m-brain business intelligence seminar oct 7 2010 final

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1 Evolve! The future of Strategic Media Analysis M-Brain Business Intelligence Seminar Mark Linder 7 October 2010, Helsinki

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Business intelligence seminar. A look at modern methods of scanning and interpreting all forms of media.

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Page 1: M-Brain business intelligence seminar Oct 7 2010 final

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Evolve!

The future of Strategic Media Analysis

M-Brain Business Intelligence SeminarMark Linder7 October 2010, Helsinki

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This is a pivotal time for the strategic analyst of media

• Strategic analysis can move to a proactive role

• This role can put the analyst at the centre of strategy and decision-support

• New tools and more creative methods are available – and necessary

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Today...

• Context-setting

• The new monitoring paradigm

• Examples

• Discussion

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What is the purpose of online research and analysis, anyway?

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The capability at your fingertips is changing

Yesterday• Understand what tier I

and trade media is saying, reactively

Today• Understand what all

media is saying, proactively

• Analyze threats, sources, and rising topics

• Track what real people think, and who is influencing them

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Strategic media analysis is not only about what the media is saying...

It is not only about what real people think about your chosen topic, entity, brand...

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...It is also what people are saying about

what others think

about that topic

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The world has fundamentally changed

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Two big changes – only two

Everything else is a variation

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There are no more majoritiesWe are in the age of the coalition

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Western society has gone from

deference to reference

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"The price we pay for the growth in egalitarianism offered by the Internet is the decentralized access to unedited stories. In this medium, contributions by intellectuals lose their power to create a focus.“

-- Juegen Habermas, quoted by Andrew Keen, “The Cult of the Amateur”

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We live in the age of instant

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“Never underestimate the importance of fast.”

-- Eric Schmidt*

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Journalists are adapting

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“For the journalist, the deadline – any deadline – is a luxury”

-- Andrew Lyons

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Wikipedia “copy/paste” journalism....

What’s out there... Grab it... Amend it...Push it out

Journalists are, in a way, re-tweeting....

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Implications for us

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Topic and theme analysis

What are the trending topics, and main themes being discussed?

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Topic and theme analysismust include Influence Mapping• Are sites cross-referencing each other?

• Which sites/voices are the most influential?

• What are they saying?

• How does this change over time?

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Social Media Analysis

• Which media should you be analysing?

• Should it be the most influential? The most authoritative?

• The 'Buzziest'?

• What media classifications are the most useful for your needs?

• Which analytics are meaningful to you?

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Story moves....

Main-stream

Blog

Social

Twitter

Trade media

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Main-stream

Blog

Social

Twitter

Trade media

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Main-stream

Blog

Social

Twitter

Trade media

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Main-stream

Blog

Social

Twitter

Trade media

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Main-stream

Blog

Social

Twitter

Trade media

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Main-stream

Blog

Social

Twitter

Trade media

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What does this mean for us?

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1. Going broader, not just deeper

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“Tier I” media is a reflection, a magnifier – need more

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You have always gone deeper

-- “trade” press has always been where media gets its intelligence

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But now, you have to go broader...

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The new “Tier I”

Yesterday• Tier I -- NY Times, BBC,

CNN, Guardian, etc• The supporting trade

media

Today• Tier I -- NY Times, BBC,

CNN, Guardian, etc• Supporting trade media• And, the big 5• And, the relevant blogs

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Going broader -- the big five

• Twitter• YouTube• Linked-In• Flickr• Facebook

30M tweets/day

200K clips/day

50M users

4B photos

540M active users

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Topic and Theme AnalysisBP oil spill

Social media activity here was most stimulated by images of the spill… not by stories about the politics or environmental impact…

…celebrity engagement also stimulates social media reactions!

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Pictures, not words -- BP oil spill

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Tracking the opponents – BP oil spill

• 18,000 followers @BP_America

With sunny skies, lower temps, clean beaches, Fall is a great time to visit Gulf Shores & Orange Beach

• 190,000 followers @BPGlobalPR

Reports of 79% of the oil remaining in the Gulf are false according to the pie chart we made ourselves

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Tracking the semantics -- HomeSun

HomeSun is a solar generation company that funds the homeowner investment

Semantic analysis shows that the launch was treated as a renewable energy economy story, not a “solar” story

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Assessing strategic themesUganda Analysis – public issues

Assessed Strategic Importance

Restriction of political freedom

Corruption

Refugees and IDPs

Territorial Disputes

PovertyEconomic Instabilit

yOil

Inter-national

Aid

HIV/AIDs

High Infant Mortality

Rates

Short Life Expectancy Disease

TortureConflict

and violence

Kidnap

Ethnic and Religious Tensions

Unemployment

Housing

Lack of Education

Water Manage-

ment

Contracep-tion

Agriculture

Key:Size of circle = Assessed level of public interestColour of circle = Assessed strategic importance Overlap = Interrelated issues

HIGH LOW

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The digital discovery toolbox

Media Blogs & Forums

Social Media

Websites Search

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2. Tracking the dynamics, not just the story

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For example, search is a dynamic

• Google has the best index

• Google makes available good tools

– Alerts– Trends, trends for websites– Insights for search

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Insights for search – N8 news

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Contrast with N8 web – different geography

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An example where the dynamic IS the story

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3. Influence mapping

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Influence MappingLondon Fields Shooting

In influential online media this turned out to be as much (or more) a political story as a policing story

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Influence MappingLondon Fields Shooting

Mayor of Hackney

Detective Sergeant

Chief Superintendent

Police are very much part of the story!

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Summary

• Journalism is a free-flowing copy/paste river, where words, video, pictures play an interrelated role

• Strategic analysis goes beyond words, and beyond Tier I

• Topic analysis requires a look at rising trends

• Must be married to dynamics to see what’s behind the story

• Your product is insight

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Discussion

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Credits

• Andrew Lyons (perspectives on journalism)• Darrell Berry (influence maps and topic analysis, BP,

Metropolitan Police)• James Thomlinson (digital discovery toolbox)• Nicholine Hayward (domestic violence example)• Olton (Uganda strategic themes)• Tim Bell (perspectives on change)

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Thank you

Mark Linder, Bell-Pottinger Sans Frontiè[email protected]