model building procedure for new production system
TRANSCRIPT
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MODEL BUILDING PROCEDURE FOR NEW PRODUCTION SYSTEM
Pathak R. Somani S(*, A, B)
, Pathak Ravindra(A), Somani S.K.
(B)
(A) Research Scholar, S Gyan Vihar University, Jaipur,india
(B) Professor, Medicaps Institute of Technology & Management, Indore, India
Abstract
Production system is very important aspect in industry and before making the investment to i nstall the new system or
modif ication in existing system, we can analyze the system performance only by simulation and modeling. Thi s paper
provides a method for development of mathematical model f or new production system. A mathematical model uses
symboli c notation and mathematical equati on to present a system. The art of modeling is enhanced by an abil it y to
abstract the essential featur es of problem, to select and modi fy basic assumpti ons that char acteri ze the system and then
to enrich and elaborate the model unti l a useful approximation anal ysis.
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1. Introduction
In manufacturing sector modeling has gained importance
in the past few years and allows engineers to imagine new
systems and enabling them to both quantify and observe
behavior. If the system is a production line, then
importance of Modeling is increased because it can be used
to study and compare alternative designs or to troubleshoot
existing systems. With simulation models, how an existing
system might perform if altered could explore, or how a
new system might behave before the prototype is even
completed, thus saving on costs and lead times. Modeling
and simulation are emerging as key technologies to support
manufacturing in the 21st century. However, there are
differing views on how best to develop, validate and use
simulation models in practice . Production and business
systems are key building blocks in the structure of modern
industrial societies. Companies and industrial firms,
through which production and business operations are
usually performed, represent the major sector of todays
global economy. Therefore, in the last decade, companies
have made continuous improvement in their production
and business systems a milestone in their strategic planning
for the new millennium.
It is usually asserted that production and business
operations have the potential to strengthen or weaken a
companys competitive ability. To remain competitive,
companies have to maintain a high level of performance by
maintaining high quality, low cost, short manufacturing
lead times, and a high level of customer satisfaction. As a
result of fierce competition and decreasing business safety
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margins, efficient and robust production and business
operations have become a necessity for survival in the
marketplace.
Many industrial engineering subjects, such as operations
research, quality control, and simulation, offer robust and
efficient design and problem-solving tools with the ultimate
aim of performance enhancement. Examples of this
performance include the throughput of a factory, the quality
of a product, or the profit of an organization. Simulation
modeling as an industrial engineering tool for system
design and improvement has undergone tremendous
development in the past decade. This can be pictured
through the growing capabilities of simulation software
tools and the application of simulation solutions to a variety
of real-world problems in different business arenas.
With the aid of simulation, companies have been able to
design efficient production and business systems, validate
and trade off proposed design solution alternatives,
troubleshoot potential problems, improve systems
performance metrics, and consequently, cut cost, meet
targets, and boost sales and profits. In the last decade,
simulation modeling has been playing a major role in
designing, analyzing, and optimizing engineering systems
in a wide range of industrial and business applications.
Recently, six-sigma practitioners started to recognize the
essential simulation role in system design, problem solving,
and continuous improvement. System-level simulation in
particular has become a key six-sigma tool for representing
and measuring the time-based performance of real-world
stochastic production and business systems. Examples
include six-sigma studies that are focused on enhancing the
productivity, quality, inventory, flow, efficiency, and lead
time in production and business systems. In these studies,
simulation is particularly essential for system
representation, performance evaluation, experimental
design, what-if analysis, and optimization. With such
capability, simulation modeling can be utilized as an
important tool in six-sigma.
What Is Modeling: A model is defined as a representation
of a system for the purpose of studying the system.
Modeling is the process of producing a model. A model is
similar to but simpler than the system it represents. One
purpose of a model is to enable the analyst to predict the
effect of changes to the system. On the one hand, a model
should be a close approximation to the real system and
incorporate most of its salient features. On the other hand,
it should not be so complex that it is impossible to
understand and experiment with it. A good model is a
judicious tradeoff between realism and simplicity.
Simulation practitioners recommend increasing the
complexity of a model iteratively. An important issue in
modeling is model validity. Model validation techniques
include simulating the model under known input
conditions and comparing model output with system
output. Generally, a model intended for a simulation study
is a mathematical model developed with the help of
simulation software.
Models can be classified in mathematical or physical. A
simulation model is a particular type of mathematical
model of system. Simulation model may be classified in
static or Dynamic, deterministic or stochastic and discrete
or Continuous. Static simulation model is representation of
system at a particular point in time where as Dynamic
simulation represent as they change over time.
Deterministic models have a known set of inputs and in
stochastic has one or more random variables as inputs. A
discrete system is one which the state variables change only
at a discrete set of points in time but a continuous system is
one which the state variables change continuously over
time.Today, simulation is being used for a wide range of
applications in both manufacturing and business
operations. As a powerful tool, simulation models of
manufacturing systems are used:
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To determine the throughput capability of a manufacturing
cell or assembly line
To determine the number of operators in a labor-intensive
assembly process
To determine the number of automated guided vehicles in a
complex material-handling system
To determine the number of carriers in an electrified
monorail system
To determine the number of storage and retrieval machines
in a complex automated storage and retrieval system
To determine the best ordering policies for an inventory
control system
To validate the production plan in material requirement
planning
To determine the optimal buffer sizes for work-in-progress
products
To plan the capacity of subassemblies feeding a production
mainline
For business operations, simulation models are also being
used for a wide range of applications:
To determine the number of bank tellers, which results in
reducing customer waiting time by a certain percentage
To design distribution and transportation networks to
improve the performance of logistic and vending systems
To analyze a companys financial system
To design the operating policies in a fast-food restaurant to
reduce customer time-in-system and increase customer
satisfaction
To evaluate hardware and software requirements for a
computer network
To design the operating policies in an emergency room to
reduce patient waiting time and schedule the working
pattern of the medical staff
To assess the impact of government regulations on different
public services at both the municipal and national levels
To test the feasibility of different product development
processes and to evaluate their impact on companys budget
and competitive strategy
To design communication systems and data transfer
protocols
2. Model Building Procedure
The following procedure was developed based primarily on
the steps proposed by Shannon [2] and Banks [1]:
Objectives of Production System: Every study should
begin with a statement of problem. The analyst must ensure
that the problem being described is clearly understood.
Setting of Objectives and overall project plan: The
objective indicate that it should include the plans for the
study in terms of the number of people involved, the cost of
the study and the number of days required to accomplish
each phase of the work along with the result expected at the
end of each stage. Being sure that we have sufficient and
appropriate personnel, management support computer
hardware and software resources to do the job.
Conceptual Model Formulation: Developing a
preliminary model either graphically (e.g. block diagram or
process flow chart) or in pseudo-code to define the
components, descriptive variables, and interactions (logic)
that constitute the system. Selecting the factors to be
varied, and the levels ofthose factors to be investigated, i.e.what data need to be gathered from the model, in what
form, and to what extent. Agreeing the required outputs of
the experiment
Data Collection: Identifying and collecting the input data
needed by the model. Defining the data sources and
standardizing the formatting.
Model Translation: Models require a lot of information
storage and computation so formulating the model in an
appropriate simulation language and coding the data.
Verification: Concerns the simulation model as a
reflection of the conceptual model.Does the simulation
correctly represent the data inputs and outputs.
Validation: Provides assurance that the conceptual model
is an accurate representation ofthe real system. Can the
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model be substituted for the real system for the purposes of
experimentation?
Final Experimental Design: Designing an experiment
that will yield the desired information and determining
how each of the test runs specified in the experimental
design is to be executed.
Experimentation: Executing the simulation to generate
the desired data and to perform sensitivity analysis.
Analysis and Interpretation:Drawing inferences from the
data generated by the simulation runs.
Implementation and Documentation: Reporting the
results, putting the results to use,recording the findings,
and documenting the model and its use
3. Areas of Modeling
In general, whenever there is a need to model and analyze
randomness in a system, Modeling is the tool of choice.
More specifically, situations in which simulation modeling
and analysis is used include the following:
(a) It is impossible or extremely expensive to observe
certain processes in the real world, e.g., next year' cancer
statistics, performance of the next space shuttle, and the
effect of Internet advertising on a company's sales.
(b) Problems in which mathematical model can be
formulated but analytic solutions are either impossible
(e.g., job shop scheduling problem, high order difference
equations) or too complicated (e.g., complex systems like
the stock market, and large scale queuing models).
(c) It is impossible or extremely expensive to validate the
mathematical model describing the system, e.g., due to
insufficient data.
4. Conclusion
The model proved to be an effective design and planning
tool. The model was an integral part of the facility design
process. It was used as a decision support system to help
designers quickly assess the performance of various
alternative production configurations and resource
allocations without investment. It is useful for testing,
analysis or training where real-world systems or concepts
can be represented by a model.
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