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Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

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Page 1: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues

Theresa LaurentSt. Louis College of Pharmacy

2007 AMATYC Conference

Page 2: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Investigating Blood Alcohol Content (BAC)

Page 3: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

The Questions

Consider two different drinking scenarios. What are they drinking and how frequently are they drinking it?

How high will the BACs become for each of our drinkers?

When will our drinkers’ BACs reach legal levels in order to drive home?

Page 4: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Factors Affecting BAC

BAC = amount of alcohol consumed amount of water in the body

What additional information do you think we will need to collect in order to determine when our drinkers will be at a legal BAC to drive home?

Page 5: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

General Information

For women, about 49% of their body weight is water. For men, it’s about 58%.

A legal BAC is less than 0.08%g/mL.

The body eliminates alcohol at a rate of about 0.018 to 0.02%g/mL every hour.

Page 6: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Conversion Formulas

1 oz = 28 g

2.2 lbs = 1 kg

1 L of water = 1 kg

Page 7: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Problem Number 1

Dave and Patty arrive at a bar at 8 pm. Dave downs four 12-ounce Shiner Bock beers, one every half-hour until 9:30 pm. Patty drinks three 1-ounce shots of tequila as soon as she arrives and then stops drinking. Are either Dave or Patty at a legal blood alcohol level by 11 pm when they decide to leave?

Page 8: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Calculating Patty’s BAC

Tequila has 50% alcohol per volume.

Patty weighs 120 lbs.

For women, about 49% of their body weight is water.

Page 9: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Patty’s BAC

mLg

mL

g

/%157.0

)1000)(5.54(49.0

)84%(50BAC

Page 10: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Graph of Patty’s BAC

Patty's BAC

0.157

0.139

0.121

0.103

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

0.14

0.16

0.18

8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 10:00 10:30 11:00

time

BA

C

Page 11: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Calculating Dave’s BAC

Shiner Bock has 4.4% alcohol per volume.

Dave weighs 200 lbs.

For men, about 58% of their body weight is water.

Page 12: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Dave’s BAC

After one drink:

mLg

mL

g

/%028.0

)1000)(9.90(58.0

)28)(12%(4.4BAC

Page 13: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Graph of Dave’s BAC

Dave's BAC

0.028

0.019

0.047

0.038

0.066

0.057

0.085

0.076

0.067

0.058

0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

0.09

8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 10:00 10:30 11:00

time

BA

C

Page 14: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Sample of Student Work

Page 15: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference
Page 16: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Other Projects using BAC Evaluate the consistency of the

mathematical model with BAC tables

Page 17: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Evaluate the consistency of the mathematical model with BAC calculatorso http://www.globalrph.com/blood_alco

hol_calculator.htmo http://www.dot.wisconsin.gov/safety/

motorist/drunkdriving/calculator.htmo http://www.ou.edu/oupd/bac.htm

Page 18: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Steroids

Page 19: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Problem Number 2:

An athlete has taken 200 mg of Trenbolone (an anabolic steroid) by intravenous injection once every two days for the last two weeks. If he discontinues taking the drug, how long will he have to wait until he could pass a drug test?

Page 20: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Additional Information

The half-life of Trenbolone is about 28 hours.

In a 10 milliliter blood sample, drug testing instruments can detect as little as one nanogram of Trenbolone.

Adult humans have approximately 4 liters of blood in their bodies.

Page 21: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

The Mathematical Model After a single dose, the amount of drug

in the bloodstream after t hours is given by

where A0 is the amount of drug in the blood at time t = 0 and k = ln(2)/half-life.

kteAtA 0)(

Page 22: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

The Mathematical Model After a single dose, the number of

milligrams of drug in the bloodstream after t hours is given by

tetA 025.0200)(

Page 23: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Repeating Doses

If a drug is taken every 48 hours, the amount of drug in the bloodstream t hours after the nth dose is given by:

))1(48(...)96()48()()( ntAtAtAtAtAn

Page 24: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Visualizing the ProblemAmount of Drug in the Bloodstream

200 mg given every 48 hours for two weeks

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0 48 96 144 192 240 288 336

hours

mg

Page 25: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Solving Problem 2 The amount of drug in the

bloodstream immediately after the 7th dose is

mg

A

286

5.06.15.51.182.60200)0(7

Page 26: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

The number of milligrams of drug in the bloodstream t hours after the last dose is given by

tetA 025.0286)(

Page 27: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

If one nanogram can be detected in a 10 milliliter blood sample, how many milligrams could be in 4 liters

x = 0.0004

L

mgx

mL

ng

410

1

Page 28: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

How long will it take for 286 mg in the bloodstream to reduce to 0.0004 mg in the bloodstream?

t = 539 hours or 22 days

te 025.02860004.0

Page 29: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Birth Control

Birth Control Patch Users Warned

FDA: It Puts Women At Higher Risk For Clots Than Pill Does

11/10/2005

Page 30: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Problem Number 3

Compare the amount of estrogen in a patient who takes oral contraceptives to the amount in a patient who uses the patch.

Page 31: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

The Patch The amount of estrogen in the body, t

hours after the patch is applied is given by:

ka = the rate at which the estrogen is

absorbed into the bloodstream. k = ln(2)/elimination half-life.

kta ek

ktA 1)(

Page 32: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Drug Information

The half-life of estrogen is about 10 hours (k = 0.069)

The Ortho Evra patch releases 20 micrograms of estrogen every 24 hours (ka = 0.83 mcg/hr)

Page 33: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Estrogen and the Patch The number of micrograms of

estrogen in the body, t hours after the patch is applied is given by:

tetA 69.0112)(

Page 34: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Estrogen Graph for the Patch

Estrogen in the Body - Ortho Evra Patch

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

0 168 336 504 672

hours

mcg

of

estr

og

en

Page 35: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Oral Contraceptives

The amount of estrogen in the body t hours after a dose is taken is given by:

tkkt

a

a aeekk

FDktA

)(

Page 36: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Constants

F = the fraction of the dose that will absorb into the bloodstream.

D = the amount of estrogen in the dose.

ka = ln(2)/absorption half-life.

k = ln(2)/elimination half-life.

Page 37: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Drug Information Each Ortho Tri-Cyclen tablet

contains 35 mcg of estrogen (D = 35).

50% of the dose will absorb into the bloodstream (F = 0.5).

The absorption half-life is 30 minutes (ka=1.4).

The elimination half-life is 10 hours (k = 0.069).

Page 38: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Estrogen and the Pill The number of micrograms of

estrogen in the body t hours after a single dose is taken is given by:

tt eetA 4.1069.04.18)(

Page 39: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Repeating Doses

If a dose is given every 24 hours, the number of micrograms of estrogen in the bloodstream t hours after the nth dose is given by:

))1(24(...)48()24()()( ntAtAtAtAtAn

Page 40: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Graph of Estrogen – Oral Tablets

Estrogen in the Body - Ortho Tri-Cyclen Tablets

0

5

10

15

20

0 168 336 504 672

hours

mcg

of

estr

og

en

Page 41: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Comparing Graphs

Comparison of Estrogen in the Body

0

5

10

15

20

0 168 336 504 672

hours

mcg

of

estr

og

en

Patch

Pill

Page 42: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Comparing Models to Real Data

Page 43: Mathematical Investigations of Current Health Issues Theresa Laurent St. Louis College of Pharmacy 2007 AMATYC Conference

Contact Information

Theresa [email protected]