lecture 10: personal income tax discounted cash flow, section 3.1 © 2004, lutz kruschwitz and...
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Lecture 10: Personal Income Tax
Discounted Cash Flow, Section 3.1
© 2004, Lutz Kruschwitz and
Andreas Löffler
3.1.1 The pros and cons
Why should we incorporate income tax?
German CPAs take personal tax into account since 1997.
CPAs in other countries are more hesitant.
3.1.1 Unlevered and levered
In Chapter 2 (Corporate Income Tax) we used the termsunlevered = not indebted
levered = indebted
This was appropriate because– high tax burden comes with low debt,– low tax burden comes with high debt
3.1.1 Continue former designation?
Now we are looking at personal income tax. Does the tax burden depend on indebtness?
No, if riskless interest and dividends are taxed with the same rate (which we will assume for the moment): the personal tax of the shareholder - given the distribution - is independent of debt.
3.1.1 New interpretation
Our focus lies on the tax burden of shareholders. And here we notice that
– high tax burden comes with full distribution,– low tax burden comes with partial distribution.
Corporate Income Tax
(Chapter 2)
Personal Income Tax
(Chapter 3)
unlevered
levered
not indebted
Indebted
full distribution
partial distribution
Debt and leverage
The levered and the unlevered firm in this chapter are completely self–financed (no debt):
That is to say that the unlevered firms of Chapters 2 and 3 are the same, but not the levered companies.
for levered and unlevered company we assume
Corporate income tax
Personal income tax
no retention (full distribution)
no debt (self–financed)
3.1.1 New interpretation of variables
Market value with full distribution
Market value with partial distribution
Free cash flow with full distribution
Free cash flow with partial distribution
Personal income tax with full distribution
Personal income tax with partial distribution
ut
lt
ut
lt
ut
lt
V
V
FCF
FCF
Tax
Tax
Positive dividends
With corporate income tax negative cash flows meant nothing more than that the financiers infused the company with further equity. If this was no longer possible we spoke of default.
But negative payments do not make any sense in the case of dividends. Thus we will presuppose that the levered and the unlevered firm’s cash flows are large enough so that the dividends cannot turn negative.
3.1.2 Unlevered and levered firms
To value a levered firm we need to value an unlevered firm.
This remains true in the case of firm income tax as well as in
the case of personal income tax.
Definition of cost of capital of unlevered firm as in Chapter 2, i.e.
1 1, 1.
u ut t tE u
t ut
E FCF Vk
V
F
3.1.2 Valuation equation, weak autoregressive cash flows
Then, with deterministic cost of capital (without proof)
Again we assume
, ,1 1
.(1 )...(1 )
uT
s tut E u E u
s t t s
E FCFV
k k
F
1 1u u
t t t tE FCF g FCFF
3.1.3 Personal income tax
The characteristics of personal income tax are:– The tax subject is a shareholder and creditor,– The tax base are for
shareholder: dividends, business income,… (capital repayment exempt from taxes)
Debt holder: interest.
– The tax rate is identical for dividends ( ) and interest ( ).D I
3.1.3 Interest on retainment
How is the retained amount invested?
Machines, tools, buildings,…?
No! All projects with positive NPV are already realized.
Debt repayment?
No! Debt schedule is already given.
Capital market?
Yes! But at what interest rate??– riskless
– riskyt fr r
FF
(1 )
1
Q t t t
t Q t t ff
E r AA E r r
r
3.1.3 Tax equations
The tax equations are
for the unlevered company
for the levered company
The tax payments of levered company can be written as
( )u Dt t tTax GCF Inv
1 1(1 ) .l D
t t t t t tTax GCF Inv A r A
1 1(1 ) .l u D
t t t t tTax Tax A r A
3.1.3 Tax difference of levered firm
We realize that the tax payments of the levered firm differ.
Although unlevered and levered firms have identical- gross cash flows,- stock depreciation and appreciation,- debt schedule and- investments
they differ in- dividends and- tax payments.
3.1.3 Tax advantage of levered firm
If dividends are not fully distributed, the levered firm pays less personal income taxes than the unlevered firm. There is a (personal income) tax shield for the levered firm – justifying our designation. The tax differences are
and after taking expectations
1 1
1 1
(1 )
1 (1 )
l u l ut t t t t t t
Dt t t
FCF FCF A r A Tax Tax
A r A
1 1 11 .l u
Q t t t f t Q t tE FCF FCF r A E AF F
1 1 1(1 ) 1 (1 )l u D D
Q t t t f t Q t tE FCF FCF r A E AF F
3.1.4 Remember: fundamental theorem
What is the fundamental theorem without any tax?
If capital markets are free of arbitrage, risk-neutral
probabilities Q exist such that
What changed with firm income tax?
Only payments were affected
1
.1
Q t t
tf
E XV
r
F
1tX
3.1.4 Fundamental theorem with firm income taxes
What changes will there be with personal income tax? Both payments and interest will be affected.
But how?! We do not prove here that
holds.
1tX
fr
1 1
11
Q t t t
It
f
E FCF VV
r
F
3.1.4 Gordon-Shapiro again
Gordon-Shapiro with personal income tax,
Cost of equity of unlevered firm is suitable as discount rates,
Remark: Cost of equity after income tax!
.u
u tt u
t
FCFV
d
, ,1
.(1 )...(1 )1 1
u uQ s t s t
s t E u E uI
t sf
E FCF E FCF
k kr
F F
,E uk
3.1.5 Differences in levered and unlevered firms
We know that the levered firm pays less taxes than the unlevered. But what is the value of this tax shield? And what does this value depend upon?
To this end we will assume that the last
retainment at 1, . . 0.TT i e A
3.1.5 Market values
The market value of the unlevered firm is
The market value of the levered firm is
1.
1 1 1 1
u uQ t t Q T tu
t T tI If f
E FCF E FCFV
r r
F F
1.
1 1 1 1
l lQ t t Q T tl
t T tI If f
E FCF E FCFV
r r
F F
3.1.5 Difference of market values
From both equations
1 1 2
2
2 1
2
1
1
(1 ) (1 ) (1 ) 1
1 1 1 1
(1 ) 1
1 1
(1 ) 1.
1 1
D DQ f t t t Q f t t tl u
t t I If f
DQ f T T t
T tI
f
DQ f T t
T tI
f
E r A A E r A AV V
r r
E r A A
r
E r A
r
F F
F
F0
TA
Which gives
3.1.5 Difference of market values (continued)
1 1
2
(1 )(1 )
1 1
(1 ) (1 ).
1 1 1 1
I Df Q t tl u D
t t t If
I D I Df Q t t f Q T t
T tI I
f f
r E AV V A
r
r E A r E A
r r
F
F F
3.1.5 Value of tax shieldCompare this to the firm income tax:
Although a different economic story, a similar formal structure! Only replaces
1.
1 1
f Q t t f Q T tl ut t T t
f f
r E D r E DV V
r r
F F
(1 )I Df tr A
f tr D
3.1.5 General procedure
We proceed as in Chapter 2:
1.We formulate different distribution policies.
2.We modify the main valuation equation with this distribution.
3.1.5 Different retainment policies
With firm income tax the debt schedule was important,
with personal income tax the retainment schedule is
important. We will look at
1. retainment based on cash flows,
2. retainment based on dividends,
3. retainment based on market values.