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M ED-CSP M ED-CSP MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources WP4: Demand Side Analysis WP5: Scenario & Market Strategies (Water) WP6: Socio-Economical Impacts WP7: Environmental Impacts

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Page 1: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

MED-CSP

Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region

WP1: Sustainability Goals

WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies

WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

WP4: Demand Side Analysis

WP5: Scenario & Market Strategies (Water)

WP6: Socio-Economical Impacts

WP7: Environmental Impacts

Page 2: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Water demand is calculated as a function of population and economic growth. Starting data from the year 2000 was obtained from FAO Aquastat.

The future water demand of the agricultural sector was calculated as function of population. The idea behind the model is that the per capita water supply for food production purposes is maintained at least constant in every country to avoid an increasing dependency on food imports. Although renewable water resources are scarce in many MENA countries, salt water, energy for desalination and land are plenty. This is a different approach than that reflected by a FAO study given in the following figure, where the total water withdrawal in most MENA countries is stagnating in spite of the growing population. This would lead to strong reduction of agricultural activities, as the urban water demand will grow steadily in MENA. In our scenario, the efficiency of irrigation technologies is enhanced with time, through change of irrigation systems and technical advance. Irrigation efficiency values start with actual levels in each country and achieve best practice (60 – 70 %) by 2050.

The water demand of the industrial and domestic sector growths in proportion to the national economy represented by the GDP according to the scenario CG/HE. Efficiency enhancements of the municipal water supply system are considered. Efficiency starts with actual values in each country and reaches best practice values (> 80 %) by 2050.

Calculation of Water Demand

grows with GDP

grows with total population

Water Demand in Tunisia

Agricultural

Domestic

Industrial

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wa

ter

De

ma

nd [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Page 3: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Urban Centres in the EU-MENA Region

Page 4: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Percentage of Irrigated Area per 100 km² in Southern Europe and Maghreb Countries

Source: http://www.fao.org/ag/agl/aglw/aquastat/irrigationmap/index10.stm

Page 5: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Percentage of Irrigated Area per 100 km² in Western Asia and Arabian Peninsula

Source: http://www.fao.org/ag/agl/aglw/aquastat/irrigationmap/index10.stm

Page 6: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

North Africa

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2000 2050

Year

Sh

are

of

Sec

tor

Dem

and

Industrial

Domestic

Agricultural

Western Asia

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2000 2050

Year

Sh

are

of

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tor

Dem

and

Industrial

Domestic

Agricultural

Arabian Peninsula

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2000 2050

Year

Sh

are

of

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tor

Dem

and

Industrial

Domestic

Agricultural

Total MENA

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2000 2050

Year

Sh

are

of

Sec

tor

Dem

and

Industrial

Domestic

Agricultural

Water Demand Structure in MENA (Scenario CG/HE)

Page 7: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Sustainable water resources in 2000 are taken from the FAO Aquastat database, taking into consideration exploitable renewable surface and groundwater resources. A possible future depletion of this resources due to climate change is not considered. Increased re-use of wastewater is taken into consideration, subsequently increasing the renewable water resources according to the wastewater potentials.

The following figure shows the renewable water resources per capita of the analyzed region. The CSP-desalination potentials of all MENA countries with a per capita renewable water resource of less than 2000 m³/cap/y were investigated within the MED-CSP study.

Non-sustainable use of water resources includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels. Desalination capacities are taken from the World Desalting Plants Inventory /Wangnick 2004/. Overuse of groundwater resources is estimated from World Bank Data /Saghiri 2000/ and from the FAO Aquastat Database 2004.

In most countries with unsustainable use of water, the amount of unsustainable water will grow until 2025 due to the fact the CSP industrial production capacities cannot cope with the large demand before 2025. Part of this unsustainable water could be desalted with other renewable energies. However, this amount is neglected.

It is assumed that the non-sustainable use of water is gradually replaced by seawater desalination with renewable energies, mainly CSP, as soon as the industrial production capacities become large enough. In the scenario, the replacement of unsustainable water use takes place as soon as possible. In the real world, this change will probably be slower, if the yield and cost of the non-renewable water withdrawals allow for this. Additionally growing water demand is provided by unexploited renewable water sources in a first place or – after making use of the total renewable water potential – also by seawater desalted with renewable energies.

Energy used for seawater desalination is additional to the electricity demand calculated in the MED-CSP scenario CG/HE, which only considers conventional uses of electricity. The biggest potential CSP desalination markets until 2050 are visible in Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Libya and the United Arab Emirates. Syria has also a large demand for seawater desalination, but CSP potentials were eliminated through site exclusion by priority agricultural use and forests at the seashore. However, multipurpose CSP plants could become compatible with agricultural activities in such cases, as they can be combined with agricultural activities (ref. WP 2 and WP 6).

Calculation of Water Supply

Page 8: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Total Renewable Water Resources (TRWR) and Dependency Ratio (DR)*

Source: Review of World Water Resources by Country, Water Report 23, FAO 2003

* Dependency Ratio: Water dependency on rivers flowing into a country from outside

Page 9: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Seawater Desalination Capacities in 2004

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500

CyprusGreece

ItalyMalta

PortugalSpain

TurkeyIranIraq

IsraelJordan

LebanoSyria

BahrainKuwaitOmanQatarSaudiUAE

YemenAlgeria

EgyptLibya

MoroccTunisia

Desalination Capacity [million m³/year]

Multi-Stage-Flash 2004 MED+VC 2004 Reverse Osmosis 2004

Source: Wangnick Consulting 2004

Page 10: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Groundwater withdrawals as percentage of safe yield

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% 400%

Cyprus

Morocco

Tunisia

Algeria

Oman

UAE

Syria

Yemen

J ordan

Bahrain

Gaza

Qatar

Kuwait

Saudi Arabia 1456%

1275%

Source: Saghiri 2000

Page 11: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Seawater Desalination Capacities in 2004 and in 2050

Multi-Stage-Flash 2004

MED+VC 2004

Reverse Osmosis

2004

Total Desalination

2004Non-Sust.

Water 2004

Desalination Scenario

2050

Energy for Desalination

2050Mm³/y Mm³/y Mm³/y Mm³/y Mm³/y Mm³/y TWh/y

Cyprus 2.8 0.9 49.2 52.8 5 90 0.31Greece 2.5 5.0 7.6 15.1 24 0.08Italy 93.4 43.3 58.2 194.9 305 1.04Malta 8.6 1.5 41.2 51.3 80 0.28Portugal 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 2 0.01Spain 32.5 33.7 563.5 629.7 985 3.37Turkey 0.0 3.2 0.3 3.5 6 0.02Iran 116.7 39.8 4.5 161.1 252 0.86Iraq 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 3840 13.15Israel 2.6 11.0 419.6 433.2 340 1018 3.49Jordan 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.0 560 1030 3.53Lebanon 0.2 5.4 0.1 5.6 9 0.03Syria 0.0 0.0 2.2 2.2 8000 12170 41.67Bahrain 207.8 18.1 28.2 254.2 170 488 1.67Kuwait 908.8 3.9 142.6 1055.2 370 1691 5.79Oman 103.9 25.3 21.0 150.2 340 1820 6.23Qatar 363.4 92.4 2.4 458.2 210 783 2.68Saudi Arabia 1765.3 1119.1 288.9 3173.3 14800 29722 101.77UAE 2122.0 835.4 237.5 3195.0 2000 4550 15.58Yemen 0.9 22.5 0.3 23.8 2500 18040 61.77Algeria 92.0 13.3 168.8 274.1 600 975 3.34Egypt 53.8 7.0 53.0 113.8 10200 75000 256.80Libya 320.6 156.5 24.7 501.8 4100 7330 25.10Morocco 2.6 25.0 11.2 38.7 270 340 1.16Tunisia 0.1 2.0 0.7 2.8 290 294 1.01

Page 12: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Seawater desalination capacities and non-sustainable water withdrawal in 2004, and expected desalination capacity in 2050

90 24305 80 2

985

6 252

3840

1018 1030

9

12170

488

1691 1820

783

4550

18040

975

7330

340 294

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

20000

Cypru

s

Greec

eIta

lyM

alta

Portu

gal

Spain

Turke

yIra

nIra

qIsr

ael

Jord

an

Leba

non

Syria

Bahra

in

Kuwait

Oman

Qatar

Saudi

Arabia UAE

Yemen

Algeria

Egypt

Libya

Mor

occo

Tunisi

a

Des

alin

atio

n C

apac

ity [m

illio

n m

³/y]

Desalination 2004 Non-Sust. Water 2004 Desalination 2050

7500029000

Page 13: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Population in Morocco

05

101520253035404550

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Po

pu

lati

on

[m

illio

ns

]

UrbanRural

Water Demand in Morocco

Agricultural

Domestic

Industrial

0

5

10

15

20

25

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er

De

man

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Water Supply in Morocco

0

5

10

15

20

25

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Wat

er

Sup

ply

[bill

ion

m³/

y]

Sustainable Water Non-Sustainable CSP-Desalination

Page 14: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Population in Tunisia

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Po

pu

lati

on

[m

illio

ns

]

UrbanRural

Water Demand in Tunisia

Agricultural

Domestic

Industrial

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er

De

man

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Water Supply in Tunisia

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.0

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Wat

er

Sup

ply

[bill

ion

m³/

y]

Sustainable Water CSP-Desalination Non-Sustainable

Page 15: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Population in Algeria

05

101520253035404550

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Po

pu

lati

on

[m

illio

ns]

UrbanRural

Water Demand in Algeria

Agricultural

Domestic

Industrial

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er

De

man

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Water Supply in Algeria

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Wat

er

Sup

ply

[bill

ion

m³/

y]

Sustainable Water Non-Sustainable CSP-Desalination

Page 16: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Population in Libya

0123456789

10

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Year

Po

pu

lati

on

[m

illio

ns

]

UrbanRural

Water Demand in Libya

Agricultural

DomesticIndustrial

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er

De

man

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Water Supply in Libya

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Wat

er S

up

ply

[b

illio

n m

³/y]

Sustainable Water Non-Sustainable CSP-Desalination

Page 17: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Population in Egypt

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Po

pu

lati

on

[m

illio

ns

]

UrbanRural

Water Demand in Egypt

Agricultural

Domestic

Industrial

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er

De

man

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Water Supply in Egypt

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Wat

er

Sup

ply

[bill

ion

m³/

y]

Sustainable Water Non-Sustainable CSP-Desalination

Page 18: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Population in Turkey

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Po

pu

lati

on

[m

illio

ns

]

UrbanRural

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Water Demand in Turkey

Agricultural

Domestic

Industrial

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er

De

man

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Water Supply in Turkey

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

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2045

2050

Year

Wat

er

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ply

[bill

ion

m³/

y]

CSP-Desalination Non-Sustainable Sustainable Water

Page 19: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Population in Israel + Palestine

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Po

pu

lati

on

[m

illio

ns]

UrbanRural

Water Demand in Israel + Palestine

Agricultural

Domestic

Industrial

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er

De

man

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Water Supply in Israel + Palestine

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

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2050

Year

Wat

er S

up

ply

[b

illio

n m

³/y]

Sustainable Water Non-Sustainable CSP-Desalination

Page 20: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Water Supply in Jordan

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Wat

er

Sup

ply

[bill

ion

m³/

y]

Sustainable Water Non-Sustainable CSP-Desalination

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Water Demand in Jordan

Agricultural

Domestic

Industrial

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er

De

man

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Population in Jordan

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000

2005

2010

2015

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2040

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2050

Year

Po

pu

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on

[m

illio

ns

]

UrbanRural

Page 21: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Population in Lebanon

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Po

pu

lati

on

[m

illio

ns

]

UrbanRural

Water Supply in Lebanon

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Wat

er

Sup

ply

[bill

ion

m³/

y]

Sustainable Water Non-Sustainable CSP-Desalination

Water Demand in Lebanon

Agricultural

Domestic

Industrial

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er

De

man

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Page 22: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Population in Syria

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Po

pu

lati

on

[m

illio

ns

]

UrbanRural

Water Demand in Syria

Agricultural

DomesticIndustrial

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er D

eman

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Water Supply in Syria

0

5

10

15

20

25

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40

2000

2005

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Sup

ply

[bill

ion

m³/

y]

Sustainable Water Non-Sustainable CSP-Desalination

Page 23: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Population in Iraq

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Po

pu

lati

on

[m

illio

ns

]

UrbanRural

Water Supply in Iraq

0102030405060708090

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Wat

er

Sup

ply

[bill

ion

m³/

y]

Sustainable Water CSP-Desalination Non-Sustainable

Water Demand in Iraq

Agricultural

DomesticIndustrial

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er

De

man

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Page 24: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Water Supply in Iran

0102030405060708090

100

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Wat

er

Sup

ply

[bill

ion

m³/

y]

CSP-Desalination Non-Sustainable Sustainable Water

Population in Iran

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Po

pu

lati

on

[m

illio

ns

]

UrbanRural

Water Demand in Iran

Agricultural

DomesticIndustrial

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er D

eman

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Page 25: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Population in Oman

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Po

pu

lati

on

[m

illio

ns]

UrbanRural

Water Supply in Oman

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Wat

er

Sup

ply

[bill

ion

m³/

y]

Sustainable Water Non-Sustainable CSP-Desalination

Water Demand in Oman

Agricultural

DomesticIndustrial

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er

De

man

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Page 26: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Water Supply in Kuwait

0.00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.9

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Wat

er

Sup

ply

[bill

ion

m³/

y]

Sustainable Water Non-Sustainable CSP-Desalination

Water Demand in Kuwait

Agricultural

Domestic

Industrial

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er

De

man

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Population in Kuwait

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Year

Po

pu

lati

on

[m

illio

ns

]

UrbanRural

Page 27: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Water Supply in Qatar

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

0.35

0.40

0.45

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Wat

er

Sup

ply

billi

on m

³/a

Sustainable Water Non-Sustainable CSP-Desalination

Water Demand in Qatar

Agricultural

Domestic

Industrial

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

0.35

0.40

0.45

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er D

eman

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Population in Qatar

0.00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.91.0

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Po

pu

lati

on

[m

illio

ns]

UrbanRural

Page 28: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Water Supply in Saudi Arabia

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Wat

er

Sup

ply

[bill

ion

m³/

y]

Sustainable Water Non-Sustainable CSP-Desalination

Water Demand in Saudi Arabia

Agricultural

DomesticIndustrial

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er

De

man

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Population in Saudi Arabia

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Po

pu

lati

on

[m

illio

ns

]

UrbanRural

Page 29: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Water Supply in UAE

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Wat

er

Sup

ply

[bill

ion

m³/

y]

Sustainable Water CSP-Desalination Non-Sustainable

Water Demand in United Arab Emirates

Agricultural

Domestic

Industrial

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er D

eman

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

United Arab Emirates

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Po

pu

lati

on

[m

illio

ns

]

UrbanRural

Page 30: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Water Supply in Yemen

0

5

10

15

20

25

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Wat

er S

up

ply

[b

illio

n m

³/y]

Sustainable Water Non-Sustainable CSP-Desalination

Water Demand in Yemen

Agricultural

Domestic

0

5

10

15

20

25

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er

De

man

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Population in Yemen

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Po

pu

lati

on

[m

illio

ns

]

UrbanRural

Page 31: MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources

MED-CSPMED-CSP

Non-sustainable water includes overexploitation of groundwater resources and desalination with fossil fuels.

Sustainable water includes all natural surface and groundwater resources that are renewable and exploitable, plus increasingly re-used wastewater. A possible reduction of renewable water due to climate change is not considered.

CSP-Desalination includes seawater desalination on the basis of renewable energy, mainly CSP, in each country within the scenario CG/HE.

Water Supply in Bahrain

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Year

Wat

er

[bill

ion

m³/

y]

Sustainable Water Non-Sustainable CSP-Desalination

Water Demand in Bahrain

Agricultural

Domestic

Industrial

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Wat

er

De

man

d [b

illio

n m

³/y]

Population in Bahrain

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

20002005

20102015

20202025

20302035

20402045

2050

Year

Po

pu

lati

on

[m

illio

ns

]

UrbanRural