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41
LA-UR-05-7771 Tifft:. SuLvrutteci to. .. A Alamos h •. t, Ai3•)HA 0 Y SURFACE EROSION MODELING FOR THE REPOSITORY. WASTE COVER AT LOS ALAMOS 1 NATIONAL LABORATORY TECHNICAL AREA 54. 1 MATERIAL DISPOSAL AREA G Cathy J. Wilson Kelly J. Crowell LeonarcJ J. Lane U.S. Department of Energy \ia1ic}ndi Ldb(natcry, an attrrrna11ve opr:;"::rtunlt; Ly Un1v8rsity Qi fur U.S tW=·JtH V.J· T By HH: uutAtsLt:•r r(H'X:Gn:zes tn2; the fi("PH11 C:l tc pubhsh or C'UbiL;!v1ed torrn th!s ut tc fdk,w 1•> f::.}r .. L,_-.<; Alarnus r Ldt>Y,Jtor·., .. - ::rnt: : t---::.t<:l, r<:r, 1 l. d:""i F1s::' L:·:Jh.'\'"'·;t.·d·\, ,1 l'H·· r 01 qlkJd:·i!P(: 1L:· l.\)1 •. ::;;;>::::s. 11111111111111111111111111111111111 14152

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Page 1: LA-UR-05-7771 - hwbdocuments.env.nm.gov Alamos National... · la-ur-05-7771 tifft:. sulvrutteci to. .. a ·~los alamos h •. t, ~qna~ ai3•)ha 0 y surface erosion modeling for the

LA-UR-05-7771

Tifft:.

SuLvrutteci to.

.. A ·~Los Alamos

h •. t, ~QNA~ Ai3•)HA 0 Y

SURFACE EROSION MODELING FOR THE REPOSITORY. WASTE COVER AT LOS ALAMOS

1 NATIONAL LABORATORY TECHNICAL AREA 54. 1 MATERIAL DISPOSAL AREA G

Cathy J. Wilson Kelly J. Crowell LeonarcJ J. Lane

U.S. Department of Energy

.A.l;JrflO'c~ \ia1ic}ndi Ldb(natcry, an attrrrna11ve actkm;f~qJal opr:;"::rtunlt; ernp!c~·:ir:r ~~-:i un~:raF~d Ly ~hf~ Un1v8rsity Qi C::lht.·vnt~1 fur r~·tt.:· U.S (}t;~~:dnrHt;~nt LnPr;r~- tW=·JtH co.rtrr~ct V.J· T 40f:~~ENG<36 By uccupi·:jn(:•.~ th1~:J ;;trlc~Glt:. HH: uutAtsLt:•r r(H'X:Gn:zes tn2; the Oo·v~:t fi("PH11

.r•·<.·lin~-: C:l nr;nexciL:.~''lO- rt;y;dtv~lrt:i.: ~tCGf'tSE· tc pubhsh or ;·er~rzY'.ilJ>:-' th-::~ C'UbiL;!v1ed torrn th!s ·~;onlnt·,u1!CTl, ut tc fdk,w .:.::•H'h~·r:;· 1•> f::.}r

~~'1~~ .. ~.).S :.>:::pJrt:nt:~nt Ent~:HJ/ L,_-.<; Alarnus r ~.:uion;1~ Ldt>Y,Jtor·., .. - ::;u:;:..\~)<~rts l~~·:;~·tci<Jr:TC he,~·G~JrT ::rnt: : t---::.t<:l, ·~qc·r ~~ r<:r, 1 l. d:""i ,:·,~·:\U:.Ji!GH jyy,vc~vvr F1s::' L:·:Jh.'\'"'·;t.·d·\, tin~?~·.~·,. ,1 l'H·· r lutil!(>~tkJn 01 qlkJd:·i!P(: 1L:· l.\)1 !,.~.:..::rn •. ::;;;>::::s.

11111111111111111111111111111111111 14152

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Table of Contents

1 ,()

2" Development of SIBERIA Parameters for Material OISi>OSal G --· ........ ,. .. 2.: i Local Data ................................. ,... .. ................. , ..... . 2.1.2 2.1.3

Definition of a Steady-State landscape-Form:ng ........... ,.. .. . ............ ~! Estimation of Runoff and Eros1on. , ..................... , ........ ,. .... ... 9 Secliment Predictions., ............... "" ................. ,. ....... . " 12

"'; ~ ., "~,,. L i

Results........... ..... ..................................... . ....................................... , .......... .. D:scuss1on ancJ Qualifications ........................................................................................ .. 4,1

Data ............................................................... ,. .. ,. .......................... . Comparison of SIBERIA Results to Field-Collected DatEL ........................................... .

References ..................................................................................................................................... .

Figure 1 F1gure 2 F1gure 3

Figure 4 F1gure 5

F1gure 6 Figure 7

Figure 8

Figure 9

Figure 10

Aenal Photograph of Material Area G . . .. . .. ............................................... 2 Proposed Configuration of Cover for Material 01sposal Area G .... " ................................... 3 Sediment Concentration Data for Runoff Plots. Small VVatersheds. and Canada del Buey .................................................................................................................. 8 locations of 17 Hillslope Profiles in of f'v1atenal Disposal Area G ....................... 0 Phot.:)graphs Showing Expected RangE' in Canopy and Ground Site Closure ..................................................................... ., .. ,....................................... .. 'i4

Excess Runoff Values and Ranges for Soii-Type/Reiurn-Perioc ................. 15 Showing HE~,;l Profiles SiBERLA, Flow Paths Used dunng

Swnulated Annealing ........................................................................................................ 18 Correlation in Sediment between the HEM and SIBERIA Model for a Range of Slopes and Hi!lslope lengths (!ow-erosion scenano) ....................................... 19 Erosion and Deposition at MDA G for Moderate-Erosion Scenario (as predicted by SfBERIA model after I years) ................................................................................ 24 Eros1on and Deposition at MDA G for LovJ- and Hi1;Jh-Erosion Scenarios predicted

SiBERIA model after 1 years) .............................................................................. 25 and Depos1tion at Zone 4 for 11/oderate-Erosion Scenario pred1cted

StBERlt\ model after 1 years) .................................................................. ., ........ .. MDA. G Sediment-Source Areas and Sediment Catchments in Habitable

Bottoms .............................................................................. .

.. f

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List of Tables .... -~-----

Table 1

Table 2 Table 3

Table 4 Table 5

Characteristics of Four Small Watersheds within !he Santa Rita Expenmentai Range near Tucson, Anzona {analog site) .................................................... 11

Summary of Ramfaii-Runoff Simulation Results for Hillslope Profiles at TA-54 ...... ... . 13

Summarizec Input and Output for the Three Erosion Scenarios Used in SIBERIA Mode! ................................................................................................................... 16

Summary of Sediment Delivery from MDA G to Canyon Catchments over 1 Years .... 29

Estlmated Sediment Yield for Meslta del Buey Sites from Events with 2- and

5-Year Return Periods ........................................................................................................ 34

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i\I .. S\1 CRE.\\lS

\l llL:'I.l L:\'\;L \1D:\ }''>;{ ii\ '\ "1 .!\ WFPP

.\trbomc bs~.·r S\\ ath (

S\sh:ms rn

lli!lslupl' r J(\-;itlll \l(t(kl Los ALtrnos Nalldnal l \la!cnal Dispdf<ll Ar(:a '\J:tlit,nal Ckc:amc S .. ,\lmu·;plh.'rH.:

l~:dmil·:tl Arl';: \\ ah:r ! !\lSillll Pr,:d t<:lwn f'rnj~.·ct

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Acknowledgements

for SiB E R !A par an tt.:lL'tTzatirnl was prov idvd h;, th~: aUl!wr of

"IB!J{l:\. (larry \Villg<HhL at the Sdmnl Pt Gvography, l.;mvcrsl!y uf L~vt!s. Sran at

tlh.' :\uckar Wa'>h: Operations at I .os 1\l;mw~ National l.ahoratory. pruvickd L'\pt.:rt~:->,· on

\!aTtTtal DispPc'a] Area G. pn•J'-'ct 1)\\:rs1ght and IughtlL::t! and fundtng support. R,1b Shum:m .. :t

t:r<.S (\~rptlraunn. pnn·1dcd guidance on pHlJCCt requirements. s1tc mforrnarion. and a h'YlcW

!he mudd r~.·sults. I\hrk Day and Garth Wd:1cr, at URS C\1rporatiotL d~.:vch1p1.:d the Cll\l't

tk~stgn datas;.·ts. Rttki Sheldon ;malyzed !hi..' runoff .md t.'l\l;;inn data l'Vh.:s!W dd . This

WOl'k wa:; Fnll<.kd thmttgh the l_: .S. [kpartmcnt of

~~-~--·------·····- ........................... ············--·--···-~~-... -·-·---·----···------MUA.; iV

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1.0 Introduction

L:1hur:tlun) ~::> disppscd m pits C\ inh• the mcse~

.-\!\::1 I f\!U\l Ci nr Tcdnw .. :;ll :\r·~·:r (! Al ."~:.One' rc·qun-.:mcm for tl1l'

tlw r:~eii ·s d<hUrc. 'The LthoratPry 1:, rcquncd lu lkmonstr:!lc th:tl ilk: r'"'P''"!t,··t·\ em

bv ullY dtJs..:d. \\ ludt mduch:s sh,w:ing 1h:n wask \\i!! nflt he c\cav:lh:d

krm cro:;mn processes such :h rillm~ :md ng. 'I m\·ard the~! end .. ~urLILT L:n\~iH!l

mnck·!in~ \\as~{ to L>ilimatc the spuual dt'-;tnbu!tPB nf .;.kpth In waste~~~ \!D.:\ (i :t

1 .nil( I y:ars \lr cn.1'iwn :tml

\bh.·rial Disposal An:u (; JS ],1ca1cd on :1

~·ompk:-. l\}pographv aml a chalkngin~: lavuut nl·l,:ga~.·y w:ht.:· pus l·k·s~.· 111 tl1L· "

til<. !lh:sa and drainage knturcs i l L :\:; a result. tb ... · do;c;me C\>\:..T a

tz>pP~:raphy. :md th~.·

SlBLRJ:\ mmkl t \\il

-L:nn

bndscap~.· tPtL Lik...· \VCH-known hill:->lt.lpL·-ba-.L·d cw~inn motkls such as th'-· \\ ah:r Lr\IS!nn

Prediction Prnjc~..·t tWE!'P) (La!kn c1 aL, 199."J and K!NLR('JS <Smith ct a!., J<>9."L SIHL!ZL\

rr<:dtcb sediment tr:msptlri derived h·pm sha! and rill pru...:1.·s~es hll :t rang~.: S('tL

mnuff. \cgc·tation cmcr. and hil!slopc properties. L;nlikL· \\'EPP and Kl:\LJ{fh. '-:JHEHL\

prcdJc'b the SJXIIL.d di:::tributwn of zkfurnJ~lllun acmss ,·dn1ph:x. thr<:c-d!mcnsJonal

(1\Cr hundn:dc; tn lhnus:mds ,1f vcars. T'hi:;; includes the l1n\cnng tlh: mns on nr

miiilmg and

SclC:ntlsts at L \Hlrkcd \\ dh cover Jcslf:!:Il cngmccr:\ nt U R~ Corporalicm m an 1h:ratn , ..

proc(:s.s to de\ a closurl' co\ cr dvs11:~n l t· i.:2un.: 2 l. Tbc SlBFR!A mncklmg ;csulh

m this report dcnhmstrmc that the lin:.L optlmi~:cd th:sign meets pcr!(.lrn«mc,· c:r:kTLl

<l('l\lSS thv stlc :1 witk range potentia! snc <i!ld ,·!inmk~ ('Unditions that could occur o\.cr tlK

l.OOU-\'e:tr comptl:tnce pc·riod. Scrtion 2 ur :he principh:c. h .. :hmd Ilk'

SJBERL\ and !lw illi.:lhPds fnr ddining p;;r~tm~;,·krs and running the l!H~>.kL Th:..· n.>'>lllh ,1[

4

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Fitture 2 Propo>>l:d Contlguration of ( ·(n er

for \lalt:da} Dispo!>al .\n·a G

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2.0 Methods

TlK !ony-t.:nn l.TtblOil a:-.s~ssrn~nt al MDA Cl \\'as pcdi:mn~d using th~ SIBFHlA hmdscapc

evolution nwdd (\\'d lgmJSl' cl aL l 99 !:L I ()<JIb), 'This modd prcchcts skady-statc cnls;un and

M.·dinK·m transpur! :tcro~s a hmdsc:ap"· thal is T\,'pr~·,,,~med as de\ atiuns in a gxitkk·d digtta l

ekvat!1HI moch:l ( DUvl l Tlh: LH::'vl is ad1ustcd ('ach tlllh.' :->kp (l_vpicall,v l yean l\l ;lL'Cullt!l for

illl} ... ~hang.: m surfncl' elevation that lh.:currcd frum cruswn or tkpusition sinL'l' the bst umc step,

The gov~rmng equ:£1it>n t(lf lh~ SIBI'Rl:\ mndd ;s:

- B:!'" + D_S

Where

!) , the annual sediment flux through a gmlcdl (kg per mck-r width l

B .,. a Oltrticicnt that repn:scn!S all ll1ctors that moderate nmo!T-drh en crus inn Ill

the grid ceiL c:\ccpt slope and nmutr

A"' S¥1 the relationship ht't\\ecn contributing area Lli, slope fS1. and sediment y1dd

D. a diffusion cocfikicnt

S' the tciTain gradient tslope) (0 o}

Thus, Equation I mcludes sediment transport terms for both runoff-driven {advcctivc) pnH,'csscs

tB A"') and gravity-driven (diffusion) processes. The intensity of nnwfFdrivcn scdimcm

transport is given by B A"' S'. The coefficient B account~ fc1r a!! I~Ktors 1 e.g., vegetatiOn cover.

degree of soil disturlxmcc, and :>oil typt') that moderate runoff-driven erosion in ih•~ grid celL

cxcl'pt f(x slope and nmnf[ The S' value increases as the catdm11:nt an:a alwvc a l~l!l!

inl..:n.:as~s ( i.cq a catchrncnt area Jecding into a t!rtd Cl?ll equates ttl a greater ruJh)fl' vnlunJL~

f1nwing through tilL: grid cell) and as 1hc gradient the cell incn.:ascs. Tl11.: exp~.!nl'nts m :m~_l n

determine hi)\\' scdtmcnl yield depends on contributing area and slope fi)r a given site. and ~:an be

dctcrmin~.~d c-mpiw:ally (where data an: plentiful) or through an oplimizatwn pn~~~~ss usmb! uthcr

hi!lslopc-ha,;cJ wodcls, Diffusiv:: transport includes proc~.·sses such as rain;;plnsh tscdimcm

pan ides ejcchxl from !he surface by ramdmp Impacts). trcc-thmw ( ,.;,x!iment tumbled tknvnslopc

when the root ball of a falk·n tree :s cxpuscd at tbc sur!~1cc ). ~md animal burrow mounds. Tl11.·

thffusinn Cllc!Ticlclll iJ captur('s lhc intensity pf these gravity-driven scdml1.'!1l transport

Within tbc S!IH:JUA modcl, EquatiOn l represems scdimcnHr:mspon processes at al! scak;;, ln

addition. the ~cdiment yi .. :ld. Q,. when applied to ead1 time step over lung periods of time. is

t'qui\ah.:nt to the average annual scdirncnt that wr<tdd result fh11n large and small L'Vcnts ~111

r-..:tum pcrwds~ l:,qu,Htnn l ts soh~.·d rN ~_·v~.'f)' grltl 1.:dl in the SIBERIA mmkl thm1ain fur ~:ach

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liflk'

th~·:-.,_' \ahn::s ~n \lU.\ 11. in thi-,

snd :md lH .. 'dLH:k

fli.IL': I> I

rctl l\

2.1 Development of SIBERIA Parameters for Material Disposal Area G

The tyrw.:ai apprt>ach fc,r

cdtbrak S!BLRL\ w Prh: or

SJB!:J{l:\ can h~.· par:tmch:nzcd

but 1!11.:-,c chHasch me r;~r,·. Tn cLTl\\.' th~.· rd:.uonsl!tp (\Jr nlm>ff~dnv~..~n lran-;pun 1/J .(

:.:mprricaJI;·. data llllhl C\iS! lor a r:mt:L' or hil and ~!'athCntS. ,\·, :1! a Llllt-'C' ol ;n-.;a

scak'> .. ·1 ihilblupc. -;ulm;t!crshccL and \\alcrsh .. ·dJ.

\iult;p!c raintltU.

(-.·xpcrimcmal rncasun:nh.'nt plot. hi!blopc. and .,,atcrshcd seal.:.·::;), bu! !hcsc dat;1 are

contimwLh o\cr time nnr the unif{mn quallt:v r~·quir~.~d for direct dch.TmHEtt!lm SIBLR!A

p:tram~..~t;:r values. They \\lTC, hu\\<.'Vcr. sutTicH .. '"H p;mnnctcrizing the rainLdl-nmtdt' mock!

lltS 1> ( Stt)nc c! nL 1 ()921 and lhc nm~.dT-sc·dimcn! y1cld HiHslopc Erns10n \11lLkl (HI \1 J ( Lmc ct

aL .:::ou 1 L Buth th~.: JRScJ mod:..::!

ad'>cetiv~.: transport !cnn in SIBERIA

.:\!though a quantitative path c.xtsts Ji.tr dcvc!opmg the \l' tcnn in S!BFRL\. dctcrrtl!lltrl~:

tlw it:nn.c dctcrminminn

candidate

that the ltlC<d

~~go. Ciiwn !h the

wnh

dr

·\ !Ina!

,;:;u..::h !hat tllC"

I kllll'-<llh ct aL 1! lJll':') h:1s '->if!Til irt:~mrl\ :hh :t:lc,·d

in ~~quilibrmm land-...capes. l 'nfnrtunatdy. \ksl!:r

the applicattun ni' these kchniquc:-. bccatts(' ,,11

may h~nc hcL:n cmpbccd rnpH.!ly :1lwu1 ]IIJHl(i \;.'ars

it' was conslt'<tmcd :1 nwh.:h bel\\ cvn S 1B U·U .\-

mapping c-\LS\1 t digital tupugraptm: maps. hn L'\ampk, 1!' a

\\ c!l~dct!n~:d !lncs al MD:\ (r k·d-in

J f' manv lh.'\\

ion I Dn an an1mal titnt:

r

for the dnruswn L~udflctcnt in

:tppcarcd :tcn.l"" tl1L.' :.:11c. then thL'

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nature's h1ghly dynanuc nmotl and crustun raw.'>. !n natun;. lands-.:apc-l;lfllll!lg wnuiT ~-,cnt-.

1.lccm '>poradtcally. pt.:rhaps once every Hl. 20. or Ul\Hl YL'ar~. rather than C\cry year. ot

long-term datas~:rs ;,;huws that the cumulativL' ~,.:fleet il!' a li:w ··!argt .. nnHI!T ~,. .. ,-~~nh m ,:r th~·

monitoring periud b grcattr !han the cumulative L·ff..:rt llf the smalkr runo!T L'\'Cnts thai occur

every year. H~.:c:wsc SIBERIA is a stcady-stilk' mmL.:L the user must JL:tcnmth: !IlL' sue n-:turn

p-:ri11d l of a Llndscapc··l(lmling event that c:m h.: applil'd annually in tlK' mt•Jcl dom:1in w prc(li..·t

th~.· ~am~· long-h.·rm S\Xlimenl yidd that would be gl'n::ra!L•d through pcriPdic large 1.?\Cllb.

lhus. tht' parmnct~:rizaliun of the SIBERIA ~nodd for applicatinn at 'viDA(! n:qurn:d a

nmlti::;t~..•p appn.1ach. This approach, which is L'Xplamcd in more detail 111 th(~ fulluwmg ~(·ctiuns.

nH1S!stcd of six m;IJUI. steps:

l. (\tlh:ct, collate. and evaluate pnxipitauon. runuf[ and scdm1cnt~y1cld datu fnr t'vlt~slla

del Bw::y These data Wl'r(~ used to paramct.::rizc the rainfhll-ntml!T !SR9 modd the

nmnlf-crnston HEM. as wdl as lP test SIBIRI.·\ results.

Evaluat;;: lung-term runoff and scdimcnt-ytdd datasds from an ~malnJ:.: sl1c, the

semi and Santa Rita l::xpcrimcntal Rang-: {in A rvnna l. w cstimmc the r.::tum pcnod

landscape-forming events.

3. Develop rainl~tll-nmo!T rdationslnps ti:>r MDA G using the sdcctcd return period for

the landscape-forming evcms, a~ determined fl·om data collected a! th~.· Santa Rita

Experimental Range. Apply the ISR9 model using MDA G soil and \·egetation

properties and precipitation amounts for events \vith and 5-ycar return periods for

MDA (i ·nt\.' cxn:ss runoff vu!w:.·s predil.?tcd h_y ISR!J fix the 2- and 5-ycar cvcnts w~.:rc

used as input to th~.? HErvt

.:L Apply the H[J'v1 to pn:dict sediment yield fi:Jr hills!upes using a range nf slopes and

an.: as .

.:; Apply a simulat..::d multipanmh.:t-:r n::g:n:ssiun annealing technique fCwvvdl cl aL.

200-i) !o obtain values ror B. m, and 11 tha1 minnnizc the dilTcrcth.T bctwccn scdimcnt

y1dds predicted by HEM and SIBERIA rur thL· same set of test hillslopcs.

6. Estimate[). by matching SlBER.!A rc . .;ults w present-day topography.

2.1.1 Local Data Analysis A number l.lf rainf:ill. runoff. and ero~ion datascts have been colk·ctcd at LANL over the pa~t five

decades. S~.·v,:ra! lumH>.:rm pn.'c!pila!mn n:con:ls fix LANL (a\aibhk ~:t

'Jmp>iV\\?athcr ) were analy.11.~d in rclmiun to data po:;ted lzx :vies ita del m tb.·

Natiunal Oceanic & Atmospheric Admmistration 's Atlas 14 (NOAA. 2004) and wl'n: fuund to

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h:t\L' 1\illl l ir<.'lJU;.'tk'Y \.'harartcnst;c:-. hn· J,·pwdu~.· lit\ and ,·;p.,,~ zfi :tlL.1h 1s. llL

"! li\.\ \tl~h 1-t r:~int:dl n daw \\ere ,·d lll tim ·'tilth, til('C,;_'

d:!\:1 \\ \.'ll'

ar~.: ;d:-;(1 :t numhL·r

durattllll ;md

l\A Atbs 14

\,j i \\)

!(Jr l~l! rulhlfTe\Tllls. Both dat<lSl'h W;.TL'

;md scdirncnl tP J fl knl' (_,:; ;JC !P t) llll.) ;md

mclm!cs

data. t..'\enb l(!r whtdl ramt:llL nmnlf. .mel s"·dmk·n~ valta:s :'.nd tnr

!han nnw \\ere mc!ud<..'tL

cn~nl by !he nmnff' \Olumt.' for rh: same C\T!lt. lnr the second dataset (rq1n:senting tht: SllLill

wa!crsht:ds :11 I A-."4 t!t~.~ Cafwda dd Blll') st:ninth L scdimL'tH L'tl!l('CntratiNt dar:1

\\\.'l'l' dcrn cd

during storm

iota! suspended

!he \ilh!t:'S ol Ill :llld

l1.Tlll ( Lquatmn l ). HtnvcYCL lh: \ arwt1on m <,tXim ICnl ron~.·...:ntr•tt 1\\n hl:l \\ ('<.'ll

:-;ubwatcrshcd;-, appears 10 he murc a t.<: pavmg, ~oil disturbatll.:c. and

drainage plpC> :1 di Hl.:rcnc<.: in w:~tt:rshcd ;tn:d or gradi~..~nt 5;_ In addition. !he C\ cnt tLl!<t ar..:·

not c·qwvaknt all si!cs Conseqw:ndy. il wa:. dl'krmm;;·d thai usmg thcsc data h'' dirvclly

paramcr<.;'!Ve the SIBER lA model was inappropri;!ic These data \VctL\ htm ,_·\·u. used :ts Otll'

means ,)f SlBLRlA mudd output.

................................ ------------7

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c

g: ;s ;? 0 0

c Q

E

~ if 't

~ m @'

~~ In

"::)

-a f/)

n; -o

~ c. VJ :l f/)

<ii 0 ;.-

A

2 ,_,

.;, A

.. JA

:c ~

...

E~~'.!WS [227 [?~l·;,rt E2-~8 E247

fMDA cMDA L) cG·5J tG--61 fG-4 (C·2) !G·1 )

TA-51 Runoff Plots

MDA G small watersheds ~ ................................................... .

data set 1 data set 2

" bed1fncnt conccmration values iC31tula!ed from measured

t:~>mnt·BJ.'dmwnt vo!urnc divn:Jcd t>y event·wnoff volurne)

Seciirnen~ concentrations rneast,red t~smg EPA r-1nthod 16( 2

[ nurnbors md!~·.'atu rH..H~1t)or of New Mex~co swrveJ!Ianct; progrHrr~ qauqW<f.f staLtH1

(r nurnbsrs :ndtc,=1:h Ti\-~1. gauge number

Cai1ada del Buey

Figure 3 S1:dinu·nt Conn~ntration lhttu for Runoff Plots,

SmaU Watt•rsheds. und Canada del Buc:v

8

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~lllt'll l'\.l\ ::1

t.hdll\. lh.:

ks \\en: L'll !bi:t

dciinm,e hi tt \ lllkl\ ~r]c, nf !h.:· mi !

~+'

2.1.2 Definition of a Steady-State Landscape-Forming Event

Jt l rn

;unpk·d r~:inLdL runofL and cn.,sun datas~.~t:..: ~'\L-..:1 t\li' LAN L or tll.:<trll~ :tl\:a~ •. A~

!h~· l•lll!!·h:'rm n.>e<ml ...;~·dim;;·nt· d:na from tfll.:: Santa l{ ltJ

r.\pcrimcmal J\.an~~.: m Southern .\rillma ,,a.~ anah/::d h' d~.·tcmtm~.· th;.· return !ur :t

·state Lmd...:c-:J!W· cvc:m tn a :-<'nunnd l'm nomu~.·nt Th~· ,1! the...;;'

tlw range nl'tlll.' ~ .. ·dmK·nt ~i .. :ld value~ frum ... ·\cnts wtth return P'-Tl1hb \•[::' and 5 y~.~ar" i.'Tahk I J

llns i~ 1n agrl>.'ml..'nl w1tll tilL' n:tum 1wrwd r.:clmrn~:n~.kd hy S!Bl·Rl:\'" author (Jf ~thr·nt 2 .. ~

y~.·ars. wluch wa:-- based on his ~malysis :1 tbtasct fi·mn furopc· l \\ !llgcKh('. 2U04 i

R:tthcr than ~.:hou-.v :1 smglc return pcnod Cor th..:: landscape-formi C\t.::nt. S!BFRL\ rtllb \\('r~'

jX.'rfom!L'd !1:n bnlll lh...: 2-and :'-year 1..'\t'llb. Till' assumption \\;1:-- 1\V(\ ~.~,,.·m:-

pr(>\ ide !uw :md hi~h estimates of s.:.·dim:.:m yi~.:ld u;,~..·r !he t tmh: Iranh.' nf lh(· mudt.:L

:md \\\1Uld :KTOU:H ti)r lht• UJKt:rtainty m U'i!llg tbta lh.lm ~m ;malug Slfl: 1\.1 cktemun:.: tl!v

landseapc-!umH!1,l.' (.'\Cnt Cor \lD/\

2.1.3 Estimation of Runoff and Erosion nH." IRS'> ml1ltration and runoJT model t Cl aL, 1 1N2 l \1. as u~cd !O 6timat1.' rurwft

Prcc1p1 !;!! llll1

\Vith and r.:·tmn periods. The lRS9 motkl \\:JS :1pplicd to th~· l7 hii!slnJh' n

in l 4 l;n !'>\ ,1 :'t1il typ..:s. ;-;:oh:ly !nntn and hqm ·nH..·se :·;oil typ~..", fwum! th~· ""il k'Xturc fpr the· \!D .. \ G CO\\.'r :JS gi\t..'n in the ~..·,n ... ·r dc-.agn spt.-cificalitlllS (Day ct al, !1 i::.

impnrtan! 1u nuk' ;lilhougll this ron:r i~; cumposvd uf' multipk h:·<.-rs wnh d1

sandy !u;tm. The lo;tm CO\T!' consi...:ts crmhcd tuff with a i, percent admi\tuh' or bcmumtc. and

the saud\ kmm ;.lSSllllll'S d Cll\ i.'r ur cmshcd tuff lW benhlnill~. Both CP\ ('C" induck:

th.· co\ cr. hut S<Jil hydraulk

. \\ hich m turn 1m.:n.:asvs 1hv ;mmum ol' mnt>tT tu croswn.

rock pnn tdcc.: pn JkYtion fwm sud:Kc erosion. /\::; cnvcr

surLhv. the amount c•f soil l'\lk,.;~·d t\> ;,·n,sion.

"'''"''''"'''''''''''''''' __ _ 9

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0 150 300 Ill

Scale - "'.1\cltve nortlon of MDA G

- ~ HiHsJopt:1 profik~ w~~o-··n• sr:~il anc~

cover data v.H;rrt: coUectt::d

10

Figun•.; Location of 17 llillslopr Profiles in Vidnit~

of 1\Iatrrial Disposal Area G

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rahle I Charactl•d'itks of Four Small WahTshe<h nithin the Santa Rita E:xperinu:nlal Range nt•:u· Tucson, \ritona (analo~ silt')

I Drainage I

Grazing Watershed ID Area (ha) System

I 4 DE •00 P\o~ation

6' I 3 1E"-00 Rotation "--~ ................ ......, ... ....._"'

7 I ut=~on I Yeur

B I 1 1E•OO I Year

':··f.'3F\Ofi;i,-dr;)tJ~!C {197t~: 1{i)1_l V{f:'!·~:

3tJnuaj .:t? ~ w ;,·>ff

~k vt~· 1f .·:!;:.;·

,11 ~< t' -::;:vi,.,_~~,.

I Vegetation I Type Soil Type I

8f1Ci Sasabe Clri1SS loarn

Diaspar !carny Grass sand

•••-.-·oP<"'"•-~-=·

I S2sabo sandy

loam

S2sabe I grass loam I fh13

f!:.:' 1f_! )'f>1t

,'f:h!7!:1fN7iiJt\U

rw;orf i:Jt'1U su:f!r;·r::;nt

Event Runoff a (mm) ~· Sed~~~~t~.l~'.?.J!~~-~L 2-Year I 5·Year J16-Year I 2-Year

1

5-Year Event Event Mean ° Event Event

9 5E•OO I 2.7E+01 I 17E•01 I 2 c:JE' I {1

1 3E+OO I '2E·U1 ....,.... .. .....,._..... __ ~--

l.6E101 3 9E 101 25E+G1 SE-Ui I 2JE +UU

21EYJ1 I 5 lE•01 I 3 OE •01 I l PE•(;(l I B OC+f/l j

uf

.· ...

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Tlh: ll\draul!t.· pwpcrti~.·s 1JJ' the cnvcr mah:·nal dcll'nllinc tlli.· :~mount ·ll· runntf asc,ocuh:'d \\t!h

the 1wo bmlc,capl.'-formmg cvcnls A satur~t:~d hvdratlliL· conducll\tt;, \a!u~? of I 1 mm

( n -D l!l ) \\a~ assigned to the sandy !~Jam lll JL'CtlrdatK<.: with the \'~tluc pro\!Jcd b;, h:m ct

al \ !()!)_~·~ ii1r cru.shcd ndf A \~due uf6.:'i rnm l1r W.26 in. hr) was used l(n thl· loam :-oil: this i~.

hydraulic comh11.:1tvt!y \alucs wen.: used in tl1..: IRS'! modd to c:Jkulntc rwwll \alucs lor the r;tm

events \\ 1th ::-and 5-ycar return period:-.. As dis~.~us-;cd in more d.:tail in Scctiun th..:·

used for saturated hydraulic cnmlm:tivi!y an: high!;, unc1 . .-rtain.

Table 2 shuws the results or the lSR9 simu!cttimt:< includin~: m...:an nmoff vahtL'S and rant:cs for

each or the soi!-typt·hcturn-pcriud pairs (Lane. 200..f ). The pLTCcnl crmopy and ground cover vary

significamly among the I 7 hillslopc profiks: these cbta can he compared ttl 1!1~.· range pf cuvcr

values t':qJcctcd to c\ist <lflcr the closure of \1 DA (; ( F igmc 51. The c f!\::ct (if' C\t\'Cr vanatHm nn

runoff is cvicknt fhm1 !hl~ resul!s listed m Tabk 1 ·rhcsc rcsuh:-; also indicate that the mcrag~.·

nmnlT !i·om an annual bl!ds"·apc-forming event is likely to r:mgL· from about I lll l ::\ mm yr

10 031J In tJ.7l in yr) lkpcnding on the soil type. hillslnpc 1\)pngraphy. and cover propt'tlics ~H the

site.

2.1.4 Sediment Yield Predictions

The C\C\.~SS run orr ~.~stnnatcs calculated by the ISR lj rnodcl \\'CIT used as mput to the HEt'vl { Lan(.'

cl aL :2001) tn estimak hillslopc erosion r~sultin;c:: from the and 5-ycar runoff events ftx botb

soil types. The HEfvi is an erosion and scdimem transport mudd that analytically so!Ycs the

kinematic wave equation fbr sediment transport on a series of connected hiilslnpc scgrr1cnts 'The

modd cakulah:s the ~.:rosion or deposition in ~,~ach hi!L.;lopc segment as a fhnction of the sqn11L'nl

nmofC gradicm, ground cover. canopy covL'r and soil type. The HEM is wcil lesh:d and

calibrated to hundreds of rainf~tll simulator cxpcrimcnts perf(mncd for the WEPP model

calibration. A primary advantage of the HEJvt U\<?r the \VEPP and other hills!ope erosion models

is its case of usc. mduding tht: availabilny of an 1llllll1l' v~:rsion for rapid ~..·valuation of crosiz1n.

For this study. 1hc cmlmc vcrsiOil of IIE1'vl ( l.'SDA, 2002) was modified to run m a batch mmk to

generate s~.·dimcm yield values over a wide range 11f hillslopc lengths and gradients !or the

i.'omhmatic•ns of soil rypc and excess runoff shown in Figur-:: 6 and Table J. Three combinations

\V(TC sckctcd to n:prcscn! low-. medium-. and high-erosion scenarios at l'v1DA C:i: these arc

dcscrib~~d in nwrc detail in S(·c!ion 2.3. In hrid: the low-erosion sccnariD assun1cd that the

closure UWL.'J' \\(IS COJnflOS;.~d Of sandy loanL the ground and c;mopy COVer \\TrL' high, and tb;:

runotfc\cnt had :m associated value nf2.6 mm (0.! nL). The moderate-erosion scenario assumed

a sandy loam soiL muck·ratc eu\ cr conditions. and a runoff event of 7 mm ! 0.2S in.). The lligh­

eroswn ..;ccJurJ(l assumed a loam ~H•iL !ow gr..:amd and canopy cover, and a rutll1fT even: \tf

12.4 mm tOAllnL.L

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Tnhlt 2 Summary of Ruinfall-Rmwff Simulation Re..,tilh for Hilhilopt· Pmfilt•" at T.\-5-4

Hillslope Profile 10

E.\-lf;; NE

E\~ 1 SSE

EX-JS SE

E\-5S S

EX-6N NE

EX-?N ~JE

East-1E SE

Mean-- SD

Amount of Cover(%) a

Canopy Ground

~ .fE+O': 4.GE+CI

4.1 E+OI

BOE+OC

1.5E+01 4 4E+01

12E•01

1.7E"'0\

3 2E•01 6 1E+01

7.DE-J1 5 OE-01

2.0E+D1

Estimated Runoff (mm) ~>

2-Year. 6-Hour Storm I 5-Year. 6-Hour Storm

Sandy Loamc s 1 1E ·JO

2.4E+;)O 6.7E+OO 71E<O

5E+00 9.2£-G(;

7.0E·OC:

2 6E+OC

7 OE-Ui 4 OE-01 2.0£.0'

7 CIE-01

4.5E+OO 9.7E+OO

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~

~ ~

v,

:::.. ~

'-E

::

,:; :;;:,

,...~

-;..:...;

14

-r':J <

""',

~ ~

'­~

.... ;:;

~

:::: ;..

:.; 0 :.;

"0

;.-., ~ §-

c:: ::'.:!

::I;

"' ,-v

~-=

o::> tt;;

•r. t

:;,; - ;... ""=

Ct ,- ... , -- ;; -=

=

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1fr

~: 0

:::) 1() ~

(/) (/) (j) (.) >:; w

5

+

0

············-----' ·,> .)~ ',· ,' , .. • ,, ~: ;.

!uarn/5-y-r

~· " Mean excess runoff computed usmg da:il from al! profiles

= Vanali0'1s 1n excess runoff cJuv to and cover diHen:nc>:s at

Figure 6 i\lt:an Exn:ss Runoff Values uml Ranges

tor Soii-Typt•iH<•turn-Pt•riod Pnirs

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T:thlt .' Summarizt·d Input and Output for the Thn·t· Ero~ion Sn~nariw. U~t·d in SHU~RIA l\lodcl

Model Parameters

pcnod i'1 years)

Excess Runoff \TirF)

SIBERIA Model Sedtfncnl Yield i T/h;;lyr)

100 vears

500 years

1000 years I

Erosion Scenarios over 1 ,000· Year Period

low I Moderate High

Loam LODH1

70 I 70 30 •. 7!! JU 3D

5

7

5.0E-Q·l I UE+OCl

~.OE-01 I 1 1E+O[;

.4\JE-()1 I ' OE•OIJ

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Th~· llL\l n:il' \\C:lc 'lnncd f,l; th(· 1\lw-_ ill"dnat~.-. ;md '"lC!ll p~tLtnKk'r -<l:-: >hil\\'1

ttl -~ Jill i'tc wl hd l:-;ltlpcs. lhv lH \h'r~_: •.:nnsi ruc:kd lf• r~·pr~·:-.c!l!

]-- lk· hdi--:J11p(· S('d!l11~'lli

<:r,,>l•,\lll "l't<.: then compar-..:d to

ti' rmd lhc !WU

U!l tik

ll\llll run" { hm. mdck·r:lll'. :1n'"~

'<.: "L'h ut' S!Bl.RI\ run> !ld\\.

2.1.5 Optimization of SIBERIA Advective Transport Parameters the SIB ER L\ parameter v;dues ror the ad\CC[ i \'(' transport tern I fJ s· ~ hjtLHIOfl [I \\ ·,'!\'

\Pre~> ~.·t nl.. I 'Nfq 'lik' ck\ L·lop~·d thing an npt process :-;imuhncd mmcal

prtll?CSS n.:quil\.'S !he tt;>LT hl

tilL' nght par:lllll'kr

a set e>l \'~!lues and an l:qnatit!JI thaL wl!L'll snh .. :J wn!l

w!l! match tlJL· targ•:l \':tlw .. •s. ln thh an::lysh. the llL\·1 ·<dmJell!

ytckb; lrom th~..· anilicLil hiib!op:.::s :-;ho\Ht m hgmc 7 \v~.·n: the targd valul'> and 1 1 \\J,

t!Jv C•.]U~lll\>11 \lf imcrcsl. f!Jc simulmcc!<mtk'almf:_' aigoritlm1 Wi\S used lO lllllllOllZC thV d1 cnc;.:

b,__·t\h'<.:n the !H::f\1-p!-.;:di,:tL~d target yidds the S!Bl:RL'\ .~cdiment ytdds for sd-; l( m.

n and !J. \:due:- optimal 3\.'t or nz. and n values shm\s a mimmal difl'cr~.~ncc k:t\\\,'cn! !F\1

f--or a gtven fHd the HEM prmid..::s iut:Jl SL'dim~.·nt flu:-; (kg), rww!T umc lm · ). mc:nt

sediment concentration l''uL tmd nlh::r-n!l :md rill dctachnll'nt and dq>(lSllHm rate~ f nu una

pcr-mdcr-\V!dth bas;s. ·rht.: SlBERl!\ moe!..:! prw:1des ou!pll!~ aHowmg an cqtmakut nl~b;,

flux tn he calculated alon1,' a identical to tlh.~ !IE?v! prunlcs. Par:unckrs !!. m. n. :ukl D ..

CmtCl11lll usc:d w~b tlh..' ;;um nl· th(• sqturcd dif!(:rl'nu::-., hcnn.'en the nd ..;(:dmwnl ilu\c'-. that \\l'L:

cakul~!k'd bv mo nmdds along t!Ji.' artlllrl<il planar hillslupcs. The simulatcd-annc<tling

•ns J1·om lht.' hill.,dopc:-. ,;[J(l\\'!1 m F1gmc 7. Lengths ran)!~.:d (rum .in 1o

1 :;o m r<>s tu -DO Ct \ and \V('rc sarnpkd L'\ cry ntc:cr. \\ lu L.: rangcd f'n.nn 2 w l {• fh'!L'Cnt

at 2 PL'I'CCnl Jrl!(T\:ds rhi:-> _nddcd XOR hill:-;lnpc c·ascs {! 0 l ;;!ope times ;;; gr~tdicnh) llh.'

upp-.T k·ngth \\Us tt\ aYuid edge cff\:cts at thc·lulbk1p'-· prniik (·nd.;. The slh.lrk'Sl ln

kn~th wa~' dJ<.ISCll tP I mail L'fkd~; •. .luc tP difil.·rciK('-, m ts c::ku!at-xl

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mJZ;::• Jm 24m

- .. +

=Base leve!

" Eteva!10n above base level

"'SIBERIA flmv paths used 1n s1rnuiated annealing process

Fi~Urt.' 7 Artificial Surface Shmving I-IE'Vl Profiles and SIBERIA

Flow Paths Used during Simulatt:d Annealing

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)(

~

c:: (l)

E Q <.h

Q) c m ::; c:: :::: <

4

2

Fi!,!un· S C:orrdatinn in Sediment Yidd IH·hn:t·n tlu· HEM and SIBERIA 1\lodel for

a Range of Slopes and Hillslopl· Lengths (low-ero•don scenario)

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2. 1.6 Estimation of the Diffusion Coefficient

W1thin tlk' SHH RL\ llldtkl. ditrusillll JS added 111 :td\t:ci!Vc tr:msrort as the pt nl th-.·

dtiltl''lon cp;;:·[lincnt. f) and the hilblupc grad1cn1. S .\ch~:ctivc and diflits!,~..· arc

thnught tn be largdy in bahlncc tn the mHJJ<itllrbcd pPrti<JI1'< \tcsiu dl'l But.'\ !lK·n: dL-'

nn ''dl-ck:\dl)pi.'<L d:.:·cp ~ull or deep collm·ial fill~ in ll..:adwakr n:gions un the nk·.~~L \ ~llues

gn en !'(It' [) in litcra!utt:' r;mg,• 0\'Cf ~L'\ era! ordch nC l1 oagnitudc; 11 W<!S !lOt possibk• lu sdcct

a 1m:~mmglul \ alt~<.: among these for the :-~pccd!c :me conditiOth. Although t!h: -;Jmubc .. :d­

:mnealing pruccdurc found f) V<llucs fur llll' t!Ut'l' ;..·r,_)sion .:;ccnarins. these values do no1

the full r:mgc diffusion processes rcpn.:s~.·nhx; Sf !:\ b~tatts(' tiH.: HE:Vi nH:!uJc.:; \1!11~

that comp1 \l1C!l! of di ffusit>n c;msed by minspla::h. ! n J'l:alit~. hmtic and other processes nmtribmc

sJgnific:mtly w drllusion in the landscape over long ttilk' scaks anJ lnti:>t be Ctmstckrcd

To cktcrmmc a sitc-sJH.:dfic value. SIBLRL·\ nms were tnadc using a nmg<.: Jl \~dues. ·rlh'

resulting topography was \'isually inspected Jnd compared to current wpngraphy as rcprc'<cnt~:d

by the DEM Lh::rived frum ALSM. The compariwn !\l~,.:used on gullies and hol if SIBERIA

pr.;da:tcd the development of deep eolludal fill> in the holhnvs. it \Vas assum.:d that ditfusi,m

\Vas too high relative to advcctivc processes Wuvialtranspor!l. '>vhcrcas if SIBERIA pn.:·dit~h:d

c.\cessivc gullying. dim1sion \Vas consi,kn:d too knv rdmivc h• advcctiH' pwccsscs. For tills

analysis. D: values of LO HY"1. 0.0025, and 0.005 were used as input w the moderatc-croston

s\."enario to assess th;: impact of diffusion on the Lmdsc1pc over l JlOO years of ;..TtlS!UlL

'The low D. value of l .0 1 (r4 led to the dcvelopnlcnt of a highly dissech::d gully network. which

currcntl.y nul exist a! TA-54. As a n:sult, this value was rejected as being lol' lov; fen th.:

current modeL The middle value of tU)(!]) r.:sulu::cl in a landscape with rnon: t!K·

(~hamctcristics of the L'Urrent landscape. wherca:-, the high D~ ·;aluc resulted in a land:c;cape that

looked mudl more romulcd than the current landscape. Because !he results <JSsoci:llcd wnh the

rnidd.k vahtt:' ;..cem .. ,d to b..:st n.:pr..:scnt cotHJttil•lt:' at \IDA G. and because rw bdKr uH:tlwd rur

estimating the f)_ \\as available .. the value of 0.\!0.2:" was ,;.·hoscn as the mockr;nc-crosion n valw.: and the bcsl valw.: for tv1D/\ G.

A n_. \ alue or (J.OO l was dwscn for the iow-crnsiun :-.ccnario. This value was sclcc!l'd hccatbL' a

ltl\\ dilTusi(lJ1 rate coupled with a low advcctivc-crosion rate should yield the correct b<!lancc

between tiK: rwo processes and result in a tnndscapl~ that looks somewhat similar to thL: nrm:nt

landscape: this diffusion rate would also result in sluwcr overall cn•sion than the nwdcratc- and

lllgh-eroston sn:nari(\s. Similarly, a De \aluc ot' n 005 \Vas used 111 comhimnion wJth a l11gb

croswn rah:: for the higrh:rosion scenario. A more rigorous test of !hl: effect of' f) nn land:-h:;qx~

fnrm is dcsirahh:. but c\pcns m the field of lantbeapc evolution mw.iding: suggcst that this

approad1 \\as r~·asonahlc gi,·~:n the state of the scii:ncc (Dietrich. 2004: \\'illi-!POsc. 2004: Bras.

2004 J.

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2.2 SIBERIA Model Domain Configuration

!. ~0110 .\L:-,\1 c.,k . .=oo2) the f}l\Jp~~~L:d CP\.t.'l' "~h .. ~\ ,Jl!i.Ht'

dl'llLllll !\VP ·rh;.;- \ .. :r L:- .._·nlnpd:~c~-~

..:·n\·cr n:Jt~.~rial pn1jwscd

lll!f ;Ju~:m~.·n!l..·d wnh b,·ntcmitc :mel :mpd:u

•.'\ ;d t2005\ iS

P\ crlmn \\lib a

'c~~.·t:tll\lil dum!."' the :1ctivc msti!lltJoJwl conn'!

,:,,, cr ::md rcdu~.·~.: ,~roswn. The s~.·nmd l:l\ n 1~ t.:PlllP•'s-.·d

al~'' tnmsttlt>n

it dur:~ ~KI.';\Ltllt th._· sp:ll ·

domain. !n natUJ\.', the nne

cxh:llt or;) materialtyp~.· that is

h,·drnd. Tu ~imubk· thi-; ,<~tuatiOtL S!BLRL\ ''as nm in a Hstart-slop-star(' m<.ll.h:.

w;tS stopp~·d alt~..T 1.'\ c-rv 20 :·cars <Jt" simuL1kd time and cad1 ,:d] was ched.,(·d to

clc\aUon had dropp~,_·d he low the surfaL·e. (db tha! had n.::lched bcdrnck W(:!('

as such so thai cwsion wnu!d pnKl'Cll at a sltn' cr riltc. :md the model was

mnd,:l

'if its

The disposal ln:. w~ts divided into two mud-.· I r,:gmns: !he dct.i h' p<miPn of r>\'J ( l the

Zone -+ ('Xpansion ar..:a (Figure l Th'-' samc Sl HE RlA paranKtt:r values ti·lr c·nbtnn \\cr .. · w;cd

f(Jr hoth areas: hmvc\ cr. thL· en\ l'r ~tzc and depth and pit conr bet\\C~;'n the !wo sites

torts are dufcn:JH

2.3 Model Scenarios

\1 D A G a lkr 1. ono vcars

was tn estimate rh~-· spatial distribution nr depth to w;t';t-.· ;tt

and s•.:dmh:·nt transport Any such estim:ncs arc unct:rtam

du..: t<J potcnti;d Vdriations m clintall'. sod prnpl"nics. CYP!ulitln the vcgct;ttwn ;,.lrtldUIT, and

nthcr t::KttlfS m ..:r thi.· l.tlflfl-ycar time ir<Hne. T hdp constrain the uneLTWmty. t luc~.~ S>.'l'nanu::.

were LIL'\ eloped that ;m: h' rc-;ul! m lo\>.. mmkratc. and high rates of crusH on at tlL' site

Lach of ot!lcnmcs ts plau:;ibk on !he !ung~tcrm cruskm ratt.·s l'i:purh.'d m

the !itcu\urc ( ct aL .:::oo l) and CU!T('nt obs~,'r\':llions. The paran1ctcr ucs l\\i

\ cgL·tatlon. r;unblL ruunfl cros1on. and scdink'n:-ytdd

prnpcni~.·s

IP!h pro\ '-'!l g !ll1.'Cf.'> ( f:b ~ ('i

I

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Th(' km-cnh!Pll :-;ccnariu us:;umc:-. that rll.: '>oil will ltlt\c the cro:'ion and ntrhdl propcnll':-, ~~

sandy !o:m1 tcru:-lh.'d tun cmd g.mvcl w rw admL\turct wllh high mfdlrati\111 cap:k· . a

l!ud; \,:p_dalJon c,l\'L'r nl natlVL' tc;r-H)py t'O\cr ,~r 70 percent grnund nwc t1l.

70 p~.-'ll'Cnll. and an annual (h:S!f'!l runoff nt' 2.h mm { 1.{1 tn. l. The mnlkra!l.·-cw~:;t.m sc:.:narw

rdatncly undhmrhed cPndiuons that exist m Zone ~1 at TA-:'\4 and at thL· ca~;rcm

dd BLII.',\ 1 i.e .. canopy cmcr of 30 pen:cnc gruund cu\cr pf' 7U percent] The mmual

runoff !iH· the mmkrat~.· scenario is 7.0 mm tll.2?' m.L The l~tg,h-crtl:-.ion se.:narm as~un1cs ;1 !,,lml

soil\ ,:ruslll·J tuff and j!W\'d mixed with tk'lHunitc L a sparse \,;:gelation cover wi!hm tlh.' of

c'Ollliitwns !(nmd on :VIes ita dd Buc;, ( t.c" c;mopy cuv~:r uf 30 p~:rc.:nL gwuml C~.l\ cr ol

JO perc em). and dn annual design rtl!Ht!T of 12 mm WAX m. L Th..:se Sl:cnarw paran1ctcrs an.:

sumnmn/;.;d in Tabk 3.

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3.0 Results

cof 'rdmat ion

an

the· nwcr

nn izcd

:tt \ RS ( PrpuLtlWL.

1ha1 \\as "'·"f''-'L'kd w s~ttrc;i\ ti;;.:

slW\\ n in '} l 0 and l l. 'The;;.: 1 .nun y~.-;1r~. .·\u Pr:m::<: ::r~·cn <.1\.:r p11rtt•nt·' ,)r the

c'<.llor scak·

depth tP waste \[dttl's 111 e.\ccs . .z uf m (h.::2 ft). \vh~.·rcas 1brk or:.mgc that 1

appmaLl1111~ a ur nnly 1 m (:; .. ~ fl). Tlk' blue red col•;.r scak on tllCSt'

cumubti\c

the d;sposal units at \lD.\ (i I.Oml vcar~ aikr liL·tl

Awa\ !!un1 the tTusmn did dcpositwn ar~.·

seen w ;n cas rnark cd

uf the nh:s~L .Figures 0:1 und l Oh shnw :·dllll [ar r,:sults fin· the low- and hlhdl-l>\•S!\>ll

,11 \!D-\ G. While greater crosmn is nutcd m sonk· portitHh lit\ u1

erosion ~.·,mdnion:-.. a minirnum m (5.7 ft1 ,:uvcl appc;m, lo C\t;>l U\::r mosL ifnut :dL

tll. the disl)'l::>al umH, Figure ! l shows the depth-to-waste n:sults for !he mndcratt>Cr'P:ihlll

sCC'Jtarw at th~.· Znnc 4 C.\pmlsiPn at\.\L H.csults fi·om all thn:c scenarios shO\\ thal a mmmmnt \)(

l. 7':' m j :'7 tl) tlf >.'tWCI' C\ IStS acnhc. the S!IC at lh~: the l.\!00-vcar Sl mublttl!l

\

SIBERlA at ;dl PUtnlc.

\ L'ars :<>r !he

ln nddilhllL tmlv

\'<lftlL'.S from ![h: porliun:> of the d\\CI' tOCillCd U\ CI' lhl' pits and

mcas th;tt wcn: h1~·;Jto:d a\\4\V ti·um was!.:. sud1 as clitl fau:s Jn

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an 1i:)0 rn

Scale

Site conditiom;_" Canopy cover = 30% Ground cover "' 7()~\o Soil"' Sandy Loam Runoff evEmt "~ 5 years (7 mm)

Diffusion coefficient = 2 5 x

Dnpih 1o wasltl (m) ;Jf!er I "000 years

Fioun: 9 "' Erosion and Deposition at :VIDA G for 1\'lodt>ratc-Erosion Scenario

(as rmedictrd by SIBERIA modd after 1.000 yc•u·,)

24

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i'tt:mc !Oa. L (>\\ ~cro~ton :-,ccn•tnc> i 7V"" nmnpy cO\ ,;r. 'i(J'';, ground cover. Jo.m1 soiL nmnll

hb;urt· l Uh.

ll u)ver. ''andy kum "uiL nmcff

('\t:n1 (!.2 mm(. and c!Jffthll!llcudfn:tent of:.:; s l

Figun: I II Erosion and Orposition at \H)}\ G for Low- and High-Erosion Scc·narios

las pn-dkti.>d hy SIBEHL\ uftt:r LIWO \tarq

·.-,, :... . ,·. /, .:.

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Lkpth lO Wtb!C trni alter 1 J)DO years

Figun· 1 J

Erosion and Deposition at Zone 4 for 1\'loderate-Erosion Scenario (as predicted by SIBERIA model aftt•r 1.000 year'i)

26

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the or \•ksiLI dd Bu.::v :md the \\atcr drop dL\~~ram (k\ '·

\\ 1:l1 th~.· co\\.~r dc~i&'u elTon ( D;~: ,·taL. 2005. hgmc 4 J.

catchment Jll the canyon. ln !ll:Hl!KT the

pntcnl wdl <~S !he t)ipc and conccntntwn pf t!k· ,·un1aminak~d

sediment deli\cn:.J H1 1llc canytl!l can tracked through lime. Table 4 summarizc~ till..' ddiHT\

o! the catdmlcllls show11 n1

Atthuugh t!w han· .Sh1n:d m; <: runctwn of ttm<.· and disposal urut. L1bh: 4 >huws til~.·

!i1Lll scdnncnl \tcld imu each catdnnent for the lJJOO-ycar hank~. lor C\<tmplc. mer the

l .!HlO-: . ..:ar penud. P:tjanw Canyun catchment PC.2 was proj .. xtcd to n:cci vc ?-;. 99:" ·r 1 t.J. q 15 t J of

.;,x!imcnt tlTm1 nncontaminmc:d purtions of \H),\ G am! /(11' ·1 ( S4-+ 1 l from pihti'fc~.·tL·d an.:;t:'-.

thus. !Jli-a!fcctcd sediment Js X pcn::cnl or the ll\tal scchmcnt delivered from the rncsa t\1 P( :::

:\ote tha1 the dr:nnag(· bnundarics may change through llmc. For C';<lmplc. b"·twccn 0 and l 00 y.:.·ars the em cr o\·cr a given pi! may -.pill sdiment 1\l PC2. bu! from l 00 hl 200 vcms. some ()!' of the CO\('!' \>\C'r !hnl pit may spill imo :;nothcr urainagc. and thcrcf~HC be

;mother catclmH.:nt. shdts m scdim(~nt >lckl ar~.· alsp tracked.

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28

!"~

J:.

~ -~ ::

.~-= ;;.;. -, ---s ...

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·1 ablt: 4

Smnmar.' of Sediment Iklh rr~ from MDA G Hl Can~ on Catchment-. HH'r LOtiO) car'

Canyon Catchment Mass of Sediment Delivered (Tl

Pit-Affected Sediment as Number Clean Sediment

l Pit-Affected Sediment %of Total Sediment i

PCfi 5.644 76 -

'(1 '59.3? 5tll ;

°C2 8,995 i't)(i ;

::JC' 8.823 1 ,25; L! --··· ·--

°C4 5AC:S 1.-\ClCJ ·-~; -PC5 6.549 1,340

::tCS 5A35 :78 0

CdB: 3£~.93(~' J-182 3 .. Cd62 1 ODS 153 3

LJ!chmerrr r:atclrn1ert

····-·---····---·- --c-··-···· .. --··-········---' <, , • ;..._ '.' : '.' >', .~·, • ; .:.. >-' " ~'

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4.0 Discussion and Qualifications

Th'-' S!BFRl:\ simulation:-; rcpr~.·sent a srgmfic:mt stq\ forward H1 C\n

a:-. a!hm the fccdb;n:k between cro;,wn nnd th~.· shape of the n::pu:-.tlnn etl\l·r I<l ~·\plon:d

O\'Cr d h1ght;. rnnlp]c\. topography, ·rhis \VPrk a robust application SllJl:J{l,\ and

tlfllinn tilr asscssmg tl1L· pcr!ormancc of a co,·~.·r to hmg-tcrm ('roswn \:<..'\

Stgm!\,::mt lllh.~Crtainty 1!1 the predictions. llH: . ..:~_· utn:crtamties ;m: the result of bPth n1t•dd

slrm:ture. as in S;:ction 4.1. and lack of adt.:quall' data fur modd p:lr~mk'lC\'1/~tti,m. a:-.

dtscnsscd tn S~.·ction "' Lvt·n with these unccr!annt,:s. hnwt.:h:L th~..· Sl BLR l A sed1mcn1-;. tdd

pn:dtclwns wen: in !inc wtth h.lttg-tcrm Ynlucs l ned m tlic literature a;, \H'li ;ts \\ ith tbt;t from

.Vkstt~t dd Btl\.'\'. as disl'uss~.·d m S..:ction

4.1 Model Limitations

Th .. ~ S!BLRL\ modd wa:;; chns~.:n hecaust: it wus !he only bndscapc t'VolutJOn mndd that had

been applkd to and validated l{n· critical em iwnmcntal pruhh:m,; con,;traincd by l'L'gu;at inrh

such a!'> mtlk' reclamation and tailing pile n:mcdia!JO!L The modd vcrswn used :-:wdy,

lumL'Ver, had fom potcntbl dr~nvhaeks. First 11 d1d not automatically modify· mah:nal pwpcrtics

in cell.-. when erosion cut into a nc'k lay-.·r. Secord. the sedin~t.:nt·transporl-capacl!y ~.·qualt\'fl may

cause spunous deposition to occur when there was a change in material type along a l1uw palb

hum a nwh:rial with higher transport capacity \ ~?.g . the coven tn one \\ nh km er transpon

capacity {~.;,'.g .. bedwd) In addition. the modd do~.·s nol allnw panich: trackmg or scdnn'-'nt­

pa.:·kct tracking through the landscape. hence it is impossihk h• dcknninc if the stedim...:nt that

;;:rndccl from the cover over a given pit was tr:1ppcd pcrmancntl)' in the rock armor. t~r

made its way hl the stream bottom. Third. it is likdy that a dynamic climatl' wiH gnl' a ddl(·rem

result than the steady-state climate the user is furc.:J tP ~tdopt by the SIHERL\ nw,k\. ,\nd

fumth. the mGdd d1d not tncluck an cxpl cllff-r-:·trc:n algorithm. /\ nc\\ version of SlBI.·Rl/\

is currently being tested that addresses all but the fourth of these issues.

[ach or thl.' model limitations noted above introdw.:c~ uncertainty in the modd results. l'he f<~~.~t

that the \crswn of SIBERIA uso.:d for this swdy did not autumalically update materwl propcnk:s

as en>siun progressed to a new layer was ilot a maJ<lf pwblcn1 sin-.:c t!Hs swd;.· mmkkd only !Wt'

mi!lenals. a homogen>.:mb cover material and hcdmd.; hL'll so. an effort was made to minimi7c

th.:.· dlcct that this limitatwn had on mnddmg n:sults. Dmmg the smmlarions performed l(!I tlus

stud;.. the nH ld;:l was manually stopped every 10 y~.:ars to cktcnmne if the ammmi

illc rhang.c m de\ atwn in a gl\ en gnd cell had cw::-ed the eel l tn mor~.· t'elow th;: \.:P\ ~.·r layer

bnundarv l f i1 hacL the cdl type was changl.·d from to ·'bedrock .. ami th'-· model was

n:~tarkd. !k·causc there was no wav uf knnn·iag when the hPtmdan bet\\ ccn the C\l\ ;.·r and

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b"'Lh\l,.'f- J"hl h.';..'!l !,';l~·h'-•d

d•:\ <!1~<.'11 Pl. rlJ,·,

\ 1llU1\' di

Th;:, :lpf'l\\J;..'h !\ !lOI c'\fh.:~.kd 1\> t!llt\>cltk•.· Jrlltc !. ~Tllll

r;tk':< nf c'nl~;,q; \\ 11Lm tiL.' h~.·dt!.>cL :lie' ,;mall.

h11lh Cl\h!Oll :111d

ilk' lhl' \ll !lit:

<llllOUllt td \.'l

'll\

lc·d c•Ui \1 1'

l\pc ·'bt.::dnJcl.". h~_·;,;aw.~.· <'f tk: 1\ll k ;mnvt. :hh

of th.: ~.·u\ ;..'!'. l. nd ... ·r n;Hur;d ~:und!tluils. -,,·,!tm,·nt

from a nmfl' ,:rt•dtblc ;n<Ca \\ntdd .-;uy m su:-.p~..·nsiPfl .md !t<t\ ei

lwdtYlt:k :H\.';1. ln t!ll' nwd:::L tf the: l\\P l:;.:JJ-, b:hL' \ih Si\llil'

:md the s;mt~:

<..'\\\ LT cell <lllcl

stgrnfic:mt[y. fhis J<.:~ulh

~.::.m~co. thl' '>cdinll'lll tr :tnspon \ ln

at thl· tran;.;rt!Pn he!\\ ~.:,:n tllv cell, l.'oukl

p{hc a suppn.'S"-1.:,; ,;ro:..:wn ;H the

pwp<b,·d

s~.:dm1ent H·

a-;~igncd a ntn~·rial type

h'• th~· a~.::ual

other :L'>pc·~.·t td the

;.dhm p:midc

nt· tl11.· l'{l\ ,:r

"b~,.·dnlck." the mu(k·l in tht:; ~mution 1> lt\

PCdH. at A-1 Do\ T!m:o.. !h..:: mudcl l!mir:nwn nnlL'<.I

is that

will rcmam trapped in th;.: rnd: arnhH nr migrah: l1' ::

.\ppli,·atam of the lh:w \ ersinn c•f SHH·:RJA. l\hich

U\.it

Tlh' third

thth mcr-..::hl.'

bndscilfh.~ 1W1..'r time I! "' ould abo

th:tt Sl

..:tubh: k·

~,·pntuninan::.; \nl!

\ v the 1ssu;.:· uf SL:dtmL'Ill dn>ppnl,~

i.'._•tls

cy,•nt to

\'l' ,:n•sll•ll. i, l' l\l h:tn: a "lh~mfkanl Jnlfl<tl'\ on th~.· pr~.·divtt.:d ct~n:r in

natur,.·. !lt:Ul\ :~hnm:- ~·.t· di!"krc:nt dm~Hlt'lb and iniLtt:-.t!i ... ·> clt.'dn n single.· _y,·ar; ()\ er d

annuai rcrnanl:' !lH.: san11.·. r:nn m:l\ t.'Onk: m

rnnJI.' <.:wsion pc:r cvcHL In smmlutinn

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fratllc' and the L'\Tnl r..:prcscnting ;J morl lll!ltkra!C cl:matL' OVLT th;tt :-.anK p .. :nod The

~_:bui,;l' nf tlll' "' and !and"capc-fnrming .·v..:l11' w;t:-. h;hLcd <lll d;l\a fn•m !he Sanu Rita

L \fkTtmcnt:t WatLT,;hcd m StHllhcm ts supporh:d :;,_·-, !l•r a~

diverse as Australia and England (\Vil!guns~.· ;md Riky. 1991\: \Vi!lgo(>c\L' ct aL ]'l(J

. the impacts

prnhahly be Ci.lflSidcn.:d m gn:at.:r d,·taiL new versiun of SIB! Rlr\

l'PllSldCr:lllll!l of an ,'VL'lli·bdSCd climate 'iCfll'''< the applicatton or this \'erS1011 (O \1!}\ (i n:ty b,·

appropmnc.

The kmrth lirnitatmn oi the model used in tlll:-> h that It dues not Uli.:ludc the pnH .... ;ss ot'

dilf n.:tn:aL \Vbik mduding a stochastic rockfall algorithm m SIBERIA wuuld r!l•! be dt

calibrating such a modd would be d!fficuh wnhout better quamification pf th.: a .. :wal !\!\ll:csseo;

Data !nnitation issw:s related to modclmg difY retreat an: dtscusscd hdmv.

4.2 Data Limitations

ln some cases, uncc11amtit:s were introdun:d bccmsc of the lack of adequate data for modd

puramch.:rizalion. Areas of particular ccmcem mdudc !be characteri;:arion or rhl' hydraul~~: and

crPslcmal properties of the proposed coveL lhc role 1Jr climate variability and c:;tn:mc cYcnts in

cover pcrlim11ancc. and the impact of Y~lrit)US ongoing gcumorpluc pmc\;:sscs un ~.-·over

pcrf(mnancc ;n MDA G

'flK' matcnal propt:nies of the cPvcr and hedwck are' critical daw for determining the prcdll~h.·d

pcrformaHce of the cover in relation to both cros!nn proccss~s aml mliltrat1on (Newman and

SchoflckL 2005 ). A critical paramev.:r for both processes is saturated hydraulic C(mducti\itv. Tlk·

SIBERIA ::mal:.·sis \vas pcrfonncd before the results or hydraulil· condw:tn ity measurements

pcrll.mT\cd on s:nnpks of thL~ propost·d 1..'0H'r material werL' in·nilnbk. ln th~: nbsem:c \11' :1

!11L':1sured value. Nc\\'man and Schofield 12D05l c~lmtatcd a saturated hydraulie comlucti\ or 0 fl3Q mm'hr ( J .3 ' lO-J in/hr) fin· the propoc.;cd co\'cr material This value ts almost 30(ltimcs

kss than the \ ulm: or ! I mm'hr {4.3 l 0 1 in.ihr) used in ISR q to compute runofl rnr the 2- and

5-war events thcd in S!Bl:]{J/\

The hydraulic <.:onducii\'t1 y values used in the ISR9 moddmg \H;re taken from literature values

(Nyhan ct aL. !99~; Channan and Murphy, I ·~for actual :il)ils with the same tcxnm: ( .. the

same propurtwns uf sand. silt and day) as that t\Jr the pmposcd cover. 'IlK' Newman and

Schutkld t 2005) mJiltmtion cllculations us~:d c,;timau:d hydraulic conductivities for a 6 pl·rccm

bcnhmite tuff rnixtun:. 'These cstimatcs \\ere based on n linear regression fit bet'>\ t:cn the

measured hydraulic conductivity of pure cmslhxl tufT and the va!uc n:pnrlcd m Nyhan ct a!

'· !997 l fur :1 1 n percent bentonite: tuff mixture. Both sels uf values have J imit:uh,ns.

Page 38: LA-UR-05-7771 - hwbdocuments.env.nm.gov Alamos National... · la-ur-05-7771 tifft:. sulvrutteci to. .. a ·~los alamos h •. t, ~qna~ ai3•)ha 0 y surface erosion modeling for the

unc;.;J1:ll

s:.scn li!emlt s, llllc:..: ul ~.·rrnr m th;,; suc(;Jc.: lTP.'i\Utl m'. Il!,:. l J Ilk' :tctua! \ ahk·s an.· [u\\ ..:·r than tll\.' \·alLII.'" Sl

~ub'lcqtll.:n! ;:wsinn. willlx lugrk·r than .h mcnt m:tt<.::rial hav..: been submilh:d l\1r ;umlv::;;s: tilL' n:sulh uf th1::;

Rami:dl simulatn; t.:\Jli..Ttmcnts earrtl·d ow Ptl kS! at a hillshlpl' t mclu.Jtn!,: m l!th.'S) \\\lUld !J~_:Jp !O llll' lllilhriltl!JlL Ct\lS!PlL Hl

cllantc!l:rist!cs ,,f S!!Jllific:mtl;,

lTusion a;;su~·wtcd wnh

\\ is nit

m the pi.'ri\wmmK'l' <t:isc:,:.!lh:llt

data about 1hc amnunt ui and widl: range r:nn!idl events l'Xpcc!cd under dml<tll'

to running smr RL\ \\ u climah.' C'\t'fll'S ratltt'l than {t srcady-sLnc bmlscapc-furming event The dc\·dopm;:m a :::.cr putt:nli:d futwT dnn:w.: :;c·ncs ;o us~·d

as mput to the· llL'\\' SIBERIA would help In tmccn;tintv rdatd !o dtmat<.· ilHd

prondc a hcn:.:r umkrstandmg of thc unccnamt: ass(lClaled \VJtl!

('vents.

Currently. ll 1:> rt<l! which of g~.·nnlmv!nc pn.K,::-s.::; at \11):\ (J pu.,;c the lP nfth..: waste umts. :\!though wugli .:stanarr.:-, ;;x.Jsl

Cut rluvi;tl :md w1

dndupmcnt cltff rcln.:a! r~ltcs rcqu1rcs 11L:aningful :,vt pf (ktc:·minc till.'

mass W<htmg (block l~d

;lhtlU! the cnlSlllll r:tk':-i .. \

•••••••••••••• ·---~'"""~'-m~~~A•~'"'"'" ~

"

mcnt-

ptOCC''·Sl~S. inclilddl',!

lll' If' t;_,

Page 39: LA-UR-05-7771 - hwbdocuments.env.nm.gov Alamos National... · la-ur-05-7771 tifft:. sulvrutteci to. .. a ·~los alamos h •. t, ~qna~ ai3•)ha 0 y surface erosion modeling for the

4.3 Comparison of SIBERIA Results to Field-Collected Data

ln '>pile ol' "(ltll\:<..'S ~,r cn\lr :md un..:cTt;unt: m the pan:mlch:ruat~>m <.lt the rnod.:l and

mPdL·I ~tw,·tmc, a l:• (>f annu:d : .. ~:dmlL'llt !h:ld h\ S!B!·HIA and tll:1t

that SlB!:RIA pcr!(lmtcd \\,;IL Tal>k 5 shows

\;II tk'.'i dcri h'd rrnm th. .. ·sc sites range !'rom [J.2 h) l l ifl:t HlOX(} t\1 () -+5 La c) pt.T

i~.~mmJg: <..'\L:llL thh JS <..:!p-.,c H• th~.· range of \:dth.:;-.. ,l(U . ..t \(' .>.:: l ·ha Hl!(> l\1 !.~ 1 :tv\

per C\ em

;;alu-.·s nmld

!hat the value:; den\ l'd

tl!i..' n:btiv,·ly sh,1n

Rita E:.pL·rirncntal \\ :ll<.'rslh.:d which included SC\'L'ral

T~1blc 5

on!~> )c{\t<.. ut'data

en \:.;wn<al C\ ~.·nts.

Estimated Sediment 'Vidd for Mesita dd Stu~: Sites thun Evt.mts with 2- and 5-Y t.•ar

Return Periods "

Return Period Runoff Volumes b (m3)

Mean Sediment

Concentration !mgJL)

Sediment Yield c

(T/ha)

Observation Drainage Site Area (m2)

TA-E·1 Runoff P!ots :l3E+01

Smai:' catchments TA-54

r"''"'"')~ :::.: .. ' 4 1E+Q3

;::?'1~ -:..LI 1 7E+04

E247 5 OE+04

2-Year Event

3.0E·01

52E•01

2.1E+02

3.2E+02

5-Year Event

8.3E+W

2.3E+03

2-Year Event

5.2E-01

27EA1i

5-Year Event

wflnrPrvLr;u iht~ 1near C!)l1Ccntrattor fro.m observed t:y· thr: calculated :uncf. ~olume These f"!&lds ~'::om pare

SiBERIA for the annual mnc7:iCiiiDe-romw;a event, as snown in Tabte 3

Page 40: LA-UR-05-7771 - hwbdocuments.env.nm.gov Alamos National... · la-ur-05-7771 tifft:. sulvrutteci to. .. a ·~los alamos h •. t, ~qna~ ai3•)ha 0 y surface erosion modeling for the

5.0 References

c :Hl'\. J \\ dlld Cok. < r .• .::no:::. 1 ! ',ac~ .'>·,·r. Ll"' .•\bm~.~ ...

.s·, u!1 /i;,·;r ll u!,·.;. :-;.n!ncv

Crt,wdL K.L ('J W!l...,un. and L..l. Lalh:, 2(Hi4. "( ''ilSlrainm~,:

, ' illlli '

F\olntwn \h>(k·l w !Uilll Y~.:ar~ ol Lrnsiun a! .·\mLTiGHl I mon l:d! \1

at :.1 ;\ksa·l <liJ \\ <hk

I; l kL>.:mth.·r. '-.::n l!." i (. 1 1 • .;.:::.

Da\.\1S.t.K. and C.D. f'cdcr:<JL 20115. t n11r

.-il'c\1 '..f .. \lil{CI'i,;/ /

· /.,Jr!ht'/1 ( ·(!\'c'f'

I rr -.; i • l

! h:im;-;ath . .'\./.L WJ:. Didric!L Ni3hivtnni. and R.C. linkd. 191l7. "Th~· S<nl Pn•dudtttn J· um:uon Lqmlibritm1 . ., .\aw,"L·. \. 3 ~:\. pp. 31• I.

Kin:!mc:r. J \\., RJ HnkcL ( .S Riebe. LU:. Crangl'L JJ .. l. bvton . .I.Cr. K \kgahan. 2001. "\•lmmtain Eroswn P\Cr 10 ;n. lU k.y and !0 nLy. Tun;;·

:\mcnc:L

Laflcn. l LJ l:t!K\ and (i.R. h!:>tCT. l tl•J L "\\ EPP· A. \('\\ {JC!ll~:·auon Predtc!wnT ."JofSuil~md\\~ncrC\•ns..:nati.HL \'ol -til. No. l.pp. -;4 .. ,:--:,

L.<m~.'. L.L \UL 1\. L.R, ~md

buS lUll iHld s .. :diln.:m y !dd at th..: Jl d Llnpc l!l t

.\U<. Ki,J\\r.:!L ::oOJ . .. :\ Sinmbt!tm ~"· ('hapli.'1 ?\ t rr-. 20 l 2~ 7) n1

R. S. . W \\ .JIL cds. L

\\ J, V<Ji

K luw(·t

Larll'. L J .. RunP!l Volumes [~xP::;i,m Pn:diction in Support Land:-.;;-;q1c L !Pil \ DA (L lm~"nm No, 3. i\h:l!HllU ;..;pp.

\..( li\A ( \:ni. & .\tmusphcn;;-'-\.T\ i.'L 'hdSL'. n \\ S.! H 1aa. f:'l 1\ {

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\.;_'\\lll;HL HJ) ~md l ( i. 200:'. ( i1 oun,h\\tt. r l\lfhL ,n ,rr Los .·!lumns \'

! -'"' :\bntt'> '\;ttJrllo:ll Lahura11xy Rq>ort LA-l. :J\. o:;. ""fl 1l-l. S~.:pktnlK·r

' J.\\ (,J I C.F \lartin, J.l \bnmo. ·r (I. SchotkkL ! "Field

Stuch~> ,)f Lngllh:lTcd Closure Lm\ Lncl Radioar:tnc \Vash: Ltndi"ill.-. at thr· lii!rT!Idtiona! C

Var·\·ing m Slope li)r Scmmnd Rr.•gimh ... I

Pr.c"is. \\' .. S Tcukolsky. \\'. V cHr:riing. and B. Flannery. ! tFlh. Vwuenr n!

(. 2nd eeL c·amhnd,!!c Unin:r~·dtv pp. 4:\1 ··· 455.

<;,1mth. R.L. Cim,drich. llC, \\r1olhiscL D.A.and Lnknch. (

:1 kincmat1c runoff erosion model." in CompWrT ;\/rJd,·ls

Oil

V.P.t ~.:J l. \\;Her Rr:sotHYi.~S Pubhcalions. llighlamls R:mch. Coh1rado. pp. 697 132.

.!

. \' o!

in C

Smgh.

Stunc. LL. L.J L:me. and F.D. Slmky. 1 'N2. "'[nfi!tmtirHJ and RtmPIT Simulation on a Plmw:·

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USDA. 2002. lliffslope Erosion Model. Enginccn:d lnl~m11ation Syskms for Natm~tl 1\.esnurc~.:s.

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hup: i, ctsnr tucscm.ars.ag.gov hi l!slopccmsinnm.Klc[ ·.

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\loud." Furth Sur! . Land{. VnL :.Jc. ~. pp."

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Network Gnnvth anJ Uillslopc EYolution 'vl\1~1<.:!: l Thcor>:· H'aier Rn. Res,. \'ol. 2"'. \.u. -·

pp. l6 /l-H1S·:L

Willgoosc. CdL. l?..L Bras. and L Rodrigucz-ltmbc. 1991 b. ".'\ Physically Based Coupled

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7. pp !tif.::\-ltl'lh.

\Villi!ousc. (i. 20(Hl C.\,'r nwtwal/iJr SIBERf..·l 1 i'enion 8.10!. The University of I'-kwcastk aod

Land!L·ch L:mdform Tedmologics {a division of NR:\ ). Ju!.v. q I pp.

Willgoos..:·. (i .. 2004. Persona! Cmmnunication. November.

Wil-;nn. C.L f-:..1. Cnnvc!L Ll Lane. ?no-t. "Chalkng;;s in Paranwtcrizing a

Evo!uti,~n \lodd tu Prl.~dict J 000 Y cars of Ernsiun on a \ksa-Top Wasil' Repository:· prc'icntcd

at .:\mcri.:an C.~cophysica! l.1niun Fall tvkcung. 13 17 lkccmbcr. San Frandsen. C'A. I\,skr

H:'lC-ll-+1