“measuring the performance of gateways: how are ireland’s primary urban centres developing?”...

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Measuring the Performance of Gateways: How are Ireland’s Primary Urban Centres Developing?Adrian O’Donoghue - Policy & Research Officer BMW Regional Assembly ESPON, Brussels, 27.11.13

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“Measuring the Performance of Gateways: How are Ireland’s Primary

Urban Centres Developing?”

Adrian O’Donoghue - Policy & Research Officer BMW Regional Assembly

ESPON, Brussels, 27.11.13

Border, Midland andWestern (BMW) Regional Assembly

Established: 1999

Designated of

Ireland into 2

Regions for EU

Structural Funds

Purposes

3 Areas

1-ERDF Programmes

(€452m)

2-Policy&Research

3-Interreg Role

1.Ireland’s Gateways (PUCs)

2.Measuring the Performance of Gateways

3.What Does the Final Index Tell Us?

4.Application of the Index

Presentation Overview

1. Ireland’s Gateways

National Spatial Strategy

2002-20209 Gateways + 9 Hubs-----------------------------‘Draw development away from the Greater Dublin Area’

GROW ECONOMIC REACH of Regional Growth Centres

v

2- Set About Measuring

Performance

Socio-Economic Index Has been Developed to: 1)To Measure How Ireland’s Gateway (Cities & Towns) and Hub (Towns) are Driving Economic Development and Improving Quality of Life in their Areas – as Set out in the NSS 2002-2020 2)TO-DATE No Composite Measure of Performance

3)Reflection of a Growing Need to Move Beyond Traditional Macroeconomic Indicators to Include Quality of Life/Soft Data

4)Index builds upon the concept of UN’s Human Development Index (Ireland 7th 2012)

WHEN?• (x3) 2009 – 2012 – 2015/6• Longitude Approach

Logic for the Development of an Index

1. A Distinct Core Necessary for Dynamic Urban Centres;

2. Attractive Physical Settings and Desirable Social Surroundings;

3. Attractive Place to Live and Work (High Quality of Life);

4. Knowledge-Led Economy with a Diversity of Employment Opportunities (Mixed Sectoral Economy);

5. Environmental Excellence;

What Makes a Successful Gateway/PUC?

Step 1-

A FUNCTIONAL AREA APPROACH

TO ANALYSIS

Zone 1

Urban Core City/Town and Environs (as defined by

Ireland’s Central Statists Office)

Zone 2Gateway/Hub Catchment or

Functional Area*

District Electoral Divisions (DEDs) Where in Excess of

20% of the Resident Population in Employment Commutes

to Zone 1 for Work

*CSO: Place of Work Census of Anonymised Records (POWCAR)

WHERE do Gateways/Hubs Stop? Defining Gateway/Hubs Functional Areas

(Economic Reach)

Economic ReachGateways

2011(PUCs)

Step 2- Capture

Key Socio-Economic Factors

(by Zones)

Growth Centre: Population Growth Prerequisite

Vibrancy: Low Dependency Ratios = Attracting Working Age Cohort

New Firms/Sectoral Mix-Higher Services Desirable/

Lower Unemployment Rate

3rd Level Education % of WorkforceLocally Created Knowledge - R&D

Spill-over Impacts Tend to be Local

Water Quality Reflects Physical Environment - Waste Recovery, Measure of the Level of Recycling

Connectivity Level – Transport, Broadband and Level of Retail Activity (Attracts people-measure of overall Economic Vitality)

Mortality Rates – Birth Weight (Health Measure) – No. of GPs per Capita

High Crimes Levels – Negative Impact on Economic and Health Systems, capacity to attraction FDI, capital flight & brain drain (*UN-Global Report on Human Settlements)

Affluence and Deprivation Index Scores (Trutz Haase) – Affluence Levels in Performing Gateways

Step 3

PERCEPTION STUDY to COMPLEMENT

HARD DATA

+ Stakeholder Engagement

The survey questionnaire asked 250 Gateway residents to comment on each of the following subjects (6.2 error rate =/-):

• Awareness of the Gateway idea• Business and Employment in the Gateway• Education, Skills, and Training Provision in the Gateway• Services in the Gateway• Health and Well-being in the Gateway • Social Facilities/Supports in the Gateway • Physical Environment in the Area in the Gateway• Institutional Environment in the Gateway • Overall assessment of the Gateway as a place to live

Perception Study Design

Stakeholder Consultations• County and City Managers Association (CCMA) and

Regional Planning Guideline Officers (Dublin Workshop)

• BMW Region

• Ballaghaderreen Workshop (Ballina/Castlebar,Galway,

Midland, Sligo and Tuam)

• Monaghan Workshop (Cavan, Dundalk, Letterkenny

and Monaghan)

• S&E Region

• Waterford

3. What Does the Final Index Tell Us?

• 9 Individual Gateway Reports• 1 Composite Hubs report• 1 Summary Report

4.8

4.6

4.6

4.7

5.95.4

5.3

4.8

5.0

Economic Reach Growth %(2002-2011)

Dublin 17.2%All Other Gateways 17.9%

(Galway 24.8%)

LetterkennyFunctional

Area2011

(more than 20%in DEDs Commute to Z1 for Work)

Total NumberCommutingfrom CountyDonegal toDerry City 2011

(NI Census 2011)

(+)

- Higher Population Growth

- Increase 3rd Level in Labour Force

- 3rd Level R&D/Student (increase)

- Strong Retail Activity Levels

- IT Connectivity Gains

- Lower Mortality Rates

- Higher Birth Weights

- Lower and Decreasing Crime

- Zone 1, Gateway Avg. (4.9)

- Z1+Z2 Letterkenny (4.6)

Brief Overview GHDI 2012 Letterkenny(-)

- Higher Dependency Ratios

- Lower Levels of New Firm

Formation

- Low Actual 3rd Level R&D/Stud.

- High Unemployment Rates

- Lower Recycling Levels

- Low Sustainable Transport

- Lower GPs per Capita

- High Levels of Deprivation

- Zone 2 (4.3)

4. Working with

the Index

1.Measure of Socio-Economic Performance of the

FUNCTIONAL AREA + ECONOMIC REACH OF

Primary Urban Centres

2. Quantitative Index Both Economic & Social

(Quality of Life Factors) Included

3.Longitudinal Study: 2009, 2012 and 2015/2016

4.Repeatable at All Geographic Levels

Utilisation of the Index

5. Analysis Tool: to Support Evidence Based Policy Making

by Local, Regional and National Authorities in Policy

Making/Programme Evaluation/Future Planning

e.g., NSS Review 2014/2015, New Regional Spatial

Economic Strategies (2014)

6. Further Analysis

a) On-going Briefings with Local & Regional Authorities

b) Publications

c) Feed into Preparation of Regional Operational

Programmes 2014-2020 by both Regional Assemblies

Application of the Index

7. Online Tools:

www.airo.ie/spatialindicators

(All-Island Research

Observatory- National

University of Ireland

Maynooth)

www.MyPlan.ie

(Dept of ECLG)

8. Next Index 2015/16

Application of the Index

www.bmwassembly.ie

[email protected]

Thank You

www.seregassembly.ie

[email protected]