Minnesota Polling

Executive Summary

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 600 registered voters in Minnesota. The poll was conducted on June 19h and has a margin of error of 4.0%. The survey was collected from respondents using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phone users. The results are weighted by voting demographics. The poll was paid for by GMI.

1) If the election for President were held today, for whom would you vote?

Ideology Age group Gender

Moderate

Somewhat

Conservative

Somewhat

Liberal

Very

Conservative

Very

Liberal 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Female Male

Q1:

BIDENVSTRUMP

Donald Trump 18.2% 68.6% 6.0% 92.0% 5.6% 19.5% 40.1% 39.3% 39.3% 36.7% 36.5%

Joe Biden 64.8% 22.7% 88.9% 8.0% 85.4% 60.6% 49.0% 53.3% 55.3% 53.9% 53.3%

Uncertain 17.0% 8.6% 5.1% 0.0% 9.0% 19.9% 10.8% 7.4% 5.4% 9.5% 10.2%

Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870

2) If you had to choose, for whom would you vote?

Ideology Age group Gender

Moderate

Somewhat

Conservative

Somewhat

Liberal

Very

Conservative

Very

Liberal 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Female Male

Q2:

BIDENVSTRUMP2

N/A 83.0% 91.4% 94.9% 100.0% 91.0% 80.1% 89.2% 92.6% 94.6% 90.5% 89.8%

Donald Trump 8.7% 5.2% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 10.8% 6.3% 3.7% 2.3% 6.0% 4.3%

Joe Biden 8.3% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0% 9.0% 9.1% 4.5% 3.7% 3.2% 3.5% 6.0%

3) Q1 and Q2 Combined

Ideology Age group Gender

Moderate

Somewhat

Conservative

Somewhat

Liberal

Very

Conservative Very Liberal 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Female Male

Q3:

Q1ANDQ2

Donald Trump 26.9% 73.8% 11.1% 92.0% 5.6% 30.3% 46.4% 43.0% 41.5% 42.7% 40.7%

Joe Biden 73.1% 26.2% 88.9% 8.0% 94.4% 69.7% 53.6% 57.0% 58.5% 57.3% 59.3%

4) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of President Trump’s job performance?

Ideology Age group Gender

Moderate

Somewhat

Conservative

Somewhat

Liberal

Very

Conservative

Very

Liberal 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Female Male

Q4:

TRUMPPERFORMANCE

Somewhat Approve 10.5% 20.1% 4.0% 7.7% 0.0% 11.3% 12.2% 8.7% 8.2% 11.0% 8.8%

Somewhat

Disapprove 15.5% 12.4% 7.7% 0.0% 0.0% 23.6% 11.1% 3.8% 7.4% 10.1% 9.2%

Strongly Approve 19.2% 47.2% 3.3% 89.0% 6.4% 22.0% 29.0% 37.3% 32.7% 32.1% 30.9%

Strongly

Disapprove 52.1% 17.2% 82.9% 3.3% 83.0% 35.6% 45.1% 48.0% 49.9% 43.3% 48.6%

Uncertain 2.7% 3.2% 2.1% 0.0% 10.6% 7.4% 2.6% 2.2% 1.8% 3.6% 2.4%

5) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Governor Tim Walz’s job performance?

Ideology Age group Gender

Moderate

Somewhat

Conservative

Somewhat

Liberal

Very

Conservative

Very

Liberal 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Female Male

Q5:

WALZPERFORMANCE

Somewhat Approve 26.5% 26.6% 35.3% 9.7% 10.9% 33.1% 33.8% 14.1% 20.3% 20.0% 28.7%

Somewhat

Disapprove 20.0% 23.8% 5.4% 11.2% 0.0% 28.4% 14.0% 11.5% 12.6% 13.9% 16.3%

Strongly Approve 41.3% 17.1% 53.7% 10.7% 77.1% 20.9% 24.4% 47.8% 48.7% 40.2% 33.7%

Strongly Disapprove 10.5% 31.8% 4.4% 62.0% 10.7% 14.2% 24.7% 25.9% 16.7% 23.3% 19.7%

Uncertain 1.6% 0.8% 1.2% 6.4% 1.3% 3.4% 3.2% 0.7% 1.8% 2.5% 1.5%

6) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Tina Smith’s job performance?

Ideology Age group Gender

Moderate

Somewhat

Conservative

Somewhat

Liberal

Very

Conservative

Very

Liberal 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Female Male

Q6:

SMITHPERFORMANCE

Somewhat Approve 33.7% 17.0% 39.1% 6.4% 36.5% 34.0% 24.0% 28.0% 26.1% 23.3% 31.9%

Somewhat

Disapprove 18.6% 33.2% 5.2% 16.3% 0.0% 18.2% 19.9% 14.1% 17.7% 19.0% 15.3%

Strongly Approve 19.2% 8.7% 30.0% 6.5% 43.4% 15.8% 6.0% 26.5% 27.8% 22.2% 16.0%

Strongly Disapprove 10.4% 26.8% 6.9% 51.1% 6.9% 14.3% 19.8% 22.3% 16.2% 19.5% 18.4%

Uncertain 18.1% 14.4% 18.7% 19.7% 13.2% 17.7% 30.3% 9.0% 12.2% 16.1% 18.4%

7) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Amy Klobuchar’s job performance?

Ideology Age group Gender

Moderate

Somewhat

Conservative

Somewhat

Liberal

Very

Conservative

Very

Liberal 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Female Male

Q7:

KLOBUCHARPERFORMANCE

Somewhat

Approve 20.8% 15.9% 20.5% 2.5% 30.2% 16.7% 24.2% 16.7% 12.3% 14.7% 21.4%

Somewhat

Disapprove 11.5% 24.2% 1.0% 14.3% 6.0% 21.7% 7.4% 12.7% 11.4% 13.2% 11.0%

Strongly Approve 43.6% 20.2% 61.8% 9.3% 51.7% 29.8% 21.1% 45.3% 51.9% 39.2% 35.6%

Strongly

Disapprove 13.4% 35.3% 9.5% 62.0% 7.5% 19.3% 29.6% 23.0% 21.9% 25.2% 22.9%

Uncertain 10.7% 4.4% 7.3% 11.9% 4.6% 12.5% 17.7% 2.4% 2.6% 7.8% 9.1%

8) Whom do you trust to better handle the economy?

Ideology Age group Gender

Moderate

Somewhat

Conservative

Somewhat

Liberal

Very

Conservative Very Liberal 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Female Male

Q8:

ECONOMY

Donald Trump 28.0% 76.5% 11.1% 94.4% 5.8% 41.7% 46.4% 43.7% 39.0% 42.8% 43.5%

Joe Biden 56.5% 18.0% 88.0% 5.6% 89.3% 43.6% 46.0% 51.5% 54.4% 50.6% 48.1%

Uncertain 15.5% 5.5% 0.9% 0.0% 4.9% 14.7% 7.6% 4.7% 6.6% 6.6% 8.4%

9) Do you feel that the four Minneapolis Police officers charged in the death of George Floyd are guilty?

Ideology Age group Gender

Moderate

Somewhat

Conservative

Somewhat

Liberal

Very

Conservative Very Liberal 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Female Male

Q9:

GUILTYPOLICE

All 54.3% 39.2% 62.6% 34.0% 73.8% 73.3% 57.9% 39.2% 46.3% 50.8% 52.0%

Chauvin 24.9% 39.3% 23.9% 37.3% 13.9% 18.1% 26.5% 33.2% 31.4% 29.4% 27.7%

None 4.5% 5.5% 1.4% 2.9% 0.0% 1.7% 2.2% 5.8% 3.0% 3.3% 3.8%

Uncertain 16.3% 15.9% 12.1% 25.9% 12.3% 6.9% 13.4% 21.8% 19.2% 16.5% 16.5% 10) Is your impression of the protests around the nation sparked by the death of George Floyd mostly positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative, or mostly negative?

Ideology Age group Gender

Moderate

Somewhat

Conservative

Somewhat

Liberal

Very

Conservative

Very

Liberal 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Female Male

Q10:

PROTESTOPINION

Mostly negative 24.4% 47.1% 11.2% 76.9% 6.5% 8.2% 39.1% 39.2% 32.9% 33.1% 33.0%

Mostly positive 25.1% 8.4% 34.2% 6.6% 60.1% 35.0% 23.9% 20.3% 20.9% 27.6% 19.3%

Somewhat

negative 1.7% 3.4% 8.3% 0.0% 3.9% 4.1% 4.5% 3.3% 0.8% 3.4% 3.0%

Somewhat

positive 44.1% 36.3% 44.3% 12.6% 24.4% 42.5% 28.7% 35.6% 41.4% 30.5% 42.1%

Uncertain 4.6% 4.7% 2.0% 3.8% 5.1% 10.3% 3.8% 1.6% 4.0% 5.4% 2.6%

11) Which of the following comes closest to your view on the Minneapolis police department?

Ideology Age group Gender

Moderate

Somewhat

Conservative

Somewhat

Liberal

Very

Conservative

Very

Liberal 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Female Male

Q11:

MINNEAPOLISPOLICEVIEW

Defunded 9.7% 1.5% 12.5% 6.4% 25.3% 24.5% 12.4% 4.5% 2.9% 9.3% 9.6%

Demilitarized 12.5% 4.7% 10.3% 0.0% 3.8% 3.6% 6.5% 11.4% 6.7% 8.7% 6.7%

Disbanded 6.8% 2.5% 8.2% 2.6% 19.6% 13.5% 8.7% 5.1% 1.9% 6.2% 7.3%

None 6.7% 25.3% 2.0% 36.0% 5.8% 6.1% 13.2% 18.6% 14.0% 13.7% 14.6%

Reformed 64.4% 66.1% 67.1% 55.1% 45.6% 52.3% 59.2% 60.3% 74.5% 62.2% 61.9%

12) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the decision to put Attorney General Keith Ellison in charge of the prosecution of the four Minneapolis police officers in the George Floyd case?

Ideology Age group Gender

Moderate

Somewhat

Conservative

Somewhat

Liberal

Very

Conservative

Very

Liberal 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Female Male

Q12:

ELLISONOPINION

Somewhat Approve 35.7% 31.9% 16.8% 13.0% 16.2% 38.9% 23.2% 26.0% 22.5% 22.3% 30.8%

Somewhat

Disapprove 13.8% 11.9% 4.4% 5.7% 5.2% 14.2% 6.1% 10.3% 10.6% 9.9% 9.6%

Strongly Approve 27.2% 7.3% 60.5% 1.4% 66.4% 18.8% 24.7% 34.5% 31.8% 29.5% 27.8%

Strongly Disapprove 10.7% 38.0% 5.0% 68.8% 5.8% 11.3% 31.2% 24.2% 21.7% 24.4% 22.9%

Uncertain 12.6% 10.9% 13.4% 11.1% 6.4% 16.9% 14.8% 5.0% 13.4% 13.9% 9.0%

13) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of your local police department?

Ideology Age group Gender

Moderate

Somewhat

Conservative

Somewhat

Liberal

Very

Conservative

Very

Liberal 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Female Male

Q13:

LOCALPOLICEVIEW

Somewhat Approve 24.6% 24.2% 36.5% 14.5% 40.7% 20.5% 23.0% 30.0% 30.2% 23.5% 30.1%

Somewhat

Disapprove 15.8% 5.4% 13.2% 0.0% 13.3% 18.8% 9.5% 11.7% 4.7% 10.3% 10.7%

Strongly Approve 48.3% 65.1% 33.0% 84.0% 15.0% 30.2% 54.5% 53.8% 57.8% 55.6% 46.6%

Strongly Disapprove 4.7% 3.2% 5.1% 1.1% 26.8% 13.0% 8.1% 2.4% 3.8% 5.0% 7.1%

Uncertain 6.6% 2.1% 12.3% 0.5% 4.2% 17.5% 4.9% 2.1% 3.4% 5.6% 5.5%

14) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the Black Lives Matter movement?

Ideology Age group Gender

Moderate

Somewhat

Conservative

Somewhat

Liberal

Very

Conservative

Very

Liberal 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Female Male

Q14:

BLACKLIVESMATTER

Somewhat Approve 34.5% 23.8% 32.7% 1.0% 12.1% 21.7% 22.0% 23.9% 31.7% 21.0% 29.1%

Somewhat

Disapprove 15.1% 19.9% 10.5% 14.4% 1.7% 11.2% 9.9% 17.5% 15.8% 16.0% 11.6%

Strongly Approve 30.4% 10.2% 51.7% 11.2% 80.4% 54.7% 32.4% 27.8% 21.4% 33.2% 30.0%

Strongly Disapprove 14.8% 38.6% 1.6% 66.0% 5.8% 6.1% 31.0% 25.5% 26.1% 25.0% 23.6%

Uncertain 5.2% 7.5% 3.5% 7.3% 0.0% 6.3% 4.8% 5.3% 5.0% 4.8% 5.8%

15) In the 2016 Presidential election whom did you vote for?

Ideology Age group Gender

Moderate

Somewhat

Conservative

Somewhat

Liberal

Very

Conservative

Very

Liberal 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Female Male

Q15:

2016ELECTIONVOTE

Didn't vote 19.3% 7.0% 8.8% 1.2% 13.5% 43.5% 8.0% 4.2% 5.8% 11.6% 11.6%

Donald

Trump 25.3% 64.6% 9.0% 91.4% 5.8% 23.6% 42.4% 41.5% 40.3% 38.5% 39.2%

Gary Johnson 4.7% 10.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 4.6% 6.1% 2.9% 2.9% 3.6% 4.6%

Hillary Clinton 48.0% 17.4% 77.4% 6.9% 80.7% 25.9% 41.9% 48.6% 50.3% 45.5% 41.5%

Jill Stein 2.6% 0.9% 4.1% 0.0% 0.0% 2.4% 1.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.8% 3.1%

The following questions are for demographic purposes:

16) What is your party affiliation?

17) What is your political ideology?

18) Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?

19) What race do you identify yourself as?

20) Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

21) What is the highest level of education have you completed?

22) How old are you?

23) What is your gender?

24) Are you registered to vote in Minnesota?