market data and market development of biobased and ... · market development of biobased and...

Market data andmarket development of biobased and biodegradable plasticsIssue from IfBB webinar series: „Biomaterials in focus!“under the direction of Prof. Dr.-Ing. Hans-Josef Endresand Dr. Andrea Siebert-Raths

Christian Schulz, 15.02.2018

Hochschule Hannover │ IfBB – Institut für Biokunststoffe und Bioverbundwerkstoffe │ www.ifbb-hannover.de ©

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1. BACKGROUND2. METHODOLOGY3. MARKET OVERVIEW4. PRICES AND TRENDS5. CURRENT DEVELOPMENTS6. SUMMARY7. EVENT NOTES AND LINKS

Motivation

• No official statistical collection of data on the bioplastics market available… annual updates needed (Time frame: European Bioplastics Conference)

• Need for transparent and comprehensible data… development of a methodical approach… emerges from the cooperation with European Bioplastics (industry association)

• Basis for further argumentation… for example to estimate land use for bioplastics and strategic considerations

• IfBB market data is continuosly being updated:Suggestions, critics and all other feedback are welcomein the context of continuous improvement.

Hochschule Hannover │ IfBB – Institut für Biokunststoffe und Bioverbundwerkstoffe │ www.ifbb-hannover.de

• Not a novel material group, but part of plastics

• Bioplastics can be classified as:– Biodegradable petro-based biopolymers

– Biodegradable (mainly) biobased biopolymers

– Non-biodegradable, durable biobased biopolymers

• Advantages of bioplastics:– Renewable raw material base

– Feedstock production for bioplastics requires less energy

– Novel material properties

– Manifold disposal possibilities (mechanical recycling, composting, climate-neutral energyrecovery)

What are bioplastics?

PLA & PLA-blends, Starch-blends, PHA, Regenerated Cellulose (CH-films), Cellulose

derivatives (only biodegradable types)

Blend components:PBAT, PBS, PCL

Bio-PET 30, Bio-PE, PTT, Bio-PA,PEF, Bio-PC, Bio-TPE/PUR

Covered materials:


Methodology

How does the data collection work, where do the numbers come from?• Publicly available data and reporting• Information from manufacturers, e.g. press releases• In specific cases: Interviews

Approach and challenges Full methodology document• Only materials of "new economy" (e.g. biodegradable CA films) up to 2021 considered• Depending on the amount of growth, time adjustment of production capacity• Cleanup of double counting (blends, e.g. PBAT, PBS, PCL,...)• Plant utilization and production quantity

(e.g. Bio-PA, Bio-PUR/TPE in large conventional production facilities)• Market segments (fixed key over the time horizon considered)

All results are graphics that represent the production capacity –this does not necessarily correspond to the quantities sold.


Bioplastics

Old Economy New Economy

Natural rubber

Regenerated cellulose

Cellulose acetate

Linoleum

etc.

Novel chemistry Drop-Ins

PLA

PHA

PEF

Starch blends

etc.

Bio-PA

Bio-PE

Bio-PET

Bio-PP

etc.

Generation comparison


Old vs. New Economy –Production capacity


Market overview

Results are available free of charge at :https://www.ifbb-hannover.de/de/facts-and-statistics.html

Additionally contains process routes, feedstock and water requirements ...


Market overview

Bioplastics production capacity New Economy

2016 … 2021


Trends: Geographical shiftof production capacities

Bioplastics production capacity New Economy

2016 … 2021


Trends: Market segments

Bioplastics production capacity New Economy 2016


Trends: Market segments

Bioplastics production capacity New Economy 2021


New Economy – Update onproduction capacities 2016-2021

1. PHA 75 kt > 200 kt

2. PLA 220 kt > 605 kt

3. Biodegradable polyester(PBAT, PBS, PCL) 240 kt > 505 kt

4. Starch blends 190 kt > 295 kt

5. PTT 120 kt > 165 kt

6. Bio-PA 95 kt > 110 kt

7. Bio-PET 30850 kt > 7 MT (but expected max. 1 MT)**

8. Bio-PE 200 kt ~ identical

** Deviations possible by changes in Coca-Cola’sBio-PET strategy.


Prices and trends

Seite 17

Feedstock for bioplastics

Seite 18

Process routes and land use

Seite 19

Old vs. New Economy –Land use 2016


Global land use

Figures: IfBBData sources: FAO, IfBB 2013 – 2017© IfBB – Biopolymers, facts and statistics 2017, ISSN 2510-3431


Where does responsibility begin?

WASTE

Germans throwing awayridiculous amount of foodGerman households throw away 3.5 million tonnes of food every year. This was shared by the federal government on a request by the Green Party. A further 1.7 million tonnes are being disposed by agricultural industry, although it would be avoidable, and another 1.5 million tonnes are lost in the production sector. The Green Party accused the government of inaction. Especially canteens were in the spotlight: Case studies at eleven all-day schools showed that around a quarter of the amount of produced food was disposed.German newspaper: Welt am Sonntag, 11.06.2017

With less waste, areas in Germany would be set free to possibly grow feedstocks for up to 7 million tonnes of bioplastics.Webinar „Land use“ (German), 15.06.2017

Source: Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung, BUND and Le Monde Diplomatique


Current developments

• To provide some context: So far mankind has produced around 8.3 billion tonnes of plastics.

• Every year, almost 26 million tonnes of plastic waste are produced in Europe:– 30 % >>>>> Recycling– 70 % >>>>> Export, landfill, incinceration (with or without energy recovery) and littering

Germany annually exports 1.5 million tonnes of plastic waste to China.

• EU Waste Directive + Plastic Strategy 2030 of the European Commission– Aims EU-wide packaging recycling rates up to 2025: 65% and up to 2030: 70%– All packaging material should be recyclable up to 2030– Promotion of “biodegradable substitute products” through EU programmes– Establishment of waste collection facilities for ships in ports (prevention of waste disposal at sea)– Combating micro-plastic particles e.g. in cosmetic preparations and against oxodegradable plastics

• German Packaging Act (“Verpackungsgesetz”) come into power at 01.01.2019 and replaces previous packaging ordinance (“Verpackungsverordnung”)


Summary

• Average growth of more than 350 %, mostly in Asia (> 80 % until 2021)*:2.0 million tonnes 9.2 million tonnes

Driver: Biobased, non-biodegradable (Bio-PE, Bio-PET 30 etc.)*:63 % (2016) 82 % (2021)

Biodegradables (PLA, PHA, starch blends etc.) growing steadily:0.7 Mio. t. (2016) 1.6 Mio. t. (2021)

Packaging still most important application sector:70 % (2016) ~ 83 % (2021)*

Land use doubles, but is overall low:670,000 ha (2016) 1,320,000 ha (2021)*

* Deviations possible by changes in Coca-Cola’s Bio-PET strategy.


Links

• IfBB – Institute for Bioplastics and Biocomposites Link

– Events Link

– Frequently asked questions on bioplastics (FAQ) Link

– Biopolymers - Facts & statistics 2017 Link

– Research projects at IfBB Link

• Webinar recordings and slides Link(available free of charge)

• Sign up to IfBB-Newsletter Link


Contact

Hochschule Hannover │ IfBB – Institut für Biokunststoffe und Bioverbundwerkstoffe │ www.ifbb-hannover.de Seite 29

Christian Schulz

Hochschule HannoverIfBB – Institut für Biokunststoffe und BioverbundwerkstoffeHeisterbergallee 10A30453 HannoverTel +49 5 11 / 9296 – 22 68Fax +49 5 11 / 9296 – 99 22 68E-Mail [email protected]

www.ifbb-hannover.de

market data and market development of biobased and ... · market development of biobased and...

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