measurement of the neutrino mass hierarchy in the deep sea j. brunner

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MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

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Page 1: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY

IN THE DEEP SEA

J. Brunner

Page 2: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Matter effects & Mass Hierarchy• Solar Neutrinos : Matter effects inside sun

• m2 > m1

• Matter effects in Earth (not yet measured !)• m3 >< m1,m2

• Normal Hierarchy Inverted Hierarchy

Page 3: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Matter effects & Mass Hierarchy

• e see additional potential due to W-exchange in +e +e scattering

• Illustration for constant electron density ne

• At resonant energy 13 maximal

• A changes sign with ne via / • A changes sign with m2 mass hierarchy !

Page 4: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Example Earth Matter Effect : P(µe)

cos = 0.6Baseline = 7645 kmInclination = 36.9˚

Resonance energy Earth mantle : 6-7 GeV

NH IH

GLOBES

Page 5: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Example Earth Matter Effect : P(µµ)

cos = 0.6Baseline = 7645 kmInclination = 36.9˚

Resonance energy Earth mantle : 6-7 GeV

NH IH

GLOBES

Page 6: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Sensitivity Calculation• Fit of event count in Energy-Zenith space• Color code : bin-by-bin significance of hierarchy difference

W. Winter : arXiv:1305.5539

Oscillation parameter fixed Oscillation parameter fitted

Page 7: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

ORCA Dense Mton detector with KM3Net design

Oscillation Research with Cosmics in the Abyss

Less than 20 MEuro with current KM3Net technology

Page 8: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

PINGU : Sensitivity combined

Page 9: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

ORCA Sensitivity Comparable or Better !

Muons only

6 yearsCascadesMuonsNo particle ID

Cascades better than MuonsCombination improves sensitivity by about a factor 2

Page 10: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Huber : Sensitivity over time

• ArXiv:1311.1822

Page 11: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

A NEUTRINO BEAM TOWARDS ORCA

Page 12: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Why consider Beams ?• PINGU / ORCA Motivations

• Fast : Construction within few years• Significant measurement after few years• Stay within low budget

• Neutrino Beams• Expensive & long(er) Timescale• counter intuitive

• Matter effects with Atmospheric Nu’s• More challenging than originally hoped for• Beam allows for complementary measurement

• Neutrino Beams• Easier to motivate if pointing towards an existing detector• Maybe possible in “parasitic mode”

Page 13: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Why consider Beams ?

• Recently : change of paradigm for European LBL program

• Opens new, so far neglected options

Page 14: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Optimal Baseline ?• For L>2000km the oscillation probabilities are always well

separated for both MH hypotheses• To find optimal baseline calculate event rates

• N ~ 1/L2

• N ~ E (cross section)• Fixed beam profile• ORCA detector response

NH IH

Page 15: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Optimal Baseline• L=2600km maximizes the difference in event rates

between two MH hypotheses

Event rate differenceNH - IH

Page 16: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Proton Accelerator Complex Protvino

Presentation S. Ivanov (IHEP) on 22/11/2012 @ CERN Talk Wednesday

Page 17: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Proton Accelerator Complex Protvino

Presentation S. Ivanov (IHEP) on 22/11/2012 @ CERN

Page 18: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner
Page 19: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Protvino – ORCA• Baseline 2588km ; beam inclination : 11.7˚ (cos = 0.2)• Deepest point 134km : 3.3 g/cm3

Page 20: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

SKAT bubble chamber

Courtesy: R. Nahnhauer

p target

focus

Decay pipe55m

Shielding SKAT

140m270m

245m

Page 21: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Beam parametrisation (1988)• Neutrino Focus • Anti-Neutrino Focus

Scaling to ANTARES site(0.245/2600)2

Z. Phys. C 40 (1988) 487

Page 22: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Off-Axis Beam : suppress HE tail• Beam optimisation still to be done• Off-axis or combination on-axis/off-axis might be favorable

Page 23: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Event rates - Signal

• Event numbers for 1.5 1021 p.o.t.s (3 years NOVA beam) • 20 statistical separation of both Mass Hierarchy

hypotheses from signal• 10000 muon events for beam normalisation

• 3.5% separation between MH hypotheses

• Other contributions: : 1316 +/- 13 ; 1416 +/- 8 ; NC : 4732

µ CCe CC

NH 1621 +/- 255

IH 497 +/- 100

NH 10927 +/- 24 IH 10548 +/- 43

Page 24: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Event rates – All Flavours & Mis-ID

• Event numbers for 1.5 1021 pots • 9-18% difference for NH/IH• 7 statistical separation of MH hypotheses• Can allow for 3-4 % syst. uncertainty• No requirement of energy reconstruction

tracks cascadesNH 7300 +/- 200 IH 6420 +/- 80

NH 10690 +/- 45 IH 10244 +/- 15

Page 25: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Flavour identification & Neutrino Energy

• Need to separate “tracks” from “cascades”• 2004 @ Villars : C2GT project (F. Dydak)

• CERN to Gulf of Taranto

Page 26: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Flavour identification• 2004 @ Villars : C2GT project (F. Dydak)• Clean separation of µ CC and e CC at 0.8 GeV

• OM spacing 3m

Page 27: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner
Page 28: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Dense detector 3x3 with cone display• Electron-Neutrino Event, C-Cone clearly visible• E = 5 GeV ; Ee= 4 GeV

50nsec100 nsec

Page 29: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Synergies between potential Sites

Modane2393km

Antares2588km

Gran Sasso2189km

Nemo2574km

Protvino

4.1˚ 11.0˚

13.6˚

Page 30: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Conclusion• Preliminary Performance Figures of ORCA encouraging• Mass hierarchy measurement in the deep sea possible• Upgraded proton accelerator at Protvino well suited for LBL

towards Mediterranean Sea• Needed : 1021 p.o.t. within few years• Perfect subject for Russian Mega-Science program• Synergy with Underground Labs in the same beam• Complementary to measurement with atmospheric • Complementary between ORCA / PINGU

• High Significance determination of Mass Hierarchy

Page 31: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Possible Timescale

• 2014-2015 : Finalize optimization work for both options• Currently active groups : CPPM, APC, ECAP (Erlangen)• Publish comprehensive document

• ~2016 : Planning “Phase II” of KM3Net• Parallel : Contact with Russian partners, LoI ?

• First encouraging contact 08/2013 (Y. Kudenko, INR)

• Start contact with Modane project(s) (ex LBNO)• First discussion 08/2013

Page 32: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Backup

Page 33: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Neutrinos from Beams• Eliminate ambiguities• Improve mass hierarchy sensitivity

arXiv:1301.4577

Narrow band beam 6-9 GeV1020 p.o.t.

Page 34: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µ µ)

cos = 0.1Baseline = 1274 kmInclination = 5.7˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Page 35: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µ µ)

cos = 0.2Baseline = 2548 kmInclination = 11.5˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Page 36: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µ µ)

cos = 0.3Baseline = 3823 kmInclination = 17.4˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Page 37: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µ µ)

cos = 0.4Baseline = 5097 kmInclination = 23.6˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Page 38: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µ µ)

cos = 0.5Baseline = 6371 kmInclination = 30.0˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Page 39: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µ µ)

cos = 0.6Baseline = 7645 kmInclination = 36.9˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Page 40: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µ µ)

cos = 0.7Baseline = 8919 kmInclination = 44.4˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Page 41: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µ µ)

cos = 0.8Baseline = 10194 kmInclination = 53.1˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Page 42: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µ µ)

cos = 0.9Baseline = 11468 kmInclination = 64.2˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Beam to IceCube

Page 43: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µ µ)

cos = 1.0Baseline = 12742 kmInclination = 90.0˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Page 44: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Counting Muons from Beam Neutrinos

• Optimal Beamline : 7000-8000 km

• Favoured Option:• FermiLab – KM3Net site in Mediterranean Sea• 1300 versus 950 events for both mass hierarchy hypotheses in

Mton underwater detector (ORCA)

• Inverse approach : Counting “Electrons”

arXiv:1301.4577

Page 45: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µe)

cos = 0.1Baseline = 1274 kmInclination = 5.7˚

GLOBES(CP-phase varied in steps of 30˚)

NH IH

Page 46: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µe)

cos = 0.2Baseline = 2548 kmInclination = 11.5˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Page 47: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µe)

cos = 0.3Baseline = 3823 kmInclination = 17.4˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Page 48: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µe)

cos = 0.4Baseline = 5097 kmInclination = 23.6˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Page 49: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µe)

cos = 0.5Baseline = 6371 kmInclination = 30.0˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Page 50: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µe)

cos = 0.6Baseline = 7645 kmInclination = 36.9˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Page 51: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µe)

cos = 0.7Baseline = 8919 kmInclination = 44.4˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Page 52: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µe)

cos = 0.8Baseline = 10194 kmInclination = 53.1˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Page 53: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µe)

cos = 0.9Baseline = 11468 kmInclination = 64.2˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Beam to IceCube

Page 54: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

P(µe)

cos = 1.0Baseline = 12742 kmInclination = 90.0˚

GLOBES

NH IH

Page 55: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Oscillation parameters

• Taken from Global Fit (Fogli et al.) for both hierarchy options

• CP phase left free

Page 56: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Neutrino Cross sectionsSimple parton scaling assumed (QE, Res. ignored)

Flavour universality

m threshold

NC approximation

Page 57: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Neutrino Cross sectionsSimple parton scaling assumed (QE, Res. ignored)

Flavour universality

m threshold

NC approximationNC, CC: e µ

Solid : neutrino , dashed : antineutrino

Page 58: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Event rates• Here : no flavour misidentification• CC Rates

• NC Rates

Page 59: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Event rates• Include Background and Flavour tagging• Total Background :

• Total Event Rate :

Page 60: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Flavour identification

• Misidentification probability : • assume same for both directions• 50% at 2 GeV random ; 20% at 5 GeV ; 10% at GeV

Page 61: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

V. Ludwig (ECAP)

Page 62: MEASUREMENT OF THE NEUTRINO MASS HIERARCHY IN THE DEEP SEA J. Brunner

Systematic Uncertainties

• Detector Response• Water parameters

–Extensively studied in ANTARES

• Neutrino flux–Can be monitored with muon events

• Neutrino Cross Section–Ongoing and planned short baseline Experiments

• Oscillation parameters–ORCA with atmospheric neutrinos