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Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris ORNL/Georgia Tech Carolyn Ruppel USGS (no cost) Agreement Number DE-PS26-06NT42820 NETL Project Manager Timothy Grant Methane Hydrates Kick-Off Meeting

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Page 1: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments

Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia TechCostas Tsouris ORNL/Georgia TechCarolyn Ruppel USGS (no cost)

Agreement Number DE-PS26-06NT42820

NETL Project Manager Timothy Grant

Methane Hydrates Kick-Off Meeting

Page 2: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Objective - Expected Benefits

Page 3: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Hydrates

• Seafloor instability

[gigaton][USGS]

[Kvenvolden and Lorenson, 2001; www.pet.hw.ac.uk; Ballough et al.)]

• Energy resource

• Climate change: green house effect

Page 4: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Challenge

Methane production from hydrate-bearing sediments

Understanding Prediction

• Sediment properties

• Hydrate formation history

• Phases/fluids fronts

• Effects of driving forces

• Thermodynamics in confinement• Non-equilibrium analysis• Kinetics in confinement• Multiphase transport

Page 5: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Keys: Energy Forms + Scales + Sediment

Mineral surface1D - interface

Porous network2D - sub mm

Sediment3D - m

Mechanical - Pressure

Thermal

Chemical

Electromagnetic

Coupled Energy

Kinetics

Formation

Dissociation

Surface effects

Miner+hydr+fluid

Confinement

Bubble formation

Conduction prop.

Mass transport

Formation

Dissociation

Granular media

Mass transport

THM coupling

Page 6: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Project Organizational Structure

Page 7: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Team

J. Carlos Santamarina GaTech

Lead: Experiments

Costas Tsouris ORNL Lead:

Carolyn Ruppel USGS (no cost)

Lead: Link real systems

TS Yun (Yr 1) PD - Experiment

P Taboada (Yr 1) PD - Analyses

PhD #1 JW Jung

PhD #2 Analyses

PhD #3 Exper/Num

Collaborators (no cost): Megan Madden ORNL Tommy Phelps ORNL SPS Cell Experiments

Administrative support: Serelia Woods GaTech

Page 8: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Technical Approach

Page 9: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Main Tasks

Task 1. Research Management Plan

Task 2. Technology Status Assessment Report

Task 3. Continuous Literature Research/Updating

Task 4. 1D Single Mineral Surface: Experimental and Analytical Studies

Task 5. 2D Porous Network Experimental Studies and Model Development

Task 6. 3D Sediment: Experimental Study Using Effective Stress Cells

--------------------- check point -------------------------------------------------

Task 7. 3D Sediment: Experiments in Seafloor Process Simulator - Analyses

Page 10: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Task 4: 1D Mineral Surface

t

4.1: Single mineral 1-D experiments

4.2: Intrinsic kinetic model development

•effect of mineral surface on formation and dissociation? •effects of different potentials?•most relevant phenomena during dissociation?•can robust & simple models capture observed response?

Page 11: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Task 4: 1D Mineral Surface

Page 12: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Task 4: 1D Mineral Surface

Page 13: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Task 4: 1D Mineral Surface

Page 14: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Task 4: 1D Mineral Surface

-120.00

-100.00

-80.00

-60.00

-40.00

0 20 40 60 80 100Frequency [kHz]

Am

plitu

de [d

B]

Page 15: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Task 4: 1D Mineral Surface

-120.00

-100.00

-80.00

-60.00

-40.00

0 20 40 60 80 100Frequency [kHz]

Am

plitu

de [d

B]

Page 16: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Task 4: 1D Mineral Surface

-120.00

-100.00

-80.00

-60.00

-40.00

0 20 40 60 80 100Frequency [kHz]

Am

plitu

de [d

B]

Page 17: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Task 4: 1D Mineral Surface

-120.00

-100.00

-80.00

-60.00

-40.00

0 20 40 60 80 100Frequency [kHz]

Am

plitu

de [d

B]

Page 18: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Intrinsic kinetics of hydrate dissociation

experimental study of dissociation kinetics

Hydrate dissociation ⇒ system is driven outside of hydrate equilibrium & stability zone

( )[ ]equildis xTPr μμ −∝ K,,, driving force

Equilibrium criteria:TI = TII = TIII = …PI = PII = PIII = …μI

i = μ IIi = μ III

i = …

Page 19: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Task 5: 2D Porous Network

5.1: 2-D porous matrix experiments

5.2: 2-D porous matrix model development

•phenomena that deviate from convex process

(self-preservation, percolation, fingering, gas migration)?

•evolution of dissociation, spatial variability, connectivity

•implications to gas recovery? for modeling?

•production strategies: low vs. high hydrate conc.?

•effect of different potentials

• robust models to capture observed response

transparent disc

reaction disc

Page 20: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Hydrate dissociation and CH4 transport

Hydrate dissociation :• “shrinkage” of hydrate phase• changes in phase distribution• local thermal variations

Analysis of multiphase flow with thermal gradients ⇒coupled momentum, mass, and energy balances

Page 21: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Task 6: 3D Sediment – σ’ Cell

•poro-mechanical 3D effects

•suitable production strategies

•effect of specimen preparation on gas

recovery

•promising production strategies to facilitate

recovery control ?

•criteria for the experiments in Task 7.0

Page 22: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Instrumentation

u, σ’, εvol, εdev, Vgas, Vliq

κ’, σel, ERT

VP, VS

kT, khyd

Sand

10

100

1000

10000

0 01 0 10 1 00 10 00

Vs[m

/s]

100%50%0%

0

10

20

30

40

100%

50%

0%

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.01 0.10 1.00 10.00

Pressure [MPa]

⎯eff [

S/m

]

100%

50%

0%σ e

ff[s

/m]

κ‘[ ]

V s[m

/s]

Pressure [MPa]

Page 23: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08Time [ms]

0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4Time [ms]

0Vp

Phase transf.Tem

pera

ture

dec

reas

eTe

mpe

ratu

re in

crea

se

Phase transf.

TS. Yun

Phase Transformation – Vp and Vs(Kaolinite + THF + H2O)

Vs

Page 24: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Phase Transformation - Real Permittivity(Kaolinite + THF + H2O)

-10.0

-8.0

-6.0

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500

Time [min]

Tem

pera

ture

[ºC

]

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Real

per

mitt

ivity

k'

Tº sampleTº coolerReal permittivity

hydrate ice

F. Francisca

Page 25: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

0

5

10

15

20

0 5 10

0

5

10

15

20

0 5 10

Axial strain [%]

σ dev

[MP

a]]

0

5

10

15

20

0 5 10

0

2

4

6

0 5 10

Axial strain [%]

Axial strain [%]

Crushed silt

Kaolinite100%

50%

0%

100%

0%

a

a

a

a

b

b

b

b

bc

c

c

c

c

a

σ dev

[MP

a]

σ dev

[MP

a]σ d

ev[M

Pa]

Axial strain [%]

Sand

Precipitated silt

50%

0%

a

b

c

a bc

a

cb

100%

50%

0%

a

a

b

b

b

c

c

ca

100%

Experimental Resultsa: σ’c=0.03 MPab: σ’c=0.5 MPac: σ’c=1 MPa

Page 26: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

3-D transport and CH4 production

3-D Extension of coupled momentum, mass, & energy balances

CH4 production rate: ∫∫ ⎟⎠⎞

⎜⎝⎛ ⋅=

S

CH dSnNQ 4

Page 27: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Task 7: 3D Sediment – SPS and Model

•specimen preparation and gas recovery

•evolution of de-stabilization fronts – all potentials

•role of reservoir geometry? optimal production strategies?

•emergent phenomena? HF, percolation/coning, compaction/collapse?

•simple yet predictive models (include THF coupling)

7.1: Hydrate formation

7.2: 3D Sediment Experiments

7.3: Analysis and model

Page 28: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Model Verification → Instrumentation

Fluid distributor

High-pressure gas source

PT

TC

Water source and high-pressure pump

FM

CH4 and CO2monitor

(GC or FTIR)Back-pressure regulator

TC

TC

TC

TC

TC

PT

FM FM

PT – pressure transducerTC – thermocoupleFM – flowmeter (mass or vol.)

Sapphire

windows

Sediment

FM

TC

Page 29: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Analyses at different length scales

X

Y

Z

Hydrate-bearingsediment

X

Y

Intrinsic Kinetics

Dissociation and Transport (2-D & 3-D)

Methane Recovery

Page 30: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

T [°K]272 274 276 278 280 282 284 286 288 290

272 274 276 278 280 282 284 286 288 290

P [M

Pa]

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

I-H

-V

Lw-H-V

sI

A

A = (273.15,2.55)Holder et al., 1980Yoon et al., 2002Ballard et al., 2001

Why Use Chemical Potential?

Strategy I

Stra

tegy

II

Strategy III

Strategy I ⇒ Thermal stimulation

Strategy II ⇒ Depressurization

Strategy III ⇒ Thermal + Depres.

dTT

dii ZNP ,,

⎟⎠⎞

⎜⎝⎛∂∂

=μμ

-s

v

[ ] ∑∑ ++−=i

iij

jrev dNWPdvTdsdu μδFundamental Equation of Thermodynamics

Surface: σ↔ aElectric: E ↔ DMagnetic: H ↔ B

dPP

dii ZNT ,,

⎟⎠⎞

⎜⎝⎛∂∂

=μμ

dPP

dTT

diiii ZNTZNP ,,,,

⎟⎠⎞

⎜⎝⎛∂∂

+⎟⎠⎞

⎜⎝⎛∂∂

=μμμ

Page 31: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Hydrate Equilibrium Thermodynamics

K

K

K

===

===

===

IIIH

IIIH

IIw

Iw

Hw

222

111

μμμ

μμμ

μμμMultiphase equilibrium

∑ ∑ ⎥⎦

⎤⎢⎣

⎡−+=

m JJmm

wHw

RTRTθυ

μμ β

1ln

Water in hydrate phase“If a standard state hydrate chemical potential is known at conditions (P,T), the only accountable change in energy is due to the occupation of hydrate cavities by guest gases.”

(Parrish & Prausnitz, IEC Proc. Des. Dev. 1972)

∑+=

kkmkm

JmJm fC

C1

θ

( )∫−

⎥⎦⎤

⎢⎣⎡−=

JaRmJm

Jm drrkT

rkT

C0

2exp4 ωπ

Cage occupancy(Van der Waals & Platteeuw, Adv. Chem. Phys. 1959)

(Ballard & Sloan, Fluid Phase Equil. 2002)

Cell potential function: Kihara potential

w

Pw

T

T

w

O

Oww adP

RTv

dTRT

hRTRT

O

ln0

2 −Δ

−= ∫∫μμ β

Empty hydrate cage(Parrish & Prausnitz, IEC Proc. Des. Dev.1972)

Page 32: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Solving the model

Hydrate equilibrium

Flash calculationNonlinear optimization

Intrinsic Kinetics

Ordinary diff. equationRunge-Kutta solution

Dissociation& CH4 transport

Partial diff. equations

Finite differences

Decision point

Validation

Validation

Experiments

Experiments

Page 33: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

ScheduleMilestones

Deliverables

Page 34: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Sche

dule

Calendar Year 06Dec Mar Jun Sept Dec Mar Jun Sept Dec Mar Jun Sept Dec Mar Jun Sept

Subtask 4.1: Experimental studies1. Design and manufacture the instrumented pressure vessel

2. Prototype and first set of data

3. Complete the experiments and data analysis

Subtask 4.2: Analytical studies1. Intrinsic kinetic model

Development of theoretical framework for kinetic model

Formulation of general mathematical expressions

Derivation of particular expressions for formation/dissociation2. Validation of modeling results with experimental data

Subtask 5.1: Experimental studies1. Design the instrumented pressure vessel

2. Prototype and first set of data

3. Complete the experiments and data analysis

4. Supplement tests tasks 4 and 5

Subtask 5.2: Analytical study 1. Thermodynamic model, mass transport and energy coupled mode

Mathematical modeling of confinement effects

Development of coupled equations of mass and energy transport

Development of numerical solution strategies for the 2-D model2. Validation of 2-D model

1. Design and manufacture the instrumented pressure vessel

2. Prototype and first set of data3. Complete the experiments and data analysis

Subtask 7.1: Hydrate formation in SPS Subtask 7.2: Experimental studies in SPS 1. ORNL's SPS Production Studies

First data set with selected formation

Complete experiments study and data analysis

Subtask 7.3: Analytical study1. 3-D mathematical model

Extension of the 2-D model and numerical solution to 3-D

2. Validation of 3-D model via comparison

4. Integration of analyses of hydrate formation4. Simulation of different scenarios

Task 5.0: 2D Porous Network - Single Grain Layer

Task 6.0: 3D - Effective Stress Cell

20102007 2008 2009

Task 1.0: Research Management Plan

Task 2.0: Initial Technology Status Assessment

Task 3.0: Continuous Literature Research/Updating

Task 4.0: 1D Single Mineral Surface

Task 7.0: 3D - SPS Cell and Analyses

Checkpoint CheckpointCheckpoint

Page 35: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Milestones2006 December Experimental: 1D cell machined

2007 March Experimental: First formation/production test in 1D cell (+instr.)

2007 DecemberExperimental: First formation/production test in 2D cell (+instr.)

Analytical: Model for 1D production – coupled energy

2008 September Experimental: First formation/production test in σ’ cell (+instr.)

2009 March Experimental: Results coupled energy production in 2D cell

2009 June Analytical: Model for production in 2D networks

2009 December Experimental: First production study in ORNL's SPS

2010 JuneExperimental: Insightful production-related results from SPS cell

Analytical: Predict & optimize 3D production results

2010 September PROJECT COMPLETION

Page 36: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Deliverables

DeliverableApprox.

Submission Date

Research Management Plan 10/31/2006

Technology Status Assessment Report 11/30/2007

Pressurized vessel design --

Quarterly Report 02/28/2007

Annual Report 08/31/2007

Quarterly Report 02/28/2008

Annual Report 08/31/2008

Quarterly Report 02/28/2009

Annual Report 08/31/2009

Recommendation 08/31/2009

Review of Recommendation 09/30/2009

Quarterly Report 02/28/2010

Final Report 09/30/2010

Page 37: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Problems and Risks

Hydrate formation in sediments - history

Instrumentation

System identification / Inversion

Model verification

Laboratory → field? (field test with MBARI?)

Unknowns !

Page 38: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Possible opportunities

Production test – India cores

Field tests (e.g., with MBARI)?

Page 39: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Budget Period Slide

Page 40: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Task Task Description DOE Cost Share

Task Total

1.0 Research Management Plan2.0 Technology Status Assessment3.0 Continuous Literature Research/Updating4.0 1D Single Mineral Surface:

Experimental and Analytical Studies 368,550 114,420 482,9705.0 2D Porous Network – Single Grain Layer:

Experimental and Analytical Studies 277,675 86,205 363,8806.0 3D Sediment:

Experiments in Effective Stress Cell 40,388 12,538 52,9267.0 3D Sediment:

Experiments in SPS Cell – Analyses 100,972 31,347 132,3198.0 Final Report / Deliverables

Total 787,585 244,510 1,032,095

Budget: Government and Cost Share

BP 1 - 9 months BP 2 - 12 months BP 3 - 12 months BP 4 - 15 months Totals DOE GIT Total DOE GIT Total DOE GIT Total DOE GIT Total DOE GIT Total

155319 49170 204490 184260 63401 247661 187670 60004 247673 260336 71935 332271 787585 244510 1032095

Page 41: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Final Products

Page 42: Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments · 2018-12-28 · Methane Recovery from Hydrate-bearing Sediments Prime Recipients J. Carlos Santamarina Georgia Tech Costas Tsouris

Main Products:• Technology to recover natural gas from hydrates• Predictive models – Analysis/design/optimization• Unprecedented database of production-related

parameters

Groundwork:• …towards field demonstration with Industry

Byproducts:• Enhanced understanding of hydrate bearing sediments• Algorithm and software for process simulation• Possible implications to seafloor stability, climate