marine division - alfa laval · orders of ballast water equipment and sox scrubbers are developing...
TRANSCRIPT
Marine Division
Peter Leifland
Alfa Laval Group
© Alfa LavalSlide 2
www.alfalaval.com
Marine Division by numbers- Order intake (OI) based on LTM September 30, 2018,
OI by Business units OI by industrySplit by type of orders
Capital sales
Service
Pumping systems
Boiler & Gas
systems
Separation & Heat
transfer
Marine
Offshore
Diesel
Order intake:
SEK Bn 16.5 (+39%*)Sales:
SEK Bn 13.0 (+16%*)
*) Compared with WY 2017, fixed rates
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Industries and Growth drivers Distribution of orders LTM September 2018
32%
Driver
Environ., Gas &
Energy, Marine Engine power Service
Share 8% 4% 23%
Energy needsLegislation and
fuel cost
Electrical power
needs
World trade
33%
Ship building
World trade &
Fleet capacity
Offshore
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Marine Division,totalOrders Received, LTM
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
1.600
1.800
2011-01 2012-01 2013-01 2014-01 2015-01 2016-01 2017-01 2018-01
Alfa Laval Classic Aquisitions Environmental
349
1.555
766
330
458
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Alfa Laval on board- Product, system & application leadership, 17 product groups
Inert gas systems
Exhaust gas cleaning
Filtration
Ballast water treatment
Tank cleaning
Oily waste treatment
Oil treatment
Crankcase gas cleaning
Cooling and heating
Thermal fluid heatingSteam and heat generation
Waste heat recovery
Freshwater generationScrubber water cleaning
Gas combustion
Cargo pumping
Container ship Bulk carrier
Tanker Gas tanker
Fuel conditioning
16 30
Product launches LTM Product launches NTM
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Test & Training Centre
www.alfalaval.com
• Feasibility studies
• Legislation experts
• Financing
Optimal fit for your vessel
and budget
Project execution you
can trust
Securing compliant and
reliable operation
• Easy reporting to authorities
• Compliance service package
• Sampling and testing service packages
• Crew trainings – offline and online
Total solutions in ballast water treatmentThe complete Alfa Laval PureBallast offering
• Project management
• Network of trained engineering- and installation partners
• Commissioning
• Various commissioning options
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International Marine Service
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Yard contracting - 1st October 2018, including all ships above 2,000 Dwt/Gt
Source: Clarkson Research Services Limited
Trend 2019
Tanker
LNG
Bulk carrier
Container
Cruise
714
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Nu
mb
er
of
ve
sse
ls
FC No of ships contracted
Actual Contracted YTD
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FPSO awards
Source: EMA FPS Industry Report- Q1, 2018
YT
D S
EP
: 8
www.alfalaval.com© Alfa Laval
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Ballast water treatment− Expected market development (MEUR), as communicated at CMD 2017
M€
New build
Retrofit
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0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Ballast water treatment− Expected market development ( MEUR )
M€
New build
Retrofit
October, 2018
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Scrubbers- Expected market development (MEUR), as communicated at CMD 2017
KEUR
In September 2017
M€
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
New build
Retrofit
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SOx Scrubbers development - Uptake Accelerating In 2018
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
2 000
As Of 1st January 2018 As Of 29th October 2018
Orderbook
Fleet (Retro-fitPending)
Fleet (Fitted)
Clarksons Research Scrubber Count (No. Vessels)
Source: Clarksons Research. Figures exclude some orders still to be linked to individual vessels. Actual aggregate numbers will be higher.
Please contact Clarksons Research and/or visit World Fleet Register for the latest numbers.
Orders not yet
published/linked to
individual ships.
x 4 increase in count
confirmed since start year.
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SOx Scrubber comments
Total market of orders in 2018 higher than expected
Order backlog has an even split between newbuilds and retrofit.
Newbuild order backlog according to Clarkson now contains 16% scrubbers (#
ships) with higher numbers for tankers (26%), Containerships (26%) and lower
for bulkers (13%)
Higher percentage of scrubbers on ships with larger engines (above 12-14 MW)
Average shipset value higher than 1.0 MEUR due to larger engine sizes
Latest market reports 2018 show a trend to a possible higher market potential
2018-2026 than our 2017 guidance
Potential very much depends on the fuel price delta between 0.5% sulphur fuel
and HFO, availability of fuels, adoption rate per ship segment and assessment
of environmental impact of scrubbers
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SOx Scrubbers and the environment
Slide 17
Further distillation of HFO at the refineries will be costly and will
increase CO2 emissions due to higher energy consumption.
Combustion converts Sulphur into harmful SOx . The scrubbing
process converts SOx to harmless sulphate salts which are naturally
present in the oceans. Sulphur is thus not thrown into the water
Harmful particulate matters (unburned HFO, lube oil, soot, calcium,
nickel, vanadium = PM) are caught in the scrubber.
LNG combustion slips methane which is a 28 times more powerful
greenhouse gas than CO2
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In conclusion…- Marine Division
© Alfa Laval Slide 18
Yard contracting is forecasted to increase in 2019 and the years
thereafter.
Orders of Ballast water equipment and SOx Scrubbers are
developing above previous expectations. Ballast water equipment
potential 2018-2026 upgraded. Scrubber potential 2018-2026
possibly higher than 2017 guidance.
Innovation of our product and systems assortment is high and will
continue to have a top priority the coming years.