medium term business strategy fy3/2012 - fy3/ · pdf filemedium term business strategy...
TRANSCRIPT
February 2012
Medium Term Business Strategy
FY3/2012 - FY3/2015
Draft
2
Growth Strategy 2015
Medium Term Business Target
Investment Summary
3
Medium Term Business Target
4
Previous 3-Year Financials Review
Revenue
EBITDA
122.9 billion yen
2.2 billion yen
FY3/2009
(pro-forma)
FY3/2012
(estimates)
203.0 billion yen
63.0 billion yen
Mobile (% share)
Fixed (% share)
61.4 billion yen (50%)
61.5 billion yen (50%)
161.0 billion yen (79%)
42.0 billion yen(21%)
Mobile (% share)
Fixed (% share)
- 18.5 billion yen
20.6 billion yen
44.0 billion yen (70%)
19.0 billion yen (30%)
Recurring profit - 31.4 billion yen 12.5 billion yen
Revenue increased by 65% to over 200 billion yen
Transformation to positive recurring profit
Reducing revenue and EBITDA dependence on fixed business
Achievements
5
-4.7%
1.5%
4.4%
20.6%
65.2%
-10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
-1.6%
0.4%
1.5%
6.4%
18.2%
-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Revenue Growth Comparison(3-Year)
Highest 3-Year revenue growth of 65.2% during FY3/2009 to FY3/2012E
Highest 3-Year revenue CAGR of 18.2% during FY3/2009 to FY3/2012E
Absolute 3-Year Revenue Growth
FY3/2009 - FY3/2012E
3-Year Revenue CAGR
FY3/2009-FY3/2012E
eAccess
Company A
Average
Company B
Company C
eAccess
Company B
Company A
Average
Company C
Source: public information
6
-2.0%
0.7%
14.0%
3.1%
205.9%
-40% 10% 60% 110% 160% 210%
-5.8%
2.1%
48.0%
9.4%
2763.6%
-500% 0% 500% 1000% 1500% 2000% 2500% 3000%
EBITDA Growth Comparison (3-Year)
Source: public information
Absolute 3-Year EBITDA Growth
FY3/2009-FY3/2012E
3-Year EBITDA CAGR
FY3/2009-FY3/2012E
eAccess
Average
Company B
Company C
eAccess
Company A
Average
Company B
Company C
EBITDA 3-Year growth increased over 28X during FY3/2009 to FY3/2012E
EBITDA 3-Year CAGR also increased over 200% during FY3/2009 to
FY3/2012E
28.6X
Company A
7
Growth Focus
Medium Term Business Target (3-Year)
Revenue
EBITDA
203.0 billion yen
63.0 billion yen
FY3/2012 (estimates)
FY3/2015 (estimates)
Mobile (% share)
Fixed (% share)
161.0 billion yen (79%)
42.0 billion yen (21%)
Mobile (% share)
Fixed (% share)
44.0 billion yen (70%)
19.0 billion yen (30%)
Recurring profit
Increase revenue to 350.0 billion yen from 203.0 billion yen (up 72%)
EBITDA growth to be driven by mobile business
Recurring profit to 3x to 40.0 yen billion from 12.5 billion yen
12.5 billion yen
350.0 billion yen
90.0 billion yen
325.0 billion yen (93%)
25.0 billion yen (7%)
40.0 billion yen
80.0 billion yen (89%)
10.0 billion yen (11%)
8
Subscriber Acquisition Target
Mobile 1.4 million
FY3/2009 FY3/2012E FY3/2015E
4.0 million 6.6 million
Fixed 2.6 million 1.6 million 0.9 million
Total 4.0 million 5.6 million 7.5 million
Net Addition: +2.6 million
9
Capital Spending Plan
Accumulated 3-Year
capex plan 130.0 billion yen
FY3/2010 ~
FY3/2012E
100.0 billion yen *
FY3/2013E ~
FY3/2015E
Complete area expansion
to 93% population coverage
Complete underground &
subway station coverage
Network speed upgrade
to 42Mbps (DC-HSPA)
Network upgrade to LTE
to 75Mbps & 112Mbps
Backhaul upgrade to
100% all IP
100% underground
subway tunnel investment
Area coverage to expand
to over 95% population
coverage
Capex focus
* Current capex figures do not include
platinum band & migration capex
* Capex figures to be revised after
platinum band allocation
10
Subscribers 4.0
FY3/2009 (pro-forma)
FY3/2012E
4.7
Revenue 122.9 176.5
EBITDA 2.2 44.5
Mobile (% share)
Fixed (% share)
1.4 (35%)
2.6 (65%)
FY3/2010 (pro-forma)
FY3/2011 (pro-forma) FY3/2015E
5.0
195.6
64.5
5.6
203.0
63.0
7.5
350.0
90.0
2.4 (51%)
2.3 (49%)
3.1 (62%)
1.9 (38%)
4.0 (71%)
1.6 (29%)
6.6 (88%)
0.9 (12%)
Mobile (% share)
Fixed (% share)
-18.5
20.6
113.6 (64%)
62.9 (36%)
139.1 (71%)
56.5 (29%)
161.0 (79%)
42.0 (21%)
325.0 (93%)
25.0 (7%)
Mobile (% share)
Fixed (% share)
61.4 (50%)
61.5 (50%)
18.2 (41%)
26.3 (59%)
40.3 (62%)
24.2 (38%)
44.0 (70%)
19.0 (30%)
80.0 (89%)
10.0 (11%)
Operating Profit - 22.4 11.8 19.2 25.0 50.0
Recurring profit - 31.4 0.6 8.9 12.5 40.0
Unit:
million users
billion yen
Pro-forma Summary
Expect revenue to increase 72% to 350.0 billion yen from 203.0 billion yen
Operating profit to increase 2x to 50.0 billion yen from 25.0 billion yen
Recurring profit to increase 3x to 40.0 billion yen from 12.5 billion yen
11
Growth Strategy 2015
12
Growth Strategy
Step 1
Strengthen Mobile
Broadband Position
Step 2
Smart phone Strategy
Step 3
Main Stream Carrier
2012~2013
2013~2015
2015~
LTE
Retention
Branding
Shops
Handset
Marketing
Area coverage 99%
Challenge mobile
mainstream market
Subscribers/Revenue
2012~2013 2013~2015 2015~
Growth Strategy 2015
13
Addressing Existing Challenges
ARPU
dilution
Price competition & increase in
MVNO subscribers
Churn Rising churn
Capacity issues due to increasing
traffic. Speed competition Network
14
Strengthen Mobile Broadband Position
LTE
Retention
Marketing
15
3.6 Mbps
7.2 Mbps
21 Mbps
42 Mbps
1st flat rate
1st HSUPA
1st HSPA+
1st
DC-
HSPA
HSPA HSUPA HSPA+ DC-HSPA
LTE Strategy
75 Mbps
112 Mbps
LTE 2009/11 2011/1 2011/3 2012/3
LTE
Mobile broadband
network leader
16
LTE Area Coverage Plan
LTE
HSPA+/DC-HSDPA 70%
HSPA 93%
75/112Mbps
14Mbps
Speed
100% IP Backbone
42Mbps
~21Mbps
•EMOBILE G4 area is compliant area to downlink speed Max 42Mbps. (Some areas:Max 21Mbps or Max 14.4Mbps)
** Nation-wide around 70%, Metropolis and government-decreed city: around 99%, Underground: 100% (end of 2012)
Plan to launch LTE in March 2012
Expand area coverage to 70% by March 2013
17
Mobile Broadband Market Growth
8.0 million
FY3/2012 FY3/2015
1) Speed upgrade
Migrate low/medium speed
MBB users to high speed
users
(7.2/42Mbps⇒75Mbps)
2) New customers
Attract new MBB customers
from new entry users, fixed
broadband & FMC
4.0 million 6.6 million
15.0 million
Mobile Broadband Users
Target Customers
18
3,400
3,250
3,100
2,9502,860
2,730 2,730
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
1Q
FY3/11
2Q
FY3/11
3Q
FY3/11
4Q
FY3/11
1Q
FY3/12
2Q
FY3/12
3Q
FY3/12
FY3/15
1.37%
1.29%
1.40%
1.54%
1.44%
1.50%
1.45%
1Q
FY3/11
2Q
FY3/11
3Q
FY3/11
4Q
FY3/11
1Q
FY3/12
2Q
FY3/12
3Q
FY3/12
FY3/15
ARPU and Churn Improvement
(ARPU: yen)
below 1.5%
around 3,000 yen
Target to reduce monthly churn to below 1.5% level
Target to recover ARPU back to around 3,000 yen level
Churn improvement target ARPU recovery target
19
Retention Plan
Source: EMOBILE former user survey (n = 400 people who churned in the last 18months)
Churn Analysis and Retention Plan
(%)
EM churn
0
20
40
60
80
100
Churn to
other
carriers
Natural
churn
1.5%
Churn reasons
to other carriers
Area
Speed
Others
Tariffs
1.0%
Reduce churn (below 1.5%) with initiatives targeting three
main causes (speed, coverage and price)
7.2Mbps
4,980 yen (7.2Mbps)
93%
3,880 yen (42Mbps)
95% improve indoor
tunnel coverage
42Mbps/
LTE
20
Smart phone Re-entry Strategy
21
Expect smart phone market to reach over 50% penetration in Japan’s mobile market
Source: MM Souken
(million)
Smart phone Market Growth
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
FY3/2009 FY3/2010 FY3/2011 FY3/2012 FY3/2013 FY3/2014 FY3/2015 FY3/2016
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Smartphone user Featurephone user Smartphone user ratio
22
Smart phone Re-entry Strategy
Shops Plan to expand EMOBILE shops
Preparation of LTE smartphone Handset
Strengthen branding and marketing Marketing
Focus and target specific customer segments to
expand smartphone subscriber base
23
Marketing and Sales Channels Strategy
FY3/2009 ~
FY3/2012E
FY3/2013E ~
FY3/2015E
Complete coverage of
major electronics retailers
nationwide
Product awareness
marketing of Pocket Wifi
Small investment in
corporate brand
Investment in EMOBILE
carrier shops & multi-
carrier shops
Marketing investment in
preparation for LTE
Strengthen branding &
product marketing
Marketing
and
channels
investment focus
24
Shop Strategy
End of
FY2012
Multi-carrier shops
EMOBILE
shops
Increase EMOBILE shops
Primarily multi-carrier shops
End of
FY2013
End of
FY2014
800 stores
End of
FY2011
25
Franchise Shop and EMOBILE Shop Images
Low initial cost for store
development
Leverage partner’s know-
how of store operation
Low running cost
Merits of franchise shops
26
Investing in Marketing and Branding
Strengthen product brand
position as “No. 1 Wi-Fi”
Marketing preparation for
LTE & smart phone launch
Marketing Strategy
Increase company’s brand
recognition
27
Investment Summary
28
Investment Summary
Strong commitment to Medium Term Business Target
Target to achieve 6.6 million mobile subscribers in 2015
Aim to increase operating profit 2x and recurring profit 3x
Strengthen mobile broadband position & marketing
Enter smart phone market with target customer segments
29
This presentation has been prepared by eAccess Ltd. (“the Company”). This
presentation contains forward-looking statements, which are subject to risks,
uncertainties, and assumptions. This presentation is being presented solely for
your information and is subject to change without notice. No representation or
warranty, expressed or implied, is made and no reliance should be placed on the
accuracy, actuality, fairness, or completeness of the information presented. The
Company accept no liability whatsoever for any losses arising from any
information contained in the presentation.
This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or
subscribe for any shares of the Company, and no part of this presentation shall
form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with any contract or
commitment.