measles, mumps and rubella gone but not forgotten...z1994s dd fmmr i f 101994: second dose of mmr...

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Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten David Isaacs

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Page 1: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Measles, mumps and rubella

Gone but not forgotten

David Isaacs

Page 2: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 3: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 4: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 5: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 6: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 7: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 8: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 9: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 10: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 11: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Measles

Highly infectious human diseaseHighly infectious human disease1 in 15 cases develop complications

titi di i– otitis media, pneumonia, encephalitis, SSPE

Pre vaccine epidemiology2 5 year cycle of epidemics– 2 - 5 year cycle of epidemics

– most common in 5 - 9 year olds– world wide 7 - 8 million deaths annuallyy

Page 12: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Measles

99.9% of unimmunised children get measles1 in 5,000 to 10,000 cases dieMortality : 888,000 deaths in 1998 (more than breast cancer, violence))Morbidity : encephalitis (0.1%), convulsions (0.5%), pneumonia (1-7%), otitis media (5-9%)( %), p ( %), ( %)

Page 13: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Measles: a global perspective

Vaccine available for over 40 years

Still caused 197,000 estimated deaths in 2007– leading vaccine preventable killer of children

Highest disease incidence in Africa

Most deaths (98%) are in poorest countries – low vaccination coverage high case fatality ratio– low vaccination coverage, high case fatality ratio

Page 14: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 15: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Measles in Australia

1000

1200NotificationsHospitalisations 50

60

2001

800

1000

r

p

10

20

30

40

Num

ber 2001 – young

adults program

600

Num

ber

0Jan 2000

Jan 2001

Jan 2002

Jan 2003

Jan 2004

Jan 2005

Jan 2006

Jan 2007

Jan 2008

Month

200

400

0Jan 1993

Jan 1994

Jan 1995

Jan 1996

Jan 1997

Jan 1998

Jan 1999

Jan 2000

Jan 2001

Jan 2002

Jan 2003

Jan 2004

Jan 2005

Jan 2006

Jan 2007

Jan 20081993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

MonthNov 1993 – 2nd dose introduced for 10-16 yo

Jul 1998 – 2nd dose moved to 4-5 yoMeasles Control Campaign conducted

Page 16: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Measles elimination in Australia: 1

Th M l C t l i (MCC)The Measles Control campaign (MCC)– July-December 1998

– mass vaccination 1.7 million primary school children (96% vaccinated)

– reminder letter to overdue infants

– information pack to secondary school p ystudents

Page 17: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Measles elimination in Australia: 2

Since the MCCSince the MCC– Outbreaks in young adults

– Cohort born in 1970s + early 1980s most susceptible

$20 illi f di t– $20 million funding to vaccinate 18-30 y/o in 2001

– Lowest rates on record inLowest rates on record in 2005 (10 cases) and 2007 (11 cases)

Page 18: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Measles global control

Measles Initiative

g

– UN, Red Cross, CDC, WHO, Unicef– 74% ↓ measles deaths between 2000 & 2007– Goal: 90% ↓ measles deaths by 2010

Strategy– strong routine immunisationg– opportunity for 2nd dose to all children– effective surveillanceeffective surveillance– better treatment of measles

Page 19: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Source: WHO/IVB databaseSeptember 2008

Page 20: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Dear FriendsDear FriendsI have been thinking about organizing an approach to the Gates

Foundation about supporting the global elimination of measles and rubella.

Traditionally, Gates has been more interested in new technology than in using already proven vaccines, but as these are “low hanging fruit,” perhaps it would be willing to support activities other than vaccine p p g pp

purchase to accomplish elimination.

A recent modelling meeting at Princeton on the burden of measles and rubella should soon provide a report that will be usefulrubella should soon provide a report that will be useful.

The March of Dimes will support this effort, and I hope GAVI also.

Would you be willing to sign a letter in support of this initiative?

With kind regards,

Stanley

Page 21: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Measles global eliminationg

Countries with low measles incidenceCountries with low measles incidenceStrategies1 prolonged high coverage (> 95%) with 2 doses of MMR1. prolonged high coverage (> 95%) with 2 doses of MMR

USA, Finland

2. mass vaccination- ‘catch up’ campaignp p gAmericas, UK, Australia

PLUS ‘keep-up’ coverage and ‘follow-up’ campaigns

Other requirements for elimination– surveillance, rapid outbreak response , p p

Page 22: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 23: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Mumps

To mump is to mopeBefore vaccine:

500 admissions per year in Australiap yMeningitis or encephalitisPancreatitisPancreatitisOophoritisO hitiOrchitis

Page 24: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

History of mumps immunisation in Australiay p

1981: mumps vaccine for children > 1 year1981: mumps vaccine for children > 1 year

1983: replaced by a measles–mumps vaccine1983: replaced by a measles–mumps vaccine

1989: MMR vaccine1989: MMR vaccine

1994 S d d f MMR i f 10 161994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y

1998 S d d d t 41998: Second dose moved to 4y

Page 25: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Proportion of Australian population (n = 2787) seropositive for mumps in 1997, by birth cohort, age group and immunisation program history*†program history †

Page 26: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Year of birth and susceptibilityp y

Born before 1970: natural immunity, low incidencey,

Born in 1980s: single dose, coverage 68% <5yBorn in 1980s: single dose, coverage 68% <5y– low coverage– decreasing exposure to wild-type virusg p yp– highest incidence

Born after 1990: good vaccine coverage– low incidence

Page 27: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Mumps notifications, Australia 1991 - 2010p ,

700

500

600

ions

300

400

notif

icat

200

300

Mum

ps

0

100

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Page 28: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Mumps notifications by age & gender, Australia, 2007

8090

506070

tions

MaleFemale

304050

Not

ifica

t

102030N

010

0 - 4 5-9 14 19 24 29 34 39 44 49 54 59 64 69 74 79 84 85+ wn

0 - 5

10-1

15-1

20-2

25-2

30-3

35-3

40-4

45-4

50-5

55-5

60-6

64-6

70-7

75-7

80-8 85

Unknow

Page 29: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Rubella

Mild illness with rash, cervical lymphadenopathy, arthritis, mild fever

Congenital rubella syndromemainly first trimester- mainly first trimester

- congenital cataracts- sensorineural deafness- cardiac defects- mental retardation

Page 30: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 31: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 32: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 33: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 34: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 35: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 36: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Rubella (german measles)

Usually mild childhood diseaseI f ti iInfection in pregnancy

– fetal death– congenital rubella syndrome– congenital rubella syndrome

Pre-vaccination– seasonal (spring) epidemics every 5-9 years( p g) p y y– USA 1964/5 - 20,000 cases of CRS– Australia 120 cases of CRS per yr

Vaccination strategies– no vaccination

i t f hild b i– vaccinate women of child-bearing age– universal infant vaccination (coverage >80% required)

Page 37: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 38: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Rubella in Australia

1400

80

901971 School girl vaccination

1000

1200

ns 60

70

80

ons

g1989 Infant vaccination 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y1998 2nd dose moved to 4y

600

800

otifi

catio

n

40

50

pita

lisat

i

200

400No

10

20

30

Hos

p

NotificationsHospitalisations

0

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

0

10p

Jan

1

Jan

1

Jan

1

Jan

1

Jan

1

Jan

1

Jan

1

Jan

2

Jan

2

Jan

2

Jan

2

Jan

2

Jan

2

Jan

2

Jan

2

Year

Page 39: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 40: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Rubella epidemic in Greece, 1983p ,

Page 41: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Incomplete immunisation shifts age of infection to rightg

Page 42: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 43: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Susceptiblesp

W b i t i t i b llWomen born in countries not using rubella vaccine, e.g. South-East Asia

Women born in Australia and never immunised

Serological screening disasters (very rare)

Page 44: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd
Page 45: Measles, mumps and rubella Gone but not forgotten...z1994S dd fMMR i f 101994: Second dose of MMR vaccine for 10-16y z1998S dd dt 41998: ... 1993 2nd dose added for 10-16y 1998 2nd

Acknowledgement:

The epidemiology of vaccine gypreventable diseases

Helen QuinnHelen Quinn

Heather GiddingHeather Gidding

Nick WoodNCIRSNCIRSNational Centre for Immunisation Research and SurveillanceNational Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance

Nick WoodThe University

of Sydney