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Long term cost benefit considerations (culvert economics) Jon Simonsen – DNR April 2017

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Page 1: Long term cost benefit considerations (culvert economics) · Long term cost benefit considerations (culvert economics) Jon Simonsen – DNR April 2017 . ... 20 20 – 25 25 – 30

Long term cost benefit considerations (culvert economics)

Jon Simonsen – DNR

April 2017

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Overview

• Economic benefits of healthy waterways

• The challenge

• Stream impacts on roads

– Causing problems that take time and money to fix

• Cost savings lessons learned

• Long term cost saving strategies

• Mission impossible?

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Economic benefits of healthy waters

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What is the challenge?

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Stream impacts on the road (time & money):

• Structure durability

• Geomorphic factors

• Hydraulic factors

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• Structure durability

• Geomorphic factors

• Hydraulic factors

Stream impacts on the road (time & money):

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Structure durability

• Ability of the culvert to safely carry loads

• Structure material based on site water chemistry

• Avoid stream constriction to lower velocity and abrasive energy of water & sediment

• Avoid flood prone sites to preserve the integrity of the road core (by reducing erosion, overtopping, piping, etc.)

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Geomorphic factors

• Streams are always conveying sediment and wood.

• Often an overlooked but a very important design factor!

• Culverts that don’t constrict the stream are more likely to pass sediment and woody debris in a wide range of flows.

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Woody debris transported during floods is often < BFW in length

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Gravel deposits downstream from frequent road failures

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Hydraulic factors

Ability of the culvert to convey water during a wide range of flows (including floods)

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Be careful with resurface/ overlay projects!

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Hydraulic factors

• Culverts that don’t constrict the stream generally pass 100 year storm events without overtopping & road damage.

• Culverts 50% the width of the stream often don’t pass the 50 or 100 year storm event. The result is often overtopping and/or road damage.

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Culvert life cycle cost

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Culvert life cycle cost

Initial replacement & construction

+ _annual maintenance _

+ _lifespan ______ _

+ _added cost of emergency repairs

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Cost-savings lessons learned

• New York and Vermont- Tropical Storm Irene – Link between flood resiliency & ecological connectivity

– In many cases, municipality spends LESS $ and LESS TIME over the long term (50 to 75 years)

• Massachusetts – Culvert upgrades studies at 3 problem sites

– The upgrades were ~38% less expensive than in kind replacement and maintenance over 30 years

• Maine culvert cost study – Annual cost at 4 culvert replacements over a 50 year

timespan.

– 2 sites with cost savings, 2 sites with cost increase

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Cost-savings lessons learned

• Wisconsin- Green Bay (2016)

– Studied 461 culverts that were about ½ of the bankfull stream width.

– The total culvert lifetime savings of stream spanning culverts as ~ $13,000 at each crossing.

– This savings offset the initial improvement cost at 49% of sites.

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Cost-saving strategies

• Avoid durability, geomorphic, & hydraulic problems!

• Maximize the culvert service life to avoid cost of multiple replacements

• Long term thinking

Undersized culvert lifespan ~ 35 years

Stream spanning culvert lifespan ~ 75 years

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• Reduce maintenance costs

• Avoid added costs of flood failure – Project costs during a major flood are generally higher

than planned replacement costs.

– Added costs to repair streams, property, and delayed travel

– Public safety

Cost-saving strategies

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• Avoid impacts to local business, tourism, industry, etc.

Cost-saving strategies

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• “100 year flood”: Terminology itself can be unintentionally misleading.

• Encourage thinking in terms of the annual exceedance probability or percent chance of occurrence.

What are the chances???

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Lifespan of culvert (to minimize long term costs) has a 53% - 63% chance of experiencing a 100 year storm event.

What are the chances???

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0 0.01 - 5 5 – 10 10 – 15 15 – 20 20 – 25 25 – 30 30 – 35 35 – 40

100-Yr, 24-Hr Precipitation Depths

Percent Change From TP40 to NOAA Atlas 14 (Representative Location)

Shawano County: TP40: 5.40”

Atlas 14 (Rep. Loc. = Mean): 5.40” No Change

Ashland County: TP40: 5.40”

Atlas 14 (Rep. Loc. = Mean): 7.37” Increase 36.5%

Change in Precipitation Depth From TP40 to NOAA Atlas 14 (Rep. Loc.)

100-Year, 24-hour (Percent)

Grant County: TP40: 6.20”

NOAA Atlas 14: 7.69” Increase 24.0%

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• Culvert inventories to plan and prioritize

– Not all sites are problems

– Find and address flood prone and ecologically important crossings

– Find and address sites that will minimize disruption of emergency services

Mission Impossible?

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Local Example

• Town of Ackley: stream culverts = 24

~12 are fine (~50%)

8-9 minor problems easily fixed (~35%)

3-4 are bigger streams and bigger issues (~15%)

• For the bigger problems, evaluate resources, estimate costs, work with DNR and others to look for alternative funding sources

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Working with DNR

Department of No Reason?

Department of No Results?

Damn Near Russian?

Department of Norwegian Regulators?

Design of No-problem Roadways

The goal of each project: make reasonable decisions to best serve the public from a very broad range of perspectives and a long term view.

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References

Flood Effects on Road-Stream Crossing Infrastructure: Economic and Ecological Benefits of Stream Simulation Designs. (Gillespie et. al. 2014)

• http://fisheries.org/docs/wp/AFS-Fisheries-Magazine-February-2014.pdf

An Economic Analysis of Improved Road-Stream Crossings. (Levine 2013)

• http://www.nature.org/ourinitiatives/regions/northamerica/road-stream-crossing-economic-analysis.pdf

Cost-Benefit Analysis of Stream-Simulation Culverts. (Christiansen, et.al. 2015)

• https://www.lafollette.wisc.edu/images/publications/cba/2014-culvert.pdf

Conservation Leverage: Ecological-Design Culverts also Return Fiscal Benefits (O’Shaughnessy, et. al. 2016)

• https://fisheries.org/2016/12/conservation-leverage-ecological-design-culverts-also-return-fiscal-benefits/