-Davies, 2000).
Snowmelt intensities are much lower than rainfall
intensities, but it has been assumed that the processes
and factors governing both urban and rural snow
Journal of Hydrology 299 (2004) 237–251
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C. Valeo, C.L.I. Ho / Journal of Hydrology 299 (2004) 237–251238
hydrology are the same. Thus, snow receives little
interest in urban hydrological research. However,
there are differences between the factors that control
snowmelt and runoff generation in the two environ-
ments (Bengtsson and Westerstrom, 1992); and
therefore, snowmelt modelling approaches in each
area should also differ. Accurate modelling of urban
snowmelt can assist efforts to study winter pollutant
transport (Buttle and Xu, 1988). Snow has been shown
to store high levels of various pollutants including
lead, hydrocarbons, polychlorinated-biphenyls and
other metals and solids (Marsalek et al., 2000).
Suzuki (1990) noted high levels of SO42– in urban
snow due to anthropogenic emission sources in urban
areas.
1.1. Factors affecting melt and winter runoff in urban
areas
The major causes of differences between urban and
rural snow are the snow removal practices employed
in urban areas. Snow in urban areas is usually
removed from the impervious surfaces and much of
it is piled onto adjacent grassed banks. In highly
impervious urban areas, the snow can be trucked to a
dumpsite. Undisturbed, fairly uniform snow cover
similar to rural snow can usually be found only in city
parks and open grassed areas.
In urban areas, melt seems to be dominated by net
radiation fluxes, while contributions from sensible heat
flux, turbulent exchanges and heat exchange at the
snow–soil interface are minor (Westerstrom, 1981;
Sundin et al., 1999; Bengtsson and Westerstrom, 1992;
Semadeni-Davies and Bengtsson, 1998; Marks and
Dozier, 1992). Snowpack energy fluxes are greatly
influenced by the urban environment. Spatial varia-
tions in energy fluxes exist over the snowpack due to
factors such as longwave radiation from buildings,
full-sun/shadowed effect, the variability in snow
albedo, and atmospheric composition (Bengtsson
and Westerstrom, 1992; Semadeni-Davies, 1999;
Thorolfsson and Sand, 1991; Buttle and Xu, 1988;
Semadeni-Davies and Bengtsson, 1998). Snow albedo
(the reflectivity of a body to shortwave radiation) is
lower in the city than in rural areas due to pollution and
the rapid increase in iciness caused by ploughing
and packing (Bengtsson and Westerstrom, 1992;
Semadeni-Davies, 2000; Conway et al., 1996).
Compared to rural areas, urban soils suffer
heavy compaction due to activities such as construc-
tion and traffic, which tend to reduce the soil’s
infiltration capacity. Frozen soils with low soil
moisture contents may exhibit significant infiltration
capacities initially in the snowmelt period (Granger
et al., 1984), but infiltration tends to decrease
substantially as the snowmelt period progresses
(Buttle and Xu, 1988; Bengtsson and Westerstrom,
1992; Westerstrom, 1990; Ho, 2002). Hence, per-
meable areas can contribute to snowmelt induced
runoff. For rain-on-snow events, the area contributing
to runoff increases considerably, and can be greater
than for summer storms.
1.2. Modelling urban snowmelt
Accurate snowmelt modelling requires an energy
budget scheme (Anderson, 1968) and this requires
good measurements of incoming solar radiation,
albedo, incoming longwave radiation, wind speed,
air vapor pressure, air temperature, and precipitation.
Due to the lack of available data, many practical
operational procedures for snowmelt predictions
generally rely on air temperature as the index of the
energy available for melt (Gray and Male, 1981; Watt
et al., 1989; Westerstrom, 1990). In these cases, the
temperature index or degree-day method replaces the
full energy budget scheme. It is physically sound in
the absence of shortwave radiation when much of the
energy supplied to the snowpack is atmospheric
longwave radiation, such as in heavily forested areas
(Semadeni-Davies, 2000). In its simplest form, the
relationship between snowmelt and air temperature
can be expressed as
M Z MfðTi KTbÞ (1)
where M is the snowmelt generated (mm dayK1); Mf
is the melt factor (mm 8CK1 dayK1); Ti is the index air
temperature in 8C (commonly the mean temperature
of the day or some derivative of the daily minimum
and maximum temperatures); and Tb is the base
temperature in 8C (commonly 0 8C).
Snowmelt runoff simulated with the degree-day
method assumes both a homogeneous snowpack and
snow cover. Bengtsson (1984) showed that snowmelt
from the heterogeneous urban environment cannot be
C. Valeo, C.L.I. Ho / Journal of Hydrology 299 (2004) 237–251 239
adequately determined from temperature indices.
Urban snow tends to be plowed into piles having a
wide range of characteristics depending on location
and landuse. Thus, the presence of snow piles can both
reduce the maximum volume of melt and extend the
melt period (Semadeni-Davies, 2000). Without modi-
fications to the method, its application is not
theoretically suitable for urban snow runoff simu-
lations (Semadeni-Davies, 2000). In addition, only the
full energy budget method can simulate rain-on-snow
conditions.
Semadeni-Davies (2000) and Ho (2002) conducted
reviews of various computer models that are often
used to simulate snowmelt in urban areas. Available
computer-based models for snow accumulation and
melt range from simple temperature index models to
full energy balance schemes. The snowmelt models
are generally components of more comprehensive
runoff models intended for large rural or urbanizing
watersheds. It should be noted that all snowmelt
routines have two basic components: (1) the method
of snowmelt generation (i.e. the degree-day method or
the energy budget method); and (2) the method of
handling snow cover accumulation and depletion
(Watt et al., 1989). Semadeni-Davies (2000) and
Ho (2002) reviews included the NWSRFS model
(NWSHL, 1996) which incorporates SNOW-17;
SWMM (Huber, 1995); MOUSE RDII (DHI, 2000);
HSPF (Donigian et al., 1995); and SSARR (Speers,
1995). They all offer equations ranging from the
temperature index method to the energy budget
method and hybrids in between those two extremes.
NWSRFS SNOW-17, SWMM, MOUSE RDII and
SSARR use the degree-day method to simulate melt,
but SWMM, SSARR and HSPF also offer a full
energy budget scheme option.
The degree-day method has been proven to be
valuable in rural and alpine areas (WMO, 1986),
but transferring the model to an urban environment
is questionable. Various types of snow cover can
be found in urban areas with the most dominant
types being snow piles and natural snow cover on
pervious areas. Other types include snow on road
shoulders, snow on rooftops, and snow near
building walls. Snow piles are normally located
near roads and pavements and are compacted and
icy with low albedos. These factors will influence
local melt conditions. Given the small catchment
size and extreme spatial variability of snowpack
location, albedo, depth, density, and energy avail-
ability, the use of a single melt rate factor in urban
areas is questionable (Semadeni-Davies, 2000). In
their investigation of simulation errors due to
insufficient temporal resolution in urban snowmelt
models, Matheussen and Thorolfsson (1999) deter-
mined that snowmelt induced runoff in urban areas
should be measured and modeled with a 1-h time
resolution or less. Bengtsson (1984, 1986) noted
that because degree-day melt routines make melt
calculations only once daily, it masks the dynamics
of runoff generation over impervious urban
surfaces.
Energy balance models for each type of snow
cover in urban areas is different due to characteristics
of the snow such as initial density values, the initial
snow albedo values and the rate of change of the snow
properties. There has been no attempt to apply
separate energy models to the different snow cover
types to achieve accurate modelling of snowmelt in
urban areas. In addition, none of the current models
simulate ground frost. Thorolfsson and Brandt (1996)
and Westerstrom (1984) showed that urban soils can
become seasonally impervious, which suggests that a
soil frost/thaw routine could be important.
1.3. Objectives
The objectives of this research are to develop and
demonstrate an efficient and accurate model for
urban snowmelt, which accounts for at least some of
the shortcomings observed in currently used models.
Comparisons between a full-energy budget method, a
modified energy-budget method, and the degree-day
method are investigated. The models developed in
this research use information on snow properties
observed during a field campaign at the University of
Calgary in the winter of 2001 (Ho, 2002). This
information will be used to construct appropriate
time-dependent albedo curves, snow depletion
curves, and a latent heat transfer coefficient, in
order to create the best model possible. The models
will be tested to show the impacts of simulating the
redistribution of snow due to urban snow removal
practices versus undistributed snow. A popular
model for urban hydrology, SWMM, will also be
used in the comparisons.
C. Valeo, C.L.I. Ho / Journal of Hydrology 299 (2004) 237–251240
2. Methodology and field study area
2.1. The USM model
The Urban Snow Model (USM) was created and
programmed in Matlab to simulate generation of
snowmelt runoff from an urban catchment. Although
flowrates for urban winter runoff are typically low,
they can be sustained over several days and a
significant fraction of winter pollutants may be
removed by snowmelt. The basic melt computations
in USM are based on routines developed by the US
National Weather Service (Anderson, 1973). The
program uses hourly time steps, allows redistribution
of snow from impervious areas to pervious areas, and
applies different snow albedo values for the different
snow cover types found in urban areas. All snow
depths throughout the model are treated as depths of
snow water equivalent (SWE). Thus, the model serves
to demonstrate the impact of incorporating snow
redistribution and urban snow characteristics on
snowmelt generation, which is important for urban
areas that receive high snowfall amounts.
2.1.1. Redistribution of snow by landcover type
Redistribution refers to the removal of snow from
the original area to its new location. The model
assumes eight different types of snow cover are
possible in an urban area and these are related to
landcover type. These types are shown in Table 1.
Redistribution occurs for roadways when SWE reaches
depths above 6.5 mm, for driveways/sidewalks when
Table 1
Area characterization
Type Perviousness Snow cover and extent
1 Impervious Normally bare
2 Impervious Normally bare
3 Impervious Normally bare
4 Pervious Covered with large snow piles
5 Pervious Covered with small dirty snow
6 Pervious Covered with small cleaner sn
7 Pervious Uniform snow cover
8 Pervious Uniform snow cover
SWE is above 10.0 mm, and for rooftops when the
SWE is above 8.5 mm. Generally in the City of
Calgary, snow removal occurs when SWE is greater
than 5 mm. But in new residential areas, not all the
roads are ploughed, thus, the SWE for this snow cover
type was elevated to 6.5 and 10 mm for driveways and
sidewalks. Snow on rooftops is redistributed to
simulate effects of drifting, blowing snow and sloping
roofs, but the SWE redistribution threshold of 8.5 mm
for this snow cover type was arbitrarily chosen.
2.1.2. Energy balance method
The energy balance equation for a snowpack is
expressed as follows
DQ Z Qsw CQlw CQe CQh CQg CQm (2)
where DQ is the change in heat storage in the
snowpack; Qsw is the net shortwave radiation entering
the snowpack; Qlw is the net longwave radiation
entering the snowpack; Qe is the latent heat transfer;
Qh is the sensible heat transfer; Qm is the advection of
heat into the snowpack by rain; and Qg is the
conduction of heat into the snowpack from the
underlying ground. Units for each energy balance
term are in W/m2 h. It is assumed that if the condition
is right for melt than all heat added to the snowpack
will produce liquid melt. For a melting snowpack,
heat conduction from the ground, Qg is negligible
compared to the energy exchange at the snow surface.
Thus, that term is neglected. It requires about 80 cal to
melt 1 g of water (the latent heat of fusion) or
93 W/m2 h per 1 mm of melt. The melt rate is thus
Examples of land
surface
%Area
Parking lots –
All level roads 11.8
Driveways and
sidewalks
8.9
Perimeter area of
parking lots
–
piles Road shoulders 0.6
ow piles Driveways/
sidewalk edges
3.6
Rooftops 23.9
Parks, lawns,
open areas
51.2
C. Valeo, C.L.I. Ho / Journal of Hydrology 299 (2004) 237–251 241
calculated as follows
Msr ZDQ
93(3)
where Msr is the melt rate (mm/h); and DQ is the
change in heat storage of the snowpack (W/m2 h).
2.1.3. Shortwave radiation
The net shortwave radiation is calculated as
follows
Qsw Z Qið1 KAÞ (4)
where Qsw is the net shortwave radiation (W/m2 h);
Qi is the incoming shortwave radiation (W/m2 h);
Fig. 1. Albedo
and A is the snow albedo. Snow albedo values were
measured in a field study conducted at the University
of Calgary over the winter of 2001–2002 (Ho, 2002).
From that study, eight snow albedo curves were
developed and are shown in Fig. 1. The Type 1 curve
(snow in parking lots) was derived from the Type 4
curve, but ultimately never used. The Type 2 curve is
a combination of albedo for snow on road shoulders
(Type 5) and sidewalk edges (Type 6). It was created
by combining all the measurements made for Types 5
and 6 areas in the University of Calgary field study
and fitting a curve to the data. The Type 3 curve is the
same as the Type 6 curve. The Types 4–6 and 8 albedo
curves were all produced from fitting curves to
curves.
C. Valeo, C.L.I. Ho / Journal of Hydrology 299 (2004) 237–251242
measurements made in the field study. The Type 7
curve is a combination of curves of Types 5 and 6;
however, unlike the Type 2 curve, this curve was
delayed by 5 days in order to keep the snow on
rooftops fresher for an initially longer period of time.
The curve used for Type 8 was not used for rooftops
because most roofs are asphalt based; hence, albedo is
lower and decreases more rapidly as compared to the
albedo of snow in open areas.
2.1.4. Longwave radiation
The net longwave radiation is calculated as follows
Qlw Z Qa KEt (5)
where Qlw is the net longwave radiation (W/m2 h); Qa
is the incoming longwave radiation (W/m2 h); and Et
is the total emitted longwave radiation (W/m2 h).
The total emitted longwave radiation is given by the
Stefan–Boltzman law
Et Z 3sT4 (6)
where Et is the total emitted longwave radiation
(W/m2); 3 is the emissivity in the longwave portion of
the energy spectrum; s is the Stefan–Boltzman
constant (5.67!10K8 W mK2 KK4); and T is the
snow surface temperature (K). For ambient air
temperature ! 0 8C, the snow surface temperature
is assumed to equal the air temperature. For ambient
air temperature R0 8C, the snow is assumed to be
melting, and TZ273 K. Hence, assuming that the
emissivity 3 is 0.97 melting snow emits longwave
radiation at EtZ305 W/m2.
2.1.5. Latent and sensible heat transfer
Latent and sensible heat transfers are turbulent
transfer processes. Latent heat is either energy lost
from the snowpack due to evaporation and sublima-
tion or energy gained from condensation. Sensible
heat is attributed to the heat content of the air. A
common equation for the latent heat transfer is
(Eagleson, 1970)
Qe Z 2359:9!8:5keðztzbÞK1=6Ubðea KesÞ (7)
where Qe is the latent heat transfer (W/m2 h); zt is
the height above the surface at which the air
temperature measurements are made (ft); zb is the
height above the surface at which the wind speed
measurements are made (ft); Ub is the wind speed
(miles/h); ea is the vapor pressure at height zt (mb);
and es is the saturation vapor pressure at the snow
surface (mb). The factor 2359.9 converts inches to
W/m2 h, and the factor 8.5 accounts for the fact that
when the snowpack is ripe, the latent heat of
condensation will supply latent heat of fusion to
melt the snow. Due to the ratio of these latent heats
(600/80Z7.5), each inch of condensate will result
in 8.5 (that is, 7.5C1) inches of melt. This applies
to the evaporation process as well. In this study, the
coefficient ke is obtained through calibration to
snow evaporation measurements made in the field
study. Values of za, zb, Ub, ea, and es were obtained
from the University of Calgary’s weather station,
and used in the calculation of latent heat transfer.
The resultant values were compared to snow
evaporation loss measured in the field study.
Hence, the resultant ke coefficient is equal to
0.000035 in./h ft1/3 mi/h mbK1.
During snowmelt periods, heat is usually trans-
ferred from the air to the snowpack, because of the
snowpack’s colder temperature compared to the air
(sensible heat transfer term is positive). Similar to
latent heat transfer, sensible heat transfer depends on
the turbulence of the air. Assuming turbulent transfer
coefficients for heat and vapor are equal, sensible heat
transfer can be obtained using the Bowen ratio
(Anderson, 1973), expressed as
Qh
Qe
Z gTa KTo
ea Keo
(8)
where Qh is the sensible heat transfer (W/m2 h); Qe is
the latent heat transfer (W/m2 h); g is the psycho-
metric constant (mb 8CK1) (gZ0.00057Pa, where Pa
(mb) is the atmospheric pressure); To is the snow
surface temperature (8C); Ta is the temperature of
the air at za (8C); ea is the vapor pressure of the air at
zt (mb); and eo is the vapor pressure at the snow
surface (mb) (assumed equal to the saturation vapor
pressure at the snow surface temperature).
2.1.6. Advected heat from rain
The amount of heat transferred to the snow by
rainwater is directly proportional to the quantity of
rainwater and its temperature excess (O0 8C). For
every degree (8C) the rainwater is in excess of
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the snow temperature (0 8C), and for every gram of
rainwater, 1 cal heat is available. It takes 80 cal to
produce 1 g of meltwater from ice. Hence, the
advected heat transfer from rain is
Qm Z 93c
80PxðTa KTsÞ (9)
where Qm is the advected heat from rain (W/m2 h);
c is the specific heat of water (cZ1.0 cal/g 8C); Px is
the rainfall intensity (mm/h); Ta is the air temperature
(8C) and Ts is the snow surface temperature (8C). The
factor 93 converts mm to W/m2Kh.
2.1.7. Areal depletion curve
Areal depletion curves are used to determine the
areal extent of the snow cover at any given time. The
areal extent of snow cover on a catchment is
determined by the fraction of area covered by snow,
ASC, on the areal depletion curve. It is assumed that
for all areas there is a depth, SnowD, above which
there is always 100% cover. In this study, the value of
SnowD is arbitrarily fixed at 5 mm. The SWE depth
present on the catchment at any time is indicated by
the parameter Swe. This depth is nondimensionalized
by SnowD to calculate ASC. Thus, patches of bare
ground will only appear after snowmelt reduces Swe
to less than 5 mm. The fraction ASC is used to adjust
the volume of melt that occurs, since heat transfer
occurs only over the snow-covered areas. Snow depth
at time step 2 is then reduced from time step 1
according to
Swe2 Z Swe1 K ðMsr !ASCÞ (10)
Because of the heterogeneous nature of snowpack
in urban areas, melt rates are rarely uniform within the
urban catchment. Thus, five different areal depletion
curves are used in this study to determine ASC
for the different snow cover types. The curves used
in this study were developed through calibration
(see Section 2.2) as insufficient field data did not allow
for the development of actual areal depletion curves
as a function of landcover type.
2.1.8. Liquid water routing in the snowpack
Snowpack is a porous medium that has a certain
‘free water holding capacity’ at any given time. Thus,
not all melt immediately results in runoff. Following
the computer model SWMM (Huber and Dickinson,
1988), the free water holding capacity is assumed to
be a constant fraction, Fr, of the variable snow depth,
Swe at each time step. The value of Fr is normally less
than 0.10 and usually between 0.02 and 0.05 for deep
snowpacks (Huber and Dickinson, 1988). Anderson
(1973) reported that a value of 0.25 is not unreason-
able for shallow snowpacks. The free water holding
capacity for each subcatchment is computed as
follows (Huber and Dickinson, 1988)
FWC Z Fr !Swe (11)
where FWC is the free water holding capacity (mm); Fr
is a fraction of snow depth; and Swe is the snow depth
at any time step in water equivalent (mm). Values were
estimated from the sources quoted above and even-
tually calibrated (see Section 2.2). The volume of the
snowpack’s free water holding capacity must be
satisfied before runoff can be produced. By including
the free water holding capacity of the snowpack in the
simulation, runoff can be delayed and attenuated. Cold
content accounting of the snowpack, which may
further delay melt, is not conducted by the model as
it is assumed that the snowpack is fully primed and ripe
before any significant snowmelt runoff is observed.
2.1.9. Infiltration into frozen ground
Analysis from the University of Calgary field study
revealed that frozen ground acts as a near impervious
surface regardless of the condition of the initial soil
moisture content (Ho, 2002). Thus, infiltration of
snowmelt into frozen ground is minimal and assumed
negligible in this study and hence, was not pro-
grammed into the model. Instead, all pervious areas
can possibly contribute to runoff.
2.1.10. Net runoff
Runoff from snowmelt is produced after the free
water holding capacity of the snowpack is fulfilled.
Net runoff is a combination of areal weighted
snowmelt runoff from snow covered areas, and
rainfall falling on bare grounds.
NRunoff Z ASC!Msr C ð1:0 KASCÞPx (12)
where NRunoff is the net runoff (mm/h); and Px is the
rainfall intensity (mm/h).
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2.2. Study area and calibrations
The study area used in this research is the
McKenzie Lake community in South East Calgary.
It is a residential area that drains into the Bow River.
Flow data were measured at a manhole located in the
study area shown in Fig. 2. The distribution of landuse
was determined manually and is shown in Table 1.
The catchment did not include any commercial
centers, therefore, area Types 1 and 4 are not
simulated. Residential areas were selected as 40%
impervious, commercial and industrial areas were
selected as 75% impervious, and institutional areas
were selected as 70% impervious. These values are in
the upper part of the imperviousness ranges as
suggested by Chow (1964). The total catchment area
is 254,800 m2 while the pervious area amounts to
55.4% and the impervious area amounts to 44.6%.
Total impervious area measured is slightly higher than
values established from the literature because the
study area is a fairly new residential area, and
the ratios of house area to lot size is higher than in
slightly older communities.
Hourly meteorological data including precipi-
tation, temperature, relative humidity, vapor pressure,
wind speed, incoming shortwave radiation and long-
wave radiation were obtained from the University of
Calgary’s weather station. The University’s weather
station is less than 20 km of the study site. Flow data
measured at the outlet of the McKenzie watershed
were provided by the City of Calgary at hourly time
steps for the period between January 26 and February
28. A custom designed weir built to the dimensions of
the storm sewer pipe in conjunction with an ultrasonic
level sensor and a flow datalogger was used to
measure flow. An area–velocity sensor helped to
measure flows at times when overtopping of the weir
was possible. This time period was chosen because it
begins with a significant snowfall event of 15.3 mm
SWE in depth and calibrations were conducted over
this period. The study area in this research receives
fairly low snowfall amounts in general, but other
Canadian cities such as Quebec and Winnipeg receive
very high snowfall amounts. Advected heat from rain
was not simulated in this study as this event did not
occur in the study period.
A calibrated version of the complete USM model
predicted flowrates are compared to observed
flowrates. In addition, a modified USM model that
only uses short and long-wave radiation is also
assessed. This scaled down version of the model
was chosen as net radiation fluxes are quoted as the
dominant processes in urban areas. In this case,
Eqs. (7)–(9) are not used and Qe, Qh, Qg and Qm are
neglected and considered near zero in Eq. (2). In
addition, the degree-day method is tested along with
the SWMM model.
The SWMM model was selected because it is a
very popular model for use in urban areas. No rain on
snow events occurred during the study period so
SWMM was executed using only its internal degree-
day method at a daily time-step (the only time-step
allowed). In SWMM, snow is redistributed from
impervious areas to either: snow covered impervious
areas; snow covered pervious areas; snow covered
pervious areas in another subcatchment; snow trans-
ferred out of the watershed; and snow converted
immediately to melt on normally bare impervious
areas. There is a calibrated fraction of snow associated
with each redistribution type and the five fractions
should sum up to 1.0. In these tests, redistribution
from impervious areas to snow covered pervious areas
was the only type used as it was the only one that was
truly applicable, and thus, the fraction of snow
redistributed to pervious areas from impervious
areas was 1.0. SWMM also uses a variety of melt
coefficients for each cover type and a sinusoidal curve
to interpolate these coefficients to daily values over
the year. These are calibrated by the user. In each
case, except for SWMM, the models are tested using
redistributed and undistributed snowpacks according
to covers shown in Table 1. In the undistributed case,
the snow is homogenous throughout the catchment,
but the same albedo curves are used for each snow
cover type.
The full USM calibration involved manually
adjusting the areal depletion curves for each snow
cover type present in the catchment (see Fig. 3), and
adjusting the values of Fr. The initial values of Fr were
estimated from the literature and the calibrated Fr
values are shown in Table 2. Note that they are
slightly higher than those shown in the literature.
These values also apply to the modified USM model
application. Calibrated melt rate factors for each snow
cover type used in the application of the degree-day
method are shown in Table 3. Note that these values
Fig. 2. Study area (produced using 1:5000 City of Calgary digital aerial survey section map).
C. Valeo, C.L.I. Ho / Journal of Hydrology 299 (2004) 237–251 245
Fig. 3. Snow depletion curves.
C. Valeo, C.L.I. Ho / Journal of Hydrology 299 (2004) 237–251246
are lower than those quoted by Westerstrom (1984)
for a single asphalted study plot (1.5–6.5 mm/8C day
depending on how long the temperature was above 8C,
with lower melt rates occurring earlier in the melt
period), and for a snowmelt event from the Porson
Table 2
Calibrated fraction of snow depth Fr versus cover type
Type Cover type Initial Fr Fr
2 All level roads 0.02 0.03
3 Driveways and sidewalks 0.02 0.08
5 Road shoulders 0.02 0.03
6 Driveways/sidewalks edges 0.10 0.15
7 Rooftops 0.10 0.23
8 Parks, lawns, open areas 0.25 0.30
residential area (with roughly 4 ha of impervious area)
in Lulea, Sweden (2.8 mm/8C day). Those melt
factors were obtained for areas much smaller than
the impervious area in this study (over 11 ha)
Table 3
Calibrated melt factors used in degree-day method
Type Cover type Melt factor,
Mf (mm/8C day)
2 All level roads 0.2
3 Driveways and sidewalks 2.0
5 Road shoulders 0.2
6 Driveways/sidewalks edges 0.2
7 Rooftops 0.02
8 Parks, lawns, open areas 0.11
Table 4
Calibrated melt factors used in SWMM
Day Cover type Melt factor
(mm/8C-h)
June 21 Snow covered impervious area 0.100
June 21 Snow covered pervious area 0.150
June 21 Normally bare impervious area 0.001
Dec 21 Snow covered impervious area 0.020
Dec 21 Snow covered pervious area 0.020
Dec 21 Normally bare impervious area 0.000
Note that values for June 21 are maximum melt factor values and
values for December 21 are minimum melt factor values.
C. Valeo, C.L.I. Ho / Journal of Hydrology 299 (2004) 237–251 247
and were not obtained for individual urban snow
cover types as they have in this study. Thus, a
comparison of melt rates between the studies is
difficult to make. The calibrated SWMM melt
coefficients are shown in Table 4.
The models were assessed in the period of
February 1–22 in order to remove biases caused by
long periods of baseflow. The criteria to evaluate the
model performances in this period are based on
the resulting Nash and Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE)
measure (Nash and Sutcliffe, 1970) for the assessment
period; the total volumes; the ability to simulate peak
flowrates in four major peaks during the time period;
and the times to peak (measured from the start of the
rising limb to the peak flowrate value). Table 5 shows
the characteristics of the peak flowrates used to assess
the models and percent differences were computed as
(observedKpredicted)/observed.
3. Results and discussion
Fig. 4 shows the distribution of runoff type as
predicted by the full USM model for each snow cover
type. Runoff from roadways (Type 2 area) is intense
and starts early in the melt period. Due to traffic
activities, the runoff period is short as whatever little
Table 5
Observed peak characteristics
Day Time to peak (h) Peak flowrates (m3/h)
Feb 10 6 122
Feb 15 4 133
Feb 16 6 160
Feb 17 4 119
snow that is left from plowing/sanding melts off
quickly. Snow on roads is usually dirty and radiation
reflected or emitted from the asphalt back to the snow
can increase melt. Snow on driveways, sidewalks and
pathways (Type 3) melts in a similar manner as a
uniform snow cover. Snow is usually relatively clean
and assumes the albedo of a uniform snow cover in
this study. Snow on road shoulders (Type 5) is
simulated as a small dirty pile. Melt is intense, but the
magnitude of runoff is low, increasing with time as
snow albedo decreases, and runoff is sustained over a
long period. Although melt intensity is high, the area
covered by this snow cover is small, but contains a
high value of SWE; hence, flow remains low and is
sustained over several weeks. Snow on driveway/
sidewalk edges (Type 6) are simulated as small clean
piles. Snow is usually shoveled, but it does not contain
a high amount of dirt/sand. The start of runoff occurs
later in the melt period as snow albedo decreases
gradually. Similar to dirty snow piles, the runoff is
quite low, but sustained over a long period. Area
covered by this snow cover type is also relatively
small. Runoff from rooftops (Type 7) is intense and
lasts only several days. Snow on roofs is similar to
snow on roadways as most roofs are asphalt based.
Due to the relatively large area covered by this snow
cover type, the resulting magnitude of runoff is high.
Runoff in Type 8 areas (lawns, parks, and open
spaces) starts late in the melt period as the rate of
decrease of the snow albedo is lowest for this cover
type. When the snow albedo reaches a low enough
value so that energy for melt is available, the runoff is
intense and for only a relatively short period. The area
in the catchment covered by this snow type is quite
large.
Figs. 5–7 show the results of the simulations for the
various models. Tables 6 and 7 show the model
assessment results in the form of percent differences
in observed and predicted peak flowrates and
volumes, as well as Nash and Sutcliffe efficiencies.
From the graphs and tables, the full USM model
generally predicted both small and high peaks well,
although, the highest peak on the 16th is 10% lower
then the observed value. With the exception of the
degree-day method, this difference is small compared
to the other models.
The undistributed approach tends to overestimate
the small peaks that occur early in the melt period
Fig. 4. Predicted runoff from the different snow covered surfaces.
C. Valeo, C.L.I. Ho / Journal of Hydrology 299 (2004) 237–251248
more greatly than the distributed approach’s estimates
of the same peaks. This is because the amount of snow
that would be normally moved to road shoulders and
sidewalk edges is now remaining on impervious areas
that have albedo curves that decrease rapidly with
time. This means more snow is melting earlier than
expected.
The degree-day method hydrographs for both the
distributed and undistributed cases look very similar
and hence, the undistributed case was not shown. For
the large peak on the 16th, the degree-day method
fairs better in its prediction then any other model. This
is because the majority of snow coverage for this
catchment is in the form of Types 7 and 8 and hence,
the time at which this cover contributes to runoff is
mostly on the 15th–17th. Considering the relatively
small area of catchment that is not of Types 7 and 8,
both the hydrographs and the results seen in Table 6
are greatly influenced by other cover types.
Overall, all models predicted flow volumes
relatively well and within acceptable limits. The
high values of NSE for both the USM and modified
USM model (in distributed cases) is a testament to the
overall performance of the model. The modified USM
model tends to underestimate high peaks, but may be a
reasonable trade-off when data are lacking. The
degree-day method hydrograph looks good at first
glance, however, the NSE value for this case is low.
This is because this model has great difficulty
predicting the time to peaks in all cases. This problem
will greatly skew NSE values. The full USM model
provided the best prediction of times to peak while the
modified USM and SWMM models were also fairly
good in predicting times to peak.
Fig. 5. Observed flow versus full USM.
Fig. 6. Observed flow versus modified USM.
Fig. 7. Observed flow versus predicted flow by Degree-day method
and SWMM model.
Table 6
Comparison in time to peak and peak flowrates
Model Day in
Feb
Time to peak (h) %Difference in
peak flowrates
Redist. Undist. Redist. Undist.
Full USM 10 4 6 29 23
15 4 4 1 12
16 6 5 10 14
17 4 3 6 11
Modified USM 10 4 4 45 26
15 4 4 16 26
16 4 4 21 27
17 4 4 K7 0
Degree-day 10 9 9 55 61
15 5 5 K23 K18
16 5 5 1 K3
17 7 6 44 40
SWMM 10 4 – 52 –
15 5 – 51 –
16 4 – 50 –
17 4 – 61 –
C. Valeo, C.L.I. Ho / Journal of Hydrology 299 (2004) 237–251 249
Table 7
Comparison in volumes and Nash and Sutcliffe efficiencies
Model Total volume
(m3)
%Difference NSE
Observed 5452.80 – –
Full USM and
redistributed
snow
5229.38 4.1 74
Full USM and
undistributed
snow
5257.31 3.6 57
Modified USM
and redistribu-
ted snow
5414.95 0.7 69
Modified USM
and undistribu-
ted snow
5543.98 K1.7 55
Degree-day and
redistributed
snow
5751.26 K5.5 57
Degree-day and
undistributed
snow
5412.59 0.7 52
SWMM 5459.20 0.1 12
C. Valeo, C.L.I. Ho / Journal of Hydrology 299 (2004) 237–251250
The calibration of the SWMM model was the best
that could be obtained for this period. However, the
model performed poorly in terms of NSE values,
hydrographs, and peak flowrate values. This is
because SWMM’s degree-day method uses daily
estimates of minimum and maximum temperature
and an inadequate redistribution of urban snow. The
degree-day method applied by the authors used hourly
values of mean temperature.
4. Conclusions
This research shows that the manner in which
urban snow is redistributed can have a significant
impact on the timing and values of peak flowrates.
While most urban areas may have the majority surface
of area as pervious, the pervious area will contribute
directly to runoff with little infiltration. While piling
snow into piles and ploughing them along the sides of
roads delays their melt, this timing along with the melt
of open area snow can have significant impacts on the
resulting hydrographs.
The redistributed-full energy balance method of
USM fared the best in comparison to other models,
but the modified USM that only used net radiation
also fared respectably and can be used in areas
where a nearby meteorological station can at least
provide estimates of short and longwave radiation.
If the degree-day method must be used, then hourly
values of temperature are highly recommended.
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank Mr Charlie
Moxham from the Wastewater Division of the City
of Calgary for supplying the flow data, and Dr John
Yackel of the Department of Geography at the
University of Calgary for his insightful comments.
We would also like to thank Dr Jeffrey M. Rice and
an anonymous reviewer for their helpful comments
and suggestions. This work was supported by the
National Science and Engineering Council of Canada,
The Alberta Heritage Foundation, and the University
of Calgary.
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