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Latest Immigration Data and Impact Denzil Mohammed Director, Public Education Institute, The Immigrant Learning Center, Inc., Malden, MA [email protected] 2019 Immigrant Student Success www.ilctr.org

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Page 1: Latest Immigration Data - The Immigrant Learning Center · Immigrants and Population Growth -200,000 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1,600,000 Immigrants

Latest Immigration Data and Impact

Denzil Mohammed Director, Public Education Institute, The Immigrant Learning Center, Inc., Malden, MA [email protected] 2019 Immigrant Student Success

www.ilctr.org

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www.ilctr.org

Foreign-born Distribution 1880

Source: Matthew Bloch and Robert Gebeloff/The New York Times

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Foreign-born Distribution 1900

Source: Matthew Bloch and Robert Gebeloff/The New York Times

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Foreign-born Distribution 1920

Source: Matthew Bloch and Robert Gebeloff/The New York Times

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Foreign-born Distribution 1970

Source: Matthew Bloch and Robert Gebeloff/The New York Times

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Foreign-born Distribution 1980

Source: Matthew Bloch and Robert Gebeloff/The New York Times

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Foreign-born Distribution 1990

Source: Matthew Bloch and Robert Gebeloff/The New York Times

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Foreign-born Distribution 2000

Source: Matthew Bloch and Robert Gebeloff/The New York Times

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Fastest-growing States

Source: Migration Policy Institute, “Immigrants in the U.S. States with the Fastest-Growing Foreign-Born Populations,” 2018

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Foreign-born Population

Source: Migration Policy Institute, U.S. Immigration Trends

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Refugee Admissions

Source: Migration Policy Institute, U.S. Immigration Trends

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Undocumented Immigrant Population

Source: Pew Research Center, “Facts on U.S. Immigrants, 2017,” 2017

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Undocumented Immigrant Population

Source: Migration Policy Institute, “Crisis at the Border? Not by the Numbers,” 2018

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Immigrants and Crime

Source: American Immigration Council, The Criminalization of Immigration in the United States, 2015

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Immigrants and English Proficiency

Source: Pew Research Center, “Facts on U.S. Immigrants, 2017,” 2017

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Immigrants and English Proficiency

Source: Pew Research Center, “Facts on U.S. Immigrants, 2017,” 2017

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Immigrants and Education

Source: Pew Research Center, “Facts on U.S. Immigrants, 2017,” 2017

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Immigrants and Education

Source: Pew Research Center. “Facts on U.S. Immigrants, 2015,” ((2017)

1960 2015

Less than HS 75% 29%

HS graduate 13.5% 22.4%

2-year degree 6% 19%

Bachelor’s degree

2.5% 17%

Advanced degree

2.6% 12.6%

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Immigrants and Education

Source: Brian Duncan and Stephen J. Trejo, “Socioeconomic Integration

of U.S. Immigrant Groups Over the Long Term” (working paper), 2018

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Children in Immigrant Families

Source: Migration Policy Institute

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Immigrants and Population Growth

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Source: Fiscal Policy Institute analysis of Census and ACS data. See also Bringing Vitality to Main Street: How Immigrant Small Businesses Help Local Economies Grow, Fiscal Policy Institute and Americas Society/Council of the Americas, 2015.

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Source: The Immigrant Learning Center, Inc. and the Institute for Immigration Research at George Mason University, Immigrants in Health Care: Keeping Americans Healthy Through Care and Innovation, 2016; Renew Our Economy:

America’s Aging Crisis: How Immigration Reform Can Strengthen the U.S. Health Care System, 2015

Immigrants are 13.7% of the U.S. population but:

28% physicians/surgeons

22% nursing, psychiatric

and home health aides

15% nurses

40% medical scientists in manufacturing R&D

50+% biotechnology

workers

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Immigrants and the Labor Force

Source: Pew Research Center, “Facts on U.S. Immigrants, 2017,” 2017

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Immigrants and the Labor Force

Sources: Migration Policy Institute, Age-Sex Pyramids of U.S. Immigrant and Native-Born Populations, 1970-Present, 2015; America’s Advantage: A Handbook on Immigration and Economic Growth, 2015; Bureau of Labor Statistics,

“Labor Force Characteristics of Foreign-born Workers Summary,” 2016.

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Immigrants and Social Safety Systems

Sources: New American Economy, “Staying Covered: How Immigrants Have Prolonged the Solvency of One of Medicare’s Key Trust Funds and Subsidized Care f or U.S. Seniors,” 2014; New American Economy, “America’s Aging Crisis: How Immigration Reform can Strengthen the U.S. W orkforce,” 2015

• Number of seniors will double by 2050

• Ratio of seniors to workers will soar by <70% by 2040

• Immigrants are subsidizing Medicare’s core trust fund

• More workers needed, especially in healthcare

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Immigrants and Taxes

Sources: Smith and Edmonston, 1997; Institute for Taxation and Economic Policy, Undocumented Immigrants’ State and Local Tax Contributions , 2016; New American Economy, Contributions of New Americans in Florida, 2016

• Immigrants pay up to $140 billion annually in federal, state, local taxes

• Undocumented immigrants use ITINs to pay an estimated $11.6 billion per year (2015)

• Effective rate of 8%, more than other taxed groups

• In Florida $23.4b: Amount paid in taxes –$2.5b to Medicare

–$9.5b to Social Security

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Immigrants and Entrepreneurship

14% 17% 19%

30%

Source: FPI analysis of 2015 ACS. Analysis is updated from data in David Dyssegaard Kallick, Bringing Vitality to Main Street, Fiscal Policy Institute and Americas Society/Council of the Americas, 2015.

Population Labor Force Business Owners

Main Street Business Owners

Immigrant share of

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Immigrants and Job Creation/Innovation

Source: The Immigrant Learning Center, Inc. Public Education Institute, 2016

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S ource: Pew Research Center, “Shifting Public Views on Legal Immigration Into the U.S.,” 2018

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www.ilctr.org Source: Pew Research Center, “A Divided

and Pessimistic Electorate,” 2016

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Views on Immigration

Source: The Wall Street Journal, “How We Voted in the 2018 Midterms,” 2018

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Views on Immigration

Source: The Wall Street Journal, “How We Voted in the 2018 Midterms,” 2018

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Bridging Divides in the Immigration Debate

• Anti-immigrant sentiment in the U.S. is more passionate than pro-immigrant sentiment

–Of the Americans who consider immigration the most important voting issue, far more oppose immigration than support it.

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Bridging Divides in the Immigration Debate

• The “Wings” are increasing in size, the “middle” is fast decreasing.

• The politically disengaged tend to veer right

• Both race and economics are driving Americans farther right

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Bridging Divides in the Immigration Debate

• For change to take place, we need to connect with working class Americans

• Find ways to build broad, local support bases

• Go back to the basics, and connect with values, issues and humanity

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Formula www.ilctr.org

Bridging Divides in the Immigration Debate

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Public Mind

Source: Marisa Gerstein Pineau, FrameWorks Institute

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Public Mind

Source: Marisa Gerstein Pineau, FrameWorks Institute

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Public Mind

Source: Marisa Gerstein Pineau, FrameWorks Institute

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Public Mind

Source: Marisa Gerstein Pineau, FrameWorks Institute

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Strategies to Reach Beyond Your Base

• Act fast

• Act now

• Act for the long haul

• Deep canvassing

• Get diverse allies

• Strength in numbers and perspectives/origins

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Elements of a Successful Narrative

Source: Marisa Gerstein Pineau, FrameWorks Institute

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Framing the Immigration Debate

• Shared values

–American value of treating others with respect, compassion

• Pragmatism

–Use logic, common sense, practical solutions

• Shared prosperity

–Everyone benefits when all can fulfil their potential

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Explain, don’t Assert Rights

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Never Repeat Myths

• Never repeat the myths when you’re refuting them – always start with the facts.

• People tend to remember the myths as true, so myth busting is ineffective.

• Instead of saying, “Immigrants aren’t taking our jobs,” say, “Immigrants create jobs.”

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Rethink and Redefine

• “Coming out of the shadows”

• “Broken immigration system”

• Immigration

• Immigrant

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Bridging Divides in the Immigration Debate

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Institute for Immigration Research at GMU: iir.gmu.edu/idod

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Thank You

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Learn how to change the immigration conversation at www.ilctr.org/promoting-immigrants Online library of >1,000 immigration reports: www.immigrationresearch.org Request free, customizable fact sheets from http://iir.gmu.edu/ [email protected]