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National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 [email protected] https://ntrs.nasa.gov/search.jsp?R=20170010455 2020-07-14T04:02:29+00:00Z

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Page 1: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

National Aeronautics and Space Administration

1

Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft

Disposal

Jack Bacon

NASA Johnson Space Center XI4

[email protected]

https://ntrs.nasa.gov/search.jsp?R=20170010455 2020-07-14T04:02:29+00:00Z

Page 2: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

National Aeronautics and Space Administration

2

Mass in Orbit

TBD Fraction of

functioning

spacecraft have

de-orbit capability

~97% of mass in

orbit cannot target

entry in traditional

ways

Page 3: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

National Aeronautics and Space Administration

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Two Approaches to Stormy Seas:

Let the environment

determine your fate

Use the environment to

determine your fate

Corey Wilson/CNN

Shipwreck, 1854 - Ivan Aivazovsky

Page 4: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

National Aeronautics and Space Administration

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Random Entry Forecast Errors

Page 5: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

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Error Shrinks, But Doesn’t Vanish

Page 6: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

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Example Final 36 hours of SL4

Decay (Simulated)

Altitude Km

vs Latitude

Radius Km

vs LatitudeAtm. Density

vs Latitude

Oblate Earth

lowers

altitude at

equator

Earth J2

raises radius

at equator

The “wall of air”

is evident in the

density history

Page 7: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

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F(10.7) Has Little Effect at Low Altitudes

The last 12 hours of decay

Page 8: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

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Kp in a 3 Period in 2016

3

5

Page 9: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

National Aeronautics and Space Administration

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Environment (and Corrections) Can Exceed

Available Target Region in Last ½ Day

Page 10: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

National Aeronautics and Space Administration

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Finding a Target Region

Image: oceanworld.tamu.edu & Polartec.com

Page 11: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

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Ships at Sea

Image Credit: FFI/ESA NORAIS Team

Page 12: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

National Aeronautics and Space Administration

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Skylab Decay

Skylab natural decay forecast

Skylab tumbling decay forecast

Skylab entry

Page 13: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

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Page 14: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

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Page 15: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

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Page 16: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

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Page 17: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

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Uprange/Downrange Error

ArgLat = 90 ArgLat = 270ArgLat = 180

Page 18: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

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Page 19: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

National Aeronautics and Space Administration

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Skylab Entry

Image:.Patera, Russell P. (2005)

Page 20: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

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7.3 m/sec Applied 3 Orbits Early

Page 21: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

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Decay Clustering Near Perigee

Sparse entry spacing

Precessed Perigee on Entry Day

Dithered linear steps in BN lead to 360

degrees of entry phasing

Dense entry spacing

Page 22: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

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Decay Clustering Near Perigee

Precessed Perigee on Entry Day

Entry moves farther

downrange than prior

case because of issue at

extreme latitudes and due

to higher initial eccentricity

Page 23: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

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Setting Up Perigee

Precession of the line of apsides is visible.

This is the primary set-up method to be in

proper position over the target region on entry

day for an ion-drive assisted entry.

Page 24: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

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Eccentricity Shrinks, but is Still a Driver

Page 25: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

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Extra Eccentricity Tricks

Drag-Based Thrust-Based

Strategic Tumble Modes to Increase Eccentricity

Page 26: Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal...National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Minimum dV for Targeted Spacecraft Disposal Jack Bacon NASA Johnson Space Center XI4 john.bacon-1@nasa.gov

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18 Control Points

1. Global Positioning System (GPS) is important

2. Final maneuvering must come very late

3. Requires active control of the spacecraft’s

area.

4. Must command while under positive control.

5. Reference attitude change timing is one

quarter day (4 orbits) before the predicted

entry accounting for the transition.

6. Final day of decay is unaffected by the F(10.7)

solar flux

7. Kp can be predicted << 3σ absolute change

rate

8. Along-track dispersions are greatest in

extreme latitudes

9. Highest possible drag is beneficial in

reducing dispersions in the final phases.

10. Put final controllable perigee passes in

darkness.

11. Propellant demand numbers in this study

assume only one attitude transition

– However, ongoing projected area control is an

opportunity to reduce propellant use in earlier phases.

12. Final selection from among target zones

can be made very late (and may help)

13. If the entry requires the longest possible

target zone, careful and very early

attention (measured in months) is needed

to align the ground track

14. All phasing burns should be done to

position the perigee just uprange of the

footprint area on entry day.

15. Eccentricity should be maximized while

meeting all other constraints.

16. One can use one-half orb-rate tumble to

add to the eccentricity, in the right

conditions.

17. One can use solar-inertial attitude and

every-half-orbit firing to exaggerate

eccentricity.

18. In ion propulsion, there is a trade to be

made on which eccentricity enhancement

mode is preferable

– In conventional-thrust or zero-thrust cases, only

the drag mode would apply.