memorandum - regionfwater.org demand package.pdfmemorandum draft at our next rwpg meeting on july...

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MEMORANDUM At our next RWPG meeting on July 18, 2013, we will be requesting approval of the draft water demand revisions for all water demand categories, including non-municipal water demands. We recognize that non-municipal water demands have been presented and discussed at previous RWPG meetings. A brief recap of the previous discussion and submittals is summarized below: The Region F Water Planning Group (RWPG) previously reviewed and approved irrigation, manufacturing, and steam-electric power water demands on May 17, 2012. At a subsequent RWPG meeting on August 16, 2012, demand revisions to livestock water use were accepted. The Region F non-municipal demands, excluding mining, were submitted to the Texas Water Development Board (TWDB) on September 5, 2012. TWDB approved the proposed irrigation, manufacturing, and steam electric power demands. However, the increase to county livestock demands for exotics and wildlife was not accepted by TWDB. Mining demands for Region F were discussed at the August 16, 2012 RWPG meeting but no action was taken. It was the consensus of the RWPG to wait until the updated Bureau of Economic Geology (BEG) report was available. The updated BEG report was released in September of 2012 and a detailed breakdown of the projections was sent to the planning group members in April of 2013 for consideration. The updated BEG report was also posted on the website in March of 2013. To date, one comment has been received on the updated BEG mining projections for Region F. In preparation for the July 18, 2013 RWPG meeting, the non-municipal demands (irrigation, livestock, manufacturing, steam-electric power, and mining) will be re-considered by the RWPG as a complete package. To aid in your review the following supporting documents are enclosed: 1. Non-Municipal Demands Submittal to TWDB September 5, 2012 2. Rejection of Livestock Demand Documentation 3. Approved Demands Summary Tables 4. Demands for Consideration Summary Tables 5. BEG Updated Mining Demands Detailed Breakdown TO: Region F Water Planning Group FROM: Simone Kiel, Lissa Petry SUBJECT: DRAFT Region F Non-Municipal Demands DATE: 7/2/13 PROJECT: SAN11472 – 2016 Update to the Region F Water Plan

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MEMORANDUM

At our next RWPG meeting on July 18, 2013, we will be requesting approval of the draft water demand revisions for all water demand categories, including non-municipal water demands. We recognize that non-municipal water demands have been presented and discussed at previous RWPG meetings. A brief recap of the previous discussion and submittals is summarized below:

The Region F Water Planning Group (RWPG) previously reviewed and approved irrigation, manufacturing, and steam-electric power water demands on May 17, 2012.

At a subsequent RWPG meeting on August 16, 2012, demand revisions to livestock water use were accepted. The Region F non-municipal demands, excluding mining, were submitted to the Texas Water Development Board (TWDB) on September 5, 2012.

TWDB approved the proposed irrigation, manufacturing, and steam electric power demands. However, the increase to county livestock demands for exotics and wildlife was not accepted by TWDB.

Mining demands for Region F were discussed at the August 16, 2012 RWPG meeting but no action was taken. It was the consensus of the RWPG to wait until the updated Bureau of Economic Geology (BEG) report was available. The updated BEG report was released in September of 2012 and a detailed breakdown of the projections was sent to the planning group members in April of 2013 for consideration. The updated BEG report was also posted on the website in March of 2013. To date, one comment has been received on the updated BEG mining projections for Region F.

In preparation for the July 18, 2013 RWPG meeting, the non-municipal demands (irrigation, livestock, manufacturing, steam-electric power, and mining) will be re-considered by the RWPG as a complete package. To aid in your review the following supporting documents are enclosed:

1. Non-Municipal Demands Submittal to TWDB September 5, 2012 2. Rejection of Livestock Demand Documentation 3. Approved Demands Summary Tables 4. Demands for Consideration Summary Tables 5. BEG Updated Mining Demands Detailed Breakdown

TO: Region F Water Planning Group

FROM: Simone Kiel, Lissa Petry

SUBJECT: DRAFT Region F Non-Municipal Demands

DATE: 7/2/13

PROJECT: SAN11472 – 2016 Update to the Region F Water Plan

DRAFT

THIS DOCUMENT IS RELEASED FOR THE PURPOSE OF INTERIM REVIEW UNDER THE AUTHORITY OF ENGINEER, P.E., TEXAS NO. 12345 ON DATE. IT IS NOT TO BE USED FOR CONSTRUCTION, BIDDING OR PERMIT PURPOSES. FREESE AND NICHOLS, INC. TEXAS REGISTERED ENGINEERING FIRM F- 2144

DRAFT

THIS DOCUMENT IS RELEASED FOR THE PURPOSE OF INTERIM REVIEW UNDER THE AUTHORITY OF ENGINEER, P.E., TEXAS NO. 12345 ON DATE. IT IS NOT TO BE USED FOR CONSTRUCTION, BIDDING OR PERMIT PURPOSES. FREESE AND NICHOLS, INC. TEXAS REGISTERED ENGINEERING FIRM F- 2144

Texas Water Development Board Regional Water Planning

Region F Regional Water Planning Group

Voting Members: Len Wilson, Public, Andrews Wendell Moody, Secretary Public, Concho Jerry Bearden, Counties, Mason Robert Moore, Counties, Runnels Will Wilde, Vice Chair Municipalities, Tom Green Merle Taylor, Municipalities, Scurry John Shepard, Municipalities, Winkler Ben Shepperd, Industrial, Midland Kenneth Dierschke, Agricultural, Tom Green Woody Anderson, Agricultural, Mitchell Terry Scott, Agricultural, Coleman Caroline Runge, Environmental, Menard Gilbert Van Deventer Environmental, Odessa Charles Haygood, Small Business Tim Warren, Elect. Gen. Utilities, Mitchell Stephen Brown, At– Large, River Authority, Tom Green Scott Holland, GMA 7, Irion Paul Weatherby, GMA 3, Pecos Raymond Straub GMA 2, Martin Larry Turnbough, Water District, Reeves John Grant, Chair, Water District, Howard

c/o City of San Angelo - P.O. Box 1751, San Angelo, Texas 76902 Phone: 325-657-4241 - Fax: 325-657-4335

ANDREWS • BORDEN • BROWN • COKE • COLEMAN • CONCHO • CRANE • CROCKETT • ECTOR • GLASSCOCK • HOWARD • IRION KIMBLE • LOVING • MARTIN • MASON • McCULLOCH • MENARD • MIDLAND • MITCHELL • PECOS • REGAN • REEVES • RUNNELS

SCHLEICHER • SCURRY • STERLING • SUTTON • TOM GREEN • UPTON • WARD • WINKLER

September 5, 2012

Doug Shaw

Project Manager

Texas Water Development Board

P.O. Box 13231

Austin, TX 78711-3231

Re: Non-Municipal Demands for Region F

Doug,

At the Region F planning group meeting on May 17, 2012, the RWPG approved revisions to the draft de-

mand projections for irrigated agriculture, manufacturing and steam electric power. At a subsequent Region F

meeting on August 16, 2012, the RWPG approved the demand revisions to livestock water use. Technical

memoranda describing the requested changes to these draft non-municipal demands are included in Attach-

ment 1.

Region F decided not to take action on the mining demands at this time. There is considerable variability in

the mining water use throughout the Permian Basin. It was the consensus of the RWPG to delay commenting

on mining water demands until the updated Bureau of Economic Geology study is released in the next couple

of months. It is anticipated that this study will provide a more accurate assessment of the current water use

for mining in Region F.

As requested by the TWDB, an electronic copy of the projected non-municipal water demands and the re-

quested revisions will be emailed to Thomas Barnett at the TWDB with a copy to you.

If you have any questions or need additional information related to the non-municipal demands, please con-

tact Simone Kiel at 817-735-7446.

Sincerely,

John Grant, Region F Chairman

cc: Will Wilde, City of San Angelo

ATTACHMENT 1

 MEMORANDUM

    1. Introduction As part of Task 2 efforts for the 2016 regional plans, the Texas Water Development Board (TWDB) developed draft non‐municipal water demand projections which were provided to each planning group in October 2011.  These draft demand projections were reviewed by the consultant team in conjunction with the Region F Regional Water Planning Group (RWPG).  This memorandum discusses the development of recommended revisions to the irrigation and livestock projections. These revisions were approved by the RWPG.  2. Irrigation 

a. TWDB Methodology – TWDB estimates irrigation demands by applying an evapotranspiration‐based estimated crop water need to Farm Service Agency (FSA) acreage to generate water need estimates by county, crop, and year.  The TWDB also reviews surface water diversions for agricultural purpose. The irrigation estimates are provided each year to agricultural representatives and local groundwater conservation districts for review and input.  The adjusted values are then reported as historical irrigation use by county. Table 2‐1 shows the TWDB historic irrigation water use estimates for the counties in Region F. 

One concern expressed by the Region F RWPG is that some crops are not tracked by FSA. Water used by these crops is not included in the water use estimates unless corrected by local groundwater districts or agricultural representatives.  Counties that do not have such representation may not have accurate irrigation estimates. 

The TWDB estimated the base 2010 draft irrigation demands by averaging the historical values for years 2005‐2009.  Decadal rates of change from the 2011 Regional Water Plan were then applied to the base projection by county. 

b. Assessment Approach – The TWDB draft projections were compared to the historic TWDB irrigation water use estimates (1974‐2010) and projections from the 2011 Region F Regional Water Plan (RWP) on a county‐by‐county basis.   Graphical comparisons were presented to the Region F RWPG for input along with a request for additional data to support revisions. The consultants received input from the Middle Pecos Groundwater District and the Region F non‐voting representative from Upton County. 

TO: Region F RWPG 

CC: File 

FROM: Simone Kiel, Jeremy Rice 

SUBJECT: Recommended Revisions to TWDB Draft Agricultural Water Demand Projections for the 2016 Region F Regional Water Plan 

DATE: Updated, August 29, 2012 

August 29, 2012 Page 2 of 10 Recommended Revisions to TWDB Draft Agricultural Projections   

c. Results ‐ The TWDB methodology tends to underestimate potential dry year irrigation use for many counties. On a regional scale, the TWDB draft irrigation water demand projections were approximately 71 percent of the 2011 RWP projections and were more than 150,000 ac‐ft below the demand estimated for year 2060.  This is primarily due to the TWDB’s reduced base year demands for five counties: Glasscock, Midland, Pecos, Reeves, and Tom Green.  The counties showing an increased demand projection in comparison to 2011 RWP values were Borden, Concho, Kimble, Martin, Mitchell, Scurry and Sterling Counties.  Based on the maximum historical use from 2005‐2010, fourteen counties had higher water use than 2011 RWP projections for 2010. 

d.  Recommendations – It is recommended that the maximum irrigation use from 2005‐2010 be used as the 2010 baseline with decadal rates of change from the 2011 Regional Water Plan unless county‐specific data were provided. 

Due to a variety of factors (including commodity prices, energy needs and rainfall) irrigation water needs vary from year to year. It is likely that irrigation demands would be higher under drought conditions.  Historic data show higher irrigation water use in Region F during dry years. These factors support the requested change to use the highest reported historic water use as the baseline for regional water planning. The data received from the TWDB for 2010 historic water use are draft and the TWDB has not completed their review process.  The Middle Pecos Groundwater District provided to Region F the estimated 2010 groundwater use for irrigated agriculture for Pecos County.  The TWDB data was updated with the new values. 

A summary of the recommendations and additional discussion for specific counties are described below, with recommended values shown in Table 2‐2.  Figure 2‐1 shows the recommended irrigation demands for Region F.  

o Pecos County – The Middle Pecos Groundwater Conservation District provided 2010 irrigated acreages and application rates for those acres. The 2010 irrigation water use of 126,023 acre‐feet was used as the 2010 base. Due to the increasing trend in water use in Pecos County and the groundwater district’s knowledge of additional acreage that will be irrigated in the near future, the irrigation demand for Pecos County was held constant for 2020‐2070 rather than declining as previously estimated in the 2011 Region F RWP. 

o All other counties – It is recommended that the maximum estimated water demand for years 2005‐2010 for each county be used as a base level projected water demand for that county with decadal rates of decline based on the 2011 Region F RWP.   

   

August 29, 2012 Page 3 of 10 Recommended Revisions to TWDB Draft Agricultural Projections   

 

Table2‐1:TWDBHistoricIrrigationWaterUseEstimates(Acre‐Feet/Year)

County Name  2005  2006  2007  2008  2009  2010*  Maximum 

Andrews   30,808  30,459  38,219 30,076 24,155  23,354 38,219

Borden  2,616  2,322  2,490 2,282 4,004  1,616 4,004

Brown   7,084  9,467  5,168 9,422 7,900  8,901 9,467

Coke  795  965  609 690 394  871 965

Coleman   770  742  343 624 509  470 770

Concho  3,556  7,727  5,235 9,773 2,603  7,167 9,773

Crane   0  0  0 0 0  0 0

Crockett  427  485  381 362 0  148 485

Ector   1,350  1,450  1,250 583 0  1,050 1,450

Glasscock   44,231  46,579  37,816 42,879 45,852  57,164 57,164

Howard  2,829  3,155  6,200 4,851 6,800  6,721 6,800

Irion   1,500  700  417 662 1,475  1,386 1,500

Kimble  2,525  3,054  1,557 2,914 3,019  2,975 3,054

Loving  0  0  0 0 0  0 0

McCulloch   3,629  3,477  1,878 768 3,584  2,558 3,629

Martin  16,152  15,626  25,872 28,582 36,970  36,160 36,970

Mason   8,413  6,830  3,311 5,519 6,794  3,922 8,413

Menard  1,625  2,538  2,106 1,059 1,596  2,074 2,538

Midland   18,861  20,687  15,545 24,125 20,993  33,537 33,537

Mitchell  5,931  7,306  9,870 8,092 11,575  10,014 11,575

Pecos   46,603  69,056  57,910 58,051 92,190  126,023 126,023

Reagan  12,257  18,741  16,992 19,453 16,704  19,385 19,453

Reeves  92,137  88,925  78,194 26,968 57,949  58,369 92,137

Runnels   2,466  3,534  2,169 4,022 3,057  3,053 4,022

Schleicher  762  1,005  500 1,095 1,432  1,442 1,442

Scurry  3,593  5,707  4,876 4,865 7,552  6,095 7,552

Sterling  450  600  477 795 1,026  688 1,026

Sutton  1,489  1,677  1,838 408 677  1,143 1,838

Tom Green   40,809  49,140  74,120 93,811 70,686  53,415 93,811

Upton   6,674  7,301  6,205 9,125 7,973  9,609 9,609

Ward  3,570  4,469  4,072 1,714 5,683  5,040 5,683

Winkler   3,770  4,912  3,268 2,223 3,005  3,208 4,912

Total  367,682  418,636  408,888 395,793 446,157  487,558 597,821

*2010 water use estimates were draft data provided by the TWDB 

August 29, 2012 Page 4 of 10 Recommended Revisions to TWDB Draft Agricultural Projections     

Table2‐2:RegionFRWPGRecommendedIrrigationDemands(Acre‐Feet/Year)

County Name 

2011 RWP  Base  Recommended for 2016 RWP 

2010  2010  2020  2030  2040  2050  2060  2070 

Andrews  32,608  38,219  37,898 37,579 37,258 36,939  36,621 36,306

Borden  2,690  4,004  4,000 3,993 3,990 3,983  3,980 3,977

Brown  12,313  9,467  9,435 9,403 9,371 9,338  9,306 9,275

Coke  936  965  965 963 962 962  962 962

Coleman  1,379  770  770 770 770 770  770 770

Concho  4,297  9,773  9,734 9,693 9,654 9,618  9,582 9,546

Crane  337  0  0 0 0 0  0 0

Crockett  525  485  479 470 461 455  446 437

Ector  5,533  1,450  1,432 1,415 1,397 1,380  1,362 1,345

Glasscock  52,272  57,164  56,707 56,252 55,796 55,339  54,887 54,439

Howard  4,799  6,800  6,722 6,645 6,567 6,490  6,413 6,337

Irion  2,803  1,500  1,467 1,435 1,402 1,370  1,338 1,307

Kimble  985  3,054  2,939 2,830 2,718 2,606  2,501 2,400

Loving  581  0  0 0 0 0  0 0

McCulloch  2,824  3,629  3,584 3,539 3,493 3,448  3,404 3,361

Martin  14,324  36,970  36,322 35,674 35,026 34,381  33,746 33,123

Mason  10,079  8,413  8,294 8,174 8,054 7,935  7,816 7,699

Menard  6,061  2,538  2,530 2,522 2,514 2,505  2,497 2,489

Midland  41,493  33,537  33,276 33,016 32,756 32,495  32,237 31,981

Mitchell  5,534  11,575  11,519 11,460 11,404 11,348  11,292 11,236

Pecos  79,681  126,023  126,023 126,023 126,023 126,023  126,023 126,023

Reagan  36,597  19,453  19,130 18,808 18,486 18,164  17,848 17,537

Reeves  103,069  92,137  91,357 90,577 89,795 89,015  88,242 87,475

Runnels  4,331  4,022  4,009 3,991 3,973 3,955  3,937 3,919

Schleicher  2,108  1,442  1,414 1,385 1,356 1,327  1,298 1,270

Scurry  2,815  7,552  7,305 7,056 6,806 6,557  6,318 6,088

Sterling  648  1,026  983 942 901 860  820 782

Sutton  1,811  1,838  1,803 1,767 1,733 1,697  1,663 1,629

Tom Green  104,621  93,811  93,579 93,350 93,121 92,889  92,660 92,432

Upton  16,759  9,609  9,473 9,338 9,202 9,066  8,932 8,800

Ward  13,793  5,683  5,613 5,543 5,473 5,403  5,334 5,266

Winkler  10,000  4,912  4,912 4,912 4,912 4,912  4,912 4,912

Total  578,606  597,821  593,674 589,525 585,374 581,230  577,147 573,123

   

August 29, 2012 Page 5 of 10 Recommended Revisions to TWDB Draft Agricultural Projections   

 

Figure 2‐1 Historical and Projected Irrigation Demands for Region F 

3. Livestock 

a. TWDB Methodology – Draft livestock water demands were developed by TWDB by applying per‐head water use estimates by species or category to livestock count estimates from the Texas Agricultural Statistics Service.  Water demands were not estimated for wildlife or exotic species. 

b. Assessment Approach – The Draft TWDB projections were compared to the historic TWDB livestock water use estimates (1974‐2009) and projections from the 2011 Region F RWP on a county‐by‐county basis.   Graphical comparisons were presented to the Region F RWPG for input along with a request for additional data to support revisions. The Region F RWPG questioned the lack of water demand for wildlife and exotic species. In previous planning cycles, the region had included a 10 percent increase in livestock demands to account for wildlife and exotic species. To address wildlife demands for the 2016 Region F RWP, estimates of exotic species and wildlife use were calculated based on animal counts and water use per animal. Data for wildlife counts were obtained from TPWD and water use estimates were obtained from previous studies for Region J. TPWD only keeps animal counts for white‐tail deer and selected exotic species, so only these species were considered. 

c. Results–On a regional scale, draft demand projections for livestock (14,622 ac‐ft/yr) are approximately 8,500 ac‐ft/yr lower than the estimates used in the 2011 RWP (23,060 ac‐ft/yr) 

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TWDB Historic 2011 Region F Plan Irrigation Water Demands Draft Projections for 2017 SWP RWPG Revisions

August 29, 2012 Page 6 of 10 Recommended Revisions to TWDB Draft Agricultural Projections   

and approximately 2,300 ac‐ft/yr lower than the TWDB reported maximum historic livestock water use from 2005‐2009 (16,942 ac‐ft/yr).  The difference between the TWDB draft projections and the maximum historic use is about 16% for the region. Exotic species and wildlife demand accounts for an additional 1,134 acre‐feet or 6% of demand for a total regional livestock demand of 18,076 ac‐ft/yr. 

d. Recommendations – The TWDB historic water use is based on actual livestock counts, but do not include species that are not counted by the TASS.  For some counties, such as Kimble and Crockett, wildlife water needs represent a significant portion of the total livestock demand. Including wildlife estimates, the revised livestock demand values are slightly less than projections used in the 2011 Region F RWP but seem reasonable considering the variability of livestock counts over time. It is recommended that the maximum water use for each county plus wildlife water needs be used as the baseline for livestock water demands for the 2016 Region F RWP. These values are held constant through the planning cycle, which is consistent with the previous RWP. 

Table 3‐1 shows the TWDB historic livestock water use from 2005‐2009 for the counties in Region F. Table 3‐2 shows the estimated exotic species and wildlife demand by county. The recommended livestock water demands for the 2016 RWP and the 2010 livestock demand from the 2011 Region F RWP are shown in Table 3‐3.  Figure 3‐1 shows the recommended livestock demands for Region F. 

 

August 29, 2012 Page 7 of 10 Recommended Revisions to TWDB Draft Agricultural Projections   

Table3‐1:TWDBHistoricLivestockWaterUseEstimates(Acre‐Feet/Year)

County Name  2005  2006  2007  2008  2009  Maximum 

Andrews   225  275 325 224 241  325

Borden  249  216 248 250 247  250

Brown   1,230  1,302 1,269 1,316 1,353  1,353

Coke  289  318 291 431 414  431

Coleman   790  930 1,076 883 910  1,076

Concho  466  574 699 489 487  699

Crane   96  79 81 129 172  172

Crockett  645  681 671 651 643  681

Ector   265  248 265 239 265  265

Glasscock   176  193 262 135 144  262

Howard  199  215 316 233 217  316

Irion   209  223 222 268 260  268

Kimble  389  375 402 334 333  402

Loving  88  101 61 39 42  101

McCulloch   683  616 645 659 714  714

Martin  78  128 128 103 95  128

Mason   1,008  1,248 990 984 866  1,248

Menard  380  398 408 345 393  408

Midland   293  349 394 255 341  394

Mitchell  304  309 321 413 374  413

Pecos   834  932 725 815 752  932

Reagan  171  137 144 254 255  255

Reeves  693  862 545 482 633  862

Runnels   781  813 775 880 853  880

Schleicher  502  532 535 492 487  535

Scurry  449  504 501 468 381  504

Sterling  283  296 322 268 285  322

Sutton  404  371 403 479 467  479

Tom Green   1,541  1,688 1,128 1,548 1,400  1,688

Upton   119  119 114 113 111  119

Ward  73  72 72 108 109  109

Winkler   83  99 351 124 99  351

Total  13,995  15,203 14,689 14,411 14,343  16,942

 

August 29, 2012 Page 8 of 10 Recommended Revisions to TWDB Draft Agricultural Projections   

Table3‐2:ExoticSpeciesandWildlifeWaterUseEstimate(Acre‐Feet/Year)

County  Total White 

Tail Deer Exotics 

Andrews   0 0 0 

Borden  16 15 0 

Brown   28 27 1 

Coke  23 22 1 

Coleman   32 32 0 

Concho  51 45 5 

Crane   0 0 0 

Crockett  139 138 0 

Ector   0 0 0 

Glasscock   17 17 0 

Howard  10 10 0 

Irion   41 41 0 

Kimble  123 99 24 

Loving  0 0 0 

McCulloch   58 58 0 

Martin  1 1 0 

Mason   101 100 0 

Menard  71 71 1 

Midland   6 6 0 

Mitchell  18 18 0 

Pecos   30 29 1 

Reagan  16 16 0 

Reeves  0 0 0 

Runnels   11 11 0 

Schleicher  92 92 0 

Scurry  9 9 0 

Sterling  34 33 1 

Sutton  122 111 10 

Tom Green   60 59 1 

Upton   27 27 0 

Ward  0 0 0 

Winkler   0 0 0 

TOTAL  1,134 1,088 46 

   

August 29, 2012 Page 9 of 10 Recommended Revisions to TWDB Draft Agricultural Projections   

Table3‐3:RegionFRWPGRecommendedLivestockRevisions(Acre‐Feet/Year)

County Name 

2011 RWP 2010 

2010 Base Year 

Recommended for 2016 RWP 

2020 2030 2040 2050  2060 2070

Andrews  258  325  325 325 325 325  325 325

Borden  242  266  266 266 266 266  266 266

Brown  1,294  1,381  1,381 1,381 1,381 1,381  1,381 1,381

Coke  349  454  454 454 454 454  454 454

Coleman  918  1,108  1,108 1,108 1,108 1,108  1,108 1,108

Concho  543  750  750 750 750 750  750 750

Crane  111  172  172 172 172 172  172 172

Crockett  658  820  820 820 820 820  820 820

Ector  256  265  265 265 265 265  265 265

Glasscock  182  279  279 279 279 279  279 279

Howard  236  326  326 326 326 326  326 326

Irion  236  309  309 309 309 309  309 309

Kimble  367  525  525 525 525 525  525 525

Loving  66  101  101 101 101 101  101 101

McCulloch  752  772  772 772 772 772  772 772

Martin  177  129  129 129 129 129  129 129

Mason  954  1,349  1,349 1,349 1,349 1,349  1,349 1,349

Menard  385  479  479 479 479 479  479 479

Midland  326  400  400 400 400 400  400 400

Mitchell  344  431  431 431 431 431  431 431

Pecos  812  962  962 962 962 962  962 962

Reagan  192  271  271 271 271 271  271 271

Reeves  643  862  862 862 862 862  862 862

Runnels  820  891  891 891 891 891  891 891

Schleicher  510  627  627 627 627 627  627 627

Scurry  461  513  513 513 513 513  513 513

Sterling  291  356  356 356 356 356  356 356

Sutton  425  601  601 601 601 601  601 601

Tom Green  1,461  1,748  1,748 1,748 1,748 1,748  1,748 1,748

Upton  115  146  146 146 146 146  146 146

Ward  87  109  109 109 109 109  109 109

Winkler  151  351  351 351 351 351  351 351

Total  14,622  18,076  18,076 18,076 18,076 18,076  18,076 18,076

   

August 29, 2012 Page 10 of 10 Recommended Revisions to TWDB Draft Agricultural Projections    

 

Figure 3‐1 Historical and Projected Livestock Demands for Region F 

LBG‐GUYTON ASSOCIATES  MEMORANDUM  

TO: Region F RWPG

FROM: LBG‐GUYTON ASSOCIATES

SUBJECT: Recommended Revisions to TWDB Draft Water Demand Projections for Power and Manufacturing for the 2016 Region F Regional Water Plan

DATE: August 29, 2012

CC: Project File 

1. Introduction 

As part of Task 2 efforts for the 2016 regional plans, the Texas Water Development Board (TWDB) developed draft non‐municipal water demand projections which were provided to each planning group in October 2011.  These draft demand projections were reviewed by the consultant team in conjunction with the Region F Regional Water Planning Group (RWPG).  The RWPG approved these revisions at the May 17, 2012 meeting. This memorandum discusses the review process and recommended revisions to the power and manufacturing projections.   

2. Manufacturing 

a. TWDB Methodology – Draft manufacturing water demand projections utilized 2004‐2008 data from TWDB’s Water Use Survey (WUS).  In counties where reported employment from the companies returning surveys was low compared to manufacturing employment data reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), surveyed water use was adjusted to account for non‐responses.  The rate of change for projections from the 2011 Regional Water Plans was then applied to the new base year estimate.   

b. Assessment Approach – The TWDB draft projections were compared to projections from the 2012 SWP on a regional and county‐by‐county basis.   Graphical comparisons were presented to the Region F RWPG for input along with a request for additional data to support revisions.   

c. Results – Manufacturing demand estimates are very similar to 2012 SWP projections and increase slightly over the planning period.  

d. Recommendation – Use TWDB estimates. 

Recommended Revisions to TWDB Projected Water Demands for  

Mining, Manufacturing, and Steam Electric Power  

LBG-Guyton Associates 2

3. Steam Electric Power 

a. TWDB Methodology – Draft steam‐electric power generation water demand projections are based on projections from the 2011 Regional Water Plans and the 2008 TWDB report Water Demand Projections for Power Generation in Texas.  Recent data from the Public Utilities Commission of Texas on plant announcements, retirements, and capacity changes were incorporated to adjust the base.  The rate of change for projections from the 2011 Regional Water Plans was then applied to the new base.   

b. Assessment Approach – The TWDB draft projections were compared to projections from the 2012 SWP on a regional and county‐by‐county basis.   Graphical comparisons were presented to the Region F RWPG for input along with a request for additional data to support revisions.  Will Wilde indicated that the steam electric power demand in Tom Green County was probably a holdover from previous years when a generation station actually used the water.  He indicated that the generating station had been deactivated for some time with no plans to reactivate and recommended that the future demand be set to zero.  RWPG members also indicated that the Summit Texas Clean Energy LLC's new 400MW power/poly‐gen coal‐fired plant to be constructed beginning in July 2012 in Ector County increase water demand by about 4 million gallons per day.  It does appear that the TWDB demand projects do increase over time to account for that need and therefore, we are not recommending any changes for Ector County. 

c. Results – Steam electric power demand estimates are very similar to 2012 SWP projections and increase slightly over the planning period.  

d. Recommendation – Modify steam electric power demands and set Tom Green County power demand to zero for the future. 

 

 

 

E-mail from the TWDB regarding requested changes to livestock demands From: Doug Shaw [mailto:[email protected]] Sent: Monday, February 11, 2013 1:32 PM To: [email protected] Cc: Simone Kiel Subject: Region F livestock I just wanted to let y’all know that I was just informed that the TWDB would not approve the 10% increase to county livestock demands for exotics/wildlife. I have mentioned that an increase for wildlife was factored into livestock demands for the last two rounds of planning, however the response I received was that the TWDB would be receptive to a more current count of “confined” animals and would be willing to consider approving demands related to those estimates (the current data used is from 1995 and I believe includes all animals in a county not just those behind a game fence). Doug (512) 463-1711

Region County 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 Region County 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 Region County 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070F Andrews 30,485 30,229 29,971 29,715 29,459 29,213 F Andrews 37,898 37,579 37,258 36,939 36,621 36,306 F Andrews 37,898 37,579 37,258 36,939 36,621 36,306F Borden 2,740 2,735 2,733 2,728 2,726 2,723 F Borden 4,000 3,993 3,990 3,983 3,980 3,977 F Borden 4,000 3,993 3,990 3,983 3,980 3,977F Brown 7,782 7,755 7,729 7,702 7,676 7,650 F Brown 9,435 9,403 9,371 9,338 9,306 9,275 F Brown 9,435 9,403 9,371 9,338 9,306 9,275F Coke 691 690 689 689 689 689 F Coke 965 963 962 962 962 962 F Coke 965 963 962 962 962 962F Coleman 597 597 597 597 597 597 F Coleman 770 770 770 770 770 770 F Coleman 770 770 770 770 770 770F Concho 5,756 5,732 5,709 5,687 5,665 5,643 F Concho 9,734 9,693 9,654 9,618 9,582 9,546 F Concho 9,734 9,693 9,654 9,618 9,582 9,546F Crane 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Crane 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Crane 0 0 0 0 0 0F Crockett 327 321 315 311 305 0 F Crockett 479 470 461 455 446 437 F Crockett 479 470 461 455 446 437F Ector 1,015 1,003 991 979 967 956 F Ector 1,432 1,415 1,397 1,380 1,362 1,345 F Ector 1,432 1,415 1,397 1,380 1,362 1,345F Glasscock 43,123 42,777 42,430 42,082 41,739 41,406 F Glasscock 56,707 56,252 55,796 55,339 54,887 54,439 F Glasscock 56,707 56,252 55,796 55,339 54,887 54,439F Howard 4,712 4,658 4,603 4,549 4,495 4,444 F Howard 6,722 6,645 6,567 6,490 6,413 6,337 F Howard 6,722 6,645 6,567 6,490 6,413 6,337F Irion 930 910 889 869 849 831 F Irion 1,467 1,435 1,402 1,370 1,338 1,307 F Irion 1,467 1,435 1,402 1,370 1,338 1,307F Kimble 2,516 2,423 2,327 2,231 2,141 2,064 F Kimble 2,939 2,830 2,718 2,606 2,501 2,400 F Kimble 2,939 2,830 2,718 2,606 2,501 2,400F Loving 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Loving 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Loving 0 0 0 0 0 0F Martin 24,287 23,854 23,421 22,990 22,565 22,172 F Martin 36,322 35,674 35,026 34,381 33,746 33,123 F Martin 36,322 35,674 35,026 34,381 33,746 33,123F Mason 6,085 5,997 5,909 5,821 5,734 5,652 F Mason 8,294 8,174 8,054 7,935 7,816 7,699 F Mason 8,294 8,174 8,054 7,935 7,816 7,699F Mcculloch 2,634 2,601 2,567 2,534 2,502 2,471 F Mcculloch 3,584 3,539 3,493 3,448 3,404 3,361 F Mcculloch 3,584 3,539 3,493 3,448 3,404 3,361F Menard 1,810 1,804 1,798 1,791 1,785 1,779 F Menard 2,530 2,522 2,514 2,505 2,497 2,489 F Menard 2,530 2,522 2,514 2,505 2,497 2,489F Midland 24,681 24,488 24,295 24,101 23,910 23,724 F Midland 33,276 33,016 32,756 32,495 32,237 31,981 F Midland 33,276 33,016 32,756 32,495 32,237 31,981F Mitchell 8,513 8,470 8,428 8,386 8,344 8,303 F Mitchell 11,519 11,460 11,404 11,348 11,292 11,236 F Mitchell 11,519 11,460 11,404 11,348 11,292 11,236F Pecos 64,619 63,593 62,566 61,540 60,531 59,588 F Pecos 126,023 126,023 126,023 126,023 126,023 126,023 F Pecos 126,023 126,023 126,023 126,023 126,023 126,023F Reagan 16,550 16,272 15,993 15,715 15,441 15,186 F Reagan 19,130 18,808 18,486 18,164 17,848 17,537 F Reagan 19,130 18,808 18,486 18,164 17,848 17,537F Reeves 65,500 64,940 64,379 63,819 63,265 62,730 F Reeves 91,357 90,577 89,795 89,015 88,242 87,475 F Reeves 91,357 90,577 89,795 89,015 88,242 87,475F Runnels 3,259 3,245 3,231 3,217 3,203 3,190 F Runnels 4,009 3,991 3,973 3,955 3,937 3,919 F Runnels 4,009 3,991 3,973 3,955 3,937 3,919F Schleicher 940 920 901 881 862 845 F Schleicher 1,414 1,385 1,356 1,327 1,298 1,270 F Schleicher 1,414 1,385 1,356 1,327 1,298 1,270F Scurry 5,188 5,011 4,834 4,657 4,487 4,340 F Scurry 7,305 7,056 6,806 6,557 6,318 6,088 F Scurry 7,305 7,056 6,806 6,557 6,318 6,088F Sterling 683 654 625 596 569 546 F Sterling 983 942 901 860 820 782 F Sterling 983 942 901 860 820 782F Sutton 1,195 1,171 1,148 1,124 1,101 1,080 F Sutton 1,803 1,767 1,733 1,697 1,663 1,629 F Sutton 1,803 1,767 1,733 1,697 1,663 1,629F Tom Green 68,892 68,724 68,556 68,385 68,217 68,050 F Tom Green 93,579 93,350 93,121 92,889 92,660 92,432 F Tom Green 93,579 93,350 93,121 92,889 92,660 92,432F Upton 7,350 7,245 7,139 7,033 6,929 6,831 F Upton 9,473 9,338 9,202 9,066 8,932 8,800 F Upton 9,473 9,338 9,202 9,066 8,932 8,800F Ward 4,052 4,001 3,950 3,900 3,850 3,803 F Ward 5,613 5,543 5,473 5,403 5,334 5,266 F Ward 5,613 5,543 5,473 5,403 5,334 5,266F Winkler 3,435 3,435 3,435 3,435 3,435 3,435 F Winkler 4,912 4,912 4,912 4,912 4,912 4,912 F Winkler 4,912 4,912 4,912 4,912 4,912 4,912F TOTAL 410,347 406,255 402,158 398,064 394,038 389,941 F TOTAL 593,674 589,525 585,374 581,230 577,147 573,123 F TOTAL 593,674 589,525 585,374 581,230 577,147 573,123

TWDB Draft Irrigation Projections for 2017 SWP Accepted Revision Requests by RWPGs Finalized Projections for 2017 SWP

Region County 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 Region County 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 Region County 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070F Andrews 49 52 55 58 62 66 F Andrews F Andrews 49 52 55 58 62 66F Borden 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Borden F Borden 0 0 0 0 0 0F Brown 673 726 777 820 886 957 F Brown F Brown 673 726 777 820 886 957F Coke 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Coke F Coke 0 0 0 0 0 0F Coleman 9 9 9 9 9 9 F Coleman F Coleman 9 9 9 9 9 9F Concho 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Concho F Concho 0 0 0 0 0 0F Crane 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Crane F Crane 0 0 0 0 0 0F Crockett 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Crockett F Crockett 0 0 0 0 0 0F Ector 3,454 3,643 3,809 3,936 4,070 4,209 F Ector F Ector 3,454 3,643 3,809 3,936 4,070 4,209F Glasscock 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Glasscock F Glasscock 0 0 0 0 0 0F Howard 2,748 2,872 2,994 3,097 3,290 3,495 F Howard F Howard 2,748 2,872 2,994 3,097 3,290 3,495F Irion 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Irion F Irion 0 0 0 0 0 0F Kimble 701 752 804 852 916 985 F Kimble F Kimble 701 752 804 852 916 985F Loving 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Loving F Loving 0 0 0 0 0 0F Martin 41 42 43 44 47 50 F Martin F Martin 41 42 43 44 47 50F Mason 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Mason F Mason 0 0 0 0 0 0F Mcculloch 500 540 578 611 663 719 F Mcculloch F Mcculloch 500 540 578 611 663 719F Menard 3 3 3 3 3 3 F Menard F Menard 3 3 3 3 3 3F Midland 230 250 269 285 309 335 F Midland F Midland 230 250 269 285 309 335F Mitchell 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Mitchell F Mitchell 0 0 0 0 0 0F Pecos 103 103 103 103 103 103 F Pecos F Pecos 103 103 103 103 103 103F Reagan 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Reagan F Reagan 0 0 0 0 0 0F Reeves 197 201 205 208 220 233 F Reeves F Reeves 197 201 205 208 220 233F Runnels 48 52 56 59 64 69 F Runnels F Runnels 48 52 56 59 64 69F Schleicher 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Schleicher F Schleicher 0 0 0 0 0 0F Scurry 3 3 3 3 3 3 F Scurry F Scurry 3 3 3 3 3 3F Sterling 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Sterling F Sterling 0 0 0 0 0 0F Sutton 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Sutton F Sutton 0 0 0 0 0 0F Tom Green 2,387 2,615 2,839 3,034 3,273 3,531 F Tom Green F Tom Green 2,387 2,615 2,839 3,034 3,273 3,531F Upton 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Upton F Upton 0 0 0 0 0 0F Ward 16 16 16 16 16 16 F Ward F Ward 16 16 16 16 16 16F Winkler 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Winkler F Winkler 0 0 0 0 0 0F TOTAL 11,162 11,879 12,563 13,138 13,934 14,783 F TOTAL F TOTAL 11,162 11,879 12,563 13,138 13,934 14,783

TWDB Draft Manufacturing Projections for 2017 SWP Accepted Revision Requests by RWPGs Finalized Projections for 2017 SWP

Region County 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 Region County 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 Region County 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070F Andrews 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Andrews F Andrews 0 0 0 0 0 0F Borden 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Borden F Borden 0 0 0 0 0 0F Brown 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Brown F Brown 0 0 0 0 0 0F Coke 247 289 339 401 477 528 F Coke F Coke 247 289 339 401 477 528F Coleman 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Coleman F Coleman 0 0 0 0 0 0F Concho 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Concho F Concho 0 0 0 0 0 0F Crane 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Crane F Crane 0 0 0 0 0 0F Crockett 776 907 1,067 1,262 1,500 1,662 F Crockett F Crockett 776 907 1,067 1,262 1,500 1,662F Ector 9,436 11,031 12,976 15,347 18,237 21,672 F Ector F Ector 9,436 11,031 12,976 15,347 18,237 21,672F Glasscock 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Glasscock F Glasscock 0 0 0 0 0 0F Howard 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Howard F Howard 0 0 0 0 0 0F Irion 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Irion F Irion 0 0 0 0 0 0F Kimble 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Kimble F Kimble 0 0 0 0 0 0F Loving 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Loving F Loving 0 0 0 0 0 0F Martin 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Martin F Martin 0 0 0 0 0 0F Mason 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Mason F Mason 0 0 0 0 0 0F McCulloch 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Mcculloch F McCulloch 0 0 0 0 0 0F Menard 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Menard F Menard 0 0 0 0 0 0F Midland 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Midland F Midland 0 0 0 0 0 0F Mitchell 4,847 4,670 4,493 4,317 4,140 3,994 F Mitchell F Mitchell 4,847 4,670 4,493 4,317 4,140 3,994F Pecos 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Pecos F Pecos 0 0 0 0 0 0F Reagan 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Reagan F Reagan 0 0 0 0 0 0F Reeves 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Reeves F Reeves 0 0 0 0 0 0F Runnels 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Runnels F Runnels 0 0 0 0 0 0F Schleicher 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Schleicher F Schleicher 0 0 0 0 0 0F Scurry 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Scurry F Scurry 0 0 0 0 0 0F Sterling 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Sterling F Sterling 0 0 0 0 0 0F Sutton 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Sutton F Sutton 0 0 0 0 0 0F Tom Green 737 862 1,014 1,199 1,425 1,693 F Tom Green 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Tom Green 0 0 0 0 0 0F Upton 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Upton F Upton 0 0 0 0 0 0F Ward 3,779 4,418 5,196 6,145 7,303 8,269 F Ward F Ward 3,779 4,418 5,196 6,145 7,303 8,269F Winkler 0 0 0 0 0 0 F Winkler F Winkler 0 0 0 0 0 0F TOTAL 19,822 22,177 25,085 28,671 33,082 37,818 F TOTAL F 19,085 21,315 24,071 27,472 31,657 36,125

TWDB Draft Steam Electric Projections for 2017 SWP Accepted Revision Requests by RWPGs Finalized Projections for 2017 SWP

County 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 County 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 County All Decades County 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070Andrews 258 258 258 258 258 258 Andrews 325 325 325 325 325 325 Andrews 0 Andrews 325 325 325 325 325 325 Borden 242 242 242 242 242 242 Borden 266 266 266 266 266 266 Borden 16 Borden 250 250 250 250 250 250 Brown 1,294 1,294 1,294 1,294 1,294 1,294 Brown 1,381 1,381 1,381 1,381 1,381 1,381 Brown 28 Brown 1,353 1,353 1,353 1,353 1,353 1,353 Coke 349 349 349 349 349 349 Coke 454 454 454 454 454 454 Coke 23 Coke 431 431 431 431 431 431 Coleman 918 918 918 918 918 918 Coleman 1,108 1,108 1,108 1,108 1,108 1,108 Coleman 32 Coleman 1,076 1,076 1,076 1,076 1,076 1,076 Concho 543 543 543 543 543 543 Concho 750 750 750 750 750 750 Concho 51 Concho 699 699 699 699 699 699 Crane 111 111 111 111 111 111 Crane 172 172 172 172 172 172 Crane 0 Crane 172 172 172 172 172 172 Crockett 658 658 658 658 658 658 Crockett 820 820 820 820 820 820 Crockett 139 Crockett 681 681 681 681 681 681 Ector 256 256 256 256 256 256 Ector 265 265 265 265 265 265 Ector 0 Ector 265 265 265 265 265 265 Glasscock 182 182 182 182 182 182 Glasscock 279 279 279 279 279 279 Glasscock 17 Glasscock 262 262 262 262 262 262 Howard 236 236 236 236 236 236 Howard 326 326 326 326 326 326 Howard 10 Howard 316 316 316 316 316 316 Irion 236 236 236 236 236 236 Irion 309 309 309 309 309 309 Irion 41 Irion 268 268 268 268 268 268 Kimble 367 367 367 367 367 367 Kimble 525 525 525 525 525 525 Kimble 123 Kimble 402 402 402 402 402 402 Loving 66 66 66 66 66 66 Loving 101 101 101 101 101 101 Loving 0 Loving 101 101 101 101 101 101 Mcculloch 177 177 177 177 177 177 Mcculloch 772 772 772 772 772 772 Mcculloch 58 Mcculloch 714 714 714 714 714 714 Martin 954 954 954 954 954 954 Martin 129 129 129 129 129 129 Martin 1 Martin 128 128 128 128 128 128 Mason 752 752 752 752 752 752 Mason 1,349 1,349 1,349 1,349 1,349 1,349 Mason 101 Mason 1,248 1,248 1,248 1,248 1,248 1,248 Menard 385 385 385 385 385 385 Menard 479 479 479 479 479 479 Menard 71 Menard 408 408 408 408 408 408 Midland 326 326 326 326 326 326 Midland 400 400 400 400 400 400 Midland 6 Midland 394 394 394 394 394 394 Mitchell 344 344 344 344 344 344 Mitchell 431 431 431 431 431 431 Mitchell 18 Mitchell 413 413 413 413 413 413 Pecos 812 812 812 812 812 812 Pecos 962 962 962 962 962 962 Pecos 30 Pecos 932 932 932 932 932 932 Reagan 192 192 192 192 192 192 Reagan 271 271 271 271 271 271 Reagan 16 Reagan 255 255 255 255 255 255 Reeves 643 643 643 643 643 643 Reeves 862 862 862 862 862 862 Reeves 0 Reeves 862 862 862 862 862 862 Runnels 820 820 820 820 820 820 Runnels 891 891 891 891 891 891 Runnels 11 Runnels 880 880 880 880 880 880 Schleicher 510 510 510 510 510 510 Schleicher 627 627 627 627 627 627 Schleicher 92 Schleicher 535 535 535 535 535 535 Scurry 461 461 461 461 461 461 Scurry 513 513 513 513 513 513 Scurry 9 Scurry 504 504 504 504 504 504 Sterling 291 291 291 291 291 291 Sterling 356 356 356 356 356 356 Sterling 34 Sterling 322 322 322 322 322 322 Sutton 425 425 425 425 425 425 Sutton 601 601 601 601 601 601 Sutton 122 Sutton 479 479 479 479 479 479 Tom Green 1,461 1,461 1,461 1,461 1,461 1,461 Tom Green 1,748 1,748 1,748 1,748 1,748 1,748 Tom Green 60 Tom Green 1,688 1,688 1,688 1,688 1,688 1,688 Upton 115 115 115 115 115 115 Upton 146 146 146 146 146 146 Upton 27 Upton 119 119 119 119 119 119 Ward 87 87 87 87 87 87 Ward 109 109 109 109 109 109 Ward 0 Ward 109 109 109 109 109 109 Winkler 151 151 151 151 151 151 Winkler 351 351 351 351 351 351 Winkler 0 Winkler 351 351 351 351 351 351 Total 14,622 14,622 14,622 14,622 14,622 14,622 Total 18,076 18,076 18,076 18,076 18,076 18,076 Total 1,136 Total 16,940 16,940 16,940 16,940 16,940 16,940

RWPG 9/5/12 Revision Requests (Includes Exotic/Wildlife Demand) RWPG New Revision Requests (No Exotic/Wildlife Demand)RWPG Exotic/Wildlife DemandsTWDB Draft Livestock for 2017 SWP Projections

Region County 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 Region County 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 Region County 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070F Andrews 3,959 3,710 3,177 2,509 1,929 1,483F Borden 679 927 784 494 244 121F Brown 943 948 951 952 948 944F Coke 488 482 430 376 328 286F Coleman 108 107 97 86 77 69F Concho 480 474 422 367 320 279F Crane 617 840 861 692 531 407F Crockett 1,732 1,843 1,261 682 207 63F Ector 1,977 2,164 1,926 1,574 1,272 1,076F Glasscock 3,423 3,101 2,384 1,679 1,100 798F Howard 2,491 2,747 1,940 1,138 476 199F Irion 3,192 3,357 2,423 1,487 713 342F Kimble 19 19 19 19 19 19F Loving 792 1,058 934 762 601 474F Martin 3,527 2,998 2,251 1,441 771 413F Mason 1,023 941 708 568 460 372F McCulloch 8,927 8,347 6,641 5,627 4,836 4,201F Menard 1,086 1,071 952 827 717 622F Midland 3,893 3,418 2,630 1,774 1,056 743F Mitchell 593 738 632 493 375 290F Pecos 690 1,068 1,072 861 672 524F Reagan 4,211 3,395 2,457 1,406 529 199F Reeves 1,531 2,632 2,537 2,068 1,632 1,288F Runnels 272 269 240 210 184 161F Schleicher 621 732 562 392 241 148F Scurry 280 456 483 363 246 167F Sterling 780 953 812 522 270 140F Sutton 446 720 763 573 389 264F Tom Green 1,056 1,080 1,119 1,112 1,134 1,156F Upton 4,237 3,634 2,873 1,926 1,150 803F Ward 797 964 840 645 458 329F Winkler 787 1,169 991 756 531 373F TOTAL 55,657 56,362 46,172 34,381 24,416 18,753

TWDB Draft Mining Projections for 2017 SWP Revision Requests by RWPGs Finalized Projections for 2017 SWP

County WF‐fresh WF‐brackish HF‐both Drilling‐freshCrushed 

Stone

Sand and 

GravelInd. Sand

2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020

Andrews 117 1534 2,140 164 3955

Borden 0 0 638 39 0 677

Brown 1 19 0 13 909 942

Coke 33 438 0 12 4 487

Coleman 6 84 0 17 107

Concho 33 434 0 13 480

Crane 8 106 438 63 615

Crockett 2 26 1,636 66 1730

Ector 6 75 1,340 113 440 1974

Glasscock 26 341 2,621 67 366 3421

Howard 4 56 2,360 68 2488

Irion 51 676 2,429 35 3191

Kimble 0 0 0 17 17

Loving 23 297 418 54 792

Martin 26 337 3,071 91 3525

Mason 0 0 0 1020 1020

McCulloch 3 35 0 1201 7690 8929

Menard 76 998 0 12 1086

Midland 11 141 3,265 102 371 3890

Mitchell 1 11 317 30 232 591

Pecos 20 262 173 233 688

Reagan 7 94 4,019 88 4208

Reeves 6 75 1,155 278 11 1525

Runnels 18 240 0 14 272

Schleicher 9 118 468 26 621

Scurry 0 0 249 31 280

Sterling 2 29 707 40 778

Sutton 0 6 390 48 444

Tom Green 3 45 0 21 987 1056

Upton 0 2 3,728 153 350 4233

Ward 1 12 683 77 22 795

Winkler 7 88 618 72 785

Data from BEG June 2011 report and Updated BEG September 2012 report.

Oil and Gas AggregateTotals 

(ac‐ft)

Region F 2020 Mining Projections

County WF‐fresh WF‐brackish HF‐both Drilling‐freshCrushed 

Stone

Sand and 

GravelInd. Sand

Andrews 73 1556 1,965 113 3707

Borden 0 0 899 27 0 926

Brown 1 19 0 13 915 948

Coke 21 444 0 13 5 483

Coleman 4 85 0 18 107

Concho 21 440 0 13 474

Crane 5 108 681 45 839

Crockett 1 27 1,760 54 1842

Ector 4 77 1,529 79 474 2163

Glasscock 16 346 2,311 43 383 3099

Howard 3 57 2,642 43 2745

Irion 32 685 2,613 26 3356

Kimble 0 0 0 17 17

Loving 14 301 704 38 1057

Martin 16 342 2,577 61 2996

Mason 0 0 0 940 940

McCulloch 2 36 0 1237 7070 8345

Menard 47 1012 0 12 1071

Midland 7 143 2,803 70 393 3416

Mitchell 1 11 476 22 227 737

Pecos 12 266 601 185 1064

Reagan 4 96 3,236 56 3392

Reeves 4 76 2,333 200 13 2626

Runnels 11 243 0 14 268

Schleicher 6 120 584 22 732

Scurry 0 0 432 23 455

Sterling 1 29 893 28 951

Sutton 0 6 677 35 718

Tom Green 2 45 0 21 1012 1080

Upton 0 2 3,156 103 369 3630

Ward 1 12 871 55 23 962

Winkler 4 89 1,024 50 1167

Data from BEG June 2011 report and Updated BEG September 2012 report.

Totals (ac‐

ft)

Region F 2030 Mining Projections

Oil and Gas Aggregate

County WF‐fresh WF‐brackish HF‐both Drilling‐freshCrushed 

Stone

Sand and 

GravelInd. Sand

Andrews 63 1381 1,654 76 3174

Borden 0 0 764 19 0 783

Brown 1 17 0 13 920 951

Coke 18 394 0 13 5 430

Coleman 3 76 0 18 97

Concho 18 390 0 13 421

Crane 4 96 729 31 860

Crockett 1 24 1,190 46 1261

Ector 3 68 1,309 53 491 1924

Glasscock 14 307 1,646 26 390 2383

Howard 2 51 1,859 26 1938

Irion 28 609 1,766 20 2423

Kimble 0 0 0 17 17

Loving 12 267 627 26 932

Martin 14 303 1,892 40 2249

Mason 0 0 0 710 710

McCulloch 1 32 0 1285 5320 6638

Menard 41 899 0 12 952

Midland 6 127 2,045 47 403 2628

Mitchell 0 10 381 17 223 631

Pecos 11 236 674 148 1069

Reagan 4 85 2,332 34 2455

Reeves 3 68 2,304 142 15 2532

Runnels 10 216 0 14 240

Schleicher 5 106 430 20 561

Scurry 0 0 466 17 483

Sterling 1 26 765 20 812

Sutton 0 5 730 27 762

Tom Green 2 40 0 21 1056 1119

Upton 0 2 2,398 67 403 2870

Ward 0 11 764 38 25 838

Winkler 4 79 873 34 990

Data from BEG June 2011 report and updated BEG September 2012 report.

Oil and Gas AggregateTotals (ac‐

ft)

Region F 2040 Mining Projections

County WF‐fresh WF‐brackish HF‐both Drilling‐freshCrushed 

Stone

Sand and 

GravelInd. Sand

Andrews 55 1197 1,207 48 2507

Borden 0 0 480 14 0 494

Brown 1 15 0 13 923 952

Coke 16 342 0 13 6 377

Coleman 3 66 0 18 87

Concho 15 338 0 14 367

Crane 4 83 583 20 690

Crockett 1 21 620 40 682

Ector 3 59 959 33 518 1572

Glasscock 12 266 980 15 404 1677

Howard 2 44 1,076 15 1137

Irion 24 528 920 15 1487

Kimble 0 0 0 17 17

Loving 11 232 502 17 762

Martin 12 263 1,141 24 1440

Mason 0 0 0 570 570

McCulloch 1 28 0 1325 4270 5624

Menard 35 779 0 12 826

Midland 5 110 1,205 29 424 1773

Mitchell 0 9 286 13 184 492

Pecos 9 205 528 116 858

Reagan 3 74 1,308 20 1405

Reeves 3 59 1,893 94 16 2065

Runnels 9 187 0 14 210

Schleicher 4 92 277 19 392

Scurry 0 0 349 13 362

Sterling 1 22 484 14 521

Sutton 0 5 547 21 573

Tom Green 2 35 0 21 1054 1112

Upton 0 1 1,455 40 427 1923

Ward 0 9 581 26 28 644

Winkler 3 69 661 22 755

Data from BEG June 2011 report and updated BEG September 2012 report.

Oil and Gas AggregateTotals (ac‐

ft)

Region F 2050 Mining Projections

County WF‐fresh WF‐brackish HF‐both Drilling‐freshCrushed 

Stone

Sand and 

GravelInd. Sand

Andrews 47 1036 806 40 1929

Borden 0 0 230 13 0 243

Brown 1 13 0 13 921 948

Coke 13 296 0 13 6 328

Coleman 3 57 0 18 78

Concho 13 293 0 14 320

Crane 3 72 438 18 531

Crockett 1 18 149 40 208

Ector 2 51 644 28 547 1272

Glasscock 10 230 427 14 419 1100

Howard 2 38 422 14 476

Irion 21 456 221 15 713

Kimble 0 0 0 17 17

Loving 9 200 376 15 600

Martin 10 227 512 21 770

Mason 0 0 0 460 460

McCulloch 1 24 0 1352 3460 4837

Menard 31 674 0 12 717

Midland 4 95 488 24 444 1055

Mitchell 0 8 190 13 164 375

Pecos 8 177 383 103 671

Reagan 3 64 444 19 530

Reeves 2 51 1,481 79 18 1631

Runnels 7 162 0 15 184

Schleicher 4 80 140 18 242

Scurry 0 0 233 13 246

Sterling 1 19 236 14 270

Sutton 0 4 365 21 390

Tom Green 1 30 0 21 1081 1133

Upton 0 1 664 34 451 1150

Ward 0 8 398 22 29 457

Winkler 3 59 450 19 531

Data from BEG June 2011 report and updated BEG September 2012 report.

Oil and Gas AggregateTotals (ac‐

ft)

Region F 2060 Mining Projections