lettuce report brand health & demographics source: nielsen homescan data until 21 st of jan 2012...
TRANSCRIPT
Lettuce ReportBrand Health& Demographics
• Source: • Nielsen Homescan data until 21st of Jan 2012• Nielsen Scantrack data (National Woolworths) until 15th Jan 2012
2
Copyright © 2012The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Lettuce…..
Over 86% of Australian Households purchased Lettuce during the last year, spending $18.9 in average and buying about 1.6 kilos of
the commodity during the same period.
Increase in the average spend per Household in Lettuce to $18.9 was a result of a rise in the amount spend per shopping trip, which increased from $2.1 to $2.3
Looking at Woolworths scanning information, Lettuce volume increased by 3.3%, while value did by 7.5% as prices increased by around 50 cents during last MAT
While Lettuce value growth can be traced mostly from Existing buyers, most switching to Lettuce came from Potatoes, Mushrooms and Other Vegetables.
3
Copyright © 2012The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Lettuce…..
As with Total Vegetables, Established Couples, Senior Couples and Bustling Families account for the majority of Lettuce value
sales; while there is potential to increase spend at Star Up Families and Established Couples.
While Woolworths, Coles and Green Grocers lead Lettuce trade, Green Grocers and ALDI were the only retailers - channel that managed to increase their importance during last year
Buyers have increased their total spend and spend per occasion for all Channel/Retailers except for IGA, where spend per shopping trip remained at similar level.
4
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Homescan Overview
5
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
This report leverage two different types of information: 1) Retail Measurement Data (Scanning Sales) 2) Household Panel Information
• Complementary data sources, not substitutes for one another• Address separate sets of business issues
• Volume & Share Tracking• Promotion Execution & Effectiveness• Price Sensitivity• Account Performance
• Components of Sales• Brand Loyalty & Repeat• Demographics• Buyer Analyses• Cross Purchasing• Switching/Source of Volume
Store-Level Scanning Sales Household Panel Information
6
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Purchase data is automatically modemed back to Nielsen via
the telephone lineNielsen processes the data together with stringent QC
checking
At home they scan the purchases via a barcode scanner - supplementing data
from a barcode book for shopping trip info and non barcoded items
Panel member buys products from any retail outlet and takes
them home
Information is supplied via Advisor i-sights to clients to evaluate consumer and retail trends.
Start with a panel that is statistically representative of
Australian households
How does Household Panel Information (Homescan) work?
7
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Key Measures
8
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
W hat is driv ing how m uch m y consum ers buy? - Brand Health - Va lueA U S | M A T TO 2 1 /01 /2 0 1 2 | B ase d on V alu e ($ 0 0 0 s)/1 0 0 0 & V olu m e(0 0 0 s)/1 0 0 0
S o urc e : AC N ielse n H o m e s ca n A us tra lia
Source: Nielsen l Homescan Australia
Lettuce penetration has Increased by 1.6%, while Lettuce buyers are spending $18.9 per year and purchasing about 1.6 kilos of the commodity per household. This chart compares Lettuce
household reach (penetration) against other vegetables. Blue
represents year ago while yellow represent current year
This chart show the total average household spend across various
vegetable commodities.
This chart show the total average household volume purchase across
various vegetable commodities.
9
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
W h at is dr iv ing ho w m uch m y con sum ers b uy? - Brand Health - Va lueA LL S HO P P E RS - A US - M A T TO 21 /0 1 /20 12 - B A S E D O N V A LUE ($000 'S )/1000
S o urc e : AC N ielse n H o m e s ca n A us tra lia
Lettuce buyers are purchasing the commodity less often than a year ago, however this was compensated by a slight increase in the amount spend during each shopping trip to $2.3
This chart compares how frequently Lettuce is purchased each year
compared to other vegetable commodities
Households are spending approximately $2.30 each time they purchase Lettuce
Households are spending in total, approximately $18.9 per year in Lettuce
10
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
W hat is dr iv ing how m uch m y consum ers buy? - Brand Health - Va lueA US | M A T TO 21 /0 1 /20 12 | B ased on V a lue ($000s)/1000
S ourc e : AC N ielse n H om es can A us tra lia
The total volume decrease was a result of a slight drop in the shopping frequency, while volume per occasion maintained its previous level.
Source: Nielsen l Homescan Australia
11
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
How are th e key con sum er dr ivers of sales ch an gin g o ver t ime? - Bran d H ealth - ValueA LL S HO P P E RS - A US - T. V eg e tab les - BA S E D O N VA L U E ($ 0 00 'S )/1 0 0 0
S o urc e : A C N ielse n H o m e s ca n A us tra lia
Average household spend on Vegetables decreased in the latest time period
Cyclone Yasi
QLD Floods
This chart shows that the average household increased their spend (red line) on Vegetables in the periods during & after
the natural disasters.
12
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
How are th e key con sum er dr ivers of sales ch an gin g o ver t ime? - Bran d H ealth - ValueA LL S HO P PE R S - A US - T. L et tu ce - B A S E D O N V A L U E ($ 0 0 0 'S )/1 0 0 0
S o urc e : AC N ielse n H o m e s ca n A us tra lia
Average household spend decreased ,however penetration increased in the latest time period compared to year ago
During peak seasons, average household spend decreased (red line) as the number of households
increased (blue bars)
Lettuce peak season January - August
13
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
W hat is d riv ing how much m y consumers buy over tim e? - Brand Health - Va lueA LL S HO P PE R S - A US - T. Let tu ce - B A S E D O N V A LU E ($0 00 'S )/10 00
S o urc e : A C N ielse n H o m e s ca n A us tra lia
Variation in $AWOP are linked to changes in the level of spend per shopping occasion
Green Line: how many times consumers buy it
Yellow Line: How much they spend each time. For
January, this index reached: $2.0
Lettuce peak season January - August
14
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
T able R epo rt | AUS W OOL WO RT H S/S AFE W AY - T . Le ttu ce | T . Fresh Frt V eg Dried F rt N utUn its o f M e asu re: U n its = U NITS (0 0 0 'S ) | V o lu m e = V O LU M E (0 0 0 'S ) K IL O G R AM S | V alu e = V A L UE ($ 0 0 0 'S )
M A T TO 22 /0 1 /2 0 1 1 M A T TO 21 /0 1 /2 0 1 2
V O L UM E (0 0 0 'S ) K IL O G RA M S
V A L UE ($ 0 0 0 'S )
P rice p er V o l (K g )
3 ,1 7 7 .0
4 3 ,1 0 3 .1
$ 1 3 .5 7
3 ,2 8 3 .0
4 6 ,3 7 2 .7
$ 1 4 .1 3
S OU R C E: N ie ls e n A ust ra lia S ca nT ra ck (H IFV D H A L )
Looking at Woolworths information, Lettuce volume increased by 3.3%, while value did by 7.5% as prices increased by 56 cents during last MAT
15
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
T able R epo rt | AUS W OOL WO RT H S/S AFE W AY - T . Le ttu ce | T . Fresh Frt V eg Dried F rt N utUn its o f M easu re: U n its = U NITS (0 00 'S ) | V o lum e = V O LU M E (000 'S ) K ILO G R AM S | V alue = V A LUE ($000 'S )
S OU R C E: N ie ls e n A ust ra lia S ca nT ra ck (H IFV D H A L )
Looking at trended Woolworths information, the affects of Queensland natural disasters can be seen however, prices have dropped at levels below than a year ago while volume is at 2 year high.
Blue Line: Price per Kg. $11.87 in latest period vs. $14.03 last year.
Yellow Bar: Kgs sold by Woolworths during each
period.
16
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Brand Shifting | Based on ValueAUS - LETTUCE - MAT to 21/1/2012
Source: Nielsen | Homescan® (Australia) - Issue # WBSF387469_528082
While Lettuce value growth can be traced mostly from Existing buyers, most switching to Lettuce came from Potatoes, Mushrooms and Other Vegetables.
Most of the value growth (3%), came from existing Lettuce buyers
Those buyers that switched to Lettuce, used to buy Potatoes,
Mushrooms, and Other Vegetables
Category Expansion/Contraction
17
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Demographics
18
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Wh o b uys m y bran d? (Lifestage ) - D emo graph ics - V alu eA US - T. L et tu ce - M A T TO 2 1 /0 1 /20 1 2 - B A SE D O N V A L UE ($ 0 0 0 'S )/1 0 0 0
S o urc e : A C N ielse n H o m e s ca n A us tra lia
While from a demographic perspective overall performance was similar to previous year, there are opportunities to increase spend for Start Up Families and Established Couples. The green bar
represents the percent of each demographic purchasing in latest
period with the red bar representing the
percentage last year
19
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
W ho bu ys my b rands? ( Income) - Dem ograp hics - V alu eA US - T. L et tuce - M A T TO 21 /01 /2012 - B A SE D O N V A LUE ($000 'S )/1000
S o urc e : A C N ielse n H o m e s ca n A us tra lia
From a Household income perspective, all three income segments increased their spend in the commodity.
High Income households have increased their importance in value at expense of Low income
during the last year
20
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
W ho buys my b ran ds? (H ouseho ld Size) - Demo graph ics - Va lueA US - T. L et tuce - M A T TO 21 /01 /2012 - B A SE D O N V A LUE ($000 'S )/1000
S o urc e : A C N ielse n H o m e s ca n A us tra lia
1-2 member households have had the most significant contribution to value sales when compared to other groups within Lettuce, however penetration in this group could be improved.
1-2 member household size is the most important demographic as they
account for 52.5% of sales.
21
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Share of Trade
22
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Share of Trade - Share of TradeA LL SH O PP ER S - M AT T O 21/01 /2012 - T . Lettuce - B A SE D ON V ALUE ($000 'S )/1000
S o urc e : AC N ielse n | H o m e sc a n A ust ra lia
While WW, Coles and Green Grocers lead Lettuce value trade, Green Grocers and ALDI have managed to increase their importance during last year
This pie chart shows how is the Lettuce value distribution among different retailers/channels
of trade
This show the actual sales values percentage growth/decline behind the share of trade changes
23
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
ALL S HOPPE R S - T . Le ttuce C onsumer K PI'sV a lu e B a s is : V A L U E ($ 0 0 0 'S )
S ou rce : N ielsen Ho m esca n
While Green Grocers and ALDI increased their share, WW decline was a result of an important drop in the penetration for this commodity
24
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
W h at is dr iv ing ho w m uch m y con sum ers b uy? - Brand Health - Va lueA LL S HO P P E RS - A US - M A T TO 21 /0 1 /20 12 - B A S E D O N V A LUE ($000 'S )/1000
S o urc e : A C N ielse n H o m e s ca n A us tra lia
Buyers have increased their total spend and spend per occasion for all Channel/Retailers except for IGA, where spend per shopping trip remained the same
25
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Glossary
26
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Terms• Penetration – The proportion of households purchasing a product in the
specified period expressed as a percentage of all households.
• Average Weight of Purchase (AWOP) – The average volume/value/units of a product bought across all buyers of that product in the specified period.
• Occasions Per Buyer – The average no. of times each buyer purchases the specified product in a specified period. A product/date/shop combination, eg. a household purchasing 2 identical products on a shopping trip to Woolworths constitutes a single purchase occasion.
• Amount Per Occasion – Average value or units purchased on each purchase occasion.
• QTR – Quarter year; rolling 13 weeks.
• MAT – Moving annual total; a rolling yearly total which accumulates 52 weeks of data.
• PP – Prior Period
• YA – Year Ago.
27
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Lifestage Demographic Definitions
Young TransitionalsAdult households (no children <=17)Head of household <35
Small scale familiesHouseholds with oldest child 6-11 years
Start-up familiesHouseholds with young children only, oldest child < 6
Bustling familiesHouseholds with oldest child 12-17 years
Senior CouplesTwo (2) or more adults (No children <=17)Head of household 60 or over
Independent singlesOne (1) person adult household (No children <=17)
Head of household >=35Established Couples
Two (2) or more adults (No children <=17)Head of household 35-59
28
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Young Transitionals
11%
Start Up Families 6%
Small Scale Families 10%
Independent Singles 22%
Established Households
19%
Senior Couples
17%
LifestagesDistribution
MAT 24/Dec/2011
Bustling Families 15%
29
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Scanning guide enhancements were introduced in August 2009, providing greater depth of information…
30
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Source of Growth / Decline - Bulla Premium Family Tubs | Based on UnitsFor Period MAT to 19/02/2011 vs YA | Relative to Total Ice Cream
Incremental / Lost Category Sales
65.5
1.1
18.1
27.8
18.5
Total %Change in
Volume
New/LostCategoryBuyers
Cat Exp/Cont- Retained
BrandBuyers
Cat Exp/Cont- New/Lost
BrandBuyers
SwitchingTotal
% Change In Volume Due To Switching To/From…
-0.5-0.5-0.2-0.1-0.1
-0.10.10.10.10.10.10.20.20.20.30.40.40.50.50.50.60.60.80.91.21.21.41.5
1.86.2
-0.1-0.1
PL MPs (79) Billabong MPs (163.6)
Magnum Temptation MPs (191.8) Magnum Other MPs (127.2)
Bulla Creamy Classic MPs (102.3) Paddle Pop Regular MPs (208.6)
Splice MPs (204.2) Connoisseur Tubs (154.9)
Bulla Premium Family Tubs (112.5) W eiss MPs (117.1)
Calippo MPs (138.8) Sara Lee Tubs (115.4)
Bulla Health Tubs (151.6) Blue Ribbon Regular Tubs (84.7)
Icy Pole MPs (129.8) Maxibon MPs (92.7)
Bulla Fruit & Yog MPs (159.2) Weis Tubs (144.3)
Bulla Bars MPs (253.7) Gaytime MPs (134.4)
Blue Ribbon Light Tubs (143.9) Paddle Pop W ater Ice MPs (116.6)
Frosty Fruit MPs (137.6) Magnum Minis MPs (97.6)
Bulla Splitz MPs (114.9) Heaven MPs (135.3)
Cornetto MPs (121.9) PL Tubs (76)
Drumstick MPs (112.2) Bulla Everyday Family Tubs (146.7)
Other Nestle MPs (121.1) All Other (74.4)
Source: ACNielsen | Homescan® (Australia) - Issue # 467940
How to read a Source of Volume Chart
New/Lost Category Buyers Households that purchased the category in one
period but not the other and the
focus brand was included in the
category purchases.
New/Lost Brand Buyers
Gains or Losses within the Focus
Brands by Households who
added/omitted the focus brand to their category
purchases.
Existing brand buyers
The Focus Brand experienced gains/losses
from households who
increased/decreased their
purchases of the focus brand
SwitchingIncludes
households who shifted their focus
brand purchases
from/to alternative
category items.
31
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Appendix
32
Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
W hat is d riv ing g rocery sales? (Account C om parison) - Bigger Pic ture - Va lueA LL S HO P P ER S - T. L e t tu ce - S HA R E O F TR AD E ($ )
S o urc e : AC N ielse n | H o m e sc a n A ust ra lia
Thank You