EUROPEAN COMMISSIONEUROSTAT

Directorate E: Sectoral and regional statisticsUnit E-1: Agriculture and fisheries

Luxembourg, 18 May 2015

ANIMAL PRODUCTION STATISTICS

NATIONAL COMMENTS ON THE STATISTICS

ON LIVESTOCK AND MEAT

Commission européenne, 2920 Luxembourg, LUXEMBOURG - Tel. +352 43011Office: BECH B2/472 - Tel. direct line +352 4301-+352 4301-34115 - Fax +352 4301-+352 4301-36475

http://ec.europa.eu/eurostatmarcel.ernens@ec.europa.eu

INTRODUCTIOM

Eurostat request the Member States the following by30 April 2015.

Please provide your written comments (if possible in English) not only on the results and methodology used but also on the main forces behind trends in the animal production sector observed in recent surveys (i.e. livestock surveys of November/December 2014, GIP forecasts and slaughtering). It would be appreciated if such comments go beyond the description of the statistical results and methodology applied, in comparison with previous years, to explain the impact of agricultural policy measures and new market developments on the animal production. We propose to structure the comments on the production of cattle, pigs, sheep and goats as (1) Results of the Nov./Dec. 2014 survey, (2) Production forecasts 2015/2016, (3) Slaughtering in 2014, (4) intra-Community and external trade, (5) prices and (6) consumption.

As on 15 May, 17 of them have provided such a contribution. The present document is a compilation of these national contributions.

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BE

1. FORECASTS OF GROSS INDIGENOUS PRODUCTION FOR BOVINE ANIMALS IN BELGIUM

Given the reproductive potential (females older than one year X 0.85) in 2014, gross indigenous production (GIP) is expected to increase by more than 2% in 2015. The increase in reproductive potential, with a view to the end of milk quotas and the changes made to the distribution of coupled support as a result of the CAP reform, is likely to lead to a growth in GIP (more calves and therefore more bulls). Similarly, the new distribution of aids, which is less favourable to suckler cows, is likely to lead to a rise in GIP for (suckler) cows and heifers for slaughter.

BG

1. CATTLE

Preliminary results of the survey in November 2014:The total number of bovines decreased 4.0% to 562.4 thousand heads. There was a significant decrease in cattle in the group up to 1 year (-19.6%) especially calves for slaughtering (-46.3%). The number of animals from 1 to 2 years old increased compared to 2013 by 5.9%, whereas the number of animals 2 years old and over increased by 0.7%. There was a significant increase of breeding heifers from 1 to 2 years old (+28.6%), and older than 2 years – with 66.7 %. The heifers for slaughter decreased in both groups – respectively with 58.7 % and 60.5%. Cows decreased slightly by 0.6%. Dairy cows were 3.7% less than 2013, and other cows increased by 23.8% to 49 thousand heads. The farms with other cows in 2014 increased by 15% compared to 2013, while milk farms decreased by 26% - mainly small farms with less than 9 cows (-29.4).

Slaughtered cattle in 2014:According to preliminary data, the number of slaughtered cattle in 2014 decreased by 3.1% compared with 2013. There was an increase in slaughter of heifers (22.6%) and cows (34.3%). The slaughtered bovines under 1 year old decreased by 13.8%. The bovines slaughtered in slaughterhouses in 2014 were 14.2% less compared to 2013 and other slaughtering - 0.2% less.

Gross indigenous production forecast (GIP):Gross indigenous production is calculated based on monthly slaughtering and the foreign trade of live animals. GIP forecast for 2015 is based on the number of livestock on November 1st, 2014 and estimated coefficients of real GIP for the previous three years. GIP 2016 is calculated based on the estimated number of live cattle on 1st November 2015. It is expected that in 2015 the slaughtered cows, heifers and bulls will decrease (for cows -10% and for heifers -11%), and in 2016 they will begin to increase. The total level of slaughter of cattle in 2015 is expected to be 3.6% less than in 2014 and 6.2% more in 2016 compared to 2015.

Foreign Trade:Compared to 2013, export of live cattle decreased by 48%, due to decreased export of live calves (-57.1%). Import of live cattle remains insignificant, but was 58.8% higher than in 2013, mainly cows and heifers. In 2014 the country imported more than 12.5 tons bovine meat which was 77.4% more than in 2013, export of meat increased twice to 1.9 tons.

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Prices:Producer prices of live cattle in 2014 increased compared to 2013 - cows for fattening (3.1%), heifers for fattening over 2 years (14.8%). Prices for calves up to 1 year were 2.7% higher. The price for cattle from 1 to 2 years was 7.1% higher.

2. PIGS

Preliminary results of the survey in November 2014:The total number of pigs in 2014 decreased by 5.7% compared with 2013 to 553.1 thousands. Piglets up to 20 kg increased 40.8%. Pigs from the category young pigs from 20 to 50 kg decreased by 6.4%, whereas pigs for fattening decreased by 22.4%. Female breeding pigs decreased 0.4% - the young mated for the first time pigs decreased by 23.6%, the gilts increased by 32.4%.

Pigs slaughtered in 2014 – the number of pigs, slaughtered in 2014 decreased compared to 2013 by 5.5%. The number of pigs slaughtered in slaughterhouses in 2014 increased by 1.6%, other slaughtering decreased by 30.7%.

Gross indigenous meat production forecast for pigs (GIP):The estimated GIP for pigs in 2015 is 1.0% less than in 2014, and with a slight increase in 2016 compared to 2015 (+1.4%).

Foreign Trade: Import of live pigs increased by 45%in 2014 compared to 2013 – imported were about 52 thousand pigs for fattening. There was no export of live pigs.

Import of pig meat in 2014 was 15% higher than in 2013; the export of pig meat increased 2014 by 64% compared to 2013.

Prices: In 2014, the price for live weight of piglets up to 20 kg decreased slightly by 0.2% compared to 2013. The price for young pigs weighing 20 to 50 kg was 15.4% higher. Prices decreased for pigs for fattening - 15.3% for 50 to 80 kg, 6.9% for the category of 80 to 110 kg, and 8.9% for the category of over 110 kg.

3. SHEEP AND GOATS

Preliminary results of the survey in November 2014:The total number of sheep in 2014 decreased by 2.5% compared to 2013. Ewes and young sheep put to the ram for the first time decreased by 8.1%, as dairy ewes and young sheep put to the ram for first time decreased by 7.9%. Meat ewes decreased by 10.5%, while other sheep increased 61.1% than in 2013.

Goats increased by 1.2% compared to 2013. She-goats and young female goats for breeding were 8.2% less, while other goats increased twice.

Slaughtered sheep and goats in 2014The sheep, slaughtered in 2014 increased by 7.4% compared to 2013. The sheep slaughtered in slaughterhouses increased 34.5%, while other slaughtering decreased by 1.6%. The number of slaughtered goats increased 3.8%.

Gross indigenous sheep and goats forecast (GIP):GIP for sheep in 2015 decreased 2.9% compared to 2014, and for goats increased by 1.1%.

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Foreign Trade: Import of live sheep in 2014 increased by 38.3% compared to 2013. About 136 thousand sheep were imported, exported were about 15 thousand sheep (-35.6%). 4.6 thousand goats were exported. There was no import of live goats.

The export of sheep meat increased over 30% compared to 2013 to 1892 tons. The import of meat was 504 tons, which was an increase of 24.6% compared to 2013.

Prices: Price for live lambs for fattening up to 6 months in 2014 was 1.6% higher than in 2013, of the ewes - 7.8% higher. The price for goats up to 6 months old was 7.3% lower, while the price for she-goats was 82.6% higher.

CZ

1. CATTLE

Results of the December surveyThe survey on 31 December 2014 showed the following results: The total number of cattle was 1 373 065 heads; it went up by 41 thousand heads

(+3.1%). The number of cows increased by 2.4% to 566 243 heads, of which the number of

dairy cows remained on the same level (−0.8%) and the number of other ones, i.e. not intended for milk production, rose by 9.2%.

Also the number of young animals went up (the number of mated replacement heifers increased by 1.3%, of which those aged up to 2 years by 6.2%).

Considering the increased number in the herd-turnover relevant categories a progress in cattle is expected. The number of cows not intended for milk production has been continuously increasing since 2010, whereas the number of dairy cows has been oscillating because of higher sensitivity of milk specialisation to milk price changes.

SlaughteringThe beef and veal production in 2014 amounted to 65 529 tonnes (+1.1%). Slaughtering in categories which generate breeding potential (heifers and cows) decreased (−10.0% and −4.7%, respectively) whereas slaughtering in bulls went up (+7.5%). The number of animals imported for slaughtering was negligible in comparison with the number of exported ones.

Since 2012 cattle slaughtering out of slaughterhouses has been permitted in the Czech Republic. According to preliminary results, 2 105 animals were slaughtered out of slaughterhouses (+24.0%) in 2014. However, it represents less than 1% of slaughterings in slaughterhouses.

External trade in live cattle and beefIn 2014, external trade turnover of live cattle was 197 thousand heads, of which 195 thousand animals were exported; out of them 80 thousand animals were intended for slaughter and the rest for other rearing or breeding. Live cattle were exported mainly to Austria.

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Imports and exports of beef amounted to 23.3 thousand tonnes (+11.1%) and 7.6 thousand tonnes (−2.7%), respectively. The trade in beef went in both directions with Poland; Poland prevailed in imports and Slovakia in exports.

The Czech external trade in live cattle and beef was characterised by export of animals for slaughtering, fattening or breeding, and by import of beef.

Beef production and external trade resulted in self-sufficiency of approximately 140% (preliminary result).

PricesAgricultural producer prices of cattle for slaughter went up for bulls (+0.8%) while they decreased for calves (−13.0%), cows (−4.3) and heifers (−0.9%). Farmers sold bulls for slaughter for the average price of CZK 83.53 (EUR 3.03) per kg of carcass weight (the minimum price was recorded in January and the maximum one in April).

Production forecastsGIP forecasts for 2015 and 2016 were compiled on the basis of trends in cattle husbandry and external trade in live cattle in 2014. Relatively stable producer prices in beef sector and chances to succeed at the market abroad are expected to affect positively the total gross indigenous production.

2. PIGS

Results of the December surveyThe survey on 31 December 2014 showed following results:

The number of pigs accounted for 1 606 858 heads (+3.8%), of which 145.4 thousand were breeding pigs (−5.3%), 640.6 thousand pigs for fattening (+7.4%), and 820.9 thousand pigs of less than 50 kg of live weight (+2.9%)

Despite the number of breeding pigs decreased a slight recovery of pig husbandry was recorded in the other categories. Nevertheless, the categories of piglets, young or fattened pigs included animals imported, on average 12.0% of slaughtered ones.

SlaughteringIn 2014 the pigmeat production kept the same level as in the previous year (235 991 tonnes, +0.7%, and 2 640.1 thousand pigs, −0.4%). Despite slaughtering of pigs did not change and their imports for slaughter slightly increased (96.4 thousand pigs, +4.3%), their exports raised (231.1 thousand pigs, +17.5%).

External trade in live pigs and pigmeatIn 2014 imports and exports amounted to 406.9 thousand (−14.2%) and 275.7 thousand (+18.1%) pigs, respectively. A significant category of imports were young pigs up to 50 kg; 308.9 thousand pigs (−17.9%) with their average weight of 26.6 kg were imported. This category of pigs was exported at the same time (40.4 thousand pigs, +71.3%). Pigs over 50 kg of live weight prevailed in exports; 231.1 thousand pigs (+17.5%) with their average weight of 117.9 kg were exported. Live pigs came from Germany, Denmark and from the Netherlands; they went to Slovakia, Hungary and Germany.

A negative balance of pigmeat external trade (−196.5 thousand tonnes) comprised of 238.9 thousand tonnes (+5.9%) imported and 42.4 thousand tonnes (−0.2%) exported pigmeat. Majority of pigmeat was imported from Germany, Spain, and Poland. Exports went primarily to Slovakia.

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The Czech external trade in live pigs was characterised by decreased imports of animals for fattening and their increased parallel exports and by increased exports of fattened pigs for slaughter. The pigmeat consumption was balanced by high and increased amount of pigmeat imported, thus self-sufficiency was only about 57% (preliminary results).

PricesAgricultural producer prices of pigs for slaughter declined by 1.3%. The producers sold pigs for slaughter for the average price of CZK 42.40 (EUR 1.54) per kg of carcass weight (the minimum price was recorded in December, the maximum one in July).

Production forecastsGIP forecasts for the period of the next six quarters respect trends in pig husbandry (slightly recovering number of pigs for fattening), external trade (decreased imports and increased exports) and slaughtering (remained at the same level) under conditions of the steady self-sufficiency.

3. SHEEP AND GOATS

The number of sheep and goats in the Czech Republic are surveyed for a national use as at 1 April. In 2014 there were 225 397 (+2.2%) and 24 348 (+1.3%) heads of sheep and goats, respectively. The population sizes of both sheep and goats are below the threshold given by the Regulation (EC) No. 1165/2008.

In 2014 sheepmeat production in slaughterhouses amounted to 189 tonnes, of which 146 tonnes were lamb. According to an expert estimate, approximately 94% of total sheepmeat was produced out of slaughterhouses. A similar situation was in goatmeat. Total production of goatmeat was 238 tonnes, of which, by estimate, only 3 tonnes were produced in slaughterhouses and 235 tonnes out of slaughterhouses.

DK

1. CATTLE IN DENMARK

Results of the December survey 2014 As the results of 31 December 2014, the total number of cattle in Denmark had fallen by 1.9 per cent to 1,553,000 heads compared to the previous year. The number of Dairy cows had fallen by 3.5 per cent to 547,000 heads, but the number of Suckling cows had fallen by 0.8 per cent to 96,000 heads. The fall in the number of Dairy cows was due to rising slaughtering of cows during the late months because it was expected that the Danish milk quota (April 2014/15) would be exceeded. The milk production per dairy cow was higher in 2014 than 2013 and as the milk quota was unchanged in 2014/2015 the farmers had to reduce the number of cows more in 2014 than 2013. The number of Heifer had fallen by 1.3 per cent to 652,000 heads and the number of Heifers in calf by 4.1 per cent. The number of Bulls and bullocks had fallen by 0.3 per cent to 258,000 heads. The fall in the number of Bulls and bullocks is primarily due to high exports of calves.

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Production forecasts (2015/2016)The forecast is primarily based on the fact that overall importance is paid to the dairy herd, where small increases in productivity is expected in milk production, but the primary limit for the development was the milk quota, which ended in April 2015. It is expected that the number of cows during 2015 and 2016 will return to the same number as in 2014 and the turnover of cows will decrease. At the same time, it is also expected that more Dairy cows are inseminated with meat cattle, and there will therefore be more heifer for meat.

However, there are many circumstances, which have an influence on the forecast in 2015/2016, especially the stop of the milk quota, milk prices, meat prices the level of premiums for male animals, the quality of the fodder and the political debate in Denmark about stopping the export of calves.

Slaughtering in 2014The total slaughtering of cattle (including exports of live animal of 65,100) was 556,400 heads in 2014. The numbers slaughtering of cows were 217,500 and cows exported were 17.6, total a rise on 7.4 per cent more than 2013. The number of slaughtering Bull and bullocks and calves fall in 2014.

TradeIn 2014 there was a very high export of sucking calves 44,300 and the total export of cattle was 65,200. A high export of sucking calves is also expected in 2015, but not as high as in 2014. There has also been a higher export of female cattle for breeding. There are no significant imports of live cattle.

PricesPrices were a little lower in 2014 than in 2013 for meat and a little higher for milk.

ConsumptionThe consumption of beef per capita in Denmark is not estimated since 2011 where it was 28.9 kilos per capita. A great part of the veal is exported, but more is imported.

2. PIGS IN DENMARK

Results of the last survey According to the results of 1 January 2015, the number of total pigs in Denmark had risen by 2.5 per cent to 12.7 million pigs, compared to the previous year. The number of total sows rose by 0.9 per cent to 1,046,000 pigs and the number of suckling pigs had risen by 0.4 per cent.

Production forecastsThe forecast is based on the 4 yearly surveys. It is expected that the production of pigs in 2015 will be about 2.5 per cent higher than in 2014, because of the rise in number of sows. GIP for the whole year 2015 is 30.8 million pigs and including exports of 12.1 million living pig.

Slaughtering and trade in 2014The total production in Denmark was 30 million pigs in 2014, and that was almost 1 million more than in 2013. The number of slaughtering pigs fell by 1.7 per cent from 19.1 million pigs in 2013 to 18.783 million pigs in 2014. Exports of live pigs rose by 12.4 per cent from 10.034 million pigs in 2013 to 11.280 million pigs in 2014.

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About 98.6 per cent of the exports of live pigs are suckling pigs of less than 50 kilos. Most of the exports are going to Germany, but Poland is also a big customer.

PricesThe average prices for pig meat in 2014 have been lower than in 2013. During the last years, prices for fodder have decreased and the relation between prices for pig meat and fodder barley has improved a little.

ConsumptionThe consumption of pig meat in Denmark has not been estimated since 2011, where it was 33 kilos per capita. Pigs meat is the most commonly used type of meat in Denmark.

3. SHEEP AND GOATS IN DENMARK

The number of sheep in Denmark is very low; in the Farm Structure Survey in 2013 there were 151,300 sheep. Figures from the Farm Structure Survey in 2014 are not available.

The consumption of lambs and sheep meat is low in Denmark, and most of the meat is imported. In 2011 the consumption was 1.2 kilos per capita.

There is no significant number of goats in Denmark.

DE

EE

1. CATTLE –

The total number of bovines in 2014 was 264,8 thousand, which was 3,5 thousand more than in 2013. Number of dairy cows decreased by 2,8 thousand during the same period. During the first six months in previous year, there was born 62,6 thousand calves and in second half-year 51,1 thousand (+1,3 thousand compared to 2013). In year 2014 22 343 tons (live weight) of cattle were sold to slaughterhouses or to purchasers for slaughter, incl. export and slaughtered in slaughterhouses belonging to holdings. . The total amount of cattle for slaughtering was 640 tons higher than year ago.

What concerns the trade of live animals; according to the preliminary data, both export and import figures have been decreasing. 38 723 bovines were exported during 2014 (-3 715 animals compared to 2013). 184 bovines were imported during 2014 (-123 animals compared to 2013).

Price level for beef in Estonia in 2014: average carcass price for young bulls was 291,05 EUR/100 kg (-3% compared 2013), price of cows 208,09 EUR/100 kg  (-14% compared 2013) and price of heifers 266,25 EUR/100 kg (-11% compared to 2013).

The consumption of meat generally is still significantly smaller than the EU average. During last years, the beef consumption has been around 7-10 kg per capita/year.

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Key elements in the sector are abolishing milk quota, import limitations to Russia and Turkey, abolishment of direct payments for meat animals.

2. PIGS

In year 2014 total number of pigs was 360 thousand, which is 1,3 thousand more than in 2013.

Last year was born 767,2 thousand piglets: 186,1 in 1st quarter, 194,2 in 2nd, 200,5 in 3rd and 186,4 in last quarter ( +17 thousand piglets compared with year 2013). In year 2014 67 376 tons (live weight) of pigs were sold to slaughterhouses or to purchasers for slaughter, incl. export and slaughtered in slaughterhouses belonging to holdings. Number of pigs for slaughtering decreased 1 455 tons compared to year 2013. 

According to the preliminary data, during 2014 109 557 live pigs were exported (-46 916 animals less than 2013.) Import figures are more or less same during last two years.

Average pig carcass price (Grade E) in Estonia in 2014 was 160,78 EUR/100 kg, which was 7,4% lower than in year 2013. Annual market price for piglets last year was 37,66 EUR/piglet (-3,7% compared 2013). The consumption of pork during previous years has been 33-35 kg per capita/year.

Like in all EU, also in Estonia pork sector has been facing difficulties, export markets for live pigs are closed and market prices are lower than previous year average. Some enterprises have used the possibility of temporary removal of pork from the market using private storage measure.

IE

(1) December survey - Cattle - dairy herd has increased by around 4.5%, while beef herd has decreased by 4% - Sheep - both breeding sheep and lamb numbers are down by approximately 3% - Pigs - there is a slight increase in the number of breeding pigs, just under 1%

(2) Production forecast Based on the model results and expert opinion, we expect the following changes in 2015 compared to 2014 - Cattle production will fall by approximately 5% due to tighter supply of animals - Sheep production will remain relatively unchanged - Pig production will increase by 2.5% due to increase in breeding herd and improved productivity

(3) Slaughtering Comparison of the year 2014 to 2013 shows that - Cattle slaughtering increased by 10.1% - Sheep slaughtering decreased by 0.6% - Pig slaughtering increased by 4.8%

We can not comment on the "forces behind trends in the animal production sector" or anything beyond actual results and methodology, because such comments and analysis are not within our remit as an Office.

Such information should be sought from the Ministry of Agriculture, which is responsible for the policy and analysis.

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EL

(1) Results of the Nov./Dec. 2014 surveyThe final results of the 2014 survey will be available (after final checks) by mid May. However, in recent years, livestock decreases as the economic crisis lead to a reduction of the demand for meat as well as an increase in the production costs.(2) Production forecasts 2015/2016, (3) Slaughtering in 2014BEEF: Regarding the beef forecast for the 2015-2016 periods it is estimated that it will be slightly decreased (In slaughters number).PORK: For this category, a slight decrease for the 2014-2015 periods is forecasted (in slaughters number).SHEEP/GOATS: For this category and for the 2014-2015 periods a decrease in the number of the slaughters is predicted.

The observed reduction in the production of meat can be attributed, generally, to the continuously increasing cost of production, in diseases such as bluetongue that hit the country in recent years and to the abandonment of the profession.

More than 15,000 farmers abandoned their profession in recent years, while this decreasing tendency is more pronounced in mountainous and less-favored areas, given that the majority of the farms are located in these areas. These areas are characterized by low incomes, farmers of old age relative to that of workers in other fields of agriculture and a complete of discouragement (low attractiveness) of young farmers.

The abandonment of farming in mountain - remote regions and in parts of other less-favored areas, has led to the abandonment of agriculture, the agricultural land and, eventually, in rural depopulation, in conjunction with migration from rural to urban areas. Sheep (and goats) in these areas is not just an economic activity and means of living of their inhabitants, but also an essential component of their social structures.

(4) Intra-Community and external trade, (6) consumptionBEEFS: a decrease in imports and consumption between 2012-2013 and stabilization in 2014.PORKS: an increase in imports and consumption between 2012-2013 and stabilization of imports and decrease in consumption in 2014.SHEEP/GOATS: an increase in imports and a significant decrease in consumption between 2012-2013 due to the decrease of production, but an increase in both figures in 2014.POULTRY: a decrease in imports and consumption between 2012-2013 and stabilization in 2014.(5) Prices (Producer prices)BEEF: prices between 2010-2012 indicate an increase at 2011 whereas for 2010 and 2012 are almost steady.SHEEP/GOATS: regarding sheep, process are almost steady apart from a minor decrease in 2012. Whereas for goats a slight increase is noted at 2011 and respectively for 2012 when compared with 2010.PORKS: a significant increase in 2011 when compared to 2010 and a slighter increase in 2012 when compared to 2010.

ES

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FR

1. BOVINS

Hausse du cheptel bovin en 2014Fin 2014 le cheptel bovin français atteint 19,3 millions de têtes, en très légère hausse par rapport à l’année précédente.L’augmentation du cheptel bovin est majoritairement liée à la hausse du troupeau allaitant dont le nombre d'animaux gagne 91 000 têtes (+0,8%) alors que le troupeau laitier augmente de 33 000 têtes (+0,4%).

Avec près de 5,7 millions de têtes, le cheptel de femelles laitières de plus de 12 mois augmente de plus de 27 000 têtes par rapport à 2013. Au sein de cette catégorie, alors que les effectifs de vaches sont quasiment stables par rapport à 2013, ceux de génisses de 12 à 24 moins progressent de 24 000 têtes et ceux de génisses de plus de 24 mois de 3 000 têtes. Les éleveurs se seraient ainsi mis en situation de prévoir le renouvellement du cheptel laitier et donc de pouvoir augmenter la production laitière dès la fin des quotas laitiers au 1er avril 2015.

Le cheptel allaitant connaît une situation légèrement différente. Si le total des femelles allaitantes de plus de 12 mois est en progression de près de 0,4%, l’évolution au sein des tranches d’âge est différente. Les effectifs de vaches allaitantes et de génisses de plus de 24 mois progressent respectivement de 0,8 % et de 2 %. Par contre, les effectifs de génisses de 1 à 2 ans sont inférieurs de 2 % par rapport à 2013. Fin 2014, les incertitudes quant aux conditions d’attribution de la nouvelle Aide de la PAC aux Bovins Allaitants ont ainsi pu inciter les éleveurs à conserver leur cheptel dans l’attente de ces nouvelles règles.

La baisse des naissances en 2013, conséquence de la hausse des abattages de vaches en 2010 et 2011, s’est traduite par une baisse des effectifs dans les exploitations de bovins mâles de 1 à 2 ans. Fin 2014, ces effectifs sont ainsi en retrait de près de 16 000 têtes par rapport à 2013.S’agissant des bovins de moins d'un an, la hausse des effectifs de vaches dans les élevages en 2013 s'est traduite en 2014 par une hausse des naissances. Les effectifs de bovins de moins d’un an sont ainsi supérieurs de plus de 1 % à 2013, essentiellement du fait du troupeau allaitant. Pour les bovins de moins de 8 mois, cette hausse porte sur 37 000 têtes, soit + 1 % par rapport à 2013.

Hausse de production de gros bovins prévue en 2015En 2014, avec plus de 5,8 millions de têtes, la production totale de bovins est quasi stable par rapport à 2013. A partir du second semestre 2014, la baisse du prix du lait conduit un certain nombre d’éleveurs à réduire la taille de leur troupeau. L’afflux de vaches laitières dans les abattoirs se traduit par une hausse de 7 % de la production de bovins femelles sur cette période par rapport à 2013. Pour l’année 2014, la production de vaches a finalement été supérieure à 2013 (+2,5 %), enrayant ainsi la baisse entamée en 2011 qui faisait suite à une augmentation du prix du lait. Cette hausse de production de femelles a permis de compenser la baisse de la production de gros bovins mâles (-3 % sur l’année 2014 par rapport à 2013). La baisse de disponibilités de mâles de plus d’un an dans les élevages, associée à un repli de la demande extérieure en bovins finis peut expliquer ce recul de la production de mâles finis. Au total, la production de bovins de plus d’un an reste quasi stable par rapport à 2013 (-0,3 %).

Alors que la production de veaux de boucherie est en repli en 2014, l’augmentation des exporta-tions de broutards a maintenu la production totale de bovins de moins d’un an au niveau de la production de 2013.

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En 2015, la production totale bovine pourrait progresser de 3 % par rapport à 2014 essentielle-ment soutenue par les abattages de femelles, dans un contexte de mise en place de la nouvelle Aide aux Bovins Allaitants. Compte tenu des effectifs de bovins mâles présents dans les exploita-tions fin 2014, la production de bovins mâles de plus d’un an est prévue en hausse de 1 % par rapport au niveau bas de production atteint en 2013.

S’agissant de la production de bovins de moins d’un an, la baisse de plus de 1 % par rapport à 2013 des effectifs de mâles laitiers de moins de 8 mois conduit à prévoir une baisse de la produc-tion de veaux de boucherie d’autant plus que la consommation de cette viande, qui fait partie des viandes chères, recule. Par ailleurs, les exportations de bovins maigres pourraient progresser, si la demande extérieure repart. Au final, la production de bovins de moins d’un an devrait être stable par rapport à 2014.

Stabilité dans les abattages de bovins en 2014Avec plus de 4,6 millions de têtes, les abattages totaux de bovins se maintiennent (- 0,5%) par rapport à 2013.Sur l'année, la hausse des abattages de bovins femelles (+2 % pour les vaches et stabilité pour les génisses) a pratiquement permis de compenser la baisse de 2,5 % des abattages de bovins mâles de plus d’un an. Sur la période, les abattages de Gros Bovins sont restés stables par rapport à 2013.Avec 1,3 millions de têtes, soit -1,9 % par rapport à 2013, les abattages de veaux de boucherie sont restés fortement en retrait sur le premier semestre (-3%) alors qu’ils se sont maintenus sur le second semestre.

Forte baisse des exportations de bovins maigres en 2014En 2014, les exportations de bovins vivants, toutes catégories confondues sont en retrait de plus de 0,5% par rapport à 2013. Parmi les bovins, les exportations de broutards (85 % des exportations de bovins d’élevage) sont en retrait de plus de 2 % par rapport à 2013. Les ventes vers l’Italie principale destination,  se contractent d’année en année (-2,7 % par rapport à 2013 et –19 % par rapport à 2004), sous l’effet entre autre d’une baisse de la demande italienne et de la hausse de la concurrence d’autres pays. Depuis 2010, des exportations de broutards vers des pays tiers, essentiellement l’Algérie et le Maroc, se sont mises en place et représentent en 2014, 3  % des exportations annuelles de bovins maigres.Après le pic atteint en 2011, les exportations de bovins finis continuent à baisser. Elles sont infé-rieures de près de 8 000 têtes à 2013 et de 165 000 têtes à celles de 2011.

Les importations de bovins vivants sont peu importantes, par rapport aux exportations. Elles concernent essentiellement des veaux et sont quasi uniquement en provenance de pays de l’Union européenne. Après un creux en 2013, elles progressent en 2014 de 22 % par rapport à 2013 tout en restant nettement inférieures aux niveaux des années précédentes. Les achats en provenance des Pays-Bas jusque-là un des principaux fournisseurs de la France deviennent marginaux. Les achats en provenance d’Italie et de Belgique progressent alors que ceux en provenance d’Es-pagne reculent.

Le manque de disponibilités dans les exploitations s’est traduit par une baisse en volume des exportations de viande (- 4 % par rapport à 2013) qui fait elle-même suite à un recul de 10 % des exportations entre 2012 et 2013. Les principaux clients européens sont concernés par ce repli à l’exception de l’Irlande et du Royaume-uni dont les achats progressent. En valeur, les exportations perdent 8 % par rapport à 2013.Malgré le manque de viande dans les abattoirs, les importations totales continuent à reculer en volume (-5 % entre 2014 et 2013) mais progressent en valeur (+ 2 %).

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Baisse des cours des femelles sur la seconde partie de l’année.Le maintien des femelles dans les exploitations au 1er semestre s’est traduit par des cours relativement soutenus sur la première partie de l’année, bien qu’inférieurs à 2013. À partir du second semestre, la baisse du cours du lait et l’afflux de vaches laitières dans les abattoirs a contribué à peser sur les prix qui ont fortement baissé à compter de l’été.Les cours des jeunes bovins ont été tirés par les cours des femelles. Ils ont baissé à partir de février pour rester toute l’année en dessous de 2013.Les cours des veaux de boucherie ont entamé l’année 2014 à un niveau supérieur à 2013. À compter de l'été, ils ont par contre chuté en dessous de 2013.

Une consommation de viande bovine en baisseDans un contexte de crise économique, la consommation totale de viande bovine calculée par bi-lan s’est maintenue en 2014. Après une baisse de 3 % en 2013 par rapport à 2012, elle atteint en 2014, 1,5 millions de téc.

2. OVINS

Quasi stabilité du cheptel ovinEn novembre 2014, avec près de 7,2 millions de têtes, l’effectif total du cheptel ovin se maintient par rapport à novembre 2013  (-0,3%).

Après un repli de 4,4% en 2012 et de 5 % en 2013, le cheptel ovin viande  résiste en 2014 (- 0,6%). La baisse 1,6 % des effectifs de brebis viande soit 56 000 têtes est compensée partiellement par une augmentation des agnelles viande saillies et non saillies de 30 000 têtes.

Le cheptel ovin lait résiste également en 2014 (-0,5%). Comme pour le secteur viande, l’augmentation des agnelles non saillies laitières de 20 % (11 000 têtes) atténue la baisse de 19 000 têtes des effectifs de brebis laitières et des agnelles saillies.

Une production de viande ovine qui devrait continuer à baisser en 2015En baisse continue depuis de nombreuses années, la production ovine s’établit en 2014 à 5,3 mil-lions de têtes. Elle est ainsi en retrait de plus de 1,6 % en têtes par rapport à 2013. Par contre, en tonne-équivalent-carcasses, elle se maintient (+0,4%).  Cet alourdissement des carcasses pourrait être la conséquence d’une meilleure finition des animaux favorisée par le climat doux et humide de 2014, propice à la pousse de l’herbe. 

Compte tenu de la tendance générale constatée ces dernières années et de la légère baisse des ef -fectifs de cheptel de souche, la prévision de production ovine pour l'année 2015 table sur une pro-duction en baisse de 1 % par rapport à 2014.

Nouveau recul des abattages d’agneaux sous l’effet de la baisse des effectifs de 2013

En 2014, les abattages d’agneaux ont été très légèrement supérieurs en têtes à ceux de 2013 (+0,4%). Par contre en poids la progression est nettement supérieure : +1 % par rapport à 2013 traduisant ainsi un alourdissement des carcasses signe de conditions climatiques favorables. Dans le même temps, les abattages de brebis de réforme ont reculé en têtes (-3%) et en poids (-1%).

Des échanges ralentisEn 2014, les exportations d’ovins vivants ont baissé de 15 % par rapport à 2013. Il s’agit essen-tiellement d’exportations d’agneaux, à destination d’Espagne et de l’Italie. En 2014, ces marchés ont reculé de 12 % vers l’Espagne et de 28 % vers l’Italie.

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En parallèle, les importations d’agneaux (90 % des importations d’ovins vivants) ont reculé de près de 2 %. Elles restent à 100 % en provenance de pays de l'Union Européenne. Cette baisse est essentiellement imputable à l’Espagne (62 % des agneaux importés) dont les ventes vers la France reculent de près de 4 % en 2014.

L’année 2014 a été marquée par une nouvelle  baisse des importations de viande ovine. Elles sont ainsi en repli de plus de 1 % par rapport à 2013. Si les ventes en provenance du Royaume-Uni et d’Irlande ont reculé, les importations en provenance d’Espagne et de Nouvelle-Zélande ont pro-gressé.

Des prix soutenus par la baisse des disponibilitésFace à un manque de disponibilité dans les exploitations, au premier semestre 2014, le cours moyen de l’agneau est resté nettement supérieur à 2013. À compter du mois de juillet, il a baissé pour passer en dessous du cours moyen de 2013. Il s’est ensuite redressé pour finir l’année au-dessus de 2013. Globalement sur l’année, il a été supérieur de 2 % au cours de 2013.

Consommation de viande ovine toujours en baisseEn France, la consommation apparente de viande ovine est en baisse régulière depuis plus de 10 ans. En 2014, elle atteint 177 500 téc soit en retrait de près de 1 % par rapport à 2013. Le manque de disponibilité associé au contexte économique difficile peuvent expliquer ce nouveau recul de la consommation de viande ovine.

3. CAPRINS

En France, l'élevage caprin est un élevage à orientation laitière, la production de viande est un « sous-produit » de la production laitière.

Un cheptel caprin de nouveau en baisse en 2014Avec près de 1,3 million de têtes en novembre 2014, le cheptel caprin français diminue de 0,9% par rapport à novembre 2013. Il était déjà en repli de 2 % en 2013 par rapport à 2012. Les effectifs de chèvres sont en retrait de 1,8 % et les augmentations de 4 % des effectifs de chevrettes non saillies et de 1 % des chevrettes saillies ne compensent pas ce retrait.Cette décapitalisation peut s’expliquer par un environnement économique tendu en début d’année qui s’est légèrement amélioré en second partie avec des conditions climatiques favorables ayant permis de diminuer le coût de alimentation.

La production de viande caprine devrait baisser en 2015En 2014, la production caprine française s’est établie à près de 767 000 têtes, soit 5 % de moins qu’en 2013. Avec une baisse de la production en poids de 4 %, cette production est très majoritairement tournée vers un marché intérieur qui se replie légèrement.La baisse des effectifs de chèvres et chevrettes constatée fin 2014 devrait conduire en 2015 à une nouvelle baisse des naissances et donc des abattages. Dans ces conditions, la baisse de la produc-tion est estimée à 1 % environ.

Des abattages de caprins en repli en 2014Le repli de la production totale s’explique essentiellement par la baisse de plus de 8  % sur l’année des abattages de chevreaux. En 2014, dans un contexte de baisse des effectifs de femelles de souche (-2% en 2013/2012), les naissances de chevreaux ont été moins nombreuses ce qui a conduit à cette diminution des abattages de chevreaux sur l'ensemble de 2014.Les abattages de caprins de réforme sont quant à eux en retrait de près de 5 % par rapport à 2013 avec une différence selon la période de l’année : -7,5 % pour le 1er semestre et -2 % pour le se-cond semestre. Les conditions climatiques favorables à partir du printemps ont pu en diminuant le coût de l’alimentation contribuer à inciter les éleveurs à conserver leur cheptel de souche. Les livraisons de lait ont ainsi progressé sur les quatre derniers mois de l’année 2014 alors qu’elles étaient en retrait les mois précédents.

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Un commerce extérieur peu actifLe commerce extérieur des caprins vivants est peu important. Face à une disponibilité moindre dans les élevages, les exportations d’animaux vivants reculent alors que les importations restent très faibles.

Dans le même temps, alors que les exportations de viande reculent de près de 4 %, les importations également peu importantes progressent, entraînant une détérioration de l’excédent commercial de viande caprine.

Consommation de viande caprine en baisse en 2014La France n’est pas traditionnellement un pays de consommation de viande caprine, la production de chevreau étant un sous produit de la production laitière.En baisse depuis 2005 et après avoir légèrement progressé en 2011, la consommation apparente de viande caprine a baissé en 2014 de 1,5% par rapport à 2013. Avec 5 000 téc, elle atteint son niveau le plus bas depuis 1999.

4. PORCINS

Nouvelle baisse du cheptel porcin français en 2014En novembre 2014, l’effectif porcin s’établit en France à 13,3 millions de têtes dont 1 million de truies. L’effectif présent en novembre 2014 se replie de 1 % par rapport à celui de 2013 et le cheptel de truies recule dans la même proportion (- 0,9 %). Les porcs à l'engrais sont quasi stables par rapport à novembre 2013. L'évolution de leur nombre est cependant variable selon leur poids : en baisse pour les porcs de moins de 80 kg (- 1 %), stable pour les porcs entre 80 et 110 kg et en forte hausse pour les porcs de plus de 110 kg (+ 8 %).

Une production qui devrait continuer à baisser en 2015En 2014, la production porcine française atteint 24,2 millions de têtes soit une diminution de 0,8 % par rapport à 2013. Ce repli intervient après 5 années de baisse consécutive d’environ 1% par an de la production française, ceci dans un contexte de décroissance de la production euro -péenne. Par contre, en tonne-équivalent-carcasse, la production porcine en France est stable par rapport à 2013 traduisant une augmentation du poids moyen des carcasses.

Compte tenu de la baisse des effectifs en 2014, notamment de truies, la prévision de production porcine pour l'année 2015 est estimée à un peu moins de 24 millions de têtes, soit un repli de 1  % par rapport à 2014.

Baisse des abattages en 2014 sous l'effet de la baisse du cheptel23,65 millions de porcins ont été abattus en France au cours de l’année 2014, pour un total de près de 2 millions de téc. Les abattages de porcins en têtes sont en léger repli par rapport à 2013 : - 0,4 %. Ils sont quasi stables en téc à la faveur d’une augmentation du poids moyen.

La forte demande asiatique en viande porcine ne compense qu'en partie la baisse des ventes vers la RussieAu cours de l’année 2014, les exportations de porcins vivants sont en baisse par rapport à 2013 (- 1,3%), notamment vers l’Allemagne et les achats français de porcins vivants ont fortement reculé (- 35%), en provenance surtout d’Espagne.En 2014, les exportations françaises de viande porcine ont fortement chuté (- 8 %). Elles sont très réduites (- 93 %) vers la Russie suite à l’embargo sur les viandes porcines décidé fin janvier par ce pays. L’augmentation des envois vers l’Asie du Sud-Est (+ 46 %) et l’Asie du nord (+ 16 %) ne compense qu'en partie seulement le déficit vers la Russie.Les importations de viande porcine sont en légère progression (+ 0,5 %).Le solde du commerce extérieur de viande porcine en volume est devenu négatif en 2014 (- 7 000 téc). Le solde en valeur amplifie son déficit à - 420 millions d’euros.

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Un prix affaibli par les difficultés du commerce extérieur en 2014Le prix moyen du porc charcutier en 2014 est en baisse de près de 8 % par rapport au prix de 2013. Au cours du premier trimestre 2014, il a été en retrait en glissement annuel, baisse qui s'explique principalement par la fermeture du marché russe. Au cours du deuxième trimestre 2014, il s'est plutôt mieux comporté, soutenu par une consommation intérieure dynamique liée à un printemps ensoleillé et à des flux importants vers certains pays d'Asie. Dans le courant de l'été, le prix moyen a commencé à chuter dans un contexte d'offre européenne soutenue, d'une météo maussade ne favorisant pas la consommation et de l'embargo russe toujours en cours. A l'automne, la chute s'est stabilisée.

Une consommation apparente en hausse, suite à la baisse des exportationsEn 2014, la consommation apparente de viande porcine (y compris graisse de porc) en France augmente de 3 % par rapport à 2013 à la suite notamment de la réduction des exportations.

HR

IT

CY

LV

1. CATTLE

Results of the surveyThe number of cattle (reference data on 31 December 2014) was based on the administrative data from the Animal Register managed by the Agricultural Data Centre. Data on the livestock production were obtained by conducting the Annual Animal Survey.

Compared to the previous year, the total number of cattle in 2013 has increased by 3.8% (15.5 thousand more, as compared to 2013). The number of cattle aged less than 1 year has increased by 8.3%, cattle aged one to two years decreased by 0.6%. The number of cattle aged 2 years and over increased by 3.1%, and the number of dairy cows – by 0.5%, The highest increase was observed in the group "other cows" (including suckling cows) - by 17.3%, compared to previous year.

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Production forecasts According to the estimates of the Latvian State Institute of Agricultural Economics (LSIAE) in 2015/2014 a slight increase of the GIP is foreseen in the total number of bovine animals for slaughter (4.0%); moreover, rise is forecasted in all categories, except heifers. In 2016/2015 forecasted growth of GIP for bovine animals comprises 0.9%.

Slaughtering in 2014In comparison with 2013, the number of cattle for slaughtering (including provisional data on domestic slaughtering) in 2014 decreased by 0.5%. The production of beef and veal increased by 5.8%, and its share in the total production of meat is 21.0%.

Compared to 2013, the number of slaughtered cows has increased by 3.2%, and meat production (in slaughter weight) has increased by 5.3%. The share of slaughtered cows in the total number of slaughtered cattle has increased from 35.0% in 2013 to 36.8% in 2014. The share of meat from slaughtered cows in 2014 was 50.8% of the total beef and veal production (51.0% in 2013).

The number of slaughtered calves and young cattle (up to 1 year) has decreased by 13.4% and the volume of produced veal decreased by 16.7% in 2014, as compared to the previous year.

The average carcass weight of cattle for slaughtering constituted 179 kg and, in comparison with 2013, it has increased by 6.5%.

Intra-Community and external tradeThe number of exported live cattle in 2014 increased by 3.0 thousand or by 10.1%. More than half of the exported cattle were calves (61.2% of the total number of exported cattle). Foreign trade mainly takes place between Latvia and EU countries (96% of the total number of exported cattle).

The imports of live cattle in 2014 increased two times.

Prices In comparison with the previous year, beef and veal producer prices in 2014 comprised on average 1.62 EUR/kg and decreased by 14.7%.

2. PIGS

Results of the surveyThe survey on livestock production and on the number of pigs was conducted on a reference date 31 December 2014. Data on the livestock production were obtained by conducting the Annual Animal Survey.

In comparison with the year before, the total number of pigs (provisional results) in 2014 has decreased by 4.9% (18.1 thousand less than in 2013). Compared to 2013, the total number of sows has decreased by 7.0%.

Production forecasts The estimates of the Latvian State Institute of Agricultural Economics show that in 2015/2014 the number of slaughtered animals will decrease by 2.2% and in 1st half of 2016/to1st half of 2015 – increase by 1.1%.

Slaughtering in 2014In comparison with 2013, the number of slaughtered pigs in 2014 (including provisional data on domestic slaughtering) has increased by 1.1%, but production of meat has increased by 3.1%.

The number of pigs slaughtered in slaughterhouses increased by 4.5% and pigs slaughtered outside slaughterhouses decreased by 8.6%.

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The average carcass weight of pigs for slaughter in 2014 constituted 79.4 kg, and it is an increase of 1.5 kg.

Intra-Community and external tradeImport of live pigs in 2014 has decreased by 34.1%, export has increased by 24.3%, and 100% of the total export of pigs have been traded in EU. Number of piglets for further fattening up to 30 kg comprises 24.3% of the total number of pigs exported.

Prices In comparison with the previous year, producer prices of pork in 2014 comprise on average 1.48 EUR/kg or have decreased by 10.8%.

3. SHEEP AND GOATS

Number of sheep and goats (reference data on 31 December 2014) were based on the administrative data from the Animal Register managed by the Agricultural Data Centre. Data on the livestock production were obtained by conducting the Annual Animal Survey.

In comparison with the year before, the total number of sheep (provisional results) in 2014 has increased by 9.1% (7.7 thousand more than in 2013). Compared to 2013, the total number of goats has decreased by 2.6%.

Slaughtering in 2014Number of sheep and goats for slaughtering (provisional data) in 2014 went up by 0.9%. 64.3% of the total number of slaughtered sheep and goats were domestic slaughtering.

Production of sheep and goat meat in Latvia is not significant, since its share in the total production of meat comprises only 0.8%. Compared to 2013, the production of sheep and goat meat in 2013 has increased by 0.3%.

The average carcass weight of sheep for slaughter in 2014 comprised 20 kg, of goats – 18.5 kg.

PricesIn comparison with 2013, producer prices of sheep meat in 2014 reached on average 3.36 EUR/kg and increased by 9.8%.

The number of exported and imported live sheep and goats was not significant in 2014.

Consumption of meatThere are no data available on meat consumption in 2014, but in 2013, as compared to the previous year, consumption of meat per household member increased: of beef – by 8.3%, poultry- by 6.9%. Mutton and goat meat decreased 3x, pork by 1.0%.

LT

1. CATTLE

Results of the surveyThe survey carried out in December showed that the number of cattle in 2014 (provisional results), compared to 2013, increased by 3.3 per cent (i.e. was by 23.2 thousand higher than in 2013); the number of dairy cows decreased by 0.5 per cent (i.e. was by 1.7 thousand lower than in 2013).

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The GIP of cattle in 2014, compared to 2013, increased by 7.7 per cent; it is forecasted that in 2016, compared to 2015, it will be by 0.8 per cent lower.

ProductionBeef production (including domestic slaughtering) in 2014 (provisional results), compared to 2013, increased by 6.4 per cent. The number of cattle for slaughter in 2014 increased by 4.2 per cent (i.e. was by 6.8 thousand higher than in 2013). The average carcass weight of cattle for slaughter in 2014 was 237 kg (by 5 kg more than in 2013).

Foreign tradeThe exports of live cattle increased by 10.3 per cent (i.e. were by 10.2 thousand higher than in 2013). The exports of live calves remain important for the country.

The imports of live cattle decreased by 38.6 per cent (i.e. were by 4.2 thousand lower than in 2013).

PricesProducer prices for cattle in 2014, compared to 2013, decreased by 14.1 per cent.

ConsumptionIn 2013, beef and veal consumption was 4 kg per capita.

2. PIGS

Results of the surveyThe survey carried out in December showed that the number of pigs in 2014 (provisional results), compared to 2013, decreased by 5.4 per cent (i.e. was by 40.4 thousand lower than in 2013). The number of breeding sows decreased by 4.4 per cent compared to 2013 (i.e. was by 2.6 thousand lower than in 2013).

The GIP of pigs in 2014, compared to 2013, decreased by 3.4 per cent; it is forecasted that in 2015, compared to 2014, it will be by 10.2 per cent lower.

ProductionPork production (including domestic slaughtering) in 2014 (provisional results), compared to 2013, decreased by 1.8 per cent. The number of pigs for slaughter in 2014 decreased by 2.1 per cent (i.e. was by 22.6 thousand lower than in 2013). The average carcass weight of pigs for slaughter in 2014 was 83 kg (by 1 kg more than in 2013).

Foreign tradeThe exports of live pigs decreased approximately by 16.9 per cent (i.e. were by 62.9 thousand lower than in 2013). The exports of live pigs remain important for the country.

The imports of live pigs decreased by 20.1 percent (i.e. were by 44.2 thousand lower than in 2013).

PricesProducer prices for pigs in 2014, compared to 2013, decreased by 11.1 per cent.

ConsumptionIn 2013, pork consumption was 47 kg per capita.

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3. SHEEP AND GOATS

Results of the surveyThe survey carried out in December shows that the number of sheep in 2014 (provisional results), compared to 2013, increased by 24.4 per cent (i.e. was by 24.3 thousand higher than in 2013). The number of goats decreased by 5.8 per cent compared to 2013 (i.e. was by 0.8 thousand lower than in 2013).

ProductionSheep and goats production (including domestic slaughtering) in 2014 (provisional results), compared to 2013, decreased by 7.5 per cent.

The average carcass weight of sheep for slaughter in 2014 was 16 kg, for goats – 11 kg (in 2013, for sheep – 16 kg, for goats – 14 kg).

PricesProducer prices for sheep in 2014, compared to 2013, decreased by 2.6 per cent.

ConsumptionIn 2013, mutton and goats consumption was 0.3 kg per capita.

LU

1. Results of surveys In December 2014, a livestock survey was carried out for pigs and an extraction of administrative data has been made for bovine animals. The evolution of the livestock of bovine animals and pigs was not influenced by any animal disease in 2014.

Livestock of bovine animals: After a stagnation from 2011 to 2012 and an important increase in 2013 (+5,3%), the livestock is increasing again in 2014 compared to 2013 by 1,5%. While the number of bovines younger than 1 year is decreasing slightly (-1,4%), the number of heifers is increasing significantly (+30,5%) as a consequence of the abolishment of the milk quota system on 31.3.2015 and a planned increase of milk production in the coming marketing year, whereas the number of cows (dairy cows and suckler cows) decreases (-3,6%) (limitation of milk production during the last months of the marketing year 2014/15 to prevent a high levy on milk exceeding the milk quota).

Livestock of pigs: In 2014, the trend from 2013 where the pig population was able to recover is confirmed, and especially pigs in the categories under 20 kg (+17,2%) and fattening pigs over 50 kg (+20,3%) were showing the strongest increase. For pigs from 20-50 kg, a decrease of 13,8% is observed. With the exception of 2013, the number of breeding pigs is decreasing constantly compared to the preceding year since 2010. This trend is confirmed in 2014 by a decrease of 2,5%.

2. Production, production forecasts and prospects for the market Gross indigenous production (GIP) expressed in number of animals Bovine animals: In 2014 there was an increase of 17 % in GIP. That increase is observed through all the categories. Pigs: The GIP of pigs decreased by 0,8 % from 2013 to 2014.

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Production forecasts Luxembourg has only very limited resources to make forecasts of GIP. The bovine production is expected to stay relatively stable and porcine production is expected to recover from the decreases in 2013 and 2014.

3. Slaughtering For bovines, GIP and slaughtering are strongly linked. In 2014 there were 5,9% more bovines slaughtered in Luxembourg than during the previous year. Compared to 2013, there was an increase of 6,5 % for adult cattle (bulls and bullocks: +7%, cows: +0,8%, heifers: +12,1%) and a decrease of 3,8% for cattle younger than 1 year. For pigs, depending on the evolution of external trade of live animals, GIP and slaughtering may evolve differently. In 2014, while slaughtering of pigs increased by 5,9% compared to 2013, the GIP decreased by 0,8%.

4. Intra-Community and external trade of live animals Intra-Community export of live bovines: In 2014, the number of exported bovines is increasing again after 2 years of decreasing. The number of exported bovines without calves increased by 16,4% compared to 2013, the number of exported calves increased by 15%. Intra-Community import of live bovines: The number of imported bovines decreased by 24% in 2014 compared to 2013, which is the first major decrease since 2008. Intra-Community export of live pigs: After a decrease of 4% in 2013, export of pigs also was decreasing in 2014 by 5,6% compared to 2013. Intra-Community import of live pigs: After an increase in 2013, imports of pigs increase again in 2014 by 4,2 % in relation to the previous year.

5. Prices After the increase of bovine prices from 2010 to 2013, the average prices for slaughtered and exported bovines in general were decreasing in 2014 (-2,8%), which concerns as well the adult bovines as the young calves for storing. Concerning slaughtering and export prices for pigs, after a period of increasing prices in 2011 (+6,2%) and 2012 (+17,1%), falling prices were observed in 2013 (-2,2%) and to a larger extend in 2014 (-11,7%).

6. Consumption The supply balance sheets for meat are not yet calculated for 2014. In 2013, beef consumption was 14.768 tons compared to 13.665 tons in 2012. The per-capita consumption was increasing from 26,0 kg to 27,5 kg. The pork consumption was 19.728 tons in 2013, after 19.846 tons in 2012. With 36,7 kg, the per-capita consumption is decreasing by 1,1 kg compared to the previous year. Over the last 4 years, we see a more or less stable per capita consumption of beef and pork, while poultry meat consumption is increasing.

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NL

AT

PL

1. BEEF SECTOR

1. Results of the December Survey 2014. The cattle survey carried out in December 2014 was based on:

sample survey of private farms with cattle and/or sheep and/or poultry (the same sample as in June – ca. 20 thousand farms drawn out of ca. 1.3 million private farms).

reports from remaining farms (ca. 1.0 thousand farms) having cattle and/or sheep and/or poultry (the same sample as in June 2014).

Provisional results of the December survey 2014 compared to the results from 2013 are as follows:

The total number of cattle increased by 1.3% (by 70.7 thousand heads) to 5660.3 thousand heads of which:

the total number of calves under 1 year increased by 2.9% to 1450 thousand heads of which the number of calves for slaughter increased by 8% to 313.2 thousand heads but calves for breeding increased by 1.6% to 1136.8 thousand heads of which female of calves for breeding decreased by 0.5% (by 3.1 thousand heads).

the number of young cattle 1-2 years old increased by 5.3% to 1444.9 thousand heads) of which the number of females increased by 2.7% and females for slaughter increased by 10,5%. The number of males increased by 8.2%.

the number of cattle 2 years old and over has fallen by 1.6% (by 43.9 thousand heads) to 2765.4 thousand heads. The number of males has fallen by 7% but heifers has risen by 2.5%, of which the number of heifers for slaughter decreased by 20.4% and other heifers (for breeding) increased by 4,5%. The total number of cows decreased by 1.6 %, of which the number of dairy cows decreased by 2.2% but other (suckle) cows increased by 8.6%.

2. Production and forecasts. In 2014 provisionally estimated slaughtering of cattle with calves (in slaghterhauses and outside them) increased by 20.9% as compared with 2013 to 1 656.7 thousand heads, of which:

the number of slaughtering for cattle excluding calves increased by 23.4% the number of slaughtering for calves decreased by 6.6%

23

In 2014 estimated total production of cattle (with calves) including balance of foreign trade of live animals was 1762.5 thousand heads (or 838.9 thousand tones) and respectively increased by 6.2% (or increase by 12.2% as to weight) compared to the previous year, of which the production of adult cattle was 1417.2 thousand heads (or 804.4 thousand tones) and increase respectively by 10.7% ( by 12.6% as to weight) compared to the previous year and the production of calves was 345.2 thousand heads (or 34.5 thousand tones) and decrease by 8.9% (and increased by 4% as to weight) compared to year before.

In 2015 it is expected that the production of cattle for slaughter including calves (GIP) compared to the production in analogous period of 2014 will increase by 0.4 %.

3. Prices. Preliminary data. In 2014 the average cattle procurement price amounted to 5.96 PLN/kg and decreased by 3.9% in comparison to 2013. In January 2015 the average cattle procurement price came to 5.99 PLN/kg i.e. by 2.9% less than in January 2014.

In 2014 the average milk procurement price was quoted at 1.37 PLN/l and has risen by 1.1% in comparison to the average price registered in 2013. In January 2015 the price comes to 1.22PLN/l and was lower by 20.5% that these from January 2014.

4. Consumption. Provisional estimations show that in 2014 the consumption of beef (excluding calves) in comparison to 2013 was in the same level and amounted to 1.5 kg/per capita.

5. Foreign trade. In 2014 an increase in import of adult cattle (excluding calves) by 28.5% 45.2 thousand heads) has been noted. Compared to 2013, export has fallen by 36.6% from 21.8 thousand heads in 2013 to 13.8 thousand heads in 2014. Import of calves has increased by 27,5% (ca. 53.5 thousand heads in 2014) and export decreased by 30.9% to 141.7 thousand heads.

2. PIG MEAT SECTOR

1. Results of the December survey 2014.

The December pigs survey shows population of pigs on the reference date of 01 December 2014 which has been carried out on a sample of ca. 20 thousand private farms (similar to the survey of the beginning of March and of June) as well as on full reports from remaining farms having pigs (similar to March and June the population counted ca. 0.6 thousand farms).

In comparison to the results from the survey conducted at the 1 of December 2014 the national pig herd in 2014 increased by 2.5% to the level of 11265.6 thousand heads. Following the number of pigs was noted:

piglets up to 20 kg increased by 2%, breeding pigs 50kg and over increased by 0.3%, of which sows decreased by

0.1% as well as sows mated (by 1.5%), young pigs 20 to under 50 kg decreased by 2.1% pigs for fattening 50 kg and over decreased by 6.6%.

24

2. Production and forecasts.In 2014 provisionally estimated slaughtering of pigs (in slaughterhouses and outside slaughterhouses) was 21 666 thousand heads and compared with 2013 increased by 6.8% (by 1388 thousand heads).

In 2014 provisionally estimated total production of pigs including balance of external trade of live animals was 16396 thousand heads (5.1% more than in previous year) or it was 2310.9 thousand tones (12.2% more).

It is expected that the production of pigs for slaughter (GIP) in 2015 compared to the production in analogous period of 2014 will be lower by 3.6%.

3. Prices. Preliminary data. sprIn 2014 the average pigs procurement price amounted to 4.82 PLN/kg and decreased by 10.6% in comparison to the average price registered in 2013. In January 2015 the average pigs’ procurement price came to 4.05 PLN/kg and was by 20,0% lower than in January 2014.

4. Consumption. Provisional estimation shows that in 2014 the consumption of pork meet increased by 2.8% in comparison to 2013 and amounted to 36,5 kg/per capita.

5. Foreign trade. In 2014 an increase in export of pigs from Poland by 9.2% (90 thousand heads) was noted. The import of these animals increased in 2014 in relation to 2013 by 4.3% (to 5 360.1 thousand heads).

3. SHEEP AND GOAT MEAT SECTOR

1. Results of the December Survey 2014.The December survey on sheep in 2014 was carried out on the same sample as described in above mentioned beef sector. According to the survey results the total number of sheep has fallen by 9.8% to the level of 201.3 thousand heads. There was also noted a decrease by 5.6% in the total number of ewes of which other decrease by 5.2% and diary by 8.1%.

2. Production and forecasts.In 2014 provisionally estimated slaughtering of sheep (in slaughterhouses and outside slaughterhouses) compared to the production of 2013 increased by 14.7% (7.1 thousand heads more) and noted the level of 55.6 thousand heads.

Estimated slaughtering of goats for slaughter (in slaughterhouses and outside slaughterhouses) in 2014 compared to the production of 2013 increased by 0.5%.

In 2014 provisionally estimated total production of sheep including balance of external trade of live animals was 124.7 thousand heads (13.3% more than in previous year) or it was 4.0 thousand tones (18.9% more).

In 2014 provisionally estimated total production of goats including balance of external trade of live animals was 0.4 thousand tones (2.6% less).

Poland is not sending forecasts to the production of the mutton and the meat of goats as they are insignificant in our country.

25

3. Prices. Preliminary data. In 2014 the average sheep procurement price amounted to 6.98 PLN/kg and has fallen by 0.5% in comparison to the average price registered in 2013. In January 2015 the average sheep procurement price came to 6.36 PLN/kg and was by 0.6 % lower than in January 2014.

4. Consumption.Estimated consumption of mutton in 2015 was about 0.0 kg/per capita.

5. Foreign trade.In 2014 a decline in export of sheep from Poland by 7.4% was noted. The import to Poland was insignificant like export and import of goats.

PT

Results of surveys (including implementation) Livestock statistics were carried out for cattle, pigs, sheep and goats in December 2014, and national and regional (NUTSII) provisional results are established.

1. CATTLE

1. Provisional results on 2014 Livestock: Increase of the total stock (+4.9 %), relatively to 2013.Raise of “Bovines less than 1 year old” (+12.9%), as a result of better weather conditions, that increased pasture resources and restored livestock fertility, with a bigger number of births in 2014.

Raise of “Bovines aged between 1 and 2” (+1.2%), with higher number of females in holdings, when compared with the previous year.

The number of “Bovines of 2 years and over” shows a slight increase (+1.7%).

The number of “heifers” dropped (-3.9%) while the number of cows increased by 2.8%, with a raise of both “dairy cows” (+1.1%) and “other cows” (+3.7%), when compared with 2013.

2. Production, the production forecasts (GIP), prospects for the market Prices Foreign trade (imports and exports – live animals and meat) GIP 2014 (provisional data): Decrease of 3.1 % in total GIP.

There was a small increase for “calves” GIP (+1.1%) while “Adults” GIP decreased (-5.6%), with a general drop in slaughtering for all categories.

International trade (provisional values of 2014) shows an increase in both imports and exports of live animals. There were a higher number of exported calves, heifers and bullocks, which normally would have been fattened and slaughtered in Portugal. Bovine meat trade showed a reduction in exports and an increase in imports, vis a vis 2013.

GIP forecasts for 2015: Increase of GIP (+2.6%) in 2015.

26

Considering livestock results and the availability of animals for slaughtering in holdings at the end of 2014, a lift in GIP for all bovine categories, except “heifers” is forecasted for 2015.

GIP forecasts for 2016: The situation of bovine market in EU, particularly driven by the instability in the dairy sector, with the end of the existing milk quota system in 2015 and the fact of possible interventions in the sector, make these forecasts very difficult. A tendency of decrease could occur (-0.4%).

2. PIGS

1. Provisional results on 2014 Livestock: Raise of the total livestock (+4.1%)The total pig livestock at the end of the year showed that holdings had more “piglets” and “fattening pigs > 50 kg” than values registered in 2013. The breeding stock also showed an increase (+3.5% for “breeding sows”), when compared with the previous year.

2. Production, the production forecasts (GIP), prospects for the market Prices Foreign trade (imports and exports – live animals and meat)

GIP 2014 (provisional data): Slight increase of GIP (+0.8%).

Some recovery occurred in pig production in 2014. The drop of prices of animal feed reduced production costs. Also prices were higher in summer, which was a motivation to national producers.

Nevertheless, there was a higher import of live pigs and a break in exports. For pig meat trade, there was a raise, especially in exports.

GIP forecasts for 2015: According to the provisional data for pig livestock at the end of 2014 (raise in total breeding stock), a higher GIP is expected in 2015 (+4.1%), motivated by bigger offer of meat and an expected at least internal economic growth, compared to 2014.

GIP forecasts for 2016: With the indicators at this moment, the forecast is for a drop of GIP in the 1st trimester (-4.0%) and a raise in the 2nd (+3.8%) trimester of 2016.

3. SHEEP AND GOATS

1. Provisional results on 2014 Livestock: Fall of total stock for both sheep (-1.9%) and goats (-4.4%). The breeding stock dropped for sheep (less 1.6% for “ewes and ewe-lambs put to the ram”) and for goats (-4.1% for “goats which have already kidded and goats mated”).

2. Production, the production forecasts (GIP), prospects for the market Prices Foreign trade (imports and exports – live animals and meat) GIP 2014: (provisional data): Slight increase of sheep GIP (+2.6%), and decrease for goats GIP (-13.8%) in 2014.

27

In 2014 most indicators were lower. Nevertheless, better weather conditions and higher prices than expected led to a raise in lamb slaugtherings at the end of the year, resulting in a small raise of GIP.

Sheep and goat trade of live animals (provisional results) showed an increase of the imports and a reduction of exports in 2014. Meat exports showed a significant raise, compared with 2013.

GIP forecasts for 2015: According to the provisional trend for sheep and goat livestock in 2014, a decrease of GIP is expected for sheep (-1.6%) and also for goats (-4.2%) in 2015.

RO

SI

We are sending comments for: Provisional Data of the December 2014 sample survey, Slaughtering in slaughterhouses 2014, Prices of Agriculture products (Animal products) 2014, 2014 dairy statistics.

All these data were already sent to Eurostat (via eDamis) and all of these data are also available on our webpage. Main webpage: http://www.stat.si/StatWeb/en/homeAgriculture, Forestry and Fishery: http://www.stat.si/StatWeb/en/field-overview?id=11&headerbar=0Database: http://pxweb.stat.si/pxweb/Database/Environment/Environment.asp

http://www.stat.si/statweb/en/show-news?id=4989

About 281,000 pigs and about 468,000 cattle were in Slovenia on 1 December 2014.

Provisional data show about 281,000 pigs in Slovenia on 1 December 2014, which is the smallest drop in the number of pigs over the previous year after 2006.

The number of cattle in December 2014 higher than in the previous yearOn 1 December 2014 agricultural holdings in Slovenia were breeding about 468,000 heads of cattle. In comparison with the previous year, the number of cattle increased by about 2% or about 8,000 animals. According to provisional data, about 33,000 agricultural holdings were breeding cattle, i.e. about 600 more than in 2013.

The number of young cattle, under 1 year increased by about 3% or about 4,000 animals. On the other hand, the number of young cattle, 1-2 years decreased by about 1% or about 1,000 animals. The number of cattle over 2 years increased by about 2% or about 5,000 animals.

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The number of cows increased by about 2% (about 3,000 animals); the number of other cows increased by about 8%, while the number of dairy cows decreased by about 2% (about 4,000 more suckler cows and about 2,000 fewer dairy cows).

In the number of young cattle, under 1 year the most significant increase was observed in calves for slaughter, young bulls (by exactly 9% or about 1,000 animals); at the same time the number of calves for slaughter, young heifers, decreased by about 11% or about 1,000 animals. On the other hand, we recorded an increase in the number of calves for fattening, young heifers by about 4% (about 2,000 animals) and young bulls by exactly 2% (about 1,000 animals).

The number of breeding heifers, total 1 to 2 years old went up by about 4% over 2013; the number of breeding heifers in calf increased (by about 18% or about 3,000 animals), while the number of other breeding heifers decreased by about 5% (about 1,000 animals). A decrease was also noticed in the number of heifers for fattening (by about 5% or about 1,000 animals).

In the category of cattle over 2 years there was an increase by about 11% of breeding heifers, total (the number of heifers in calf increased by about 12% or about 2,000 animals) and other heifers by about 7% (about 300 animals). The number of cows increased by about 2% (about 3,000 animals); the number of other cows increased by about 8%, while the number of dairy cows decreased by about 2% (about 4,000 more suckler cows and about 2,000 fewer dairy cows).

After 2006 the smallest drop in the number of pigs over a year before According to provisional data, in December 2014 about 27,000 agricultural holdings in Slovenia were breeding pigs, i.e. about 2,000 more than in 2013.

On 1 December 2014 these agricultural holdings were breading about 281,000 pigs. According to provisional data the downward trend in the number of pigs slowed down. Provisional data for 2014 show a decrease in the number of pigs by about 2% (about 7,000 animals) over the previous year.

Quite a significant increase was observed in the number of fattening pigs (by about 5% or about 6,000 animals); among fattening pigs the most significant increase was noticed in the category of fattening pigs of live weight 110 kg and more (by about 9% or about 5,000 animals). At the same time a decrease in the number of piglets 20-50 kg (by about 12% or about 7,000 animals) and piglets under 20 kg (by about 6% or about 4,000 animals) was recorded.

In the number of breeding pigs (50 kg and over) – total we noticed a decrease by about 9% (about 2,000 animals); among the breeding animals we recorded the most significant decrease in the number of gilts (gilts mated by about 24% or about 700 animals and gilts not yet mated by exactly 19% or about 500 animals). At the same time the most numerous category among breeding pigs, the number of saws mated, decreased by exactly 7% (or about 700 animals) and the number of saws not mated decreased by exactly 3% (or about 200 animals).

In 2014 a higher number of poultry than a year beforeIn December 2014 about 33,000 agricultural holdings in Slovenia were breeding poultry, i.e. about 800 fewer than in the previous year. The total number of poultry was about 5,259,000, which is about 7% or 352,000 animals more than in 2013.

The number of layers slightly decreased (by about 2% or about 22,000 animals). The number of broilers increased by about 9% or about 259,000 animals. The number of turkeys also increased by about 26% or 25,000 animals.

The number of sheep after 2009 for the first time slightly higher, the number of goats also higher than in the previous year In December 2014 an increase in the number of sheep was recorded; about 114,000 sheep was about 5% or 5,000 more animals than in 2013. According to provisional data, about 5,000 agricultural holdings were breeding sheep, i.e. about 150 more than in 2013.

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About 3,000 agricultural holdings were breeding goats, which is about 100 fewer than in the previous year. Provisional data for 2014 show that about 22,000 goats were breed, which is about 5% or about 1,000 more animals than in 2013.

Table 1: Livestock, Slovenia2013 20141) 2014

2013

number index

Cattle 460,576 468,126 101.6

Pigs 303,610 281,313 97.6

Poultry 4,907,010 5,258,561 107.2

Sheep 108,779 113,648 104.5

Goats 21,240 22,283 104.9

1) - provisional data

Sources: SURS, MAFFChart 1: Livestock, Slovenia

1) - provisional dataSources: SURS, MAFF

Chart 2: Poultry, Slovenia

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1) - provisional dataSource: SURS

31

Table 1: Cattle, Slovenia

2013 20141) 2014/2013

number number index

Cattle - total 460.576 468.126 101,6

Young cattle, under 1 year 143.848 147.539 102,6

calves for slaughter, young bulls 7.816 8.522 109,0

calves for slaughter, young heifers 6.338 5.649 89,1

calves for fattening, young bulls 67.728 69.102 102,0

calves for fattening, young heifers 61.966 64.266 103,7

Young cattle, 1-2 years 122.966 122.300 99,5

breeding heifers, total 47.144 48.990 103,9

breeding heifers in calf 18.885 22.212 117,6

other breeding heifers 28.259 26.778 94,8

heifers for fattening 12.765 12.165 95,3

bulls, oxen 63.057 61.145 97,0

Cattle over 2 years 193.762 198.287 102,3

breeding heifers, total 18.717 20.696 110,6

heifers in calf 14.281 15.953 111,7

other breeding heifers 4.436 4.743 106,9

heifers for fattening 2.135 2.003 93,8

cows, total 165.785 168.298 101,5

dairy cows 109.571 107.836 98,4

other cows 56.214 60.462 107,6

bulls for breeding 2.435 1.633 67,1

bulls and oxen for fattening 4.690 5.657 120,6

1) - provisional data

Sources: SURS, MAFF

Table 2: Pigs, Slovenia

2013 20141) 2014/2013

number number indexPigs - total 288.350 281.313 97,6

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Piglets under 20 kg 67.488 63.590 94,2 Piglets 20 - 50 kg 63.254 55.833 88,3Fattening pigs - total 133.828 140.222 104,8 50 - 80 kg 41.221 42.454 103,0 80 - 110 kg 35.682 35.687 100,0 110 kg and over 56.925 62.081 109,1Breeding pigs (50 kg and over) - total 23.780 21.668 91,1 boars 863 868 100,6 gilts not yet mated 2.769 2.243 81,0 gilts mated 2.808 2.146 76,4 saws not mated 7.084 6.872 97,0 saws mated 10.256 9.539 93,0

1) - provisional data

Source: SURS

Table 3: Poultry, Slovenia

2013 20141) 2014/2013

number number indexPoultry - total 4.907.010 5.258.561 107,2 of which layers 1.379.998 1.358.058 98,4 of which chickens for fattening 3.021.456 3.280.885 108,6 of which other hens 381.766 476.064 124,7 of which turkeys 96.218 121.430 126,2

1) - provisional data

Source: SURS

Final data on the livestock number in 2014, which were collected as of 1 December 2014, do not essentially differ from provisional data. Detailed final data are available on SI-STAT portal http://pxweb.stat.si/pxweb/Database/Environment/Environment.asp .

http://www.stat.si/StatWeb/en/show-news?id=4965

In 2014 about 11,000 pigs more were slaughtered in Slovene slaughterhouses than in 2013.

Livestock slaughter in slaughterhouses, Slovenia, 2014 - final data In 2014 about 11,000 pigs more were slaughtered in Slovene slaughterhouses than in 2013.In 2014 about 1,500 horses, 108,000 cattle, 239,000 pigs, 9,000 sheep, 600 goats, 16,000 rabbits and 33,594,000 poultry were slaughtered in Slovene slaughterhouses.

Compared to 2013, in 2014 the total slaughter of horses was about 1,500 horses (about 11% or about 150 animals more at the annual level), about 239,000 pigs (about 5% or about 11,000 animals more at the annual level), about 9,000 sheep (about 16% or about 1,000 animals more at the annual level), about 600 goats (about 77% or about 200 animals more at the annual level), about 16,000 rabbits (about 13% or about 2,000 animals more at the annual level) and about 33,594,000 poultry (about 4% or about 1,278,000 animals more at the annual level). In the same comparison the number of slaughtered cattle was 108,000, which is a decrease by about 2% (or about 2,000 animals).

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As regards cattle, at the annual level we recorded a decrease in the slaughter of cows by about 13% (i.e. 3,000 cows), of bullocks (oxen) by about 7% (i.e. exactly 35 animals), of calves by about 3% (i.e. 500 animals) and of bulls (up to 24 months) by about 2% (i.e. 1,000 animals). At the same time we recorded an increase in the slaughter of bulls (over 24 months) by about 9% (i.e. about 2,000 animals), of heifers by about 3% (i.e. 500 animals) and of older calves (8 to 12 months) by about 2% (i.e. exactly 36 animals).

As regards pigs, at the annual level of 2014 over 2013, there was an increase in the number of slaughtered animals, with the exception of young fattened boars, where the number of slaughtered animals decreased by about 17% (i.e. 100 animals) and of piglets by about 1% (i.e. 200 animals). In the same comparison the number of slaughtered eliminated breeding pigs increased by about 14% (i.e. 200 animals) and of fattened pigs by about 5% (i.e. 11,000 animals).

As regards poultry, at the annual level we recorded an increased number of broilers by about 4% (i.e. about 1,370,000 animals). On the other hand, we recorded a decrease in the number of slaughtered hens by about 24% (i.e. 83,000 animals) and of turkeys by about 2% (i.e. by about 8,000 animals). In 2014 no ostriches or other poultry were slaughtered in Slovene slaughterhouses.

Changes in total carcass weight follow the changes in the shares of the number of slaughtered animals in 2014 The total carcass weight of horses slaughtered in 2014 was about 12% higher than in 2013 (in weight that is about 37,000 kg more).

The total carcass weight of cattle slaughtered in 2014 was about 2% lower than in 2013, which is about 538,000 kg less. We recorded the biggest decrease in slaughtered carcass weight of cows by about 13% which is about 746,000 kg less. Decreases were also recorded in the total carcass weight of bullocks (oxen) by about 7% (i.e. 12,000 kg less), of calves by about 3% (i.e. 48,000 kg less) and bulls (up to 24 months) by about 3% (i.e. 363,000 kg less). In the same comparison we recorded increases in the total carcass weight of bulls (over 24 months) by about 7% (i.e. 497,000 kg more), and of heifers by about 4% (i.e. 133,000 kg more). The total carcass weight of older calves (8 to 12 months) was about the same as in the previous year but with a positive trend.

In the same comparison the total carcass weight of slaughtered pigs increased by about 7%, which is about 1,254,000 kg more. The most significant increase was recorded in the slaughter of eliminated breeding pigs; their carcass weight increased by about 24%, but this was only about 32,000 kg more, which is only a small share of gained pig meat regarding the total carcass weight of fattened pigs, which increased by about 7% and represented 1,234,000 kg more or 98% of all pig meat in Slovene slaughterhouses in 2014.

In 2014 the carcass weight of slaughtered sheep increased by about 21% (i.e. about 19,000 kg), and the carcass weight of slaughtered goats by about 96% (i.e. about 3,000 kg).

The carcass weight of slaughtered poultry increased by about 5%; this is about 2,710,000 kg more than in 2013. The most significant increase was recorded with broilers (by about 6% or about 3,139,000 kg). In 2014 the carcass weight of slaughtered turkeys decreased by about 3%, which is a drop of about 151,000 kg. The carcass weight of slaughtered hens decreased by about 28%; this is about. 279,000 kg less than in 2013.

The carcass weight of slaughtered rabbits in 2014 increased by about 13%, which is about 2,000 kg more than in 2013 (their total carcass weight in 2014 was about 21,000 kg).

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Average carcass weight of slaughtered animals did not follow completely the changes in the total carcass weight of slaughtered animalsThe average carcass weight of slaughtered horses increased by about 1% (in 2014 the average carcass weight of horses was about 223 kg). The average carcass weight of slaughtered cattle was about the same as in the previous year, but with a positive trend (in 2014 the average carcass weight of cattle was about 291 kg). The average carcass weight of slaughtered pigs increased by about 2% (in 2014 the average carcass weight of pigs was about 85 kg). The average carcass weight of slaughtered sheep increased by 5% (in 2014 the average carcass weight of sheep was about 12 kg) and the average carcass weight of slaughtered goats increased by about 11% (in 2014 the average carcass weight of goats was about 12 kg). The same as in the 2013 was the average carcass weight of slaughtered rabbits (in 2014 the average carcass weight of rabbits was 1.3 kg), while the average carcass weight of slaughtered poultry increased by about 1% (in 2014 the average carcass weight of poultry was about 1.8 kg).

Chart 1: Weight of dressed carcass of slaughtered livestock in slaughterhouses, Slovenia

Sources: SURS, MAFF, AFSVPP

Table 1: Livestock slaughter in slaughterhouses, SloveniaSlaughtered

animalsWeight of dressed

carcassesAverage weight of dressed

carcasses

2014 20142013 2014 2014

2013 2014 20142013

number indices t indices kg indices

Horses 1,544 110.8 344 112.1 222.81 101.2

Cattle 108,391 98.2 31,566 98.3 291.22 100.1

Pigs 238,871 104.8 20,208 106.6 84.60 101.7

Sheep 8,738 115.9 108 121.3 12.34 104.7

Goats 573 176.9 7 195.6 11.76 110.6

Rabbits 16,034 112.8 21 112.8 1.30 100.0

Poultry 33,594,085 104.0 59,798 104.7 1.78 100.8

Sources: SURS, MAFF, AFSVPP

35

Table 1: Livestock slaughter in slaughterhouses, Slovenia

Slaughtered animalsTotal weight of dressed

carcassesAverage weight of dressed

carcasses2014 2014/2013 2014 2014/2013 2014 2014/2013

number indeks t indeks kg indeksHorses - total 1.544 110,8 344 112,1 222,81 101,2Cattle - total 108.391 98,2 31.566 98,3 291,22 100,1 calves 14.864 96,6 1.436 96,8 96,60 100,1 older calves (8 to 12 months) 2.275 101,6 343 100,0 150,78 98,4 young cattle 0 0,0 0 0,0 0,00 0,0 bulls, up to 24 months 38.711 97,8 13.551 97,4 350,06 99,6 heifers 12.385 102,8 3.179 104,4 256,68 101,6 bullocks (oxen) 500 93,5 157 93,1 313,96 99,6 cows 17.585 86,6 4.880 86,7 277,49 100,2 bulls, over 24 months 22.071 109,1 8.020 106,6 363,38 97,7Pigs - total 238.871 104,8 20.208 106,6 84,60 101,7 piglets 19.110 98,9 350 98,1 18,31 99,3 fattened pigs 218.150 105,4 19.667 106,7 90,15 101,2 eliminated breeding pigs 1.273 114,2 167 123,8 131,33 108,5 young fattened boars 338 83,3 24 82,2 70,91 98,7Sheep - total 8.738 115,9 108 121,3 12,34 104,7 lambs 8.477 114,2 101 117,8 11,93 103,2 young sheep, breeding sheep and rams 261 221,2 7 219,3 25,58 99,2Goats - total 573 176,9 7 195,6 11,76 110,6Rabbits - total 16.034 112,8 21 112,8 1,30 100,0Poultry - total 33.594.085 104,0 59.798 104,7 1,78 100,8 broilers 32.948.859 104,3 54.933 106,1 1,67 101,7 hens 265.319 76,1 706 71,7 2,66 94,2 turkeys 379.907 97,9 4.160 96,5 10,95 98,6 ostrich - - - - - - other poultry - - - - - -

- no occurence of eventSources: SURS, MAFF, AFSVPP

http://www.stat.si/StatWeb/en/show-news?id=5028

In 2014 the prices of agricultural products were on average 5.1% lower than in 2013.

In comparison with 2013, in 2014 the prices of crop products decreased on average by 15.7%, while the prices of animals and animal products increased on average by 0.8%.

In 2014 the prices of crop products on average lower than in 2013 In comparison with 2013, in 2014 the prices of crop products decreased on average by 15.7%. The prices decreased mainly due to lower prices of potatoes for consumption (by 41.1%), fruits (by 19.8%), fresh vegetables (by 17.3%) and cereals (by 13.8%, mainly due to lower prices of grain maize). The prices of industrial plants and wine were on average higher than in 2013 (by 3.5% and by 11.3%, respectively).

In 2014 the prices of animals and animal products on average slightly higher than in 2013 In comparison with 2013, in 2014 the prices of animals and animal products increased on average by 0.8%. The prices of animals for slaughter were on average lower by 4.0%: the prices of poultry decreased by 5.1%, of pigs by 4.1% and of cattle by 3.2%. The prices of animal products were on average 6.5% higher, mainly due to higher prices of milk (by 6.9%). The prices of raw hides and honey were on average 19.4% higher, while the prices of eggs were on average 1.1% lower.

36

Chart 1: Average annual growth rates of producer prices of agricultural products, Slovenia

Source: SURS

Chart 2: Monthly movement of milk price, Slovenia

Source: SURS

37

Table 1: Producer price indices of agricultural products, Slovenia

2014Ø 2010

20142013

AGRICULTURAL GOODS OUTPUT 116.5 94.9

Agricultural goods output, excl. fruits and vegetables 118.9 97.9

CROP OUTPUT 108.1 84.3

Crop output, excluding fruits and vegetables 110.3 86.0

Cereals 105.5 86.2

Industrial plants 115.2 103.5

Vegetables and horticultural products 112.9 86.4

  fresh vegetables 114.3 82.7

  plants and flowers 109.6 97.9

Potatoes (including seeds) 121.5 60.2

Fruits 101.2 80.2

Wine 106.0 111.3

ANIMALS AND ANIMAL PRODUCTS 120.8 100.8

Animals for slaughter 113.9 96.0

Animal products 129.2 106.5

Source: SURS

38

Table 1: Producer price indices and prices of agricultural products, Slovenia, 2014

 

monthly weight

2010=100

2014 2014 2014

Ø 2010 2013

price (EUR) 1) 2) index

Cereals359 ... 105,5 86,2

Wheat and spelt164 … 125,4 93,5

Soft wheat164 0,17 125,4 93,5

Barley17 … 142,8 82,1

Feed barley17 0,15 142,8 82,1

Grain maize178 0,13 83,6 78,4

Industrial plants164 ... 115,2 103,5

Oil seeds54 ... 112,3 84,4

Rape seed48 0,31 112,8 81,9

Other oleaginous products6 3,38 107,9 115,3

Other industrial crops110 … 116,7 115,7

Hops110 4,62 116,7 115,7

Vegetables and horticultural products850 ... 112,9 86,4

Fresh vegetables610 ... 114,3 82,7

Cauliflower9 0,79 115,3 81,1

Tomatoes28 1,33 179,6 108,1

Other fresh vegetables573 … 111,0 81,2

Cabbage116 0,24 100,5 73,6

Lettuce86 0,70 109,8 68,4

Spinach6 2,12 139,5 55,6

Cucumbers24 0,47 106,2 82,8

Carrots24 0,38 84,7 73,5

Onions45 0,37 129,6 85,8

Green beans63 2,13 127,4 80,1

Green peas6 2,27 112,0 73,3

Other fresh vegetables; other203 ... 111,2 95,5

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Plants and flowers240 ... 109,6 97,9

Potatoes (including seeds)334 ... 121,5 60,2

Potatoes for consumption326 ... 120,7 58,9

Potatoes for consumption,early61 0,29 90,9 53,7

Potatoes for consumption, late265 0,16 127,5 59,9

Seed potatoes8 z 155,0 194,0

Fruits1078 … 101,2 80,2

Fresh fruit (excluding grapes)803 ... 99,7 74,6

Dessert apples586 0,41 102,8 70,4

Dessert pears 55 0,65 93,3 81,8

Dessert peaches96 0,37 89,0 115,7

Other fresh fruit66 … 93,6 77,0

Grapes for industry275 0,46 105,7 101,2

Wine556 ... 106,0 111,3

Table wine13 1,42 217,4 114,5

Quality wine543 2,20 103,4 111,1

Olive oil45 11,00 100,0 100,0

CROP OUTPUT3386

...108,1 84,3

Crop output (excluding fruits and vegetables)1458

...110,3 86,0

Animals3656 ... 113,9 96,0

Cattle1779 ... 116,1 96,8

Cattle excluding calves1624 … 117,0 96,6

Calves155 2,34 107,1 100,2

Bulls1284 1,78 114,6 97,0

Pigs555 … 118,2 95,9

Fattening pigs, 50-150 kg541 1,32 117,9 95,9

Equines15 1,76 97,7 92,7

Sheep and goats6 2,33 112,4 109,9

Poultry1301 … 109,4 94,9

Chickens1133 1,11 108,1 93,9

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Other poultry168 ... 118,3 101,6

Animal products2959 ... 129,2 106,5

Cows milk2629 0,35 129,7 106,9

Eggs 267 0,11 116,1 98,9

Other animal products (hides and honey)63 ... 165,2 119,4

ANIMALS AND ANIMAL PRODUCTS6615 ... 120,8 100,8

AGRICULTURAL GOODS OUTPUT 10000 ... 116,5 94,9

Agricultural goods output (excl. fruits and vegetables)8073

…118,9 97,9

... no data - no occurence of event z confidential

1) Prices are expressed in EUR per unit (wine, olive oil and milk in litre, eggs in piece and all other products in kilogram). 2) Published prices of agricultural products are calculated on the basis of the monthly statistical survey on the purchase of agricultural products and wood and sale of agricultural products from own production (quantities and values of purchased and sold agricultural products). Annual producer price indices of agricultural products are calculated on the basis of monthly producer price indices of agricultural products and thus may annual prices of agricultural products, calculated on the basis of the annual producer price indices of agricultural products, differ from published prices of agricultural products.

Source: SURS

SK

National support was used only for animal production in the form of LSU. In 2014 were supported also pigs and poultry,dairy cows, suckler cows, sheep and goats.

1. CATTLE

Survey from the end of the year 2014 showed folloving numbers of bovine animals in 1000 heads:

Total cattle 465,5 ; cows 201,8 dairy cows 143,1; other cows 58,7.

Comparing data to 2013 near the same number of total cattle, decrease of dairy cows by 1,2%, increase of cows 1,4% and other cows 8,5 %.

2014 year-significantly decreased rates of compound feed for bovin on average by 11.5%, but as the long reproductive cycle translated into positive development of number of bovine was not seen.Reproductive and performance parameters remain at unsatisfactory level.

Reproductive characteristics are improved compared to 2013. Showed a slight deterioration as a percentage of mating heifers. Reared calves per 100 cows grew by 2.1 units. The average increment in the weight of fattening cattle was 0.755 kg per head per day, which is about 0.003 kg (0.4%) less than in 2013. The average weight of slaughtered bulls was 543.9 kg in live weight (compared to 2013 decreased by 4.0 kg), cow 496.4 kg (below 0.3 kg), heifers 362.1 kg (increased to 19.8 kg) and calves 78.6 kg (higher by 5.3 kg).

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The Slovak slaughterhouses killed totaly 33.8 thousand heads of bovine at carcass weight 8.8 thousand tons, compared with 2013, a decrease of 2.0 thousand heads and 0.7 thousand ton in carcass weight.

Slaughters at slaughterhouses in Slovakia in carcass weight (1000 units)2014 2014/2013

heads tons% in

heads

% in c.w.

Bulls+ Bullock 12. 799 4.0 102,3 100,9

Heifers 2.192 0.5 80,5 76,8

Cows 17.093 4.2 90,0 88,2

Calves +Young cattle 1.684 0.1 105,3 91,4

Total 33. 768 8.8 94,4 92,8

In 2014 import of live bovine animals was at 671 ton (mostly from Hungyry and Czech Republic), export 22 117 ton incluging cattle for breeding from Austria, Poland, Hungary and Croatia .

Consumption of beef and veal together was 4,4 kg/habitant in 2013.

Annual milk yield was 6 504,7kg/cow, increase by 170,5 kg/cow, total production of cow milk was 948,711million kg, that more about 1,6% comparing to 2013.

Average consumption of selected dairy products per 1 inhabitant (2013) Milk consumption in kg: 47,9 cheeses and curds in total in kg: 11,4 acid-milk products in kg :14,7

The average carcass price paid to producers for each class were in 2014 at the level of 2013, except for slaughter cows, whose price has increased year on year in all classes.

GIP for cattle ( in 1000 heads)

1-th sem.2015

2-nd sem.2015

1-st sem.2016

2-nd sem2016

bulls 14 14.5 14.3 14.5

cows 18.5 24.5 19.5 25

heifers 4 5 4 5

calves 19 25.4 19 25.5

Total 55.5 69.4 56.8 70

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In the GIP cattle forecast we expect increase for calves, young cattle, cows and bulls.

2. PIGS

Despite the unfavorable development of sales prices in 2014 we have recorded stabilization in pig sector, also because of the favorable development of prices of compound feed.

Numbers of pigs 641 827 and sows 40 117 were comparable with previous year.

Slaughterings at slaughterhouses in Slovakia 2014Slovak slaughterhouses killed only 369 334 heads of pigs for slaughter that was 33 774 tonnes of carcass weight. Of that was 360 339 heads of fattening pigs, representing 97.6% of all slaughtered pigs.

Compared to 2013, killed up to 204.6 thousand heads (35.6% less ), in carcass weight decrease of up to 18 624 tonnes (35.5% less).

According to MPRV Slovakia by data processors Radela Ltd. Slovakia calculation of imported live pigs was 28 093 tonnes (less than 54 % to previous year) from Czech republic, Germany, Hungary, Poland. Eexported live pigs in live weight represented 73 742 ton (less than 4,7 % to previous year) mostly from Hungary.

GIP for pigs (in 1000 heads)

1 q/2015 2q/2015 3q/2015 4q/2015 1q/2016 2q/2016

pigs 271.950 284.550 265.650 227.850 283.000 285.000

Gip forecast for pigs we increased for the next period regarding actual situation in the pig sector. We expect that state support of pig sector slightly impruves actual situation.

Consumption of pig meat per inhabitant was 30,9 kg in 2013.

Average daily increment in fattening of pigs was 0.598 kg/NR increase by 0.004 kg, comparing to the previous year.

The average weight of slaughter pigs increased by 0.2 kg.

The average weight of pigs for fattening was 111.5 kg, compared to 2013 increased by 0.3 kg.

Prices of slaughter pigs were for all classes on lower level comparing to previous year.

Annual average price for slaghter pigs was 1,22 EUR/kg, sows 0,93 EUR/kg, piglets from 1,92 to 2,80 EUR/kg .

The results of the performance for the year 2014 was recorded significant improvement in development. It increased significantly mating sows and gilts, but decreased transfer gilts to sows. Death of sows decreased year on year from 9.7% in 2013 to 7.8% 2014. culling sows saw a slight decrease. A positive development was recorded in the birth rate. Also, thanks to an increase in the number of litters per sow increased number of births pigs per 1 sow and increased the number of pigs born per litter. Despite increased mortality of piglets ultimately increased reared pigs per sow, compared to the year 2013 1.62 heads.

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3. SHEEP

In the sheep sector in 2014, we again recorded a negative annual rate of development. Number of heads have reduced year on year, which corresponds well with the worsening indicators of reproduction. By contrast, in milk production, we recorded a significant improvement year on year. To annual reduction of number of sheep in 2014 it occurred despite the drop in compound feed for ewes and rams by 3.2% for lambs and even by 11.5%.

Compared to 2013, we achieved the following results: To 30/11/2014 was 391.2 thousand sheep (year on year by 2.2% less) and out of which

265.4 thousand ewes (by 1.6% less). Annual change worsened most reproductive indicators. It sank transfer ewe lambs to

ewe, while ewes increased cull ewes. On the other hand, decreased mortality of ewes. With a moderate increase mortality of lambs born and the number of weaned lambs per 100 ewes was lower than in 2013. Significantly increased production of sheep's milk (12.0%), while wool production only increased slightly year on year (by 1.7%).

Sales of sheep amounted to 2.752 tonnes in live weight (-0.7%), of which 1.672 tonnes in live weight (down 7.0%) slaughter lambs. Seles of sheep's milk to the approved purchasers reached 7.059 thousand kg and milk processing in their own holding 3.539 thousand kg.

Slaughters realized in slaughterhouses in thousand units:

Sheep total 77.717heads, 0.599 t; lambs 69.459 heads, 0442 t

Other slauhgterings:

Sheep total: 35.185 heads, 0.379 t; lambs 14.022 heads, 0.083 t.

Comparing slaughters 2014/2013 realized in slaughetrhouses for sheep total in heads more by 9,5 % and in carcass weight more by 20%; for lambs more by 8.3 % in heads, 10.9 % in carcass weight.

Other slaughters achieved significant shift to official slaughterhouses: for sheep 7.8% in heads, 11.5 % in t; for lambs 0.3% in heads, 6% in t.

2013 sheep milk consumption per inhabitant was 1,8 lt (more about 5,9%), sheep, goat and horse meat was unchanged from previous year 2013 ( 0,2 kg/inhabitant).

Annual average purchase price for slaughter sheep without lamb was 0,65 EUR/kg, lambs 2,43 Eur/kg.

4. GOATS

Number of goats was 35 178 (-0,8%), she-goats 25 811 (-1,3%) at 31.11.2014

Whole part of the slaughtered goats was realized in households. Estimation of selfsupply was 261 t in carcass weight, 30 325 heads.

Annual average purchase price for slaughter goats was 1,36 EUR/kg.

Consumption of goat milk rest the same as 2013 0,6 lt/inhabitant.

Sources: Situačná a výhľadová správa k 31.12.2014 hovädzí dobytok, ošípané, ovce, kozySúpis hospodárskych zvierat k 31.11.2014Živočíšna výroba, predaj výrobkov z prvovýroby 4/2014

44

FI

1. CATTLE

1. Results of surveyThe total number of bovine animals was 907 400 heads at first of December 2014. This is slightly more than in December 2013.

The number of dairy cows rose slightly (0.3%) and number of suckle cows rose by 2%. The number of bulls rose 1% and number of heifers fell by 2%. The number of calves aged less than 1 year rose by 1%.

2. ProductionYear 2014 beef production increased 2% up to 83 million kg (including slaughterings on farms). The production will continue increasing this year to 85 million kg and next year to 86 million kg.

Number of slaughtered young bulls increased by 1% and number of slaughtered heifers almost 6%. Slaughterings of cows decreased a little. Carcase weights increased and the same development will continue. Medium carcase weight of young bull was 341 kilos (+ 5 kilos) and heifer 243 kilos (+ 3 kilos). The quality of feed was good and feed prices were cheaper than last year.

GIP-figuresAfter the GIP-forecast there are only small changes coming between year 2015 and 2016. The number of calves born last year was almost the same as previous year. Carcase weights may rise a few kilos because of good crop and cheaper price of feed. Further the profitability of production is still weak, because producer prices decreased.

The change of slaughterings for year 2015: total +1.1%, bulls + 0.9%, cows + 0.6%, heifers + 2.3% and calves + 4%.

The change of slaughterings for year 2016: total +0.9%, bulls +0.4%, cows +0.5%, heifers +2.9% and calves + 3%.

3. PricesIn year 2014 producer prices decreased by 3% (+0.1€) and consumer prices by 2% from previous year. Producer prices of young bulls were 3% higher than EU average. The prices of other cattle were under EU-average (cow P2 -1% and heifer O3 -12%). 4. ConsumptionBeef consumption increased 2%. The consumption was 102 million kg as carcase weight (18.7 kg per capita, without bones 13.6 kg). The demand for more valuable beef (for example steak, fillet) decreased because of weaker financial situation. This year consumption will increase slightly too (+1%) because there are more campaigns: consumer prices get lower and price-elasticity works.

5. Foreign trade Imports decreased by 10% and represented 21% of consumption (as carcase weight). Exports increased by 28%, but it represented only 2.6% of production. The share of intra-EU import (carcases and parts) was 90%, previous year (88%). The share of intra-EU-export (carcases and boneless meat as carcase weight) was 96%, same as previous year.

45

2. PIG

1. Results of the surveyThe total number of pigs was 1 222 600 heads at the first of December 2014. The number is 3% lower than previous year. The number of sows fell by 3% to 117 800 heads from previous year.

2. ProductionIn year 2014 pig production decreased by 4% to 186 million kg. Slaughterings of fattening pigs decreased by 4%, too as carcase weights was same as last year (89 kilos). Slaughterings of sows decreased by 8%. Profitability was still weak because of risen costs.

Year 2015 production will decrease by 2% to 182 million kg. The amount of sows has decreased by about 3 % but the increase in productivity will compensate the cut (more piglets per sow per year). Carcase weights are expected to be about 89 kilos.

Forecast for year 2016 is about 182 million kg, too. The GIP-forecast as heads for the year 2015 is -2% and next year -1%.

3. PricesYear 2014 prices decreased from previous year: producer price - 9% and consumer price - 3%. The average producer price for the whole year was 4% higher than EU-average (E class). Prospects for this year were worse because of problems in EU-exports to Russia. On the other hand prices seem to strengthen before summer.

4. ConsumptionThe consumption decreased from previous year by 2.5%. The amount was 189 million kg as carcase weight (34.6 kg per capita, without bones 29 kg). The forecast of pork consumption is quite stable, - 1%.

5. Foreign tradeThe import of pork increased by 4% and represented 18% of consumption (as carcase weight). All import came from EU-countries as previous year. Exports decreased 14% and represented 16% of production (as carcase weight). Exports to intra-EU decreased by 34%. The share of intra-EU exports was 36%, (42% year 2013) of the total exports (carcass and boneless meat as carcase weight). The share of exports to Russia was 4% (16% year 2013).

SE

General description of trendsFour factors that control the consumption of meat are prize, the consumer preferences, health, and supply.

46

The price factor also includes finances and income. Consumer preferences also houses trends, such as LCHF and influences from other cultures. Within the health accommodated for example, dietary advice and meat alarm. Selection factor includes exposure in trading, marketing and information. It is not easy to grade what is most important and certain factors go into one another (eg, health and trends). Traditionally, the price has been very important and we see by linking price trends for demand trends and developments for different kinds of meat, and that the Swedish meat has lost market for imported cheaper meat. That health plays a role we see for example when there is meat alarm - the BSE crisis left a deep and lasting traces on consumption, while other crisis affected the smaller and shorter. Now we believe there are signs that the price will focus increasingly intermingled with other focus, especially linked to health and sustainability. Antibiotics debate and MRSA alarm has affected both food retail end consumers, and in connection with this health and disease prevention focus it seems even that the Swedish animal protection have gained importance. The large increase for poultry depends on a combination of all factors!

Data review of animal statistics

1. CATTLE:

The number of bovine animals has been quite stable between December 2013 and December 2014. A small increase in the number of calves and a decrease of the number of heifers and bulls between 1 and 2 year of age.

The production forecast for cattle shows a stable situation for 2015 followed by a small increase in 2016.

The slaughtering of cattle in has since many years slowly decreased. In a shorter term (last three years) the decrease is not that obvious.

The import of beef has since many years increased. However in 2014 there was a small decrease. The export which is about 10 % of the import has increased the last year.

The prices for cattle in the production level have decreased in the last year after some years of increasing prices. At the same time there was a small increase in the prices on milk. Also in the consumer level there was a small decrease in 2014 for beef and an increase in the prices for milk.

The consumption of beef in Sweden has been quite stable the last decade around 25 kg per capita. In 2014 the total consumption expressed in cwe (carcass weight equivalent) was 25,8 kg per capita according to preliminary calculations, which is exactly the same figure as in 2013.

2. PIGS:

Sweden has not conducted any pig survey in November/December. The figures for December 2014 are estimated. We estimate a very small decrease in total number of pigs for December 2014 of 0.8 % compared with December 2013.

The production forecast shows an increase for 2015 compared with the previous years.

47

The slaughtering in the last year has been quite stable but with a very small decrease.

The import of pig meat has increased significantly up until 2013. In 2014 however there has been a shift and the import has decreased. For export there is no obvious trend. A small increase in 2014 compared to 2013.

The output prices for pigs have increased in 2014 and were 6 % higher on an annual base compared to 2013. On the consumer level the prices however has decreased slightly since 2013.

The consumption of pork has not shown the same increase in Sweden as beef and poultry the last couple of decades. However, pork still has the largest share of meat consumption in Sweden with 35 kg per capita out of a total of 87,1 kg per capita in 2014. This is a decrease with 1,6 kg compared to 2013, while the consumption of poultry increased by almost 1 kg per capita.

3. SHEEP AND LAMB:

The figures for the number of animals concerning Sweden are from June 2014. The number of sheep and lambs in June 2014 was a little bit higher than in June 2013.

The forecast for 2014 is unchanged compared with 2013.

There has been a slight increase in slaughtering of sheep with around 2 % between 2013 and 2014.

The Swedish self-sufficiency degree for sheep and lamb is around 31 %, imports mainly come from New Zealand and Ireland. Exports are very low but increased by more than 80 % in 2014. However, exports were only about 3 % of imports expressed in kg in 2014.

The consumption of sheep meat has increased from below 1 kg per capita in 1994 to 1,7 kg per capita in 2014. Even though the increase is big expressed in per cent, it remains a marginal animal product in the Swedish diet.

UK

1. CATTLE

We have seen good levels of production throughout 2014, as predicted using RPA data on the number of cattle on the ground. Prices fell during the first half of the year, and then recovered during the second half.

2014 Good forage and weather conditions over the year resulted in higher carcase weights,

boosting the levels of production. However the supply situation was still tighter compared with a few years ago.

The same conditions were evident in Ireland, and their increased supplies inevitably made it into the UK supply chain. The Irish export 90% of their beef & veal, and 50% of this is to the UK. By summer these high levels of comparatively cheaper product were adding a great deal of pressure to UK prices.

48

The price difference between UK and EU/Irish product reached 55-80p/kg during 2014. This was difficult for retailers not to find attractive and imported product featured heavily on the market during the summer months. Irish prices are expected to rise more quickly than in the UK, which should narrow the gap during 2015.

Good demand started the slow, steady recovery of prices during the later part of the year, despite the high throughputs. Retailers were seen to switch their buying from Irish to British beef. Aldi stocks 100% British beef, Lidl is also a high percentage.

There have been some advantages from the better feed prices, but less so than with other meat producers, as feed is less intensively used compared with other sectors.

There has been a substantive move from bull meat to steer meat. This has evolved due to there being limited outlets for bulls over 16 months and 400Kg, and the penalties attracted by animals that are out of specification. Steers reached 50% of production for the first time, but the longer finishing time for this type of animal has meant a shift in the production peak.

2015 AHDB expect UK production to fall by 2% in 2015, with fewer cattle in the imminent

slaughter category. Carcase weights will remain ahead of the 5 year average, but not as high as the 2013/14 year.

Cull cows not expected to fall Irish production and exports to the UK could be down 10% for 2015 Exports target is 20%, currently at 15.5-17.5%. There are some good opportunities, but

volumes expected to stay the same. The UK only exports 15-20% of beef production (mostly manufacturing beef), therefore

less vulnerable to changes in exchange rates. Most impact will be on value rather than volume, and the weaker Euro is dampening price recovery for UK producers

The US is opening up to Irish exports from May. Overall, a tighter market is expected in terms of supply.

Farmer Confidence Producers are broadly happy with the prices at the moment, especially compared with 9

months ago. The long term prospects for red meat are positive. TB restriction impacting on ability of farmers to sell and rear male dairy calves, with 80-

100,000 still being disposed each year (unrecorded). There is no outlet for bull calves when under TB restrictions, as they can’t get to graze outdoors for a season, which is needed to finish properly before housing. But better beef prices might see more reared for production.

The NFU Confidence Survey shows that the short and medium term intentions are negative, due to the impact of output prices. However these results are beef and sheep sectors combined

The dairy herd is ramping up, and the suckler herd is dropping. With the increase in beef coming from the dairy herd, there is some need for genetics work to be carried out to improve the quality of meat produced.

Some policies such as those relating to TB and zoning are making cattle movements more restricted. This in turn is having some influence on confidence. For example, suckler producers are hesitant to join Lifetime Assurance schemes.

There is a need for better information exchange between all stages of the red meat supply chain, to take things forward. There is a vision that agri-economics will enable this with a flow of big data.

2. PIGS

Increased number of slaughterings + heavier carcase weights + improved breeding herd productivity has led to a significant drop in prices during the 2nd half of 2014

49

2014 Production has increased significantly during quarter 4 2014. UK carcase weights have

been increasing as low feed costs have seen producers chasing more value. Producers do need to take care, as there is an upper limit for weight on some contracts to prevent increased backfat.

Prices have been falling steadily over the last 6 months, but there has been no major reaction from the UK producers. Profitability remaining OK as falls in feed prices have offset falls in pig price. The breeding herd is stable.

In Europe prices are thought to be close to the bottom. They have seen prices drop more quickly during 2014 - in the past such experience has been short term, but this trend has now lasted more than 12 months. However UK supermarkets are committed to buying British, so are not switching to cheaper supplies on the Continent, which has supported prices somewhat. EU production was up a little in the 2nd half of 2014, but the weak € has been helping the wider EU market. Any further downward pressure going forward could be from export markets, as the US is making a return as it recovers from recent disease outbreaks.

Pig meat imports have increased by 2% during 2014, representing only a small movement.

2015 Any price increases in quarter 1 will be due to the seasonally expected element. UK-EU price differential now at record level (20-30 p/kg), but might be narrowing as EU

prices have started to pick up in recent weeks. NI does not see this wider UK price differential, and so producers are currently losing

money. However production is still good and producers are hanging on, trying to increase value per animal by increasing carcase weights and buying weaners in bulk to finish.

Stable production is expected during the year. But there are some increases in sow slaughtering coming through, possibly as the price falls start to bite profitability.

Further consolidation of the industry is expected, with more producer ownership – pigs are kept on a “bed & breakfast” basis, with farmers receiving a set, guaranteed price in return for finishing animals ready for slaughter. However this consolidation will never reach the levels seen in the poultry industry, as it takes much longer to rear the animals, during which market conditions can change dramatically.

In Russia, imports are still down, despite getting some meat from Brazil. They have been talking to China, but their own production is down. Russian domestic production has been ramping up, but investment has now slowed down following problems with the Ruble. Russia was a dominant buyer of fat, and this lost market has affected carcase values as alternative markets have not been found.

Farmer Confidence When considered on a “full cost” basis, UK producers are just slipping into the red.

140p/kg is considered the threshold to preserve operating profit. Current prices are eroding profit set aside for investment by many farmers. Some are buying feed in from month to month on a spot basis, whilst larger producers can enjoy more economies of scale with their purchasing. The UK has probably still got some way to go before the price bottoms out.

Many EU farmers have been in the red since summer, receiving 130-135p/kg for their pig meat. Falling feed prices could change this dynamic, as they haven’t fallen in EU to same extent as UK. The picture evolving is mixed, with some countries scaling back their breeding herds, whilst others remain stable. More statistics are due out in the next few weeks.

Producers seem to have long-term commitment. 50% of the UK pig herd is now with only 35 companies, and as a result there is less fluctuation in the overall trend of production.

50

Good investment, reorganisation of production and genetics from overseas has led to much improved productivity, and the gains are continuing. We are still behind the Danes and the Dutch, but this is due to differences in animal welfare practices that the industry has no control over.

UK needs options to develop markets for “5th quarter” cuts ASF & PEDV have been prevalent during 2014 in the rest of the globe. There would be

a significant risk to the market if these diseases reached the UK/EU. Therefore the industry remains on high alert.

3. SHEEP

The year has seen a bumper lamb crop and healthy carcase weights, both encouraged by the good weather. Prices dropped mid-year, as expected given the increased throughputs, but then turned and picked up for the remainder of the year. Although the normal seasonal and cyclical pattern has been evident, the market has been robust in the run up to Christmas, for the first time in a couple of years.

2014 Summer saw significant throughputs of lamb, due to the good seasonal conditions of

2013/14. This slowed down towards Autumn, as animals were slower to gain weight due to the quality of forage.

The wool trade has been steady since July 2014, 5% up on 2013. There are 2 sales each month, at which 90-95% of wool available is sold. There is expected to be very little carryover in April, and there is hope that demand will be renewed as a result of the upturn in the building trade. Globally supplies are tight, and with many buyers purchasing 9 months in advance volatile exchange rates can prove to be a problem.

2015 It is not yet know what the size of the carryover will be, but the consensus is that it will

be larger than last year. Easter will fall in Quarter 1 this year, which will go some way to support prices when the extra animals come to market. Consumer demand will need to hold up to alleviate the potential supplies coming through.

Production is expected to shift up again this year, given the good conditions and health of ewes going into the tupping season. Scanning results have been lower than usual, but on the back of the larger ewe flock this should not be a problem.

It is predicted that it will be an “OK” year for prices, with falling costs helping to some extent.

In Scotland there has been a decline in the sheep herd, but this could start to slow down with help from the CAP support being introduced. This will see one off payments of 100€ per ewe hog being paid to upland farmers that meet certain criteria.

The New Zealand season started slowly, and they were not ready to start their shipments in time for the UK Christmas season. This left retail buyers turning to domestic supplies to meet Christmas demand. New Zealand supplies will start to come through again in quarter 1 2015, but surprisingly this is not yet affecting prices.

Farmer Confidence There has been some concern amongst hill farmers over their eligibility for Stewardship

money. However, some producers of suckler cows are looking to reduce their herds and increase their sheep numbers.

NFU are working on projects involving sheep splitting, dressed carcase weight rounding and standard dressing specifications. These are looking to add value to the product, and add transparency to the supply chain.

NFU are also doing a great deal of work to help set up contracts with retailers along the lines of “producer clubs”, which will look to set minimum prices, and could help level out some price fluctuations.

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4. POULTRY

This has been a stable year, in terms of both productivity and profitability, as changing feed costs have been reflected in prices.

2014 Feed accounts for 70% of poultry costs, which has meant that the 55% drop in feed

prices compared to previous years has had an immediate and profound effect. This has had a big impact during 2014, much better for producers.

Only around 20% of production is now through wholesale market (largely Halal, around 18 million birds per week), which is subject to global markets and more fragile. For this sector 2014 was a difficult trading period, reflected in the fall in price from an average 85p/kg to 75p/kg. The remaining 80% of producers are in the highly consolidated and integrated market with farmers paid a margin and insulated from wider market volatility.

Distance of farm from processing unit a key factor that determines type of operation, as birds lose weight in transit and costs of transport impact on tight margins. This can make some poultry units less attractive to integrated companies. As a result, the industry can’t foresee any changes in the 80/20 sector split in the near future.

It was a good Christmas for turkey producers – helped by the weather and lack of disease.

2015 Placing figures reflect the steady increase in poultrymeat consumption, and this looks set

to continue in 2015. EU has forecast similar trends in production going forward. 14 countries have banned

UK poultrymeat following the November 2014 AI outbreak – this has affected the price of end-of-lay hens, which had large demand from African markets.

Farmer Confidence One main retailer has recently switched supplier, with previous supplier left with excess

capacity. Some concerns that that this could lead to over-supply. Integration works well for the industry, offering certainty for farmers but it does take

away their control of the business therefore it is not suited to everyone. Possibility of a move away from Halal production is an unknown factor for 2015  AI outbreaks have not impacted on consumer demand.  But some concern that this might

not hold up so well if there is an H5N1 outbreak (whilst recognising that this would still only be a risk for poultry workers rather than consumers).

Campylobacter has short term impact on consumption when it hits the ‘Daily Mail’ headlines – usually results in 5% drop in demand but this only lasts for 4-5 days.

The NFU Broiler Shed Age survey, conducted in 2009 showed that the average age of sheds was 24 years, and that 60% of sheds were more than 20 years old. The next survey results are due in April 2015.

There is some concern in industry at the rate of expansion and move towards mega-sheds that hold much larger capacity (mostly funded by wholesale farmers rather than integrated producers). There is worry for bird welfare and possible over-supply of the market. However the sector has always been sensitive to the issue of expansion and this has not changed over time. Planning is holding back expansion at the moment.

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