maryland gop survey results

8/9/2019 Maryland GOP Survey Results

1/12

March 29-30, 2010Survey of 409 likely primary voters


3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988









Maryland GOP Survey ResultsQ1 First, does anyone in this household work for a

radio station, a television station, a newspaper,an advertising agency, a market research firm,or as an active political campaign worker?

100%No...................................................................

0%Yes.................................................................

0%Not Sure..........................................................

Q2 Are you currently registered to vote at thisaddress?

100%Registered......................................................0%Not Registered................................................

0%Not Sure..........................................................

Q3 Are you registered to vote as a Democrat, aRepublican, an independent, or as somethingelse?

0%Democrat........................................................

100%Republican......................................................

0%Independent....................................................

0%Something Else...............................................

0%Not Sure..........................................................

Q4 What are the chances that you will vote in thisyears September REPUBLICAN primaryelection for governor and other state offices--are you certain to vote, will you probably vote,are the chances fifty-fifty, or do you think youwill not vote?

94%Certain to vote................................................

6%Probably vote..................................................

0%Chances are 50-50.........................................

0%Will not vote....................................................

0%Not Sure..........................................................

Q5 In the REPUBLICAN primary election forgovernor, do you think you will support BobEhrlich, or is there a chance you could supportanother Republican candidate?

59%Ehrlich.............................................................

31%Another Republican Candidate.......................

10%Not Sure..........................................................

Q6 Now Im going to read you some things youmight learn about Bob Ehrlich and his record.After each item, please tell me if you feel muchless likely to support Bob Ehrlich, somewhatless likely to support Bob Ehrlich, or if it makesno difference to you either way?

Bob Ehrlich was the biggest-spending governorin Maryland history, and in his last budget heproposed the LARGEST-EVER increase instate spending.

17%Much less likely to support..............................

19%Somewhat less likely to support......................

58%No difference either way.................................

6%Not sure..........................................................Q7 Bob Ehrlich has spent the last three year

working as a lobbyist for state contractors,gaming interests, and foreign governments likeChina.



63%Makes no difference either way......................

6%Not sure..........................................................







Maryland GOP Survey ResultsQ1 First, does anyone in this household work for a

radio station, a television station, a newspaper,an advertising agency, a market research firm,or as an active political campaign worker?

100%No...................................................................

0%Yes.................................................................

0%Not Sure..........................................................

Q2 Are you currently registered to vote at thisaddress?

100%Registered......................................................0%Not Registered................................................

0%Not Sure..........................................................

Q3 Are you registered to vote as a Democrat, aRepublican, an independent, or as somethingelse?

0%Democrat........................................................

100%Republican......................................................

0%Independent....................................................

0%Something Else...............................................

0%Not Sure..........................................................

Q4 What are the chances that you will vote in thisyears September REPUBLICAN primaryelection for governor and other state offices--are you certain to vote, will you probably vote,are the chances fifty-fifty, or do you think youwill not vote?

94%Certain to vote................................................

6%Probably vote..................................................

0%Chances are 50-50.........................................

0%Will not vote....................................................

0%Not Sure..........................................................

Q5 In the REPUBLICAN primary election forgovernor, do you think you will support BobEhrlich, or is there a chance you could supportanother Republican candidate?

59%Ehrlich.............................................................

31%Another Republican Candidate.......................

10%Not Sure..........................................................

Q6 Now Im going to read you some things youmight learn about Bob Ehrlich and his record.After each item, please tell me if you feel muchless likely to support Bob Ehrlich, somewhatless likely to support Bob Ehrlich, or if it makesno difference to you either way?

Bob Ehrlich was the biggest-spending governorin Maryland history, and in his last budget heproposed the LARGEST-EVER increase instate spending.



58%No difference either way.................................

6%Not sure..........................................................Q7 Bob Ehrlich has spent the last three year

working as a lobbyist for state contractors,gaming interests, and foreign governments likeChina.



63%Makes no difference either way......................

6%Not sure..........................................................


2/12













Q8 As governor, Bob Ehrlich raised taxes and fees

by $3 billion, including raising state propertytaxes.

He authored and supported numerous taxincreases that have added up to tens of billionsof dollars.



56%Makes no difference.......................................

4%Not Sure..........................................................

Q9 Based on what we have discussed, in the

REPUBLICAN primary election for governor,do you think you will support Bob Ehrlich, or isthere a chance you could support anotherRepublican candidate?

45%Ehrlich.............................................................

47%Someone Else ................................................

9%Not sure ..........................................................

Q10 Thinking about your general approach toissues, do you consider yourself to be liberal,moderate, or conservative?

1%Liberal.............................................................

27%Moderate.........................................................69%Conservative...................................................

2%Not sure..........................................................

Q11 What is the last grade that you completed in

school?0%Grade School..................................................

2%Some High School..........................................

19%High School Graduate.....................................

21%Some College, no Degree...............................

7%Vocational Training/2 Year College.................

26%4-year College Degree....................................

4%Some Postgraduate Work, no Degree............

18%2 or 3 yrs. Postgraduate Work/Masters..........

3%Doctoral/Law Degree......................................Q12 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

52%Woman...........................................................

48%Man.................................................................

Q13 For statistical purposes only, how old are you?

10%18 to 34...........................................................

29%35 to 49...........................................................

30%50 to 64...........................................................

30%65 and over.....................................................

Q14

32%08, 06, and 04.................................................

19%08 and 06........................................................

8%08 and 04........................................................

29%08 only............................................................

7%06 only............................................................

0%04 only............................................................

6%06 and 04........................................................







Q8 As governor, Bob Ehrlich raised taxes and fees

by $3 billion, including raising state propertytaxes.

He authored and supported numerous taxincreases that have added up to tens of billionsof dollars.



56%Makes no difference.......................................

4%Not Sure..........................................................

Q9 Based on what we have discussed, in the

REPUBLICAN primary election for governor,do you think you will support Bob Ehrlich, or isthere a chance you could support anotherRepublican candidate?

45%Ehrlich.............................................................

47%Someone Else................................................

9%Not sure..........................................................

Q10 Thinking about your general approach toissues, do you consider yourself to be liberal,moderate, or conservative?

1%Liberal.............................................................

27%Moderate.........................................................69%Conservative...................................................

2%Not sure..........................................................

Q11 What is the last grade that you completed in

school?0%Grade School..................................................

2%Some High School..........................................

19%High School Graduate.....................................

21%Some College, no Degree...............................

7%Vocational Training/2 Year College.................

26%4-year College Degree....................................

4%Some Postgraduate Work, no Degree............

18%2 or 3 yrs. Postgraduate Work/Masters..........

3%Doctoral/Law Degree......................................Q12 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

52%Woman...........................................................

48%Man.................................................................

Q13 For statistical purposes only, how old are you?

10%18 to 34...........................................................

29%35 to 49...........................................................

30%50 to 64...........................................................

30%65 and over.....................................................

Q14

32%08, 06, and 04.................................................

19%08 and 06........................................................

8%08 and 04........................................................

29%08 only............................................................

7%06 only............................................................

0%04 only............................................................

6%06 and 04........................................................


3/12

March 29-30, 2010survey of 409 likely primary voters






Crosstabs

Base

Ehrlich/Someone Else

Ehrlich

Another Republican

Candidate

Not

Sure

Ehrlich/Someone

Else

Ehrlich

Another Republican

Candidate

Not Sure

59% 100% - -

31% - 100% -

10% - - 100%

Base


Ehrlich

Another Republican

Candidate

Not

Sure

Big Spender

Message

Much less like ly to

support

Somewhat less

likely to support

No difference eitherway

Not sure

17% 5% 38% 20%

19% 13% 25% 34%

58% 79% 29% 24%

6% 3% 8% 22%

Base


Ehrlich

Another Republican

Candidate

Not

Sure

Lobbyist Me ssage


support

Somewhat less

likely to support

Makes no difference

either way

Not sure

20% 5% 43% 39%

11% 7% 16% 21%

63% 86% 33% 22%

6% 2% 9% 19%


4/12







Crosstabs

Base


Ehrlich

Another Republican

Candidate

Not

Sure

Taxes Message


support

Somewhat less

likely to support

Makes no difference

Not Sure

23% 5% 50% 45%

17% 17% 15% 20%

56% 77% 29% 19%

4% 2% 6% 17%

Base


Ehrlich

Another Republican

Candidate

Not

Sure

Ehrlich/Someone

Else Informed

Ehrlich

Someone Else

Not sure

45% 74% 1% 6%

47% 19% 95% 62%

9% 8% 4% 32%

Base

Ideology

Liberal Moderate Conservative

Not

sure

Ehrlich/Someone

Else

Ehrlich

Another Republican

Candidate

Not Sure

59% 65% 57% 60% 71%

31% 35% 34% 30% 29%

10% - 10% 11% -


5/12







Crosstabs

Base

Ideology


Not

sure

Big Spender

Message


support

Somewhat less

likely to support

No difference either

way

Not sure

17% 12% 13% 18% 31%

19% - 24% 17% 19%

58% 88% 58% 58% 38%

6% - 5% 7% 12%

Base

Ideology


Not

sure

Lobbyist Me ssage


support

Somewhat less

likely to support

Makes no difference

either way

Not sure

20% 35% 20% 20% -

11% - 7% 13% -

63% 65% 69% 60% 78%

6% - 4% 6% 22%

Base

Ideology


Not

sure

Taxes Message


support

Somewhat less

likely to support

Makes no difference

Not Sure

23% 23% 25% 22% 31%

17% 12% 17% 17% 13%

56% 65% 56% 56% 42%

4% - 2% 5% 13%


6/12







Crosstabs

Base

Ideology


Not

sure

Ehrlich/Someone

Else Informed

Ehrlich

Someone Else

Not sure

45% 65% 41% 45% 53%

47% 35% 50% 46% 29%

9% - 9% 9% 19%

Base

Education

Grade

School

Some High

School

High School

Graduate

Some College,

no Degree

Vocational Training/2

Year College

4-year College

Degree

Some Postgraduate

Work, no Degree

2 or 3 yrs. Postgraduate

Work/Masters

Doctoral/Law

Degree

Ehrlich/Someone

Else

Ehrlich

Another Republican

Candidate

Not Sure

59% 100% 79% 62% 66% 58% 51% 72% 57% 44%

31% - 21% 28% 27% 19% 36% 17% 39% 37%

10% - - 10% 7% 23% 13% 10% 4% 20%

Base

Education

Grade

School

Some High

School

High School

Graduate

Some College,

no Degree


Year College

4-year College

Degree

Some Postgraduate

Work, no Degree


Work/Masters

Doctoral/Law

Degree

Big Spender

Message

Much less likely to

support

Somewhat less

likely to support


way

Not sure

17% 100% 32% 22% 15% 5% 12% 13% 19% 27%

19% - 43% 15% 16% 20% 28% 20% 15% 6%

58% - 14% 55% 60% 69% 56% 67% 60% 49%

6% - 11% 9% 8% 5% 4% - 5% 18%


7/12







Crosstabs

Base

Education

Grade

School

Some High

School

High School

Graduate

Some College,

no Degree


Year College

4-year College

Degree

Some Postgraduate

Work, no Degree


Work/Masters

Doctoral/Law

Degree

Lobbyist Message

Much less likely to

support

Somewhat less

likely to support

Makes no difference

either way

Not sure

20% 50% 43% 20% 21% 9% 18% 13% 26% 21%

11% - 11% 11% 12% 14% 13% 10% 7% 8%

63% 50% 25% 64% 61% 72% 65% 71% 63% 47%

6% - 22% 4% 7% 5% 4% 5% 5% 24%

Base

Education

Grade

School

Some High

School

High School

Graduate

Some College,

no Degree


Year College

4-year College

Degree

Some Postgraduate

Work, no Degree


Work/Masters

Doctoral/Law

Degree

Taxes Message

Much less likely to

support

Somewhat less

likely to support

Makes no difference

Not Sure

23% 50% 54% 25% 19% 15% 27% 17% 21% 21%

17% - 11% 16% 18% 16% 14% 20% 21% 6%

56% 50% 25% 54% 58% 69% 56% 58% 54% 55%

4% - 11% 4% 6% - 3% 5% 4% 18%

Base

Education

Grade

School

Some High

School

High School

Graduate

Some College,

no Degree


Year College

4-year College

Degree

Some Postgraduate

Work, no Degree


Work/Masters

Doctoral/Law

Degree

Ehrlich/Someone

Else Informed

Ehrlich

Someone Else

Not sure

45% 100% 35% 37% 53% 60% 43% 43% 40% 39%

47% - 65% 42% 44% 35% 52% 52% 50% 41%

9% - - 21% 3% 5% 5% 5% 9% 20%


8/12







Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Ehrlich/Someone

Else

Ehrlich

Another Republican

Candidate

Not Sure

59% 53% 66%

31% 35% 26%

10% 12% 7%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Big Spender

Message


support

Somewhat less

likely to support


way

Not sure

17% 19% 15%

19% 21% 17%

58% 53% 64%

6% 8% 5%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Lobbyist Me ssage


support

Somewhat less

likely to support

Makes no difference

either way

Not sure

20% 27% 13%

11% 13% 10%

63% 53% 74%

6% 8% 4%


9/12







Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Taxes Message


support

Somewhat less

likely to support

Makes no difference

Not Sure

23% 27% 19%

17% 14% 19%

56% 53% 59%

4% 6% 2%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Ehrlich/Someone

Else Informed

Ehrlich

Someone Else

Not sure

45% 38% 51%

47% 52% 41%

9% 10% 8%

Base

Age

18 to

34

35 to

49

50 to

64

65 and

over

Ehrlich/Someone

Else

Ehrlich

Another Republican

Candidate

Not Sure

59% 33% 53% 62% 71%

31% 58% 33% 28% 22%

10% 8% 14% 9% 7%


10/12







Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

34

35 to

49

50 to

64

65 and

over

Big Spender

Message


support

Somewhat less

likely to support


way

Not sure

17% 8% 16% 15% 21%

19% 33% 18% 16% 19%

58% 50% 60% 64% 53%

6% 8% 6% 5% 7%

Base

Age

18 to

34

35 to

49

50 to

64

65 and

over

Lobbyist Me ssage


support

Somewhat less

likely to support

Makes no difference

either way

Not sure

20% 33% 21% 16% 19%

11% 17% 9% 9% 13%

63% 42% 66% 69% 61%

6% 8% 4% 5% 7%

Base

Age

18 to

34

35 to

49

50 to

64

65 and

over

Taxes Message


support

Somewhat less

likely to support

Makes no difference

Not Sure

23% 33% 27% 17% 21%

17% - 15% 18% 23%

56% 58% 55% 63% 50%

4% 8% 2% 3% 6%


11/12







Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

34

35 to

49

50 to

64

65 and

over

Ehrlich/Someone

Else Informed

Ehrlich

Someone Else

Not sure

45% 25% 42% 53% 45%

47% 58% 48% 41% 47%

9% 17% 9% 7% 8%

Base

Primary Vote History

08, 06,

and 04

08 and

06

08 and

04

08

only

06

only

04

only

06 and

04

Ehrlich/Someone

Else

Ehrlich

Another Republican

Candidate

Not Sure

59% 66% 58% 66% 48% 68% 50% 60%

31% 27% 25% 29% 39% 30% 50% 30%

10% 6% 17% 4% 13% 3% - 10%

Base


08, 06,

and 04

08 and

06

08 and

04

08

only

06

only

04

only

06 and

04

Big Spender

Message


support

Somewhat lesslikely to support


way

Not sure

17% 16% 17% 14% 19% 8% 50% 17%

19% 15% 22% 14% 25% 19% - 9%

58% 62% 55% 69% 50% 59% 50% 71%

6% 6% 6% 4% 6% 14% - 3%


12/12







Crosstabs

Base


08, 06,

and 04

08 and

06

08 and

04

08

only

06

only

04

only

06 and

04

Lobbyist Me ssage


support

Somewhat less

likely to support

Makes no difference

either way

Not sure

20% 18% 20% 11% 28% 13% 50% 13%

11% 11% 10% 15% 14% 6% - -

63% 66% 67% 69% 50% 68% 50% 80%

6% 4% 2% 4% 8% 13% - 6%

Base


08, 06,

and 04

08 and

06

08 and

04

08

only

06

only

04

only

06 and

04

Taxes Message


support

Somewhat less

likely to support

Makes no difference

Not Sure

23% 21% 22% 20% 32% 10% 50% 10%

17% 13% 18% 21% 15% 28% 50% 17%

56% 62% 57% 53% 48% 57% - 70%

4% 4% 3% 7% 6% 5% - 3%

Base


08, 06,

and 04

08 and

06

08 and

04

08

only

06

only

04

only

06 and

04

Ehrlich/Someone

Else Informed

Ehrlich

Someone Else

Not sure

45% 56% 41% 54% 36% 46% - 24%

47% 39% 48% 41% 55% 43% 100% 47%

9% 5% 11% 4% 9% 10% - 29%

maryland gop survey results

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