kohlr &co (a)
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KOHLR &Co (A)TRANSCRIPT
KOHLR &Co (A&B)Asish K Bhattacharyya
Chairperson, Riverside Management Academy Private Limited
Herbert Kohler’s MotiveWhy does Herbert Kohler want to do the
recapitalisation?Why does he want to buy the minority
shareholders out when he already controls about 90% of the company?
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Aversion To Publicity And Public Disclosure
Is Herbert Kohler correct that private is better?Is Mr. Kohler reaping private benefits of control?
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The Dissenters’ MotiveWhat do minority shareholders want?
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ValuationHow do you determine the share price to be
offered to dissenters?
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Comparable CompaniesKitchen and bath products
American StandardAmerican Wood markMasco
Power and generatorsBriggs StrattonCumminsDetroit Diesel
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ValuationMinority shareholders have de facto no voting rights.Control premium and minority discountMinority discount =
1– 1/(1+Control Premium)Control premium of 25% relative to minority share is equivalent to minority discount of 20% relative to controlling interest
Lack of marketability Illiquidity
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Minority DiscountSources of empirical data:Acquisition premium: 36 – 49%Voting premium (in dual class companies): 10 –
80% [Factors for variation: the degree of shareholder protection and the possibility of change in the management]
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Discount For Lack of Marketability
Sources of empirical evidence:Discount on sale of restricted stockPrivate placement (before IPO)Estimates: 25% - 40%
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Valuation: Cost of Debt Interest expenses (Projected):
1998: 11,521 [Ex: 6b]1999: 14,325 [Ex: 6b]
LT Debt: 1997: 228,940 [Ex: 3a]1998: 243,939 [Ex: 6a]
Interest rate (pre-tax): 1998 5.03%1999: 5.87%
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Valuation: Cost of Debt Interest expenses (Projected):
1998: 11,5211999: 14,325
LT Debt: Average 1998: 236,440Average 1999 : 223,939
Interest rate (pre-tax): 1998: 4.87%1999: 6.40%
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Valuation: Cost of Debt Interest expenses (Projected):
1998: 11,521 1999: 14,325
LT Debt: 1998: 243,9391999 : 203,939
Interest rate (pre-tax): 1998: 4.72%1999: 7.02%
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Valuation: Tax RateTax Expense:
1998: 38,585[ Ex: 6b]1999: 46,071
Income Before Tax:1998: 87,1751999: 106,103
Tax Rate:1998: 44.26%1999: 43.60%
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Post-Tax Cost of Debt6.40×(1− 0.4360) = 3.61%
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Cost of EquityWhat should be the ‘risk-free rate of return’?What should be the β?What should be the market premium?
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Risk-Free Rate of Return20-year US Government Bond: 6% [Exhibit 8]
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Market PremiumAverage difference between stock and bond
annual returns over the period 1926-19977.2%
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Determination of Beta (β)Net Sales [Ex: 4]:
Kitchen and Bath Group: 1,485,831 (67%)Power systems Group: 540,260 (24%) Interior Group: 145,414 (7%)Hospitality& R. Estate Group: 50789 (2%)
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Determination of Beta (β)Net Income [Ex:4]:
Kitchen and Bath Group: 87,411(77%)Power systems Group: 20,339 (18%) Interior Group: 4,001 (4%)Hospitality& R. Estate Group: 1,121 (1%)
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Determination of Beta (β)Sales and Net Income of two major GroupsSales:
Kitchen and Bath Group: 1,485,831 (73.33%)Power systems Group: 540,260 (26.67%)
Net Income:Kitchen and Bath Group: 87,411(89%)Power systems Group: 20,339 (11%)
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Determination of Beta (β): Most Current Data
ASDASD AMWAMWDD
MASMAS BGGBGG CUMCUM DDCDDC
EquityEquityBeta [7b]Beta [7b]
0.820.82 0.760.76 1.281.28 0.660.66 1.091.09 1.301.30
E/VE/V 0.590.59 0.950.95 0.890.89 0.810.81 0.650.65 0.840.84
DebtDebtBetaBeta
0.000.00 0.000.00 0.000.00 0.000.00 0.000.00 0.000.00
AssetAssetBetaBeta
0.490.49 0.720.72 1.141.14 0.530.53 0.700.70 1.091.09
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Determination of Beta (β): Average of Latest Three Years
ASDASD AMWAMWDD
MASMAS BGGBGG CUMCUM DDCDDC
EquityEquityBetaBeta
0.820.82 0.760.76 1.281.28 0.660.66 1.091.09 1.301.30
E/VE/V 0.550.55 0.870.87 0.820.82 0.890.89 0.750.75 0.800.80
DebtDebtBetaBeta
0.000.00 0.000.00 0.000.00 0.000.00 0.000.00 0.000.00
AssetAssetBetaBeta
0.450.45 0.660.66 1.041.04 0.580.58 0.820.82 1.041.04
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Determination of Beta (β): Most Current Data
Asset Asset BetaBeta
E/VE/V Equity Equity BetaBeta
Average ofAverage of Kitchen and Bath Kitchen and Bath comparable companiescomparable companies
0.780.78 0.810.81 0.970.97
Average ofAverage of Power and Systems Power and Systems comparable companiescomparable companies
0.780.78 0.770.77 1.021.02
Average ofAverage of six comparable companiessix comparable companies 0.780.78 0.790.79 0.990.99
Weighted Average 80% Kitchen and Weighted Average 80% Kitchen and Bath and 20% Power and Systems Bath and 20% Power and Systems
0.780.78 0.800.80 0.970.9704/22/23 24
Determination of Beta (β): Most Current Data
Equity Equity BetaBeta
Cost of Cost of equityequity
After After tax cost tax cost of debtof debt
WACWACCC
Average ofAverage of Kitchen and Bath Kitchen and Bath comparable companiescomparable companies
0.970.97 13.0%13.0% 3.7%3.7% 11.2%11.2%
Average ofAverage of Power and Systems Power and Systems comparable companiescomparable companies
1.021.02 13.3%13.3% 3.7%3.7% 11.1%11.1%
Average ofAverage of six comparable six comparable companiescompanies
0.990.99 13.1%13.1% 3.7%3.7% 11.1%11.1%
Weighted Average 80% Kitchen Weighted Average 80% Kitchen and Bath and 20% Power and and Bath and 20% Power and Systems Systems
0.970.97 13.0%13.0% 3.7%3.7% 11.2%11.2%
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Determination of Beta (β): Average of Latest Three Years
Asset Asset BetaBeta
E/VE/V Equity Equity BetaBeta
Average ofAverage of Kitchen and Bath Kitchen and Bath comparable companiescomparable companies
0.720.72 0.750.75 0.960.96
Average ofAverage of Power and Systems Power and Systems comparable companiescomparable companies
0.810.81 0.810.81 1.001.00
Average ofAverage of six comparable six comparable companiescompanies
0.770.77 0.780.78 0.980.98
Weighted Average 80% Kitchen and Weighted Average 80% Kitchen and Bath and 20% Power and Systems Bath and 20% Power and Systems
0.740.74 0.760.76 0.970.97
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Determination of Beta (β): Average of Latest Three Years
Equity Equity BetaBeta
Cost of Cost of equityequity
After After tax cost tax cost of debtof debt
WACWACCC
Average ofAverage of Kitchen and Bath Kitchen and Bath comparable companiescomparable companies
0.960.96 12.9%12.9% 3.7%3.7% 10.6%10.6%
Average ofAverage of Power and Systems Power and Systems comparable companiescomparable companies
1.001.00 13.2%13.2% 3.7%3.7% 11.4%11.4%
Average ofAverage of six comparable six comparable companiescompanies
0.980.98 13.1%13.1% 3.7%3.7% 11.0%11.0%
Weighted Average 80% Kitchen Weighted Average 80% Kitchen and Bath and 20% Power and and Bath and 20% Power and Systems Systems
0.970.97 13.0%13.0% 3.7%3.7% 10.8%10.8%
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Total BetaCAPM fundamental assumptions do not hold for
a family-owned company like Kohler. Indeed, if most of the Kohler family’s wealth is
tied to the company, they will not only be exposed to systematic risk (measured by beta), but also to Kohler Co.’s idiosyncratic risk.
This may be true for Herbert Kohler, his sister, and his children, as well as for those dissenters who are Kohler family members, although not for the outside shareholders, particularly the Sogen and Franklin funds.
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Total BetaOne way to adjust the standard CAPM to account
for total risk is to use a “total beta” instead of the usual market beta.
Total beta is defined as the ratio of the standard deviations of the investment and the market, without multiplying it by the correlation between the investment and the market as we do for the standard (market) beta
Total β= σi/σm
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END
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