maglev‘2006, dresden, september 13-15 why maglev? dr. rer. pol michael raschbichler transrapid in...
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Maglev‘2006, Dresden, September 13-15 Why Maglev?
Dr. rer. polMichael Raschbichler
Transrapid in the context of urban and regional transport planning
• Long-Wave-Theories and Infrastructures
• Actual Developments on globalized markets
• Settlement Structures in Europe
• Vision of a maglev network for Germany
• Why maglev?
Maglev‘2006, Dresden, September 13-15 Why Maglev?
Dr. rer. polMichael Raschbichler
Long-Wave-Theories and Infrastructures
1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050
Growth
Wave I1805
Steam/MechanicsTrade
Wave II1865
Coal/StealTraffic
Wave III1920
Electricity/ChemistryEnergy
Wave IV1970
Oil/ElectronicsCommunication
Wave V2020
Nuclear Power/ITKnowledge
Canals1836
Rails1891
Roads1946
Air2002
Maglev?2060
10-15years
10-15years
10-15years
10-15years
Linking specific cities
Linking regions(national)
Covering Areas(decentralization)
Linking Metropoles (international)
Maglev‘2006, Dresden, September 13-15 Why Maglev?
Dr. rer. polMichael Raschbichler
Long-Wave-Theories and InfrastructuresConclusion
• There are regular cycles of economic growth.
• There are regular cycles in the development of infrastructures.
• There is a correlation between infrastructure and economic development.
• Each transportation system answers a specific economic requirement and itself has an impact on economic development and settlement structure.
Maglev‘2006, Dresden, September 13-15 Why Maglev?
Dr. rer. polMichael Raschbichler
Actual Developments on globalized markets
• Increasing spezialisation and complexity of organisation in networks or project companies.
• Shift from mass production (Fordistic) to flexible, individualized production (Post-Fordistic).
• Demographic changes and increasing importance of innovative clusters and regions.
• Spatial and interactional expansion of economic areas and concentration on metropolitan areas due to Globalization.
• Temporal distance, not spatial, is the determining factor.
Maglev‘2006, Dresden, September 13-15 Why Maglev?
Dr. rer. polMichael Raschbichler
Settlement Structures in Europe
England GermanyFrance
Maglev‘2006, Dresden, September 13-15 Why Maglev?
Dr. rer. polMichael Raschbichler
Vision of a maglev networkfor Germany
• 4.255 km (2,644 miles)
• 50 DB stations
• 10 P&R stations
• 14 airport stations
• av. 34% time saving to actual systems (~ 1h)
• connects smaller regions to metropolitan areas
Hamburg
Berlin
Dresden
Leipzig
Magdeburg
Hannover
Bremen
DortmundKassel
Cologne
Francfort
Nuremberg
Munich
Stuttgart• support of decentralized
concentration
Maglev‘2006, Dresden, September 13-15 Why Maglev?
Dr. rer. polMichael Raschbichler
Why maglev?
• 70th: new systems needed to reach HighSpeed
• 90th: railways with 300 – 350 km/h (180 – 215 mph)
• Airtravel is adequate system to link metropolitan regions in globalized markets.
• Maglev is to bring short international trip times by airtravel into the regions.
• Maglev strengthens smaller regions and links them to international markets.
Maglev‘2006, Dresden, September 13-15 Why Maglev?
Dr. rer. polMichael Raschbichler
Maglev is the future of modern high-speed transportation.
• Which region will give the major impulse for the implementation of this innovative transportation system?
• Europe? Asia? America?
Maglev‘2006, Dresden, September 13-15 Why Maglev?
Dr. rer. polMichael Raschbichler
Requirements for future transportation infrastructures
• Available and flexible
• Short trip times despite intermediate stops
• Safe and reliable
• Low costs
• Ecologically consistent
• Fit to regional settlement structure.
Interconnect flexible and innovative clusters and regions in a network.