lloyds banking group at a glance (1/2) 10 9 bbva 42,71 … · 12/2014 12/2015 04/2016 key facts...
TRANSCRIPT
LLOYDS BANKING GROUP AT A GLANCE (1/2)
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LOW RISK BUSINESS MODEL & PRUDENT RISK APPROACH(1)
CDS 5 year evolution from 2013 until today among UK peers
240
200
160
120
80
40
HSBC Bank PLC
The Royal Bank of
Scotland PLC
Standard
Chartered Bank
Barclays Bank PLC
Lloyds Bank PLC
04/2016 12/2015 12/2014
KEY FACTS & OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE
in bps
RECENT PRESS & AWARDS
Euromoney 2015 Awards
for Operational Excellence Business Product
Innovation of
the Year 2015
Bank of the Year 2015
Business Bank of the
Year 2005 - 2015 Best Bank for Cash
Management in th UK 2016 Best Developed
Markets Bank 2015
EMEA Structured
Finance House of
the Year
Institution Market Cap Change vs.
31.12.2015 30.06.2015 31.12.2015* 30.06.2015°
1 1 HSBC 143,23 -5,1
2 3 Lloyds Bank 70,85 -14,3
3 4 UBS 67,77 0,9
4 2 Banco Santander 65,57 -26,8
5 5 BNP Paribas 64,99 -3,4
6 10 Intesa Sanpaolo 51,6 -4,8
7 6 Barclays 49,9 -15,8
8 8 ING 48,16 -15,9
9 7 Royal Bank of Scotland 47,53 -13,7
10 9 BBVA 42,71 -22,9
11 11 Nordea Bank 40,9 -9,8
12 13 Credit Suisse 39,13 0,8
13 18 Société Générale 33,91 1,7
14 14 Deutsche Bank 31,05 -16,5
15 16 Unicredit 30,66 -14,8
16 17 Crédit Agricole 28,67 -18,5
17 20 Sberbank of Russia 27,3 40
18 15 Standard Chartered 25,06 -26,8
19 19 Danske Bank 24,34 -6,8
20 22 KBC 24,11 -3,7
*) in EURbn °) in % - Source: SNL Financial
Ranking
Börsen-Zeitung excerpt, January 22nd 2016
Ratings (LT) Moody's S&P Fitch
Lloyds Bank Plc A1 A A+
Full Year 2015
CET-1 13.0%
CIR 49%
Leverage Ratio ~5%
(1) Source: Bloomberg as of April 1st, 2016
LLOYDS BANKING GROUP AT A GLANCE (2/2)
3
BR
AN
DS
K
PI 2
01
5
KE
Y F
AC
TS
INSURANCE
3.7m home
insurance customers
Total Income: £1,664m
Underlying Profit: £962m
Scottish Widows
Operating since 1815
Over 6m people hold a Scottish
Widows manufactured product
Pension Services
Colleys
Largest property valuation and
surveying business in the UK
430,000 instructions in 2014
COMMERCIAL BANKING
Banking >80%
of the FTSE 100
Total Income: £4,576m
Underlying Profit: £2,431m
Customer Deposits: £126.1bn
Lloyds Bank
UK Business Bank of the Year
for 11 consecutive years
Financial Markets
Capital Markets
Global Transaction Banking
LDC
Leading Mid Market Private
Equity House in the UK
CONSUMER FINANCE
UK’s top fleet
management provider
Total Income: £2,645m
Underlying Profit: £1,005m
Customer Deposits: £11.1bn
Lex Autolease
>40,000 customers - 290,000
unit vehicle fleet
Responsible for 1 in 28 of the
UK’s new car vehicles registered
Blackhorse
Network of 5,000 motor dealers
Financing 1m customers, worth
£ 1.7bn per annum
RETAIL BANKING
Halifax
Helped with purchase of over
130,000 homes in the UK (1 in
10) in 2014
Bank of Scotland
Second oldest bank in the UK
Lloyds Bank
>1,000 branches across the UK
250 years of history
>30m UK Customers
Total Income: £8,519m
Underlying Profit: £3,514m
Customer Deposits: £279.5bn
Die Kapitalstruktur wird zunehmend zu einer
kritischen Steuerungsgröße für das
Risikomanagement eines Unternehmens
Christian Leibl
Managing Director, Head of Capital Structure Advisory, Lloyds
Bank
UNTERNEHMENSPLANUNG
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Zeit
Wert
sch
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Heutige Position
Ziel- erreichung
Traditioneller Ansatz
“EVENTS”-MANAGEMENT WIRD IMMER WICHTIGER
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Vom traditionellen Risikomanagement… …zu (un)erwarteten Events
Preisverfall nur der Anfang? …
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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
*Brent Crude (Denominierung: USD)
Öl-Preis*
Quelle: Bloomberg
Marktvolatilität – Zinsen, FX, Rohstoffe etc.
Regulatorisches Umfeld
Politische Lage – Brexit Referendum, Wahlen in USA
Wirtschaftslage in China
UNTERNEHMENSPLANUNG
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Zeit
Wert
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Heutige Position
Ziel- erreichung
Was nun?
UNTERNEHMENSPLANUNG
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Zeit
Wert
sch
öp
fun
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Heutige Position
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Mit wem?
Neuer Ansatz gefragt
FLEXIBILITÄT IST WICHTIGER DENN JE
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Zeit
Wert
sch
öp
fun
g
Current Position
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Agilität
Bewusstsein “Big Data” Umsetzung
“Be prepared…” “Be quick…”
Worauf kommt’s an?
+ =
DIE ROLLE DES TREASURY
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“Das Treasury ist eine der wenigen Unternehmensfunktionen, die neben dem Vorstand das Unternehmen aus der
Vogelperspektive sehen.”
…verstehen… …analysieren… …entscheiden…
Unterstützen Sie den Vorstand dabei systematische Risiken (besser) zu verstehen, fördern Sie die
Zusammenarbeit mit anderen Bereichen und steigern Sie dadurch die Wertschöpfung
Währungen, Zinsen, Volatilität der
Berichterstattung
Stärken und Schwächen der
Wettbewerbsposition
KPIs, Reaktionszeit,
Risikobereitschaft
MARKTUMFELD GESCHÄFTSMODELL RISIKOMANAGEMENT
KAPITALSTRUKTUR – WAS SOLL OPTIMIERT WERDEN?
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Barmittel Kredit-Rating Verschuldungsgrad
Flexibilität Kapitalquellen Liquidität
Airbag gegen “Events” – operativ &
finanziell
Zugriff auf unterschiedliche
Finanzierungsvarianten
Free Cash Flow, Kreditlinien,
Barmittel
Sub-IG Investment Grade
Ø Rating
Quelle: S&P Capital IQ
Note: (1) Verschuldung = Total Debt / EBITDA (2) Barmittel (kumulativ) und durschnittl. Verschuldungsgrad basieren auf 1842 von S&P gerateten Unternehmen in Europa und den USA (Ratings: AAA to B-)
2.9x
3.5x 3.6x
3.8x
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20152006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
€1
.2b
n
€1
.7b
n
€2
.3b
n
Ø Rating
heute Vor 15 Jahren
AKTUELLE REAKTIONEN AUF “EVENTS”
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Beispiel: Rohstoff-Sektor
Investitionen Anlagenverkäufe Dividenden Aktienrückkäufe &
Weiteres
USD 3 – 5bn (per year to 2017)
USD 2 – 3bn (ongoing basis)
Unverändert
30% (Shell-BG in FY16)
USD 30bn (over next 3 years)
Unverändert USD 25bn (2017 – 2020)
25% (FY16 vs. FY15)
Erhöht (Up 6.7% in FY15)
24% (FY16 vs. FY15)
USD 5 – 10bn (over next 2 years)
Erhöht (FY15 vs. FY14)
Beendet (in FY15)
Glencore USD 0.5 – 1bn (FY16 vs. FY15)
USD 4- 5bn (over next 1 to 2 years)
Ausgesetzt (FY15 and H1 16)
USD 2.5bn Kapitalerh. (in FY15)
Quelle: Bloomberg, S&P Capital IQ, Ad-Hoc Meldungen der Unternehmen, Unternehmensreporte, O&G Journal
bp
Note: Ölpreis Entwicklung im Hintergrund zeigt den Zeitraum vom 01.01.2012 bis zum 27.04.2016
DIE OPTIMALE KAPITALSTRUKTUR
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Unternehmen Heineken N.V. Holcim Ltd.
Kredit Rating (S&P / Moody’s / Fitch)
A- / A3 / A BBB+ / Baa1 / NR BBB / Baa2 / BBB BBB- / Baa3 / NR BB+ / Ba1 / NR
Geschäfts-
profil2
‘Strong’
(A)
‘Strong’
(A)
‘Strong’
(A)
‘Satisfactory’
(BBB)
‘Satisfactory’
(BBB)
Industrie Pharma Konsumgüter Baustoffe Medien Rohstoffe
Beispiel: 3.0x Debt / EBITDA1
Note: (1) As at 31st December 2014; S&P; figure is rounded (2) As per S&P’s classification
Quelle: S&P, Moody’s, Fitch
“Es gibt keine magische Zahl…Das Geschäftsmodell is der Schlüssel.”
AUF, ZU NEUEN “EVENTS”!
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Kapitalstruktur als Risiko Management-Tool
Zusammenarbeit: Unternehmensbereiche bilden Ökosystem
Entscheidung: Risikoabsicherung vs. Risikoakzeptanz
Unternehmerisches Lebenselexir: Liquidität
IMPORTANT NOTICE
15
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recommendation, an opinion or advice; (v) is confidential and has been prepared by, and is subject to the copyright of, Lloyds Bank plc or its affiliates (together, “Lloyds Bank”); (vi) is based on
public information, and is in summary form and therefore may not be complete; (vii) may refer to future events which may or may not be within the control of Lloyds Bank, and its group
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such an event will occur; (viii) is subject to change at any time and Lloyds Bank is under no obligation to inform any person of any such change; (ix) may only be sent to recipients who may lawfully
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persons who are not Relevant Persons.
Securities services offered in the United States are offered by Lloyds Securities Inc. (“LSI”), a broker-dealer registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and a member of the U.S.
Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. LSI services are provided only in the United States.
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the source is accurate and reliable), however, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the facts contained in this Presentation by
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Lloyds Bank may engage in transactions in a manner inconsistent with any opinion in this Presentation. Lloyds Bank trades or may trade as principal in the securities or related derivatives included
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financial product mentioned in this Presentation.
Lloyds Bank and Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking are trading names of Lloyds Bank plc. Lloyds Bank and Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking are trading names of Bank of Scotland plc. Lloyds Bank plc. Registered Office: 25 Gresham Street, London EC2V 7HN. Registered in England and Wales no. 2065. Bank of Scotland plc. Registered Office: The Mound, Edinburgh EH1 1YZ. Registered in Scotland no. SC327000. Authorised by the Prudential Regulation Authority and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and the Prudential Regulation Authority under registration numbers 119278 & 169628, respectively