maps chile country update authors: maps chile team date: 25 july 2014
TRANSCRIPT
MAPS ChileCountry UpdateAuthors: MAPS Chile TeamDate: 25 July 2014
Out of the Box - Challenges
2
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OBT – Why?
Conviction that business-as-usual way of thinking/acting is not really solving anything (we are not getting there)
Looking at the far future, beyond 2030We are aware that things can go in totally unexpected directions; the past doesn’t seem relevant for predicting the future.
Beyond what we knowMitigation measures and approaches for which we don’t have all the information at hand
Challenging current paradigms (eg development equates economic growth)
Integration of different (traditionally compartmentalized) disciplines –epistemologies (ways of understanding; our “theory” of knowledge)
Contributing to real societal transformation – what we are, what we want to be (ontology)
Legitimate, credible, relevant
All this in the context of a PROCESS – A DIALOGUE / A CONVERSATION / RELATIONSHIPS
Change / Transformation -- Some Inspiration…
“The outcomes of talking with one another (in a transformative conversation) depend as much on whom we talk with, where we talk with them, and how we talk to one another as they do on what we talk about.” NARRATIVES AND BEYOND
“In order to change, we must first find ways to temporarily inhabit other ways of being and knowing, exploring them for a time, trying alternatives…. Therefore a prerequisite for an enduring shift in meaning making is that we are able to place ourselves in the world of others.”
“Empathetic and imaginative knowing does exactly this; we repeatedly live other’s lives, experience their joys and sorrows, their trials and successes.”
The Heart of Higher Education – a call to renewal. Transforming the Academy through Collegial Conversations.
Parker Palmer & Arthur Zajonc
Getting people to think differently…
All of us need to do it
In order to think differently, we have to also feel and act differently!
We have to make a significant effort towards integration – within us (thinking, feeling, willing) and out of us (material, spirit; externalities-internalities; silo-disciplines vs integrated pedagogies, etc.)
“Transformative learning (and acting) rests on an enriched view of the human being, one that affirms our multidimensional nature and fundamental malleability.” (Parker & Zajonc, 2010)
We have to push ourselves out of our “comfort zones” (our boxes); out of our beliefs and be as creative and open-minded as we can
How we see/observe; our intuition; our capacity to act swiftly
We need to do all this in “relationship” with others – VERY DIFFICULT!
OBT – some thoughts on HOW TO
How we communicateThe fallacy of “communication” as a transmission of messages
Communication is a relationships
We ought to provide an appropriate substract for developing/enhancing / giving place to our supreme capacities:
Inspiration (feeling); Imagination (thinking); Intuition (acting)
How to do this is obviously not easyExpectations
No panacea, but…
Processes of change have a “rhythm” (we are rhythmic beings)
FUNDAMENTAL: What to do, when, with whom and by whom, and HOW to do
Related to this: THE DESIGN OF THIS PROCESS IN ITSELF
OBT – PRELIMINARY (undiscussed!) proposals on HOW TO
Vision
Backcasting
Review
WHAT is it that we do
WHO main actorsHOW
?
?
Create a coherent story line for CHILE
2050:Environment (emissions; adaptation)
Social-culturalTechno-economic
Institutional
Inspiration: from non-traditional actors
Imagination: through visual tools
Intuition: by means of “safe-spaces” to co-
create
Citizens “jury”; SBT 2.0
Other relevant actors: youth,
faith communities,
etc.
- Mitigation measures (not
considered so far)- Paradigmatic
transformations- Development
trajectoryT
Creative and informed
brainstorming Models(backcas
ting and forecasting)
Experts, practitioners- Mobility, Energy, City
planners, Industry, Behavioural, Economists,
Demographics experts
Evaluation / Assessment of mitigation prospectives
Coupling with existing scenarios (forecasting)Recommendations for
individuals, neighborhoods, cities,
provinces, country.
ModelsCobenefit AnalysisOthers?
ModellersDecision-makers
LeadersEtc.
Some of the ISSUES
- One or more “Vision Scenarios”?- Use of models to visualise /
simulate?- Limits to the analysis- - How to avoid gaming?- How to make it relevant to
decision-makers focussed on ST
- Qualitative versus quantitative
- Quality of information
- Relevant parameters
- From Scenarios to Strategies
Thank You!
CONTACTS
Secretaría general de MAPS_ChileFernando Farías, Jefe Oficina Cambio Climático,
Ministerio de Medio Ambiente, [email protected]
Coordinador de Investigación Rodrigo Palma, Director Centro de Energía,
Universidad de Chile, [email protected]
Líder de ProcesoHernán Blanco, [email protected]
MAPS Programme (en Sudáfrica)
www.mapsprogramme.org
www.mapschile.cl