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  • 8/3/2019 Micro Lecture 2 Theory of Demand Supply and Market Equlibrium

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    BS1163 Introductionto Microeconomics:

    Lecture 2The Theory of

    Demand, Supply, andMarket Equilibrium

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    1.2

    Economic Systems - The Process ofAllocation Can Be Handled Differently

    Command economy - decisions aretaken by government and its agencies

    Free market - changes in prices act assignals to consumers and firms and directresources to their allocations

    Mixed economy - such as the UK,combines elements of both

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    Commandeconomy

    free-marketeconomy

    N. Korea

    Cuba Poland France

    UK

    USA

    Early 1980s

    Classifying economic systems

    China Hong

    Kong

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    Commandeconomy

    free-marketeconomy

    N. Korea

    N. Korea

    Cuba

    China

    Poland

    Poland France

    France

    UK

    UKUSA

    USA

    Early 1980s

    Early 2000s

    Classifying economic systems

    China Hong

    Kong

    CubaChina

    (HongKong)

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    Advantages of Markets

    Prices transmit information betweenbuyers and sellers

    no need for costly bureaucracy

    incentives to be efficient - because of

    profit and utility maximisation competitive markets are responsive to

    consumers

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    Disadvantages of Markets

    competition may be limited: problem ofmarket power

    inequality -prices distribute income the environment and other social goals

    may be ignored

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    Reality - A Mixed Economy

    A mixed economy such as in the UKresults when society employs markets

    where they workBut uses regulation and government

    provision where markets dont work

    Important Lesson - An economy thatallocated resources purely with themarket mechanism would beinefficient.

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    Demand and Supply:

    A Model of How MarketsDetermine the Prices and

    Quantities of Goods Sold

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    1.9

    Price and Opportunity Cost

    Price is the number of dollars that mustbe given up in exchange for an item this is referred to as the money price.

    The ratio of one price to another isreferred to as the relative price.

    Relative prices are opportunity costs.

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    1.10

    Price and Opportunity Cost

    Relative Prices

    price index

    Supply and demand determines relative prices.

    Price falling means the price falls relative to theaverage price of other goods and services.

    Computers and Air Travel are both examples ofgoods with prices that have declined in relative termsover the past 30 years.

    E.g their prices in nominal terms have risen less fastthan general price inflation, or may even have fallen

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    1.11

    Moores Law and the Cost/Price of

    Computers In 1970 Gordon Moore predicted that the number of

    transistors on a chip would double every two years.

    This also means that the average cost of producing chipshas declined over time. As this cost reducing effect hasoutstripped the increase in demand for computers, prices

    in both nominal and real terms for computers have fallen .e.g opportunity costs have declined. Source:

    http://www.intel.com/technology/mooreslaw/index.htm

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    1.12

    Historically Commodity Prices have been falling given bettertechnology and new sources, but in past few years this trend hasbeen reversed as demand (fueled by Chinese and other growth)has outstripped supply: Example Canadian Commodity Prices.

    Source: http://www.bankofcanada.ca/bcpi/web_annual.pdf

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    1.13

    This has a follow on effect in the currency markets, as The Economist ArticleThe Looney Takes Wing Sept 27th 2007, discusseshttp://www.economist.com/world/la/displaystory.cfm?story_id=9867397

    This shows interrelationshipbetween markets with conditionsin one market (e.g demand andsupply of commodities, influenci

    market outcomes in the currencymarkets

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    The Theory of

    DEMAND

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    1.15

    What Determines Buyingplans?

    The Most Important Factor

    The price of a good

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    1.16

    Demand Schedule - lists the quantitiesdemanded at each possible price (ceterisparibus).

    a 1 9b 2 6

    c 3 4

    d 4 3

    e 5 2

    Price Quantity(dollars per Video) (millions of videos per week)

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    1.17

    Demand Curve - shows the relationshipbetween the quantity demanded of a good andits price (ceteris paribus).

    0 2 4 6 8 10

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    e

    d

    c

    b

    a

    Quantity (millions of videos per week)

    Price(dollarpervideo)

    Demand for videos

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    Quantity Demanded Is the specific quantity of a good that

    buyers wish to purchase at a particular

    price. A specific point on the demand curve

    Demand the quantity of a good buyers wish to

    purchase at each conceivable price

    The entire demand curve

    Demand vs. Quantity Demanded

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    1.19

    When Prices Change, this causes achange in the Quantity Demanded

    If the price of a product changes, this

    causes movement along a demandcurve, and shows a change in thequantity demanded.

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    The Law of Demand

    D

    Quantity

    Price

    ceteris paribus, as price

    increases, the quantity

    demanded of a product

    decreases.

    Demand Curves are

    Downward Sloping

    A negative relationship

    between P and QD

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    1.21

    What Else Determines Buyingplans?

    The Determinants of Demand

    Prices of related goods

    consumer income consumer preferences

    Expected future prices

    Number of Buyers

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    1.22

    Prices of Related Goods

    Substitutes - goods used in the place ofanother good Demand increases asthe price of substitutes increases

    Complements - goods used in conjunctionwith another good Demand decreasesas the price of complements increase

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    1.23

    Income

    Normal Goods demand increases asincome increases

    Inferior Goods demand decreases asincome increases

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    1.24

    Expected Future Prices

    If the price of a good is expected to rise inthe future, people buy more of the goodnow. This increases demand today

    If the price of a good is expected to fall inthe future, people buy less of the goodnow. This decreases demand today

    O

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    1.25

    Two Other Determinants ofDemand

    Number of Buyers

    Size and age structure of population

    Preferences

    Attitudes toward goods and services

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    1.26

    A Change in the Quantity DemandedVersus a Change in Demand

    A movement along a demand curve,

    which results from a change in price,shows a change in the quantitydemanded.

    If some other influence on buyers planschanges, holding price constant, thereis a change in demand.

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    1.27

    The Demand Function and ceteris paribus

    P=- bQD+a+bIncome-cPComplements +dPSubstitutes+

    ePFuture+ gBuyers+ fPreferences

    When we assume that all things are equal except for price, allthe determinants of demand are constant and we can write

    P = abQDWhich is the simple relationship between demand and price

    shown in a demand curve

    Changes in the determinants of demand therefore cause theintercept of the demand curve to change and will cause the

    entire curve to move up or down.

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    1.28

    a

    Demand

    Quantity demanded (QD)

    Price(P)

    Intercept on

    y axis is a

    Slope is - b

    P = a - bQD

    Demand Curve

    0

    Any change in a

    determinant of demandcauses a change in theintercept a, and movesthe Demand curve upor down

    Any change in pricecauses movementalong the curve

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    1.29

    Example: Impact of reduction in VideoRecorders on the demand for videos

    Original demand schedule New demand schedule

    VCR $200 VCR $50

    Price Quantity Quantity(dollars

    per video)(millions of videos

    per week)

    a 1 9

    Price(dollars

    per video)

    (millions of videos

    per week)

    b 2 6

    c 3 4

    d 4 3

    e 5 2

    a' 1 13

    b' 2

    c' 3

    d' 4

    e' 5

    10

    8

    7

    6

    Increase in Demand with Lower VCR Price: The

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    1.30

    Increase in Demand with Lower VCR Price: TheQuantity Demanded is higher at every price sothis is an increase in demand

    0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

    1

    2

    34

    5

    6

    Quantity (millions of videos per week)

    Price(dollarp

    erVideo)

    e

    d

    c

    b

    aDemand for videos(VCR $200)

    e'

    d'

    c'

    b'

    a'

    Demand for vidoes

    (VCR $50)

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    The Theory of

    Supply

    Wh t D t i S lli

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    1.32

    What Determines Sellingplans?

    The Most Important Factor

    The price of a good

    Supply Schedule list the quantities

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    1.33

    Supply Schedule list the quantitiessupplied at each different price (ceterisparibus).

    a 1 0

    b 2 3

    c 3 4

    d 4 5

    e 5 6

    Price Quantity(dollars per video) (millions of vidoes per week)

    Supply curve shows the relationship

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    1.34

    Supply curve shows the relationshipbetween the quantity supplied of a goodand its price (ceteris paribus).

    0 2 4 6 8 10

    1

    2

    34

    5

    6

    Quantity(millions of vidoes per week)

    Price(dollarp

    ertape)

    Supply of Videos

    a

    b

    c

    d

    e

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    1.35

    Supply vs. Quantity Supplied

    Supply the quantity of a good suppliers wish to sell

    at each conceivable price

    The entire supply curve

    Quantity Supplied Is the specific quantity of a good that

    sellers wish to sell at a particular price.

    A specific point on the supply curve

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    The Law of Supply

    Quantity

    Price

    S

    ceteris paribus, as

    price increases, the

    quantity supplied of a

    product increases.

    Supply Curves are

    Upward Sloping

    A positive relationshipbetween P and QS

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    1.37

    The Determinants of Supply

    Prices of Inputs

    The Number of Suppliers

    Technology

    Government Regulation

    Expected Future Prices

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    1.39

    Example: Impact of Cost ReducingTechnology on the supply of videos

    Original supply schedule New supply schedule

    Old technology New technology

    Price Quantity Quantity(dollars

    per video)(millions of videos

    per week)

    a 1 0

    Price(dollars

    per video)

    (millions of videos

    per week)

    b 2 3

    c 3 4

    d 4 5

    e5 6

    a' 1 3

    b' 2

    c' 3

    d' 4

    e'5

    6

    8

    10

    12

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    1.40

    Increase in Supply

    Quantity (millions of videos per week)

    Pri

    ce(dollarperta

    pe)

    0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

    1

    2

    34

    5

    6

    a

    e

    d

    c

    bSupply of videos

    (new technology)

    a'

    b'

    c'

    d'

    e'

    Supply of videos(old technology)

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    1.41

    A Change in the Quantity SuppliedVersus a Change in Supply

    Quantity

    Price S0S0 S1

    S2

    Increase in

    supplysupply

    Decrease in

    Increase in

    quantity

    supplied

    Decrease in

    quantity

    supplied

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    1.42

    A Change in the Quantity SuppliedVersus a Change in Supply

    A movement along a supply curve,which results from a change in price,shows a change in the quantitysupplied.

    If some other influence on sellers plans

    changes, holding price constant, thereis a change in supply.

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    Market Equilibrium

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    1.45

    Market Equilibrium

    Quantity Quantity Excess Demand()Price demanded supplied Excess Supply(+)(dollars

    per video) (millions of videos per week)

    1 9 0 -9

    2 6 3 -3

    3 4 4 04 3 5 +2

    5 2 6 +4

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    1.46

    Market Equilibrium

    0 2 4 6 8 10

    1

    2

    34

    5

    6

    Quantity (millions of videos per week)

    Price(dollarpertape)

    Supply of videos

    Demand for videos

    Equilibrium

    ExcessDemand of 3

    million at $2

    a video

    Excess Supply

    of 2 million at$4 a video

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    E S l P i Ab

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    Excess Supply-Price AboveEquilibrium Price

    If price were above P0 therewould be excess supply ofEB - EA

    producers wish to supplymore than consumers

    wish to demand In response, prices would

    fall, causing Qsupplied todecreaseQdemand toincrease, moving themarket back to

    equilibriumD0

    D0S

    S

    Q0

    P0 E0

    Quantity

    P1EA EB

    E D d P i B l

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    Excess Demand-Price BelowEquilibrium Price

    If price were below P0 therewould be excess demand ofEB - EA

    consumers wish todemand more thanproducers wish to supply

    Prices would go up,causing Qsupplied toincreaseQdemand todecrease, moving themarket back toequilibrium

    D0

    D0S

    S

    Q0

    P0 E0

    Quantity

    P1E

    A E

    B

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    Market equilibrium

    Market equilibrium is at

    E0 where quantitydemanded equalsquantity supplied

    with price P0 and

    quantity Q0D0

    D0S

    S

    Q0

    P0 E0

    Quantity

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    1.51

    Market Equilibrium

    Price Adjustments

    Excess Demand results in a shortage and

    forces the price up to the equilibrium price Excess Supply results in a surplus and

    forces the price down to the equilibriumprice.

    I t f P i C ili A

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    Impact of Price Ceilings: AMarket in Disequilibrium

    Suppose a disastrousharvest moves the supplycurve to SS

    government may try toprotect the poor, setting aprice ceilingat P1

    which is below P0, thenew equilibrium price

    RATIONINGis needed to

    cope with the resultingexcess demand

    Moreover, Q0-Q1 will notbe supplied because ofthe price ceiling

    Quantity

    P0

    Q0Q1

    D

    S

    S

    P1

    E

    A B

    P2

    Minimum price: price floor

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    Minimum price: price floorP

    QO

    Pe

    minimumprice

    Qd Qs

    S

    D

    surplus

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    What, How and For Whom

    The market:

    decides how muchof a good should be produced

    by finding the price at which the quantity demanded

    equals the quantity supplied

    tells us for whomthe goods are produced

    those consumers willing to pay the equilibrium price

    determines whatgoods are being produced

    there may be goods for which no consumer is prepared

    to pay a price at which firms would be willing to supply

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    1.57

    For Review

    Changes In DemandThe demand for tapes

    Decreases if:

    The price of a substitute falls.The price of a complement rises.

    Income falls (a tape is a normal good).

    The population decreases.The price of a tape is expected to fall in

    the future.

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    1.58

    For ReviewChanges In Demand

    The demand for tapes

    Increases if:

    The price of a substitute rises.

    The price of a complement falls.

    Income rises (a tape is a normal good).

    The population increases.

    The price of a tape is expected to rise inthe future.

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    1.59

    FOR REVIEW: A Change in the QuantityDemanded Versus a Change in Demand

    Quantity

    Price

    D1

    D2

    Decrease in

    quantity

    demanded

    Increase in

    quantity

    demanded

    D0

    Increase in

    demand

    Decrease in

    demand

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    1.60

    Two ways in which demand may increase -(1) Change in Quantity Demanded

    (1) A movementalongthe demandcurve from A to B

    represents consumerreaction to a pricechange

    This occurs inresponse to a

    CHANGE INSUPPLY which hascaused the supplycurve to shift

    A

    B

    P0

    P1

    Q0Q1 Quantity

    D

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    1.61

    Two ways in which demand may increase(2) A Change in Demand

    (2) A movementofthedemand curve from D0to D1

    Caused by a change in

    a Determinant ofDemand causingdemand to change atevery price

    e.g. at P0

    demandincreases from Q0to Q1

    Causes a Change in QSupplied

    A

    B

    P0

    Q0 Q1

    C

    D0D1

    Quantity

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    1.62

    For Review:

    The Law of Supply

    The quantity of tapes supplied

    Decreases if:The price of a tape falls.

    Increases if:

    The price of a tape rises.

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    1.63

    For Review:

    Changes In Supply

    The supply of tapes

    Decreases if:

    The price of inputs used to produce tapes rises. The number of tape producers decreases.

    The price of a tape is expected to rise in thefuture

    Government regulation increases costs

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    1.64

    For Review:

    Changes In Supply

    The supply of tapesIncreases if:

    The price of a inputs used to produce tapes falls. The number of tape producers increases

    More efficient technologies for producing tapes arediscovered.

    The price of a tape is expected to fall in the future.

    Changes in government regulations reduce costs

    M h i l NAny change in a

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    Mathematical Note

    c

    Supply

    Quantity supplied (Q )

    Price(P

    )

    Slope is d

    P = c + dQSSupply Curve

    Intercept ony axis is c

    0

    Any change in adeterminant of supplycauses a change in theintercept c, and moves

    the supply curve up ordownAny change in pricecauses movementalong the curve