management support systems. strategic logistics network design modeling

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Page 1: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Management Support Systems

Page 2: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Page 3: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

WhatPlanning HorizonsTarget IssuesNetwork Modeling Basics

Building BlocksStructuresApplications to Logistics Networks

Modeling TargetsValidity of Integrated Logistics

WhyContemporary RequirementsImpediments

HowTen Steps To SuccessExample AnalysisChoosing the Right Solver

Page 4: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

What?

Planning Horizons

Page 5: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Planning Horizons

• Operational: immediate to one week shipment planning/dispatching production scheduling

• Tactical: one week to one year production planning MRP/DRP/forecasting

• Strategic: one year to multiple years network design fleet sizing

• From operational to strategic term of resource commitment increases speed of effecting change decreases

Page 6: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

What?

Target Issues

Page 7: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

System Structure Issues

• Number and Location of Raw Material Suppliers• Number and Location of Plants• Number and Location of Production Lines• Number and Location of DCs• Assignment of

Plants to Suppliers

DCs to Plants and Other DCs

Customers to Plants or DCs

Page 8: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Facility Ownership Issues

• Owned

• Leased

• Public

Page 9: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Facility Mission Issues

• Raw Material Suppliers Procurement Levels Costs Capacities

• Plant Locations Manufacturing Levels

• intermediate products• finished products

Costs Capacities

• DC Locations Throughput Levels Costs Capacities

Page 10: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

“What If” Issues

• Business Environment Issues Economic Climate

• inflation

• regulation

Competitive Pressure• demand forecasts

• market share changes

Disaster Planning

Page 11: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

“What-If” Issues

• Business Decision and Policy Issues Product Introductions/Deletions/Changes Facility Capacity Changes Transportation Policy Analysis Multi-division Distribution System Merger Alternative Echelon Structures Implementation Priority Analysis

Page 12: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

“What-If” Issues

• Sensitivity Issues Cost Vs Customer Service Cost Vs Number of DCs Parametric Analysis of Any input

Page 13: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

What?

Network Modeling Basics

Building Blocks

Page 14: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Network Model Building Block: Node

• Supply Node (source nodes, origin nodes) location where commodities originiate examples

• raw material suppliers (raw materials)• plants/vendors/copackers (intermediate products, finished

products)

• Transshipment Node location through which commodities flow examples

• DCs• pools/crossdocks

• Demand Node (sink nodes, destination nodes) location where commodities consumed examples

• plants/vendors/copackers (raw materials, intermediate products)• customers (finished products)

Page 15: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Network Model Building Block: Arc

• Connects two nodes• Represents an activity or process• Optional Attributes

cost per unit of flow lower flow limit (capacity) upper flow limit (capacity)

• Examples procurement activity production process DC handling/ storage activity transportation flow

Page 16: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

What?

Network Modeling Basics

Structures

Page 17: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Network Example 1

Source Node Destination Node

Arc

Two Echelons

Page 18: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Network Example 2

Source Node Transshipment Node Destination Node

Three Echelons

Page 19: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Network Example 3

Source Node Transshipment Node Destination Node

Three Echelons + Bypass Arc

Page 20: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Network Example 4

Source Node

Entry Exit

Transshipment Node Destination Node

Three Echelons + Activity or Process

Page 21: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

What?

Network Modeling Basics

Applications to Logistics Networks

Page 22: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Examples of Network Nodes

• Suppliers

• Plants

• DC locations

• Customers

• All together now…..

Page 23: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Examples of Network Nodes

Page 24: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Examples of Network Arcs

Procurement Process

Procurement CostsProcurement Capacities

BeginActivity

EndActivity

Procurement Activity

Page 25: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Examples of Network Arcs

Production Process (Line)

Production CostsProduction Capacities

BeginProcess

EndProcess

Production Process

Page 26: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Examples of Network Arcs

DC Handling/ Storage Activities

DC CostsDC Handling CapacitiesDC Storage Capacities

Entrance to DC

(Unloading Dock)

Exit from DC

(Loading Dock)

DC Activities

Page 27: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Examples of Network Arcs

Page 28: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

What?

Modeling Targets

Page 29: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Question: What are we going to model?

Top Level Answer:• a finished goods (“physical distribution”) network

• an integrated logistics network

supply• a demand chain

value??????

It all depends on your “logistics perspective”

Page 30: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

The 1960’s (and before)

Era of Dispersed Logistics Functions

Page 31: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

1968 NCPDM Definition of Physical Distribution

Physical Distribution is a term employed in manufacturing and commerce to describe the broad range of activities concerned with efficient movement of finished products from the end of the production line to the consumer, and in some cases includes the movement of raw materials from the source of supply to the beginning of the production line. These activities include freight transportation, warehousing, material handling, protective packaging, inventory control, plant and warehouse site selection, order processing, market forecasting, and customer service.

Page 32: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Model for the 1960’s

That’s right…nothing!(Almost nobody modeled physical distribution networks in the 1960s)

Yet…other ideas were beginning to emerge

Page 33: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Business Logistics Management (OSU) (1968)

•Raw materials•Sub-assemblies•Manufactured parts•Packing materials

Fieldinventory

Customer or User

Goods inprocess

inventory

Finishedgoods

inventory

Company

Customer

Materials Management Physical Distribution Management

Business Logistics

Source: Professor Bernard J. LaLonde, The Ohio State University, 1968

Page 34: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

The 1970’s

Era of Functional Integration

Page 35: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

1976 NCPDM Definition of Physical Distribution Management

Physical Distribution Management is the term describing the integration of two or more activities for the purpose of planning, implementing and controlling the efficient flow of raw materials, inprocess inventory and finished goods from point of origin to point of consumption. These activities may include, but are not limited to, customer service, demand forecasting, distribution communications, inventory control, material handling, order processing, parts and service support, plant and warehouse site selection, procurement, packaging, return goods handling, salvage and scrap disposal, traffic and transportation, and warehousing and storage.

Page 36: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Model for the 1970’sFinished Products

Replenishment Outbound

CZ1DC1

DC2

DC3

DC4

DC5

P1

P2

P3 CZ5

CZ6

CZ2

CZ3

CZ4

Page 37: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Let’s Stop Right Here

• This is what most people still model• This is how “logistics” is still practiced in the

majority of firms

• This is NOT Integrated logistics Supply chain management Demand chain management Value chain management

Page 38: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

The 1980’s

Era of Integrated Logistics

(at least for “Leading Edge” firms)

Page 39: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

1985 CLM Definition of Logistics

Logistics is the process of planning, implementing,and controlling the efficient, cost effective flow and storage of raw materials, in-process inventory, finished goods, and related information from point of origin to point of consumption for the purpose of conforming to customer requirements.

Page 40: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Model for the 1980’s

FW1

FW2

FW3

FW4

FW5

P1

P2

P3

PW1

PW2

PW3

S1

S2

CZ1

CZ5

CZ6

CZ2

CZ3

CZ4

Replenishment OutboundInbound

DC TransferInterplant

Raw Materials

Intermediate Products

Finished Products

Page 41: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Multiple Stages of Production

Raw Materials In

Production Line 1

Production Line 2

Process 1

Production Line 1

Production Line 2

Process 2

Finished Products

Out

Intermediate Product Production Lines

Finished Product Production Lines

Page 42: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

The 1990’s

Era of the chain

supplydemand

value??????

Page 43: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

1995 CLM Definition of Logistics

Logistics is the process of planning, implementing,and controlling the efficient, effective flow and storage of goods, services, and related information from point of origin to point of consumption for the purpose of conforming to customer requirements.

Page 44: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Model for the 1990’s

FW1

FW2

FW3

FW4

FW5

P1

P2

P3

PW1

PW2

PW3

S1

S2

CZ1

CZ5

CZ6

CZ2

CZ3

CZ4

Replenishment OutboundInbound

DC TransferInterplant

Raw Materials

Intermediate Products

Finished Products

Page 45: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Multiple Stages of Production

Raw Materials In

Production Line 1

Production Line 2

Process 1

Production Line 1

Production Line 2

Process 2

Finished Products

Out

Intermediate Product Production Lines

Finished Product Production Lines

Page 46: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

What?

Validity of Integrated Logistics

Page 47: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Questions:

1 Is “Integrated Logistics” a Valid Idea?

2 Is “Supply Chain” a Valid Idea?

3 Are the “Leading Edge Firms” and CLM and the Consultants and the Academic Community Right?

Let’s See How a Strategic Logistics Network Model Responds……..

Page 48: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Network Model Response 1

Page 49: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Manufacturing: Typical Network Design Considerations

• Plant Locations

• Plant Missions

• Production Costs

• Production Capacities

• Replenishment (plant DC) freight

• Outbound (plant customer) freight

Page 50: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Manufacturing: When It Makes No Difference

You may safely ignore IF for any given product:

• Landed cost at any given DC is identical regardless of source

• Landed cost at any given direct ship customer is identical regardless of source

• No capacity limits by facility by line by product

Page 51: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Network Model Response 2

Page 52: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Procurement: Typical Network Design Considerations

• Supplier locations

• Supplier missions

• Procurement costs

• Procurement capacities

• Inbound freight

Page 53: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Procurement: When It Makes No Difference

You may safely ignore IF for any given raw material:

• Landed cost at any given plant is identical regardless of source

landed cost = procurement + transportation

• No capacity limits

Page 54: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Why?

Contemporary Requirements

Page 55: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Question: Why Build a Network Model?

• Traditional Response To minimize cost while maintaining or

improving customer service This response is incomplete

• Contemporary Response to enhance return on investment to enhance return on shareholder equity

Page 56: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Mission of Corporate Management

Demand Creation(Sales)

Resource Allocation(Capital)

Financial Control(Costs)

Customer Service(Sales)

Inventories EquipmentFacilities(Capital)

Procurement ProductionTransportation Warehousing

(Costs)

ROI

CORPORATECORPORATEMANAGEMENTMANAGEMENT

OBJECTIVESOBJECTIVES

LOGISTICSLOGISTICSMANAGEMENTMANAGEMENT

RESPONSIBILITIESRESPONSIBILITIES

Page 57: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Return on Investment

Return on Investment = Profits Total Assets

Profit Margin = Profits Sales

Capital Turnover = Sales Total Assets

Page 58: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Return on Investment

Profits = Profits x SalesTotal Assets Sales Total Assets

Return on = Profit x CapitalInvestment Margin Turnover

Page 59: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Return on Investment Matrix

9 18 27 36 45 54 637.5 15 22.5 30 37.5 45 52.56.0 12 18 24 30 36 424.5 9 13.5 18 22.5 27 31.53.0 6 9 12 15 18 211.5 3 4.5 6 7.5 9 10.5

PROFIT MARGIN: % BEFORE TAXESCAPITAL

TURNS 3 6 9 12 15 18 21

3.0

2.5

2.0

1.5

1.0

0.5

Page 60: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Return on Investment Matrix

9 18 27 36 45 54 63

7.5 15 22.5 30 37.5 45 52.5

6.0 12 18 24 30 36 42

4.5 9 13.5 18 22.5 27 31.5

3.0 6 9 12 15 18 21

1.5 3 4.5 6 7.5 9 10.5

PROFIT MARGIN: % BEFORE TAXESCAPITAL

TURNS 3 6 9 12 15 18 21

THE 20% ROI FRONTIER

3.0

2.5

2.0

1.5

1.0

0.5

Page 61: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Observation

To Maximize (or at least enhance) ROI, You Must Be Willing and Able To Trade Off Sales, Capital and Costs.

Page 62: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Tradeoff Example 1: Service Enhancements

• Possible Increase in Sales

• Probable Increase in Costs Manufacturing Transportation Inventory Warehousing

Question : Which Impact is Greater?

Observation: Often, Marketing/Sales Doesn’t Know or Care

Page 63: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Tradeoff Example 2: New Manufacturing Location

• Possible Increases Asset Base (unless close another) Manufacturing Costs (if outsourcing better) Transportation Costs (if poorly located)

• Shipment Fragmentation• Poor Carrier Base

• Possible Decreases Manufacturing Costs (if more efficient) Transportation Costs (if well-located)

• Shipment Consolidation• Good Carrier Base

Page 64: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Tradeoff Example 3: Add DC Location

• Possible Increases Asset Base (if owned or leased)

• Building and Equipment (if owned or leased)• Inventory

Transportation (if poorly located)• Shipment Fragmentation (in or out)• Poor Carrier Base

Sales (service enhancement)• Possible Decreases

Asset Base• Building and equipment (if public)• inventory (if properly repositioned)

Transportation(if well-located)• Minimize LTL Secondary Leg• Good Carrier Base

Sales (if inventory poorly located)

Page 65: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

The 3PL (Third Party Logistics) Provider Message

• Increase Sales Improved Service Enhanced Market Penetration

• Decrease Capital Building and Equipment Inventory Stratification

• Decrease Costs Facility Transportation

You Must Decide If Reality Lives Up To Promise/Expectations

Page 66: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Logistics: A Powerful Influence on Shareholder Equity

• Logistics Impacts Sales Customer Service Competitive Weapon

• Logistics Impacts Capital Plant Locations and Equipment DC Locations Inventory Transportation Equipment Data Processing Equipment

Page 67: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Logistics: A Powerful Influence on Shareholder Equity

• Logistics Impacts Costs Procurement Manufacturing DC Operations Transportation Inventory Holding Information Services

Page 68: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

TIMES ...............................................................................“RETURN ON

ASSETS” %

The DuPont Model

PROFITMARGIN

SALES

COST OFGOODS SOLD

VARIABLEEXPENSES

FIXEDEXPENSES

GROSSMARGIN

TOTAL EXPENSES

OPERATINGPROFIT

$ SALES

$

$

$

$

$

$

$

% -

-

+

Income Statement

CAPITALTURNOVER

OTHERCURRENTASSETS

INVENTORY

ACCOUNTSRECEIVABLE

CURRENTASSETS

FIXEDASSETS

SALES

TOTALASSETS

$

$

$

$

$

$

$

+

+

+Balance Sheet

Page 69: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

The DuPont Model

PROFITMARGIN

SALES

COST OFGOODS SOLD

VARIABLEEXPENSES

FIXEDEXPENSES

GROSSMARGIN

TOTAL EXPENSES

OPERATINGPROFIT

$ SALES

$

$

$

$

$

$

$

% -

-

+

Income Statement

“RETURN ONASSETS” %

CAPITALTURNOVER

OTHERCURRENTASSETS

INVENTORY

ACCOUNTSRECEIVABLE

CURRENTASSETS

FIXEDASSETS

SALES

TOTALASSETS

$

$

$

$

$

$

$

+

+

+Balance Sheet

Logistics Affects All ROI Components

Page 70: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Why Not?

Impediments

Page 71: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

The “Corporate Silos”

Procurement

Production

Marketing Finance

Distribution

Page 72: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Corporate Objectives and Evaluation Criteria

• Often Set at Departmental Level (MBO mania)• Often Conflicting

lack of common goals

lack of common measures

• Often Mutually Exclusive• In Short…Many Compensation/Evaluation

Systems are Designed to SUBVERT Corporate ROI Objectives

Page 73: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

As A Result…

• Many firms are organized along functional boundaries minimize procurement costs minimize manufacturing costs minimize distribution costs

• Few firms adopt fully integrated logistics consider tradeoffs among procurement,

manufacturing, distribution

The “Easy” Savings Within Function Have Been Realized

Page 74: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

The Integrated Logistics System Puzzle

Product

demandsSeasonal

fluctuationsScale

economies

ProcurementcostsProduction\DC

costs

DC costs &

inventoriesFacility

capacities Transportation

costs

Customer

service

CONFLICTINGOBJECTIVES

ENVIRONMENTALUNCERTAINTY INTERRELATED

DATA INTENSIVE COMPLEX TRADEOFFS

Page 75: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

How?

Ten Steps to Success

Page 76: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Ten Steps to Success

Step 1: Establish Project ScopeStep 2: Describe the NetworkStep 3: Obtain Customer Demand DataStep 4: Obtain Freight CostsStep 5: Obtain Facility DataStep 6: Prepare Scenario Generation DataStep 7: Validate the ModelStep 8: Run Solver (Optimization) ExercisesStep 9: Analyze Solver ResultsStep 10: Implement the Results

Page 77: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Step 1

Establish Project Scope

Page 78: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Establish Project Scope

• Establish Project Issues System Structure Facility Ownership and Mission Business Environment Sensitivity

• Establish Logistics Scope Given: Finished Goods Distribution Optional: Manufacturing Detail Optional: Procurement Detail

Page 79: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Establish Project Scope

• Establish Facility Scope ownership (owned, leased, public) candidates mission

• Establish Metrics base time period flow unit cost unit

Page 80: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Establish Project Scope: Making It Easier

• Use Experienced Internal Team

• Use Experienced External Consultants

• Learn From Other Users

Page 81: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Step 2

Describe the Network

Page 82: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Network Description Data• Lists of Commodities

raw materials intermediate products finished products

• Lists of Locations (Nodes) raw material suppliers plant locations DC locations Customer regions

• Miscellaneous product bundles customer classes time periods

Page 83: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Product Aggregation

Stock Codes Product Groups

TR 968-14

TR 472-10

TR 784-16

1. Tires

TR 968-14

TR 472-10

TR 784-16

CQ 491-79

3. Mechanical

TR 968-14

TR 472-10

TR 784-16

EL 497-23

2. Electronics

Page 84: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Geographic Aggregation:1-Digit Zip Zone

9988 66

55

77 3322

1100

44

Page 85: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Network Description Data: Making It Easier

• Keep List Sizes Reasonable(detail = accuracy)

• Use Predefined Location Lists Such As Major Cities (Worldwide) Major DC Locations Metropolitan County Areas Zip Code Sectional Centers 3-Digit Zip Codes

Page 86: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Step 3

Obtain Customer Demand Data

Page 87: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Customer Demand Data

1 2 3 4 5 … N12 X345:M

Finished ProductsCustomer

Classes(Channels)

Base Period Demand in• Weight• Cube• Units

– cases– gallons or liters– pallets– and so on...

For Each Customer Region:

Page 88: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Customer Demand Data: Making It Easier

• Use Existing Spreadsheet Questionable Accuracy Likely Unavailable Poor Flexibility

• Use Transaction History File Best Possible Accuracy Likely Available Outstanding Flexibility Supports Baseline Analysis Enables Demand Pattern Analysis

Page 89: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Transaction History File

document numberdocument numbercustomer accountcustomer accountship-to addressship-to addressshipment originshipment originitem codeitem codequantityquantitydatedate

Page 90: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Step 4

Obtain Freight Costs

Page 91: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Transportation Data: Target

1 2 3 4 5 … N12 X345:M

Origins

Destinations

Average Cost /unit of flow

Page 92: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Weighted Average Freight Cost

Mode WeightBreak (in

CWT)

Rate(¢/CWT)

ProfileFraction

Rate XProfile

LTL 0-5 3187 .03 95.61LTL 5-10 2695 .07 188.65LTL 10-20 2240 .15 336.00LTL 20-50 1983 .25 495.75LTL 50-100 1626 .10 162.60LTL 100-200 1279 .15 191.85LTL 200-300 877 .10 87.70LTL 300-400 746 .05 37.30LTL 400+ 653 .10 65.30

1.00 1660.76

Page 93: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Transportation Data: Making It Easier

• Use Convenient Sources of Rates Published Tariffs

• LTL: Yellow 500, Roadway 507, CZAR Lite• parcel: UPS, FedEx• state/state TL matrix

Distance-Based Relationships• multiple intervals• linear for given distance interval

User-Supplied Database Combinations

Page 94: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Transportation Data: Making It Easier

• Locate Sources of Shipment Profiles Historical Data (Bill of Lading Files) Freight Payment System Transportation Improvement Program Estimates

Page 95: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Step 5

Obtain Facility Data

Page 96: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Facility Data Types (all optional)• Raw Material Supplier

Procurement Costs Procurement Capacities

• Manufacturing Overall Plant

• Fixed Costs• Capacities and Violation Penalties

Production Line (Process)• Fixed Costs• Capacities and Violation Penalties

Production Line (Process) and Product• Variable Costs• Capacities• Line Rates

Conversion Recipes

Page 97: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Facility Data Types (all optional)

• Distribution Center Fixed Costs Capacities and Violation Penalties Product-Specific Variable Costs Customer Class-Specific Variable Costs

Page 98: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Facility Data: Making It Easier

• Use Accounting Data Locate Chart of Accounts Classify Each as Fixed or Variable Remove Regional Differences Analyze for Consistency Reintroduce Regional Differences

Page 99: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Facility Data: Making It Easier

Total Cost

Total Volume

• Use Regression Data

Variable Cost “m”

y = mx + b

Fixed Cost “b”

Page 100: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Facility Data: Making It Easier

• Use Published Data Market Access (commerce within N day radius) Transportation Services (# of carriers) Payroll Indices Utility Indices Occupancy Cost Indices (construction, rent) Tax Rates Insurance Rates

Page 101: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Step 6

Prepare Scenario Generation Data

Page 102: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Scenario Generation Data Types• Data Selection

Demand Data Source Freight Cost Type

• Data Modifications Lock in / Lock Out Options (All Model

Components) Scaling

• customer demand• freight costs• facility costs and capacities

• Automatic Link Generation Facility Mission Service Levels Manual Overrides

Page 103: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Scenario Generation: Making It Easier

• Easy and Intuitive

• Master Database Remains Unchanged (on-the-fly modifications)

• Transportation Link Generation Control By Location, Not Link Few Locations But Many Links Let Computer Do Work

Page 104: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Scenario Generation: Making It Easier

Page 105: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Step 7

Validate the Model

Page 106: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Model Validation

• Set Up Model Baseline Exercise lock in existing facility locations / missions lock out candidate locations lock up all commodity flows per history

• each facility• each transportation link

“cost out” existing network• Compare Results with Accounting Data• May Need to Adjust Both Model and

Accounting Data

Page 107: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Model Validation: Making it Easier

• Choose Representative Base Time Period

• Know Strengths and Weaknesses of Accounting System

• Use Transaction Files

Page 108: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Step 8

Run Solver (Optimization) Exercises

Page 109: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Typical Solver Exercises

• Network Rationalization• Unconstrained Exercises• Candidate Location Analysis• Sensitivity Analysis

Cost vs. Service Cost Vs. Number of DC Locations Parametric Analysis of Input Data

• Customer Demand• Freight Costs• Facility Costs / Capacities

• Out-Year Analysis

Page 110: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Step 9

Analyze Solver Results

Page 111: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Analysis Tools

• Maps

• Business Graphics

• Spreadsheets

• Database Manager

• Written Reports standard custom

Page 112: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Step 10

Implement the Results

Page 113: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Steps to Implementation

• Establish Changes to be Made

• Set Implementation Priorities and Schedule

• Obtain Assistance, as Required Facility Location (Site Selection) Transportation Policy / Operations Computer Systems

Page 114: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

How?

Example Analysis

Page 115: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Ten Steps to Success

Step 1: Establish Project ScopeStep 2: Describe the NetworkStep 3: Obtain Customer Demand DataStep 4: Obtain Freight CostsStep 5: Obtain Facility DataStep 6: Prepare Scenario Generation DataStep 7: Validate the ModelStep 8: Run Solver (Optimization) ExercisesStep 9: Analyze Solver ResultsStep 10: Implement the Results

Page 116: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Step 1

Establish Project Scope

Page 117: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Establish Project Scope

• Establish Project Issues Number, Location and Size of

• Supplier Locations

• Manufacturing Locations

• DC Locations

Owned vs Public DC

Impact of Customer Service on Network Design

Impact of Manufacturing Capacity on Network Design

Page 118: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Establish Project Scope

• Establish Logistics Scope Full Supply Chain

• Establish Facility Scope Suppliers: Independent Plants: Owned. No Candidates DC’s: Owned or Public. Evaluate Candidates

• Establish Metrics Base Time Period: CY 97 Flow Unit: CWT Cost Unit: $

Page 119: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Step 2

Describe the Network

Page 120: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Describe the Network: Locations

• Raw Material Suppliers Jersey City Charlotte Kansas City Dallas-Ft Worth Los Angeles

Page 121: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Raw Material Suppliers

Page 122: Management Support Systems. Strategic Logistics Network Design Modeling

Describe the Network: Locations

• Plant Locations Jersey City Atlanta Indianapolis Phoenix Portland

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Plant Locations

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Describe the Network: Locations

• DC Locations Jersey City Los Angeles Chicago Atlanta Dallas-Ft Worth Memphis St. Louis San Francisco Norfolk Boston Houston Kansas City

Denver Columbus Buffalo Miami Jacksonville Minneapolis-St Paul Portland Knoxville New Orleans Salt Lake Pittsburgh Phoenix Indianapolis

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DC Locations

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Describe the Network: Locations

• Customer Regions Standard List: Major American Cities (261)

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Customer Regions

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Describe the Network: Commodities

• Raw Materials raw milk water grains flour yeast sugar salt baking powder baking soda corn oil

• Intermediate Products processed milk

butter

bread dough

French bread dough

croissant dough

sourdough dough

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Describe the Network: Commodities

• Finished Products milk-liquid

milk-powder

cheese

butter

sandwich bread

sandwich buns

French bread

sourdough bread

croissants

pastries

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Describe the Network: Miscellaneous

• Product Bundles Liquid Dry

• Customer Classes (Channels) Institutional Retail

• Time Period Annualized Model

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Step 3

Obtain Customer Demand Data

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Obtain Customer Demand Data

• Full year Invoice File

• Product (SKU) Master File

• Units of Measure Cases Weight Cube

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Customer Demand Data

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Step 4

Obtain Freight Costs

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Obtain Freight Costs

• Inbound: Distance-Based Equation• Interplant: Distance-Based Equation• Replenishment: Distance-Based Equation• DC Transfer: Distance-Based Equation• Outbound: Traffic Manager Simulation

LTL rates: Yellow Freight System

Parcel Rates: UPS

TL Rates: State/State TL Table

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Step 5

Obtain Facility Data

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Obtain Facility Data• Raw material Supplier

• costs: variable• capacities: none

• Plant Locations Overall Plant

• costs: fixed• capacities none

Overall Production Line• costs: fixed• capacities: hours

Product-Specific• costs: variable• capacities: none

DC Locations• costs: fixed and variable by facility• capacities: none

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Step 6

Prepare Scenario Generation Data

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Scenario Generation Data

• Demand Data Source: Transaction File Measurement Unit: Weight

• Lock In/Lock Out Facilities Baseline: Existing Only Rationalization: Existing Only Full Optimization: Existing and Candidates

• Scaling Baseline: None Rationalization: None Some Optimizations: Out-Year Estimates

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Scenario Generation Data: Transportation Links

Freight Cost Link Gen Service Limit

Inbound Equation Auto None

Interplant Equation Auto None

Replenishment Equation Auto None

DC Transfer Equation Auto None

Outbound Simulation Auto Selected Runs

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Supplier Eligibility

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Production Eligibility: Intermediate Products

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Production Eligibility: Finished Products

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DC Eligibility: Institutional Customers

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DC Eligibility: Retail Customers

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Step 7

Validate the Model

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Model Validation

• Set Up Model Baseline Exercise locked in existing facility locations / missions locked out candidate locations locked up all commodity flows per history

• each facility• each transportation link

“costed out” existing network• Compared Results with Accounting Data• Adjusted Both Model and Accounting Data

Bottom Line: Model Results Within 2% of Accounting Data

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Step 8

Run Solver (Optimization) Exercises

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Run Solver (Optimization) Exercises

Run DC Fixed Cost Customer ServiceLimit

1 25,000 None

2 100,000 None

3 250,000 None

4 100,000 500 mi (retail)

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Step 9

Analyze Solver Results

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Analyze Solver Results

Run DC FixedCost

Cust ServiceLimit

# of OpenDC's

Total Cost

1 25,000 None 7 84,492

2 100,000 None 4 84,860

3 250,000 None 3 85,325

4 100,000 500 mi(retail)

12 85,721

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Run 1: Fixed Cost Sensitivity

DC Fixed Cost: 25,000

Customer Service Limit: None

Number of Open DC’s: 7

Total Cost 84,492

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Run 2: Fixed Cost Sensitivity

DC Fixed Cost: 100,000

Customer Service Limit: None

Number of Open DC’s: 4

Total Cost 84,860

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Run 3: Fixed Cost Sensitivity

DC Fixed Cost: 250,000

Customer Service Limit: None

Number of Open DC’s: 3

Total Cost 85,325

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Run 4: Service Sensitivity

DC Fixed Cost: 100,000

Customer Service Limit: 500 miles

Number of Open DC’s: 12

Total Cost 85,721

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Step 10

Implement the Results

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Steps to Implementation

• Establish Changes to be Made

• Set Implementation Priorities and Schedule

• Obtain Assistance, as Required Facility Location (Site Selection) Transportation Policy / Operations Computer Systems

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Ten Steps to Success

Step 1: Establish Project ScopeStep 2: Describe the NetworkStep 3: Obtain Customer Demand DataStep 4: Obtain Freight CostsStep 5: Obtain Facility DataStep 6: Prepare Scenario Generation DataStep 7: Validate the ModelStep 8: Run Solver (Optimization) ExercisesStep 9: Analyze Solver ResultsStep 10: Implement the Results

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How?

Choosing the Right Solver

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Solver Technology: Terminology Problems

Heuristic

Static simulation

Static heuristicCost calculator

Transshipment algorithm

Dynamic simulationOptimization

Center of gravityNumerical computation

Expert system

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Integrated Logistics System Design ModelPotential Network Schematic

FW1

FW2

FW3

FW4

FW5

P1

P2

P3

PW1

PW2

PW3

S1

S2

CZ1

CZ5

CZ6

CZ2

CZ3

CZ4

Replenishment OutboundInbound

DC TransferInterplant

Raw Materials

Intermediate Products

Finished Products

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Integrated Logistics System Design ModelActual Network Design

FW1

FW2

FW3

FW4

FW5

P1

P2

P3

PW1

PW2

PW3

S1

S2

CZ1

CZ5

CZ6

CZ2

CZ3

CZ4

Replenishment OutboundInbound

DC TransferInterplant

Raw Materials

Intermediate Products

Finished Products

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Dynamic Simulation

• Characteristics detailed emulation of activities over time evaluates (not finds) a solution from the user difficult to validate expensive to develop, maintain, and run run-to-run comparisons dicey cannot deal properly with

• fixed costs• capacities• economies of scale• sole sourcing requirements• open/close decisions

• Bottom line: Poor choice for strategic logistics network design

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Heuristics and Expert Systems• Characteristics

common sense consideration of limited alternatives not guaranteed to find best solution solution dependent upon quality of decision rules run-to-run comparisons unreliable beware the expert selected cannot deal properly with

• fixed costs• capacities• economies of scale• sole sourcing requirements• open/close decisions

• Bottom line: Poor choice for strategic logistics network design

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Mathematical Optimization

• Characteristics evaluates all possible alternatives guaranteed to find best solution within

specified tolerance run-to-run comparisons reliable not always applicable

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Question: Does it make a difference?

You decide...

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Sample Problem

DC1

DC2

0

5

4

2

3

3

4

2

0

1

CZ1

CZ2

CZ3

50,000

100,000

50,000

PLANT 1

PLANT 2

Capacity: 60,000

Capacity:

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Heuristic Solution 1“Least Outbound Cost”

DC1

DC2

PLANT 1

PLANT 2

CZ1

CZ2

CZ3

50,000

100,000

50,000

0

5

4

2

140,000

60,000

3

3

4

2

0

1

Inbound cost $820,000

Outbound cost $150,000

Total $970,000

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Heuristic Solution 2“Least Total Flow Cost”

DC1

DC2

PLANT 1

PLANT 2

CZ1

CZ2

CZ3

50,000

100,000

50,000

3

3

4

2

0

1

Inbound cost $570,000

Outbound cost $200,000

Total $770,000

0

5

42

50,000

60,000

90,000

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Optimal SolutionTrue Least Cost

DC1

DC2

PLANT 1

PLANT 2

CZ1

CZ2

CZ3

50,000

100,000

50,000

0

5

42

140,000

60,000

Inbound cost $120,000

Outbound cost $470,000

Total $590,000

3

3

4

2

0

1

40,000

60,000

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The Bottom Line

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A Strategic Logistics Network Design Model Can Help You...

• Identify Service Improvements

• Manage Capital

• Reduce Costs / Increase Profit

• Balance Service, Capital and Costs

• Enhance Shareholder Value

In Today’s Environment….Enough Said

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Management Support Systems