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Least Tern Dropped Prey Analyses at Alameda Point, San Francisco Bay, California. by Meredith L. Elliott Marine Ecology Division PRBO Conservation Science 3820 Cypress Drive, #11 Petaluma, CA 94954 January 11, 2008 Submitted to: Richard Morat U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service 2800 Cottage Way, Room W-2605 Sacramento, CA 95825-1846 and Joelle Buffa U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service San Francisco Bay National Wildlife Refuge Complex 9500 Thornton Ave. Newark, CA 94560 Analyses and reporting funded by FWS Coastal Program at San Francisco Bay

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Least Tern Dropped Prey Analyses at Alameda Point,

San Francisco Bay, California.

by

Meredith L. Elliott

Marine Ecology Division

PRBO Conservation Science

3820 Cypress Drive, #11

Petaluma, CA 94954

January 11, 2008

Submitted to:

Richard Morat

U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service

2800 Cottage Way, Room W-2605

Sacramento, CA 95825-1846

and

Joelle Buffa

U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service

San Francisco Bay National Wildlife Refuge Complex

9500 Thornton Ave.

Newark, CA 94560

Analyses and reporting funded by FWS Coastal Program at San Francisco Bay

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Prey dropped on seabird colonies may be used as an indicator of foraging and diet. Dropped

fish have been collected from the Alameda Point Least Tern colony in most years since 1981,

and findings were compared to California Department of Fish and Game (CDFG) fish trawl data

of Central and South San Francisco Bay; sizes of dropped fish have been collected since 2000,

and these results were compared to sizes of fish found in the Bay. Most of the dropped prey

were jacksmelt (Atherinopsis californiensis), topsmelt (Atherinops affinis), and northern anchovy

(Engraulis mordax). Surfperch species (family Embiotocidae) were also present in the dropped

fish and likely represent fish too large to fit through the gape of a tern chick. Northern

anchovy and jacksmelt were the most common prey species sampled in San Francisco Bay. Fish

dropped at the colony were generally smaller than Bay fish, although terns chose larger fish

than expected during the early part of the breeding season (during courtship and incubation).

The largest dropped prey were found in 2006; this was also found in the Bay fish results and

was probably driven by significantly larger jacksmelt and northern anchovy in the Bay in that

same year. Dropped prey appeared to get smaller as the season progressed, indicating that

adult terns switch from feeding larger fish to their mates to feeding smaller fish to chicks. Intra-

annual Bay fish size results were the opposite, reflecting the growth of the age-0 class fish that

had spawned in the winter and spring months. Selectivity analyses illustrate the importance of

small, pelagic, schooling fishes to Least Terns, particularly northern anchovy, Pacific herring

(Clupea pallasii), and Pacific sardine (Sardinops sagax). Terns also forage on benthic fishes found

in the nearshore environment, such as arrow goby (Clevelandia ios) and cheekspot goby (Ilypnus

gilberti). Despite the large numbers of jacksmelt and topsmelt collected from the Least Tern

colony, results suggest that terns are not selecting these species over northern anchovy.

Northern anchovy, Pacific herring, and Pacific sardine are all relatively high in fat and may be the

preferred prey to terns. However, if these species are not locally available, terns may switch to

catching jacksmelt and topsmelt, as these species may be more abundant near the colony during

the breeding season.

2

TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY.................................................................................................................................2

TABLE OF CONTENTS .................................................................................................................................3

TABLES ...............................................................................................................................................................4

FIGURES .............................................................................................................................................................5

INTRODUCTION ...........................................................................................................................................6

METHODS .........................................................................................................................................................7

Least Tern data.............................................................................................................................................................7

Dropped prey collection ..............................................................................................................................................7

CDFG San Francisco Bay prey data .........................................................................................................................8

Size comparisons ....................................................................................................................................................... 10

Species compositions ................................................................................................................................................ 10

RESULTS.......................................................................................................................................................... 11

Dropped prey.............................................................................................................................................................. 11

San Francisco Bay fish .............................................................................................................................................. 12

Colony and Bay comparisons.................................................................................................................................. 13

DISCUSSION.................................................................................................................................................. 14

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS............................................................................................................................. 17

LITERATURE CITED.................................................................................................................................... 19

3

TABLES

Table 1. Definitions of breeding stages, 2000-2006............................................................................... 21

Table 2. San Francisco Bay Monitoring Program sampling months, 1980-2006. ............................. 22

Table 3. Minimum lengths of fish sampled in San Francisco Bay. ........................................................ 23

Table 4. Families and species of fish identified in dropped prey, 1981-2006. .................................. 24

Table 5. Standard lengths and body depths of dropped prey, 2000-2006. ....................................... 26

Table 6. Standard lengths and body depths of dropped prey by breeding stage, 2000-2006....... 27

Table 7. Two-factor ANOVA results for dropped fish sizes, 2000-2006......................................... 28

Table 8. Fish sampled in San Francisco Bay during the Least Tern breeding season (April –

August), 1980-2006. ...................................................................................................................................... 29

Table 9. Lengths of fish sampled with different gear types in San Francisco Bay, April-August,

2000-2006........................................................................................................................................................ 33

Table 10. Lengths of suitably-sized fish sampled with different gear types in San Francisco Bay,

April-August, 2000-2006. ............................................................................................................................. 34

Table 11. Lengths of suitably-sized fish sampled with different gear types in San Francisco Bay

and in different breeding periods, April-August, 2000-2006................................................................ 35

Table 12. Two-factor ANOVA results for Bay fish sizes, 2000-2006................................................ 36

Table 13. Three-factor ANOVA results comparing dropped fish and Bay fish sizes, 2000-2006.

........................................................................................................................................................................... 37

Table 14. Spearman correlations by species between species compositions from dropped fish at

the colony to fish sampled in San Francisco Bay. ................................................................................... 38

Table 15. Spearman correlations by year between species compositions from dropped fish at

the colony to fish sampled in San Francisco Bay. ................................................................................... 39

Table 16. Rank preference indices for fish species. ............................................................................... 40

Table 17. Sizes of northern anchovy and jacksmelt sampled in San Francisco Bay, April-August,

2000-2006........................................................................................................................................................ 41

4

FIGURES

Figure 1. Fish sampling stations of CDFG’s San Francisco Study........................................................ 42

Figure 2. Dropped prey composition by familiy, 1981-2006................................................................ 43

Figures 3. Mean midwater trawl CPUE values of suitably-sized fish, April-August, 1980-2006... 44

Figure 4. Mean otter trawl CPUE values of suitably-sized fish, April-August, 1980-2006............. 45

5

INTRODUCTION

The Least Tern (Sterna antillarum browni) is a federal and state endangered species (Thompson

et al. 1997). The Alameda Point Least Tern colony is the largest colony in California north of

San Luis Obsipo County, and data on population size and breeding success have been collected

since the colony’s inception in 1976 (Elliott et al. 2007). A four-year study on diet and foraging

habits was conducted (2002-2005), which gave some insight into the important prey species of

this colony (Elliott 2005, Ehrler et al. 2006). While diet data have been collected and analyzed,

comparisons of diet to available prey in San Francisco Bay have not been investigated.

San Francisco Bay is the main foraging area for the Alameda Point colony (Bailey 1992, Ehrler et

al. 2006). Data on available prey in San Francisco Bay was obtained from the California

Department of Fish and Game’s (CDFG) San Francisco Bay Study. CDFG has conducted

monthly surveys of fish populations at 35 predetermined locations in San Francisco Bay since

1980, and these data provide insight as to the species composition and sizes of fish available to

the terns over most of the years the colony has presided in Alameda.

The information on Least Tern diet is not as long-standing. While it would be ideal to compare

consumed fish to what fish were available in the Bay, there are only three years of diet data

determined from fecal sample analysis (2002-2004; Elliott 2005). Therefore, data on dropped

prey was chosen for this analysis, as this is the largest diet-related dataset available. Least Terns

drop prey items on the ground of the breeding colony mainly as a result of prey being too large

for mates or chicks, a lack of hunger by the recipient, or the tern dropping the fish in-transit.

There is debate over what dropped prey truly represent. Some argue that many of these fish

are suitable and represent a surplus of food (Palmer 1941), while others point out that dropped

prey are typically larger than consumed prey, especially with regard to the deep-bodied

surfperches (Atwood and Kelly 1984, Robinette et al. 2001). Atwood and Kelly (1984)

concluded that the species composition of dropped prey reflected what Least Terns consumed,

making these fish decent indicators of diet. Dropped fish are whole prey items that can be

identified and measured with relative ease. In addition, collecting dropped prey causes

6

relatively less disturbance to the colony than other methods of diet collection, an important

factor to consider in investigating diet in an endangered species.

METHODS

Least Tern data

Data on tern arrivals to the colony, departures from the colony, and breeding activity were

used to determine the three different phases of breeding in each year: courtship/incubation,

chick-rearing, and fledging (Table 1).

Dropped prey collection

Dropped prey were collected from the ground of the Alameda Least Tern colony by Golden

Gate Audubon Society (GGAS) personnel (1981-1995), and PRBO Conservation Science and

U.S. Fish and Wildlife (USFWS) personnel (2000-2006). GGAS collected prey on an

opportunistic basis, and only numbers of prey species collected in each year are provided

(Collins 1995).

PRBO and USFWS collected prey during standardized type I nest surveys (i.e., surveys

conducted in the breeding area). Type I surveys were generally conducted twice a week

throughout most of the breeding season and once a week towards the end of the breeding

season. We stored specimens in plastic bags labeled with the collection date. The specimens

were later soaked in water, cleaned with a fine artist’s paintbrush, and set out to dry. We

sequentially numbered the dry fish using a fine tip permanent marker. We measured the total

length (from the tip of the snout to the end of the caudal fin), standard length (from the tip of

the snout to the end of the hypural bone), and body depth (the widest part of the fish) of each

specimen to the nearest millimeter. We recorded the dry weight of each fish to the nearest 0.1

gram. Many specimens in each year of this study had only partial caudal fins, showed signs of

tissue loss (due to scavenging or evaporation), or dried in a twisted or bent position.

7

Therefore, average weights are likely underestimates, and length measurements are not exact.

In addition, while many fish and fish parts were collected and saved, we only analyzed whole fish

specimens (i.e., specimens containing a head, body, and caudal peduncle). For the purposes of

comparing these fish to the CDFG San Francisco Bay fish data, the standard lengths from

dropped fish were used (as this measurement is more accurate than total length), and

invertebrates (e.g. Crangon spp.) were dropped from analysis (as these comprised a very small

proportion of dropped prey collections).

Dropped prey composition has been summarized since collections began in 1981. In addition,

analysis of variance (ANOVA) with Bonferroni-adjusted t-tests was used to test for inter- and

intra-annual differences in size of dropped prey from 2000 to 2006.

CDFG San Francisco Bay prey data

Data on fish in San Francisco Bay have been collected since 1980 by the CDFG’s San Francisco

Bay Study. For the purposes of this study, we obtained the midwater trawl and otter trawl data

for Central and South Bay stations, as these are closest to the Alameda tern colony and likely

sample the areas used most frequently by foraging terns (Figure 1). Midwater and otter trawls

were conducted most months, particularly during the months Least Terns are present in the

Bay (April – August); the only exception were the midwater trawls for 1994 (Table 2).

Midwater and otter trawls do not sample areas <3-4 m in depth, or rocky areas or areas

containing eelgrass, so some species (e.g. topsmelt (Atherinops affinis), jacksmelt (Atherinopsis

californiensis), surfperch species (family Embiotocidae), and arrow goby (Clevelandia ios)) are

likely underrepresented in the dataset (Kathy Hieb, CDFG, personal communication).

However, this trawl data provide the best indices of fish abundances for the time period of

interest.

The midwater trawls sample the water column, while the otter trawls sample the bottom. The

midwater trawl net mouth was 3.7 m x 3.7 m (with a 10.7 m2 effective mouth opening), with

mesh graduated in nine sections from 20.3 cm stretch mesh at the mouth to 1.3 cm (0.5 inch)

stretch mesh at the codend. It was towed for 12 minutes obliquely to sample all parts of the

8

water column equally. Flow meter counts were recorded and used to calculate the volume of

water sampled. The otter trawl had a 4.9 m head rope, a 2.5 cm stretch mesh body, and a 0.6

cm (0.25 inch) delta knotless mesh codend. It was towed on the bottom for five minutes.

Distance towed was recorded using a Loran-C or GPS, and was used to calculate the area

sampled, assuming a 70% door spread of 3.4 m.

For each midwater and otter trawl completed, up to 50 individuals of each species were

measured (fork length) and the remainder counted; this subset of length frequency data were

used in size comparisons (see Size Comparisons). The length frequency data recorded were

expanded by the total catch to estimate the total number of fish for each length; this is called

the adjusted frequency. Adjusted frequency numbers for each species were used to calculate

the catch per unit effort (CPUE) values for the size range of interest (see Species

Compositions). In addition, minimum lengths were established for some species in 1984 (Table

3). Specimens below the designated minimum length were either not counted or recorded, or

they were dropped from analyses to be consistent with other years.

For more detailed descriptions of the methods for this study may be found at

http://www.iep.ca.gov/sf_bay_monitor/ .

Bay fish data were standardized to a CPUE of fish per 10,000 m3 for the midwater trawl and fish

per 10,000 m2 for the otter trawl. Each species was evaluated according to its general biology

to determine if the midwater or otter trawl was the most appropriate at sampling that species;

more specifically, fish that were generally pelagic were evaluated using the midwater trawl data,

while demersal fish were evaluated using the otter trawl data. Since Least Terns are small birds

and are known to consume small fish (Elliott 2005, Thompson et al. 1997, Atwood and Minsky

1983), CPUE values were calculated by determining the numbers of suitably-sized fish caught in

each tow. Based on Elliott (2005), fish less than or equal to 100 mm in length were deemed of

suitable size for the terns. This maximum length was applied to all fish except surfperches

(family Embiotocidae); these fish are deep-bodied and their body depth cannot exceed the gape

width of the tern (Hulsman 1981, Atwood and Kelly 1984, Zuria and Mellink 2005, Thompson

et al. 1997). Based on surfperch length and body depth data recorded on dropped fish, we

9

determined the maximum length of surfperches to be 50 mm. Inter- and intra-annual sizes in

fish were analyzed with ANOVA (and Bonferroni-adjusted t-tests).

Least Terns are present in the San Francisco Bay area from April through August (Collins 2000,

Elliott and Sydeman 2001, Elliott and Sydeman 2002, Hurt 2003, Hurt 2006); therefore, only

tows conducted in these months were used in the analyses.

Size comparisons

The standard lengths of dropped fish at the colony and the fork lengths of fish sampled in the

Bay were compared for 2000-2006. While standard length is shorter than fork length, there is

typically only a few millimeters difference in these two measurements. Length frequency data

for all fish sampled in the Bay were summarized; however, analyses were performed on only

the suitably-sized fish.

Species compositions

I investigated species compositions by comparing proportions of fish species collected from the

colony in each year and mean CPUE values for species sampled in the Bay. For Bay fish sampled

just prior to the arrival of terns or just after their departure, these data were assigned to the

nearest breeding period within that year. Spearman correlations were calculated for species and

years to see if colony and Bay fish varied similarly. In addition, rank preference indices were

calculated for species found in both the dropped prey and the Bay. In this procedure, ranks for

both usage and availability of a resource are calculated, and the difference (i.e., usage-availability)

is used in determining whether a resource is preferred (positive value), avoided (negative

value), or neutral (zero value; Johnson 1980).

10

RESULTS

Dropped prey

There were 19 families and 34 species of fish identified in dropped prey samples since 1981

(Table 4). Most of the fish collected were jacksmelt, northern anchovy (Engraulis mordax), and

topsmelt (Table 4). When condensing the dropped prey to the family level, there were

variations in composition and diversity of prey through the years; families Atherinopsidae,

Engraulidae, and Embiotocidae dominated most collections, representing 57.5%, 19.7%, and

11.0%, respectively, of all dropped prey samples (Figure 2).

The largest mean length and body depth of dropped fish were observed in 2006 (Table 5). A

summary of fish sizes by breeding stage showed that the largest fish were collected in the

courtship/incubation period, followed by the chick-rearing period, and the smallest fish

collected during the fledging period (Table 6). However, this pattern was not similar in each

individual year. The size of fish collected in the courtship/incubation period in 2006 were similar

to the sizes of fish collected during chick-rearing (Table 6). Also, fish collected in the fledging

stage were larger than the chick-rearing fish in 2000, 2001, and 2003 (Table 6).

Significant differences in the lengths of dropped prey were found when considering both year

and breeding stage (Table 7). The significant interaction term (year*breeding stage) indicated

that sizes of dropped prey did not vary similarly in each breeding stage in each year. An

examination of each year revealed that fish collected in the courtship/incubation stage were

significantly larger than chick-rearing fish in 2001 (ANOVA: F2,1768=19.66, p<0.001; Bonferroni-

adjusted t-test: p<0.001), 2002 (ANOVA: F2,1120=40.32, p<0.001; Bonferroni-adjusted t-test:

p<0.001), 2003 (ANOVA: F2,1727=26.32, p<0.001; Bonferroni-adjusted t-test: p<0.001), 2004

(ANOVA: F2,1847=39.80, p<0.001; Bonferroni-adjusted t-test: p<0.001), and 2005

(ANOVA:F2,2280=53.93, p<0.001; Bonferroni-adjusted t-test: p<0.001). Courtship fish were

significantly larger than fledging fish in 2002 (Bonferroni-adjusted t-test: p<0.001), 2003

(Bonferroni-adjusted t-test: p<0.001), 2004 (Bonferroni-adjusted t-test: p<0.001), 2005

11

(Bonferroni-adjusted t-test: p<0.001), and 2006 (ANOVA: F2,846=23.69, p<0.001; Bonferroni-

adjusted t-test: p<0.001). Chick-rearing fish were significantly larger than fledging fish in 2002

(Bonferroni-adjusted t-test: p<0.001), 2005 (Bonferroni-adjusted t-test: p<0.001), and 2006

(Bonferroni-adjusted t-test: p<0.001). Fish recovered in the fledging period were significantly

larger than chick-rearing fish in 2001 (Bonferroni-adjusted t-test: p<0.001) and 2003

(Bonferroni-adjusted t-test: p=0.039).

San Francisco Bay fish

Out of the 46 families and 107 species of fish identified in the midwater and otter trawl tows

since 1980, there were 40 families and 93 species of fish captured during the Least Tern

breeding season (April – August; Table 8). Of these, 26 families and 68 species were found to

be of suitable-size to Least Terns (Table 8). Trends in species composition differed by species

(Figures 3 and 4). Some species displayed an apparent decline (e.g. Pacific herring (Clupea

pallasii); Figure 3b), strong abundance peaks (e.g. white croaker (Genyonemus lineatus), Figure 4b;

Pacific sand lance (Ammodytes hexapterus), Figure 4d), relatively high abundances compared to

the other species (e.g. northern anchovy, Figure 3a; bay goby (Lepidogobius lepidus), Figure 4a),

relatively low abundances (e.g. threespine stickleback (Gasterosteus aculeatus), Figure 3d), and

some only appeared in recent years (e.g. California grunion (Leuresthes tenuis); Figure 3c).

The length of prey varied among years (Table 9). The range in the sizes of fish caught goes well

beyond what Least Terns are capable of capturing and eating. When restricting the Bay fish data

to only the fish suitably-sized for Least Terns, size differed between years, with the largest fish

sampled in 2006 (Table 10). Intra-annual fish sizes showed a general trend of increasing size as

each season progressed (Table 11).

Statistical results showed significant differences in sizes of fish sampled when considering year

and breeding stage (Table 12). Similar to the dropped fish results, the significant interaction

term (year*breeding stage) signified varying results, which prompted analyses by year. Fish

sampled during the courtship/incubation stage were significantly smaller than chick-rearing fish

in 2000 (ANOVA: F2,8351=217.06, p<0.001; Bonferroni-adjusted t-test: p=0.040), 2001 (ANOVA:

12

F2,8114=250.00, p<0.001; Bonferroni-adjusted t-test: p<0.001), 2002 (ANOVA: F2,11877=532.17,

p<0.001; Bonferroni-adjusted t-test: p<0.001), 2003 (ANOVA: F2,10158=371.90, p<0.001;

Bonferroni-adjusted t-test: p<0.001), 2004 (ANOVA: F2,8211=113.44, p<0.001; Bonferroni-

adjusted t-test: p<0.001), and 2005 (ANOVA: F2,6372=82.75, p<0.001; Bonferroni-adjusted t-test:

p<0.001). Bay fish sampled during the chick-rearing period were significantly smaller than fish

sampled in the fledging period in all years (ANOVA (2006): F2,5435=103.19, p<0.001; Bonferroni-

adjusted t-test: p<0.001; Bonferroni-adjusted t-tests for 2000-2004: p<0.001; Bonferroni-

adjusted t-test for 2005: p=0.048).

Colony and Bay comparisons

The size of suitably-sized fish from the Bay varied significantly from the colony fish when

factoring in year and breeding stage (Table 13). Again, the significant interaction terms led to

investigating each year individually. Bay fish were significantly larger than colony fish in 2001

(ANOVA: F1,9886=17.03, p<0.001), 2003 (ANOVA: F1,11889=504.81, p<0.001), 2004 (ANOVA:

F1,10062=401.66, p<0.001), 2005 (ANOVA: F1,8656=631.44, p<0.001), and 2006 (ANOVA:

F1,6285=75.75, p<0.001). When examining the courtship/incubation period in each year, dropped

fish at the colony were significantly larger than Bay fish in 2002 (ANOVA: F1,5040=59.16,

p<0.001), 2003 (ANOVA: F1,1540=23.15, p<0.001), and 2004 (ANOVA: F1,2603=7.94, p=0.0049).

During the chick-rearing period, fish sampled in the Bay were significantly larger than colony

fish in 2001 (ANOVA: F1,2163=16.48, p=0.0001), 2003 (ANOVA: F1,4207=313.29, p<0.001), 2004

(ANOVA: F1,2778=175.14, p<0.001), 2005 (ANOVA: F1,1548=83.95, p<0.001), and 2006 (ANOVA:

F1,1643=5.19, p=0.0228). Similar to the chick-rearing stage, Bay fish were significantly larger than

colony fish in the fledging stage of every year (ANOVA results: 2000: F1,3786=36.68, p<0.001;

2001: F1,4827=217.90, p<0.001; 2002: F1,5215=199.17, p<0.001; 2003: F1,6138=502.76, p<0.001; 2004:

F1,4677=628.39, p<0.001; 2005: F1,4650=966.90, p<0.001; 2006: F1,2275=159.07, p<0.001).

When comparing species compositions between the colony and the Bay, 8 species had positive

significant correlations and 2 species had near-significant correlations (Table 14). Comparisons

by year showed 12 positive significant years and 2 near-significant years of the midwater trawl

data, and one positive and one negative near-significant correlations in otter trawls (Table 15).

13

Rank preference indices showed terns preferred 12 species, avoided 13 species, and neutral

towards 2 species (Table 16).

DISCUSSION

Most of the fish collected from the Least Tern breeding area were Atherinopsids (mainly

jacksmelt and topsmelt), northern anchovy, and surfperch species (family Embiotocidae).

Jacksmelt, topsmelt and northern anchovy are all pelagic, schooling fishes that can presumably

be spotted by Least Terns from the air; these species are also the main fish consumed by Least

Terns (Elliott 2005). Northern anchovy is the most abundant fish species in San Francisco Bay

(Baxter et al. 1999), and while their abundance in the Bay has varied from year to year (Figure

3a), it is more abundant than the other pelagic, schooling, slender-bodied species. While less

abundant than northern anchovy, jacksmelt is a fairly common fish of suitable-size sampled in

the Bay, even given that it is likely underrepresented. The Embiotocids are likely

overrepresented in the dropped fish samples; they are deep-bodied fish that are often unable to

fit through the gape of a tern chick (Hulsman 1981, Atwood and Kelly 1984). For the purposes

of this report, a tern gape width was defined as 15 mm (Atwood and Kelly 1984), but Zuria and

Mellink (2005) reported mean gape widths of 11.2 mm (adults), 7.2 mm (smaller chicks), and 9.1

mm (larger chicks). The mean body depth of 18 ± 3.6 mm (range=7-27, n=701) in surfperches

dropped at the colony is larger than the most conservative gape estimate, and it is more than

twice the gape width of small chicks. Therefore, the dropped surfperches are too large for

chicks (as well as most adults).

The mean length of 63 mm in dropped prey (Table 5) is larger than the mean length of

consumed prey (60 mm; Elliott 2005), suggesting that dropped fish represent fish that may be

too large to eat. The largest dropped prey were found in 2006, and the largest fish were also

sampled in the Bay in 2006. This may be driven by the presence of relatively large northern

anchovy and jacksmelt sampled during the Least Tern breeding season in that year (Table 17).

Dropped prey were significantly smaller than suitably-sized Bay fish in five of the seven years

14

analyzed. Some dropped fish (e.g. northern anchovy) are smaller than the minimum lengths used

by CDFG, so this may have affected results.

Intra-annual patterns in dropped prey size were somewhat unexpected. The literature on

different tern species shows that adults switch from bringing larger prey (for courtship and

incubating females) to smaller fish (for chicks; Atwood and Kelly 1984, Shealer 1998). While we

saw smaller fish in the chick-rearing period compared to the courtship stage in five of the seven

years studied, the fledging stage revealed even smaller fish in three of the years studied. I might

have expected to see slightly larger fish during the fledging period, as chicks are larger at this

time and capable of handling larger fish, and the fish in the Bay are larger at this time as well; yet

only two years showed larger fish in the fledging period, and observations of feedings at the

Alameda colony confirm that fledglings receive larger fish than smaller chicks (PRBO,

unpublished data). However, the breeding stage designations are rough estimates of breeding

phenology at the colony and do not necessarily reflect what may be occurring at the colony.

For instance, there may be many smaller chicks in the colony during the fledging period (due to

re-nesting or late nesting), which may explain why smaller fish are being collected. In addition,

fledglings may be receiving more feedings from parents on the surrounding tarmac areas or by

the shores of the Bay, so many of the dropped feedings of fledglings may not be collected

during the nest surveys in the colony. It is interesting to note that while dropped fish sizes

decrease as the season progresses, the opposite is true of Bay fish and the sizes of fish

consumed by Least Terns (Elliott 2005). I would expect Bay fish sizes to increase, as this

reflects the growth of the age-0 class fish that were spawned in the winter and spring months

(Baxter et al. 1999). The intra-annual colony and Bay fish size comparisons illustrate the switch

to foraging for appropriately-sized fish: dropped fish were larger than Bay fish during

courtship/incubation, and then Bay fish were larger than dropped fish for the remainder of the

season (when chicks and fledglings were present).

Correlations between species compositions of dropped prey and Bay fish give more insight into

the relationship between tern foraging and prey abundance and availability. The slender-bodied,

pelagic schooling fish (northern anchovy, Pacific herring, and Pacific sardine (Sardinops sagax)), as

well as fish inhabiting the nearshore environment (California grunion, arrow goby, cheekspot

15

goby (Ilypnus gilberti), and yellowfin goby (Acanthogobius flavimanus)), appear to be the significant

positive findings, indicating that terns may be choosing these species in accordance with their

availability. White croaker, bay goby, and brown rockfish (Sebastes auriculatus) are generally

demersal or benthopelagic species that are not necessarily found in nearshore habitats; these

species may have been made locally available in nearshore environments (e.g., during ebb tide).

Not surprisingly, other demersal fish (e.g. English sole (Parophrys vetulus), Pacific staghorn

sculpin (Leptocottus armatus)) and surfperch species showed no significant results with colony

fish. However, jacksmelt—the most abundant species collected at the colony—had a non-

significant negative relationship, as well as topsmelt (another important dropped fish); this may

be due to underrepresentation in the Bay fish trawls due to sampling methods. The correlations

by year also illustrate how midwater trawls sample the fish utilized by terns. Also, when

examining only the midwater trawls, Bay fish species compositions and dropped fish

compositions varied in similar ways in most years. This lends more evidence that the dropped

fish indicate changes in availability and abundance of species in San Francisco Bay.

The rank preference indices tell a somewhat different story. There appear to be preferences

toward the same slender-bodied pelagic species (northern anchovy, Pacific herring, and Pacific

sardine) and some benthic, nearshore species (cheekspot goby, bay goby, white croaker).

However, these values indicate that terns avoid jacksmelt and topsmelt, meaning their relative

abundance in the environment is large compared to their relative importance in the diet (or in

this case, in the dropped prey collections). If jacksmelt and topsmelt are truly underrepresented

in Bay trawl surveys, then their true availability in the environment would be even larger than

what is reflected here, and their true rank preference indices would show an even stronger

avoidance. It is possible that jacksmelt and topsmelt are underrepresented in the dropped fish

samples; they may be eaten more often and/or be less likely to be too large for consumption. In

addition, our classification of suitably-sized prey may actually include fish that are too large for

terns, making the CPUE calculations erroneously high and creating significant findings where

there may not be any (or vice versa). This may be the case for fish other than surfperches that

may have body depth limitations to consider (e.g., flatfishes), but data to calculate minimum

sizes were not available for this investigation. Therefore, these correlation and rank preference

indices should be viewed with caution, as they may not reflect selectivity accurately.

16

Despite the shortcomings of the selectivity analyses, northern anchovy, Pacific herring, and, to a

lesser extent, Pacific sardine are consistently shown to be important prey items to the Least

Terns. These are high-caloric species, making good meals for growing tern chicks, and positive

relationships between anchovy abundance in the dropped prey and reproductive success of the

Alameda Least Tern colony have already been shown (Elliott et al. 2007). Elegant Tern (Sterna

elegans) chicks fed anchovies (the high energy content food) showed a faster gain of body mass

and wing length, and had higher lipid reserves than chicks fed topsmelt (the low energy content

food; Dahdul and Horn 2003). The authors deduced that a tern colony that had to switch from

a high-energy food item (e.g. anchovy) to a low-energy food item (i.e. topsmelt) may produce

underweight fledglings with less fat reserves, and parents may have to increase provisioning to

chicks, thereby leading to decreased survival and reproductive success. Terns are opportunistic

foragers and generally stay within just a few miles of the breeding colony to catch their prey

(Atwood and Minsky 1983), so terns may be taking jacksmelt in large numbers as they are more

readily available and found closer to the colony than the preferred northern anchovy or Pacific

herring.

It is difficult to say what we can or cannot conclude about the dropped fish. Northern anchovy

are important, yet they are the second most common fish in the dropped fish collections. The

results on jacksmelt are less clear; this is the most abundant fish dropped at the colony and

their abundances at the colony do not match the trawl abundances. This could be due to

underrpresentation in the trawl data, or it could be a less desirable fish that is more abundant

near the colony and makes an easy fish to catch and bring back to the chick.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I would like to thank Kathy Hieb (CDFG) for providing the San Francisco Bay fish data and

giving suggestions on the analyses; these data were collected by the Interagency Program for

the San Francisco Estuary and the CDFG’s San Francisco Bay study. Rachel Hurt, Susan Euing

and Joelle Buffa (USFWS) provided breeding data on the Alameda Point Least Tern colony;

Rachel, Susan, other Refuge staff and interns collected dropped fish during in-colony

reproductive surveys in 2002-2006. I also thank Richard Morat and the FWS Coastal Program

17

at San Francisco Bay for contributing funding to conduct these analyses. Jennifer Roth (PRBO)

provided additional input into this report. In 2002-2005, dropped fish were collected during the

Least Tern foraging study for the Oakland Harbor deepening project (Ehrler et al. 2006) under

contract/subcontract with Tetra Tech, Inc.; data were collected under prime contract

DACW07-02-F-0028 (2002 - 2003), subcontract 2004-03/GS-10F-0268K (2004), and

subcontract 2005-21/GS-10F-0268K (2005).

This is PRBO Contribution Number 1613.

18

LITERATURE CITED

Atwood, J. L. and P. R. Kelly. 1984. Fish dropped on breeding colonies as indicators of Least Tern food habits. Wilson Bulletin 96: 34-47. Atwood, J. L. and D. E. Minsky. 1983. Least Tern foraging ecology at three major California breeding colonies. Western Birds 14: 57-71. Bailey, S. F. 1992. California Least Tern foraging and other off-colony activities around Alameda Naval Air Station during 1991. Unpublished Report, Dept. of Ornithology and Mammalogy, California Academy of Sciences. Baxter, R., K. Hieb, S. DeLeón, K. Fleming and J. Orsi. 1999. Report on the 1980-1995 fish, shrimp, and crab sampling in the San Francisco estuary, California. Prepared for the Interagency Ecological Program for the Sacramento-San Joaquin Estuary, California Department of Fish and Game, Technical Report 63. Collins, L. D. 1995. California Least Tern nesting season at the Alameda Naval Air Station, 1995. Unpublished report prepared for Western Division, Naval Facilities Engineering Command. Collins, L. D. 2000. California Least Tern monitoring report for 1999 at the Naval Air Station, Alameda. Unpublished report prepared for Engineering Field Activity West, Naval Facilities Engineering Command. Dahdul, W. M. and M. H. Horn. 2003. Energy allocation and postnatal growth in captive Elegant Tern (Sterna elegans) chicks: responses to high- versus low-energy diets. Auk 120(4): 1069-1081. Ehrler, C. P., M. L. Elliott, J. E. Roth, J. R. Steinbeck, A. K. Miller, W. J. Sydeman, and A. M. Zoidis. 2006. Oakland Harbor Deepening Project (-50’): Least Tern, Fish, and Plume Monitoring. Project Year 2005 and Four-Year Final Monitoring Report. Tetra Tech, Inc., San Francisco, California. July 2006. Elliott, M.L. and W.J. Sydeman, 2001. Breeding Status of the California Least Tern at Alameda Point (former Naval Air Station, Alameda), Alameda, California, 2000. Unpublished Report, Point Reyes Bird Observatory, Stinson Beach, California. Elliott, M.L. and W.J. Sydeman, 2002. Breeding Status of the California Least Tern at Alameda Point (former Naval Air Station, Alameda), Alameda, California, 2001. Unpublished Report, Point Reyes Bird Observatory, Stinson Beach, California. Elliott, M. L. 2005. Diet, prey, and foraging habits of the California Least Tern (Sterna antillarum browni). Unpublished Master’s thesis, San Francisco State University.

19

Elliott, M. L., R. Hurt, and W. J. Sydeman. 2007. Breeding biology and status of the California Least Tern Sterna antillarum browni at Alameda Point, San Francisco Bay, California. Waterbirds 30(3): 317-325. Hulsman, K. 1981. Width of gape as a determinant of size of prey eaten by terns. Emu 81: 29-32. Hurt, Rachel. 2003. Breeding Status of the California Least Tern at Alameda Point, Alameda, California, 2002. Unpublished Report, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Fremont, California. Hurt, Rachel. 2006. Breeding Status of the California Least Tern at Alameda Point, Alameda, California, 2005. Unpublished Report Prepared for the U.S. Navy, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Fremont, California. Johnson, D. H. 1980. The comparison of usage and availability measurements for evaluating resource preference. Ecology 61(1): 65-71. Palmer, R. S. 1941. A behavior study of the Common Tern (Sterna hirundo hirundo L.). Proceedings of the Boston Society of Natural History 42: 1-119. Robinette, D., N. Collier, A. Brown, and W. J. Sydeman. 2001. Monitoring and management of the California Least Tern colony at Purisma Point, Vandenberg Air Force Base, 1995-2001. Unpublished Report, Point Reyes Bird Observatory, Stinson Beach, CA. Shealer, D. A. 1998. Size-selective predation by a specialist forager, the Roseate Tern. Auk 115(2): 519-525. Thompson, B. C., J. A. Jackson, J. Burger, L. A. Hill, E. M. Kirsch and J. A. Atwood. 1997. Least Tern (Sterna antillarum) in Birds of North America, No. 290 (A. Poole and F. Gill, Eds.). The Academy of Natural Sciences, Philadelphia, PA, and The American Ornithologists’ Union, Washington, D.C. Zuria, I. and E. Mellink. 2005. Fish abundance and the 1995 nesting season of the Least Tern at Bahía de San Jorge, Northern Gulf of California, México. Waterbirds 28(2): 172-180.

20

Table 1. Definitions of breeding stages, 2000-2006. Breeding stage Year Courtship / Incubation Chick-rearing Fledging

2000 April 28 - June 3 June 4 - July 1 July 2 - Aug 16 2001 April 24 - June 1 June 2 - June 30 July 1 - August 4 2002 April 22 - June 1 June 2 - June 30 July 1 - July 21 2003 April 19 - May 30 May 31 - June 28 June 29 - August 25 2004 April 20 - May 28 May 29 - June 26 June 27 - August 11 2005 April 18 - May 29 May 30 - June 27 June 28 - August 1 2006 April 13 - May 30 June 1 - June 28 June 29 - August 14

21

Table 2. San Francisco Bay Monitoring Program sampling months, 1980-2006. Year Midwater trawl Otter trawl 1980

January-November January-November 1981

January-December January-December 1982 January-December January-December 1983 January-December January-December 1984 January-December January-December 1985 January-December January-December 1986 January-December January-December 1987 January-December January-December 1988 January-December January-December 1989 January-August January-August 1990 February-October February-October 1991 February-October February-October 1992 February-October February-October 1993 February-October February-October 1994 February-April February-October 1995 April-December1 January-December1 1996 April-December January-December 1997 January-December2 January-December 1998 January-December January-December 1999 January-October January-October 2000 January-December January-December 2001 January-December3 January-December3 2002 February-December February-December 2003 January-December4 January-December4 2004 January-December January-December 2005 January-December January-December 2006 January-December5 January-December5 1 Did not sample August 1995 due to mechanical problems. 2 MWT: In 1997 sampled only San Pablo Bay January to March, all stations April to December. 3 Both nets, did not sample March 2001. 4 MWT and OT: survey 5 was conducted in early June (6/2/03-6/4/03); last survey in survey 6 conducted in early July (7/1/03). 5 MWT and OT: part of survey 4 conducted in early May (5/1/06 and 5/3/06).

22

23

Table 3. Minimum lengths of fish sampled in San Francisco Bay. Species Minimum length (mm) American shad 20 bay goby 20 California grunion 20 California halibut 20 California tonguefish 20 chameleon goby 20 cheekspot goby 20 Chinook salmon 20 delta smelt 30 diamond turbot 20 English sole 20 longfin smelt 40 northern anchovy 40 Pacific herring 30 Pacific staghorn sculpin 20 plainfin midshipman 20 shimofuri goby 20 Shokihaze goby 20 speckled sanddab 20 starry flounder 20 striped bass 25 white croaker 20 yellowfin goby 20

Tab

le 4

. Fam

ilies

and

spe

cies

of f

ish id

entif

ied

in d

ropp

ed p

rey,

198

1-20

06.

Fam

ily

Sp

ecie

sSc

ient

ific

nam

eN

umbe

r P

erce

ntag

e of

tot

al c

olle

ctio

n

Paci

fic h

erri

ng

Clup

ea p

alla

sii

997

6.59

%Pa

cific

sar

dine

Sa

rdin

ops

saga

x 50

0.33

%C

lupe

idae

Clu

peid

ae s

pp.

1

0.01

%En

grau

lidae

nort

hern

anc

hovy

Engr

aulis

mor

dax

2084

13.7

8%C

hino

ok s

alm

on

Onc

orhy

nchu

s ts

haw

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ha

582

3.85

%co

ho s

alm

on

Onc

orhy

nchu

s ki

sutc

h 31

0.20

%Sa

lmon

idae

Salm

onid

ae s

pp.

45

0.01

%de

lta s

mel

t H

ypom

esus

pre

tiosu

s 9

0.06

%lo

ngfin

sm

elt

Spiri

nchu

s th

alei

chth

ys

10.

01%

surf

sm

elt

Hyp

omes

us p

retio

sus

940.

62%

Osm

erid

ae

O

smer

idae

spp

.

60.

04%

Batr

acho

idid

aepl

ainf

in m

idsh

ipm

anPo

richt

hys

nota

tus

20.

01%

Scom

bere

soci

dae

Pa

cific

sau

ry

Colo

labi

s sa

ira

10.

01%

Fund

ulid

aera

inw

ater

kill

ifish

Lu

cani

a pa

rva

20.

01%

Cyp

rini

dae

Cyp

rini

dae

spp.

1

0.01

%C

alifo

rnia

gru

nion

Le

ures

thes

tenu

is 26

91.

78%

jack

smel

t At

herin

opsis

cal

iforn

iens

is 65

8243

.52%

tops

mel

t At

herin

ops

affin

is 19

4912

.89%

Mis

siss

ippi

silv

ersi

de

Men

idia

ber

yllin

a 11

0.07

%

Ath

erin

opsi

dae

Ath

erin

opsi

dae

spp.

1020

6.74

%G

aste

rost

eida

eth

rees

pine

stic

kleb

ack

Gas

tero

steu

s ac

ulea

tus

10.

01%

brow

n ro

ckfis

h Se

bast

es a

uricu

latu

s 2

0.01

%Sc

orpa

enid

ae

ro

ckfis

h sp

p.

Seba

stes

spp

. 10

0.07

%H

exag

ram

mid

aeun

iden

tifie

d gr

eenl

ing

Hex

agra

mm

os s

pp.

130.

09%

Paci

fic s

tagh

orn

scul

pin

Lept

ocot

tus

arm

atus

5

0.03

%C

ottid

ae

C

ottid

ae s

pp.

1

0.01

%M

oron

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stri

ped

bass

Mor

one

saxa

tilis

90.

06%

whi

te c

roak

er

Gen

yone

mus

line

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18

0.12

%Sc

iaen

idae

Scia

enid

ae s

pp.

5

0.03

%bl

ack

perc

h Em

biot

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jack

soni

4

0.03

%w

alle

ye s

urfp

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H

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pros

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arg

ente

um

276

1.82

%Em

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ae

silv

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H

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pros

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0.05

%

24

25

nam

e

Tab

le 4

(co

ntin

ued)

. Fa

mily

Sp

ecie

s Sc

ient

ific

Num

ber

Per

cent

age

of t

otal

col

lect

ion

8 3.

%

shin

er p

erch

Cy

mat

ogas

ter a

ggre

gata

56

76st

ripe

d se

aper

ch

Embi

otoc

a la

tera

lis

1 0.

%

7 0.

%

4 0.

%

55

0.%

8

0.%

5

0.%

23

0.

%

90

0.%

19

0.

%

36

0.%

7

0.%

Eng

1 0.

%

le

1

0.%

T

OT

AL

23

10%

01dw

arf p

erch

M

icrom

etru

s m

inim

us

05pi

le p

erch

Rh

acoc

hilu

s va

cca

03w

hite

sea

perc

h Ph

aner

odon

furc

atus

36

Embi

otoc

idae

Embi

otoc

idae

spp

. la

nce

11

78A

mm

odyt

idae

Pa

cific

san

d Am

mod

ytes

hex

apte

rus

03ba

y go

by

Lepi

dogo

bius

lepi

dus

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llow

fin g

oby

Acan

thog

obiu

s fla

viman

us

60ch

eeks

pot

goby

Ily

pnus

gilb

erti

13ar

row

gob

y Cl

evel

andi

a io

s 24

Gob

iidae

Gob

iidae

spp

. so

le

10

71Pl

euro

nect

idae

lish

Paro

phry

s ve

tulu

s

01un

iden

tifia

b01

151

0.00

Table 5. Standard lengths and body depths of dropped prey, 2000-2006. Standard length (mm) Body depth (mm) Year mean ± s.d. range n mean ± s.d. range n

2000 66 ± 12.8 26-93 785 12 ± 3.4 2-24 792 2001 65 ± 11.2 25-94 1771 12 ± 3.2 2-27 1798 2002 63 ± 15.2 26-106 1123 13 ± 3.9 3-25 1131 2003 59 ± 13.2 28-94 1730 12 ± 3.5 2-23 1939 2004 61 ± 13.7 25-100 1850 12 ± 3.6 2-25 1852 2005 62 ± 11.5 14-102 2283 12 ± 2.9 2-25 2285 2006 71 ± 12.5 25-105 849 11 ± 3.0 3-23 849

TOTAL 63 ± 13.1 14-106 10391 12 ± 3.5 2-27 10646

26

Table 6. Standard lengths and body depths of dropped prey by breeding stage, 2000-2006. a) Courtship/incubation Standard length (mm) Body depth (mm) Year mean ± s.d. range n mean ± s.d. range n

2000 69 ± 8.4 48-78 16 14 ± 2.2 11-17 16 2001 70 ± 10.7 47-88 16 15 ± 2.5 11-21 16 2002 72 ± 10.8 35-98 104 14 ± 2.4 5-20 105 2003 73 ± 14.4 42-92 39 14 ± 2.6 3-21 197 2004 74 ± 12.0 36-95 86 15 ± 2.6 4-22 86 2005 70 ± 12.2 30-91 143 14 ± 2.3 8-20 143 2006 72 ± 10.8 37-97 249 14 ± 2.5 8-21 249

TOTAL 71 ± 11.5 30-98 653 14 ± 2.5 3-22 812

b) Chick-rearing Standard length (mm) Body depth (mm) Year mean ± s.d. range n mean ± s.d. range n

2000 63 ± 14.4 29-88 93 13 ± 4.4 2-24 93 2001 61 ± 12.6 31-93 235 12 ± 4.1 3-27 236 2002 65 ± 15.6 31-103 420 14 ± 3.8 3-25 424 2003 58 ± 12.9 29-91 777 11 ± 3.3 2-23 793 2004 61 ± 14.2 25-100 787 12 ± 3.6 2-24 787 2005 64 ± 13.1 19-102 419 13 ± 3.4 3-25 418 2006 72 ± 12.8 25-105 470 15 ± 2.7 4-24 470

TOTAL 63 ± 14.4 19-105 3201 13 ± 3.7 2-27 3221

c) Fledging Standard length (mm) Body depth (mm) Year mean ± s.d. range n mean ± s.d. range n

2000 66 ± 12.6 26-93 676 12 ± 3.2 2-24 683 2001 66 ± 10.9 25-94 1520 12 ± 3.1 2-26 1546 2002 60 ± 14.6 26-106 599 12 ± 3.9 3-25 602 2003 59 ± 13.0 28-94 914 11 ± 3.6 2-23 949 2004 60 ± 12.8 28-100 977 12 ± 3.6 2-25 979 2005 60 ± 10.7 14-94 1721 11 ± 2.7 2-24 1724 2006 64 ± 12.2 34-92 130 13 ± 3.7 6-24 130

TOTAL 62 ± 12.3 14-106 6537 12 ± 3.3 2-26 6613

27

28

Table 7. Two-factor ANOVA results for dropped fish sizes, 2000-2006. Source Partial SS df MS F Prob>F Model 171740.5 20 8587.024 54.85 0.0000 year 11844.87 6 1974.145 12.61 0.0000 breeding stage 20959.64 2 10479.82 66.94 0.0000 year * breeding stage 35834.79 12 2986.233 19.08 0.0000 Residual 1623442 10370 156.5517 Total 1795182 10390 172.7798

Number of observations = 10391 Root MSE = 12.5121 R2 = 0.0957 Adjusted R2 = 0.0939

Tab

le 8

. Fis

h sa

mpl

ed in

San

Fra

ncisc

o Ba

y du

ring

the

Lea

st T

ern

bree

ding

sea

son

(Apr

il –

Aug

ust)

, 198

0-20

06.

Fam

ily

Spec

ies

Scie

ntifi

c N

ame

Gea

r ty

pe u

sed

in

ana

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s N

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tabl

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spec

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all

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spec

imen

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ot

ter

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l 0

0.00

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r la

mpr

ey

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petra

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esii

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r tr

awl

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00

Hex

anch

idae

br

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ter

traw

l 0

0.00

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lus

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ter

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l 0

0.00

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lopi

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mid

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idae

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Dor

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a pe

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mid

wat

er t

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l 1

0.00

Paci

fic h

erri

ng

Clup

ea p

alla

sii

mid

wat

er t

raw

l 79

669

5.40

Paci

fic s

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mid

wat

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19

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iforn

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ter

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acho

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Micr

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ot

ter

traw

l 15

4 0.

01

Fund

ulid

aera

inw

ater

kill

ifish

Luca

nia

parv

a m

idw

ater

tra

wl

2 0.

00

29

Tab

le 8

(co

ntin

ued)

.

Fam

ily

Spec

ies

Scie

ntifi

c N

ame

Gea

r ty

pe u

sed

in

ana

lysi

s N

umbe

r of

sui

tabl

y-si

zed

spec

imen

s P

erce

ntag

e of

all

suit

ably

-si

zed

spec

imen

s A

ther

inop

sida

eC

alifo

rnia

gru

nion

Leur

esth

es te

nuis

mid

wat

er t

raw

l 13

0 0.

01

ja

cksm

elt

Athe

rinop

sis c

alifo

rnie

nsis

mid

wat

er t

raw

l 40

16

0.27

tops

mel

t At

herin

ops

affin

is m

idw

ater

tra

wl

501

0.03

G

aste

rost

eida

e

thre

espi

ne s

tickl

ebac

k

Gas

tero

steu

s ac

ulea

tus

mid

wat

er t

raw

l 8

0.00

Sy

ngna

thid

aeba

y pi

pefis

hSy

ngna

thus

lept

orhy

nchu

s ot

ter

traw

l 29

0.

00

Scor

paen

idae

brow

n ro

ckfis

hSe

bast

es a

uricu

latu

s ot

ter

traw

l 57

1 0.

04

bl

ack

rock

fish

Seba

stes

mel

anop

s m

idw

ater

tra

wl

7 0.

00

bl

ue r

ockf

ish

Seba

stes

mys

tinus

ot

ter

traw

l 1

0.00

yello

wta

il ro

ckfis

h Se

bast

es fl

avid

us

otte

r tr

awl

13

0.00

verm

ilion

roc

kfis

h Se

bast

es m

inia

tus

otte

r tr

awl

1 0.

00

un

iden

tifie

d ro

ckfis

h

Seba

stes

spp

. ot

ter

traw

l 11

0.

00

Hex

agra

mm

idae

lingc

odO

phio

don

elon

gatu

s ot

ter

traw

l 82

0.

01

ke

lp g

reen

ling

Hex

agra

mm

os d

ecag

ram

mus

ot

ter

traw

l 43

0.

00

Cot

tidae

cabe

zon

Scor

paen

ichth

ys m

arm

orat

us

otte

r tr

awl

6 0.

00

br

own

Irish

lord

H

emile

pido

tus

spin

osus

ot

ter

traw

l 2

0.00

Paci

fic s

tagh

orn

scul

pin

Lept

ocot

tus

arm

atus

ot

ter

traw

l 33

43

0.23

buffa

lo s

culp

in

Enop

hrys

biso

n ot

ter

traw

l 42

0.

00

pa

dded

scu

lpin

Ar

tedi

us fe

nest

ralis

ot

ter

traw

l 1

0.00

bony

head

scu

lpin

Ar

tedi

us n

otos

pilo

tus

otte

r tr

awl

203

0.01

scal

yhea

d sc

ulpi

n Ar

tedi

us h

arrin

gton

i ot

ter

traw

l 1

0.00

pric

kly

scul

pin

Cottu

s as

per

otte

r tr

awl

1 0.

00

Ago

nida

epy

gmy

poac

her

Odo

ntop

yxis

trisp

inos

a ot

ter

traw

l 14

0.

00

Lipa

rida

esh

owy

snai

lfish

Lipa

ris p

ulch

ellu

s ot

ter

traw

l 21

6 0.

01

sl

ipsk

in s

nailf

ish

Lipa

ris fu

cens

is ot

ter

traw

l 1

0.00

M

oron

idae

stri

ped

bass

Mor

one

saxa

tilis

mid

wat

er t

raw

l 5

0.00

C

aran

gida

eja

ck m

acke

rel

Trac

huru

s sy

mm

etric

us

mid

wat

er t

raw

l 0

0.00

Sc

iaen

idae

quee

nfish

Serip

hus

polit

us

mid

wat

er t

raw

l 0

0.00

whi

te c

roak

er

Gen

yone

mus

line

atus

ot

ter

traw

l 15

493

1.05

30

Tab

le 8

(co

ntin

ued)

.

Fam

ily

Spec

ies

Scie

ntifi

c N

ame

Gea

r ty

pe u

sed

in

ana

lysi

s N

umbe

r of

sui

tabl

y-si

zed

spec

imen

s P

erce

ntag

e of

all

suit

ably

-si

zed

spec

imen

s Em

biot

ocid

aeru

bber

lip s

eape

rch

Rhac

ochi

lus

toxo

tes

otte

r tr

awl

0 0.

00

bl

ack

perc

h Em

biot

oca

jack

soni

ot

ter

traw

l 1

0.00

barr

ed s

urfp

erch

Am

phist

ichus

arg

ente

us

otte

r tr

awl

2 0.

00

ca

lico

surf

perc

h Am

phist

ichus

koe

lzi

otte

r tr

awl

0 0.

00

re

dtai

l sur

fper

ch

Amph

istich

us rh

odot

erus

ot

ter

traw

l 0

0.00

spot

fin s

urfp

erch

H

yper

pros

opon

ana

le

otte

r tr

awl

0 0.

00

w

alle

ye s

urfp

erch

H

yper

pros

opon

arg

ente

um

mid

wat

er t

raw

l 10

0.

00

si

lver

sur

fper

ch

Hyp

erpr

osop

on e

lliptic

um

otte

r tr

awl

0 0.

00

sh

iner

per

ch

Cym

atog

aste

r agg

rega

ta

otte

r tr

awl

2432

0.

16

st

ripe

d se

aper

ch

Embi

otoc

a la

tera

lis

otte

r tr

awl

0 0.

00

dw

arf p

erch

M

icrom

etru

s m

inim

us

otte

r tr

awl

7 0.

00

pi

le p

erch

Rh

acoc

hilu

s va

cca

otte

r tr

awl

0 0.

00

w

hite

sea

perc

h Ph

aner

odon

furc

atus

ot

ter

traw

l 5

0.00

unid

entif

ied

surf

perc

h Em

biot

ocid

ae s

pp.

otte

r tr

awl

0 0.

00

Cha

enop

sida

e

ones

pot

frin

gehe

adN

eocli

nus

unin

otat

us

otte

r tr

awl

4 0.

00

Phol

idae

sadd

leba

ck g

unne

lPh

olis

orna

ta

otte

r tr

awl

66

0.00

A

mm

odyt

idae

Paci

fic s

and

lanc

e

Amm

odyt

es h

exap

teru

s ot

ter

traw

l 28

0.

00

Gob

iidae

cham

eleo

ngo

byTr

iden

tiger

trig

onoc

epha

lus

otte

r tr

awl

853

0.06

bay

goby

Le

pido

gobi

us le

pidu

s ot

ter

traw

l 57

299

3.88

yello

wfin

gob

y Ac

anth

ogob

ius

flavim

anus

ot

ter

traw

l 59

5 0.

04

ch

eeks

pot

goby

Ily

pnus

gilb

erti

otte

r tr

awl

3576

0.

24

ar

row

gob

y Cl

evel

andi

a io

s ot

ter

traw

l 41

0.

00

sh

imof

uri g

oby

Trid

entig

er b

ifasc

iatu

s ot

ter

traw

l 2

0.00

Shok

ihaz

e go

by

Trid

entig

er b

arba

tus

otte

r tr

awl

1 0.

00

Stro

mat

eida

ePa

cific

pom

pano

Pepr

ilus

similli

mus

m

idw

ater

tra

wl

260

0.02

C

ynog

loss

idae

Cal

iforn

ia t

ongu

efis

h

Sym

phur

us a

trica

udus

ot

ter

traw

l 22

15

0.15

Pa

ralic

hthy

idae

Cal

iforn

ia h

alib

utPa

ralic

hthy

s ca

lifor

nicu

s ot

ter

traw

l 14

0.

00

Pa

cific

san

ddab

Ci

thar

ichth

ys s

ordi

dus

otte

r tr

awl

0 0.

00

sp

eckl

ed s

andd

ab

Cith

arich

thys

stig

mae

us

otte

r tr

awl

3368

5 2.

28

31

Tab

le 8

(co

ntin

ued)

.

Fam

ily

Spec

ies

Scie

ntifi

c N

ame

Gea

r ty

pe u

sed

in

ana

lysi

s N

umbe

r of

sui

tabl

y-si

zed

spec

imen

s P

erce

ntag

e of

all

suit

ably

-si

zed

spec

imen

s Pl

euro

nect

idae

curl

fin s

ole

Pleu

roni

chth

ys d

ecur

rens

ot

ter

traw

l 12

6 0.

01

ho

rnyh

ead

turb

ot

Pleu

roni

chth

ys v

ertic

alis

otte

r tr

awl

3 0.

00

sa

nd s

ole

Pset

ticht

hys

mel

anos

tictu

s ot

ter

traw

l 38

0.

00

di

amon

d tu

rbot

Pl

euro

nich

thys

gut

tula

tus

otte

r tr

awl

1 0.

00

En

glish

sol

e Pa

roph

rys

vetu

lus

otte

r tr

awl

2209

3 1.

50

st

arry

flou

nder

Pl

atich

thys

ste

llatu

s ot

ter

traw

l 38

0.

00

D

over

sol

e

Micr

osto

mus

pac

ificu

s

otte

r tr

awl

2

0.00

TO

TA

L14

7617

910

0.00

32

Tab

le 9

. Len

gths

of f

ish

sam

pled

with

diff

eren

t ge

ar t

ypes

in S

an F

ranc

isco

Bay

, Apr

il-A

ugus

t, 20

00-2

006.

mid

wat

er t

raw

l ot

ter

traw

l bo

th n

ets

Yea

r m

ean

± s.

d.

rang

e n

mea

n ±

s.d.

ra

nge

n m

ean

± s.

d.

rang

e n

2000

80

± 2

6.6

32-6

10

4629

78

± 7

2.9

20-1

300

5292

79

± 5

6.2

20-1

300

9921

20

01

80 ±

29.

1 31

-632

44

27

83 ±

54.

7 20

-856

62

29

82 ±

45.

8 20

-856

10

656

2002

76

± 3

5.5

35-6

27

4867

77

± 5

1.0

20-8

55

9675

77

± 4

6.4

20-8

55

1454

2 20

03

75 ±

25.

8 30

-582

51

64

81 ±

45.

2 20

-754

70

58

79 ±

38.

3 20

-754

12

222

2004

86

± 2

6.7

31-3

24

4690

83

± 5

4.3

20-1

020

6148

84

± 4

4.5

20-1

020

1083

8 20

05

77 ±

21.

7 30

-314

43

40

92 ±

81.

1 20

-900

32

50

83 ±

56.

0 20

-101

0 75

90

2006

88

± 2

3.0

38-5

30

3927

90

± 7

2.6

20-9

47

2768

89

± 5

0.0

20-9

47

6695

T

otal

80

± 2

7.8

30-6

32

3204

4 82

± 5

9.1

20-1

300

4042

0 81

± 4

7.8

20-1

300

7246

4

33

Tab

le 1

0. L

engt

hs o

f sui

tabl

y-si

zed

fish

sam

pled

with

diff

eren

t ge

ar t

ypes

in S

an F

ranc

isco

Bay,

Apr

il-A

ugus

t, 20

00-2

006.

m

idw

ater

tra

wl

otte

r tr

awl

both

net

s Y

ear

mea

n ±

s.d.

ra

nge

n m

ean

± s.

d.

rang

e n

mea

n ±

s.d.

ra

nge

n 20

00

73 ±

12.

4 32

-100

39

83

57 ±

20.

4 20

-100

43

71

65 ±

18.

8 20

-100

83

54

2001

71

± 1

6.1

31-1

00

3492

64

± 2

0.8

20-1

00

4625

67

± 1

9.2

20-1

00

8117

20

02

67 ±

13.

0 35

-100

42

59

61 ±

20.

4 20

-100

76

21

63 ±

18.

3 20

-100

11

880

2003

71

± 1

3.1

30-1

00

4800

66

± 1

8.4

20-1

00

5361

68

± 1

6.3

20-1

00

1016

1 20

04

78 ±

15.

2 31

-100

37

78

64 ±

19.

8 20

-100

44

36

70 ±

19.

1 20

-100

82

14

2005

73

± 1

2.7

30-1

00

4068

66

± 1

9.7

20-1

00

2307

71

± 1

5.9

20-1

00

6375

20

06

82 ±

13.

0 38

-100

33

24

67 ±

17.

9 20

-100

21

14

76 ±

16.

8 20

-100

54

38

Tot

al

73 ±

14.

3 30

-100

27

704

63 ±

20.

1 20

-100

30

835

68 ±

18.

3 20

-100

58

539

34

Tab

le 1

1. L

engt

hs o

f sui

tabl

y-si

zed

fish

sam

pled

with

diff

eren

t gea

r ty

pes

in S

an F

ranc

isco

Bay

and

in d

iffer

ent

bree

ding

per

iods

, Apr

il-A

ugus

t, 20

00-2

006.

m

idw

ater

tra

wl

otte

r tr

awl

both

net

s Y

ear

mea

n ±

s.d.

ra

nge

n m

ean

± s.

d.

rang

e n

mea

n ±

s.d.

ra

nge

n 20

00

69 ±

12.

8 32

-100

16

35

52 ±

20.

7 20

-100

15

20

61 ±

19.

1 20

-100

31

55

2001

60

± 1

6.2

31-1

00

1244

63

± 2

4.8

20-1

00

1634

62

± 2

1.6

20-1

00

2878

20

02

61 ±

15.

2 35

-100

13

42

56 ±

20.

8 20

-100

35

96

57 ±

19.

6 20

-100

49

38

2003

53

± 1

1.4

30-9

6 50

9 61

± 2

1.4

20-1

00

994

58 ±

19.

0 20

-100

15

03

2004

81

± 1

9.0

31-1

00

1025

56

± 2

1.8

21-1

00

1494

66

± 2

3.8

21-1

00

2519

20

05

70 ±

14.

7 30

-100

15

68

61 ±

19.

8 20

-100

74

5 67

± 1

7.1

20-1

00

2313

20

06

81 ±

14.

4 38

-100

13

15

60 ±

17.

0 20

-100

80

1 73

± 1

8.6

20-1

00

2116

T

OT

AL

69 ±

17.

3 30

-100

86

38

58 ±

21.

6 20

-100

10

784

63 ±

20.

6 20

-100

19

422

m

idw

ater

tra

wl

otte

r tr

awl

both

net

s Y

ear

mea

n ±

s.d.

ra

nge

n m

ean

± s.

d.

rang

e n

mea

n ±

s.d.

ra

nge

n 20

00

72 ±

13.

8 40

-100

86

7 55

± 1

9.5

21-1

00

1220

62

± 1

9.3

21-1

00

2087

20

01

74 ±

15.

1 43

-100

78

4 61

± 1

8.8

20-1

00

1146

66

± 1

8.5

20-1

00

1930

20

02

68 ±

13.

8 42

-100

69

2 63

± 1

9.0

20-1

00

1632

64

± 1

7.8

20-1

00

2324

20

03

72 ±

13.

7 41

-100

13

12

66 ±

17.

1 20

-100

21

20

69 ±

16.

1 20

-100

34

32

2004

77

± 1

4.3

41-1

00

840

65 ±

17.

6 22

-100

11

53

70 ±

17.

3 22

-100

19

93

2005

74

± 1

2.1

41-9

9 73

3 67

± 1

9.8

20-1

00

398

72 ±

15.

6 20

-100

11

31

2006

80

± 1

3.9

43-1

00

736

65 ±

17.

1 22

-100

43

9 74

± 1

6.8

22-1

00

1175

T

OT

AL

74 ±

14.

3 40

-100

59

64

63 ±

18.

7 20

-100

81

08

68 ±

17.

8 20

-100

14

072

m

idw

ater

tra

wl

otte

r tr

awl

both

net

s Y

ear

mea

n ±

s.d.

ra

nge

n m

ean

± s.

d.

rang

e n

mea

n ±

s.d.

ra

nge

n 20

00

78 ±

9.0

46

-100

14

81

63 ±

19.

2 20

-100

16

31

70 ±

16.

9 20

-100

31

12

2001

79

± 9

.7

36-1

00

1464

67

± 1

7.5

21-1

00

1845

72

± 1

5.8

21-1

00

3309

20

02

70 ±

9.6

37

-100

22

25

67 ±

18.

5 21

-100

23

93

69 ±

15.

0 21

-100

46

18

2003

73

± 1

0.4

45-1

00

2979

67

± 1

7.9

21-1

00

2247

71

± 1

4.4

21-1

00

5226

20

04

77 ±

13.

0 36

-100

19

13

70 ±

17.

1 20

-100

17

89

74 ±

15.

5 20

-100

37

02

2005

75

± 1

0.3

35-1

00

1767

69

± 1

8.9

21-1

00

1164

73

± 1

4.7

21-1

00

2931

20

06

84 ±

10.

5 55

-100

12

73

74 ±

16.

1 26

-100

87

4 80

± 1

4.0

26-1

00

2147

35

a) C

ourt

ship

/incu

batio

n

b) C

hick

-rea

ring

76 ±

11.

2 35

-100

13

102

68 ±

18.

2 20

-100

11

943

72 ±

15.

5 20

-100

25

045

c) F

ledg

ing

TO

TA

L

Table 12. Two-factor ANOVA results for Bay fish sizes, 2000-2006. Source Partial SS df MS F Prob>F Model 1866023 20 93301.13 306.62 0.0000 year 741175.8 6 123529.3 405.96 0.0000 breeding stage 824975.2 2 412487.6 1355.58 0.0000 year*breeding stage 109520.8 12 9126.737 29.99 0.0000 Residual 17806323 58518 304.8796 Total 19672347 58538 336.0611

Number of observations = 58539 Root MSE = 17.4439 R2 = 0.0949 Adjusted R2 = 0.0945

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Table 13. Three-factor ANOVA results comparing dropped fish and Bay fish sizes, 2000-2006. Source Partiall SS df MS F Prob>F Model 2107745 17 123985 436.48 0.0000 collection (Bay or colony) 24422.28 1 24422.28 85.98 0.0000 year 207340.5 6 34556.75 121.65 0.0000 breeding 13873.04 2 6936.518 24.42 0.0000 collection*year 124285.1 6 20714.18 72.92 0.0000 collection*breeding 157781.6 2 78890.81 277.73 0.0000 Residual 19575120 68912 284.0597 Total 21682866 68929 314.5681

Number of observations = 68930 Root MSE = 16.8541 R2 = 0.0972 Adjusted R2 = 0.0970

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Table 14. Spearman correlations by species between species compositions from dropped fish at the colony to fish sampled in San Francisco Bay. Gear type Species ρ n p

Chinook salmon - 0.1655 21 0.4734 northern anchovy 0.6039 21 0.0037 Pacific herring 0.4416 21 0.0451 Pacific sardine 0.8189 21 <0.001 topsmelt - 0.0261 21 0.9104 jacksmelt - 0.1000 21 0.6663 California grunion 0.8408 21 <0.001 striped bass - 0.0910 21 0.6949 threespine stickleback - 0.0910 21 0.6949

Midwater trawl

walleye surfperch - 0.1664 21 0.4709 surf smelt - 0.1389 21 0.5483 longfin smelt - 0.0739 21 0.7504 white croaker 0.4641 21 0.0341 yellowfin goby 0.526 21 0.0143 arrow goby 0.4343 21 0.0491 bay goby 0.3983 21 0.0737 cheekspot goby 0.5814 21 0.0057 Pacific sand lance 0.3515 21 0.1181 Pacific staghorn sculpin 0.3542 21 0.1152 brown rockfish 0.3798 21 0.0895 unidentified rockfish - 0.2320 21 0.3115 plainfin midshipman 0.1733 21 0.4526 dwarf perch - 0.0038 21 0.987 shiner perch 0.0461 21 0.8426 white seaperch 0.3076 21 0.1749 black perch - 0.0500 21 0.8296

Otter trawl

English sole - 0.0739 21 0.7504 Note: Yellow highlights designate significant results (p<0.05), and pink highlights indicate near-significant results (0.1>p>0.05).

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Table 15. Spearman correlations by year between species compositions from dropped fish at the colony to fish sampled in San Francisco Bay. Gear type Year ρ n p

1981 0.8833 10 0.0007 1982 0.4606 10 0.1803 1984 0.7889 10 0.0067 1985 0.5448 10 0.1034 1986 0.6828 10 0.0296 1987 0.4614 10 0.1795 1988 0.7343 10 0.0156 1989 0.5003 10 0.1409 1990 0.7115 10 0.0210 1991 0.6083 10 0.0621 1992 0.7949 10 0.0060 1993 0.4684 10 0.1721 1994 0.5107 10 0.1314 1995 0.6097 10 0.0613 2000 0.7198 10 0.0189 2001 0.7723 10 0.0088 2002 0.6773 10 0.0314 2003 0.9179 10 0.0002 2004 0.6462 10 0.0435 2005 0.6911 10 0.0269

Midwater trawl

2006 0.4985 10 0.1425 1981 - 0.0056 17 0.9830 1982 -- -- -- 1984 -- -- -- 1985 0.1105 17 0.6729 1986 0.3131 17 0.2211 1987 - 0.0839 17 0.7489 1988 0.1565 17 0.5487 1989 0.0085 17 0.9740 1990 - 0.0746 17 0.7761 1991 0.0778 17 0.7666 1992 0.1121 17 0.6684 1993 0.3861 17 0.1259 1994 0.4129 17 0.0995 1995 0.0816 17 0.7555 2000 - 0.0160 17 0.9514 2001 0.0632 17 0.8097 2002 - 0.1090 17 0.6772 2003 - 0.4220 17 0.0916 2004 - 0.1412 17 0.5889 2005 - 0.0647 17 0.8052

Otter trawl

2006 0.033 17 0.8998 Note: Yellow highlights designate significant results (p<0.05), and pink highlights indicate near-significant results (0.1>p>0.05).

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Table 16. Rank preference indices for fish species. Gear type Species (Rank colony) – (Rank Bay) Selectivity

Pacific herring 2 preferred Pacific sardine 4 strongly preferred northern anchovy 1 mildly preferred Chinook salmon 0 neutral California grunion 0 neutral jacksmelt -2 avoided topsmelt -3 strongly avoided threespine stickleback 1 mildly preferred striped bass -1 mildly avoided

Midwater trawl

walleye surfperch -2 avoided longfin smelt 10 strongly preferred surf smelt -13 strongly avoided plainfin midshipman 8 preferred brown rockfish 4 preferred unidentified rockfish spp. -3 avoided Pacific staghorn sculpin 4 preferred white croaker 5 preferred black perch -5 avoided shiner perch -7 avoided dwarf surfperch -4 avoided white seaperch -12 strongly avoided Pacific sand lance -2 avoided bay goby 5 preferred yellowfin goby -7 avoided cheekspot goby 1 mildly preferred arrow goby -6 avoided

Otter trawl

English sole 12 strongly preferred

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Table 17. Sizes of northern anchovy and jacksmelt sampled in San Francisco Bay, April-August, 2000-2006. Year mean ± s.d. range n

2000 77 ± 9.4 40-100 2989 2001 80 ± 12.0 41-100 1879 2002 73 ± 9.6 41-100 2326 2003 77 ± 9.9 47-100 3161 2004 83 ± 10.3 46-100 2721 2005 75 ± 10.8 40-100 3384 2006 86 ± 9.2 53-100 2740

northern anchovy

Total 79 ± 10.9 40-100 19200

2000 71 ± 18.6 44-99 52 2001 79 ± 9.5 36-100 299 2002 77 ± 10.9 50-98 313 2003 78 ± 8.9 48-98 75 2004 66 ± 14.9 36-100 174 2005 67 ± 14.1 40-96 92 2006 81 ± 7.4 59-98 111

jacksmelt

Total 75 ± 12.8 36-100 1116

41

Figure 1. Fish sampling stations of CDFG’s San Francisco Study.

Note: Data from stations in the South Bay (101-142) and Central Bay (211-244) were used in this report. Map obtained from the IEP/CDFG website: http://www.iep.ca.gov/sf_bay_monitor/

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43

Figure 2. Dropped prey composition by familiy, 1981-2006.

(Note: No prey were collected in years 1983 and 1996-1999).

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45