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    Eighty five years in the Middle East

    Leading Consumer Electronicsbusiness organizations

    Maximizing growthopportunities in Africa

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    Contents

    Introduction

    Economic outlook

    Business environment

    Best practice

    Key localization strategies

    South Africa case study

    4

    5

    8

    13

    17

    20

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    4 | Leading Consumer Electronics Business Organizations | Maximizing Growth Opportunities in Africa

    Introduction

    In line with the globalization paradigm, Africa has

    become the new business destination for many

    consumer business multinationals over the last 10 years.

    It is considered as one of the most opportunistic markets

    and in recent years has seen entrance from some of the

    largest multinational firms worldwide. A key strategic

    question asked by many firms is how to best enter the

    African market. Hence, considering the economic and

    social challenges facing the African continent, this paperattempts to elaborate on the key principles and strategies

    that successful vendors are exploiting and key challenges

    they have encountered along the way.

    This paper begins with presenting a macro analysis

    of the economic indicators of the region followed by an

    overview of the business environment in Africa. Best

    practices from different aspects of business is the topic of

    the next section helping decision-makers devise optimal

    ways to exploit the available opportunities in Africa.

    The paper concludes with a number of key localization

    strategies, which can be considered and employed byleading consumer electronics multinationals.

    In line with the globalizationparadigm, Africa has become thenew business destination for many

    consumer business multinationalsover the last 10 years

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    Africa is amongst the fastestgrowing economies in the worldand an attractive destination forconsumer business multinationals

    Economic outlook

    Africa is amongst the fastest growing resource-rich

    economies in the world with a total GDP of US$1.7

    trillion in 2010 and offers relatively promising medium

    to long term growth prospects.

    Regional pursuits of major economic reforms, combined

    with higher government spending and strong foreign

    investments (particularly from China) have resulted

    in economic growth and strong recession recovery.

    Recent trends indicate that growth is increasingly

    driven by a burgeoning domestic market which is

    assessed to become the largest outside of India and

    China. In addition, recently Africa has become a major

    focal point for international initiatives (i.e. G8 summit,

    Nepad and the IMF) through various programs

    promoting macroeconomic stability, structural reforms

    and privatization despite major challenges

    (i.e. corruption, weak institutions and political instability).

    -5.0

    0.0

    5.0

    10.0

    15.0

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 (e) 2011 (e)2003200220012000

    China India Africa Brazil US Europe

    Figure 2.1 illustrates Africas steady but strong growth rate in comparison to other developed and emerging economies. Due tothe challenges still facing Africa, China and India are forecasted to exhibit larger growth rates, while Africa remains

    closely behind reaching a forecasted growth rate of 5% by 2011.

    Figure 2.1 - Real GDP growth, 2000-11 (in %)

    Source: Africa Economic outlook 2010

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    6 | Leading Consumer Electronics Business Organizations | Maximizing Growth Opportunities in Africa

    In recent years, prior to the global crisis, international

    trade had been increasing rapidly. Africa only comprises

    3% of the worlds exports. As such, a key objective for

    Africa will be to continue attracting investors beyond

    the profitable exploration of natural resources.

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    2014 (e)2013 (e)2012 (e)2011 (e)2010 (e)200920082007

    1.3

    08

    1.5

    46

    1.4

    85 1

    .705

    1.8

    51

    2.0

    27

    2.2

    18 2

    .423

    Figure 2.2 highlights the African GDP forecast from 2007-2014. In 2009, total GDP for the

    African continent reached USD1.5 trillion. In comparison, Chinas GDP was US$4.2

    trillion and the US amounted to USD14.2 trillion.

    Regional integration initiatives

    Africa currently has 15 trade agreements which

    has helped boost intra-trade significantly in the region

    by introducing tariff reductions, and generally helping

    the flow of goods across borders. SADC (South AfricanDevelopment Community), which comprises over 50 %

    of all intra-regional trade may join COMESA (Common

    Market for Eastern & Southern Africa) to help spur

    regional trade by eliminating all tariffs between these

    two regions. 40% of total intra-regional trade is

    comprised of manufactured goods illustrating

    opportunities for produced and assembled consumer

    electronics within the African region.

    Figure 2.2 - Africa continent GDP, 2007-14 (in Billion US$)

    Source: IMF

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    Main tradeagreements

    AMU

    ECOWAS

    EAC

    SADC

    COMESA

    ECCAS

    EU

    Nigeria

    South Africa

    Even with the current progression of the trade

    agreements, intra-regional trade still only accounts

    for 12% of total trade in Africa. Additionally there

    are still only a few countries that dominate intra-trade,

    including South Africa and Nigeria. This point highlights

    that government inefficiencies still remain strong

    within the region.

    Demographic transformation

    Africa's population is estimated at 997 million in 2010.

    This is considered relatively large in comparison to other

    regions, such as Europe with a population of 831

    million. Nevertheless, Africa is beginning to experience

    a demographic transformation highlighted by declining

    birth rates, which is a well-known indicator for regional

    development. This decline in infant fertility is mainly an

    urban phenomenon and is significant in some of the

    more developed African countries (especially in Tunisia,

    Morocco and South Africa). Since 1950, Africa has

    experienced a growth rate ranging from 2.2% to 2.8%,in comparison to the global average of 1.4% to 1.7%

    during the same period.

    Africas total population is expected to witness a 2%

    growth between 2010-2014. Nigeria, Egypt and

    South Africa are amongst the most populated African

    countries, while Kenya is amongst the fastest growing.

    Figure 2.3 - Main trade agreements

    Figure 2.3 illustrates the complex network of regional agreements that have begun to overlap.

    Source: GTZ

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    8 | Leading Consumer Electronics Business Organizations | Maximizing Growth Opportunities in Africa

    Business environment

    Despite the progress made over the last 10 years

    including many investment initiatives launched by

    NEPAD-OECD, and others, the business environment

    in Africa is still quite underdeveloped.

    One of the most problematic issues for doing business

    in Africa is the power shortages which can considerably

    increase operating costs. In some countries such as

    Nigeria, power disruptions are witnessed daily and can

    account for losses of up to 10% of sales. Other more

    developed regions such as South Africa experience

    power shortages less frequently, however costs can

    still account for up to 1-2 % of sales.

    Macroeconomic instability within the region remains

    a concern for the overall business vitality. Other concerns

    for developing countries in Africa are the low

    administrative capacities, corruption and poor tax

    systems that can seriously affect economic development.

    Another challenge facing consumer business

    organizations entering Africa is the lack of skilled labor

    within the region, stemming from the low level of

    higher education. Some major challenges include poorly

    educated teachers, weak teacher unions and the large

    number of school dropouts. Efforts from institutions

    such as the Global Business School network are helping

    raise the level of education; however there still remains

    an insufficient skilled work force.

    Main business challenges compriseof macro-economic instability,under-developed infrastructure,low administrative capacities andlack of skilled labor

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    The above figure illustrates that parameters such as

    inflation, corruption, social capital, unemployment

    rates,and infrastructure clearly lag behind. Among the

    sampled countries selected, Nigeria has the lowest

    maturity of business environment followed by Kenya,

    Egypt and South Africa.

    As illustrated below in Figure 3.2, the television

    penetration rate in Africa stands at around 40%

    or less than half the rate of Europe. Similarly,

    the Internet penetration rates, estimated at 5%

    are considerably lower than Europe and China;indicating growth opportunities in this sector.

    South Africa, Tunisia and Morocco are amongst

    the leading countries in terms of ICT penetration

    across Africa.

    In 2008, FDI inflows rose to a record USD88 billion

    despite the global crisis. North Africa attracted 27%

    of total FDI while the remaining sub Saharan countries

    attracted 73%. The largest portions of these contributions

    have been received by all the North African countries,

    South Africa, Nigeria and Angola. In 2008, companies in

    China accounted for US$5.6 billion value in cross border

    M&As and purchases.

    The main driving forces behind FDI are the need for

    resources and creation of new markets for products.

    A recent survey among Chinese private investorsindicated that their FDI investments are market driven".

    Chinas interest in the African continent is no longer only

    within natural resources; the growing entries of Chinese

    companies are beginning to spread across all sectors of

    the African economy.

    Maximizing Growth Opportunities in Africa | Leading Consumer Electronics Business Organizations | 9

    Egypt

    South Africa

    Kenya US

    Nigeria

    Education

    EconomicFundamentals

    Entrepreneurshipand Innovation

    DemocraticInstitutions

    Governance

    PersonalFreedom

    Social Capital

    HealthSafety & security

    100

    80

    60

    40

    20

    0

    38%

    96%

    89%

    42%

    Internet penetration TV Penetration

    Europe China Africa

    29%

    5%

    Figure 3.1 - Business environment comparison

    Source: Deloitte research and analysis, 2010

    Figure 3.2 - ICT enviroment, 2009

    Source: Legatum prosperity index 2009

    Figure 3.1 compares the business environment ranking in key markets, compared to the US.

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    10 | Leading Consumer Electronics Business Organizations | Maximizing Growth Opportunities in Africa

    Shifts in consumer spending patterns

    Leading indicators including the GDP per capita,

    urbanization rate and the growth of the middle class

    show a shift in African consumer spending towards

    more sophisticated goods. However basic spending

    still accounts for up to 50% of total consumption.

    GDP per capita in Africa is expected to grow at a rate

    of 8%, fueled by an expanding workforce and labor

    productivity. The urbanization rate, which is closelyrelated to economic development, is growing at an

    estimated 4% in countries such as Kenya indicating

    that by 2025 cities in such countries will have doubled.

    The emerging middle class in many African cities and

    the rise of the so-called Afropolitans (cosmopolitan

    African group) have had an impact on the consumer

    lifestyle and behavior which has begun to target

    branded Western goods. This trend has been

    facilitated by the rise of credit facilities.

    The majority of Africa's emerging middle class

    consumers are found in South Africa, while others

    include Zambia, Nigeria, Kenya, Ghana and French

    speaking North Africa.

    An emerging middle class, and the riseof the Afropolitans (cosmopolitanAfrican group) have significantly

    changed the lifestyle and purchasingbehavior of African consumers

    Europe Africa

    Rural Urban

    73%

    27%

    40%

    60%

    Figure 3.3 shows that Africa's urbanization rates are still

    lagging behind developed regions.

    Source: Euromonitor

    Figure 3.3 - Rural vs. urban population, 2010 (in %)

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    Figure 3.4 illustrates that just under 50% of African household income is considered as discretionary and the remainder falls under

    basic needs.

    Developed markets

    Some markets in Africa have experienced a shift,

    resulting in more sophisticated spending patterns

    that can account for up to 50% of total spending

    on superior/luxury goods. These markets include

    the majority of North Africa, such as Tunisia, Algeria,

    Morocco and Egypt, as well as other economies such

    as South Africa. Consumers in these markets are

    dominated by a young population who are influenced by

    European tastes and product specifications. Additionally

    these markets are also associated with higher ICT

    penetration rates, which indicate a more knowledgeable

    and exposed consumer segment.

    In South Africa, spending is expected to grow by 8% in

    the coming five years, fueled by the increased spending

    power of the emerging black middle class ( the so-called

    black diamondphenomenon).

    Home furnishings and home improvements are the big

    beneficiary of the black diamond phenomenon, leading

    to greater sales of consumer electronics as well.

    International vs. local brands

    The evolution of consumer behavior can be exemplified in

    the recent shifts in product demands within the consumer

    electronics industry. Examples include the shift from twin

    tub to top load washing machines, from CTV to LCD

    screens and the shift from local to international brands.

    Within the African markets, local brands (such as

    Algerias Condor, Egypts Kiriazi, Nigerias Zinox and

    South Africas Defy, KIC and Sahara) still maintain strong

    market shares and continue to rely on consumer loyalty

    and strong price positioning. However, more and more

    of the international brands are entering and expandingin Africa successfully by introducing new products and

    services through concentrated advertising campaigns

    that are attracting new demand and changing consumer

    behavior patterns.

    Income Level % US $

    Basic needs 24 < 2,000

    33 2,000 - 5,000

    Discretionary

    income21 5,000 - 10,000

    14 10,000 - 20,000

    8 > 20,000

    Figure 3.4 - Share of total Africa households by income bracket (in %)

    Source: Euromonitor

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    12 | Leading Consumer Electronics Business Organizations | Maximizing Growth Opportunities in Africa

    The African consumer is now more knowledgeable

    about product specifications and is aware of

    the international standards including technical quality

    and energy efficiency performance. Local brands are

    often unable to offer a similar range of products as

    their international counterparts. Some of the major

    challenges facing international brands, include:

    lack of strong relationships and networks, aggressive

    price competition from local brands, as well as inabilityto manage and control the large informal markets.

    Local marketing initiatives

    A key success factor for leading vendors in Africa

    has been aggressive marketing initiatives which

    have successfully increased brand awareness and

    consumer perception.

    Most African consumers associate the strength

    of a brand with the strength of its advertising

    and marketing activities. Consumer business market

    leaders have invested heavily in building brandpresence/visibility through integrated campaigns

    and marketing mix programs, including: TV, radio,

    magazine, adverts, billboards, signage, demos,

    giveaways, warranty extension, POS and others.

    The recent World Cup in South Africa boosted

    the annual marketing budget of the consumer

    electronic giants. However, the underdeveloped

    state of the communications media and education

    levels in most of the countries makes it challenging

    to reach consumers with specific product messages

    on a constant and uniform basis.

    Most African consumers associate thestrength of a brand with the strengthof its advertising and marketingactivities

    Stone window display Showrooms

    Store - witnin-store

    Billboards Signage

    News paper/magazine adverts

    Source: Deloitte research and analysis

    Figure 3.5 - Advertisement tools

    Figure 3.3 illustrates the most common advertising and marketing tools and activities used by leading vendors in Africa.

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    Best practice

    How to maximize growth opportunities in Africa?

    This section identifies the key success factors and

    challenges for expansion into the African region under

    the different aspects of undertaking business activities.

    Organizational structure

    One of the most challenging aspects facing leading

    consumer electronics vendors in Africa today is how to

    effectively cover the diverse regions with the optimum

    organizational structure. To begin with companies

    need to identify the most strategic location for the

    regional headquarter in Africa. Most models suggest

    that Dubai is the preferred location to use as a regional

    MEA headquarter.

    In some regions such as Eastern Africa and specifically

    Kenya, Dubai is considered as a cost efficient logistics

    hub since many African resellers have offices,

    warehouses and trade links with Dubai. Alternatively,

    South Africa is also considered a good strategic location,which can serve as a good export hub particularly

    for SADC.

    Most of the leading vendors have undergone

    an organizational restructuring in the last two years,

    increasing their local presence in the region

    by converting existing representative offices into

    subsidiaries which report to a regional headquarter.

    Trends show that the strategy of some industry leaders

    is to penetrate Africa through four main regional hubs,

    including: Morocco serving the Maghreb, Kenya serving

    Eastern Africa, South Africa serving the SADC and

    Nigeria serving Western Africa.

    On average leading vendors have between 5 to 10 local

    offices within the region. The largest markets,

    such as Egypt, South Africa and Morocco are also

    usually associated with more employees working out of

    the local offices. Some of the markets do not allow for

    a large local presence due to infrastructure and business

    risk concerns, such as: safety and security, poor internet

    and land line connections, transport and power issues.

    A key challenge facing leadingconsumer electronics vendors in Africatoday is how to effectively cover the

    diverse regions with an optimumorganization structure

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    14 | Deloitte GCC powers of construction 2010 | Building the future and growing stronger

    Roles and Responsibilities

    The general trends for the regional HQ are to take

    responsibility for setting marketing budgets and assisting

    with sales forecasts. Marketing campaigns are carried

    out through the local offices and generally customized

    to meet country market specifications. After sales service

    and logistics are also catered by the local teams. In

    addition, it is worth mentioning that industry leaders

    increasingly set up learning centers to ensure best

    practice sharing in the region.

    Figure 4.2 illustrates the main functions of regional HQs and

    local offices.

    Source: Deloitte research and analysis

    Regional HQ Local officesFigure 4.2

    Sales Forecasts

    Logistics

    Pricing

    Marketing

    After sales services

    Product planning

    Responsible

    Responsible

    Responsible

    Responsible

    Both

    Both

    Informed

    Informed

    InformedResponsible

    Responsible

    Responsible

    Morocco

    Local Office

    Geographic Coverage

    HQ

    Egypt

    Kenya

    Dubai

    Nigeria

    South Africa

    Figure 4.1 The key markets are marked with a local office to highlight the strategic

    importance of having local presence in these countries. The arrows showthe coverage that can be utilized and captured from some of the key markets.

    As an example, South Africa can be used as a hub for export of products

    and control over the SADC region, while Kenya can be used as a hub serving

    the Eastern Africa region.

    Figure 4.1 - Optimum local presence

    Figure 4.2 - Main functions of regional HQs and

    local offices

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    Sourcing and assembly options

    One of the key challenges vendors face in keeping

    end prices competitive is the varying import tariffs.

    The major import regions all have varying tariff rates

    depending on trade agreements and relations with

    the respective country. Therefore it is advantageous

    to manufacture and import either locally or from

    strategic locations.

    General tariff CKD/SKD

    South Africa

    25% 0 - 10%

    Key markets

    30% 5 - 10%

    Nigeria

    35% 5 - 10%

    Morocco

    25% 0 - 10%

    Egypt

    Figure 4.3 highlights the gap between general import duties and CKD (Complete Knocked Down)/

    SKD (Semi Knocked Down) import taxes of consumer electronics goods in South Africa,

    Egypt, Nigeria and Morocco.

    Figure 4.3 - Import duties vs. CKD/SKD duties (in %)

    Local manufacturing: benefits and challenges

    Benefits

    Elimination of shipping costs Avoidance of exchange rate risk

    Reduction of time to market

    Support of local communities

    (hiring of local people)

    Reduction of parallel imports

    Challenges

    Political instability Ever-changing government regulations

    High corporate taxes and labor wages

    Restrictive local regulation

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    Adopting CKD/SKD will bring benefits such as reducing

    product cost significantly for local and neighboring

    markets. It will also bring serious challenges especially

    in countries with stricter government regulations.

    As an example, in 2009, Algeria obl iged all foreign

    investors to meet the complimentary finance laws which

    include a 49/51 mandatory investment share with an

    Algerian investor. Also, in most of the countries, vendors

    are required to reach a minimum integration rate in

    order to realize the lower import tariffs.

    Distribution and channel trends

    Overall, the market channels within Africa are relatively

    underdeveloped and mainly led by traditional and

    informal retail formats such as table-top sellers in

    open markets, roadside shops and street hawkers.

    These channels could sometimes account for more

    than 85% of trade volumes within specific consumer

    electronics categories. Informal retailing is expected

    to remain as one of the strongest channels in the short

    to medium term (up to five years). This is mainly due

    to the social, cultural and economic challenges that

    support informal retailers in cities and villages across

    the continent.

    Modern (formal) channels such as hypermarkets,

    electronic specialists and brand specific showrooms

    are still scarce in most African countries and are mainly

    present in the more advanced markets such as South

    Africa and Tunisia.

    The hypermarket concept has substantially changed and

    shaped new consumer habits by providing better after

    sales services and product guarantees, free delivery

    schemes and in-store financing. Old-style retailers are

    expected to lose attractiveness in face of aggressive

    competition from hypermarkets. Moreover, showrooms

    have still not fully materialized and account for marginal

    share of channel sales. They are mainly seen as a strategic

    investment to increase market visibility.

    Overall, positive indicators show that formal retailing

    penetration rates are excepted to rise in line with

    projected growth in the labor force, urbanization, and

    emerging middle class consumers in Africa, in particular

    in its less developed parts.

    Parallel markets

    The African market presents distributors with the

    challenge of dealing with parallel markets and the need

    to form strategies in order to effectively manage them.Parallel markets develop where goods are sold outside

    of their authorized channels of trade. Generally this

    market exists because price differentials exist in how

    goods are sold in different markets. The biggest issue

    with this market is that the manufacturers distribution

    arrangement and their ability to control quality within

    the distribution process become undermined.

    Parallel markets exist within all African countries but

    to varying extents North Africa being one of the worst

    affected due to its close proximity to Europe. The more

    developed markets of South Africa and Egypt are

    affected to a lesser extent and have a greater majority

    of legitimate imports thanks to the direct local presence

    of manufacturers on the ground.

    Traditional/ informal retailers andoutlets are expected to loseattractiveness in face of aggressive

    competition from hypermarkets

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    Key localization strategies

    Establish local offices

    The presence of local offices is essential in order to meet

    specific in-country needs. Successful implementation of

    marketing, sales and distribution strategies are directly

    dependent on the ability to understand the needs of

    local consumers and having a good grasp of factors

    driving market conditions. Local knowledge can also

    be effectively gained from employment of local staff.

    Set up local assembly plants

    Establishment of local assembly plants (SKD/CKD) will

    allow for effective positioning over price. It also translates

    to faster times to market and more flexibility for reacting

    to changes in demand and competitor strategies.

    Invest heavily in marketing

    Successful marketing campaigns can help increase

    brand awareness and positively change consumer

    perception of the product offering. Penetrating local

    markets without adequate marketing investments canprove difficult due to the strong presence of cheaper

    local brands and heavy investments of other leading

    brands , such as the giant Koreans.

    Utilization of local staff

    Employing experienced local management and staff is

    seen as a major advantage, considering the importance

    of existing relationships/ network of contacts and

    requirement for having an understanding of the local

    customs and behaviors, unique ways of doing business

    and negotiation tactics.

    Engage in direct distribution

    Leading vendors are increasingly distributing directly to

    end-users, particularly to the modern retailers, corporate

    and government entities, while using wholesalers/official

    distributors for reaching the vast outlets in the

    traditional channels.

    Complex and indirect distribution models lead to

    inefficient supply chain management and additional

    costs. Within local markets vendors are able to bypass

    local distributors and reduce costs only when they

    have a strong local team with sophisticated networks

    across all channel types. It is important to note that

    sales into B2B/ tendering are sometimes required to

    take place through official distributors.

    Build strong local partnerships

    Strategic partnerships with local entities can help in

    establishing a quick foothold by leveraging existing

    capabilities, relationships and contacts.

    Establishlocal offices

    DevelopShow rooms

    LocalizationStrategy

    Invest Heavilyin marketing

    Build up of Strong local

    partnerships

    Setup local

    assembly plantsEngage in a

    direct distribution

    Figure 5.1 - Key strategic initiatives

    Figure 5.1 identifies some of the key strategic initiatives that are needed in order

    to effectively penetrate the local markets.

    Source: Deloitte research and analysis

    Leading vendors are increasingly usinga direct approach for distribution toend-users, particularly to the modern

    channels, corporations and governmententities

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    Dedicated Africa operations

    Localization and customization of products have been a

    key element towards a successful African expansion

    strategy. Vendors have achieved this through acquiring

    knowledge and understanding of local markets,

    establishment of research and manufacturing/assembly

    facilities, implementation of local marketing initiativesand development of dedicated Africa operations teams.

    Future trends indicate that regional strategy and

    operations for leading vendors will increasingly be led by

    African-based teams and dedicated stand-alone

    organizations. If vendors want to succeed in Africa, they

    will need to treat it as an independent market through a

    dedicated business unit, with an on the ground presence,

    supported by a regional management team operating

    from a local headquarter.

    Poor credit and financing facilities limitthe purchasing power of bothdistributors and consumers

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    Opportunities

    Cost and time to market

    Local production reduces logistics costs and associatedcustom duties and allows the vendors to realize faster

    delivery times and faster reactions to changes in

    consumer demand patterns.

    Brand perception

    By manufacturing locally vendors are able to sell Made

    in Africa products and capitalize on employing local

    workforce to achieve better brand perception and

    corporate social responsibility.

    Product customization

    Through local production, vendors can focus on

    producing a customized range of entry level products

    (complimented by CBU imports). Entry level and basic

    feature models generally make up the biggest

    percentage of products in demand.

    Challenges

    Business environment

    Localization can be challenging in some regions due to

    poor infrastructure, continuous power shortages,

    security issues (transportation of goods), corruption and

    shortage of skilled workers. The lack of local talent and

    the high turnover rate make it difficult for vendors to

    build local dedicated teams.

    Modern channels

    Certain key markets in Africa such as Algeria and Nigeria

    still have relatively underdeveloped modern channels.

    This poses a key challenge due to the complex network

    of traditional dealers and the number of dealers needed

    to find economies of scale.

    Credit facilities

    Poor credit and financing facilities limit the purchasing

    power of both distributors and consumers.

    Competition with local brands

    The low income segment, which is still the largest

    consumer segment in Africa, remains quite loyal to

    local brands.

    Summary of opportunities and challenges

    The following is a summary of the identified opportunities and challenges faced by consumer electronics vendors

    in expanding and growing their business through adopting a localized strategy:

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    The South African retail market offers great potential

    and has an estimated size of approximately $68bn

    (2010). However, succeeding in the market requires

    insights into its dynamics as well as the ability to

    overcome a number of unique barriers. At the same

    time, several key trends are currently shaping the South

    African retail market and increasing its complexity:

    Growing retail market

    Despite the current retail slowdown, South Africas

    retail sales are expected to grow by 49% by 2014 due

    mainly to economic growth, the emergence of a

    strong middle class, decreasing unemployment and

    underserviced rural areas. One of the contributors to

    the retail growth will be sale of consumer electronics

    (+43% estimates over 2010-2014)

    Emerging middle class

    South Africa is undergoing a remarkable

    transformation with the expansion of the middle class;the number of upper-income households is growing at

    more than 20% annually. However there is still a large

    portion of inequality among South African consumers

    where 64% of the total consumption is driven by only

    13% of the population.

    A developed retail market dominated by local

    players

    South Africa has a developed retail market dominated

    by domestic firms (Massmart, JD Group, Pick n Pay,

    etc.). None of the major international retail chains

    such as Carrefour and Tesco has yet entered the

    market; however the recent entry of Wal-Mart

    acquiring Massmart and the expected entry of

    additional global retailers into the South African

    market will reinforce the competition and reshape the

    retail landscape.

    The Africanization of South African retailers

    Most of the leading South African retailers (GAME,

    Makro, JD group etc.) are expanding rapidly into the

    Sub Saharan region including into new markets such as

    Angola and the Democratic Republic of Congo (refer to

    diagram below)

    Emerging global brands

    Global companies are increasingly using South Africa,

    which provides a regional strategic export and

    manufacturing platform as a window into Africa.

    According to the American Chamber of Commerce in

    South Africa, nearly 50% of the chamber's members

    are Fortune 500 companies, and over 90% operate

    beyond South Africa's borders into southern Africa,

    Sub-Saharan Africa and across

    the continent.

    Figure 5.2 below shows the Africanization of the

    South African retailers, and their aggressive expansioninto Sub-Saharan Africa. For example, Pick n Pay has

    recently announced its intention to increase its stake in

    the Zimbabwe operation TM Supermarkets in a deal

    worth about US13 million. Pick n Pay's strategy into

    Africa has mainly been through partnering with local

    retailers and/or through franchising. Meanwhile, Game

    has undergone a fast track expansion program into

    Africa over the last five years and has doubled the

    number of its stores, with new outlets expected in

    Angola and the Democratic Republic of Congo.

    South Africa case study

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    Kenya

    Tanzania

    Nigeria

    South Africa

    Namibia

    Zambia Mozambique

    Botzwana

    N. of stores outsideSouth Africa

    12

    2

    2

    37

    2

    0

    0

    Source:Deloitte research and analysis

    Figure 5.2 - The presence of South Africa retailers in Africa

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    22 | Leading Consumer Electronics Business Organizations | Maximizing Growth Opportunities in Africa

    Opportunities

    GDP & Unemployment

    The GDP per capita is expected to grow at a CAGR of

    1.2% (estimates over 2010-2015); the unemployment

    rate is expected to decrease at a CAGR of -6.1%

    (estimates over 2010-2015) thanks partially to the long

    term benefits from the World Cup.

    Consumption

    Household expenses are forecasted to grow at a CAGR

    of 5.1% (estimates over 2010-2015) reinforced by an

    expected improvement in credit facilities. Sales of

    consumer electronics are expected to increase by 45%

    over this period.

    Using South Africa as a window into Africa

    There is a high degree of overseas interest in using

    South Africa as a platform for growth into Africa. A

    strong contributing factor to this is the high number offavorable trade agreements such as: SADC, AGOA,

    GSPS, TDEA, SACU and IBSA covering exports into the

    Sub-Saharan market.

    Untapped rural areas

    There are significant opportunities to open shopping

    malls in rural areas and townships. The expected

    extension of electrical power in townships will lead to a

    rise in consumption of consumer electronics goods.

    High degree of ICT maturity

    South Africa has a relatively modern and developed

    technology and communication sector. The penetration

    rates for mobile, telephones and PCs are higher than the

    MENA average.

    Challenges

    Transportation

    Costs relating to transportation of goods are high due

    to: large distances between key domestic markets and

    the high degree of required security due to the risk of

    road hijacking.

    Regulations

    Selling direct to retail requires compliance with a

    number of business regulations and consumer laws, e.g.

    Broad Based Black Economic Empowerment (B-BBEE),

    National Industrial Participation Programme (NIPP),

    Consumer Protection Act (CPA). Compliance with these

    is both a difficult and costly exercise.

    Labour unions

    South African unions are known for their propensity to

    go on strike, which can be lengthy and sometimes

    violent. COSATU (Congress of South African TradeUnions) and other local labor federations are very

    powerful in the country.

    Security and crime

    A key conclusion in the World Economic Outlook (WEO)

    competitiveness report is that crime is the most

    problematic factor for doing business in SA (including

    theft of goods).

    Market saturation

    The retail market might quickly be saturated with the

    increasing number of shopping centres established in

    the larger cities.

    Opportunities and challenges

    Some of the main opportunities and challenges of doing business in South Africa for consumer electronics vendors

    are outlined below:

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    Firas Eid

    Partner | Consulting

    Tel: +971 (4) 369 8999

    [email protected]

    Parham Gohari

    Senior Manager | Strategy

    Consulting

    Tel: +971 (4) 369 8999

    [email protected]

    Andreas Frandevi

    Manager | Strategy

    Consulting

    Tel: +971 (2) 676 0025

    [email protected]

    Virginie Clemancon

    Manager | Strategy

    Consulting

    Tel: +971 (4) 369 8999

    [email protected]

    Noura M. Al Hashimi

    Strategy Consulting

    Tel: +961 (1) 366 844

    [email protected]

    Faris W. Khatib

    Strategy Consulting

    Tel: +971 (0) 4 369 8999

    [email protected]

    Strategy consulting and consumerbusiness contacts

    Deloitte can support your organization to understand and anticipate changing consumer needs, respond rapidly with

    relevant products and solutions, and explore emerging opportunities. The following includes a list of our customized

    offerings:

    Corporate and competitive strategy Customer and market strategy

    Growth strategy and M&A

    Market entry strategy services

    Supply chain and channel management

    Product development and pricing strategy

    Commercial due diligence services

    Country risk assessment

    Balanced scorecard

    Strategy implementation support

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