marriott case - dakota christensen
TRANSCRIPT
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8/13/2019 Marriott Case - Dakota Christensen
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WACC - Marriott
Givens: Company as a whole
Target Debt Ratio (D/V) 60% Maturity Rate
Target Debt to Equity Ratio (D/E) 1.5 30-year 8.95%
Debt Rate Prem above Gov't 1.30% 10-year 8.72%
Tax Rate (t) (See Tax Rate Calculation) 44.8% 1-year 6.90%
Calculation of Cost of Debt (Rd):
Rd = Debt rate prem above Gov't + 10-year gov't interest rateRd 10.02%
WACC = (D/V)*(1-t)*Rd+(E/V)*Re
Calculation of Cost of Equity (Re):
WACC 10.62%
Capm = Rf + B(expected levered)*(equity premium)
Rf = 10-year gov't interest rate 8.72%
B(levered) 0.97
Equity Premium** 7.43%
Actual D/V (given in case) 41.00%
Actual D/E 69.49%
Calc to Unlever Beta and Relever Beta
Step 1. Unlever Beta
Bu 0.701
Step 2. Relever Beta using Target D/E
Bl 1.28
Now Calc Capm
Capm 18.24%
3. Estimate the asset bta for Marriott as a whole.
Bu = asset beta
Asset Beta 0.701
**From the case - The arithmetic average from 1926-1987 of the spread between S&P 500 Composite Returns andLong-Term US Government Bond Returns
Appendix
2. Estimate the cost of capital (rwacc) for Marriott as a whole.
US Gov't Interest Rates
Since Lodging using the long-term debt and restuarants and contract services use the short-
term debt, I am going to use the 10-year gov't interest rate to calculate the cost of debt
(Rd).
Marriott uses the Capm model to calculate cost of equity.
Calcuation of WACC:
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Marriott - Restaurants WACC Table
Use Comparable Data
Equity Beta Actual D/V Assumed Tax Rate Actual D/E Unlevered Beta
0.75 4% 44.8% 4.2% 0.7331
0.6 10% 44.8% 11.1% 0.5653
0.13 6% 44.8% 6.4% 0.12560.64 1% 44.8% 1.0% 0.6364
1 23% 44.8% 29.9% 0.8584
1.08 21% 44.8% 26.6% 0.9417
Average Bu 0.6434
Target D/V (Restaurants): 42%
Target D/E (Restaurants): 72%
Take Average Bu and Relever using Target Ratios
Bl 0.900817995
Calc Capm
Rf=1-year gov't rate 6.90%
Equity Premium 8.47%
Capm 14.53%
Calc Rd
Premium 1.80%
1 year rate 6.90%
Rd 8.70%
Calculate WACC
WACC 10.45%
McDonald's
Wendy's International
4. Estimate the cost of capital for the restaurant division using a bottom up approach.
Church's Fried Chicken
Collins Foods International
Frisch's RestaurantsLuby's Cafeterias
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Marriott - Contract WACC Table
Target D/V (Contract) 40%
Target D/E (Contract) 67%
Be (Marriott) 0.97
Tax Rate (t) 44.8%
Target D/V (Marriott) 41.0%
Target D/E (Marriott) 69.5%
Weight for Lodging (wl)** 61%
Weight for Restaurant (wr)** 15%
Weight for Contract (wc)** 25%
Unlever Beta for Marriott as a whole
Bu 0.700913989
Bu(Marriott) = wl*bul+wr*bur+wc*buc
.70091 = 61%*.4803+15%*.6434+25%*Buc
25%*Buc = 0.316584928
Buc = 1.27050715
Relever Unlevered Beta for Contract and Find WACC
Bl 1.738436625
Calc Capm
Rf=1-year gov't rate 6.90%
Equity Premium 8.47%
Capm 21.62%
Calc Rd
Premium 1.40%
1 year rate 6.90%
Rd 8.30%
Calculate WACC
WACC 14.81%
Division 1985 1986 1987 Average
Lodging 2,108.90$ 2,236.70$ 2,777.40$ 2,374.33$ 61%
Restaurant 582.60$ 562.30$ 567.60$ 570.83$ 15%
Contract 624.40$ 1,070.20$ 1,237.70$ 977.43$ 25%
Total 3,922.60$ 100%
Division Unlevered Beta
Lodging (Bul) 0.4803
Restaurant (Bur) 0.6434
Contract (Buc) 1.2705
5. What is the cost of capital for Marriott's contract services division?
% of Average Total
Ratio of Idenfiable Assets (Past 3 Years)
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Tax Table
Marriott
1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987
Taxes 35.4 43.8 40.6 45.2 50.2 76.7 100.8 128.3 168.5 175.9
EBT 83.5 105.6 103.5 121.3 133.7 185.1 236.1 295.7 360.2 398.9
Tax % 42.4% 41.5% 39.2% 37.3% 37.5% 41.4% 42.7% 43.4% 46.8% 44.1%
Tax Average from 1978 to 1987: 41.6%
Tax Average (Last 3 years): 44.8%
**Last three years seems closer to what the future may hold for tax rates
Answers Table
Question Answer
1 In the paper
2 10.62%
3 0.7009
4 (lodging) 8.82%
4 (restaurants) 10.45%5 14.81%