local economic development in the urban context a missed opportunity
DESCRIPTION
Presented to the Milken-Koret fellows program 2011 Abstract: After more than 50 years of massive investment in Local Economic Development (LED) worldwide, what has been learned regarding what works and what does not? If in the past economic development was focused on employment generation, today the accepted definitions of LED are much more intricate – they define the purpose of LED as achieving “quality of life for all” and the process as a collective effort of “public, business and non-governmental sector partners“. This sober view has developed over decades of huge but mostly fruitless investments in LED worldwide, in three waves, that where kicked off by the success of the Marshal Plan. Have the lessons of the past been learned or do we keep investing in approaches that have failed in the past? Unfortunately not, we still see; Top down efforts by central government to lead LED programs, instead of a participatory approach, including all stakeholders and sectors, led by local government. A focus on outside big business transplant, instead of support of innovation, entrepreneurship and policies focused on the success of local businesses. Attempts to jumpstart and support LED over entire regions, instead of focusing on cities as the true engines of economic growth. Why have the leading LED practitioners worldwide focused on cities and urban economic development over the last decade? Urbanization matters - economic growth and urbanization are bi-directionally causally connected - “no country in the industrial age has ever achieved significant economic growth without urbanization.”. 1.2 billion people living in the 40 mega-metro regions worldwide produce around 70% of world output and 85% of all innovations. 5 billion people living in 191 countries produce the rest. A resident of a mega-metro is 8 times as productive in goods, and 24 times as productive in innovations. Cities are engines of economic growth, they manufacture wealth. Why is this so? Cities have natural economic advantages that include internal scale economies and external agglomeration economies. But poor city design can undermine these advantages and create barriers to economic development, whereas good city design can enhance these advantages. How can we leverage the natural economic advantages of cities with good city design? Compact mixed-use development that focuses on pedestrian and public transport access is key. How does the urban economy develop? How can we jumpstart economic development, when it is missing, in Israeli cities? Viewing economic development in the context of a network of interrelated towns and cities clarifies that different types of towns and cities, within the network, require different approaches to LED. Great cities that generate more wealth than they consume require one approach for continued development. Towns and cities within the region of a great city require a second approach. Towns that are outside the region of a great city require a third approach and lastly cities that are not great require a forth approach.TRANSCRIPT
Local Economic Development
in the Urban Context
April 2011
www.miu.org.il
What is LED? The Old Simple View
• Local Economic Development is
Employment Generation
What is LED? The Current View
• The purpose of Local Economic Development is
– to build up the economic capacity of a local area
– to improve its economic future and
– the quality of life for all.
• It is a process by which
– public, business and non-governmental sector partners work collectively
– to create better conditions for economic growth and employment generation.
Economic Development
before the 1800s…
• …was boring!
– Production followed
Population
Production
The Industrial Revolution
English-speaking
Japan
northwest Europe
the rest of Europe and Europe-dominated
economies in Latin America.
the rest of Asia and Africa.
A Brief History of LED
Nations Regions / Sectors
Cities and Towns
Hard Infrastructure and
Manufacturing Transplants
Attract Foreign Investment and Support Local Businesses
Skills/Education, Attractive Policies
and Public/Private Partnerships
1960s to early1980s
1980s to mid 1990s
Late1990s onwards
Th
e s
ucce
ss o
f th
e M
ars
ha
ll P
lan
kic
ke
d o
ff
thre
e w
ave
s o
f L
ED
Summary of Outdated Thinking on LED
Top-Down approach
• Central Government conceived, controlled, and directed strategies
• Total dependence on central government
Attract outside businesses
• Promotion and support of big business transplants
• Attract outside investments and outside talent
Focus on regions
• Attempts to jumpstart and support LED over entire regions
• Connect under-developed regions to successful ones
Goal is Employment Generation
Summary of Current Thinking on LED
Participatory approach
• Including all stakeholders and sectors
• Led by local government
Growth of local businesses
• Promotion and support of innovation and entrepreneurship (both business and social)
• Business friendly policies
Focus on cities
• As engines of economic development
• As a great place to live and work
• Urban regeneration as a tool
Goal is quality of life for all
Employment Environment Livibility Social inclusion
Why is LED Important? • Big differences in productivity possible since the Industrial Revolution
Pre - Industrial Revolution Agriculture
10x
64x
144x
Tel-Aviv Metro Area
43% of Population
on 7% of Area
produces 59% of GDP
Urbanization Matters for
Economic Growth • Economic Growth and Urbanization are bi-
directionally causally connected
• ―… no country in the industrial age has
ever achieved significant economic growth
without urbanization.‖
Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey 10
Economic Growth Urbanization
Opportunities are Focused in
Cities
• The World is getting more urbanized
– Opportunities are focused in Cities where people concentrate
11 Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu
Dey
Half the world’s population
occupies only 1.5% of the
world’s land area
2 9
3 7
4 8
6 1
15
2 5
3 9
5 4
17
2 4
3 9
5 45 1
6 6
7 3
8 0
4 2
6 1
7 7
8 5
6 4
7 4
8 0
8 7
6 1
7 27 3 7 5
0
20
40
60
80
100
Perc
ent
World Africa Asia Europe Latin
America
and the
Caribbean
Northern
America
Oceania
1950 1975 2003 2030
The World is Getting More Urbanized
12 Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey
Israel 92%
Cities Have Natural Economic Advantages
• Doubling city size will increase productivity by 3%-10%
• Successful cities grow to metros
• Metros grow to mega-metros (>5M pop) – 1955 – 11 Mega-Metros
– Today - 50 Mega-Metros
– 2015 – 60 Mega-Metros
• Mega-Mertos are at the core of Mega-Regions
13
1955 - 11 mega-metros 2015 - 60 mega-metros
Cities Have Natural Economic Advantages
• 40 Mega-Metro Regions Today – A resident of a mega-metro region is 8 times as productive
in goods, and 24 times as productive in innovations
14
Population Economic Output Innovations
Economic Output is Focused in City-Metros
Cities are Engines of
Economic Development and Growth
• Why is this so?
– Economies of scale and of agglomeration
Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey 15
Urban Economies
• Sharing of fixed costs by a large quantity of outputs
• Input-sharing and competition within the industry
• innovation and exchange of ideas and technology
Lecture 27 Urbanization Atanu Dey 16
The 12 Urban Economies Type of economy of scale Example
Internal
1. Pecuniary Being able to purchase intermediate inputs at volume discounts
Technological
2. Static
technological Falling average costs because of fixed costs of operating a plant
3. Dynamic
technological Learning to operate a plant more efficiently over time
External or
agglomeration
Localization
Static
4. ―Shopping‖ Shoppers are attracted to places where there are many sellers
5. ―Adam Smith‖ Outsourcing allows both the upstream input suppliers and downstream firms to
profit from productivity gains because of specialization
6. ―Marshall‖
labor pooling
Workers with industry-specific skills are attracted to a location where there is a
greater concentration
Dynamic
7. ―Marshall-
Arrow-Romer‖
learning by doing
Reductions in costs that arise from repeated and continuous production activity
over time and which spill over between firms in the same place
Urbanization
Static
8. ―Jane Jacobs‖
innovation
The more that different things are done locally, the more opportunity there is for
observing and adapting ideas from others
9. ―Marshall‖
labor pooling
Workers in an industry bring innovations to firms in other industries; similar to
no. 6 above, but the benefit arises from the diversity of industries in one location.
10. ―Adam Smith‖
division of labor
Similar to no. 5 above, the main difference being that the division of labor is
made possible by the existence of many different buying industries in the same
place
Dynamic
11. ―Romer‖
endogenous
growth
The larger the market, the higher the profit; the more attractive the location to
firms, the more jobs there are; the more labor pools there, the larger the
market—and so on
12. ―Pure‖ agglomeration Spreading fixed costs of infrastructure over more taxpayers; diseconomies arise
from congestion and pollution
Cities have natural
economic advantages
Poor city design
• can undermine these advantages and create barriers to economic development
Good city design
• can enhance these advantages and catalyze economic development
Improving City Design is a neglected opportunity
for Economic Development in Israel
Typical Faults in City Design that
Undermine Economic Advantages
• Highway that cuts the city in half
• Universities and Colleges in fenced off campuses on the outskirts of cities
• Employment parks on the outskirts of cities
• Train stations on the outskirts of cities
• Retail malls on the outskirts of cities
• Lack of a city center that encourages interaction of people
• Tree-like street network undermines accessibility vs. simple grid
• Car based sprawl and zoning vs. people based compact mixed-use development
• Low densities that require huge investments in infrastructure and operation costs
• Fences, fences and more fences
Highway that cuts the city in half
Chicago vs. Tel-Aviv
Highlights of Smart Growth Economic Benefits
Source: Growing Wealthier,
Center for Clean Air Policy January 2011
Infrastructure Savings (construction and operation)
• Compact development reduces infrastructure costs and saves money.
– Average annual cost to service a new family of four (police, fire, highway, schools and sewer):
• Compact suburban Shelby County, KY = $88
• Sprawling Pendleton County, KY = $1,222 – Sources: Brookings Institution
$-
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
Sprawling Compact
Annual Cost to Service a New Family
The Neglected Opportunity
People and Talent
Policies and Institutions
Place and Infrastructure
• Education and Training
• Business and Social Entrepreneurship
• Financial and Business
• Stability and Security
• Social Justice and Inclusion
• Health and Wellbeing
• Land Use and Planning (Real-Estate and Infrastructure)
• Urban Form and Real-Estate
• Transportation and Communication
• Energy, Water and Waste
• Natural Resources
The Basic Structure of the Economy
What is the difference between
Economic Development and Economic Growth?
How Does Economic Development Happen?
D + nTE + A nD
• Existing work generates new work!
– D is a Division of work
• The work required to provide a
product or service is made up of
Divisions of work
– A is Additional work
• An existing division of work inspires
a new Additional product or service
– TE is Trial and Error
• Generating new work requires
much Trial and Error
LED in the Context of Cities from the easiest to the most difficult
LED in a Great City
LED in the Region of a Great City
LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region
LED in a City that is not Great
A Great City generates much more wealth than it consumes for mere existence.
A Great City generates enough wealth to support growth in the city as well in its surrounding region.
LED in the
Context of Cities
LED in a Great City
LED in the Region of a Great City
LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region
LED in a City that is not Great
Beer-Sheba
LED in a Great City
• What is the role of Urban Planning and Transportation in creating a
great place to live and to develop economically?
It can become a LED generator
If the City provides
Density Mixed use Mixed age buildings
Small Blocks
LED in a Great City
LED in the Region of a Great City
LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region
LED in a City that is not Great
LED in the Region of a Great City
• Create a great place to live and to develop economically
• Provide attractive and efficient access to The City
• The City will do the rest
LED in a Great City
LED in the Region of a Great City
LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region
LED in a City that is not Great
The Five Economic Forces
Exerted by Cities on Their Own Regions
City markets City jobs City
developed technology
Transplanted city work
City generated
capital
Leveraging the five forces to
accelerate LED in the region of a
Great City ToD in the Center of Regional Towns of a Great City
Stockholm The Gr Stockholm Transit
Oriented Metropolis The Gr Copenhagen Transit Oriented Metropolis
The 1961 National Capital Plan for Gr Washington BC
Is Beer-Sheva a Great City?
What about rail stations in
the center of the towns?
LED in a Great City
LED in the Region of a Great City
LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region
LED in a City that is not Great
Source – Prof. Danny Gatt
LED in a Town Outside a Great
City Region
• Need to become a Great City (or wait for a Great City to develop nearby)
Jumpstart the economy
• Produce and sell something of value to a solvent market by turning any advantage into an opportunity
Leverage initial sales to
• Earn Imports
• Replace imports for yourself and for economically similar towns through innovation and improvisation
• Repeat last two steps forever
How?
• Leverage current thinking on LED
• Create a great place to live and to develop economically
• In the existing center of town
LED in a Great City
LED in the Region of a Great City
LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region
LED in a City that is not Great
LED in a City that is not Great
• Need to become a Great City (or wait for a Great City to develop nearby)
Jumpstart the economy
• Produce and sell something of value to a solvent market by turning any advantage into an opportunity
Leverage initial sales to
• Earn Imports
• Replace imports for yourself and for economically similar cities through innovation and improvisation
• Repeat last two steps forever
How?
• Leverage current thinking on LED
• Create a great place to live and to develop economically
• In a small focused area of the city (urban acupuncture)
LED in a Great City
LED in the Region of a Great City
LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region
LED in a City that is not Great
How to unlock the cycle of city
development
Density Variety
& Access
Innovation &
Culture
Development Intensity
Opportunities
Quality Of
Life
People
The
―handle‖
LED in a Great City
LED in the Region of a Great City
LED in a Town Outside a Great City Region
LED in a City that is not Great
How do you
advance ever closer
to your vision of a
successful town,
based on daily
decisions and based
on existing budgets?
E.g. - The Main Street Program's Success
Economic Statistics:
• 1980-2007 Reinvestment Statistics
• Dollars Reinvested:- Total amount of reinvestment in
physical improvements from public and private
sources.$44.9 Billion Average
• reinvestment per community: $11,083,273
• Net gain in businesses: 82,909
• Net gain in jobs: 370,514
• Number of building rehabilitations: 199,519
City Center Renewal as a LED Tool or
How to increase Density, Variety and Access
First stage:
• Surgical urban intervention plan in the public space
Second stage:
• Renewal of the public space
Third stage:
• Private Development Construction and Renovation near the public space
Use the ―charrette‖ collaborative planning
tool as the basis of a LED program •Create a great place to live for local
residents
•Create a great place to succeed for local
businesses
•Leverage the true identity of the city / town
as seen by the local residents
•Local residents strengthen their sense of
belonging by planning their town
•Leverage existing budgets for
public building projects to
implement the plan
•Local residents are
empowered by seeing their
plans adopted and
implemented
•Provide loans to accelerate
private storefront and
residence renewal
Thank You and see you in November 2011
April 2011
www.miu.org.il
כנס אשקלון־מרחב לפיתוח כלכלי עירוני "העיר כמנוע לצמיחה כלכלית"
Participatory approach
• Including all stakeholders and sectors
• Led by local government
Growth of local businesses
• Promotion and support of innovation and entrepreneurship (both business and social)
• Business friendly policies
Focus on cities
• As engines of economic development
• Urban regeneration as a tool
Goal is quality of life for all
Employment Environment Livibility Social inclusion
The critical role of Merhav in
LED in Israel
Participatory approach
• Charrette – collaborative planning with all stakeholders
• Quality in Density Toolbox for all sectors
• Mayors Institute
Growth of local businesses
• Making the local environment great for the locals
• Compact, quality and sustainable cities provide opportunities and breed innovation
Focus on cities
• We view the city as the key mechanism that provides people the opportunities to fulfill their inherent potential
Goal is quality of life for all
In order to improve the quality of living in Israel, while contributing to the global sustainability effort, the MIU promotes quality urban living based on compact,
quality and sustainable urban environments.
Which Programs Do Not Work
(But We Still Keep Using Them!)
• Unfortunately there are countless examples of failed LED strategies and projects. These include: – Expensive untargeted foreign direct investment marketing
campaigns
– Supply-led training programs
– Excessive reliance on grant-led investments
– Over-generous financial inducements for inward investors (not only can this be an inefficient use of taxpayers money, it can breed considerable resentment amongst local businesses that may not be entitled to the same benefit).
– Business retention subsidies (where firms are paid to stay in the area despite the fact that financial viability of the plant is at risk)
– Reliance on "low-road" techniques, e.g., cheap labor and subsidized capital
– Government-conceived, -controlled, and -directed strategies http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/TOPICS/EXTURBANDEVELOPMENT/EXTLED/0,,print:Y~isCURL:Y~contentMDK:
20185187~menuPK:402643~pagePK:148956~piPK:216618~theSitePK:341139,00.html
Infrastructure Savings (construction and operation)
• Compact development reduces infrastructure costs and saves money.
– Average annual cost to service a new family of four (police, fire, highway, schools and sewer):
• Compact suburban Shelby County, KY = $88
• Sprawling Pendleton County, KY = $1,222 – Sources: Brookings Institution
• Nationally, the U.S. can save over $100 billion in infrastructure costs over 25 years by growing compactly.
• Chicago can save $3.7 billion over 20 years by growing compactly.
• Charlottesville, VA can save $500 million in transportation costs with compact development.
– Sources: Urban Land Institute, Chicago Metropolis 2020; Thomas Jefferson Planning District Commission