modelling of the lithuanian energy sector · of gas supply system of oil supply oil products oil...
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Modelling of Modelling of the Lithuanian the Lithuanian energy energy sectorsector
A.GalinisA.Galinis
Lithuanian Energy Institute
Plan of presentationPlan of presentation
Overview of research area and selected modelsOverview of research area and selected models:: Model for analysis of Model for analysis of energyenergy sector development of sector development of Baltic statesBaltic states,, Model for analysis of Model for analysis of powerpower sector development of sector development of Baltic statesBaltic states,, Model for analysis of Model for analysis of energyenergy sector development of sector development of LithuaniaLithuania,, Model for analysis of Model for analysis of district heatingdistrict heating sector development of sector development of Kaunas municipalityKaunas municipality..
Overview of few studies prepared using various modelsOverview of few studies prepared using various models:: Impact of unit sizeImpact of unit size of the new Visaginas NPPof the new Visaginas NPP to the requirement of to the requirement of reserve capacityreserve capacity
and future development ofand future development of power systempower system. . Under contract with LEO LT, Under contract with LEO LT, 20092009,, Use of Use of renewable energyrenewable energy sources (biosources (bio--fuels, hydroenergy, solar energy, fuels, hydroenergy, solar energy,
geothermal energy, municipal waste, etc.) for production of energy. geothermal energy, municipal waste, etc.) for production of energy. Under contract with Ministry of energy, Under contract with Ministry of energy, 20102010,,
Strategy for development of Kaunas Strategy for development of Kaunas district heating sectordistrict heating sector. Under contract with . Under contract with Kaunas municipality, Kaunas municipality, 20122012..
Area of researchArea of research
Modelling and analysis of energy system development and operation in the region (Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland includinglinks with third countries);
Modelling and analysis of energy system development and operationof a single country (Lithuania, Latvia, Poland, Serbia, Mongolia, Sudan, Nigeria, etc.);
Modelling and analysis of single energy sector (Power sector, district heating sector, etc.);
Modelling and analysis of a single enterprise (Refinery, system ofdistrict heating, power plant, boiler-house).
Modelling and analysis of energy sModelling and analysis of energy sectorector development development in the in the Baltic Baltic region region
Fuel supply
Model of Estonian energy sector
Model of Latvian energy sector
Model of Lithuanian energy sector
Regional constrains,regional policymeasures
System ofelectricity and
heat generation
anddistribution
Finalenergy
demand
Systemof other
fuelsupply
Systemof gassupply
Systemof oil
supply
Oil products
Oil products
Gas
Gas
Other fuels
Other fuels
Electricity
HeatElectricityimport
Model of the Model of the Baltic power systemBaltic power system
Country 1
Impo
rt
Expo
rt
Country N
Impo
rtIm
port
Expo
rtEx
port
Sector of fuel
supply
Agregated electricity
distribution network in area of
each substations of the electricity transmission
network.
Expl
icitl
y gi
ven
elec
tric
ity d
eman
d
Small generators of electricity and district heat
In th
e ar
ea o
f eac
h su
bsta
tion
of th
e el
ectri
city
tran
smis
sion
net
wor
k
Agregated networks of district heat distribution in area of each substations of the electricity transmission network
Mar
ket o
f dis
trict
he
at
Sector of centralized electricity supply and district heat supply from CHP
High voltage electricity
transmission network
Agregated midle voltage electricity transmission-distribution network in
area of each substations of the electricity
transmission network.
Small generators of electricity and district heat
In th
e ar
ea o
f eac
h su
bsta
tion
of th
e el
ectri
city
tran
smis
sion
net
wor
k
Expl
icitl
y gi
ven
elec
tric
ity d
eman
dM
arke
t of d
istr
ict
heat
High voltage electricity
transmission network
Agregated midle voltage electricity transmission-distribution network in
area of each substations of the electricity
transmission network.
Sector of centralized electricity supply and district heat supply from CHP
Agregated networks of district heat distribution in area of each substations of the electricity transmission network
Agregated electricity
distribution network in area of
each substations of the electricity transmission
network.
RussiaNordel
Baltic power system and links with third countriesBaltic power system and links with third countries
Polish PSand link with UCTE
EstLink
LitPolLink
SwedLit
IPS/UPS
Representation of Polish power systemRepresentation of Polish power system
Representation of links with Representation of links with UCTE, Nordel,UCTE, Nordel,IPS/UPSIPS/UPS
Lines:Commissioning date,Throughput capacity,Losses,Investment and O&M cost,
Markets:Availability of electricity (bounds on flows in lines),Market prices and their variation (variable cost),Availability of reserve capacities of different type,
Others
How much primary reserve?it is necessary secondary reserve?to have tertiary reserve?
How much it primary reserve? is necessary to secondary reserve?have locally tertiary reserve?
How much it UCTE?is possible to NORDEL?get from IPS/UPS?
Depend on unitsize
Depend on normatives ofsystems
Depend on througputcapacity of links,import-export flows,type of links
Where, when, how big and what kind reserve capacity should be located?
What should be structure of power plants, their load, import-export of electricity in order to fulfill all this?
Will power system remain stableafter failure of nuclear unit?
Size of nuclear unit and rSize of nuclear unit and reserve capacityeserve capacity
Electricity productionElectricity production
Electricity production in Estonia
-5000
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
2001
2004
2007
2010
2013
2016
2019
2022
2025
2028
2031
2034
2037
2040
2043
Year
GW
h
ExportImportNew RES CHPNew gas CHPNew oil/gas CHPNew coal CHPNew coal PPNew CCGTRe Viru CHPRe Balti&Eesti PPDiesel PPHydro PPWind PPEx other CHPEx Viru CHPEx Iru CHPEx Eesti PPEx Balti PPTotal demandFinal demand
Electricity production in Latvia
-10000
-5000
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
2001
2004
2007
2010
2013
2016
2019
2022
2025
2028
2031
2034
2037
2040
2043
Year
GW
h
ExportImportNew waste inscNew hydro PPNew coal PPNew CCGTNew wood CHPNew other CHPNew Riga CHP-2New Riga CHP-1Wind PPSmall CHPEx Small HPPEx Riga CHP-2Ex Riga CHP-1Ex Daugava HPPTotal demandFinal demand
Electricity production in Lithuania
-20000
-10000
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
2001
2004
2007
2010
2013
2016
2019
2022
2025
2028
2031
2034
2037
2040
2043
Year
GW
h
From KalNPP
Export
Import
Kruonis HPSPP
New Mazeikiai unit
New coal PP
New RES CHP
New gas CHP
New CCGT PP
Wind PP
Small gas CHP
Lifosa CHP
Hydro PP
Klaipeda CHP
Mazeikiai CHP
Petrasiunai CHP
Kaunas CHP
Vilnius CHP-2
Vilnius CHP-3
Lithuanian 300
Lithuanian 150
Ignalina NPP
Total demand
Final demand
Electricity production (netto) in Poland
-50000
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
2027
2029
2031
2033
2035
2037
2039
2041
2043
2045
Year
GW
h
From Kal NPP
ExportImport
HPSPP
New RES PP
New nuclear PPNew CCGT PP
New lignite PP
New coal PP
New coal CHPNew gas CHP
Wind PP
Hydro PP
Ex CHPEx Katowice PP
Ex Bialsko Polnoc PP
Ex Bialsko Biala PP
Ex Jaworzno 2 PPEx Halemba PP
Ex Blachownia PP
Ex Stalowa Wola PP
Ex Skawina PPEx Belchatow PP
Ex Turow PP
Ex Potnow PP
Ex Adamow PPEx Konin PP
Ex Kozienice PP
Ex Dolna Odra PP
Ex Polaniec PPEx Rybnik PP
Ex Laziska PP
Ex Lagiska PP
Ex Siersza PPEx Ostroleka PP
Ex Opole PP
Ex Jaworzno PP
Total dem andFinal dem and
2020150 MW units at Lithuanian PP 300 8 8 28 36 0 0 1 2300 MW units at Lithuanian PP 1200 0 0 0 970 0 0 0 24New CCGT unit at Lithuanian PP 400 160 360 160 360 8 8 8 8Vilnius CHP-3 400 69 43 217 272 3 0 8 8Vilnius CHP-2 18 0 0 16 16 0 0 0 0Kaunas CHP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0New Kaunas CCGT CHP 163 88 146 146 146 3 3 3 3Petrasiunai CHP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Mazeikiai CHP 35 22 22 22 25 0 0 0 0Klaipeda CHP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0New Ignalina NPP unit 2 1600 0 0 1316 1341 0 0 48 48New Ignalina NPP unit 1 1600 1253 1253 1316 1316 0 0 0 0New Ignalina NPP unit 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0New Ignalina CCGT 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Kruonis HPSPP 800 0 0 0 36 0 0 0 0Kaunas hydro PP 101 20 73 20 91 1 1 1 1Small hydro PP 31 12 12 15 15 0 0 0 0Industrial CHP 33 30 30 0 30 0 0 0 0Wind PP 415 70 70 162 0 0 0 0 0New Panevezys CCGT CHP 70 8 25 57 57 0 0 0 0New coal PP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0New GT CHP 74 37 41 46 55 0 0 0 0Modular CHP 84 29 26 49 56 0 0 0 0Renewable CHP 77 42 53 65 69 0 0 0 0Total available 7401 1847 2161 3636 4891 16 12 70 94Total supplied 787* 1323* 1159* 1935* 16 12 70 94
Summer Min
Summer Max
Winter Min
Winter Max
Summer Min
Summer Max
Winter Min
Winter Max
Summer working day
Winter working day
Summer working day
Winter working day
Generation, MW Accesible primary reserve, MW
LEO9a4 Variantas5 Installed capacity in Lithuania,
MW
Elektrinės vardas
Generation, primary, secondary, tertiary reserves. Lithuania (Generation, primary, secondary, tertiary reserves. Lithuania (11))
150 MW units at Lithuanian PP 0 0 0 0 292 292 272 264300 MW units at Lithuanian PP 0 0 0 0 1200 1200 1200 230New CCGT unit at Lithuanian PP 240 40 240 40 240 40 240 40Vilnius CHP-3 0 0 0 0 331 357 183 128Vilnius CHP-2 0 0 0 0 18 18 2 2Kaunas CHP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0New Kaunas CCGT CHP 75 16 16 16 75 16 16 16Petrasiunai CHP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Mazeikiai CHP 0 0 0 0 13 13 13 10Klaipeda CHP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0New Ignalina NPP unit 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 284 259New Ignalina NPP unit 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0New Ignalina NPP unit 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0New Ignalina CCGT 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Kruonis HPSPP 800 800 800 764 800 800 800 764Kaunas hydro PP 81 27 81 10 81 27 81 10Small hydro PP 19 19 16 16 19 19 16 16Industrial CHP 0 0 0 0 3 3 33 3Wind PP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0New Panevezys CCGT CHP 62 45 13 13 62 45 13 13New coal PP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0New GT CHP 37 32 28 19 37 32 28 19Modular CHP 0 0 0 0 55 58 35 28Renewable CHP 0 0 0 0 35 24 12 8Total available 1313 980 1194 879 3260 2947 3228 1811Total supplied 637 721 1057 742 1730 1811 2204 1811
Summer Min
Summer Max
Winter Min
Winter Max
Summer Min
Summer Max
Winter Min
Winter Max
Summer working day
Winter working day
Summer working day
Winter working day
Accesible secondary reserve, MW
Accesible primary, secondary and tertiary
reserve, MWLEO9a4 Variantas5
Elektrinės vardas
Generation, primary, secondary, tertiary reserves. Lithuania (Generation, primary, secondary, tertiary reserves. Lithuania (22))
202011344 2891 4058 5943 7154 53 53 116 141
1000 0 0 -999.9 -254.6 100 100 100 1000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1000 -842.8 -472.9 -1015 -1015 1100 1100 1100 11000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2048 3585 3929 5885 1253 1253 1316 13411633* 2955* 2928* 4735* 1253 1253 1316 1341
Flow from IPS/UPSTotal availableTotal required*Galutiniai poreikiai
Generation by PP in EE, LV and LTFlow from FinlandFlow from SwedenFlow from UCTE
Baltic regionSummer Max
Winter Min
Winter Max
Summer working day
Winter working day
Summer working day
Winter working day
LEO9a4 Case5 Instaled capacity. Flows via lines, MW
Generation, MW Accesible primary reserve, MW
Source of reserve capacity Summer Min
Summer Max
Winter Min
Winter Max
Summer Min
Operation regime of the Baltic power system during Operation regime of the Baltic power system during maximal and minimal load in 2020maximal and minimal load in 2020
202011344 1385 1385 1449 1473 2691 2691 2881 29551000 0 0 0 0 100 100 100 100
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01000 0 0 0 0 1100 1100 1100 1100
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01385 1385 1449 1473 3891 3891 4081 41551385 1385 1449 1473 3891 3891 4082 4155
Summer Min
Summer Max
Winter Min
Winter Max
Accesible primary, secondary and tertiary
reserve, MW
Summer working day
Winter working day
Summer working day
Winter working day
Flow from IPS/UPSTotal availableTotal required
Accesible secondary reserve, MW
Summer Min
Summer Max
Winter Min
Winter Max
Generation by PP in EE, LV and LTFlow from FinlandFlow from SwedenFlow from UCTE
LEO9a4 Case5 Instaled capacity. Flows via lines, MW
Source of reserve capacity
Baltic region
ConclusionsConclusions
Due to lack of primary reserve unit size of even 500 MW of the new NPP is to big for Baltic states if their power system would operate isolatedand no reserve capacity would be obtained from UCTE, Nordel or IPS/UPS.
Unit size of 1600 MW is to big when power system of Baltic states operates synchronously with UCTE but capacity of the link is only 1000 MW. 1300 MW is acceptable. In the case larger unit is installed it’s operating capacity is reduced in order not to have possible disturbance in the system larger than available reserve capacity.
Unit size of 1600 MW is acceptable when power system of Baltic states operates synchronously with IPS/UPS.
CharacteristicsCharacteristics of of the the energy energy sector model of Lithuaniasector model of LithuaniaMunicipality A
Municipality Z
Land for growing of agricultural
products
Technologys for gathering and transportation of
agricultural by-products
Technologies for conversion of RES and distribution of products
Land for growing of energy crops
Technologies for growing, gathering and
transportation of energy crops
Demand of electricity, heat and
other products
ForestsTechnologies of
lumbering, transportation of wood and waste
Waste of cattle-ranches, industry,
sewageTechnologies for handling
of municipal wasteTechnologies for production of
heat and electricity
Municipal waste
Market of RES, technologies for their transportation at the
country level
Other countries
Market of other fuelsImport of other fuels and
energy
Export of other fuels and energy
Market of products
from RES, transportati
on technologie
s
Import of RES
Exportt of RES
Export of various products from RES
Import of various products from RES
Other RES (geothermal, hydro, wind, solar, ect.)
Technologies for
converssion of RES
and municipal
waste
Time period analysed 2006-2035,
5 time periods in a year,
60 types of fuels and energy,
About 8 thousands technologies andprocesses, ~2 millions variables,
From the set of existing and possiblenew technologies according least costcriterion select technologies,fuel and energy forms which satisfy final demand of consumers duringtime period analysed,
Linear programming.
Energy systems of all 60 municipalities
Energy market and large energy objects
Alternatives under considerationAlternatives under considerationElectricity sector:
a) Future operation of existing power plants and their refurbishment,b) Construction of new power plants (Wind, solar, hydro, gas PP, RES PP,
nuclear PP, etc.);
Sector of district heating:a) Future operation of existing boiler houses and CHP, their modernisation,
change of fuel types,b) Construction of new boiler houses and CHP on fossil fuel, bio fuel and municipal
waste, use of heat pumps;
Sector of decentralized heat supply:a) Future operation of existing equipments for space heating and hot water preparation,b) Construction of new equipments for space heating and hot water preparation
(bio fuel, fossil fuel, solar, geothermal, etc.);
Sector for production of bio fuel:a) Production of bio components from agricultural products for blending with
gasoline and diesel,b) Production of hard bio fuels from wood, wood waste, forestry waste, agricultural
products, etc.,c) Production of biogas from stock-rising waste, industrial and sewerage waste,
agricultural products, residues from production of liquid bio fuels, etc.;
RES in gross final demandRES in gross final demand
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
%
Year
Base HP
External cost HP
External cost expected HP
Expected HP
Base LP
External cost LP
External cost expected LP
Expected LP
RES in various sectorsRES in various sectors
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
%
Year
Base HP
External cost HP
External cost expected HP
Expected HP
Base LP
External cost LP
External cost expected LP
Expected LP0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
%
Year
Base HP
External cost HP
External cost expected HP
Expected HP
Base LP
External cost LP
External cost expected LP
Expected LP
ElectricityDistrict heating
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
%
Year
Share of decentralised heat generated from RES
Base HP
External cost HP
External cost expected HP
Expected HP
Base LP
External cost LP
External cost expected LP
Expected LP
0
20
40
60
80
100
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
%
Metai
Structure of fuel and energy used in the countryStructure of fuel and energy used in the country
Wood
Gas
Light oil products
CoalHeavy oil productsLPG
Heat from chemicalreactions and nuclear fuel
Imported electricity
Straw, grassBiogas
Municipal wasteShare of RES
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
%
Metai
AEI struktūra
Vėjo energija
Hidroenergija
Saules energija
Seklioji geotermija
Biodujos
Šiaudai, žolės ir jų produktai
Mediena ir jos produktai
Wind
Hydro
Solar
Geothermal
Biogas
Straw, grass and theirproductsWood and its products
Structure of RES
Year
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.4520
10
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Metai
%
Saules energija
Seklioji geotermija
Solar
Geothermal
Year
Production of electricityProduction of electricity
-2000
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
GW
h
Metai
Importas/eksportas
Kitos savivaldybių elektrinės
Savivaldybių AEI elektrinės
Anglies elektrinė
Kitos TE
Nauji KCDT blokai
Saulės elektrinės
Vėjo elektrinės
Hidroelektrinės
Lifosa
Ignalinos AE
Klaipėdos TE
Naujas Mažeikių TE blokas
Mažeikių TE
Petrašiūnų TE
Kauno KCDT TE
Kauno TE
Vilniaus KCDT TE
Vilniaus TE-2
Vilniaus TE-3
Lietuvos 300
Lietuvos 150
Galutiniai poreikiai
Wind PP
Lithuanian CCGT
CHP on RES
CHP on fossil fuel
Import
Ignalina NPP
Visaginas NPP
Hydro
150 MW
Lithuanian PP300 MW
units
Vilnius CHP-3Kaunas CHP
Final demand
Production of district heat according fuel typesProduction of district heat according fuel types
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Metai
GW
h
Wood
Straw, grass
BiogasGas and liquid fuel
Municipal wasteHeat from chemical reactions and nuclear fuel
Coal-peat
Electricity and geothermal heat
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Šilumos siurbliai 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.5 13.0 20.1 27.2 34.3
Nauji ekonomaizeriai 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9 12.0 11.2 10.3 13.8 17.3 20.8
Katilinės 6869.2 6534.2 6311.0 7157.2 5142.1 5136.5 5306.3 5475.9 4171.9 2867.8 2844.0 2820.1 2885.9 2951.7 3017.6
Elektrinės 5573.5 5940.2 6130.3 5885.8 7587.3 7709.1 7722.6 7736.0 9849.8 11963.4 11852.6 11741.6 11702.2 11662.9 11623.5
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
MW
h
Metai
Šilumos gamyba
Power plants
Boiler houses
Heat pumpsEconomizersBoiler housesPower plants
Production of district heatProduction of district heat
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
0.01
0.07
0.13
0.18
0.24
0.29
0.35
0.40
0.46
0.51
0.57
0.63
0.68
0.74
0.79
0.85
0.90
0.96
Apkr
ova,
san
t. v
nt.
Laikas metuose, sant. vnt.
Dujų/skysto kuro katilai
Dujų-krosnių kuro katilai
Kieto iškastinio kuro katilaiDujų-biodujų TE
CCGT TE
Biokuro TE
Kom atliekų TE
Gas boilers
Gas &liquid f. boilers
Hard f. boilers
Gas & biogas CHP
CCGT CHP
Bio fuel CHP
Waste incinerators
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Metai
RES
Fossil fuel
Installed capacity of boilers in municipalitiesInstalled capacity of boilers in municipalities
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
S60
S58
S56
S54
S52
S50
S48
S46
S44
S42
S40
S38
S36
S34
S32
S30
S28
S26
S24
S22
S20
S18
S16
S14
S12
S10 S
8S
6S
4S
2
S a viva ldybė
MW
2010
2020
Total
0102030405060708090
S60
S58
S56
S54
S52
S50
S48
S46
S44
S42
S40
S38
S36
S34
S32
S30
S28
S26
S24
S22
S20
S18
S16
S14
S12
S10 S
8
S6
S4
S2
S a viva ldybė
MW
2020
New bio-fuel boilers
0.0
500.0
1000.0
1500.0
2000.0
2500.0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Bazinis
Išorinių kaštų
Išorinių kaštų siektinas
Esamas siektinas
Išorinių kaštų siektinasC
Esamas siektinas C
Faktinės investici jos2005-08
Investments into electricity and district heat production units, Investments into electricity and district heat production units, Mln LtMln Lt
Actual investments in 2005-2008 made 45-62% from calculated values in 2010-2020 m.
Base HP
External cost HP
External cost expected HP
Expected HP
External cost HP C
Expected HP C
Actual investments in2005-2008
Model of district heating system (Model of district heating system (11))
KTE
Inkaro
Silko
PTE
Pergales
D16
D05
D03
D13
D12D11
D10D20
D19D17
D23
D22
D21
D29D28
D36
D35
D34
D32D31
D30
D40
D39D38
D48
D47
D45
D43
D42
D41
D49D57
D56
D54 D53
D52
D51
D60
D59
D61
Various modernisation options of generation sources,
Renovation of buildings and consequently reduced demand,
Renovation of district heat supply network taking into account building renovation,
Revenue from sold objects,
Special approach for counting heat losses in the network.
Model of district heating system (2)Model of district heating system (2)(Boiler(Boiler--house)house)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2032
2034
MW
Metai
Kiti šaltiniai
UAB "Fortum"
UAB "Valnetas" biokuro VŠK
UAB "MD Kaunas" biokuro VŠK
UAB "GECO (SSPC)" biokuro VŠK
UAB "SSPC-Taikos" biokuro TE
UAB "Optina" biokuro VŠK
UAB "Omniteksas" biokuro VŠK
UAB "Pram. energija" biokuro VŠK
UAB "Alma" biokuro VŠK
UAB "E5&CO" biokuro VŠK
UAB "Lorizon energy"
Kauno elektrinė
Petrašiūnų elektrinė
Inkaro katilinė
Šilko katilinė
Pergalės katilinė
Galutiniai poreikiai be taupymo
Poreikiai įskaitant nuostolius
Poreikiai įskaitant taupymą
Dynamics of installed capacities in Kaunas district hDynamics of installed capacities in Kaunas district heateating ing systemsystem
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2032
2034
GW
h
Metai
Kiti šaltiniai
UAB "Fortum"
UAB "Valnetas" biokuro VŠK
UAB "MD Kaunas" biokuro VŠK
UAB "GECO (SSPC)" biokuro VŠK
UAB "SSPC-Taikos" biokuro TE
UAB "Optina" biokuro VŠK
UAB "Omniteksas" biokuro VŠK
UAB "Pram. energija" biokuro VŠK
UAB "Alma" biokuro VŠK
UAB "E5&CO" biokuro VŠK
UAB "Lorizon energy"
Kauno elektrinė
Petrašiūnų elektrinė
Inkaro katilinė
Šilko katilinė
Pergalės katilinė
Galutiniai poreikiai be taupymo
Poreikiai įskaitant nuostolius
Poreikiai įskaitant taupymą
Dynamics of district hDynamics of district heat production in Kaunaseat production in Kaunas
Seasonal variation of district hSeasonal variation of district heat production in Kaunaseat production in Kaunas
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
Sausis Vasaris Kovas Balandis Gegužė Birželis Liepa Rugpjūtis Rugsėjis Spalis Lapkritis Gruodis
MW
Dujiniai VŠK
Biomasės VŠK
Dujinės TE
Kitos technologijos
Biomasės TE
Komunal. atliekų TE
Year 2019
Evolution of heat production costEvolution of heat production cost
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2032
2034
Lt/M
Wh
Lt 2006
Einamųjų metų Lt
2% inflationActual inflation
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